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Information Systems

Operations Management

Keywords
Regional Search Proportions
Online Awareness
Order Processing & Fulfillment Costs
IS and IT Costs

Aggregate Production Place Year 1


Aggregate Production Place Year 1 w/ SOLVER
Aggregate Production Place Year 2
Aggregate Production Place Year 2 w/ SOLVER
Aggregate Production Place Year 3
Aggregate Production Place Year 3 w/ SOLVER

Marketing

Aggregate Production Place Year 4


Aggregate Production Place Year 4 w/ SOLVER
Aggregate Production Place Year 5
Aggregate Production Place Year 5 w/ SOLVER
Machines
Labor
Salaries & Positions (Years 1-5)

BASE CASE
Push Strategies
Pull Strategies
Free Pops Calculations
Word of Mouth
CSR
Promotion Schedule (Years 1-5)
Segmentation
Purchase Intent
ACV
ACV w/ pie charts
Sales Volume per Channel
Contribution Margin
Breakeven
Total Impressions
Northeast segmented BASES Yr 1
Northeast segmented BASES Yr 2
Northeast segmented BASES Yr 3
Northeast & West segmented BASES Yr 4
Northeast & West segmented BASES Yr 5

Finance
ASSUMPTIONS
INCOME STATEMENT
BALANC SHEET
CASH FLOW
RESULTS
COGS
Direct Materials
Demand
Order Quantities
Inventory Parameters
Raw Materials
WIP
Finished Goods
Individual Income Statements (Years 1-5)
Individual Balance Sheets (Years 1-5)
MK Units
Inventory

KEYWORDS

Changeable
Results

Keyword: Ice Popsicle


Organic Search
Number of Monthly Visitors
CTR (assuming website grader score of 25)
Number of months per Year (assuming our score stays the same)
Number of Visitors
Internet Marketing (Pay/Click)
Annual amount spent per keyword
Min CPC
Max CPC
Average CPC
Number of Visitors

Banner Ad
$$ Spent
$5 / 1,000 Impressions
CTR
Number of Visitors

60
13.90%
12
100

405
0.38
1.1
0.74
547

6,000
1200
0.5%
6,000

Keyword: Children Probiotics


Organic Search
Number of Monthly Visitors
CTR (assuming website grader score of 25)
Number of months per Year (assuming our score stays the same)
Number of Visitors

30
13.90%
12
50

Internet Marketing (Pay/Click)


Annual amount spent per keyword
Min CPC
Max CPC
Average CPC
Number of Visitors

202
2.04
2.87
2.455
82

Banner Ad
$$ Spent
$5 / 1,000 Impressions

6,000
1200

CTR
Number of Visitors

0.5%
6,000

Keyword: Sinus Infection


Organic Search
Number of Monthly Visitors
CTR (assuming website grader score of 25)
Number of months per Year (assuming our score stays the same)
Number of Visitors

2940
13.90%
12
4904

Internet Marketing (Pay/Click)


Annual amount spent per keyword
Min CPC
Max CPC
Average CPC
Number of Visitors

19,827
0.68
1.01
0.845
23463

Banner Ad
$$ Spent
$5 / 1,000 Impressions
CTR
Number of Visitors

6,000
1200
0.5%
6,000

Keyword: Children Vitamins


Organic Search
Number of Monthly Visitors
CTR (assuming website grader score of 25)
Number of months per Year (assuming our score stays the same)
Number of Visitors
Internet Marketing (Pay/Click)
Annual amount spent per keyword
Min CPC
Max CPC
Average CPC
Number of Visitors

Banner Ad
$$ Spent
$5 / 1,000 Impressions
CTR
Number of Visitors

150
13.90%
12
250

1,012
1.17
1.62
1.395
725

6,000
1200
0.5%
6,000

Keyword: Children Health


Organic Search
Number of Monthly Visitors
CTR (assuming website grader score of 25)
Number of months per Year (assuming our score stays the same)
Number of Visitors

1560
13.90%
12
2602

Internet Marketing (Pay/Click)


Annual amount spent per keyword
Min CPC
Max CPC
Average CPC
Number of Visitors

10,520
1.42
2.13
1.775
5927

Banner Ad
$$ Spent
$5 / 1,000 Impressions
CTR
Number of Visitors

6,000
1200
0.5%
6,000

Keyword: Healthy Treat


Organic Search
Number of Monthly Visitors
CTR (assuming website grader score of 25)
Number of months per Year (assuming our score stays the same)
Number of Visitors

60
13.90%
12
100

Internet Marketing (Pay/Click)


Annual amount spent per keyword
Min CPC
Max CPC
Average CPC
Number of Visitors

405
0.72
0.99
0.855
473

Banner Ad
$$ Spent
$5 / 1,000 Impressions

6,000
1200

CTR
Number of Visitors

0.5%
6,000

Keyword: Strong Bones


Organic Search
Number of Monthly Visitors
CTR (assuming website grader score of 25)
Number of months per Year (assuming our score stays the same)
Number of Visitors
Internet Marketing (Pay/Click)
Annual amount spent per keyword
Min CPC
Max CPC
Average CPC
Number of Visitors

Banner Ad
$$ Spent
$5 / 1,000 Impressions
CTR
Number of Visitors

90
13.90%
12
150

607
1.07
1.46
1.265
480

6,000
1200
0.5%
6,000

Keyword: Healthy Teeth


Organic Search
Number of Monthly Visitors
CTR (assuming website grader score of 25)
Number of months per Year (assuming our score stays the same)
Number of Visitors
Internet Marketing (Pay/Click)
Annual amount spent per keyword
Min CPC
Max CPC
Average CPC
Number of Visitors

Banner Ad
$$ Spent
$5 / 1,000 Impressions
CTR
Number of Visitors

300
13.90%
12
500

2,023
1.09
1.53
1.31
1544

6,000
1200
0.5%
6,000

YEARS 1-3
NORTHEAST only

Ice Popsicle
Children Health
Children Probiotics
Healthy Treat
Sinus Infection
Strong Bones
Children Vitamins
Healthy Teeth
Total

Annual Visitors
100
2602
50
100
4904
150
250
500
8657

Organic Search
Adjusted Annual Visitors

% of Costs
20
519
10
20
979
30
50
100

1.16%
30.06%
0.58%
1.16%
56.65%
1.73%
2.89%
5.78%

1727

YEARS 4-5
NORTHEAST only

Ice Popsicle
Children Health
Children Probiotics
Healthy Treat
Sinus Infection
Strong Bones
Children Vitamins
Healthy Teeth
Total

Organic Search
Annual Visitors Adjusted Annual Visitors
% of Costs
100
20
2602
519
50
10
100
20
4904
979
150
30
250
50
500
100
8657

1.16%
30.06%
0.58%
1.16%
56.65%
1.73%
2.89%
5.78%

1727

YEARS 4-5
WEST

Ice Popsicle
Children Health
Children Probiotics
Healthy Treat
Sinus Infection
Strong Bones
Children Vitamins
Healthy Teeth
Total

Organic Search
Annual Visitors Adjusted Annual Visitors
% of Costs
100
30
2602
775
50
15
100
30
4904
1461
150
45
250
75
500
149
8657

2579

1.16%
30.06%
0.58%
1.16%
56.65%
1.73%
2.89%
5.78%

NORTHEAST only
Money Allocation
$
404.62
$
10,520.23
$
202.31
$
404.62
$
19,826.59
$
606.94
$
1,011.56
$
2,023.12
$

35,000.00

Internet Marketing
Average CPC Annual Visitors Adjusted Annual Visitors
0.74
547
109
1.775
5927
1126
2.455
82
16
0.855
473
90
0.845
23463
4458
1.265
480
91
1.395
725
138
1.31
1544
293
33242

6321

NORTHEAST only
Internet Marketing
Money Allocation Average CPC Annual Visitors Adjusted Annual Visitors
$
157.56
0.74
547
109
$
4,096.58
1.775
5927
1183
$
78.78
2.455
82
16
$
157.56
0.855
473
94
$
7,720.47
0.845
23463
4682
$
236.34
1.265
480
96
$
393.90
1.395
725
145
$
787.80
1.31
1544
308
$

13,629.00

33242

6633

WEST
Internet Marketing
Money Allocation Average CPC Annual Visitors Adjusted Annual Visitors
$
247.06
0.74
547
163
$
6,423.65
1.775
5927
1766
$
123.53
2.455
82
25
$
247.06
0.855
473
141
$
12,106.12
0.845
23463
6990
$
370.60
1.265
480
143
$
617.66
1.395
725
216
$
1,235.32
1.31
1544
460
$

21,371.00

33242

9904

Year 1
NORTHEAST only
Source
Organic Search (costs to maintain website)
Pay/Click
Banner Ad
Total
Non-target market Visitors
Net Annual Visitors
Net New Annual Visitors in our Market
Target Market
Online Product Awareness
Year 3
NORTHEAST only
Source
Organic Search (costs to maintain website)
Pay/Click
Banner Ad
Total
Non-target market Visitors
Net Annual Visitors
Net New Annual Visitors in our Market
Target Market
Online Product Awareness
Year 4
NORTHEAST only
Source
Organic Search (costs to maintain website)
Pay/Click
Banner Ad
Total
Non-target market Visitors
Net Annual Visitors
Net New Annual Visitors in our Market
Target Market
Online Product Awareness

Yearly Cost ($)


Number of Visitors
3,000
1727
35,000
6,321
6,000
6,000
44,000
14,049

90.00%

already accounted for


14,049
12,644

3,927,591
0.322%

Yearly Cost ($)


Number of Visitors
3,000
1727
35,000
6,321
6,000
6,000
44,000
14,049

80.00%

already accounted for


14,049
11,239

3,927,591
0.286%

Yearly Cost ($)


Number of Visitors
3,000
1727
35,000
6,321
6,000
6,000
44,000
14,049

75.00%
3,927,591
0.268%

already accounted for


14,049
10,536

Year 5
NORTHEAST only
Source
Organic Search (costs to maintain website)
Pay/Click
Banner Ad
Total
Non-target market Visitors
Net Annual Visitors
Net New Annual Visitors in our Market
Target Market
Online Product Awareness

Yearly Cost ($)


Number of Visitors
3,000
1727
35,000
6,321
6,000
6,000
44,000
14,049

70.00%
3,927,591
0.250%

already accounted for


14,049
9,834

Cost/Visit ($)
$
1.74
$
5.54
$
1.00
$
3.13

Year 2
NORTHEAST only
Source
Organic Search (costs to maintain website)
Pay/Click
Banner Ad
Total
Non-target market Visitors
Net Annual Visitors
Net New Annual Visitors in our Market
Target Market
Online Product Awareness

Yearly Cost ($)


3,000
35,000
6,000
44,000

85.00%
3,927,591
0.304%

Cost/Visit ($)
$
1.74
$
5.54
$
1.00
$
3.13

Cost/Visit ($)
$
1.74
$
5.54
$
1.00
$
3.13

Year 4
WEST only
Source
Organic Search (costs to maintain website)
Pay/Click
Banner Ad
Total
Non-target market Visitors
Net Annual Visitors
Net New Annual Visitors in our Market
Target Market
Online Product Awareness

Yearly Cost ($)


3,000
21,371
6,000
30,371

75.00%
5,864,044
0.236%

Cost/Visit ($)
$
1.74
$
5.54
$
1.00
$
3.13

Year 5
WEST
Source
Organic Search (costs to maintain website)
Pay/Click
Banner Ad
Total
Non-target market Visitors
Net Annual Visitors
Net New Annual Visitors in our Market
Target Market
Online Product Awareness

Yearly Cost ($)


3,000
35,000
6,000
44,000

70.00%
5,864,044
0.221%

Number of Visitors
1727
6,321
6,000
14,049

Cost/Visit ($)
$
1.74
$
5.54
$
1.00
$
3.13

already accounted for


14,049
11,941

Number of Visitors
2579
9,904
6,000
18,482.83
already accounted for
18,483
13,862

Cost/Visit ($)
$
1.16
$
2.16
$
1.00
$
1.64

Number of Visitors
2579
9,904
6,000
18,483
already accounted for
18,483
12,938

Cost/Visit ($)
$
1.16
$
3.53
$
1.00
$
2.38

YEAR 1
Sales price

Web Store (@ 7%)

Processing Subtotal

$23.96

$1.68

$1.68

Webstore (@ 4 boxes)
Costs per box
Online CM

Number of Boxes sold

1.99 Costs per 4


$1.11

$7.95

YEAR 2
Sales price

Web Store (@ 7%)

Processing Subtotal

$23.96

$1.68

$1.68

Webstore (@ 4 boxes)
Costs per box
Online CM

Number of Boxes sold

1.97 Costs per 4


$1.19

$7.86

YEAR 3
Sales price

Web Store (@ 7%)

Processing Subtotal

$23.96

$1.68

$1.68

Webstore (@ 4 boxes)
Costs per box
Online CM

Number of Boxes sold

1.89 Costs per 4


$1.50

$7.56

YEAR 4
Sales price

Web Store (@ 7%)

Processing Subtotal

$23.96

$1.68

$1.68

Webstore (@ 4 boxes)
Costs per box
Online CM
Number of Boxes sold

1.75 Costs per 4


$2.05

$7.00

YEAR 5
Sales price

Web Store (@ 7%)

Processing Subtotal

Webstore (@ 4 boxes)
Costs per box
Online CM
Number of Boxes sold

$23.96
$

1.69 Costs per 4


$2.30
4

$1.68

$1.68
$6.75

Storage
Pick & Pack Shipping
(.65 cubic ft per 4 boxes)
$
0.98
$0.75
$4.75
2.06

Weight
Fulfillment Subtotal
(@ 8.24 lbs per 4 boxes)
$6.75 $
13.23

$8.24

Storage
Pick & Pack Shipping
(.65 cubic ft per 4 boxes)
$
0.98
$0.75
$4.75

Weight
Fulfillment Subtotal
(@ 8.24 lbs per boxes)
$6.75 $
13.23

Storage
Pick & Pack Shipping
(.65 cubic ft per 4 boxes)
$
0.98
$0.75
$4.75

Weight
Fulfillment Subtotal
(@ 8.24 lbs per boxes)
$6.75 $
13.23

Storage
Pick & Pack Shipping
(.65 cubic ft per 4 boxes)
$
0.98
$0.75
$4.75

Weight
Fulfillment Subtotal
(@ 8.24 lbs per boxes)
$6.75 $
13.23

Storage
(.65 cubic ft per 4 boxes)

Pick & Pack Shipping

Weight
(@ 8.24 lbs per boxes)

Fulfillment Subtotal

0.98

$0.75

$4.75

$6.75 $

13.23

Total
$14.91

Total
$14.91

Total
$14.91

Total
$14.91

Total

$14.91

IS and IT Budget

laptop

brand
HP Touch Smart
300z series
HP HDX 16t
Premium Series

server

HP Proliant ML 350

operating system

Windows 7 Ultimate $
office professional
suite
$

pc

office suite

internet service provider

Symantec Norton
Antivirus
HP officejet Pro
8500
Motorola Moto
W755
Verizon
Cisco Systems
Kensington Smart
Socket
Verizon set up fee
(3 yr contract)

back up

adding extra phone


and computer lines
monthly fee
Mozy

antivirus/anti-spyware
printer
cell phone
cell phone plan
switch
surge protector

hand held scanner


printer paper
wires
computer cleaner
ERP System
web hosting
domain name
web publisher
office phones
toner
computer consultant

socket cordless 7e
hp plain paper
Ethernet and phone
cables
falcon computer
care kit
Enterprise 21
godaddy (3 yr
contract)
godaddy
Adobe web
premium
rca 25204 re1
hp printer ink
none- wage per
hour

price/unit

quantity

year 0
total cost

799.99

3 $ 2,399.97

899.99

2 $ 1,799.98

$ 1,509.00

1 $ 1,509.00

219.00

5 $ 1,095.00

499.99

3 $ 1,499.97

54.18

5 $

270.90

369.99

2 $

739.98

$
$
$

89.99
359.88
119.99

5 $
0 $
1 $

449.95
119.99

38.24

6 $

229.44

89.99

1 $

89.99

$
$
$

75.00
189.99
4.95

10 $
0 $
0 $

750.00
-

$
$

198.00
4.00

3 $
100 $

594.00
400.00

3.00

20 $

60.00

$
7.00
$ 35,000.00

5 $
35.00
1 $ 35,000.00

$
$

12.74
14.99

0 $
1 $

14.99

$
$
$

600.00
80.00
56.00

1 $
7 $
12 $

600.00
560.00
672.00

100.00

0 $

CTO
website manager
TV
adobe

waged worker
waged worker
Samsung 40''
system bundle
Photoshop

$ 70,000.00
$ 37,500.00

0 $
0 $

$
$

1 $
998.00
1 $
999.00
$ 50,887.16

998.00
999.00
total

quantity

year 1
total cost

year 2
quantity

total cost

year 3
quantity

total cost

0 $

0 $

3 $ 2,399.97

0 $

0 $

1 $

0 $

0 $

1 $ 1,509.00

0 $

0 $

4 $

876.00

0 $

0 $

2 $

999.98

0 $

0 $

4 $

216.72

0 $

0 $

1 $

369.99

899.99

0 $
5 $ 1,799.40
0 $
-

0 $
0 $ 1,799.40
0 $
-

4 $
359.96
4 $ 3,238.92
1 $
119.99

0 $

0 $

4 $

152.96

0 $

0 $

0 $

0 $
12 $ 2,279.88
5 $
24.75

1 $
75.00
12 $ 2,279.88
5 $
24.75

8 $
600.00
12 $ 2,279.88
9 $
44.55

0 $
0 $

0 $
130 $

520.00

2 $
160 $

396.00
640.00

0 $

2 $

6.00

10 $

30.00

0 $
0 $

5 $
0 $

35.00
-

9 $
0 $

63.00
-

12 $
1 $

152.88
14.99

12 $
1 $

152.88
14.99

12 $
1 $

152.88
14.99

0 $
0 $
0 $

0 $
1 $
6 $

80.00
336.00

0 $
12 $
12 $

960.00
672.00

96 $ 9,600.00

100 $ 10,000.00

50 $ 5,000.00

0 $
0 $

total

0 $
0 $
$ 13,871.90

0 $
0 $

total

0 $
0 $
$ 15,323.90

1 $ 70,000.00
0 $
-

total

1 $
998.00
0 $
$ 92,994.78

year 4
quantity

total cost

year 5
quantity total cost

Years 1- 5 costs
423554.6

6 $

4,799.94

0 $

2 $

1,799.98

0 $

0 $

0 $

8 $

1,752.00

0 $

4 $

1,999.96

0 $

8 $

433.44

0 $

0 $

1 $

369.99

2 $
2 $
0 $

179.98
3,958.68
-

0 $
0 $
0 $

3,958.68
-

6 $

229.44

2 $

76.48

1 $

89.99

0 $

10 $
12 $
12 $

750.00
2,279.88
59.40

2 $
12 $
12 $

150.00
2,279.88
59.40

0 $
180 $

720.00

0 $
210 $

840.00

5 $

15.00

4 $

12.00

12 $
0 $

84.00
-

12 $
0 $

84.00
-

12 $
1 $

152.88
14.99

12 $
1 $

152.88
14.99

1 $
2 $
16 $

600.00
160.00
896.00

0 $
2 $
24 $

160.00
1,344.00

20 $

2,000.00

20 $

2,000.00

total

1 $ 70,000.00
1 $ 37,500.00

1 $ 70,000.00
1 $ 37,500.00

0 $
1 $
999.00
$ 131,474.56

0 $
0 $
$ 119,002.30

total

Impressions*
Year 1
Farmers' Markets
Baseball games
Walk-A-Thons
Fairs and Festivals
Regional Radio
Regional Magazine
PR Large Magazines
PR small Magazines
Total Year 1 Impressions
Year 4 Northeast
Farmers' Markets
Baseball games
Walk-A-Thons
Fairs and Festivals
Regional Radio
Regional Magazine
PR Large Magazines
PR small Magazines
Total Y4 NE Impressions
Year 5 Northeast
Farmers' Markets
Baseball games
Walk-A-Thons
Fairs and Festivals
Regional Radio
Regional Magazine
PR Large Magazines
PR small Magazines
Total Y4 NE Impressions

190,400.00
219,034.23
18,136.72
93,246.60
2,657,318.40
6,475,660.70
107,419.61
39,006.77
9,800,223.03

Year 2
Farmers' Markets
Baseball games
Walk-A-Thons
Fairs and Festivals
Regional Radio
Regional Magazine
PR Large Magazines
PR small Magazines
Total Year 2 Impressions

190,400.00
219,034.23
18,136.72
93,246.60
2,657,318.40
6,475,660.70
53,709.80
19,503.39
9,727,009.84

190,400.00
219,034.23
18,136.72
93,246.60
2,657,318.40
6,475,660.70
53,709.80
19,503.39
9,727,009.84

Year 4 West
Farmers' Markets
Baseball games
Walk-A-Thons
Fairs and Festivals
Regional Radio
Regional Magazine
PR Large Magazines
PR small Magazines
Total Y4 West Impressions

238,000.00
219,034.23
27,205.08
138,896.89
3,967,477.86
9,668,408.75
160,381.58
58,238.60
14,477,642.99

190,400.00
219,034.23
18,136.72
93,246.60
2,657,318.40
6,475,660.70
160,381.58
58,238.60
9,872,416.83

Year 5 West
Farmers' Markets
Baseball games
Walk-A-Thons
Fairs and Festivals
Regional Radio
Regional Magazine
PR Large Magazines
PR small Magazines
Total Y4 West Impressions

238,000.00
219,034.23
27,205.08
138,896.89
3,967,477.86
9,668,408.75
160,381.58
58,238.60
14,477,642.99

Year 3
Farmers' Markets
Baseball games
Walk-A-Thons
Fairs and Festivals
Regional Radio
Regional Magazine
PR Large Magazines
PR small Magazines
Total Year 3 Impressions

Total Year 4 Impressions


24,204,652.83

Total Year 5 Impressions


24,350,059.82

190,400.00
219,034.23
18,136.72
93,246.60
2,657,318.40
6,475,660.70
53,709.80
19,503.39
9,727,009.84

*Does not include impressions from ice pop


and magnet giveaways because one
impression equals full awareness for these
strategies

pressions from ice pop


ways because one
l awareness for these
egies

Expo Costs
Snaxpo
FNCE (corner booth)
Sweets & Snacks Expo
Natural Products Expo East (inline booth)

Booth cost (1/3 of total costs)


$
2,500.00
$
2,500.00
$
3,400.00
$
3,425.00

Total Costs
$
7,500.00
$
7,500.00
$
10,200.00
$
10,275.00

Farmer's Markets (Boston Area)


Costs
Registration Fee
Boston City Hall (W)
Cambridge-Central Sq. (M)
Copley Square (TU)
Framingham (TH)
Wage
hours/day (travel and work)
Times/week
Weeks/year
Wage/hour
Total Wage/year
Total Costs

$
$
$
$
$

75.00
1,067.00
586.00
1,516.48
433.00

$
$
$

8
4
28
14.00
12,544.00
16,221.48

Farmer's Markets (West coast)


Costs
Registration Fee
Similar to Boston City Hall (M/W)
Similar to Cambridge-Central Sq. (M)
Similar to Copley Square (TU/F)
Similar to Framingham (TH)
Similar to Average (F)
Wage
hours/day (travel and work)
Times/week
Weeks/year
Wage/hour
Total Wage/year
Total Costs

$
$
$
$
$
$

75.00
1,067.00
586.00
1,516.48
433.00
900.62

8.00
5
28
14.00
15,680.00
20,258.10

$
$
$

Minor League Baseball League: Reading Phillies


Cost /season
Sponsor entertainment
Billboard

$8,000
$20,000

Total Cost

$28,000

Entertainment CPM
Billboard CPM
Average CPM

6,855.30
15,972.85
11,414.07

YEAR 4-5 WEST


Minor League Baseball League: Local Western Team similar to Reading Phillies
Cost /season
Sponsor entertainment
Billboard

$8,000
$20,000

Total Cost

$28,000

Entertainment CPM
Billboard CPM
Average CPM

6,855.30
15,972.85
11,414.07

Children's Health Walk-A-Thons


Example used for estimations: Body Sculp Walk-A-Thon, Brooklyn, NY
Cost/day
Sponsor Cost
$5,000
Flat Booth Cost
included in sponsor cost
Street Team Wage (Assume 6 hours travel and
work time/day at $14/hour)
$84
Free pop give-a-way
$232
Total Event Cost
$5,232

YEARS 4-5 WEST


Children's Health Walk-A-Thons
Example used for estimations: Body Sculp Walk-A-Thon, Brooklyn, NY
Cost/day
Sponsor Cost
$5,000

Flat Booth Cost


Street Team Wage (Assume 6 hours travel and
work time/day at $14/hour)
Free pop give-a-way
Total Event Cost

$84
$232
$5,316

FAIRS & FESTIVALS


YEARS 1-3

Family Oriented
Example used for estimations: New Jersey State Fair
Cost/day
Sponsor Cost
Flat Booth Cost
Street Team Wage (assume an average 10
hours travel and work/day at $14/hour)
FREE Popsicle Costs (Year 1-3)

$500
$400
$140
$168

YEARS 4-5 WEST

Family Oriented

Example used for estimations: New Jersey State Fair


Cost/day
Sponsor Cost
Flat Booth Cost

$500
$400

Street Team Wage (assume an average 10


hours travel and work/day at $14/hour)
FREE Popsicle Costs (Year 1-3)

$140
$168

REGIONAL RADIO ADS


radio station
listeners/week
Targeted Listeners*
Target Segment Size

wbzo fm 103.1
500,000.00
113,911.11
3,927,591.18
region

NY

60 second unit
Cost
Impressions
Awareness
CPM

608.00
113,911.11
0.0073
5.34

30 second unit
Cost
Impressions
Awareness
CPM

304.00
56,955.56
0.0036
2.67

Run six 30 sec ads/year


Cost
Awareness

1,824.00
0.0218

Total ad cost
total ad awareness

6,810.00
16.91%
place ads in these stations

Total Impressions

2657318.4

REGIONAL MAGAZINE ADS

Magazine Name
Circulation
Targeted Circulation*
Target Segment Size

NY Metro Parents

Full Page Ad
Cost

12x

68,000.00
62,108.48
3,927,591.18

34.00

Impressions

62,108.48

Awareness
CPM

0.0040
0.55

1/4 Page Ad
Cost
Impressions
Awareness
CPM

21.00
38,361.12
0.0024
0.34

1/2 Page Ad
Cost
Impressions
Awareness
CPM

0.00
0.0000
0.00

1/3 Page Ad
Cost
Impressions
Awareness
CPM

0.00
0.0000
0.00

PR LARGE MAGAZINES
Year 1-5 NE
Magazine Name
Circulation
Targeted Circulation*

Parents
2,200,000.00
329,840.61

Target Segment Size

3,927,591.18

Average Targeted Circulation

214,839.22

Impressions (assume we send press kit to 50


magazines and are written up in one)
Awareness
Awareness Percentage
Year 1 Press Kit Distribution (NE)

53,709.80
13,427.45
0.34%
Awareness

Spring- Product Introduction

0.34%

Winter- Stress cold-weather benefits


Total Awareness

0.34%
0.68%

Year 4-5 West


Magazine Name
Circulation
Targeted Circulation**
Target Segment Size

Parents
2,200,000.00
492,464.62
5,864,043.64

Average Targeted Circulation

320,763.16

Impressions
Awareness
Awareness Percentage

Year 4 Press Kit Distribution (WEST)


Spring- Product Introduction

80,190.79
20,047.70
0.34%

Awareness
0.34%

Winter- Stress cold-weather benefits


Total Awareness

0.34%
0.68%

COSTS
Year 1
PR Large Magazines
Number of Pages/kit
Cost per page (fedexkinkos.com)
Production cost per kit
Shipping cost per kit
Total cost per kit
Number of Press Kits

$
$
$

3
0.53
1.59
0.35
1.94
50

Number of times per year


Total Costs
CPM
Year 4 NORTHEAST
PR Large Magazines
Number of Pages/kit
Cost per page (fedexkinkos.com)
Production cost per kit
Shipping cost per kit
Total cost per kit
Number of Press Kits
Number of times per year
Total Costs
CPM
Year 4 WEST
PR Large Magazines
Number of Pages/kit
Cost per page (fedexkinkos.com)
Production cost per kit
Shipping cost per kit
Total cost per kit
Number of Press Kits
Number of times per year
Total Costs
CPM

Press Kit Breakdown


Company Overview
Key Benefits and why we're unique
CSR initiative

$
$

$
$
$

$
$

$
$
$

$
$

2
193.60
0.45057

3
0.53
1.59
0.35
1.94
50
1
96.80
0.45057

3
0.53
1.59
0.35
1.94
50
2
193.60
0.30178

Page 1
Page 2
Page 3

PR SMALL MAGAZINE
Magazine Name
Circulation
Targeted Circulation
Target Segment Size

Family Circle New York Metro


189,800.00
58,659.24
3,927,591.18

Average Targeted Circulation

39,006.77

Impressions (Assume we send this to 50


magazines and we are written up in two)

19,503.39

Awareness
Awareness Percentage
Year 1 Press Kit Distribution (NE)

4,875.85
0.12%
Awareness

Spring- Product Introduction

0.12%

Winter- Stress cold-weather benefits


Total Awareness

0.12%
0.25%

Year 4-5 West


Magazine Name*
Circulation
Targeted Circulation
Target Segment Size

Family Circle New York Metro


283,378.65
87,580.49
5,864,043.64

Average Targeted Circulation

58,238.60

Impressions (Assume we send press kit to 50


magazines and we are written up in two)
Awareness
Awareness Percentage

29,119.30
7,279.82
0.12%

Year 4 Press Kit Distribution (WEST)


Spring- Product Introduction

Awareness
0.12%

Winter- Stress cold-weather benefits


Total Awareness

Year 1
PR Small Magazines
Number of Pages/kit
Cost per page (fedexkinkos.com)
Production cost per kit
Shipping cost per kit
Total cost per kit
Number of Press Kits

0.12%
0.25%

$
$
$

3
0.53
1.59
0.35
1.94
50

Number of times per year


Total Costs
CPM
Year 4 NORTH EAST
PR Small Magazines
Number of Pages/kit
Cost per page (fedexkinkos.com)
Production cost per kit
Shipping cost per kit
Total cost per kit
Number of Press Kits
Number of times per year
Total Costs
CPM
Year 4 WEST
PR Small Magazines
Number of Pages/kit
Cost per page (fedexkinkos.com)
Production cost per kit
Shipping cost per kit
Total cost per kit
Number of Press Kits
Number of times per year
Total Costs
CPM

Press Kit Breakdown


Company Overview
Key Benefits and why we're unique
CSR initiative

$
$

$
$
$

$
$

$
$
$

$
$

2
193.60
2.48

3
0.53
1.59
0.35
1.94
50
1
96.80
2.48

3
0.53
1.59
0.35
1.94
50
2
193.60
1.66

Page 1
Page 2
Page 3

PR-Pediatricians/Dentists
Year 1 (Northeast)
# of Pediatricians/Dentist offices sent to
% that we expect to accept
# Offices that display our info
# of magnets annually to each office
total # of magnets to market
Awareness %

200
40%
80
110
8,800
0.22%

Cost per magnet


Number of Magnets
Subtotal
Cost of Shipping per office
Total cost of shipping
TOTAL COST
CPM

$
$
$
$
$
$

Year 4 (Northeast)
# of Pediatricians/Dentist offices sent to
% that we expect to accept
# Offices that display our info
# of magnets annually to each office
total # of magnets to market
Awareness %
Cost per magnet
Number of Magnets
Subtotal
Cost of Shipping per office
Total cost of shipping
TOTAL COST
CPM

200
40%
80
110
8,800
0.22%
$
$
$
$
$
$

Year 4 (WEST)
# of Pediatricians/Dentist offices sent to
% that we expect to accept
# Offices that display our info
# of magnets annually to each office
total # of magnets to market
Awareness %
Cost per magnet
Number of Magnets
Subtotal
Cost of Shipping per office
Total cost of shipping
TOTAL COST
CPM

0.16
22,000
3,520.00
4.95
990.00
4,510.00
512.50

0.16
22,000
3,520.00
4.95
990.00
4,510.00
512.50

299
40%
119
110
13,139
0.22%
$
$
$
$
$
$

0.16
32,847
3,520.00
4.95
1,478.11
4,998.11
380.41

Yearly Attendance on days we are


present

Daily Attendance
4,500.00
3,000.00
8,500.00
1,000.00

126,000.00
84,000.00
238,000.00
28,000.00
Total Impressions
Divide by 4
Awareness
CPM

Yearly Attendance on days we are


present

Daily Attendance
4,500.00
3,000.00
8,500.00
1,000.00

126,000.00
84,000.00
238,000.00
28,000.00
119,000.00
Total People in Market >>
Divide by 4
Awareness
CPM

Average Game Attendance


6,678

Target Market Attendance

% that will see our logo


Billboards/ game
Impressions
Awareness
Awareness %

Average Game Attendance


6,678

Target Market Attendance


% that will see our logo
Billboards/ game
Impressions
Awareness
Awareness %

Events/ year

Total Cost/ year


8

$40,000

8
8
8

$672
$1,855
$42,527

Sponsorship CPM
Booth CPM
Pop CPM
Average CPM

3859.57
3859.57
227.23
2648.79

th Walk-A-Thons
Events/ year

Total Cost/ year


12

$60,000

12
12
12

$1,008
$2,782
$63,790

Sponsorship CPM
Booth CPM
Pop CPM
Average CPM

3859.57
3859.57
243.81
2654.32

Family Oriented Fairs and Festivals


Cost/ event

Avg. Days/event

Events/ year

$3,000

6
6

$840
$1,006
$4,846

8
8

Total Event Cost

Sponsor CPM
Booth CMP
Pop CPM
Average CPM

Family Oriented Fairs and Festivals

Cost/ event

Avg. Days/event
6

Events/ year
$3,000

12

6
6

$840
$1,006
$4,846

Total Event Cost

12
12
12
Sponsor CPM
Booth CMP
Pop CPM
Average CPM

radio station
listeners/week
Targeted Listeners*
Target Segment Size
region

WLIS Am 1420
38,000.00
8,657.24
3,927,591.18
CT

60 second unit
Cost
Impressions
Awareness
CPM

84.00
8,657.24
0.0006
9.70

30 second unit
Cost
Impressions
Awareness
CPM

42.00
4,328.62
0.0003
4.85

Run six 30 sec ads/year


Cost
Awareness

Average CPM

252.00
0.0017

3.68

We are running six 30 second ads per radio station per yea

Magazine Name
Circulation
Targeted Circulation*
Target Segment Size

Connecticut Family
60,000.00
47,463.03
3,927,591.18

Full Page Ad
Cost

1,915.00

Impressions

47,463.03

Awareness
CPM

0.0030
40.35

2/3 Page Ad
Cost
Impressions
Awareness
CPM

1,430.00
35,442.37
0.0023
30.13

1/2 Page Ad
Cost
Impressions
Awareness
CPM

1,110.00
27,511.21
0.0018
23.39

1/3 Page Ad
Cost
Impressions
Awareness
CPM

790.00
19,580.05
0.0012
16.64

Magazine Name
Circulation
Targeted Circulation*

Parenting
2,150,000.00
334,404.99

Target Segment Size

Year 2 Press Kit Distribution (NE)

3,927,591.18

Awareness

Winter- Stress cold-weather benefits

0.34%

Total Awareness

0.34%

Magazine Name
Circulation
Targeted Circulation**
Target Segment Size

Parenting

Year 5 Press Kit Distribution (WEST)


Spring- Product Introduction

Awareness

2,150,000.00
499,279.43
5,864,043.64

0.34%

Winter- Stress cold-weather benefits


Total Awareness

Year 2
PR Large Magazines
Number of Pages/kit
Cost per page (fedexkinkos.com)
Production cost per kit
Shipping cost per kit
Total cost per kit
Number of Press Kits

0.34%
0.68%

$
$
$

3
0.53
1.59
0.35
1.94
50

Number of times per year


Total Costs
CPM
Year 5 NORTHEAST
PR Large Magazines
Number of Pages/kit
Cost per page (fedexkinkos.com)
Production cost per kit
Shipping cost per kit
Total cost per kit
Number of Press Kits
Number of times per year
Total Costs
CPM
Year 5 WEST
PR Large Magazines
Number of Pages/kit
Cost per page (fedexkinkos.com)
Production cost per kit
Shipping cost per kit
Total cost per kit
Number of Press Kits
Number of times per year
Total Costs
CPM

Magazine Name
Circulation
Targeted Circulation
Target Segment Size

$
$

$
$
$

$
$

$
$
$

$
$

1
96.80
0.45057

3
0.53
1.59
0.35
1.94
50
2
193.60
0.45057

3
0.53
1.59
0.35
1.94
50
2
193.60
0.30178

Family Circle Philadelphia


193,700.00
59,911.47
3,927,591.18

Year 2 Press Kit Distribution (NE)

Awareness

Winter- Stress cold-weather benefits

0.12%

Total Awareness

0.12%

Magazine Name*
Circulation
Targeted Circulation
Target Segment Size

Family Circle Philadelphia


289,201.50
89,450.11
5,864,043.64

Year 5 Press Kit Distribution (WEST)


Spring- Product Introduction

Awareness
0.12%

Winter- Stress cold-weather benefits


Total Awareness

Year 2
PR Small Magazines
Number of Pages/kit
Cost per page (fedexkinkos.com)
Production cost per kit
Shipping cost per kit
Total cost per kit
Number of Press Kits

0.12%
0.25%

$
$
$

3
0.53
1.59
0.35
1.94
50

Number of times per year


Total Costs
CPM
Year 5 NORTHEAST
PR Small Magazines
Number of Pages/kit
Cost per page (fedexkinkos.com)
Production cost per kit
Shipping cost per kit
Total cost per kit
Number of Press Kits
Number of times per year
Total Costs
CPM
Year 5 WEST
PR Small Magazines
Number of Pages/kit
Cost per page (fedexkinkos.com)
Production cost per kit
Shipping cost per kit
Total cost per kit
Number of Press Kits
Number of times per year
Total Costs
CPM

$
$

$
$
$

$
$

$
$
$

$
$

1
96.80
2.48

3
0.53
1.59
0.35
1.94
50
2
193.60
2.48

3
0.53
1.59
0.35
1.94
50
2
193.60
1.66

Year 2 (Northeast)
# of Pediatricians/Dentist offices sent
to
% that we expect to accept
# Offices that display our info

200
40%
80

# of magnets annually to each office


total # of magnets to market
Awareness %

110
8,800
0.22%

Cost per magnet


Number of Magnets
Subtotal
Cost of Shipping per office
Total cost of shipping
TOTAL COST
CPM

$
$
$
$
$
$

Year 5 (Northeast)
# of Pediatricians/Dentist offices sent to
% that we expect to accept
# Offices that display our info
# of magnets annually to each office
total # of magnets to market
Awareness %
Cost per magnet
Number of Magnets
Subtotal
Cost of Shipping per office
Total cost of shipping
TOTAL COST
CPM

$
$
$
$
$
$

Year 5 (WEST)
# of Pediatricians/Dentist offices sent to
% that we expect to accept
# Offices that display our info
# of magnets annually to each office
total # of magnets to market
Awareness %
Cost per magnet
Number of Magnets
Subtotal
Cost of Shipping per office
Total cost of shipping
TOTAL COST
CPM

$
$
$
$
$
$

0.16
22,000
3,520.00
4.95
990.00
4,510.00
512.50

200
40%
80
110
8,800
0.22%
0.16
22,000
3,520.00
4.95
990.00
4,510.00
512.50

299
40%
119
110
13,139
0.22%
0.16
32,847
3,520.00
4.95
1,478.11
4,998.11
380.41

*Attendees in our target market


50,400.00
33,600.00
95,200.00
11,200.00
190,400.00
47,600.00
1.21%
85.20

People in our market (40%)


50,400.00
33,600.00
95,200.00
11,200.00
47,600.00
238,000.00
59,500.00
1.01%
85.12

Attendance in our target market*


1,252.13
Sponsor between inning entertainment
1,166.98

0.75
0
875.235375
218.8088438
5.57107E-05

Attendance in our target market*


1,252.13
Sponsor between inning entertainment
1,166.98
0.75
0
875.235375
218.8088438
3.73136E-05

Average Daily Attendance


2,000

Target Market Attendance


% that will see our logo
Impressions
Awareness
Awareness %

Average Daily Attendance


2,000

Target Market Attendance

% that will see our logo


Impressions
Awareness
Awareness %

Total Cost/ year


$24,000

$6,720
8,044.93
$38,765
373.20
298.56
229.60
300.45

Total Cost/ year


$36,000

cond ads per radio station per year

$10,080
20,112.33
$66,192
375.82
300.65
231.21
302.56

Target Market
3,927,591.18

Target Market
5,864,043.64

Percentage of people who buy all natural foods

Target Segment Size


0.93

Billboard
1,252.13

3,927,591.18

0.9
2
2253.825 Totals
563.45625
0.000143461

Percentage of people who buy all natural foods

782.2650938
0.000199172

Target Segment Size


0.93

5,864,043.64

Billboard
1,252.13
0.9
2
2253.825 Totals
563.45625
0.000143461

*Attendance with kids ages 3-13

Percentage of people who buy all natural


foods
1,390.00
0.93

Sponsorship Awareness

*Attendance in our target market

782.2650938
0.000180775

Booth Awareness
1,295.48

1,295.48

0.85
1101.158
275.2895
7.00912E-05

0.9
1165.932
291.483
7.42142E-05

Percentage of people who buy all natural


foods
1,390.00
0.93

Sponsorship Awareness

Booth Awareness
1,295.48

1,295.48

0.85

0.9

1101.158
275.2895
7.00912E-05

1165.932
291.483
7.42142E-05

Average Daily Attendance


23,000

Target Market Attendance


% that will see our logo
Impressions
Awareness
Awareness %

Average Daily Attendance

23,000
Sponsorship Awareness
Target Market Attendance

% that will see our logo


Impressions
Awareness
Awareness %

wctk fm 99.5

radio station
listeners/week
Targeted Listeners*
Target Segment Size

300,000.00
68,346.67
3,927,591.18
region

MA

60 second unit
Cost
Impressions
Awareness
CPM

301.50
68,346.67
0.0044
4.41

30 second unit
Cost
Impressions
Awareness
CPM

150.75
34,173.33
0.0022
2.21

Run six 30 sec ads/year


Cost
Awareness

904.50
0.0131

Magazine Name
Circulation
Targeted Circulation*
Target Segment Size

Long Island Parenting News


57,000.00
3,927,591.18

Full Page Ad
Cost

2,300.00

Impressions

0.00

Awareness
CPM

0.0000
#DIV/0!

2/3 Page Ad
Cost
Impressions
Awareness
CPM

0.00
0.0000
#DIV/0!

1/2 Page Ad
Cost
Impressions
Awareness
CPM

0.00
0.0000
#DIV/0!

1/3 Page Ad
Cost
Impressions
Awareness
CPM

Magazine Name
Circulation
Targeted Circulation*

0.00
0.0000
#DIV/0!

Family Fun
2,100,000.00
278,962.65

Target Segment Size

Year 3 Press Kit Distribution (NE)

3,927,591.18

Awareness

Winter- Stress cold-weather benefits

0.34%

Total Awareness

0.34%

Magazine Name
Circulation
Targeted Circulation**
Target Segment Size

Year 3
PR Large Magazines
Number of Pages/kit
Cost per page (fedexkinkos.com)
Production cost per kit
Shipping cost per kit
Total cost per kit
Number of Press Kits

Family Fun
2,100,000.00
416,501.90
5,864,043.64

$
$
$

3
0.53
1.59
0.35
1.94
50

Number of times per year


Total Costs
CPM

Magazine Name
Circulation
Targeted Circulation
Target Segment Size

$
$

1
96.80
0.45057

Western New York Family


25,000.00
19,572.00
3,927,591.18

Year 3 Press Kit Distribution (NE)

Awareness

Winter- Stress cold-weather benefits

0.12%

Total Awareness

0.12%

Magazine Name*
Circulation
Targeted Circulation
Target Segment Size

Year 3
PR Small Magazines
Number of Pages/kit
Cost per page (fedexkinkos.com)
Production cost per kit
Shipping cost per kit
Total cost per kit
Number of Press Kits

Western New York Family


34,787.79
29,221.74
5,864,043.64

$
$
$

3
0.53
1.59
0.35
1.94
50

Number of times per year


Total Costs
CPM

$
$

1
96.80
2.48

Year 3 (Northeast)
# of Pediatricians/Dentist offices sent to
% that we expect to accept
# Offices that display our info
# of magnets annually to each office
total # of magnets to market
Awareness %

200
40%
80
110
8,800
0.22%

Cost per magnet


Number of Magnets
Subtotal
Cost of Shipping per office
Total cost of shipping
TOTAL COST
CPM

$
$
$
$
$
$

0.16
22,000
3,520.00
4.95
990.00
4,510.00
512.50

*Assume 40% of attendees are in our target market. This is a slightly higher percentage than other events because we can a
food for their children. Farmer's markets also take place during the daytime on weekdays, so we assumed a large percentag

Games/Season

Total Awareness
70
70

Games/Season

54758.55656
1.39%

Total Awareness
70
70

54758.55656
1.27%

Target Segment Size


3,927,591.18
Popsicle Giveaway Awareness
1,390.00
0.75
1042.5 Totals
1042.5
1,295.48

Target Segment Size


5,864,043.64
Popsicle Giveaway Awareness
1,295.48

Events
1609.2725
1295.480144

8
8

0.75
971.61 Totals
971.61
0.000165689

Events
1538.3825
0.000309995

12
12

Percentage of people who buy all


natural
Attendance with kids
agesfood
3-13
Target Segment Size
1,437.50
0.93
3,927,591.18
Sponsorship Awareness
Booth Awareness
1,339.75
0.7
937.825
234.45625
5.96947E-05

1,339.75

Popsicle Giveaway Awareness


1,339.75

0.75
1004.8125
251.203125
6.39586E-05

0.5625
753.609375
753.609375
0.000191876

Percentage of people who buy all


natural
Attendance with kids
agesfood
3-13

1,427.50

0.93
Booth Awareness

1,330.43

Target Segment Size

5,864,043.64

Popsicle Giveaway Awareness


1,330.43
1,330.43

0.7
931.301
232.82525
5.92794E-05

0.75
997.8225
249.455625
6.35136E-05

radio station
listeners/week
Targeted Listeners*
Target Segment Size
region

0.5625
748.366875
748.366875
0.00012762

wbz am 1030
1,000,000.00
227,822.22
3,927,591.18
MA

60 second unit
Cost
Impressions
Awareness
CPM

283.00
227,822.22
0.0145
1.24

30 second unit
Cost
Impressions
Awareness
CPM

141.50
113,911.11
0.0073
0.62

Run six 30 sec ads/year


Cost
Awareness

849.00
0.0435

Estimates (Based
on Connecticut
Family)
60,000.00
47,463.03
3,927,591.18

Magazine Name
Circulation
Targeted Circulation*
Target Segment Size

1,915.00

Full Page Ad
Cost

47,463.03

Impressions

0.0030
40.35

Awareness
CPM

1,430.00
35,442.37
0.0023
30.13

1/4 Page Ad
Cost
Impressions
Awareness
CPM

1,110.00
27,511.21
0.0018
23.39

1/2 Page Ad
Cost
Impressions
Awareness
CPM

790.00
19,580.05
0.0012
16.64

1/3 Page Ad
Cost
Impressions
Awareness
CPM

Magazine Name
Circulation
Targeted Circulation*

Shape
1,650,000.00
78,760.46

Target Segment Size

Year 4 Press Kit Distribution (NE)

3,927,591.18

Awareness

Winter- Stress cold-weather benefits

0.34%

Total Awareness

0.34%

Magazine Name
Circulation
Targeted Circulation**
Target Segment Size

Shape
1,650,000.00
117,592.37
5,864,043.64

Magazine Name
Circulation
Targeted Circulation
Target Segment Size

Bay State Parent


42,000.00
28,183.68
3,927,591.18

Year 4 Press Kit Distribution (NE)

Awareness

Winter- Stress cold-weather benefits

0.12%

Total Awareness

0.12%

Magazine Name*
Circulation
Targeted Circulation
Target Segment Size

Bay State Parent


62,707.60
42,079.31
5,864,043.64

(Priority mail, flat rate box)

entage than other events because we can assume all attendees buy all natural
weekdays, so we assumed a large percentage would be stay-at-home mothers.

Assumptions
Attendees
% that are families

Reasoning
6,678
because minor league baseball is primarily
75% family focused

% of each family that is a


primary caregiver
People in target market

25% Assume 2 adults and 2 children per family


1252.125

Assumptions
Ages of kids in race
Kids present
Parents that have 1 kid in race

Avg. Days/Event

Total Awareness
1
1

Parents that have 2 kids in race


Number of parents with 1 kid
12874.18 Number of parents with 2 kids
0.26% Total parents in target market

Avg. Days/Event

Total Awareness
1
1

Totals

18460.59
0.37%

Avg. Days/Event

Events
1239.26875
0.000315529

8
8

6
6

Totals

Avg. Days/Event

Events
1230.64775
0.000250413

12
12

radio station
listeners/week
Targeted Listeners*
Target Segment Size
region

6
6

wbwb fm 101.1
600,000.00
136,693.33
3,927,591.18
PA

60 second unit
Cost
Impressions
Awareness
CPM

268.00
136,693.33
0.0087
1.96

30 second unit
Cost
Impressions
Awareness
CPM

134.00
68,346.67
0.0044
0.98

Run six 30 sec ads/year


Cost
Awareness

804.00
0.0261

The Boston Parent's Paper


200,000.00
121,558.90
3,927,591.18

Magazine Name
Circulation
Targeted Circulation*
Target Segment Size

12x
34.00

Full Page Ad
Cost

121,558.90

Impressions

0.0077
0.28

Awareness
CPM

21.00
75,080.49
0.0048
0.17

2/3 Page Ad
Cost
Impressions
Awareness
CPM

0.00
0.0000
0.00

1/2 Page Ad
Cost
Impressions
Awareness
CPM

0.00
0.0000
0.00

1/3 Page Ad
Cost
Impressions
Awareness
CPM

Magazine Name
Circulation
Targeted Circulation*

Health Magazine
1,350,000.00
52,227.39

Target Segment Size

Year 5 Press Kit Distribution (NE)

3,927,591.18

Awareness

Spring- Product Introduction

0.34%

Winter- Stress cold-weather benefits


Total Awareness

0.34%
0.68%

Magazine Name
Circulation
Targeted Circulation**
Target Segment Size

Health Magazine
1,350,000.00
77,977.48
5,864,043.64

Magazine Name
Circulation
Targeted Circulation
Target Segment Size

Family Circle Boston


93,100.00
28,707.46
3,927,591.18

Year 5 Press Kit Distribution (NE)

Awareness

Spring- Product Introduction

0.12%

Winter- Stress cold-weather benefits


Total Awareness

0.12%
0.25%

Magazine Name*
Circulation
Targeted Circulation
Target Segment Size

Family Circle Boston


139,001.86
42,861.34
5,864,043.64

Reasoning
3-13
2000
39% Based on statistical probability
61% Based on statistical probability
780
610
1390

Total Awareness
59484.9
1.51%

Assumptions

Daily Attendance

Percentage of groups that are families

% of each family that is a primary caregiver


Total parents in target market

23,000

25%

25%
1437.5

Total Awareness
88606.638
1.80%

radio station
listeners/week
Targeted Listeners*
Target Segment Size
region

wxtu fm 92.5
400,000.00
91,128.89
3,927,591.18
PA

60 second unit
Cost
Impressions
Awareness
CPM

273.50
91,128.89
0.0058
3.00

30 second unit
Cost
Impressions
Awareness
CPM

136.75
45,564.44
0.0029
1.50

Run six 30 sec ads/year


Cost
Awareness

820.50
0.0174

Central Penn
Parent
Estimate (Based on Bay State Parent)
38,000.00
42,000.00
28,183.68
3,927,591.18
3,927,591.18

12x
920.00
#DIV/0!

28,183.68

#DIV/0!
#DIV/0!

0.0018
32.64

#DIV/0!
#DIV/0!
#DIV/0!

720.00
22,056.79
0.0014
25.55

#DIV/0!
#DIV/0!
#DIV/0!

585.00
17,921.14
0.0011
20.76

#DIV/0!
#DIV/0!
#DIV/0!

*Each target circulation number is derived from each individual magazine's demographic breakdown.
percentage of readers with children ages 3-13 was determined. That number was then multiplied by
number of readers who also buy all natural foods for their children and by 19.95% to account for only th
Northeast .

*Each target circulation number is derived from each individual magazine's demographic breakdown.
percentage of readers with children ages 3-13 was determined. That number was then multiplied by
number of readers who also buy all natural foods for their children and by 19.95% to account for only th
Northeast .

**Each target circulation number is derived from each individual magazine's demographic breakdown.
percentage of readers with children ages 3-13 was determined. That number was then multiplied by
number of readers who also buy all natural foods for their children and by 29.79% to account for only th
West .

*Each target circulation number is derived from each individual magazine's demographic breakdown.
percentage of readers with children ages 3-13 was determined. That number was then multiplied by
number of readers who also buy all natural foods for their children.

**Assume similar magazines with similar circulation in the

*Each target circulation number is derived from each individual magazine's demographic breakdown.
percentage of readers with children ages 3-13 was determined. That number was then multiplied by
number of readers who also buy all natural foods for their children and multiplied by 1.49% to account
between the Northeast and West.

Reasoning

Attendance based on average


of attendances of various fairs
throughout the Northeast
Taken from a study conducted
by the Institute for Policy &
Social Research, University of
Kansas. (CITE)
Assume 2 adults and 2 kids per
family

radio station
listeners/week
Targeted Listeners*
Target Segment Size
region

wltw fm 106.7
500,000.00
113,911.11
3,927,591.18
NJ

60 second unit
Cost
Impressions
Awareness
CPM

226.00
113,911.11
0.0073
1.98

30 second unit
Cost
Impressions
Awareness
CPM

113.00
56,955.56
0.0036
0.99

Run six 30 sec ads/year


Cost
Awareness

678.00
0.0218

Magazine Name
Circulation
Targeted Circulation*
Target Segment Size

Western New York Family

Full Page Ad
Cost

(Back Cover)

Impressions
Awareness
CPM
2/3 Page Ad
Cost
Impressions
Awareness
CPM
1/2 Page Ad
Cost
Impressions
Awareness
CPM
1/3 Page Ad
Cost
Impressions
Awareness
CPM

25,000.00
19,572.00
3,927,591.18

Magazine
Name
Circulation
Targeted Circulation*
Target Segment Size

400.00

Full Page Ad
Cost

19,572.00

Impressions

0.0012
20.44

Awareness
CPM

275.00
13,455.75
0.0009
14.05

2/3 Page Ad
Cost
Impressions
Awareness
CPM

250.00
12,232.50
0.0008
12.77

1/2 Page Ad
Cost
Impressions
Awareness
CPM

0.00
0.0000
0.00

1/3 Page Ad
Cost
Impressions
Awareness
CPM

ch individual magazine's demographic breakdown. From these breakdowns, the


s determined. That number was then multiplied by 93% to account for only the
their children and by 19.95% to account for only the population of readers in the
Northeast .

ch individual magazine's demographic breakdown. From these breakdowns, the


s determined. That number was then multiplied by 93% to account for only the
their children and by 19.95% to account for only the population of readers in the
Northeast .

ach individual magazine's demographic breakdown. From these breakdowns, the


s determined. That number was then multiplied by 93% to account for only the
their children and by 29.79% to account for only the population of readers in the
West .

ch individual magazine's demographic breakdown. From these breakdowns, the


s determined. That number was then multiplied by 93% to account for only the
who also buy all natural foods for their children.

ch individual magazine's demographic breakdown. From these breakdowns, the


s determined. That number was then multiplied by 93% to account for only the
r their children and multiplied by 1.49% to account for the population difference
tween the Northeast and West.

radio station
listeners/week
Targeted Listeners*
Target Segment Size
region

wkxw fm 101.5
550,000.00
125,302.22
3,927,591.18
NJ

60 second unit
Cost
Impressions
Awareness
CPM

226.00
125,302.22
0.0080
1.80

30 second unit
Cost
Impressions
Awareness
CPM

113.00
62,651.11
0.0040
0.90

Run six 30 sec ads/year


Cost
Awareness

678.00
0.0239

*Targeted listeners are based


radio stations being moth
conversations with radio st
children between the ages of 3

Bay State Parent


42,000.00
28,183.68
3,927,591.18

12x

Magazine Name
Circulation
Targeted Circulation*
Target Segment Size

Family Circle
Boston
93,100.00
28,707.46
3,927,591.18

920.00

Full Page Ad
Cost

123.89

28,183.68

Impressions

28,707.46

0.0018
32.64
2/3 Page Ad

Awareness
CPM

0.0018
4.32

720.00
22,056.79
0.0014
25.55

2/3 Page Ad
Cost
Impressions
Awareness
CPM

114.45
26,520.05
0.0017
3.99

585.00
17,921.14
0.0011
20.76

1/2 Page Ad
Cost
Impressions
Awareness
CPM

0.00
0.0000
0.00

0.00
0.0000
0.00

1/3 Page Ad
Cost
Impressions
Awareness
CPM

0.00
0.0000
0.00

1/2 Page Ad

1/3 Page Ad

Targeted listeners are based on an average 40% of listeners to our selected


radio stations being mothers. Listener information is based on phone
conversations with radio station managers. 61% of these mothers have
dren between the ages of 3-13, and 93% of mothers buy all natural food for
their children.

Magazine Name
Circulation
Targeted Circulation*
Target Segment Size

Family Circle
Hartford/New
Haven
42,400.00
13,114.33
3,927,591.18

Magazine Name
Circulation
Targeted Circulation*
Target Segment Size

Full Page Ad
Cost

123.89

Full Page Ad
Cost

Impressions

13,114.33

Impressions

Awareness
CPM
2/3 Page Ad
Cost
Impressions
Awareness
CPM

0.0008
9.45

114.45
12,115.06
0.0008
8.73

Awareness
CPM
2/3 Page Ad
Cost
Impressions
Awareness
CPM

1/2 Page Ad
Cost
Impressions
Awareness
CPM

1/2 Page Ad
Cost
Impressions
Awareness
CPM

1/3 Page Ad
Cost
Impressions
Awareness
CPM

1/3 Page Ad
Cost
Impressions
Awareness
CPM

Family Circle
New York Metro
189,800.00
58,659.24
3,927,591.18

Magazine Name
Circulation
Targeted Circulation*
Target Segment Size

Family Circle
Philadelphia
193,700.00
59,911.47
3,927,591.18

123.89

Full Page Ad
Cost

123.89

58,659.24

Impressions

59,911.47

0.0037
2.11

114.45
54,189.60
0.0034
1.95

Awareness
CPM
2/3 Page Ad
Cost
Impressions
Awareness
CPM
1/2 Page Ad
Cost
Impressions
Awareness
CPM
1/3 Page Ad
Cost
Impressions
Awareness
CPM

0.0038
2.07

114.45
55,346.42
0.0035
1.91

Magazine Name
Circulation
Targeted Circulation*
Target Segment Size

Family Circle
Pittsburg
79,900.00
24,713.09
3,927,591.18

Full Page Ad
Cost

123.89

Impressions

24,713.09

Awareness
CPM
2/3 Page Ad
Cost
Impressions
Awareness
CPM
1/2 Page Ad
Cost
Impressions
Awareness
CPM
1/3 Page Ad
Cost
Impressions
Awareness
CPM

0.0016
5.01

114.45
22,830.04
0.0015
4.63

*Each target circulation number is derived from the individu


magazine's demographic breakdown. From these breakdown
the percentage of readers with children ages 3-13 was
determined. That number was then multiplied by 93% to
account for only the number of readers who also buy all natu
foods for their children.

Total Cost/month
Total
Impressions/month
Total
Awareness/month:
Average CPM

6,757.45
539,638.39
0.034349
15.85003713

r is derived from the individual


down. From these breakdowns,
with children ages 3-13 was
as then multiplied by 93% to
readers who also buy all natural
eir children.

Total cost/ year


Total
Impressions/year
Total Awareness/
year

81,089.40
6,475,660.70
41.22%

YEAR 1
Promotion Activities
PULL
Magazine
Radio
Walk--a-thons
Fairs & Festivals
Farmer's Markets
Minor League Baseball Games
PR for Large Magazines
PR for Small Magazines
PR for Pediatrician/Dentist Offices
CSR - Vitamin Angel

January

February

March

April

May

June

January

February

March

April

May

June

PUSH
Snaxpo
FNCE
Sweets & Snacks Expo
Natural Products Expo East

YEAR 2
Promotion Activities
PULL
Magazine
Radio
Walk--a-thons
Fairs & Festivals
Farmer's Markets
Minor League Baseball Games
PR for Large Magazines
PR for Small Magazines
PR for Pediatrician/Dentist Offices
CSR - Vitamin Angel
PUSH
Snaxpo
FNCE
Sweets & Snacks Expo
Natural Products Expo East

YEAR 3
Promotion Activities
PULL
Magazine
Radio
Walk--a-thons
Fairs & Festivals
Farmer's Markets
Minor League Baseball Games
PR for Large Magazines
PR for Small Magazines
PR for Pediatrician/Dentist Offices
CSR - Vitamin Angel

January

February

March

April

May

June

January

February

March

April

May

June

PUSH
Snaxpo
FNCE
Sweets & Snacks Expo
Natural Products Expo East

YEAR 4
Promotion Activities
PULL (Northeast)
Magazine
Radio
Walk--a-thons
Fairs & Festivals
Farmer's Markets
Minor League Baseball Games
PR for Large Magazines
PR for Small Magazines
PR for Pediatrician/Dentist Offices
CSR - Vitamin Angel

PULL (West)
Magazine
Radio
Walk--a-thons
Fairs & Festivals
Farmer's Markets
Minor League Baseball Games
PR for Large Magazines
PR for Small Magazines
PR for Pediatrician/Dentist Offices
CSR - Vitamin Angel

PUSH
Snaxpo
FNCE
Sweets & Snacks Expo
Natural Products Expo East

YEAR 5
Promotion Activities
PULL (Northeast)
Magazine
Radio
Walk--a-thons
Fairs & Festivals
Farmer's Markets
Minor League Baseball Games
PR for Large Magazines
PR for Small Magazines
PR for Pediatrician/Dentist Offices

January

February

March

April

May

June

CSR - Vitamin Angel

PULL (West)
Magazine
Radio
Walk--a-thons
Fairs & Festivals
Farmer's Markets
Minor League Baseball Games
PR for Large Magazines
PR for Small Magazines
PR for Pediatrician/Dentist Offices
CSR - Vitamin Angel

PUSH
Snaxpo
FNCE
Sweets & Snacks Expo
Natural Products Expo East

July

August

September

October

November

December

Subtotals >>
Online
Follow-up Costs
TOTAL

July

August

September

October

November

December

Subtotals >>
Online
Follow-up Costs
Carryover

Word of Mouth
Competitor awareness increase
TOTAL

July

August

September

October

November

December

Subtotals >>
Online
Follow-up Costs
Carryover
Word of Mouth
Competitor awareness increase
TOTAL

July

August

September

October

November

December

Subtotals >>

Carryover
Word of Mouth
Online Awareness
Competitor awareness increase
TOTAL

Subtotals >>
Carryover
Word of Mouth
Online Awareness
Competitor awareness increase
TOTAL

Subtotals >>
Total Online Cost
Follow-up costs
GRAND TOTAL

July

August

September

October

November

December

Subtotals >>
Carryover
Word of Mouth
Online Awareness
Competitor awareness increase
TOTAL

Subtotals >>
Carryover
Word of Mouth
Online Awareness
Competitor awareness increase
TOTAL

Subtotals >>
Total Online Cost
Follow-up costs
GRAND TOTAL

% Awareness Generated
41.22%
16.91%
0.26%
1.51%
1.21%
1.39%
0.68%
0.25%
0.22%
-

Total Costs
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$

81,089.40
6,810.00
42,526.82
38,764.93
16,221.48
28,000.00
193.60
193.60
4,510.00
29,905.44

$
$
$
$
63.67% $
0.32% $
$
64.00% $

7,500.00
7,500.00
10,200.00
10,275.00
283,690.27
48,569.97
500.00
332,760.23

% Awareness Generated
41.22%
16.91%
0.26%
1.51%
1.21%
1.39%
0.34%
0.12%
0.22%
-

Total Costs
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$

81,089.40
6,810.00
42,526.82
38,764.93
16,221.48
28,000.00
96.80
96.80
4,510.00
36,400.84

$
$
$
$
63.21% $
0.30% $
$
1.00%

7,500.00
7,500.00
10,200.00
10,275.00
289,992.07
44,000.00
500.00
-

CPM
15.85
3.68
3,859.57
373.20
85.20
15,972.85
0.450569502
2.48
512.50

CPM
15.85
3.68
3,859.57
373.20
85.20
15,972.85
0.45
2.48
512.50

0.67%
110.00%
71.70% $

% Awareness Generated
41.22%
16.91%
0.26%
1.51%
1.21%
1.39%
0.34%
0.12%
0.22%
-

334,492.07

Total Costs
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$

81,089.40
6,810.00
42,526.82
38,764.93
16,221.48
28,000.00
96.80
96.80
4,510.00
55,519.30

$
$
$
$
63.21% $
0.29% $
$
2.00%
1.05%
110.00%
73.20% $

7,500.00
7,500.00
10,200.00
10,275.00
309,110.53
44,000.00
500.00
-

% Awareness Generated
41.22%
16.91%
0.26%
1.51%
1.21%
1.39%
0.34%
0.12%
0.22%
63.21%

15.85
3.68
3,859.57
373.20
85.20
15,972.85
0.45
2.48
512.50

353,610.53

Total Costs
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$

CPM

81,089.40
6,810.00
42,526.82
38,764.93
16,221.48
28,000.00
96.80
96.80
4,510.00
95,105.92

CPM
15.85
3.68
3,859.57
373.20
85.20
15,972.85
0.45
2.48
512.50

2.00%
1.76%
0.27%
110.00%
73.96% $

313,222.14

$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$

117,003.90
9,826.15
63,790.22
66,192.33
20,258.10
28,000.00
193.60
193.60
4,998.11
38,093.06

63.74%
0.00%
0.00%
0.24%
110.00%
70.38% $

348,549.06

$
$
$
$
$
$
$

7,500.00
7,500.00
10,200.00
10,275.00
35,475.00
49,010.33
500.00

746,756.53

41.22%
16.91%
0.37%
1.80%
1.01%
1.27%
0.68%
0.25%
0.22%
-

% Awareness Generated
41.22%
16.91%
0.26%
1.51%
1.21%
1.39%
0.68%
0.25%
0.22%

Total Costs
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$

81,089.40
6,810.00
42,526.82
38,764.93
16,221.48
28,000.00
193.60
193.60
4,510.00

15.85
3.68
2,654.32
302.56
85.12
11,414.07
0.30
1.66
380.41

CPM
15.9
3.7
3,859.6
373.2
85.2
15,972.8
0.45
2.48
512.50

41.22%
16.91%
0.37%
1.80%
1.01%
1.27%
0.68%
0.25%
0.22%
-

155,050.16

63.67%
2.00%
3.20%
0.25%
110.00%
76.04% $

373,359.99

$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$

117,003.90
9,826.15
63,790.22
66,192.33
20,258.10
28,000.00
193.60
193.60
4,998.11
74,143.61

63.74%
2.00%
0.74%
0.22%
110.00%
73.37% $

384,599.62

$
$
$
$
$
$
$

7,500.00
7,500.00
10,200.00
10,275.00
35,475.00
44,000.00
500.00

837,934.61

15.85
3.68
3,859.57
373.20
85.12
11,414.07
0.30
1.66
380.41

Total US population
NE states
Connecticut
Delaware
Maine
Maryland
Massachusetts
New Hampshire
New Jersey
New York
Pennsylvania
Rhode Island
Vermont
Total NE Population
Population percentage

307,859,103
population
3,501,252
873,092
1,316,456
5,633,597
6,497,967
1,315,809
8,682,661
19,490,297
12,448,279
1,050,788
621,270
61,431,468
19.95%

WEST states
Arizona
California
Colorado
Nevada
New Mexico
Oregon
Texas
Utah
Washington
Total western population
Population percentage

Segment 1

Segment 2

Number of children ages


3-13 in the United States

Number of children ages 313 in the United States

Average Number of
children per household
Number of primary
caregivers with children
between the ages of 3-13
Percentage of people who
buy all natural food for
their children
Number of primary
caregivers with children
between the ages of 3-13
who buy all natural food
for their children
Number of primary
caregivers with children
between the ages of 3-13
who do not buy all
natural food for their
children

44,349,708.00

2.10

21,118,908.57

93%

19,682,822.79

1,436,085.78

Average Number of children


per household
Number of primary
caregivers with children
between the ages of 3-13
Percentage of people who
buy all natural food for their
children
Number of primary
caregivers with children
between the ages of 3-13
who buy all natural food for
their children
Number of primary
caregivers with children
between the ages of 3-13
who do not buy all natural
food for their children

population
6,500,180
38,292,687
4,939,456
2,600,167
1,984,356
3,790,060
24,326,974
2,736,424
6,549,224
91,719,528
29.79%

44,349,708.00

2.10

21,118,908.57

93%

19,682,822.79

1,436,085.78

Percentage of people in
the US who live in the
Northeast
Primary caregivers with
children ages 3-13 who
buy all-natural food for
their children and live in
the Northeast

19.95%

3,927,591.18

Percentage of people in the


US who live in the West
Primary caregivers with
children ages 3-13 who buy
all-natural food for their
children and live in the
West
Western percentage of
Northeast population

29.79%

5,864,043.64

149.304%

Approximate Word of Mouth


Year 2
NE
Target HH
Expected Users in
Year 1
# users who
generate buzz
Impressions
Awareness
Awareness %

3,927,591.18
35,112.23
26,334.17
105,336.68
26,334.17
0.67%

Year 3
NE
Target HH
Expected users in year 2
# users who generate buzz
Impressions
Awareness
Awareness %

3,927,591.18
55,075.43
41,306.57
165,226.28
41,306.57
1.05%

Year 4
NE
Target HH
Expected users in year 3
# users who generate buzz
Impressions
Awareness
Awareness %

3,927,591.18
92,373.51
69,280.13
277,120.54
69,280.13
1.76%

Year 5
NE
Target HH

3,927,591.18

Expected users in year 4

167,601.41

# users who generate buzz


Impressions
Awareness
Awareness %

125,701.06
502,804.23
125,701.06
3.20%

WEST
Target HH
Expected users in year 4
# users who generate buzz
Impressions
Awareness
Awareness %

5,864,043.64
57,652.74
43,239.55
172,958.21
43,239.55
0.74%

Year 1
ONLINE FREE POPSICLES
Number of New Visitors Online
% that clicks on link
# that clicks on link
% that fills out personal info
Number of Orders
# of popsicles per order
Total Online FREE Pops Demand
Cost per popsicle
Total Popsicle cost
Shipping Costs per order (3 per order)
Total Shipping Costs
Total Online Cost
FAIRS/FESTIVALS FREE POPSCILES
# of target people to our booth @
fairs/festivals
% of target consumers to which we give
popsicles to their kids
# of People who will take free sample for
their kids
Average # of kids per target consumer
Average # of days per fair
Number of fairs attending (annually)
Total Fairs/Festivals FREE Pops Demand
Cost per popsicle
Total Fairs/Festivals FREE Pops Costs

$
$
$
$
$

12,643.78
80%
10,115.02
50%
5,057.51
3.00
15,173
0.1112
1,687.19
0.57
2,882.78
4,569.97

1004.8125
75%
753.609375
2
6
8
72,347
$
0.1112
$ 8,044.93

WALK-A-THONS FREE POPSCILES


# of target people to our booth @ walk
% of target consumers to which we give
popsicles to their kids
# of People who will take free sample for
their kids
Average # of kids per target consumer
Number of walks attending (annually)
Total Walk-a-thons FREE Pops Demand
Cost per popsicles
Total Walk-A-Thon FREE Pops Costs

$
$

Total FREE Popsicle Costs

$ 14,469.71

Year 4

1,390.00
75%
1042.5
2
8
16,680
0.1112
1,854.82

ONLINE FREE POPSICLES


Number of New Visitors Online
% that clicks on link
# that clicks on link
% that fills out personal info
Number of Orders
# of popsicles per order
Total Online FREE Popsicle Demand
Cost per popsicle
Total Popsicle cost
Shipping Costs per order (3 per order)
Total Shipping Costs
Total Online Cost
FAIRS/FESTIVALS FREE POPSCILES
# of target people to our booth @
fairs/festivals
% of target consumers to which we give
popsicles to their kids
# of People who will take free sample for
their kids
Average # of kids per target consumer
Average # of days per fair
Number of fairs attending (annually)
Total Fairs/Festivals FREE Pops Demand
Cost per popsicle
Total Fairs/Festivals FREE Pops Costs

$
$
$
$
$

13,862.12
80%
11,089.70
50%
5,544.85
3.00
16,635
0.1112
1,849.76
0.57
3,160.56
5,010.33

1004.8125
75%
753.609375
2
6
20
180,866
$
0.1112
$ 20,112.33

WALK-A-THONS FREE POPSCILES


# of target people to our booth @ walk
% of target consumers to which we give
popsicles to their kids
# of People who will take free sample for
their kids
Average # of kids per target consumer
Number of walks attending (annually)
Total Walk-a-thons FREE Pops Demand
Cost per popsicles
Total Fairs/Festivals FREE Pops Costs

$
$

Total FREE Popsicle Costs

$ 29,759.69

1,390.00
75%
1042.5
2
20
41,700
0.1112
4,637.04

Year 2
ONLINE FREE POPSICLES
Number of New Visitors Online
% that clicks on link
# that clicks on link
% that fills out personal info
Number of Orders
# of popsicles per order
Total Online FREE Pops Demand
Cost per popsicle
Total Popsicle cost
Shipping Costs per order (3 per order)
Total Shipping Costs
Total Online Cost
FAIRS/FESTIVALS FREE POPSCILES
# of target people to our booth @
fairs/festivals
% of target consumers to which we give
popsicles to their kids
# of People who will take free sample for
their kids
Average # of kids per target consumer
Average # of days per fair
Number of fairs attending (annually)
Total Fairs/Festivals FREE Pops Demand
Cost per popsicle
Total Fairs/Festivals FREE Pops Costs

$
$
$
$
$

80%
50%
3.00
0.1112
0.57
-

1004.8125
75%
753.609375
2
6
8
72,347
$
0.1112
$ 8,044.93

WALK-A-THONS FREE POPSCILES


# of target people to our booth @ walk
% of target consumers to which we give
popsicles to their kids
# of People who will take free sample for
their kids
Average # of kids per target consumer
Number of walks attending (annually)
Total Walk-a-thons FREE Pops Demand
Cost per popsicles
Total Walk-A-Thon FREE Pops Costs

$
$

1042.5
2
8
16,680
0.1112
1,854.82

Total FREE Popsicle Costs

9,899.75

Year 5

1,390.00
75%

ONLINE FREE POPSICLES


Number of New Visitors Online
% that clicks on link
# that clicks on link
% that fills out personal info
Number of Orders
# of popsicles per order
Total Online FREE Popsicle Demand
Cost per popsicle
Total Popsicle cost
Shipping Costs per order (3 per order)
Total Shipping Costs
Total Online Cost
FAIRS/FESTIVALS FREE POPSCILES
# of target people to our booth @
fairs/festivals
% of target consumers to which we give
popsicles to their kids
# of People who will take free sample for
their kids
Average # of kids per target consumer
Average # of days per fair
Number of fairs attending (annually)
Total Fairs/Festivals FREE Pops Demand
Cost per popsicle
Total Fairs/Festivals FREE Pops Costs

$
$
$
$
$

80%
50%
3.00
0.1112
0.57
-

1004.8125
75%
753.609375
2
6
20
180,866
$
0.1112
$ 20,112.33

WALK-A-THONS FREE POPSCILES


# of target people to our booth @ walk
% of target consumers to which we give
popsicles to their kids
# of People who will take free sample for
their kids
Average # of kids per target consumer
Number of walks attending (annually)
Total Walk-a-thons FREE Pops Demand
Cost per popsicles
Total Fairs/Festivals FREE Pops Costs

$
$

Total FREE Popsicle Costs

$ 24,749.37

1,390.00
75%
1042.5
2
20
41,700
0.1112
4,637.04

Year 3
ONLINE FREE POPSICLES
Number of New Visitors Online
% that clicks on link
# that clicks on link
% that fills out personal info
Number of Orders
# of popsicles per order
Total Online FREE Pops Demand
Cost per popsicle
Total Popsicle cost
Shipping Costs per order (3 per order)
Total Shipping Costs
Total Online Cost
FAIRS/FESTIVALS FREE POPSCILES
# of target people to our booth @
fairs/festivals
% of target consumers to which we give
popsicles to their kids
# of People who will take free sample for
their kids
Average # of kids per target consumer
Average # of days per fair
Number of fairs attending (annually)
Total Fairs/Festivals FREE Pops Demand
Cost per popsicle
Total Fairs/Festivals FREE Pops Costs

$
$
$
$
$

80%
50%
3.00
0.1112
0.57
-

1004.8125
75%
753.609375
2
6
8
72,347
$
0.1112
$ 8,044.93

WALK-A-THONS FREE POPSCILES


# of target people to our booth @ walk
% of target consumers to which we give
popsicles to their kids
# of People who will take free sample for
their kids
Average # of kids per target consumer
Number of walks attending (annually)
Total Walk-a-thons FREE Pops Demand
Cost per popsicles
Total Walk-A-Thon FREE Pops Costs

1042.5
2
8
16,680
$
0.1112
$ 1,854.82

Total FREE Popsicle Costs

$ 9,899.75

1,390.00
75%

CSR Costs
Vitamin Angel
YEAR 1
Total Demand
Distributor Price
Percent of Sales
Total Cost

YEAR 4 (Northeast)
Total Demand
Distributor Price
Percent of Sales
Total Cost

891,529
3.35
1%
$ 29,905.44

3,106,544
3.06
1%
$ 95,105.92

YEAR 4 (West)
Total Demand
Distributor Price
Percent of Sales
Total Cost

1,244,273
$
3.06
1%
$ 38,093.06

TOTAL YR 4

$ 133,198.97

YEAR 2
Total Demand
Distributor Price
Percent of Sales
Total Cost

1,118,729
3.25
1%
$ 36,400.84
$

YEAR 3
Total Demand
Distributor Price
Percent of Sales
Total Cost
YEAR 5 (Northeast)
Total Demand
Cost Per unit
Percent of Sales
Total Cost

$
$

YEAR 5 (West)
Total Demand
Distributor Price
Percent of Sales
Total Cost

TOTAL YR 5

5,220,544
2.97
1%
155,050.16

2,496,732
2.97
1%
74,143.61
229,193.78

$
$

1,759,080
3.16
1%
55,519.30

Cap off CSR for future years:


$250,000

Unadjusted Purchase Intent


Total survey
respondents in
segment
233
# people in
segment
Percentage
Definitely Buy

52

22.32%

Probably Buy

116

49.79%

CSR PI
adjustments
Not change
Increase
slightly
Increase
significantly

# of
responses

Percentage
61

26.18%

118

50.64%

54
233

23.18%

CSR Purchase
Intent increase

Total

Total Increase
0

2%

1.01%

4%

0.93%
1.94%

ACV Years 1-5

Market Distribution
Super Markets
Convenience Stores
Natural Food and
Specialty Stores
Mass Merchandisers
Other
Drug Stores
Total

Year 1 (NE)
Super Markets
Convenience Stores
Natural Food and
Specialty Stores
Mass Merchandisers
Other
Drug Stores
Total

Year 2 (NE)
Super Markets
Convenience Stores
Natural Food and
Specialty Stores
Mass Merchandisers
Other
Drug Stores
Total

Year 3 (NE)
Super Markets
Convenience Stores
Natural Food and
Specialty Stores

Percentage of
Market
54%
25%
10%
4%
4%
3%
100%
Percentage of
United Natural
Percentage of
Distributers'
Percentage of total
Segment
market
market
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
10.00%
0.00%
100.00%
0.00%

1.00%
0.00%
4.00%
0.00%
5.00%

0.80%
0.00%
3.20%
0.00%
4.00%

Percentage of
United Natural
Percentage of
Distributers'
Percentage of total
Segment
market
market
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
30.00%
0.00%
100.00%
0.00%

3.00%
0.00%
4.00%
0.00%
7.00%

2.40%
0.00%
3.20%
0.00%
5.60%

Percentage of
United Natural
Percentage of
Distributers'
Percentage of total
Segment
market
market
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
10.00%
2.50%
2.00%
50.00%

5.00%

4.00%

Mass Merchandisers
Other
Drug Stores
Total

Year 4 (NE)
Super Markets
Convenience Stores
Natural Food and
Specialty Stores
Mass Merchandisers
Other
Drug Stores
Total

Year 5 (NE)
Super Markets
Convenience Stores
Natural Food and
Specialty Stores
Mass Merchandisers
Other
Drug Stores
Whole Foods
Total

0.00%
100.00%
0.00%

0.00%
4.00%
0.00%
11.50%

0.00%
3.20%
0.00%
9.20%

Percentage of
United Natural
Percentage of
Distributers'
Percentage of total
Segment
market
market
10.00%
5.40%
4.32%
15.00%
3.75%
3.00%
75.00%
0.00%
100.00%
0.00%

7.50%
0.00%
4.00%
0.00%
20.65%

6.00%
0.00%
3.20%
0.00%
16.52%

Percentage of
United Natural
Percentage of
Distributers'
Percentage of total
Segment
market
market
20.00%
10.80%
8.64%
25.00%
6.25%
5.00%
79.50%
0.00%
100.00%
0.00%

7.95%
0.00%
4.00%
0.00%
29.00%

6.36%
0.00%
3.20%
0.00%
4.18%
27.38%

Assumptions**based on conversations with a United


Natural representatives
Assume United Natural will distribute our product in
year 1 to 5% of their stores.
United Natural Foods distributes to 80% of the food
retailer market.
Assume United Natural's distribution of retailers is
equal to the market distribution above.

Year 4 (WEST)
Super Markets
Convenience Stores
Natural Food and Specialty
Stores
Mass Merchandisers
Other
Drug Stores
Total

Year 5 (WEST)
Super Markets
Convenience Stores
Natural Food and Specialty
Stores
Mass Merchandisers
Other
Drug Stores
Whole Foods
Total

Percentage of United
Percentage of Natural Distributers' Percentage of
Segment
market
total market
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
10.00%
0.00%
100.00%
0.00%

1.00%
0.00%
4.00%
0.00%
5.00%

0.80%
0.00%
3.20%
0.00%
4.00%

Percentage of United
Percentage of Natural Distributers' Percentage of
Segment
market
total market
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
10.00%
0.00%
100.00%
0.00%

1.00%
0.00%
4.00%
0.00%
5.00%

0.80%
0.00%
3.20%
0.00%
4.18%
8.18%

ACV Years 1-5

Market Distribution
Super Markets
Convenience Stores
Natural Food and
Specialty Stores
Mass Merchandisers
Other
Drug Stores
Total

Year 1 (NE)
Super Markets
Convenience Stores
Natural Food and
Specialty Stores
Mass Merchandisers
Other
Drug Stores
Total

Year 2 (NE)
Super Markets
Convenience Stores
Natural Food and
Specialty Stores
Mass Merchandisers
Other
Drug Stores
Total

Year 3 (NE)
Super Markets
Convenience Stores
Natural Food and
Specialty Stores

Percentage of Market
54%
25%
10%
4%
4%
3%
100%

Retailer Distribution
NE Year 1

Percentage of total
Percentage of
market
Segment
0%
0.00%
0.00%
0%
0.00%
0.00%

20%
0%
80%
0%

Retailer Distribution
NE Year 2

0.80%
0.00%
3.20%
0.00%
4.00%

10.00%
0.00%
100.00%
0.00%

Percentage of total
Percentage of
market
Segment
0%
0.00%
0.00%
0%
0.00%
0.00%

43%
0%
57%
0%

2.40%
0.00%
3.20%
0.00%
5.60%

30.00%
0.00%
100.00%
0.00%

Retailer Distribution
NE Year 3

Percentage of total
Percentage of
market
Segment
0%
0.00%
0.00%
22%
2.00%
10.00%
43%

4.00%

50.00%

Mass Merchandisers
Other
Drug Stores
Total

Year 4 (NE)
Super Markets
Convenience Stores
Natural Food and
Specialty Stores
Mass Merchandisers
Other
Drug Stores
Total

Year 4 (WEST)
Super Markets
Convenience Stores
Natural Food and
Specialty Stores
Mass Merchandisers
Other
Drug Stores
Total

Year 5 (NE)
Super Markets
Convenience Stores
Natural Food and
Specialty Stores
Mass Merchandisers
Other
Drug Stores
Whole Foods
Total

0%
35%
0%

0.00%
3.20%
0.00%
9.20%

0.00%
100.00%
0.00%

Retailer Distribution
Percentage of total
Percentage of
NE Year 4
market
Segment
26%
4.32%
10.00%
18%
3.00%
15.00%
36%
0%
19%
0%

Retailer Distribution
West Year 4

6.00%
0.00%
3.20%
0.00%
16.52%

75.00%
0.00%
100.00%
0.00%

Percentage of total
Percentage of
market
Segment
0%
0.00%
0.00%
0%
0.00%
0.00%

20%
0%
80%
0%

0.80%
0.00%
3.20%
0.00%
4.00%

10.00%
0.00%
100.00%
0.00%

Retailer Distribution
Percentage of total
Percentage of
NE Year 5
market
Segment
32%
8.64%
20.00%
18%
5.00%
25.00%
23%
0%
12%
0%
15%

6.36%
0.00%
3.20%
0.00%
4.18%
27.38%

79.50%
0.00%
100.00%
0.00%

Year 5 (WEST)
Super Markets
Convenience Stores
Natural Food and
Specialty Stores
Mass Merchandisers
Other
Drug Stores
Whole Foods
Total

Retailer Distribution
West Year 5

Percentage of total
Percentage of
market
Segment
0%
0.00%
0.00%
0%
0.00%
0.00%

10%
0%
39%
0%
51%

0.80%
0.00%
3.20%
0.00%
4.18%
8.18%

10.00%
0.00%
100.00%
0.00%
5.00%

Assumptions**based on conversations with a United


Natural representatives
Assume United Natural will distribute our product in
year 1 to 5% of their stores.
United Natural Foods distributes to 80% of the food
retailer market.
Assume United Natural's distribution of retailers is
equal to the market distribution above.
Percentage of
United Natural
Distributers'
market
0.00%
0.00%
1.00%
0.00%
4.00%
0.00%
5.00%
Percentage of
United Natural
Distributers'
market
0.00%
0.00%

Retailer Distribution NE Year 1


20%

Other
80%

Retailer Distribution NE Year 2

43%

3.00%
0.00%
4.00%
0.00%
7.00%
Percentage of
United Natural
Distributers'
market
0.00%
2.50%

Natural Food and


Specialty Stores

Natural Food and


Specialty Stores
Other

57%

Retailer Distribution NE Year 3


Convenience Stores
35%

22%
Natural Food and
Specialty Stores

5.00%
43%

Other

Specialty Stores

0.00%
4.00%
0.00%
11.50%
Percentage of
United Natural
Distributers'
market
5.40%
3.75%
7.50%
0.00%
4.00%
0.00%
20.65%
Percentage of
United Natural
Distributers'
market
0.00%
0.00%

43%

Retailer Distribution NE Year 4


Super Markets
19%

36%

26%

Convenience Stores

18%

Natural Food and


Specialty Stores
Other

Retailer Distribution West Year 4


20%

80%

Retailer Distribution NE Year 5


Super Markets
15%
32%

7.95%
0.00%
4.00%
0.00%
29.00%

Natural Food and


Specialty Stores
Other

1.00%
0.00%
4.00%
0.00%
5.00%
Percentage of
United Natural
Distributers'
market
10.80%
6.25%

Other

Convenience Stores

12%

23%

Natural Food and


Specialty Stores
18%

Other

Percentage of
United Natural
Distributers'
market
0.00%
0.00%
1.00%
0.00%
4.00%
0.00%

Retailer Distribution West Year 5


10%

Natural Food and Specialty


Stores
Other

51%

39%
Whole Foods

Northeast
40,513

West
60,519

Natural Food and Specialty Stores


Other Stores
Supermarkets
Convenience Stores
Whole Foods

4,051
1,621
21,877
10,128
69

6,052
2,421
32,680
15,130
121

Year 1 (NE)
Sales Volume

891,529

Total # of Stores

Natural Food and Specialty Stores


Other Stores
Total Stores

Year 2 (NE)
Sales Volume

Natural Food and Specialty Stores


Other Stores
Total Stores

Year 3 (NE)
Sales Volume

Natural Food and Specialty Stores


Other Stores
Convenience Stores
Total Stores

Year 4 (NE)
Sales Volume

Natural Food and Specialty Stores


Other Stores

% United
Total Stores
%United natural
Total #
Natural
Distributed
stores we are in
4,051
80%
3,241
10%
1,621
80%
1,296
100%

1,118,729
% United
Total Stores
%United natural
Total #
Natural
Distributed
stores we are in
4,051
80%
3,241
30%
1,621
80%
1,296
100%

1,759,080
% United
Total Stores
%United natural
Total #
Natural
Distributed
stores we are in
4,051
80%
3,241
50%
1,621
80%
1,296
100%
10,128
80%
8,103
10%

3,106,544
% United
Total Stores
%United natural
Total #
Natural
Distributed
stores we are in
4,051
80%
3,241
75%
1,621
80%
1,296
100%

Convenience Stores
Supermarkets
Total Stores
Year 4 (W)
Sales Volume

Natural Food and Specialty Stores


Other Stores
Total Stores

Year 5 (NE)
Sales Volume

Natural Food and Specialty Stores


Other Stores
Convenience Stores
Supermarkets
Whole Foods
Total Stores
Year 5 (W)
Sales Volume

Natural Food and Specialty Stores


Other Stores
Whole Foods
Total Stores

10,128
21,877

80%
80%

8,103
17,502

15%
10%

1,244,273
% United
Total Stores
%United natural
Total #
Natural
Distributed
stores we are in
6,052
80%
4,842
10.00%
2,421
80%
1,937
100.00%

5,220,544
% United
Total Stores
%United natural
Total #
Natural
Distributed
stores we are in
4,051
80%
3,241
79.50%
1,621
80%
1,296
100.00%
10,128
80%
8,103
25.00%
21,877
80%
17,502
20.00%
69
-

2,496,732
% United
Total Stores
%United natural
Total #
Natural
Distributed
stores we are in
6,052
80%
4,842
10.00%
2,421
80%
1,937
100.00%
121
-

Total we sell in
324
1,296
1,620.52

Total we sell in
972
1,296
2,269

Total we sell in
1,621
1,296
810
3,727

Total we sell in
2,431
1,296

% of sales from Sales volume from Sales Volume


each channel
each channel
per store
20.00%
178,306
550
80.00%
713,223
550
891,529

% of sales from Sales volume from Sales Volume


each channel
each channel
per store
42.86%
479,455
493
57.14%
639,274
493
1,118,729

% of sales from Sales volume from Sales Volume


each channel
each channel
per store
43.48%
764,818
472
34.78%
611,854
472
21.74%
382,409
472
1,759,080

% of sales from Sales volume from Sales Volume


each channel
each channel
per store
36.32%
1,128,285
464
19.37%
601,752
464

1,215
1,750
6,693

Total we sell in
484.15
1,936.61
2,420.76

Total we sell in
2,577
1,296
2,026
3,500
69
9,468

Total we sell in
484
1,937
121
2,542

18.16%
26.15%

564,142
812,365
3,106,544

464
464

% of sales from Sales volume from Sales Volume


each channel
each channel
per store
20.00%
248,855
514
80.00%
995,419
514
1,244,273

% of sales from Sales volume from Sales Volume


each channel
each channel
per store
23.13%
1,207,611
469
11.64%
607,603
469
18.19%
949,380
469
31.42%
1,640,529
469
15.62%
815,420
11,818
100.00%
5,220,544

% of sales from Sales volume from Sales Volume


each channel
each channel
per store
16.19%
404,239
835
64.76%
1,616,955
835
19.05%
475,538
3,930
100.00%
2,496,732

YEAR 1
% of demand sales rep responsible for
Demand
Demand derived from sales rep
Our price to distributors
Total sales by sales rep
Sales Commission
Variable selling expense
Unit sales expense
Unit Sales
Variable Costs
Our Contribution Margin

75.00%
891,529
668,647
3.35
2,242,908
1%
22,429.08
0.025
$
$
$

YEAR 3
% of demand sales rep responsible for
Demand
Demand derived from sales rep
Our price to distributors
Total sales by sales rep
Sales Commission
Variable selling expense
Unit sales expense
Unit Sales
Variable Costs
Our Contribution Margin

65.00%
1,759,080
1,143,402
3.16
3,608,755
1%
36,087.55
0.021
$
$
$

YEAR 5
% of demand sales rep responsible for
Demand
Demand derived from sales rep
Our price to distributors
Total sales by sales rep
Sales Commission
Variable selling expense
Unit sales expense
Unit Sales
Variable Costs
Our Contribution Margin

3.35
1.99
1.37

3.16
1.89
1.27

70.00%
7,717,276
5,402,093
2.97
16,042,198
2%
320,843.97
0.04
$
$
$

2.97
1.69
1.28

YEAR 2
% of demand sales rep responsible for
Demand
Demand derived from sales rep
Our price to distributors
Total sales by sales rep
Sales Commission
Variable selling expense
Unit sales expense
Unit Sales
Variable Costs
Our Contribution Margin

70.00%
1,118,729
783,110
3.25
2548058.68
1%
25,480.59
0.023
$
$
$

Year 4
% of demand sales rep responsible for
Demand
Demand derived from sales rep
Our price to distributors
Total sales by sales rep
Sales Commission
Variable selling expense
Unit sales expense
Unit Sales
Variable Costs
Our Contribution Margin

3.25
1.97
1.29

70.00%
4,350,817
3,045,572
3.06
9,323,928
2%
186,478.56
0.043
$
$
$

3.06
1.75
1.31

Year 1
Total SG&A (minus sales commission)
Direct Labor
Total Fixed Costs
Contribution Margin
Breakeven
Breakeven in Sales $

$ 1,155,259.89
$
150,000.00
$ 1,305,259.89
$
1.37
954,065
$ 3,200,315.91

Year 3
Total SG&A (minus sales commission)
Direct Labor
Total Fixed Costs
Contribution Margin
Breakeven
Breakeven in Sales $

$ 1,518,946.24
$
300,000.00
$ 1,818,946.24
$
1.27
1,435,288
$ 4,529,991.48

Year 5
Total SG&A (minus sales commission)
Direct Labor
Total Fixed Costs
Contribution Margin
Breakeven
Breakeven in Sales $

$ 5,423,553.32
$
300,000.00
$ 5,723,553.32
$
1.28
4,466,209
$ 13,262,972.03

Year 2
Total SG&A (minus sales commission)
Direct Labor
Total Fixed Costs
Contribution Margin
Breakeven
Breakeven in Sales $
Year 4
Total SG&A (minus sales commission)
Direct Labor
Total Fixed Costs
Contribution Margin
Breakeven
Breakeven in Sales $

$
$
$
$
$

$
$
$
$
$

1,537,569.73
240,000.00
1,777,569.73
1.29
1,380,487
4,491,785.84

4,716,209.36
300,000.00
5,016,209.36
1.31
3,826,093
11,713,470.56

BASES MODEL
Total Target Households

Target Markets

Target Households
Purchase Intent (Unadjusted)
Definitely Buy
Probably Buy
Adjusted Purchase Intent
Definitely Buy (80%)
Probably Buy (30%)
Total Adjusted Purchase Intent
Awareness
ACV

Northeast Year 1

3,927,591
Households with children 3-13
who buy all natural food and live
in the Northeast

3,927,591
24.26%
51.73%
19.41%
15.52%
34.92%
64.00%
4.00%

Trial Rate (Total Intent x Awareness


x ACV)

0.009

Trial Households (Trial Rate x Target


HH)

35,112

Units at trial
Total Trial Units

1.15
40,537

REPEAT UNITS
Trial Households
Repeat Rate (% that buy again)

35,112
75.54%

Repeat occasions (# times they buy)


Repeat Units (Number of units they
buy)
Total Repeat Units
Total Forecast Demand by Segment
(trial +repeat)

12
2.67
850,992

891,529

BREAKEVEN - ACV change


BASES MODEL
Total Target Households

Target Markets
Target Households
Purchase Intent (Unadjusted)
Definitely Buy
Probably Buy
Adjusted Purchase Intent
Definitely Buy (80%)
Probably Buy (30%)
Total Adjusted Purchase Intent
Awareness
ACV

Northeast Year 1
3,927,591

Households with children 3-13


who buy all natural food and
live in the Northeast
3,927,591
24.26%
51.73%
19.41%
15.52%
34.92%
64.00%
4.31%

Trial Rate (Total Intent x Awareness


x ACV)

0.010

Trial Households (Trial Rate x Target


HH)
Units at trial
Total Trial Units

37,805.22
1.15
43,646

REPEAT UNITS
Trial Households

37,805

Repeat Rate (% that buy again)

75.54%

Repeat occasions (# times they buy)


Repeat Units (Number of units they
buy)
Total Repeat Units

12
2.67
916,260

Total Forecast Demand by Segment


(trial +repeat)

954,065

Calculations
24.24
37,805.22

BREAKEVEN - Awareness change


BASES MODEL
Total Target Households

Target Markets
Target Households
Purchase Intent (Unadjusted)
Definitely Buy
Probably Buy
Adjusted Purchase Intent
Definitely Buy (80%)
Probably Buy (30%)
Total Adjusted Purchase Intent
Awareness
ACV

Trial Rate (Total Intent x Awareness


x ACV)

Trial Households (Trial Rate x


Target HH)
Units at trial
Total Trial Units
REPEAT UNITS
Trial Households

Northeast Year 1
3,927,591

Households with children 313 who buy all natural food


and live in the Northeast
3,927,591
24.26%
51.73%
19.41%
15.52%
34.92%
68.90%
4.00%

0.010

37,805.22
1.15
43,646

37,805

Repeat Rate (% that buy again)


Repeat occasions (# times they
buy)
Repeat Units (Number of units they
buy)
Total Repeat Units

75.54%

2.67
916,260

Total Forecast Demand by


Segment (trial +repeat)

954,065

12

Calculations
24.24
37,805.22

BASES MODEL
Total Target Households

Target Markets
Target Households
Purchase Intent (Unadjusted)
Definitely Buy

Northeast Year 2

3,927,591

Households with children 3-13 who buy


all natural food and live in the Northeast

3,927,591
24.26%

Probably Buy
Adjusted Purchase Intent
Definitely Buy (80%)
Probably Buy (30%)
Total Adjusted Purchase Intent

51.73%

Awareness
ACV

71.70%
5.60%

Trial Rate (Total Intent x Awareness x ACV)

19.41%
15.52%
34.92%

0.01

Trial Households (Trial Rate x Target HH)


Units at trial

55,075
1.15

Total Trial Units

63,585

REPEAT UNITS
Trial Households
Repeat Rate (% that buy again)
Repeat occasions (# times they buy)

55,075
75.54%
12

Repeat Units (Number of units they buy)


Total Repeat Units

2.67
1,334,826

Total Forecast Demand by Segment (trial


+repeat)

1,398,411

BASES MODEL
Total Target Households

Target Markets
Target Households
Purchase Intent (Unadjusted)
Definitely Buy
Probably Buy
Adjusted Purchase Intent
Definitely Buy (80%)
Probably Buy (30%)
Total Adjusted Purchase Intent

Awareness
ACV

Trial Rate (Total Intent x Awareness x ACV)

Trial Households (Trial Rate x Target HH)


Units at trial
Total Trial Units

REPEAT UNITS
Trial Households
Repeat Rate (% that buy again)
Repeat occasions (# times they buy)
Repeat Units (Number of units they buy)
Total Repeat Units
Total Forecast Demand by Segment (trial
+repeat)

Northeast Year 2
3927591.182

Households with children 3-13 who buy all


natural food and live in the Northeast
3927591.18
24%
52%
19.41%
15.52%
34.92%

35%

71.70%

72%

5.53%

5.528%

1.38%

1.38%

54369.52
1.15
62769.61

54,369.52
1.15
62,769.61

54369.52
76%

54,369.52
76%

12.00

12.00

2.67
1,317,717.82

2.67
1,317,717.82

1,380,487.43

1,380,487.43

24.24
25.39

BASES MODEL
Total Target Households

Target Markets
Target Households
Purchase Intent (Unadjusted)
Definitely Buy
Probably Buy
Adjusted Purchase Intent
Definitely Buy (80%)
Probably Buy (30%)
Total Adjusted Purchase Intent

Northeast Year 2
3927591.182

Households with children 3-13 who buy all


natural food and live in the Northeast
3927591.182
0.242575107
0.517253219
0.19
16%
35%

35%

70.78%

70.78%

ACV

5.60%

5.60%

Trial Rate (Total Intent x Awareness x ACV)

1.38%

1.38%

Awareness

Trial Households (Trial Rate x Target HH)


Units at trial
Total Trial Units

REPEAT UNITS
Trial Households
Repeat Rate (% that buy again)

54,369.52
1.15
62,769.61

54,369.52
1.15
62,769.61

54369.52
0.76

54,369.52
75.54%

12.00

12.00

Repeat Units (Number of units they buy)


Total Repeat Units

2.67
1334826.37

2.67
1,317,717.82

Total Forecast Demand by Segment (trial


+repeat)

1380487.43

1,380,487.43

Repeat occasions (# times they buy)

24.24
25.39

BASES MODEL
Total Target Households

Target Markets
Target Households
Purchase Intent (Unadjusted)
Definitely Buy
Probably Buy
Adjusted Purchase Intent
Definitely Buy (80%)
Probably Buy (30%)
Total Adjusted Purchase Intent
Awareness
ACV

Trial Rate (Total Intent x Awareness x ACV)

Trial Households (Trial Rate x Target HH)


Units at trial
Total Trial Units
REPEAT UNITS
Trial Households
Repeat Rate (% that buy again)
Repeat occasions (# times they buy)

Northeast Year 3

3,927,591

Households with children 3-13 who buy


all natural food and live in the Northeast

3,927,591
24.26%
51.73%
19.41%
15.52%
34.92%
73.20%
9.20%

0.02

92,374
1.15
106,645

92,374
75.54%
12

Repeat Units (Number of units they buy)


Total Repeat Units

2.67
2238795

Total Forecast Demand by Segment (trial


+repeat)

2,345,440

BASES MODEL
Total Target Households

Target Markets
Target Households
Purchase Intent (Unadjusted)
Definitely Buy
Probably Buy
Adjusted Purchase Intent
Definitely Buy (80%)
Probably Buy (30%)
Total Adjusted Purchase Intent
Awareness
ACV

Trial Rate (Total Intent x Awareness x ACV)

Northeast Year 4
3,927,591

Households with children 3-13 who buy


all natural food and live in the Northeast
3,927,591
24.26%
51.73%
19.41%
15.52%
34.92%
73.96%
16.52%

0.04

Trial Households (Trial Rate x Target HH)


Units at trial
Total Trial Units

167,601
1.15
193,496

REPEAT UNITS
Trial Households
Repeat Rate (% that buy again)
Repeat occasions (# times they buy)

167,601
75.54%
12

Repeat Units (Number of units they buy)


Total Repeat Units

2.67
4062044

Total Forecast Demand by Segment (trial


+repeat)

4,255,539

Yearly Forecasted Demand TOTAL

5,719,390

West Expansion Year 4


5,864,044

Households with children 3-13 who buy


all natural food West
5,864,044
24.26%
51.73%
19.41%
15.52%
34.92%
70.38%
4.00%

0.01

57,653
1.15
66,560

57,653
75.54%
12
2.67
1397291

1,463,851

BASES MODEL
Total Target Households

Target Markets
Target Households
Purchase Intent (Unadjusted)
Definitely Buy
Probably Buy
Adjusted Purchase Intent
Definitely Buy (80%)
Probably Buy (30%)
Total Adjusted Purchase Intent
Awareness
ACV

Trial Rate (Total Intent x Awareness x ACV)

Northeast Year 5
3,927,591

Households with children 3-13 who buy


all natural food and live in the Northeast
3,927,591
24.26%
51.73%
19.41%
15.52%
34.92%
76.04%
27.38%

0.07

Trial Households (Trial Rate x Target HH)


Units at trial
Total Trial Units

285,566
1.15
329,686

REPEAT UNITS
Trial Households
Repeat Rate (% that buy again)
Repeat occasions (# times they buy)

285,566
75.54%
12

Repeat Units (Number of units they buy)


Total Repeat Units

2.67
6921070.0

Total Forecast Demand by Segment (trial


+repeat)

7,250,756

Yearly Forecasted Demand TOTAL

10,371,671

West Expansion Year 5


5,864,044

Households with children 3-13 who buy


all natural food and live in the West
5,864,044
24.26%
51.73%
19.41%
15.52%
34.92%
73.37%
8.18%

0.02

122,915
1.15
141,905

122,915
75.54%
12
2.67
2979009.8

3,120,915

Year 1

Segment Size
Retail Price
Adjusted Purchase Intent
Awareness
ACV
BASES Forecast in Units
Direct Sales Units
% of total sales lost to
competition
Units lost to competition
Revised forecast units
Forecast in Manufacturing $$
Forecast in Retail $$
Push Marketing Spent
Pull Marketing Spent

Segment 1
3,927,591
5.99
34.92%
64.00%
4.00%
891,529
0

Year 2
Segment 1
3,927,591
5.99
34.92%
71.70%
5.60%
1,398,411
0

Year 3
Segment 1
3,927,591
5.99
34.92%
73.20%
9.20%
2,345,440
0

Year 4
Segment 1 (NE)
3,927,591
5.99
34.92%
73.96%
16.52%
4,255,539
0

0
20%
25%
27%
0
279,682
586,360
1,148,996
891,529
1,118,729
1,759,080
3,106,544
4,270,422
5,358,711
8,425,995
14,880,345
$ 5,340,256.85 $ 6,701,185.25 $ 10,536,891.12 $ 18,608,197.31
$
35,475.00 $
35,475.00 $
35,475.00 $
$
248,215.27 $
254,517.07 $
273,635.53 $
313,222.14

35,475

Year 4

Year 5
Segment 2
(WEST)
5,864,044
5.99
34.92%
70.38%
4.00%
1,463,851
0

Segment 1 (NE) Segment 2 (WEST)


3,927,591
5,864,044
5.99
5.99
34.92%
34.92%
76.04%
73.37%
27.38%
8.18%
7,250,756
3,120,915
0
0

15%
28%
20%
219,578
2,030,212
624,183
1,244,273
5,220,544
2,496,732
5,960,069
25,006,407
11,959,347
$ 7,453,197.28 $ 31,271,059.73 $ 14,955,425.84
35,475.00 $
35,475.00
$
348,549.06 $
373,359.99 $
384,599.62

Aggregate Planning Yr 1

Period
Forecast
Full Time Employees
Hires
Fires
Output
Regular
Part Time
Overtime
Subcontract
Output - Forecast
Inventory
Beginning
Ending
Average
Backorders
Costs:
Regular
@
Part Time
@
Overtime
@
Subcontract
@
Hire
@
Fire
@
Inventory
@
Backorders @
Total

40,086
0
$
$
$

1.92
3.85
2.89

$
$
$
$

500
500
0.77
2.89

Output per Full Time Worker (units / month)


Minimum Utilization of Full Time Worker (%)
Maximum Use of Overtime (%)
Safety Stock (units)
End of Year Inventory Target (units)
Winter - 9.69%
Spring - 27.29%
Jan
Feb
March
28,796
28,796
81,099
82,960
82,960
82,960
82,960
82,960
82,960
54,164
54,164
1,861
40,086
94,250
67,168
$ 159,594 $
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$ 51,686 $
$
$
$ 211,280 $

94,250
148,413
121,331
-

148,413
150,274
149,343
-

159,594 $
$
$
$
$
$
93,364 $
$
252,959 $

159,594
114,920
274,514

148,413

150,274

Constraints
Inventory Balance Equations
current (inventory - backorders)
equals
previous (inventory - backorders) + output - demand

94,250
=

94,250

148,413

150,274

Employee Balance Equations

current employees
equals

previous employees + hire - fires

total output
equal
regular + overtime + part time + subcontract

82,960

82,960

82,960

82,960

82,960

82,960

82,960

82,960

82,960

Total Output Equations


=

Employee Capacity Constraints


regular output
less than or equal to
output per employee x full time employees

82,960

82,960

82,960

Full Time Employee Constraints


regular output
greater than or equal to
min utilization x full time output

Overtime Constraints
overtime
less than or equal to
max overtime % x full time output

Safety Stock Constraints


ending inventory
greater than or equal to
safety stock

End of Year Inventory Constraint


year end inventory
equals
year end inventory target

94,250

40,086

148,413

150,274

40,086

40,086

units / month)
me Worker (%)

ring - 27.29%
April
81,099
82,960
82,960
1,861

$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$

10,850
Year 1 Capacity
80%
Max Monthly Cap
5%
40,086
49,930
Summer - 43.99%
Fall - 19.03%
May
June
July
Aug
Sept
81,099
130,728
130,728
130,728
56,553
82,960
82,963
97,656
97,656
56,553
82,960
82,963
97,656
97,656
56,553
1,861
(47,765)
(33,072)
(33,072)
0

150,274
152,134
151,204
-

152,134
153,995
153,065
-

153,995
106,230
130,113
-

106,230
73,158
89,694
-

73,158
40,086
56,622
-

159,594
116,352
275,946

$ 159,594
$
$
$
$
$
$ 117,783
$
$ 277,378

$ 159,600
$
$
$
$
$
$ 100,122
$
$ 259,722

$ 187,866
$
$
$
$
$
$ 69,020
$
$ 256,885

$ 187,866
$
$
$
$
$
$ 43,571
$
$ 231,437

152,134

153,995

106,230

73,158

40,086

152,134

153,995

106,230

Max Monthly Per Worker


883
Oct
56,553
56,553
56,553
0

Nov
56,553
56,553
56,553
0

40,086
40,087
40,087
-

40,087
40,087
40,087
-

40,087
40,088
40,087
-

108,794
30,847
139,641

$ 108,794
$
$
$
$
$
$ 30,847
$
$ 139,641

$ 108,794
$
$
$
$
$
$ 30,847
$
$ 139,641

40,087

40,087

40,088

73,158

40,086

40,087

40,087

40,088

$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$

1,171,875
97656.25

82,960

82,960

82,963

97,656

97,656

56,553

56,553

56,553

82,960

82,960

82,963

97,656

97,656

56,553

56,553

56,553

82,960

82,960

82,963

97,656

97,656

56,553

56,553

56,553

82,960

82,960

82,963

97,656

97,656

56,553

56,553

56,553

152,134

40,086

153,995

40,086

106,230

40,086

73,158

40,086

40,087

40,087

40,088

40,086

40,086

40,086

40,086

40,086

Max Monthly Per Worker

10850.69444
10850

Dec
28,796
38,639
38,639
9,843

Total
891,529
901,373
901,373
9,844

40,088
49,930
45,009
$ 74,332
$
$
$
$
$
$ 34,634
$
$ 108,966

49,930
=

49,930

90,318
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$

1,734,016
833,992
2,568,008

38,639
=

38,639

38,639

38,639

49,930

40,086

49,930
=

49,930

Aggregate Planning Yr 2

Period
Forecast
Full Time Employees
Hires
Fires
Output
Regular
Part Time
Overtime
Subcontract
Output - Forecast
Inventory
Beginning
Ending
Average
Backorders
Costs:
Regular
@
Part Time
@
Overtime
@
Subcontract
@
Hire
@
Fire
@
Inventory
@
Backorders @
Total

Output per Full Time Worker (units / month)


Minimum Utilization of Full Time Worker (%)
Maximum Use of Overtime (%)
Safety Stock (units)
End of Year Inventory Target (units)
Winter - 9.69%
Spring - 27.29%
Jan
Feb
March
36,135
36,135
101,767
99,374
99,378
99,378
99,374
99,378
99,378
63,239
63,243
(2,389)

49,930
113,169
81,550
-

1.84 $
3.67 $
2.75 $
$
500 $
500 $
0.73 $
2.75 $
$

182,424
59,881
242,306

49,930

$
$
$
$
$
$
$

113,169
176,412
144,791
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$

182,432
106,319
288,751

176,412
174,023
175,218
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$

182,432
128,661
311,093

Constraints

Inventory Balance Equations


current (inventory - backorders)
equals
previous (inventory - backorders) + output - demand

113,169
=

176,412
=

113,169

174,023
=

176,412

174,023

Employee Balance Equations


current employees
equals

99,374

99,378

99,378

99,374

99,378

99,378

99,374

99,378

99,378

previous employees + hire - fires

Total Output Equations


total output
equal
regular + overtime + part time + subcontract

Employee Capacity Constraints


regular output
less than or equal to
output per employee x full time employees

99,374

99,378

99,378

Full Time Employee Constraints


regular output
greater than or equal to
min utilization x full time output

Overtime Constraints
overtime
less than or equal to
max overtime % x full time output

Safety Stock Constraints


ending inventory
greater than or equal to
safety stock

End of Year Inventory Constraint


year end inventory
equals
year end inventory target

113,169

176,412

174,023

49,930

49,930

49,930

its / month)
Worker (%)

15,190
80%
5%
49,930
84,803

ng - 27.29%
April
101,767
99,378
99,378
(2,389)

182,432
126,907
309,339

171,634
=

$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$

Sept
70,965
70,965
70,965
0

Oct
70,965
70,965
70,965
0

Nov
70,965
70,965
70,965
0

77,255
49,930
63,593
-

49,930
49,931
49,931
-

49,931
49,931
49,931
-

49,931
49,931
49,931
-

$ 250,978 $ 130,273
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$ 46,696 $ 36,664
$
$
$ 297,674 $ 166,937

$ 130,273
$
$
$
$
$
$ 36,664
$
$ 166,937

$ 130,273
$
$
$
$
$
$ 36,664
$
$ 166,937

49,931

49,931

169,245
104,580
136,913
-

104,580
77,255
90,918
-

182,432
125,153
307,584

$ 182,432
$
$
$
$
$
$ 100,534
$
$ 282,966

$ 250,978
$
$
$
$
$
$ 66,760
$
$ 317,738

169,245

104,580

77,255

49,930

77,255

49,930

49,931

49,931

49,931

169,245

Aug
164,043
136,718
136,718
(27,325)

171,634
169,245
170,440
-

171,634

1,640,625
136,719
Max Month/Worker
65758

Summer - 43.99%
Fall - 19.03%
May
June
July
101,767
164,043
164,043
99,378
99,378
136,718
99,378
99,378
136,718
(2,389)
(64,665)
(27,325)

174,023
171,634
172,829
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$

Year 2 Capacity
Max Monthly Cap

104,580

49,931
=

99,378

99,378

99,378

99,378

99,378

99,378

136,718

136,718

99,378

99,378

99,378

136,718

136,718

99,378

99,378

99,378

171,634

49,930

49,930

104,580

49,930

136,718

70,965

70,965

70,965

70,965

70,965

70,965

70,965

70,965

70,965

70,965

70,965

70,965

169,245

136,718

136,718

136,718
=

77,255

49,930

49,931

49,931

49,931

49,930

49,930

49,930

49,930

49,930

15190.972
15190

Dec
36,135
71,007
71,007
34,872
49,931
84,803
67,367
-

Total
1,118,729
1,153,602
1,153,602
34,873

104,451
-

$ 130,350 $ 2,117,706
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$ 49,467 $ 920,371
$
$
$ 179,817 $ 3,038,078

84,803
=

84,803

71,007
=

71,007

71,007

71,007

84,803

49,930

84,803
=

84,803

Aggregate Planning Yr 3

Period
Forecast
Full Time Employees
Hires
Fires
Output
Regular
Part Time
Overtime
Subcontract
Output - Forecast
Inventory
Beginning
Ending
Average
Backorders
Costs:
Regular
@
Part Time
@
Overtime
@
Subcontract
@
Hire
@
Fire
@
Inventory
@
Backorders @
Total

84,803
0
$
$
$

1.86
3.72
2.79

$
$
$
$

500
500
0.47
2.79

Output per Full Time Worker (units / month)


Minimum Utilization of Full Time Worker (%)
Maximum Use of Overtime (%)
Safety Stock (units)
End of Year Inventory Target (units)
Winter - 9.69%
Spring - 27.29%
Jan
Feb
March
56,818
56,818
160,018
162,814
162,814
162,814
162,814
162,814
162,814
105,996
105,996
2,796
84,803
190,799
137,801
-

190,799
296,795
243,797
-

$ 302,870
$
$
$
$
$
$ 64,085
$
$ 366,955

$ 302,870
$
$
$
$
$
$ 113,379
$
$ 416,248

190,799

296,795

296,795
299,591
298,193
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$

302,870
138,676
441,546

Constraints
Inventory Balance Equations
current (inventory - backorders)
equals
previous (inventory - backorders) + output - demand

190,799

299,591
=

296,795

299,591

Employee Balance Equations


current employees
equals

previous employees + hire - fires

Total Output Equations


total output
equal
regular + overtime + part time + subcontract

162,814
=

162,814
=

162,814
=

162,814

162,814

162,814

162,814

162,814

Employee Capacity Constraints


regular output
less than or equal to
output per employee x full time employees

162,814

Full Time Employee Constraints


regular output
greater than or equal to
min utilization x full time output

162,814

162,814

162,814

Overtime Constraints
overtime
less than or equal to
max overtime % x full time output

Safety Stock Constraints


ending inventory
greater than or equal to
safety stock

End of Year Inventory Constraint


year end inventory
equals
year end inventory target

190,799

84,803

296,795

84,803

299,591

84,803

its / month)
e Worker (%)

21,701
80%
5%
84,803
212,496
April
160,018
162,814
162,814
2,796

302,388
=

$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$

302,388
305,184
303,786
-

305,184
210,059
257,621
-

302,870
141,277
444,146

$ 302,871
$
$
$
$
$
$ 119,808
$
$ 422,679

305,184

210,059

302,388

305,184

210,059
147,431
178,745
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$

363,323
83,126
446,449

147,431
=

210,058

$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$

Aug
257,940
195,312
195,312
(62,628)

Sept
111,584
111,585
111,585
1

Oct
111,584
111,585
111,585
1

Nov
111,584
111,584
111,584
(0)

147,431
84,803
116,117
-

84,803
84,804
84,804
-

84,804
84,805
84,804
-

84,805
84,804
84,805
-

363,323
54,001
417,324

$ 207,572
$
$
$
$
$
$ 39,438
$
$ 247,011

207,572
39,439
247,011

$ 207,571
$
$
$
$
$
$ 39,439
$
$ 247,009

84,803

84,804

84,805

84,804

147,431

2343750
195312.5
Max Output/Worker
25243

Summer - 43.99%
Fall - 19.03%
May
June
July
160,018
257,940
257,940
162,814
162,814
195,312
162,814
162,815
195,312
2,796
(95,125)
(62,628)

299,591
302,388
300,989
$ 302,870
$
$
$
$
$
$ 139,976
$
$ 442,846

Year 3 Capacity
Monthly Capacity

84,803

84,804

84,805

84,804

$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$

162,814
=

162,814
=

162,814
=

195,312
=

195,312
=

111,585
=

111,585
=

111,584
=

162,814

162,814

162,815

195,312

195,312

111,585

111,585

111,584

162,814

162,814

162,815

195,312

195,312

111,585

111,585

111,584

162,814

162,814

305,184

84,803

195,312

210,059

84,803

195,312

147,431

111,585

111,585

84,803

162,815

302,388

111,584

84,803

84,804

84,805

84,804

84,803

84,803

84,803

84,803

84,803

21701.38889
21701

Dec
56,818
184,510
184,510
127,692

$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$

Total
1,759,080
1,886,772
1,886,773
127,693

84,804
212,496
148,650
-

186,676
-

343,229
69,130
412,359

$ 3,509,809
$
$
$
$
$
$ 1,041,775
$
$ 4,551,584

212,496
=

212,496

184,510
=

184,510

184,510

184,510

212,496

84,803

212,496
=

212,496

Aggregate Planning Yr 4

25,243

Period
Forecast
Full Time Employees
Hires
Fires
Output
Regular
Part Time
Overtime
Subcontract
Output - Forecast
Inventory
Beginning
Ending
Average
Backorders
Costs:
Regular
@
Part Time
@
Overtime
@
Subcontract
@
Hire
@
Fire
@
Inventory
@
Backorders @
Total

212,496
0
$
$
$

1.74
3.49
2.62
$1.67
$
500
$
500
$ 0.44
$ 2.62

Output per Full Time Worker (units / month)


Minimum Utilization of Full Time Worker (%)
Maximum Use of Overtime (%)
Safety Stock (units)
End of Year Inventory Target (units)
Winter - 9.69%
Spring - 27.29%
Jan
Feb
March
140,531
140,531
395,779
195,312
195,312
195,312
195,312
195,312
195,312
90,906
54,781
54,781
(109,561)
212,496
267,277
239,886
-

267,277
322,057
294,667
-

$ 340,608
$
$
$
$
$
$ 104,586
$
$ 445,193

$ 340,608
$
$
$
$
$
$ 128,469
$
$ 469,077

267,277

322,057

322,057
212,496
267,277
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$

340,608
151,813
116,527
608,948

Constraints
Inventory Balance Equations
current (inventory - backorders)
equals
previous (inventory - backorders) + output - demand

267,277

212,496
=

322,057

121,590

Employee Balance Equations


current employees
equals

previous employees + hire - fires

Total Output Equations


total output
equal
regular + overtime + part time + subcontract

195,312
=

195,312
=

195,312
=

195,312

195,312

286,218

195,312

195,312

195,312

Employee Capacity Constraints


regular output
less than or equal to
output per employee x full time employees

Full Time Employee Constraints


regular output
greater than or equal to
min utilization x full time output

195,312

195,312

195,312

Overtime Constraints
overtime
less than or equal to
max overtime % x full time output

Safety Stock Constraints


ending inventory
greater than or equal to
safety stock

End of Year Inventory Constraint


year end inventory
equals
year end inventory target

267,277

212,496

322,057

212,496

212,496

212,496

r (units / month)
Time Worker (%)

21,701
80%
5%
212,496
512,118

pring - 27.29%
April
395,779
195,312
195,312
200,467
(0)

$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$

212,496
212,496
212,496
-

340,608
334,780
92,644
768,032

$ 340,608 $
$
$
$
$
$ 334,782 $
$
$
$
$
$ 92,644 $
$
$
$ 768,033 $

212,496

212,496
=

12,028

340,608
739,246
92,644
1,172,497

212,496
=

12,029

212,496
212,496
212,496
-

Aug
637,975
195,312
195,312
442,663
0

Sept
275,987
195,312
195,312
80,675
0

Oct
275,987
195,312
195,312
80,675
0

212,496
212,496
212,496
-

212,496
212,496
212,496
-

212,496
212,496
212,496
-

$
340,608 $ 340,608
$
$
$
$
$
739,247 $ 739,247
$
$
$
$
$
92,644 $ 92,644
$
$
$ 1,172,499 $ 1,172,499

$ 340,608
$
$
$ 134,727
$
$
$ 92,644
$
$ 567,979

$ 340,608
$
$
$ 134,727
$
$
$ 92,644
$
$ 567,979

212,496

212,496

212,496
212,496
212,496
-

212,496
=

(230,166)

212,496
=

(230,167)

2343750
195312.5
21701.3889
21701

1572154

Summer - 43.99%
Fall - 19.03%
May
June
July
395,779
637,975
637,975
195,312
195,312
195,312
195,312
195,312
195,312
200,468
442,662
442,663
1
(1)
0

212,496
212,496
212,496
-

Year 4 Capacity
Max Monthly Cap
Max Output Per Worker

(230,167)

131,821

131,821

195,312
=

195,312
=

195,312
=

195,312
=

195,312
=

195,312
=

195,312
=

395,779

395,780

637,974

637,975

637,975

275,987

275,987

195,312

195,312

195,312

195,312

195,312

195,312

195,312

195,312

195,312

212,496

212,496

195,312

212,496

212,496

195,312

212,496

212,496

195,312

212,496

195,312

212,496

212,496

195,312

212,496

212,496

212,496

212,496

212,496

Nov
275,987
195,312
195,312
80,675
0

Dec
140,531
195,312
195,312
244,841
299,622

212,496
212,496
212,496
-

212,496
512,118
362,307
-

$ 340,608
$
$
$ 134,727
$
$
$ 92,644
$
$ 567,979

$ 340,608
$
$
$
$
$
$ 157,958
$
$ 498,566

212,496

512,118

131,821

267,277

Total
4,350,817
2,343,744
2,343,744
2,306,695
299,622

238,675
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$

4,087,295
3,443,296
1,248,690
8,779,281

195,312
=

195,312
=

275,987

440,153

195,312

195,312

195,312

195,312

212,496

212,496

512,118

212,496

512,118
=

512,118

Aggregate Planning Yr 5

25243

Period
Forecast
Full Time Employees
Hires
Fires
Output
Regular
Part Time
Overtime
Subcontract
Output - Forecast
Inventory
Beginning
Ending
Average
Backorders
Costs:
Regular
@
Part Time
@
Overtime
@
Subcontract
@
Hire
@
Fire
@
Inventory
@
Backorders @
Total

Output per Full Time Worker (units / month)


Minimum Utilization of Full Time Worker (%)
Maximum Use of Overtime (%)
Safety Stock (units)
End of Year Inventory Target (units)
Winter - 9.69%
Spring - 27.29%
Jan
Feb
March
249,268
249,268
702,015
195,312
195,312
195,312
195,312
195,312
195,312
53,956
53,956
506,703
(0)
(0)
0

512,118
0
$
$
$

1.72 $
3.43 $
2.57 $
$1.64
$
$
500 $
$
500 $
$ 0.43 $
$ 2.57 $
$

512,118
512,118
512,118
335,252
88,304
219,762
643,318

512,118
512,118
512,118
-

512,118
512,118
512,118
-

$ 335,252 $ 335,252
$
$
$
$
$ 88,304 $ 829,270
$
$
$
$
$ 219,762 $ 219,762
$
$
$ 643,318 $ 1,384,284

Constraints
Inventory Balance Equations
current (inventory - backorders)
equals
previous (inventory - backorders) + output - demand

512,118
=

512,118
=

458,162

512,118
=

458,162

5,415

Employee Balance Equations


current employees
equals

previous employees + hire - fires

Total Output Equations


total output
equal
regular + overtime + part time + subcontract

195,312
=

195,312
=

195,312
=

249,268

249,268

702,015

195,312

195,312

195,312

Employee Capacity Constraints


regular output
less than or equal to
output per employee x full time employees

Full Time Employee Constraints


regular output
greater than or equal to
min utilization x full time output

195,312

195,312

195,312

Overtime Constraints
overtime
less than or equal to
max overtime % x full time output

Safety Stock Constraints


ending inventory
greater than or equal to
safety stock

End of Year Inventory Constraint


year end inventory
equals
year end inventory target

512,118

512,118

512,118

512,118

512,118

512,118

units / month)
me Worker (%)

21,701
80%
5%
512,118
563,330

pring - 27.29%
April
702,015
195,312
195,312
506,703
0

Summer - 43.99%
May
702,015
195,312
195,312
506,703
0

512,118
512,118
512,118
$ 335,252
$
$
$ 829,270
$
$
$ 219,762
$
$ 1,384,284

512,118
=

June
1,131,610
195,312
195,312
936,298
0

Fall - 19.03%
July
1,131,610
195,312
195,312
936,298
0

Aug
1,131,610
195,312
195,312
936,298
0

512,118
512,118
512,118
-

512,118
512,118
512,118
-

512,118
512,118
512,118
-

335,252
1,532,345
219,762
2,087,359

$ 335,252
$
$
$ 1,532,345
$
$
$ 219,762
$
$ 2,087,359

512,118

512,118

512,118

512,118
512,118
512,118
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$

Year 5 Capacity
Max Monthly Cap
Max Output/Worker

335,252
829,270
219,762
1,384,284

5,415

5,415

$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$

(424,180)

335,252
1,532,345
219,762
2,087,359

512,118
=

(424,180)

$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$

Sept
489,533
195,312
195,312
294,220
(1)

Oct
489,533
195,312
195,312
294,221
0

512,118
512,118
512,118
-

512,118
512,118
512,118
-

$ 335,252 $ 335,252
$
$
$
$
$ 481,520 $ 481,522
$
$
$
$
$ 219,762 $ 219,762
$
$
$ 1,036,534 $ 1,036,536

512,118
=

(424,180)

2343750
195312.5
21701.38889
21701

217,898

512,118
217,897

195,312
=

195,312

195,312

195,312
=

195,312
=

195,312
=

195,312
=

702,015

702,015

1,131,610

1,131,610

1,131,610

489,532

489,533

195,312

195,312

195,312

195,312

195,312

195,312

195,312

195,312

195,312

512,118

512,118

195,312

512,118

512,118

512,118

195,312

512,118

512,118

195,312

512,118

195,312

512,118

512,118

195,312

512,118

512,118

512,118

512,118

Nov
489,533
195,312
195,312
294,220
(1)

Dec
249,268
195,312
195,312
105,168
51,212

512,118
512,118
512,118
-

512,118
563,330
537,724
-

514,252
-

335,252
172,118
230,750
738,120

$ 4,023,023
$
$
$ 8,878,136
$
$
$ 2,648,131
$
$ 15,549,289

$ 335,252
$
$
$ 481,520
$
$
$ 219,762
$
$ 1,036,534

512,118
=

$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$

563,330
=

217,898

458,162

Total
7,717,276
2,343,744
2,343,744
5,424,744
51,212

195,312
=

195,312
=

489,532

300,480

195,312

195,312

195,312

195,312

512,118

512,118

563,330

512,118

563,330
=

563,330

Aggregate Production Plan Yr 1 w/ Solver

Period
Forecast
Full Time Employees
Hires
Fires
Output
Regular
Part Time
Overtime
Subcontract
Output - Forecast
Inventory
Beginning
Ending
Average
Backorders
Costs:
Regular
@
Part Time
@
Overtime
@
Subcontract
@
Hire
@
Fire
@
Inventory
@
Backorders @
Total

40,086
0
$
$
$

1.92
3.85
2.89

$
$
$
$

500
500
0.77
2.89

Output per Full Time Worker (units / month)


Minimum Utilization of Full Time Worker (%)
Maximum Use of Overtime (%)
Safety Stock (units)
End of Year Inventory Target (units)
Winter - 9.69%
Spring - 27.29%
Jan
Feb
March
April
28,796
28,796
81,099
81,099
3.32
3.32
7.47
7.47
4.16
0.00
5.68
28,796
28,796
81,099
81,099
28,796
28,796
81,099
81,099
0
0
(0)
(0)
40,086
40,086
40,086
-

40,086
40,086
40,086
-

$ 55,397
$
$
$
$
$ 2,841
$ 30,846
$
$ 89,084

$ 55,397
$
$
$
$
$
$ 30,846
$
$ 86,243

40,086

40,086

40,086
40,086
40,086
-

40,086
40,086
40,086
-

$ 156,015 $ 156,015
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
2,079 $
0
$
$
$ 30,846 $ 30,846
$
$
$ 188,940 $ 186,861

Constraints
Inventory Balance Equations
current (inventory - backorders)
equals
previous (inventory - backorders) + output - demand

40,086
=

40,086
=

40,086

40,086

40,086

40,086

Employee Balance Equations


current employees
equals

28,796

28,796

81,099

81,099

previous employees + hire - fires

Total Output Equations


total output
equal
regular + overtime + part time + subcontract

28,796

28,796

81,099

81,099

28,796

28,796

81,099

81,099

Employee Capacity Constraints


regular output
less than or equal to
output per employee x full time employees

35,995

35,995

81,099

81,099

28,796

28,796

81,099

81,099

Full Time Employee Constraints


regular output
greater than or equal to
min utilization x full time output

28,796

28,796

64,880

64,880

Overtime Constraints
overtime
less than or equal to
max overtime % x full time output

1,800

1,800

4,055

4,055

40,086

40,086

40,086

40,086

Safety Stock Constraints


ending inventory
greater than or equal to
safety stock

End of Year Inventory Constraint


year end inventory
equals
year end inventory target

40,086

40,086

40,086

40,086

10,850
Year 1 Capacity
80%
Max Monthly Cap
5%
40,086
49,930
Summer - 43.99%
Fall - 19.03%
May
June
July
Aug
Sept
81,099
130,728
130,728
130,728
56,553
7.47
12.05
12.05
12.05
5.21
0.00
4.57
0.00
0.00
6.84
81,099
130,728
130,728
130,728
56,553
81,099
130,728
130,728
130,728
56,553
(0)
0
0
(0)
40,086
40,086
40,086
-

40,086
40,086
40,086
-

$ 156,015
$
$
$
$
0
$
$ 30,846
$
$ 186,861

$ 251,488
$
$
$
$
2,287
$
$ 30,846
$
$ 284,621

40,086

40,086

40,086
40,086
40,086
-

40,086
40,086
40,086
-

40,086
40,086
40,086
-

$ 251,488 $ 251,488
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
0 $
0
$ 30,846 $ 30,846
$
$
$ 282,334 $ 282,334

$ 108,793
$
$
$
$
$
3,418
$ 30,846
$
$ 143,058

40,086
=

40,086
=

40,086
=

1,171,875
97656.25
Max Monthly Per Worker

Oct
56,553
5.21
56,553
56,553
-

Nov
56,553
5.21
0.00
56,553
56,553
-

Dec
28,796
4.45
0.76
38,640
38,640
9,844

40,086
40,086
40,086
-

40,086
40,086
40,086
-

40,086
49,930
45,008
-

$ 108,793 $
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$ 30,846 $
$
$
$ 139,639 $

108,793
0
30,846
139,639

$ 74,334
$
$
$
$
$
380
$ 34,634
$
$ 109,348

40,086

40,086

49,930

40,086

40,086

40,086

40,086

40,086

40,086

40,086

49,930

12

12

12

12

12

12

81,099

130,728

130,728

130,728

56,553

56,553

56,553

38,640

81,099

130,728

130,728

130,728

56,553

56,553

56,553

38,640

81,099

130,728

130,728

130,728

56,553

56,553

56,553

38,640

81,099

130,728

130,728

130,728

56,553

56,553

56,553

48,300

81,099

130,728

130,728

130,728

56,553

56,553

56,553

38,640

64,880

104,582

104,582

104,582

45,242

45,242

45,242

38,640

4,055

6,536

6,536

6,536

2,828

2,828

2,828

2,415

40,086

40,086

40,086

40,086

40,086

40,086

40,086

49,930

40,086

40,086

40,086

40,086

40,086

40,086

40,086

40,086

49,930
=

49,930

10850.6944
10850

Total
891,529
8.73
13.28
901,373
901,373
9,844

40,496
$ 1,734,016
$
$
$
$
4,366
$
6,640
$ 373,942
$
$ 2,118,963

Aggregate Production Plan Yr 2 w/ Solver

Period
Forecast
Full Time Employees
Hires
Fires
Output
Regular
Part Time
Overtime
Subcontract
Output - Forecast
Inventory
Beginning
Ending
Average
Backorders
Costs:
Regular
@
Part Time
@
Overtime
@
Subcontract
@
Hire
@
Fire
@
Inventory
@
Backorders @
Total

Output per Full Time Worker (units / month)


Minimum Utilization of Full Time Worker (%)
Maximum Use of Overtime (%)
Safety Stock (units)
End of Year Inventory Target (units)
Winter - 9.69%
Spring - 27.29%
Jan
Feb
March
36,135
36,135
101,767
4.45
2.97
2.97
6.70
3.73
1.48
36,135
36,135
101,767
36,135
36,135
101,767
(0)
(0)
(0)

49,930
0
$
$
$

1.84
3.67
2.75

$
$
$
$

500
500
0.73
2.75

$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$

49,930
49,930
49,930
-

49,930
49,930
49,930
-

49,930
49,930
49,930
-

66,334
739
36,663
103,736

$ 66,334 $
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$ 36,663 $
$
$
$ 102,997 $

186,817
1,863
36,663
225,343

49,930

49,930

49,930

49,930

49,930

49,930

Constraints
Inventory Balance Equations
current (inventory - backorders)
equals
previous (inventory - backorders) + output - demand

Employee Balance Equations


current employees
equals

36,135

36,135

101,767

36,135

36,135

101,767

36,135

36,135

101,767

45,168

45,168

101,767

36,135

36,135

101,767

36,135

36,135

81,414

previous employees + hire - fires

Total Output Equations


total output
equal
regular + overtime + part time + subcontract

Employee Capacity Constraints


regular output
less than or equal to
output per employee x full time employees

Full Time Employee Constraints


regular output
greater than or equal to
min utilization x full time output

Overtime Constraints
overtime
less than or equal to
max overtime % x full time output

2,258

2,258

5,088

49,930

49,930

49,930

Safety Stock Constraints


ending inventory
greater than or equal to
safety stock

End of Year Inventory Constraint


year end inventory
equals
year end inventory target

49,930

49,930

49,930

units / month)
me Worker (%)

15,190
80%
5%
49,930
84,803

ring - 27.29%
April
101,767
6.70
0.00
101,767
101,767
0

Year 2 Capacity
Max Monthly Cap

1,640,625
136,719
Max Month/Worker
65758

Summer - 43.99%
Fall - 19.03%
May
June
July
101,767
164,043
164,043
6.70
10.80
10.80
4.10
0.00
101,767
164,043
164,043
101,767
164,043
164,043
(0)
0
0

Aug
164,043
10.80
0.00
164,043
164,043
0

Sept
70,965
5.84
4.96
70,965
70,965
-

Oct
70,965
5.84
70,965
70,965
-

Nov
70,965
5.84
70,965
70,965
-

49,930
49,930
49,930
-

49,930
49,930
49,930
-

49,930
49,930
49,930
-

49,930
49,930
49,930
-

49,930
49,930
49,930
-

49,930
49,930
49,930
-

49,930
49,930
49,930
-

49,930
49,930
49,930
-

$ 186,817
$
$
$
$
0
$
$ 36,663
$
$ 223,480

$ 186,817
$
$
$
$
$
$ 36,663
$
$ 223,480

$ 301,139
$
$
$
$
2,050
$
$ 36,663
$
$ 339,852

$ 301,139
$
$
$
$
$
0
$ 36,663
$
$ 337,802

$ 301,139
$
$
$
$
$
0
$ 36,663
$
$ 337,802

$ 130,272
$
$
$
$
$ 2,480
$ 36,663
$
$ 169,415

$ 130,272
$
$
$
$
$
$ 36,663
$
$ 166,936

$ 130,272
$
$
$
$
$
$ 36,663
$
$ 166,936

49,930

49,930

49,930

49,930

49,930

49,930

49,930

49,930

49,930

49,930

49,930

49,930

49,930

49,930

49,930

49,930

11

11

11

11

11

11

101,767

101,767

164,043

164,043

164,043

70,965

70,965

70,965

101,767

101,767

164,043

164,043

164,043

70,965

70,965

70,965

101,767

101,767

164,043

164,043

164,043

70,965

70,965

70,965

101,767

101,767

164,043

164,043

164,043

88,706

88,706

88,706

101,767

101,767

164,043

164,043

164,043

70,965

70,965

70,965

81,414

81,414

131,234

131,234

131,234

70,965

70,965

70,965

5,088

5,088

8,202

8,202

8,202

4,435

4,435

4,435

49,930

49,930

49,930

49,930

49,930

49,930

49,930

49,930

49,930

49,930

49,930

49,930

49,930

49,930

49,930

49,930

15190.9722
15190

Dec
36,135
5.84
71,008
71,008
34,873
49,930
84,803
67,367
-

Total
1,118,729
7.83
6.44
1,153,601
1,153,601
34,873

51,383
-

$ 130,352 $ 2,117,705
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
3,913
$
$
3,219
$ 49,467 $ 452,763
$
$
$ 179,818 $ 2,577,600

84,803
=

84,803

6
=

71,008
=

71,008

71,008

88,706

71,008

70,965

4,435

84,803

49,930

84,803
=

84,803

Aggregate Production Plan Yr 3 w/ Solver

Period
Forecast
Full Time Employees
Hires
Fires
Output
Regular
Part Time
Overtime
Subcontract
Output - Forecast
Inventory
Beginning
Ending
Average
Backorders
Costs:
Regular
@
Part Time
@
Overtime
@
Subcontract
@
Hire
@
Fire
@
Inventory
@
Backorders @
Total

Output per Full Time Worker (units / month)


Minimum Utilization of Full Time Worker (%)
Maximum Use of Overtime (%)
Safety Stock (units)
End of Year Inventory Target (units)
Winter - 9.69%
Spring - 27.29%
Jan
Feb
March
April
56,818
56,818
160,018
160,018
5.84
3.27
3.27
7.37
7.37
4.10
(0.00)
2.57
56,819
56,818
160,018
160,018
56,819
56,818
160,018
160,018
0
0
(0)
(0)

84,803
0
$
$
$

1.86
3.72
2.79

$
$
$
$

500
500
0.47
2.79

84,803
84,803
84,803
-

84,803
84,803
84,803
-

84,803
84,803
84,803
-

$ 105,695
$
$
$
$
$
1,283
$ 39,438
$
$ 146,417

$ 105,694
$
$
$
$
$
$ 39,438
$
$ 145,132

$ 297,668
$
$
$
$ 2,050
$
$ 39,438
$
$ 339,156

84,803

84,803

84,803

84,803
84,803
84,803
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$

297,668
(0)
39,438
337,106

Constraints
Inventory Balance Equations
current (inventory - backorders)
equals
previous (inventory - backorders) + output - demand

84,803
=

84,803

84,803

84,803

84,803

Employee Balance Equations


current employees
equals

56,819

56,818

160,018

160,018

previous employees + hire - fires

Total Output Equations


total output
equal
regular + overtime + part time + subcontract

56,819

56,818

160,018

160,018

56,819

56,818

160,018

160,018

Employee Capacity Constraints


regular output
less than or equal to
output per employee x full time employees

71,023

71,023

160,018

160,018

56,819

56,818

160,018

160,018

Full Time Employee Constraints


regular output
greater than or equal to
min utilization x full time output

56,818

56,818

128,014

128,014

Overtime Constraints
overtime
less than or equal to
max overtime % x full time output

3,551

3,551

8,001

8,001

84,803

84,803

84,803

84,803

Safety Stock Constraints


ending inventory
greater than or equal to
safety stock

End of Year Inventory Constraint


year end inventory
equals
year end inventory target

84,803

84,803

84,803

84,803

21,701
80%
5%
84,803
212,496

Year 3 Capacity
Monthly Capacity

21701.3889
21701

25243

Summer - 43.99%
Fall - 19.03%
May
June
July
160,018
257,940
257,940
7.37
11.89
11.89
(0.00)
4.51
0.00
160,018
257,940
257,940
160,018
257,940
257,940
(0)
0
0
84,803
84,803
84,803
-

2343750
195312.5
Max Output/Worker

Aug
257,940
11.89
0.00
257,940
257,940
(0)

Sept
111,584
6.43
5.46
111,584
111,584
-

Oct
111,584
6.43
111,584
111,584
-

Nov
111,584
6.43
111,584
111,584
-

Dec
56,818
8.50
2.08
184,511
184,511
127,693

84,803
84,803
84,803
-

84,803
84,803
84,803
-

84,803
84,803
84,803
-

84,803
84,803
84,803
-

84,803
212,496
148,650
-

479,824
0
39,438
519,262

$ 207,571
$
$
$
$
$
2,729
$ 39,438
$
$ 249,739

$ 207,571
$
$
$
$
$
$ 39,438
$
$ 247,009

$ 207,571
$
$
$
$
$
$ 39,438
$
$ 247,009

$ 343,231
$
$
$
$
1,038
$
$ 69,130
$
$ 413,399

84,803

84,803

84,803

84,803

212,496

84,803
84,803
84,803
-

84,803
84,803
84,803
-

$ 479,824
$
$
$
$
2,256
$
$ 39,438
$
$ 521,518

$ 479,824
$
$
$
$
$
0
$ 39,438
$
$ 519,262

84,803

84,803

84,803

84,803

84,803

84,803

84,803

84,803

84,803

84,803

212,496

12

12

12

$ 297,668
$
$
$
$
(0)
$
$ 39,438
$
$ 337,106

$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$

12

12

12

160,018

257,940

257,940

257,940

111,584

111,584

111,584

184,511

160,018

257,940

257,940

257,940

111,584

111,584

111,584

184,511

160,018

257,940

257,940

257,940

111,584

111,584

111,584

184,511

160,018

257,940

257,940

257,940

139,480

139,480

139,480

184,511

160,018

257,940

257,940

257,940

111,584

111,584

111,584

184,511

128,014

206,352

206,352

206,352

111,584

111,584

111,584

147,609

8,001

12,897

12,897

12,897

6,974

6,974

6,974

9,226

84,803

84,803

84,803

84,803

84,803

84,803

84,803

212,496

84,803

84,803

84,803

84,803

84,803

84,803

84,803

84,803

212,496
=

212,496

Total
1,759,080
10.69
8.03
1,886,774
1,886,774
127,693

90,124
$ 3,509,811
$
$
$
$
5,344
$
4,013
$
502,948
$
$ 4,022,116

Aggregate Production Plan Yr 4 w/ Solver


Output per Full Time Worker (units / month)
Minimum Utilization of Full Time Worker (%)
Maximum Use of Overtime (%)
Safety Stock (units)
End of Year Inventory Target (units)
Winter - 9.69%
Spring - 27.29%
Jan
Feb
March
April
140,531
140,531
395,779
395,779
8.50
8.09
8.09
14.05
11.25
5.95
0.41
2.80
140,531
140,531
395,779
395,779
140,531
140,531
304,873
195,312
90,906
200,467
(0)
0
0
0

25,243

Period
Forecast
Full Time Employees
Hires
Fires
Output
Regular
Part Time
Overtime
Subcontract
Output - Forecast
Inventory
Beginning
Ending
Average
Backorders
Costs:
Regular
@
Part Time
@
Overtime
@
Subcontract
@
Hire
@
Fire
@
Inventory
@
Backorders @
Total

212,496
212,496
212,496
-

212,496
212,496
212,496
-

212,496
212,496
212,496
-

212,496
212,496
212,496
-

1.74 $ 245,075
3.49 $
2.62 $
$1.67
$
$
500 $
$
500 $
204
$ 0.44 $ 92,644
$ 2.62 $
$ 337,922

$ 245,075
$
$
$
$
$
$ 92,644
$
$ 337,719

$ 531,674
$
$
$ 151,813
$
2,977
$
$ 92,644
$
$ 779,108

$ 340,608
$
$
$ 334,780
$
$
1,399
$ 92,644
$
$ 769,432

212,496

212,496

212,496

212,496

212,496
0
$
$
$

Constraints
Inventory Balance Equations
current (inventory - backorders)
equals
previous (inventory - backorders) + output - demand

212,496

212,496

212,496

212,496

14

11

Employee Balance Equations


current employees
equals

14

11

140,531

140,531

395,779

395,779

previous employees + hire - fires

Total Output Equations


total output
equal
regular + overtime + part time + subcontract

140,531

140,531

395,779

395,779

140,531

140,531

304,873

195,312

Employee Capacity Constraints


regular output
less than or equal to
output per employee x full time employees

175,664

175,664

304,873

244,139

140,531

140,531

304,873

195,312

Full Time Employee Constraints


regular output
greater than or equal to
min utilization x full time output

140,531

140,531

243,899

195,311

Overtime Constraints
overtime
less than or equal to
max overtime % x full time output

8,783

8,783

15,244

12,207

212,496

212,496

212,496

212,496

Safety Stock Constraints


ending inventory
greater than or equal to
safety stock

End of Year Inventory Constraint


year end inventory
equals
year end inventory target

212,496

212,496

212,496

212,496

21,701
80%
5%
212,496
512,118

Year 4 Capacity
Max Monthly Cap
Max Output Per Worker

2343750
195312.5
21701.3889
21701

1572154

Summer - 43.99%
Fall - 19.03%
May
June
July
395,779
637,975
637,975
11.25
11.25
11.25
395,779
637,975
637,975
195,311
195,313
195,312
200,468
442,662
442,663
0
-

Aug
637,975
11.25
637,975
195,312
442,663
-

Sept
275,987
11.25
275,987
195,312
80,675
0

Oct
275,987
11.25
275,987
195,312
80,675
(0)

Nov
275,987
11.25
275,987
195,312
80,675
0

212,496
212,496
212,496
-

212,496
212,496
212,496
-

212,496
212,496
212,496
-

212,496
212,496
212,496
-

212,496
212,496
212,496
-

212,496
212,496
212,496
-

212,496
212,496
212,496
-

$ 340,607
$
$
$ 334,782
$
$
$ 92,644
$
$ 768,032

$ 340,609
$
$
$ 739,246
$
$
$
92,644
$
$ 1,172,499

$ 340,608
$
$
$ 739,247
$
$
$ 92,644
$
$ 1,172,499

$ 340,608
$
$
$ 739,247
$
$
$
92,644
$
$ 1,172,499

$ 340,608
$
$
$ 134,727
$
$
$ 92,644
$
$ 567,979

$ 340,608
$
$
$ 134,727
$
$
$ 92,644
$
$ 567,979

$ 340,608
$
$
$ 134,727
$
$
$ 92,644
$
$ 567,979

212,496

212,496

212,496

212,496

212,496

212,496

212,496

212,496

212,496

212,496

212,496

212,496

212,496

212,496

11

11

11

11

11

11

11

11

11

11

11

11

11

11

395,779

637,975

637,975

637,975

275,987

275,987

275,987

395,779

637,975

637,975

637,975

275,987

275,987

275,987

195,311

195,313

195,312

195,312

195,312

195,312

195,312

244,139

244,139

244,139

244,139

244,139

244,139

244,139

195,311

195,313

195,312

195,312

195,312

195,312

195,312

195,311

195,311

195,311

195,311

195,311

195,311

195,311

12,207

12,207

12,207

12,207

12,207

12,207

12,207

212,496

212,496

212,496

212,496

212,496

212,496

212,496

212,496

212,496

212,496

212,496

212,496

212,496

212,496

Dec
140,531
11.25
440,153
195,312
244,841
299,622

Total
4,350,817
5.95
3.21
4,650,439
2,343,744
2,306,695
299,622

212,496
512,118
362,307
$ 340,609
$
$
$
$
$
$ 157,958
$
$ 498,567

512,118
=

512,118

11
=

224,980
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$

4,087,295
3,443,296
2,977
1,603
1,177,041
8,712,212

11

440,153
=

440,153

195,312

244,139

195,312

195,311

12,207

512,118

212,496

512,118
=

512,118

Aggregate Production Plan Yr 5 w/ Solver


Output per Full Time Worker (units / month)
Minimum Utilization of Full Time Worker (%)
Maximum Use of Overtime (%)
Safety Stock (units)
End of Year Inventory Target (units)
Winter - 9.69%
Spring - 27.29%
Jan
Feb
March
249,268
249,268
702,015
11.25
11.25
11.25
11.25
249,268
249,268
702,015
195,312
195,312
195,312
53,956
53,956
506,703
(0)
0
-

25243

Period
Forecast
Full Time Employees
Hires
Fires
Output
Regular
Part Time
Overtime
Subcontract
Output - Forecast
Inventory
Beginning
Ending
Average
Backorders
Costs:
Regular
@
Part Time
@
Overtime
@
Subcontract
@
Hire
@
Fire
@
Inventory
@
Backorders @
Total

512,118
512,118
512,118
-

512,118
0
$
$
$

1.72
3.43
2.57
$1.64
$
500
$
500
$ 0.43
$ 2.57

$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$

335,252
88,304
219,762
643,318

512,118
512,118
512,118
-

512,118
512,118
512,118
-

$ 335,252 $ 335,252
$
$
$
$
$ 88,304 $ 829,270
$
$
$
$
$ 219,762 $ 219,762
$
$
$ 643,318 $ 1,384,284

Constraints
Inventory Balance Equations
current (inventory - backorders)
equals
previous (inventory - backorders) + output - demand

512,118
=

512,118
=

512,118
=

512,118

512,118

512,118

11

11

11

Employee Balance Equations


current employees
equals

11

11

11

249,268

249,268

702,015

previous employees + hire - fires

Total Output Equations


total output
equal
regular + overtime + part time + subcontract

249,268

249,268

702,015

195,312

195,312

195,312

Employee Capacity Constraints


regular output
less than or equal to
output per employee x full time employees

244,139

244,139

244,139

195,312

195,312

195,312

Full Time Employee Constraints


regular output
greater than or equal to
min utilization x full time output

195,311

195,311

195,311

Overtime Constraints
overtime
less than or equal to
max overtime % x full time output

12,207

12,207

12,207

512,118

512,118

512,118

Safety Stock Constraints


ending inventory
greater than or equal to
safety stock

End of Year Inventory Constraint


year end inventory
equals
year end inventory target

512,118

512,118

512,118

nits / month)
e Worker (%)

21,701
80%
5%
512,118
563,330

ring - 27.29%
April
702,015
11.25
702,015
195,312
506,703
512,118
512,118
512,118
-

Year 5 Capacity
Max Monthly Cap
Max Output/Worker

Summer - 43.99%
Fall - 19.03%
May
June
July
702,015
1,131,610
1,131,610
11.25
11.25
11.25
702,015
1,131,610
1,131,610
195,312
195,312
195,312
506,703
936,298
936,298
512,118
512,118
512,118
-

512,118
512,118
512,118
-

$ 335,252 $ 335,252 $ 335,252


$
$
$
$
$
$
$ 829,270 $ 829,270 $ 1,532,345
$
$
$
$
$
$
$ 219,762 $ 219,762 $ 219,762
$
$
$
$ 1,384,284 $ 1,384,284 $ 2,087,359

$ 335,252
$
$
$ 1,532,345
$
$
$ 219,762
$
$ 2,087,359

512,118
=

512,118
512,118
512,118
-

512,118
=

512,118
=

512,118
=

2343750
195312.5
21701.38889
21701

Aug
1,131,610
11.25
1,131,610
195,312
936,298
-

Sept
489,533
11.25
489,533
195,313
294,220
-

Oct
489,533
11.25
489,533
195,312
294,221
-

512,118
512,118
512,118
-

512,118
512,118
512,118
-

512,118
512,118
512,118
-

$ 335,252 $ 335,253
$
$
$
$
$ 1,532,345 $ 481,520
$
$
$
$
$ 219,762 $ 219,762
$
$
$ 2,087,359 $ 1,036,535

$ 335,251
$
$
$ 481,522
$
$
$ 219,762
$
$ 1,036,535

512,118
=

512,118
=

512,118
=

512,118

512,118

512,118

512,118

512,118

512,118

512,118

11

11

11

11

11

11

11

11

11

11

11

11

11

11

702,015

702,015

1,131,610

1,131,610

1,131,610

489,533

489,533

702,015

702,015

1,131,610

1,131,610

1,131,610

489,533

489,533

195,312

195,312

195,312

195,312

195,312

195,313

195,312

244,139

244,139

244,139

244,139

244,139

244,139

244,139

195,312

195,312

195,312

195,312

195,312

195,313

195,312

195,311

195,311

195,311

195,311

195,311

195,311

195,311

12,207

12,207

12,207

12,207

12,207

12,207

12,207

512,118

512,118

512,118

512,118

512,118

512,118

512,118

512,118

512,118

512,118

512,118

512,118

512,118

512,118

Nov
489,533
11.25
489,533
195,313
294,220
-

Dec
249,268
11.25
300,480
195,312
105,168
51,212

512,118
512,118
512,118
-

512,118
563,330
537,724
-

$ 335,253
$
$
$ 481,520
$
$
$ 219,762
$
$ 1,036,535

512,118
=

7,768,488
2,343,744
5,424,744
51,212

514,252
-

$ 335,252 $ 4,023,023
$
$
$
$
$ 172,118 $ 8,878,136
$
$
$
$
$ 230,750 $ 2,648,131
$
$
$ 738,119 $ 15,549,289

563,330
=

512,118

563,330

11

11

Total
7,717,276

11

11

489,533

300,480

489,533

300,480

195,313

195,312

244,139

244,139

195,313

195,312

195,311

195,311

12,207

12,207

512,118

563,330

512,118

512,118

563,330
=

563,330

YEAR 1
BEST CASE Demand
Machine
Flash Pasteurizer
Printing Machine
Filler
Sealer
Mixer
Initiator

Square Feet Needed


Cost Per Foot
Total Facilities Cost

YEAR 2
BEST CASE Demand
Machine
Flash Pasteurizer
Printing Machine
Filler
Sealer
Mixer
Initiator

Square Feet Needed


Cost Per Foot
Total Facilities Cost

YEAR 3
BEST CASE Demand
Machine
Flash Pasteurizer
Printing Machine
Filler
Sealer
Mixer
Initiator

Square Feet Needed

1,159,438
Capacity Per Machine Capacity Needed Machines Needed
1,920,000
0.60
1,000,000
1.16
234,375
4.95
18,750,000
0.06
1,920,000
0.60
20,000,000
0.06

1
2
5
1
1
1

Cost Per Machine


$10,000
$4,750
$1,975
$6,900
$8,550
$20,000
Total Cost
Total Capacity

4,000
$12
$48,000

1,455,224
Capacity Per Machine Capacity Needed Machines Needed
1,920,000
0.76
1,000,000
1.46
234,375
6.21
18,750,000
0.08
1,920,000
0.76
20,000,000
0.07

1
2
7
1
1
1

Cost Per Machine


$10,000
$4,750
$1,975
$6,900
$8,550
$20,000
Total Cost
Total Capacity

4,000
$12
$48,000

2,288,256
Capacity Per Machine Capacity Needed Machines Needed Cost Per Machine
1,920,000
1.19
2
$10,000
1,000,000
2.29
3
$4,750
234,375
9.76
10
$1,975
18,750,000
0.12
1
$6,900
1,920,000
1.19
2
$8,550
20,000,000
0.11
1
$20,000
Total Cost
Total Capacity
8,600

Cost Per Foot


Total Facilities Cost

$12
$103,200

Cost of Solar System

$97,500

YEAR 4
BEST CASE Demand
Machine
Flash Pasteurizer
Printing Machine
Filler
Sealer
Mixer
Initiator

Square Feet Needed


Cost Per Foot
Total Facilities Cost

Cost of Solar System

YEAR 5
BEST CASE Demand
Machine
Flash Pasteurizer
Printing Machine
Filler
Sealer
Mixer
Initiator

Square Feet Needed


Cost Per Foot
Total Facilities Cost

Cost of Solar System

2,288,256
Capacity Per Machine Capacity Needed Machines Needed Cost Per Machine
1,920,000
1.19
2
$10,000
1,000,000
2.29
3
$4,750
234,375
9.76
10
$1,975
18,750,000
0.12
1
$6,900
1,920,000
1.19
2
$8,550
20,000,000
0.11
1
$20,000
Total Cost
Total Capacity
8,600
$12
$103,200

$97,500

2,288,256
Capacity Per Machine Capacity Needed Machines Needed Cost Per Machine
1,920,000
1.19
2
$10,000
1,000,000
2.29
3
$4,750
234,375
9.76
10
$1,975
18,750,000
0.12
1
$6,900
1,920,000
1.19
2
$8,550
20,000,000
0.11
1
$20,000
Total Cost
Total Capacity
8,600
$12
$103,200

$97,500

Cost Per Set Capacity Per Set


$10,000
1,920,000
$9,500
2,000,000
$9,875
1,171,875
$6,900
18,750,000
$8,550
1,920,000
$20,000
20,000,000
$64,825
1,171,875

Cost Per Set Capacity Per Set


$10,000
1,920,000
$9,500
2,000,000
$13,825
1,640,625
$6,900
18,750,000
$8,550
1,920,000
$20,000
20,000,000
$68,775
1,640,625

Cost Per Set Capacity Per Set


$20,000
3,840,000
$14,250
3,000,000
$19,750
2,343,750
$6,900
18,750,000
$17,100
3,840,000
$20,000
20,000,000
$98,000
2,343,750

Cost Per Set Capacity Per Set


$20,000
3,840,000
$14,250
3,000,000
$19,750
2,343,750
$6,900
18,750,000
$17,100
3,840,000
$20,000
20,000,000
$98,000
2,343,750

Cost Per Set Capacity Per Set


$20,000
3,840,000
$14,250
3,000,000
$19,750
2,343,750
$6,900
18,750,000
$17,100
3,840,000
$20,000
20,000,000
$98,000
2,343,750

YEAR 1
BEST CASE Demand

Worker Title
Warehouse Maintenance
Packaging Engineer
Product Enablers

YEAR 2
BEST CASE Demand

Worker Title
Warehouse Maintenance
Packaging Engineer
Product Enablers

YEAR 3
BEST CASE Demand

Worker Title
Warehouse Maintenance
Packaging Engineer
Product Enablers

YEAR 4
BEST CASE Demand

Worker Title
Warehouse Maintenance
Packaging Engineer
Product Enablers

1,159,438

Seconds to Produce a Box

Capacity Per Worker (Boxes/Yr)


6
1,200,000
18
400,000
6
1,200,000

1,455,224

Seconds to Produce a Box

Capacity Per Worker (Boxes/Yr)


6
1,200,000
18
400,000
6
1,200,000

2,288,256

Seconds to Produce a Box


6
18
6

Capacity Per Worker (Boxes/Yr)


1,200,000
400,000
1,200,000

2,288,256

Seconds to Produce a Box

Capacity Per Worker (Boxes/Yr)


6
1,200,000
18
400,000
6
1,200,000

YEAR 5
BEST CASE Demand

Worker Title
Warehouse Maintenance
Packaging Engineer
Product Enablers

2,288,256

Seconds to Produce a Box

Capacity Per Worker (Boxes/Yr)


6
1,200,000
18
400,000
6
1,200,000

Capacity Needed Workers Needed Cost Per Worker Total Work Type Cost Capacity of Work Type
0.97
1
$30,000
$30,000
1,200,000
2.90
3
$30,000
$90,000
1,200,000
0.97
1
$30,000
$30,000
1,200,000
Total Cost
$150,000
Total Capacity
1,200,000

Capacity Needed Workers Needed Cost Per Worker Total Work Type Cost Capacity of Work Type
1.21
2
$30,000
$60,000
2,400,000
3.64
4
$30,000
$120,000
1,600,000
1.21
2
$30,000
$60,000
2,400,000
Total Cost
$240,000
Total Capacity
1,600,000

Capacity Needed Workers Needed Cost Per Worker Total Work Type Cost Capacity of Work Type
1.91
2
$30,000
$60,000
2,400,000
5.72
6
$30,000
$180,000
2,400,000
1.91
2
$30,000
$60,000
2,400,000
Total Cost
$300,000
Total Capacity
2,400,000

Capacity Needed Workers Needed Cost Per Worker Total Work Type Cost Capacity of Work Type
1.91
2
$30,000
$60,000
2,400,000
5.72
6
$30,000
$180,000
2,400,000
1.91
2
$30,000
$60,000
2,400,000
Total Cost
$300,000
Total Capacity
2,400,000

Capacity Needed Workers Needed Cost Per Worker Total Work Type Cost Capacity of Work Type
1.91
2
$30,000
$60,000
2,400,000
5.72
6
$30,000
$180,000
2,400,000
1.91
2
$30,000
$60,000
2,400,000
Total Cost
$300,000
Total Capacity
2,400,000

#
CEO/CFO
IS/OM
Sales/MK
Bookkeeping
QC Officer
Warehouse Maintenance
Packaging Engineer
Product Enablers
Salaries Employee
Wage Employees
Total Employment

1
1
1
1
1
1
1
3

Year 1
Total
120,000 120,000
75,000
75,000
70,000
70,000
30,000
30,000
55,000
55,000
25,000
25,000
25,000
25,000
25,000
75,000

CEO/CFO
IS/OM
Sales/MK
Bookkeeping
QC Officer
Warehouse Maintenance
Packaging Engineer
Product Enablers

350,000
125,000
475,000
Total Salaries expense
Total Wages Expense
Total salaries/wages

#
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
3

Year 2
Total
120,000 120,000
75,000
75,000
73,500
73,500
30,000
30,000
55,000
55,000
25,000
25,000
25,000
25,000
25,000
75,000

353,500
125,000
478,500

#
CEO/CFO
OM Director
IS Director
Marketing Director
Sales Director
Sales Associate
Bookkeeping
QC Officer
Warehouse Maintenance
Product Enablers
Packaging Engineer
Total Salaries expense
Total Wages Expense
Total salaries/wages

1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
2
6
2

Year 3
Total
125,000 125,000
70,000
70,000
70,000
70,000
77,150
77,150
70,000
70,000
35,000
35,000
30,000
30,000
55,000
55,000
30,000
60,000
30,000 180,000
30,000
60,000
532,150
300,000
832,150

#
CEO
COO
CFO
HR VP
R&D VP
CTO
CMO
SALES VP
CLIENT SERVICES VP
Warehouse Maintenance
Product Enablers
Packaging Engineer
Private Accountant
Bookkeeper
QC Officer
Research Analyst
Website Maintainer
Marketing Associate
Sales Associate
Supplier Relations
Customer Relations

Total Salaries expense


Total Wages Expense
Total salaries/wages

1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
2
6
2
1
2
1
3
1
1
1
1
2

Year 4
Total
150,000 150,000
95,000
95,000
90,000
90,000
55,000
55,000
65,000
65,000
75,000
75,000
81,034
81,034
73,500
73,500
60,000
60,000
30,000
60,000
30,000 180,000
30,000
60,000
70,000
70,000
30,000
60,000
60,000
60,000
40,000 120,000
37,500
37,500
35,000
35,000
36,750
36,750
40,000
40,000
40,000
80,000

1,283,784
300,000
1,583,784

#
CEO
COO
CFO
HR VP
R&D VP
CTO
CMO
SALES VP
CLIENT SERVICES VP
Warehouse Maintenance
Product Enablers
Packaging Engineer
Private Accountant
Bookkeeper
QC Officer
Research Analyst
Website Maintainer
Marketing Associate
Sales Associate
Supplier Relations
Customer Relations

Total Salaries expense


Total Wages Expense
Total salaries/wages

1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
2
6
2
1
2
1
3
1
1
1
1
2

Year 5
Total
150,000
150,000
95,000
95,000
90,000
90,000
55,000
55,000
65,000
65,000
75,000
75,000
85,085
85,085
77,150
77,150
60,000
60,000
30,000
60,000
30,000
180,000
30,000
60,000
70,000
70,000
30,000
60,000
60,000
60,000
40,000
120,000
37,500
37,500
36,750
36,750
38,588
38,588
40,000
40,000
40,000
80,000

1,295,073
300,000
1,595,073

Cost of Goods Sold (COGS)

YEAR 1
Direct materials
Raw Materials Shipping
Direct costs
Direct labor
Total direct costs
Indirect materials
Indirect labor
Mfg facilities
Mfg equipment
MOH
Mfg IT
Mfg utilities
Mfg insurance
Total MOH
Cost of goods sold

YEAR 3
Direct costs

Direct materials
Raw Materials Shipping

Direct labor
Total direct costs
Indirect materials
Indirect labor
Mfg facilities
Mfg equipment
MOH
Mfg IT
Mfg utilities
Mfg insurance
Total MOH
Cost of goods sold

Per Unit
$
1.59
$
0.03
$
0.17
$ 1.79
$ 0.004
$
0.11
$
0.04
$
0.01
$
0.00
$
0.02
$
0.01
$ 0.20
$ 1.99

$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$

Per Year
1,415,823.99
30,761.86
150,000.00
1,596,585.85
3,539.56
93,750.00
36,000.00
12,965.00
4,000.00
18,000.00
6,000.00
174,254.56
1,770,840.41

Per Unit
Per Year
$
1.55 $ 2,731,714.74
$
0.02
$30,867
$
0.17 $ 300,000.00
$ 1.74 $ 3,062,581.96
6,829.29
$ 0.004 $
87,500.00
$
0.05 $
85,525.00
$
0.05 $
39,100.00
$
0.02 $
7,500.00
$
0.00 $
19,350.00
$
0.01 $
$
14,254.17
$
0.01
$ 0.15 $ 260,058.45
$ 1.89 $ 3,322,640.42

YEAR 5
Direct materials
Direct costs Direct labor
Raw Materials Shipping
Total direct costs
Indirect materials
Indirect labor
MOH

Per Unit
$
1.55

Per Year

$
$

$ 3,639,661.44
0.13 $ 300,000.00
0.01
$32,026

$
$
$

1.68 $ 3,939,661.44
9,099.15
0.00 $
0.05 $ 118,750.00

Finished
Boxes
COGS

Mfg facilities
Mfg equipment
MOH
Mfg IT
Mfg utilities
Mfg insurance
Total MOH
Cost of goods sold

$
$
$
$
$
$
$

0.04
0.02
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.13
1.81

$
85,525.00
$
39,100.00
$
7,500.00
$
19,350.00
$
14,254.17
$ 293,578.32
$13,027,553.05

YEAR 2
Direct materials
Raw Materials Shipping
Direct costs
Direct labor
Total direct costs
Indirect materials
Indirect labor
Mfg facilities
Mfg equipment
MOH
Mfg IT
Mfg utilities
Mfg insurance
Total MOH
Cost of goods sold

YEAR 4
Direct materials
Direct labor
Raw Materials Shipping
Total direct costs
Indirect materials
Indirect labor
Mfg facilities
Mfg equipment
MOH
Mfg IT
Mfg utilities
Mfg insurance
Total MOH
Cost of goods sold
Direct costs

Outsourced Ordering
Per Unit
Per Year
$

1.64 $

8,794,313.29

1.64 $

8,794,313.29

Per Unit
$
1.57
$
0.03
$
0.21
$ 1.81
$ 0.004
$
0.08
$
0.03
$
0.01
$
0.00
$
0.02
$
0.01
$ 0.16
$ 1.97

$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$

Per Year
1,752,801.51
$30,876
240,000.00
2,023,677.99
4,382.00
93,750.00
36,000.00
13,755.00
4,000.00
18,000.00
6,000.00
175,887.00
2,199,564.99

In-house production
Per Unit
Per Year
$
1.55 $ 3,639,661.44
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$

0.13
0.01
1.69
0.00
0.05
0.04
0.02
0.00
0.01
0.01
0.13
1.82

$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$

300,000.00
$30,705
3,970,366.86
9,099.15
118,750.00
85,525.00
39,100.00
7,500.00
19,350.00
14,254.17
293,578.32
7,615,747.28

Finished
Boxes
COGS

Outsourced Ordering
Per Unit
$
1.67
$

1.67

Weighted Avg COGS


54%
46%

Weighted Avg COGS


30% $
70% $
$

0.55
1.14
1.69

Outsourced Ordering
Per Year
$ 3,351,802.10
$ 3,351,802.10

Weighted Avg COGS


$
0.98
$
0.77
$
1.75

Direct Materials Cost


YEAR 1
Item
Vitamin C (mg)
Vitamin D2 (mg)
Vitamin D3 (mg)
Calcium (mg)
Xylitol (mg)
K12 (mg)
M18 (mg)
Plastic Wrap (Wrappings)
Boxes (Boxes)
Fruit Syrup (Drops)
Printer Ink (1 pop's worth of ink)
Fruit Juice (ounces)
Total Mtls Cost
# of pops in a box
YEAR 2
Item
Vitamin C (mg)
Vitamin D2 (mg)
Vitamin D3 (mg)
Calcium (mg)
Xylitol (mg)
K12 (mg)
M18 (mg)
Plastic Wrap (Wrappings)
Boxes (Boxes)
Fruit Syrup (Drops)
Printer Ink (1 pop's worth of ink)
Fruit Juice (ounces)
Total Mtls Cost
# in Boxes

(units)/pop
150
0.133
0.05
350
3000
10
20
1
0.083333333
2
0.083333333
0.4409

12.00000

(units)/pop
150
0.133
0.05
350
3000
10
20
1
0.083333333
2
0.083333333
0.4409

12.00000

YEAR 3
Item
Vitamin C (mg)
Vitamin D2 (mg)
Vitamin D3 (mg)
Calcium (mg)
Xylitol (mg)
K12 (mg)
M18 (mg)

(units)/pop
150
0.133
0.05
350
3000
10
20

Plastic Wrap (Wrappings)


Boxes (Boxes)
Fruit Syrup (Drops)
Printer Ink (1 pop's worth of ink)
Fruit Juice (ounces)
Total Mtls Cost
# in Boxes

1
0.083333333
2
0.083333333
0.4409

12.00000

YEAR 4
Direct Materials Cost (in-house manufacturing)
Item
Vitamin C (mg)
Vitamin D2 (mg)
Vitamin D3 (mg)
Calcium (mg)
Xylitol (mg)
K12 (mg)
M18 (mg)
Plastic Wrap (Wrappings)
Boxes (Boxes)
Fruit Syrup (Drops)
Printer Ink (1 pop's worth of ink)
Fruit Juice (ounces)
Total Mtls Cost
# in Boxes

Direct Materials Cost (outsourcing)


Item
Finished Box
Total Mtls Cost

YEAR 5
Direct Materials Cost (in-house manufacturing)
Item
Vitamin C (mg)
Vitamin D2 (mg)
Vitamin D3 (mg)
Calcium (mg)
Xylitol (mg)
K12 (mg)

M18 (mg)
Plastic Wrap (Wrappings)
Boxes (Boxes)
Fruit Syrup (Drops)
Printer Ink (1 pop's worth of ink)
Fruit Juice (ounces)
Total Mtls Cost
# in Boxes

Direct Materials Cost (outsourcing)


Item
Finished Box
Total Mtls Cost

Cost/unit
$ 0.0000320
$ 0.0002400
$ 0.0002400
$ 0.0000340
$ 0.0000132
$ 0.0013000
$ 0.0013000
$
0.0107
$
0.1500
$
0.0020
$
0.0107
$
0.0200

Cost/mg
$ 0.0000320
$ 0.0002400
$ 0.0002400
$ 0.0000340
$ 0.0000128
$ 0.0012805
$ 0.0012805
$
0.0107
$
0.1500
$
0.0020
$
0.0107
$
0.0200

$
$
$
$
$
$
$

Cost/mg
0.0000320
0.0002400
0.0002400
0.0000340
0.0000124
0.0012805
0.0012805

$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$

Cost/Box
Cost/Unit > 100k Cost/Unit > 50k Cost/Unit > 0-49k
0.06 $
0.0576 $
0.0576 $
0.0576
0.00
0.00
0.14
0.48
0.16
0.31
0.13
0.15
0.048
0.01
0.11
1.5881 $
0.0576 $
0.0576 $
0.0576

$
$
$

Cost/Box
Cost/Unit > 100k Cost/Unit > 50k Cost/Unit > 0-49k
0.06 $
0.0576 $
0.0576 $
0.0576
0.00
0.00
0.14
0.46
0.15
0.31
0.13
0.15
0.0484375
0.01
0.11
1.5668 $
0.0576 $
0.0576 $
0.0576

$
$
$
$
$
$
$

Cost/Box
Cost/Unit > 100k Cost/Unit > 50k Cost/Unit > 0-49k
0.06 $
0.0576 $
0.0576 $
0.0576
0.00
0.00
0.14
0.45
0.15
0.31

$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$

$
$
$
$
$

0.0107
0.1500
0.0020
0.0107
0.0200

(units)/pop
150
0.133
0.05
350
3000
10
20
1
0.083333333
2
0.083333333
0.4409

$
$
$
$
$

0.13
0.15
0.0484375
0.01
0.11
1.5529 $

$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$

Cost/mg
0.00003
0.00024
0.00024
0.00003
0.00001
0.00128
0.00128
0.0107
0.1500
0.0020
0.0107
0.0200

$
$
$
$
$
$

Cost/mg
0.0000320
0.0002400
0.0002400
0.0000340
0.0000124
0.0012805

0.0576

0.0576

0.0576

$
$
$

Cost/Box
Cost/Unit > 100k Cost/Unit > 50k Cost/Unit > 0-49k
0.06 $
0.0576 $
0.0576 $
0.0576
0.00
0.00
0.14
0.45
0.15
0.31
0.13
0.15
0.0484375
0.01
0.11
1.5529 $
0.0576 $
0.0576 $
0.0576

$
$
$
$
$
$

Cost/Box
Cost/Unit > 100k Cost/Unit > 50k Cost/Unit > 0-49k
0.06 $
0.0576 $
0.0576 $
0.0576
0.00
0.00
0.14
0.45
0.15

$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$

12.00000

Cost/Box
$
1.67
$
1.67

(units)/pop
150
0.133
0.05
350
3000
10

20
1
0.083333333
2
0.083333333
0.4409

12.00000

Cost/Box
$
1.64
$
1.64

$ 0.0012805 $
$
0.0107 $
$
0.1500 $
$
0.0020
$
0.0107 $
$
0.0200 $
$

0.31
0.13
0.15
0.0484375
0.01
0.11
1.5529 $

0.0576

0.0576

0.0576

Using individual small bottles


$
$
0.0024
$
0.0024
$
0.0003
$
0.0001
$
0.0130
$
0.0130

Divided by 10
$ $ 0.0002400
$ 0.0002400
$ 0.0000340
$ 0.0000120
$ 0.0013000
$ 0.0013000

Using individual small bottles


$
$
0.0024
$
0.0024
$
0.0003
$
0.0001
$
0.0126
$
0.0126

Divided by 10
$ $ 0.0002400
$ 0.0002400
$ 0.0000340
$ 0.0000118
$ 0.0012600
$ 0.0012600

Using individual small bottles


$
$
0.0024
$
0.0024
$
0.0003
$
0.0001
$
0.0122
$
0.0126

Divided by 10
$ $ 0.0002400
$ 0.0002400
$ 0.0000340
$ 0.0000116
$ 0.0012222
$ 0.0012600

Using individual Divided


small bottles
by 10
$
0.0002 $ 0.0000180
$
0.0024 $ 0.0002400
$
0.0024 $ 0.0002400
$
0.0003 $ 0.0000340
$
0.0001 $ 0.0000120
$
0.0130 $ 0.0013000
$
0.0130 $ 0.0013000

Using individual Divided


small bottles
by 10
$
0.0002 $ 0.0000180
$
0.0024 $ 0.0002400
$
0.0024 $ 0.0002400
$
0.0003 $ 0.0000340
$
0.0001 $ 0.0000120
$
0.0130 $ 0.0013000

0.0130 $ 0.0013000

YEAR 1
Product Demand

Worst case forecast


Most likely forecast
Best case forecast
Mean demand per year
Standard deviation of demand per year
Mean demand per week
Standard deviation of demand per week

Raw Materials Demand


Year 1
623,620
891,529
1,159,438
891,529
89,303
17,145
12,384

YEAR 2
Product Demand

Worst case forecast


Most likely forecast
Best case forecast
Mean demand per year
Standard deviation of demand per year
Mean demand per week
Standard deviation of demand per week

Raw Materials Demand


Year 2
782,234
1,118,729
1,455,224
1,118,729
112,165
21,514
15,554

YEAR 3
Product Demand

Worst case forecast


Most likely forecast
Best case forecast
Mean demand per year
Standard deviation of demand per year

Raw Materials Demand


Year 3
1,229,904
1,759,080
2,288,256
1,759,080
176,392

Mean demand per week


Standard deviation of demand per week

33,828
24,461

YEAR 4
Product Demand

Raw Materials Demand

Worst case forecast


Most likely forecast
Best case forecast
Mean demand per year
Standard deviation of demand per year
Mean demand per week
Standard deviation of demand per week

Year 4
3,045,640
4,350,817
5,655,994
4,350,817
435,059
83,670
60,332

Demand Production Breakdown


In-house Production
Outsourced Ordering

2,343,750
2,007,067

YEAR 5
Product Demand
Worst case forecast
Most likely forecast
Best case forecast
Mean demand per year
Standard deviation of demand per year
Mean demand per week
Standard deviation of demand per week
Demand Production Breakdown
In-house Production
Outsourced Ordering

Raw Materials Demand


Year 5
4,502,480
7,717,276
10,932,073
7,717,276
1,071,599
148,409
148,604

2,343,750
5,373,526

Raw Materials Demand

Vitamin C (mg)
Vitamin D2 (mg)
Vitamin D3 (mg)
Calcium (mg)
Xylitol (mg)
K12 (mg)
M18 (mg)
Plastic Wrap (Wrappings)
Boxes (Boxes)
Fruit Syrup (drops)
Printer Ink (1 pop's worth of ink)
Fruit Juice (ounces)

Year 1
Mean per week Stdev per week
2,571,718
1,857,615
2,280
1,647
857
619
6,000,675
4,334,434
51,434,353
37,152,294
171,448
123,841
342,896
247,682
17,145
12,384
1,429
1,032
34,290
24,768
1,429
1,032
7,559
5,460

Raw Materials Demand

Vitamin C (mg)
Vitamin D2 (mg)
Vitamin D3 (mg)
Calcium (mg)
Xylitol (mg)
K12 (mg)
M18 (mg)
Plastic Wrap (Wrappings)
Boxes (Boxes)
Fruit Syrup (drops)
Printer Ink (1 pop's worth of ink)
Fruit Juice (ounces)

Year 2
Mean per week Stdev per week
3,227,102
2,333,173
2,861
2,069
1,076
778
7,529,906
5,444,070
64,542,048
46,663,461
215,140
155,545
430,280
311,090
21,514
15,554
1,793
1,296
43,028
31,109
1,793
1,296
9,486
6,858

Raw Materials Demand

Vitamin C (mg)
Vitamin D2 (mg)
Vitamin D3 (mg)
Calcium (mg)

Year 3
Mean per week Stdev per week
5,074,270
3,669,175
4,499
3,253
1,691
1,223
11,839,963
8,561,409

Xylitol (mg)
K12 (mg)
M18 (mg)
Plastic Wrap (Wrappings)
Boxes (Boxes)
Fruit Syrup (drops)
Printer Ink (1 pop's worth of ink)
Fruit Juice (ounces)

101,485,397
338,285
676,569
33,828
2,819
67,657
2,819
14,915

73,383,508
244,612
489,223
24,461
2,038
48,922
2,038
10,785

Raw Materials Demand

Vitamin C (mg)
Vitamin D2 (mg)
Vitamin D3 (mg)
Calcium (mg)
Xylitol (mg)
K12 (mg)
M18 (mg)
Plastic Wrap (Wrappings)
Boxes (Boxes)
Fruit Syrup (drops)
Printer Ink (1 pop's worth of ink)
Fruit Juice (ounces)

Year 4
Mean per week Stdev per week
12,550,434
9,049,774
11,128
8,024
4,183
3,017
29,284,346
21,116,140
251,008,678
180,995,485
836,696
603,318
1,673,391
1,206,637
83,670
60,332
6,972
5,028
167,339
120,664
6,972
5,028
36,890
26,600

Raw Materials Demand

Vitamin C (mg)
Vitamin D2 (mg)
Vitamin D3 (mg)
Calcium (mg)
Xylitol (mg)
K12 (mg)
M18 (mg)
Plastic Wrap (Wrappings)
Boxes (Boxes)
Fruit Syrup (drops)
Printer Ink (1 pop's worth of ink)
Fruit Juice (ounces)

Year 5
Mean per week Stdev per week
22,261,374
22,290,604
19,738
19,764
7,420
7,430
51,943,206
52,011,409
445,227,484
445,812,078
1,484,092
1,486,040
2,968,183
2,972,081
148,409
148,604
12,367
12,384
296,818
297,208
12,367
12,384
65,434
65,520

Years 1-5: No Quantity discounts available

EOQ for materials


YEAR 1

Vitamin C (mg)
Vitamin D2 (mg)
Vitamin D3 (mg)
Calcium (mg)
Xylitol (mg)
K12 and M18 (mg)
Plastic Wrap (Wrappings)
Boxes (Boxes)
Fruit Syrup (drops)
Printer Ink (1 pop's worth of ink)
Fruit Juice (ounces)

Carrying cost (H)


$
0.0000
$
0.0001
$
0.0001
$
0.0000
$
0.0000
$
0.0010
$
0.0043
$
0.0600
$
0.0008
$
0.0043
$
0.0080

EOQ(From Formula) Boxes Worth


64,645,504
35,914
702,891
440,408
430,970
718,283
95,799,281
22,809
449,661,349
12,491
3,207,315
8,909
289,058
24,088
22,255
22,255
939,934
39,164
83,457
83,457
289,013
54,626

Carrying cost (H)


$
0.0000
$
0.0001
$
0.0001
$
0.0000
$
0.0000
$
0.0010
$
0.0043
$
0.0600
$
0.0008
$
0.0043
$
0.0080

EOQ(From Formula) Boxes Worth


72,415,754
40,231
787,377
493,344
482,772
804,619
107,314,148
25,551
511,439,683
14,207
3,620,081
10,056
323,803
26,984
24,930
24,930
1,052,912
43,871
93,488
93,488
323,752
61,191

Carrying cost (H)


$
0.0000
$
0.0001

EOQ(From Formula) Boxes Worth


114,861,228
63,812
1,248,887
782,510

YEAR 2

Vitamin C (mg)
Vitamin D2 (mg)
Vitamin D3 (mg)
Calcium (mg)
Xylitol (mg)
K12 and M18 (mg)
Plastic Wrap (Wrappings)
Boxes (Boxes)
Fruit Syrup (drops)
Printer Ink (1 pop's worth of ink)
Fruit Juice (ounces)

YEAR 3

Vitamin C (mg)
Vitamin D2 (mg)

Vitamin D3 (mg)
Calcium (mg)
Xylitol (mg)
K12 and M18 (mg)
Plastic Wrap (Wrappings)
Boxes (Boxes)
Fruit Syrup (drops)
Printer Ink (1 pop's worth of ink)
Fruit Juice (ounces)

$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$

0.0001
0.0000
0.0000
0.0006
0.0027
0.0375
0.0005
0.0027
0.0050

765,742
170,214,823
823,661,851
5,741,940
513,595
39,543
1,670,062
148,285
513,514

1,276,236
40,527
22,879
15,950
42,800
39,543
69,586
148,285
97,058

YEAR 4

Vitamin C (mg)
Vitamin D2 (mg)
Vitamin D3 (mg)
Calcium (mg)
Xylitol (mg)
K12 and M18 (mg)
Plastic Wrap (Wrappings)
Boxes (Boxes)
Fruit Syrup (drops)
Printer Ink (1 pop's worth of ink)
Fruit Juice (ounces)

Carrying cost (H)


$
0.0000
$
0.0001
$
0.0001
$
0.0000
$
0.0000
$
0.0006
$
0.0027
$
0.0375
$
0.0005
$
0.0027
$
0.0050

EOQ(From Formula) Boxes Worth


180,640,882
100,356
1,964,109
1,230,645
1,204,273
2,007,121
267,694,820
63,737
1,295,363,162
35,982
9,030,281
25,084
807,725
67,310
62,188
62,188
2,626,486
109,437
233,206
233,206
807,597
152,642

Carrying cost (H)


$
0.0000
$
0.0001
$
0.0001
$
0.0000
$
0.0000
$
0.0006
$
0.0027
$
0.0375
$
0.0005
$
0.0027
$
0.0050

EOQ(From Formula) Boxes Worth


240,581,739
133,657
2,615,846
1,639,001
1,603,878
2,673,130
356,522,204
84,886
1,725,194,865
47,922
12,026,738
33,408
1,075,747
89,646
82,824
82,824
3,498,016
145,751
310,590
310,590
1,075,577
203,292

YEAR 5

Vitamin C (mg)
Vitamin D2 (mg)
Vitamin D3 (mg)
Calcium (mg)
Xylitol (mg)
K12 and M18 (mg)
Plastic Wrap (Wrappings)
Boxes (Boxes)
Fruit Syrup (drops)
Printer Ink (1 pop's worth of ink)
Fruit Juice (ounces)

Production Days
Worth
10
123
201
6
4
2
7
6
11
23
15

Lowest Possible EOQ


(in days worth)
30
30
30
30
30
30
30
30
30
30
30

Production Days
Worth
9
110
180
6
3
2
6
6
10
21
14

Lowest Possible EOQ


(in days worth)
30
30
30
30
30
30
30
30
30
30
30

Production Days
Worth
9
111

Lowest Possible EOQ


(in days worth)
30
30

Actual EOQ
Boxes Worth
192,570,197
106,983
702,891
440,408
430,970
718,283
449,330,459
106,983
3,851,403,937
106,983
38,514,039
106,983
1,283,801
106,983
106,983
106,983
2,567,603
106,983
106,983
106,983
566,028
106,983

Production Days
Worth
30
123
201
30
30
30
30
30
30
30
30

Actual EOQ
Boxes Worth
241,645,411
134,247
787,377
493,344
482,772
804,619
563,839,293
134,247
4,832,908,229
134,247
48,329,082
134,247
1,610,969
134,247
134,247
134,247
3,221,939
134,247
134,247
134,247
710,276
134,247

Production Days
Worth
30
110
180
30
30
30
30
30
30
30
30

Actual EOQ
Boxes Worth
379,961,349
211,090
1,248,887
782,510

Production Days
Worth
30
111

181
6
3
2
6
6
10
21
14

30
30
30
30
30
30
30
30
30

Production Days
Worth
11
131
214
7
4
3
7
7
12
25
16

Lowest Possible EOQ


(in days worth)
30
30
30
30
30
30
30
30
30
30
30

Production Days
Worth
4
53
87
3
2
1
3
3
5
10
7

Lowest Possible EOQ


(in days worth)
30
30
30
30
30
30
30
30
30
30
30

765,742
886,576,482
7,599,226,986
75,992,270
2,533,076
211,090
5,066,151
211,090
1,116,833

1,276,236
211,090
211,090
211,090
211,090
211,090
211,090
211,090
211,090

181
30
30
30
30
30
30
30
30

Actual EOQ
Boxes Worth
506,250,000
281,250
1,964,109
1,230,645
1,204,273
2,007,121
1,181,250,000
281,250
10,125,000,000
281,250
101,250,000
281,250
3,375,000
281,250
281,250
281,250
6,750,000
281,250
281,250
281,250
1,488,038
281,250

Production Days
Worth
30
131
214
30
30
30
30
30
30
30
30

Actual EOQ
Boxes Worth
1,666,931,700
926,073
2,615,846
1,639,001
1,603,878
2,673,130
3,889,507,300
926,073
33,338,634,003
926,073
333,386,340
926,073
11,112,878
926,073
926,073
926,073
22,225,756
926,073
926,073
926,073
4,899,668
926,073

Production Days
Worth
30
53
87
30
30
30
30
30
30
30
30

Shipping Costs
Per Order
$200
$200
$200
$200
$200
$200
$200
$200
$200
$200
$850

Shipping Costs
Per Order
$200
$200
$200
$200
$200
$200
$200
$200
$200
$200
$850

Shipping Costs
Per Order
$200
$200

Orders Per Year


12.17
2.96
1.81
12.17
12.17
12.17
12.17
12.17
12.17
12.17
12.17
Total Shipping Costs

Shipping Costs
Per Material
$2,433
$591
$362
$2,433
$2,433
$2,433
$2,433
$2,433
$2,433
$2,433
$10,342
$30,762

Orders Per Year


12.17
3.31
2.03
12.17
12.17
12.17
12.17
12.17
12.17
12.17
12.17
Total Shipping Costs

Shipping Costs
Per Material
$2,433
$662
$406
$2,433
$2,433
$2,433
$2,433
$2,433
$2,433
$2,433
$10,342
$30,876

Shipping Costs
Orders Per Year
Per Material
12.17
$2,433
3.28
$656

$200
$200
$200
$200
$200
$200
$200
$200
$850

Shipping Costs
Per Order
$200
$200
$200
$200
$200
$200
$200
$200
$200
$200
$850

Shipping Costs
Per Order
$200
$200
$200
$200
$200
$200
$200
$200
$200
$200
$850

2.01
12.17
12.17
12.17
12.17
12.17
12.17
12.17
12.17
Total Shipping Costs

$402
$2,433
$2,433
$2,433
$2,433
$2,433
$2,433
$2,433
$10,342
$30,867

Orders Per Year


12.17
2.78
1.70
12.17
12.17
12.17
12.17
12.17
12.17
12.17
12.17
Total Shipping Costs

Shipping Costs
Per Material
$2,433
$556
$341
$2,433
$2,433
$2,433
$2,433
$2,433
$2,433
$2,433
$10,342
$30,705

Orders Per Year


12.17
6.87
4.21
12.17
12.17
12.17
12.17
12.17
12.17
12.17
12.17
Total Shipping Costs

Shipping Costs
Per Material
$2,433
$1,375
$843
$2,433
$2,433
$2,433
$2,433
$2,433
$2,433
$2,433
$10,342
$32,026

YEAR 1

YEAR 2

Assumptions

Assumptions

Annual carrying cost rate


Fixed cost per order
Fixed cost per order (Fruit Juice)

40%
$ 200.00
$ 850.00

Service level
Manufacturer's price
Cost of goods sold
Cost of shortage
Weekly carrying cost rate
Cost of excess
Service level
z

Annual carrying cost rate


Fixed cost per order
Fixed cost per order (Fruit Juice)
Service level

$
$
$

3.35
1.99
1.37
0.77%
$ 0.0153
99%
2.29

Manufacturer's price
Cost of goods sold
Cost of shortage
Weekly carrying cost rate
Cost of excess
Service level
z

YEAR 4

YEAR 5

Assumptions

Assumptions

Annual carrying cost rate


Fixed cost per order
Fixed cost per order (Fruit Juice)

25%
$ 200.00
$ 850.00

Service level
Manufacturer's price
Cost of goods sold
Cost of shortage
Weekly carrying cost rate
Cost of excess
Service level
z

Annual carrying cost rate


Fixed cost per order
Fixed cost per order (Fruit Juice)
Service level

$
$
$

3.06
1.75
1.31
0.48%
0.0084
99.3622%
2.49

Manufacturer's price
Cost of goods sold
Cost of shortage
Weekly carrying cost rate
Cost of excess
Service level
z

YEAR 3
Assumptions
40%
$ 200.00
$ 850.00

Annual carrying cost rate


Fixed cost per order
Fixed cost per order (Fruit Juice)

25%
$ 200.00
$ 850.00

Service level
$
$
$

3.25
1.97
1.29
0.77%
$ 0.0151
99%
2.27

25%
$ 200.00
$ 850.00

$
$
$

2.97
1.81
1.16
0.48%
0.0087
99%
2.44

Manufacturer's price
Cost of goods sold
Cost of shortage
Weekly carrying cost rate
Cost of excess
Service level
z

$
$
$

3.16
1.89
1.27
0.48%
$ 0.01
99%
2.45

Raw Materials Inventory


YEAR 1
Cycle stock (all)

Vitamin C (mg)
Vitamin D2 (mg)
Vitamin D3 (mg)
Calcium (mg)
Xylitol (mg)
K12 and M18 (mg)
Plastic Wrap (Wrappings)
Boxes (Boxes)
Fruit Syrup (drops)
Printer Ink (1 pop's worth of ink)
Fruit Juice (ounces)
TOTAL

Order quantity
192,570,197
702,891
430,970
449,330,459
3,851,403,937
38,514,039
1,283,801
106,983
2,567,603
106,983
566,028

Cycle stock
106,983
440,408
215,485
224,665,230
1,925,701,968
19,257,020
641,901
53,492
1,283,801
53,492
283,014
2,171,082,486

Investment
30
123
$
52
$
7,639
$ 25,473
$ 50,068
$
6,849
$
8,024
$
2,591
$
571
$
5,660
$ 98,258

Order quantity
379,961,349
1,248,887
765,742
886,576,482
7,599,226,986
75,992,270
2,533,076
211,090
5,066,151
211,090
1,116,833

Cycle stock
211,090
782,510
382,871
443,288,241
3,799,613,493
37,996,135
1,266,538
105,545
2,533,076
105,545
558,417
4,283,646,422

Investment
30
111
$
92
$ 15,072
$ 47,290
$ 97,308
$ 13,514
$ 15,832
$
5,112
$
1,126
$ 11,168
$ 189,249

Order quantity
1,666,931,700
2,615,846
1,603,878
3,889,507,300

Cycle stock
Investment
926,073
30
1,639,001
53
801,939 $
192
1,944,753,650 $ 66,122

YEAR 3
Cycle stock (all)

Vitamin C (mg)
Vitamin D2 (mg)
Vitamin D3 (mg)
Calcium (mg)
Xylitol (mg)
K12 and M18 (mg)
Plastic Wrap (Wrappings)
Boxes (Boxes)
Fruit Syrup (drops)
Printer Ink (1 pop's worth of ink)
Fruit Juice (ounces)
TOTAL

YEAR 5
Cycle stock (all)

Vitamin C (mg)
Vitamin D2 (mg)
Vitamin D3 (mg)
Calcium (mg)

Xylitol (mg)
K12 and M18 (mg)
Plastic Wrap (Wrappings)
Boxes (Boxes)
Fruit Syrup (drops)
Printer Ink (1 pop's worth of ink)
Fruit Juice (ounces)
TOTAL

33,338,634,003
333,386,340
11,112,878
926,073
22,225,756
926,073
4,899,668

16,669,317,002
166,693,170
5,556,439
463,037
11,112,878
463,037
2,449,834
18,790,150,311

$ 207,466
$ 426,901
$ 59,287
$ 69,455
$ 22,428
$
4,939
$ 48,997
$ 829,507

YEAR 2
Cycle stock (all)

Vitamin C (mg)
Vitamin D2 (mg)
Vitamin D3 (mg)
Calcium (mg)
Xylitol (mg)
K12 and M18 (mg)
Plastic Wrap (Wrappings)
Boxes (Boxes)
Fruit Syrup (drops)
Printer Ink (1 pop's worth of ink)
Fruit Juice (ounces)
TOTAL

Order quantity
241,645,411
787,377
482,772
563,839,293
4,832,908,229
48,329,082
1,610,969
134,247
3,221,939
134,247
710,276

Cycle stock
134,247
493,344
241,386
281,919,647
2,416,454,114
24,164,541
805,485
67,124
1,610,969
67,124
355,138
2,724,279,888

Investment
30
110
$
58
$
9,585
$ 31,005
$ 61,885
$
8,595
$ 10,069
$
3,251
$
716
$
7,103
$ 121,337

Order quantity
506,250,000
1,964,109
1,204,273
1,181,250,000
10,125,000,000
101,250,000
3,375,000
281,250
6,750,000
281,250
1,488,038

Cycle stock
281,250
1,230,645
602,136
590,625,000
5,062,500,000
50,625,000
1,687,500
140,625
3,375,000
140,625
744,019
5,707,692,156

Investment
30
131
$
145
$ 20,081
$ 63,008
$ 129,651
$ 18,006
$ 21,094
$
6,812
$
1,500
$ 14,880
$ 252,145

YEAR 4
Cycle stock (all)

Vitamin C (mg)
Vitamin D2 (mg)
Vitamin D3 (mg)
Calcium (mg)
Xylitol (mg)
K12 and M18 (mg)
Plastic Wrap (Wrappings)
Boxes (Boxes)
Fruit Syrup (drops)
Printer Ink (1 pop's worth of ink)
Fruit Juice (ounces)
TOTAL

Work In Process (WIP) Inventory


YEAR 1
Average production lead time
Mean demand
WIP units
Average value of WIP
WIP investment

1 week
17,145 per week
17,145
$
1.79
$ 30,641

YEAR 3
Average production lead time
Mean demand
WIP units
Average value of WIP
WIP investment

1 week
33,828 per week
33,828
$
1.72
$ 58,215

YEAR 5
Average production lead time
Mean demand
WIP units
Average value of WIP
WIP investment

1 week
148,409 per week
148,409
$
1.68
$ 249,261

YEAR 2
Average production lead time
Mean demand
WIP units
Average value of WIP
WIP investment

1 week
21,514 per week
21,514
$
1.77
$ 38,004

YEAR 4
Average production lead time
Mean demand
WIP units
Average value of WIP
WIP investment

1 week
83,670 per week
83,670
$
1.69
$ 141,075

Finished Goods Inventory


YEAR 1

YEAR 2

Safety stock

Safety stock

Average production lead time


Production planning interval
Standard deviation of demand
z (from service level)
Safety stock units
Safety stock investment

1 week
1 week
12,384 per week
2.29
40,086
$ 79,622

Cycle stock
Average production batch size
Cycle stock units
Cycle stock investment

Average production lead time


Production planning interval
Standard deviation of demand
z (from service level)
Safety stock units
Safety stock investment
Cycle stock

17,145
8,572
$ 17,027

Average production batch size


Cycle stock units
Cycle stock investment

YEAR 4

YEAR 5

Safety stock

Safety stock

Average production lead time


Production planning interval
Standard deviation of demand
z (from service level)
Safety stock units
Safety stock investment

1 week
1 week
60,332 per week
2.49
212,496
$ 386,590

Cycle stock
Average production batch size
Cycle stock units
Cycle stock investment

Average production lead time


Production planning interval
Standard deviation of demand
z (from service level)
Safety stock units
Safety stock investment
Cycle stock

83,670
41,835
$ 76,109

Average production batch size


Cycle stock units
Cycle stock investment

YEAR 3
Safety stock
1 week
1 week
15,554 per week
2.27
49,930
$ 98,169

Average production lead time


Production planning interval
Standard deviation of demand
z (from service level)
Safety stock units
Safety stock investment

1
1
24,461
2.45
84,803
$ 160,180

Cycle stock
21,514
10,757
$ 21,150

1 week
1 week
148,604 per week
2.44
512,118
$ 924,979

148,409
74,205
$ 134,027

Average production batch size


Cycle stock units
Cycle stock investment

33,828
16,914
$ 31,948

week
week
per week

Income Statement Year 1

Sales
Direct costs

COGS
MOH

Direct materials
Direct labor
Total direct costs
Indirect materials
Indirect labor
Mfg facilities
Mfg equipment
Mfg IT
Mfg utilities
Mfg insurance
Total MOH

Total COGS
Gross margin
Marketing promotions
Sales salaries & commissions
Other
Executive & clerical salaries
Office facilities
IT
SG&A
Accounting
Administrative costs
R&D
Legal
Depreciation
Other
Total SG&A
Income before taxes
Taxes
Net income
Selling costs

Per Unit
$ 3.35
$ 1.59
$ 0.17
$ 1.79
$ 0.00
$ 0.11
$ 0.04
$ 0.01
$ 0.00
$ 0.02
$ 0.01
$ 0.20
$ 1.99
$ 1.37
$ 0.37
$ 0.43
$ 0.01
$ 0.39
$ 0.01
$ 0.02
$ 0.02
$ 0.17
$ 0.02
$
$
$
$
$

0.00
1.43
(0.06)
(0.06)

$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$

Total
2,990,544.18
1,415,823.99
150,000.00
1,596,585.85
3,539.56
93,750.00
36,000.00
12,965.00
4,000.00
18,000.00
6,000.00
174,254.56
1,770,840.41
1,219,703.77
332,760.23
379,905.44
7,476.36
350,000.00
12,000.00
13,871.90
15,000.00
149,527.21
13,457.45
12,965.00
1,495.27
1,288,458.87
(68,755.10)
(68,755.10)

Income Statement Year 3

Sales
Direct costs

COGS
MOH

Direct materials
Direct labor
Total direct costs
Indirect materials
Indirect labor
Mfg facilities
Mfg equipment

Per Unit
$ 3.16
$ 1.55
$ 0.17
$ 1.74
$ 0.00
$ 0.05
$ 0.05
$ 0.02

Total
$ 5,551,929.74
$ 2,731,714.74
$
300,000.00
$ 3,062,581.96
$
6,829.29
$
87,500.00
$
85,525.00
$
39,100.00

COGS
MOH

Mfg IT
Mfg utilities
Mfg insurance
Total MOH

Total COGS
Gross margin
Marketing promotions
Sales salaries & commissions
Other
Executive & clerical salaries
Office facilities
IT
SG&A
Accounting
Administrative costs
R&D
Legal
Depreciation
Other
Total SG&A
Income before taxes
Taxes
Net income
Selling costs

$
7,500.00
$
19,350.00
$
14,254.17
$
260,058.45
$ 3,322,640.42
$ 2,229,289.33
$
353,610.53
$
580,519.30
$
41,639.47
$
125,000.00
$
98,925.00
$
92,994.78
$
15,000.00
$
277,596.49
$
24,983.68
$
39,100.00
$ 0.00 $
2,775.96
$ 0.92 $ 1,652,145.21
577,144.11
$ 0.35 $
230,857.64
$ 0.14 $
346,286.47
$ 0.21 $
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$

0.00
0.01
0.01
0.15
1.89
1.27
0.20
0.33
0.02
0.07
0.06
0.05
0.01
0.16
0.01

Income Statement Year 5

Sales
Direct costs

COGS
MOH

Direct materials
Direct labor
Total direct costs
Indirect materials
Indirect labor
Mfg facilities
Mfg equipment
Mfg IT
Mfg utilities
Mfg insurance
Total MOH

Total COGS
Gross margin
Selling costs

SG&A
Administrative costs

Marketing promotions
Sales salaries & commissions
Other
Executive & clerical salaries
Office facilities

Per Unit
$ 2.97
$ 1.61
$ 0.13
$ 1.65
$ 0.00
$ 0.02
$ 0.01
$ 0.01
$ 0.00
$ 0.00
$ 0.00
$ 0.04
$ 1.69
$ 1.28
$ 0.11
$ 0.22
$ 0.03
$ 0.19
$ 0.01

$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$

Total
22,917,426.17
12,433,974.73
300,000.00
12,733,974.73
9,099.15
118,750.00
85,525.00
39,100.00
7,500.00
19,350.00
14,254.17
293,578.32
13,027,553.05
9,889,873.12
837,934.61
1,705,848.52
229,174.26
1,500,000.00
98,925.00

IT
Accounting
Administrative costs
R&D
Legal
Depreciation
Other
Total SG&A
Income before taxes
Taxes
Net income
SG&A

$
$
$
$

0.02
0.01
0.15
0.01

$
$
$
$
$
$ 0.00 $
$ 0.76 $
$ 0.52 $
$ 0.21 $
$ 0.31 $

119,002.30
80,000.00
1,145,871.31
114,587.13
39,100.00
11,458.71
5,881,901.84
4,007,971.28
1,603,188.51
2,404,782.77

Income Statement Year 2

Sales
Direct costs

COGS
MOH

Direct materials
Direct labor
Total direct costs
Indirect materials
Indirect labor
Mfg facilities
Mfg equipment
Mfg IT
Mfg utilities
Mfg insurance
Total MOH

Total COGS
Gross margin
Marketing promotions
Sales salaries & commissions
Other
Executive & clerical salaries
Office facilities
IT
SG&A
Accounting
Administrative costs
R&D
Legal
Depreciation
Other
Total SG&A
Income before taxes
Taxes
Net income
Selling costs

Per Unit
$ 3.25
$ 1.57
$ 0.21
$ 1.81
$ 0.00
$ 0.08
$ 0.03
$ 0.01
$ 0.00
$ 0.02
$ 0.01
$ 0.16
$ 1.97
$ 1.29
$ 0.30
$ 0.35
$ 0.01
$ 0.31
$ 0.01
$ 0.01
$ 0.01
$ 0.16
$ 0.01
$
$
$
$
$

0.00
1.18
0.11
0.04
0.06

Income Statement Year 4

Sales
Direct costs

COGS
MOH

Direct materials
Direct labor
Total direct costs
Indirect materials
Indirect labor
Mfg facilities
Mfg equipment

Per Unit
$ 3.06
$ 1.61
$ 0.07
$ 1.68
$ 0.00
$ 0.03
$ 0.02
$ 0.01

COGS
MOH

Mfg IT
Mfg utilities
Mfg insurance
Total MOH

Total COGS
Gross margin
Marketing promotions
Sales salaries & commissions
Other
Executive & clerical salaries
Office facilities
IT
SG&A
Accounting
Administrative costs
R&D
Legal
Depreciation
Other
Total SG&A
Income before taxes
Taxes
Net income
Selling costs

$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$

0.00
0.00
0.00
0.07
1.75
1.31
0.17
0.35
0.03
0.34
0.02
0.03
0.02
0.15
0.02

$
$
$
$
$

0.00
1.14
0.17
0.07
0.10

$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$

Total
3,640,084.09
1,752,801.51
240,000.00
2,023,677.99
4,382.00
93,750.00
36,000.00
13,755.00
4,000.00
18,000.00
6,000.00
175,887.00
2,199,564.99
1,440,519.10
334,492.07
386,400.84
9,100.21
350,000.00
12,000.00
15,323.90
15,000.00
182,004.20
16,380.38
13,755.00
1,820.04
1,670,768.71
(230,249.60)
(230,249.60)

Total
$ 13,319,897.33
$ 6,991,463.54
$
300,000.00
$ 7,322,168.96
$
9,099.15
$
118,750.00
$
85,525.00
$
39,100.00

$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$

7,500.00
19,350.00
14,254.17
293,578.32
7,615,747.28
5,704,150.05
746,756.53
1,513,897.95
133,198.97
1,500,000.00
98,925.00
131,474.56
80,000.00
665,994.87
66,599.49
39,100.00
6,659.95
4,982,607.31
721,542.74
288,617.10
432,925.65

Balance Sheet Year 1

Balance Sheet Year 2

Current Assets
Raw materials
Work in process
Inventories
Finished goods
TOTAL

Current Assets
$ 98,258
$ 30,641
$ 96,650
$ 225,548

Balance Sheet Year 4


Current Assets
Raw materials
Work in process
Inventories
Finished goods
TOTAL

Inventories

Balance Sheet Year 5


Current Assets
$ 252,145
$ 141,075
$ 462,699
$ 855,920

Inventories

Balance Sheet Year 3


Current Assets
Raw materials
Work in process
Finished goods
TOTAL

$
$
$
$

121,337
38,004
119,319
278,659

Raw materials
Work in process
Finished goods
TOTAL

$ 829,507
$ 249,261
$ 1,059,006
$ 2,137,774

Inventories

Raw materials
Work in process
Finished goods
TOTAL

$ 189,249
$ 58,215
$ 192,128
$ 439,592

Assumptions For SM 323 Project

Scenario: BASE CASE


Year

15,837,431
891,529
3.35
1.82

1,118,729
3.25
1.84

Start-Up Costs (time 0)

Initial Investment in Fixed Assets


Initial Working Capital:
Cash (Additional Cash required ABOVE start up costs)
Start up Inventory (Raw materials + FG)

Tax Deductible (Income statement costs)


Initial Operating Expenses: (Tax deductible)
Product Development
IT and IS Costs
Pre-Marketing Expenses
All Other (Miscellaneous)

64,825

50,000
136,821

20,000
50,887
25,275
10,000

Operating Information (time 1-5)


Units Sold Yrs. 1 - 5

Units Sold (from marketing plan)


Selling Price per Unit
Variable Cost per Unit
Fixed Production Costs ($)
Fixed Administrative Costs ($)
Marketing Expenses ($)
Marketing Expenses (% Sales)
Fixed Administrative Costs (% Sales)
Depreciation ($)
Other Assumptions
Friends, Family and Mgmt Contribution (1)
Friends, Family and Mgmt Ownership (2)

174,255
175,887
955,699
1,001,785
332,760
334,492
11%
9%
31%
27%
$ 12,965.00 $ 13,755.00

25%
30%

Investor Contribution of Funds


Investor Ownership Percentage

75%
70%

Discount Rate (Mandatory)


Tax Rate
Inflation Rate
Cash % Sales

25%
40%
2%
3%
Days

Accounts Receivable Days (Sales) Years 3-5


Accounts Payable Days (COGS)

35
40

% of 365

9.59%
10.96%

Accounts Receivable Year 1


Accounts Receivable Year 2

45
40

12.33%
10.96%

Accounts Payable Year 1


Accounts Payable Year 2

50
45

13.70%
12.33%

1,759,080
3.16
1.77

4,350,817
3.06
1.74

7,717,276
2.97
1.68

260,058
293,578
293,578
1,298,535
4,235,851
5,043,967
353,611
746,757
837,935
6%
6%
4%
22%
30%
20%
$ 39,100.00 $ 39,100.00 $ 39,100.00

Income Statement

Year

Total Units
Price Per Unit
Variable Cost per Unit
Total Sales

Total Cost of Goods Sold + Sales Commissions

COGS % Sales
Gross Margin
Net Income % Sales
S,G&A % Sales

4
4,350,817
3.06
1.74

2,990,544 3,640,084 5,551,930 13,319,897

Variable Costs
Fixed Production Costs
Gross Profit
Start-Up Costs (non balance sheet)
Fixed Administrative Costs
Marketing Costs
Depreciation
Earnings Before Tax
Taxes
Net Income

1
2
3
891,529 1,118,729 1,759,080
3.35
3.25
3.16
1.82
1.84
1.77

1,626,491 2,060,079 3,118,101

7,588,567

174,255
175,887
260,058
1,800,746 2,235,966 3,378,160

293,578
7,882,145

1,189,798 1,404,118 2,173,770

5,437,752

106,162
925,793
332,760

965,384 1,243,015
334,492 353,611

3,969,453
746,757

12,965

13,755

39,100

39,100

-106,162

-68,755

104,242

577,144

721,543

41,697

230,858

288,617

-106,162

-68,755

62,545

346,287

432,926

60.21%
39.79%
-2.30%
42.08%

61.43%
38.57%
1.72%
35.71%

60.85%
39.15%
6.24%
28.76%

59.18%
40.82%
3.25%
35.41%

5
7,717,276
2.97
1.68
22,917,426
13,000,373
293,578
13,293,951

9,623,475
4,585,619
837,935
39,100

4,199,922
1,679,969

2,519,953
58.01%
41.99%
11.00%
23.67%

Balance Sheet
Year

Minimum Cash Balance


Accounts Receivable
Raw Materials Inventory
Finished Goods Inventory
Current Assets
Gross Fixed Assets
Depreciation
Net Fixed Assets
TOTAL ASSETS

Accounts Payable
Current Liabilities
Paid in Capital (Cumulative Plug)
Retained Earnings before dividends
Dividends (Cumulative)
Total Equity

0
50,000
0
57,198

79,622
186,821
64,825
0
64,825

251,646

1
2
89,716 109,203
368,697 398,913
57,198

71,046

3
4
5
166,558 399,597 687,523
532,377 1,277,250 2,197,561
107,321

245,989

420,790

99,176 166,733 401,373 931,688 924,979


614,788 745,895 1,207,629 2,854,524 4,230,853
64,825
68,775 195,500 195,500 195,500
12,965
51,860

26,720
42,055

65,820
129,680

104,920
90,580

144,020
51,480

666,648 787,950 1,337,309 2,945,104 4,282,333

197,342

245,037

370,209

863,797 1,456,871

197,342 245,037

370,209

863,797 1,456,871

357,808 644,223 655,285


-106,162 -174,917 -112,372
0
251,646

0
469,306

TOTAL LIABILTIES AND EQUITY

251,646

666,648 787,950 1,337,309 2,945,104 4,282,333

Net Working Capital Balance

186,821

417,446 500,858
30.00
30.00

Inventory Days COGS

0
542,913

733,185 1,414,467 1,414,467


233,915 666,840 3,186,793
0
0 1,775,799
967,100 2,081,307 2,825,462

837,420 1,990,727 2,773,982


30.00
30.00
30.00

Cash Flow Statement

Year
Initial Investment in Fixed Assets
Net Income
+ Depreciation
- Change in Net Working Capital
- Change in Fixed Assets
Net Cash Flow

0
-64,825

-106,162 -68,755 62,545 346,287


0 12,965 13,755 39,100
-186,821 -230,625 -83,412 -336,562
0
0 -3,950 -126,725
-292,983 -286,415 -11,062 -77,900

Terminal Value of Business *


Total Cash Flow

-357,808 -286,415 -11,062

-77,900

Investor Cash Flows


Friends and Family Cash Flows

-268,356 -214,811
-89,452 -71,604

-58,425
-19,475

Net Present Value:

Project
Investors
Friends, Family and Mgmt

$1,207,457
$799,572
$407,885

Internal Rate of Return:

Project
Investors
Friends, Family and Mgmt
* Value of business from year 6 through product life cycle

57.08%
54.36%
64.38%

-8,296
-2,765

432,926 2,519,953
39,100
39,100
-1,153,308 -783,254
0
0
-681,282 1,775,799 1,953,379 1,953,379
4,695,192
-681,282 6,470,991
-510,962 4,529,694
-170,321 1,941,297

1,367,365

957,156

10

574,293

Year

Northeast Northeast Northeast Northeast

Target Market
Total Adjusted Purchase Intent

Awareness
ACV
Total Trial Units (000s)

West

3,927,591 3,927,591 3,927,591 3,927,591 5,864,044


34.92%
64.00%
4.00%
891,529

34.92%
71.70%
5.60%

34.92%
73.20%
9.20%

1,118,729 1,759,080

34.92%
73.96%
16.52%

34.92%
70.38%
4.00%

4,350,817

5
Northeast

West

3,927,591 5,864,044
34.92%
76.04%
27.38%

34.92%
73.37%
8.18%

7,717,276

Year
Raw Materials
Finished Goods

0
57,198.1

1
57,198.1

2
3
4
5
71,045.9 107,321.3 245,988.6 420,790.0

79,622.5

99,175.9 166,733.3 401,373.0 931,688.2 924,979.0

Year

Variable Costs
Fixed Admin.
COGS % Sales
Gross Margin
Net Income % Sales
S,G&A % Sales

Raw Materials Inv.


Finished good Inv.
Retained Earnings
Days Inventory (COGS)

IRR
Project
Investors
Friends, Family and Mgmt

1,626,491
925,793
60.21%
39.79%
-2.30%
42.08%

2,060,079
965,384
61.43%
38.57%
1.72%
35.71%

3,118,101
1,243,015
60.85%
39.15%
6.24%
28.76%

7,588,567
3,969,453
59.18%
40.82%
3.25%
35.41%

57,198
79,622

57,198
99,176

71,046
166,733

107,321
401,373

245,989
931,688

(106,162)

(174,917)
30

(112,372)
30

233,915
30

666,840
30

Terminal Value
NPV
Project
Investors
Friends, Family and Mgmt

$ 1,207,456.76
$
799,571.85
$
407,884.91

57.08%
54.36%
64.38%

5
13,000,373
4,585,619
58.01%
41.99%
11.00%
23.67%
420,790
924,979
3,186,793
30
4,695,192

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