Four Decades of Scientific Explanation by wesley c. Salmon. He says the classic essay "Studies in the Logic of Explanation" constitutes the fountainhead from which everything done subsequently on philosophical problems of Scientific Explanation flows.
Four Decades of Scientific Explanation by wesley c. Salmon. He says the classic essay "Studies in the Logic of Explanation" constitutes the fountainhead from which everything done subsequently on philosophical problems of Scientific Explanation flows.
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Four Decades of Scientific Explanation by wesley c. Salmon. He says the classic essay "Studies in the Logic of Explanation" constitutes the fountainhead from which everything done subsequently on philosophical problems of Scientific Explanation flows.
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Vol. XXII, No. 66 (diciembre 1990): 3-23 SCIENTIFIC EXPLANATION: CAUSATION AND UNIFICATION WESLEY C. SALMON University of Pittsburgh For the past few years I have been thinking about the philoso- phy of scientific explanation from the standpoint of its recent history. Many of these reflections have been published in Four Decades of Scientific Explanation (1990). They have, I believe, provided some new insight on some old problems, and they suggest that genuine progress has been made in this area of philosophy of science. 1.Looking Back: Two Grand Traditions The classic essay, "Studies in the Logic of Explanation," by Carl G. Hempel and Paul Oppenheim (1948) constitutes the fountainhead fromwhich almost everything done subsequently on philosophical problems of scientific explanation flows. Strangely enough, itwas almost totally ignored for afull decade. Although the crucial parts were repr-inted in the famous an- thology Readings in the Philosophy of Science, edited by Her- bert Feigl and May Brodbeck (1953), it is not cited at all in R. B. Braithwaite's well-known book, Scientific Explanation (1953). During the first decade after publication of the Hempel- Oppenheim paper very little was published on scientific expla- 3 nation in general-Braithwaite's book being the main excep- tion. Mostof theworkonexplanation during that period focused either onexplanation inhistoryoronteleological/functional ex- planation. Inthe years 1957 and 1958 thesituation changed dramati- cally. Atthat timeadelugeof workonscientific explanation be- gan, much of it highly critical of theHempel-Oppenheim view. Vigorousattacks camefromMichael Scrivenand N. R. Hanson amongothers. SylvainBromberger and Israel Scheffler offered important criticisms, but they were offered more in the spirit of friendly amendments "thanoutright attacks on the JIempel- Oppenheim program(seeW.Salmon, 1990, pp. 33-46). Whenwereflect onwhat happened wecanseethat twogrand traditions emerged. Hempel advocated a viewof scientific ex- planation according towhichexplanation consists indeductive or inductive subsumption of that which is tobeexplained (the explanandum) under one or more laws of nature. This tradi- tioncould find examples that had strong intuitive appeal-for instance, the explanation of the laws of optics by Maxwell's electrodynamics, or theexplanation of the ideal gas lawbythe molecular-kinetic theory. These examples also illustrate what isoftencalled "theoretical reduction" of onetheory toanother. Another example, if it could beworkedout successfully, would be methodological individualism in the social sciences, for it would result in the reduction of the various social sciences to psychology. Ironically, the very examples that furnish the strongest in- tuitive appeal for the subsumption approach are of a type that Hempel and Oppenheim found intractable. Although they of- fered an account of explanations of particular facts, they ac- knowledged in a notorious footnote (note33), that they could not provide anaccount of explanations of general laws. Tothe best of my knowledge, Hempel never returned to this recal- citrant problem. It should also be noted that, while Hempel and Oppenheim casually identified their pattern of explana- 4 tion (later knownas thedeductive-nomological or D-N model) withcausal explanation, Hempel later argued emphatically that causality does not play any sort of crucial role inscientific ex- planation (1%5, 2.2). Theother major tradition wasadvanced primarily byScriven, and it made a strong identification between causality and ex- planation. Roughly and briefly, toexplain an event is toiden- tify itscause. Theexamples that furnish thestrongest intuitive basis for this conception are cases of explanations of particu- lar occurrences-for instance, thesinking of theTitanic or the Chernobyl nuclear accident. The most serious problem with this approach has been the lack of any adequate analysis of causality onwhichtofoundit. GivenHume's searching critique of that concept, something morewasneeded. As these twotraditions developed over the years, there was oftenconflict, sometimes quite rancorous, between their advo- cates. At present, I believe, wehave reached astage inwhich a significant degree of rapprochement isentirely possible. 2. Explanation as Unification Theidea that scientific explanation consists inshowingthat ap- parently disparate phenomena can be shownto be fundamen- tally similar has been around foralongtime, longbefore 1948. However, Michael Friedman, in "Explanation and Scientific Understanding" (1974), seems to have been the first philoso- pher toarticulate this conception clearly and toattempt tospell out thedetails. Hisbasic thesis isthat weincrease our scientific understanding of theworldtotheextent that wecan reduce the number of independently acceptable assumptions that are re- quired toexplain natural phenomena. Byphenomena hemeans regularities innature such as Kepler's first law (planets move inelliptical orbits) or Hooke's law (theamount of deformation of anelastic body isproportional totheforceapplied). It should be noted that Friedman is attempting tofurnish an account of 5 the explanation of laws, which is just the sort of explanation Hempel and Oppenheim found themselves unable tohandle. Inorder for Friedman's programtowork, it isobviously nec- essary tobeable tocount thenumber of assumptions involved inany given explanation. Inorder tofacilitate that procedure, Friedman offers a definition of a technical term, "K-atomic statement." This concept isrelativized toaknowledge situation K. A statement is K-atomic provided it isnot equivalent totwo or more generalizations that are independently acceptable in knowledge situation K. A given statement is acceptable inde- pendently of another if it ispossible tohave evidence adequate fortheacceptance of thegivenstatement without ipsofacto hav- ing evidence adequate to accept the other. The problem that arises for Friedman's program is that it seems impossible to have any K-atomic statements-at least, any that could plausi- bly betaken as fundamental lawsof nature. For instance, New- ton's law of universal gravitation, which prior toEinstein, was agoodcandidate for afundamental law, can bepartitioned into (1) "Between all pairs of masses inwhich both members are of astronomical dimensions there is a forceof attraction proJX>r- tional to the product of the masses and inversely proportional tothe square of the distance between them," (2) "Between all pairs of masses in which one member is of astronomical di- mensions and one is smaller there is aforceof attraction ... ," and (3) "Between all pairs of masses inwhich both are of less than astronomic size there is a force of attraction ... " State- ment (1) is supported by planetary motions and the motion of themoon. Statement (2) issupported byNewton's falling apple, and indeed, byall phenomena towhich Calileo's lawof falling bodies applies. Statement (3) is supported by the Cavendish torsion-balance experiment. It seems possible topartition vir- tually any universal statement into twoor more independently acceptable generalizations. If Friedman's programhad worked it would have solved the Hempel-Oppenheim problemof footnote33. It appears, how- 6 ever, not to be satisfactory in the formoriginally given. Al- though Philip Kitchel' (1976) offered his own (different) cri- tique of Friedman's paper, heaccepted thebasic idea of expla- nation asunification, and hehas elaborated it inadifferent way inaseries of papers, of which"Explanatory Unification and the Causal Structure of the World" (1989) is the most recent and most detailed. 3. Causality and Mechanism Around 1970, when I was trying towork out the details of the statistical relevance or S-R model of scientific explanation, I had hopes that the fundamental causal concepts could be ex- plicated in terms of statistical concepts alone, and that, con- sequently, theS-R model could furnish what was chiefly lack- ing in the causal approach. By 1980, that no longer seemed possible, and I shifted myfocus toanattempt toexplicate cer- tain causal mechanisms, inparticular, causal interactions and causal processes (seew: Salmon, 1984, chaps. ~). I took as primitives thenotion of aprocess and that of aspatio-temporal intersection of processes. The aim is to distinguish between processes that are causal and those that are not (causal pro- cesses vs. pseudo-processes) and todistinguish those intersec- tions of processes (whether causal or pseudo) that are genuine causal interactions and those that are not. Thebasic idea-s-stated roughly and briefly-is that aninter- section of twoprocesses isacausal interaction if bothprocesses aremodified inthe intersection inwaysthat persist beyond the point of intersection, even in the absence of further intersec- tions. When twobilliard balls collide, for instance, the state of motion of each is modified, and those modifications persist beyond thepoint of collision. Aprocess is causal if it iscapable of transmitting amark-that is, if itiscapable of entering intoa causal interaction. Forexample, abeamof white light becomes 7 and remains red if it passes through a piece of red glass, and theglass absorbs someenergy inthesameinteraction. However, notall intersections of causal processes arecausal interactions. If twolight rays intersect they are superimposed ononeanother inthelocus of intersection, but after they leave that place each of themcontinues on as if nothing had hap- pened. A process-such asalight beam-is causal if itcanbe modified or marked inawaythe persists beyond the point of intersection as a result of some intersection withanother pro- cess. Causal processes are capable of transmitting energy, in- formation, and causal influence fromonepart of spacetime to another. I haveargued that causal processes are precisely the kinds of causal connections Hume sought, but was unable to find. I have also argued that such connections do not violate Hume's strictures against mysterious powers. Itisimportant torecognizethat thesecausal mechanisms are not necessarily deterministic. In particular, causal processes can interact probabilistically. Myfavorite example is Comp- ton scattering, in which an energetic photon collides with a virtually stationary electron. The angles at which the photon and electron emergefromtheinteraction arenot strictly deter- mined; thereis, instead, aprobability distribution over awhole range of pairs of angles. By conservation of momentum and energy, however, there is a strict correlation between the two scattering angles. Thecausal mechanisms of interaction and transmission are strongly local; they leave no roomfor what Einstein called "spooky action-at-a-distance." Interactions occur inarestrict- edspacetime region, andprocesses transmit inaspatio-tcmpo- rally continuous fashion. Regrettably (tomeand manyothers), however, quantum mechanics appears to involveviolations of local causality. Thereseems tobeaquantummechanism, often knownas"thecollapseof thewavefunction," whichisradically nonlocal, and which isnot really understood as yet. 8 I prefer tothink of theconception of explanation that emerges fromtheseconsiderations ascausal/mechanical, Theaimof ex- planations of this sort istoexhibit thewaysinwhich nature op- erates; it is an effort tolay bare the mechanisms that underlie thephenomena weobserve and wishtoexplain. 4. Some New Perspectives During the 1960s and 1970s the ideas developed by Hempel constituted a received view of scientific explanation. It was based on the Hempel-Oppenheim 1948 paper, and was artic- ulated most fully inHempel's "Aspects of Scientific Explana- tion" (1965). As a result of numerous criticisms, it is fair to say, the 'received view' is no longer received. Its natural suc- cessor is the unification conception due chiefly to Friedman and Kitcher. The causal conception as originally advocated by Scriven and others has also undergone transformation, primarily as a result of more careful and detailed analysis of causality, but also because of the admitted possibility that there are mecha- nisms of a noncausal type as well. It has involved an explicit recognition of theHumean critique of causality, andanattempt toovercome theHumean difficulties. Given the history of opposition between the 'received view' and thecausal viewof scientific explanation, it isnot surpris- ing that philosophers continue to find opposition between the successors. Friedman, forexample, contrasted local andglobal accounts. According to the older v.iewsof both Hempel and Scriven, explanation isalocal affair, inthesensethat onecould giveaperfectly acceptable explanation of asmall and isolated phenomenon without appeal toglobal theories. Onecould give aHempelian explanation of theelectrical conductivity of apar- ticular penny bypointing out that it ismadeof copper, andcop- per is an electrical conductor. Onecould givea Scrivenesque explanation of astainonacarpet bycitingthefact that aclumsy 9 professor bumped anopen ink bottle off of thedesk withhis el- bow. In contrast to both of the foregoing accounts, Friedman's unification viewrequires us tolook at our entire body of scien- tific knowledge, to see whether a given attempt at explanation reduces the number of assumptions needed tosystematize that body of knowledge. Friedman's conception ispatently global. Kitcher (1989) has made arelated distinction between con- ceptions hecharacterizes as "bottom-up" and "top-down." The Hempelian approach illustrates the bottom-up way. Webegin by explaining theconductivity of apenny byappeal tothegen- eralization that copper isaconductor. Wecan explain whycop- per is a conductor in terms of the fact that it is a metal We can explain why metals are conductors in terms of the behav- ior of their electrons. And so it goes fromthe particular fact to the more general laws until wefinally reach the most compre- hensive available theory. Thecausal/mechanical approach has the same sort of bottom-up quality. Fromrelatively superficial causal explanations of particular facts weappeal to ever more general types of mechanisms until wereach themost ubiquitous mechanisms that operate in the universe. Kitcher's top-down approach, in contrast, looks to the most general explanatory schemes we can find, and works down fromthere to charac- terize such items as laws and causal relations. Inaspirit quite different fromthoseof Friedman and Kitcher, Peter Railton has advocated an approach that makes the bot- tom-up and top-down, as well as the local and global, concep- tions complementary rather than contrary. In "Probability, Ex- planation, and Information" (1981) he introduces the concept of an ideal explanatory text which is extremely global and de- tailed. Hesuggests, however, that wehardly ever seek toartic- ulate fully such an ideal text. Rather, wefocus on portions or aspects of the ideal text, and try toilluminate these. When we succeed wehave furnished explanatory infor mation. Different investigators, or groups of investigators, have different inter- ests and work ondifferent portions of the ideal text. Pragmatic 10 considerations determine for a given individual or group what nortion of the ideal text tolook at, and inwhat depth of detail. 5. Rapprochement? My main purpose in this paper is to consider the possibility, suggested byRailton's work, that thesuccessors of the'received view' and itscausal opponent, areactually compatible andcom- plementary. Let mebegin by offering acouple of examples. (I) A friend recounted thefollowingincident. Awaiting take- off on ajet airplane, he found himself sitting across the aisle fromayoungboywhowas holding ahelium-filled balloon by a string. Inorder topique thechild's curiosity, heasked the boy what hethought theballoon woulddowhen theairplane accel- erated rapidly for takeoff. After considering forafewmoments, the boy said he thought it would move toward the back of the cabin. Myfriend said he believed that it would move forward inthecabin. Several other passengers overheard this claimand expressed skepticism. A flight attendant evenwagered aminia- ture bottle of Scotch that hewaswrong--a wager hewas happy toaccept. Indue course, the pilot received clearance for take- off, theairplane accelerated, and theballoon movedtoward the front of the cabin. And myfriend enjoyed a freedrink courtesy of the flight attendant. Twoexplanations of the balloon's strange behavior can be given. First, it can be pointed out that, when the plane ac- celerates, the rear wall of the cabin exerts a force on the air molecules near the back, which produces a pressure gradient fromrear tofront. Giventhat theinertia of theballoon issmaller than that of the air it displaces, the balloon tends to move in the direction of less dense air. This isa straightforward causal explanation interms of the forces exerted on the various parts of the physical system. Second, one can appeal to Einstein's principle of equivalence, which says that an acceleration is physically equivalent toa gravitational field. The effect of the 11 acceleration of theairplane isthesameasthat of agravitational field. Since theheliumballoon tends torise inair intheearth's gravitational field, it will tend tomoveforward intheair of the cabin inthepresence of theaircraft's acceleration. This second explanation is clearly an example of a unification-type expla- nation, fortheprinciple of equivalence isbothfundamental and comprehens ive. (2) A mother leaves her active baby in a carriage in a hall that has asmoothlevel floor. Shecarefully locks thebrakes on the wheels so that the carriage will not move in her absence. When shereturns shefinds, however, that bypushing, pulling, rocking, bouncing, etc., thebaby has succeeded inmoving the carriage some little distance. Another mother, whose educa- tionincludes somephysics, suggests that next timethecarriage brakes be left unengaged. Though skeptical, the first mother tries theexperiment and finds that thecarriage has moved lit- tle, if at all, during her absence. Sheasks the other mother to explain this lack of mobility when thebrakes are off. Twodifferent explanations can be given; each assumes that therolling friction of thecarriage isnegligible when thebrakes are off. The first (at least in principle) possible explanation would involve an analysis of all of the forces exerted by the baby onthecarriage and thecarriage onthebaby, showinghow they cancel out. This would be a detailed causal explanation. The second explanation would appeal to the law of conserva- tion of linear momentum, noting that the systemconsisting of thebaby and thecarriage isessentially isolated (withrespect to horizontal motion) when thebrake isoff, but islinked with the floor, thebuilding, and theearth whenthe brake ison. This is an explanation inthe unification sense, for it appeals directly toafundamental lawof nature. Thefirst point I should liketoemphasize inconnection with both of these examples fromphysics is that both explanations are perfectly legitimate in both cases; neither is intrinsically superior totheother. Pragmatic considerations oftendetermine 12 which of the two types is preferable in any particular situa- tion. Invocation of Einstein's principle of equivalence wouldbe patently inappropriate for theboywiththeballoon, and for the other adults inthat situation, because it isfar toosophisticated. All of themcould, however, understand aclear explanation in terms of forces and pressures. The twoexamples are meant to show that explanations of the twodifferent types are not anti- thetical, but rather, complementary. I should likealso toconsider afamousexample frombiology, (3) the case of the peppered moth in the vicinity of Liverpool, England. This moth spends much of its life on the trunks of plane trees, which naturally have alight-colored bark. Prior to the industrial revolution the pale formof this mothwas preva- lent, for its light color matched the bark of the tree, and con- sequently provided protection against predators. During the industrial revolution in that area, air pollution darkened the color of the tree bark, and the dark (melanic) formof the pep- pered moth became prevalent, because the darker color then provided better protection. Inthepost-industrial-revolution pe- 1;00, since thepollution has been drastically reduced, theplane trees have again acquired their natural light-colored bark, and the light formof the peppered moth is again becoming domi- nant. Inthis example, like the twopreceding, twodifferent expla- nations are available toaccount for thechanges incolor of the moth. Thefirst has already been suggested inthe presentation of theexample; it involves such evolutionary considerations as natural selection, mutation, and theheritability of traits. This is the unification style of explanation interms of basic and com- prehensive principles biology. Thesecond kind of explanation is biochemical in nature; it deals with the nitty-gritty details of thecausal processes and interactions involved inthebehav- ior of DNA and RNA molecules and the synthesis of proteins leading up to the coloration of the moth. In order to explain the above mentioned changes in color, it would have to take 13 account also of the births, deaths, and reproductive histories of the individual moths. Although such a causal/mechanical explanation would bebrutally complex, it ispossible inprinci- ple. Again, there is nothing incompatible about the twokinds of explanation. Theuse of this kind of biological example leads into amore general consideration regarding the status of functional expla- nations. In the case of the peppered moth, we were clearly concerned with a function of the coloration, namely, its func- tion as camouflage for protection against predators. Although somephilosophers havetried tocast doubt upon thelegitimacy of functional explanations, I amstrongly inclined to consider themscientifically admissible. In myopinion, Larry Wright, a student of Scriven, has given the most convincing theory (1976). Wright makes a distinction between teleological ex- planations andfunctional ascriptions, but his accounts of them are fundamentally similar; they involvewhat hecalls aconse- quence-etiology. It is acausal account inwhich the cause of a feature's presence is the fact that inthe past when it has been present it has had acertain result or consequence. It isnotjust that it has had such consequences inthepast; inaddition, the fact that it had such consequences is causally responsible for its coming into being inthe present instance. I shall use the term"functional explanation" to cover both teleological explanations and functional ascriptions inWright's terminology. Although functional explanations inthis sense are causal, they do not have afine-grained causal character-that is to say, they do not go into the small details of the causal processes and interactions involved. They do, of course, ap- peal to the mechanisms of evolution-inheritance and natural selection-but these are coarse-grained mechanisms. Wright is, however, perfectly willing toadmit that fine-grained causal explanations are also possible. Just as wecan givea straight- forwardly mechanistic account of theworkings of athermostat, whose function is tocontrol temperature inabuilding, soalso 14 isit possible, at least inprinciple, togiveathoroughly physico- chemical account of some itemthat has a biological function, such as thecolor of thepeppered moth. Although. somephiloso- phers have maintained that the mechanistic explanation, when it can be ziven. sunersedes the functional p.YnlRnRtionWriaht tional explanation need not givewaytothe mechanistic expla- nation. I think he iscorrect inthis view. The philosophical issue of the status of functional explana- tions is not confined tobiology; the problem arises inpsychol- ogy, anthropology, and the other social or behavioral sciences aswell. Whether oneregards Freudian psychoanalysis as asci- ence or not, the issue iswell-illustrated inthat discipline. Ac- cording toFreud, theoccurrence and thecontent of dreams can be explained functionally. The dream preserves sleep by re- solvingsomepsychological problemthat might otherwise cause the subject toawaken. Thecontent of the dream isdetermined by the nature of the problem. However, even if it is possible to provide a psychoanalytic explanation of a given dream, it may also bepossible togiveanother explanation incompletely neurophysiological terms. This would beafine-grained causal explanation that incorporates the physical and chemical pro- cesses going on in the nervous system of the subject. I am suggesting that the twoexplanations need not conflict withone another, and I believe that, inthis opinion, I aminagreement with Freud. 6. Can Quantum Mechanics Explain:? Ever since the publication of the famous Einstein-Podolsky- Rosen paper (1935), there has been considerable controversy over the explanatory status of the quantum theory. Einstein seems tohave taken anegative attitude, while Bohr appears to have adopted an affirmative one. As the discussion has devel- oped, thequestion of local causality veI8US action-at-a-distance 15 has become thecrucial issue. TheEPR paper showedthat there could, inprinciple, becorrelations between remote events that seemto defy explanation. Further work by David Bohm, John Bell, and A. Aspect have shownthat such correlations actually exist inexperimental situations, and that local hidden-variable causal explanations are precluded. A clear and engaging ac- count of these issues can befound inN. David Mermin (1985). Because these fine-grained causal explanations are not possi- ble, many philosophers, myself included, have concluded that quantum mechanics does notprovideexplanations of these cor- relations. As I suggested above, there seemtobe mechanisms at the quantum level that are noncausal, and that are not well understood. Other philosophers have taken a different attitude. On the basis of the undeniable claim that quantum mechanics is a highly successful theory in providing precise predictions and descriptions (theyarestatistical, but extremely successful), we need ask for no more. The quantum theory can be formulated onthebasis of asmall number of highly general principles, and it applies universally. In terms of the distinct conceptions of scientific explana- tion we have been discussing, it seems that quantum theory provides explanations of the unification type, but it does not provide thoseof thecausal/mechanical sort. This situation con- trasts withthat inother scientific disciplines where, aswehave seen, explanations of both kinds are possible, at least inprin- ciple. The same circumstance may seemtooccur inanthropo- logical or sociological explanations of somehuman institutions, where wecan givefunctional explanations of certain phenom- ena, but fine-grained causal explanations are far beyond our grasp. Incontrast toquantum mechanics, however, there is no solid theoretical basis for claiming that fine-grained causal ex- planations are impossible inprinciple inthese disciplines. Inanswer tothequestion of this section, "Can quantum me- chanics explain?" the answer must be, for the time being at 16 least, "In a sense 'yes', but inanother sense 'no'." In (W:Sal- mon, 1984, pp. 242-59) I had admitted only the negative an- swer tothis question. 7. Two Concepts of Explanation Oneof thechief aims and accomplishments of science istoen- hance our understanding of the world welive in. In the past, it has often been said that this aim is beyond the scope of science-that science can describe, predict, and organize, but that it cannot provide genuine understanding. Amongphiloso- phers of science and philosophical scientists at present there seems tobeafair degree of consensus about the ability of sci- ence tofurnish explanations, and therefore tocontribute toour understanding of the world. As is obvious fromthe foregoing discussion, however, there isnogreat consensus onthe nature of this understanding. I should liketosuggest that ithas at least twomajor aspects, corresponding to the twotypes of explana- tion that have been discussed above. Ontheonehand, understanding of theworldinvolves agen- eral world-view-a Weltanschauung. Tounderstand the phe- nomena intheworldrequires that they befitted intothegeneral world-picture. Although it isoftenpsychologically satisfying to achieve this sort of agreement between particular happenings and the world-view, it must be emphasized thet psychologi- cal satisfaction is not the criterion of success. Tohave scien- tific understanding we must adopt the world-view that is best supported byall of our scientific knowledge. The fundamental theories that make up this world-view must have stood up to scientific test; they must be supported by objective evidence. Perhaps weneed not ask what makes ascientific world-picture superior to a mythic or religious or poetic world-view. Never- theless, I wouldask, and trytogiveananswer. Thesuperiority of understanding based on a scientific world-view lies in the fact that wehave much better reason toregard that world-view 17 as true---even though someother world-view might have more psychological appeal. Theconception of understanding interms of fittingphenom- ena into acomprehensive scientific world-picture is obviously connected closely with the unification conception of scientific explanation. Italsocorresponds closely tothegoal of manycon- temporary scientists who are trying to find one unified theory of the physical world-for example, those whosee inso-called "superstring theory" a TOE (theory of everything). Many sci- entists seemtobelieve that it is both feasible and desirable to trytodiscover somecompletely unified theory that will explain everything. Ontheother hand, there isadifferent fundamental notion of scientific understanding that is essentially mechanical in na- ture. It involves achieving aknowledgeof howthings work. One can look at theworld, and thethings init, asblack boxeswhose internal workings wecannot directly observe. What wewant to do is open the black box and expose its inner mechanisms. This conception of scientific explanation brings us face to facewiththe problemof realismversus anti-realism. Although one can open up aclock tofind out howit works by direct ob- servation of its parts, onecannot do sowith acontainer full of a gas. Gases are composed of molecules or atoms (monatomic molecules), and these are too small to be observed by means of the naked eye, a magnifying glass, or a simple optical mi- croscope. The search for mechanistic explanations often takes us into the realm of unobservables. Although some philoso- phers, past and present, have adopted a skeptical or agnos- tic attitude toward unobservables, I think it is possible to ar- gue persuasively that wecan have genuine knowledge of such micro-entities as bacteria and viruses, atoms and molecules, electrons and protons, and even quarks and neutrinos. I be- lieve we can have compelling inductive evidence concerning the existence and nature of such entities (W: Salmon, 1984, chap. 8). The ideal of this approach is tohavethecapacity to 18 provide explanations of natural phenomena interms of themost fundamental mechanisms and processes inthe world. Consideration of these twoconceptions of scientific expla- nation suggests that there may be a kind of explanatory dual- ity corresponding to the two approaches. Toinvoke Railton's terminology and Kitcher's metaphor, wecan think in terms of reading the ideal explanatory text either fromthe bottom-up or fromthetop-down. There are, of course, intermediate stages between thetwoextremes-there aredegrees of coarse- or fine- grainedness. Thekinds of examples brought upbyWright inhis comparison of thecourse-grained consequence-etiology expla- nations with the fine-grained mechanical explanations do not usually appeal toeither the most general laws of nature or the most fundamental physical mechanisms. Moreover, we often give mechanical explanations of everyday contrivances, such as the hand-brake on a bicycle, without any appeal to unob- servables. It isextremely tempting totrytobringalinguistic distinction in English tobear onthe explanatory duality I amdiscussing, but I fear it also holds certain risks. Sometimes weseek expla- nations by asking "How?" and sometimes by asking "Why?" Consider, for example, "How did the first large mammals get to New Zealand?" and "Why did the first large mammals go to NewZealand?" Theanswer tothe first question is that they were humans, and they went in boats. I do not know the an- swer tothesecond question, but itundoubtedly involves human purposes and goals. The danger in making the distinction be- tween how-questions and why-questions interms of examples of this sort is that it easily leads toanthropomorphism-i-to the conclusion that 'genuine' explanations always involve an ap- peal togoals or purposes. That wouldcertainly beastep inthe wrongdirection. But not all examples have this feature. If one asks why apenny conducts electricity, onegoodanswer is that it is made of copper, and copper is a good conductor. If one asks how this penny conducts electricity, it would seemthat a 19 mechanism iscalled for. A storyabout electrons that arefreeto movethroughthemetal wouldbeanappropriate answer. Inthis case, the why-question elicits an appeal toa general law; the how-question evokes adescription of underlying mechanisms. 8. Conclusion The attempt to gain scientific understanding of the world is a complicated matter. Wehave succeeded to some extent in reaching this goal, but what wehaveachieved todate has taken several centuries of effort on the part of many people, some of whomwereor are towering geniuses. Manyof the explana- tions that have been found are extraordinarily difficult to un- derstand. When wethink seriously about the very concept of scientific understanding, itdoes not seemplausible toexpect a successful characterization of scientific explanation interms of any simple formal schema or simple linguistic formulation. It is not surprising that there might bethekind of duality I have been discussing. Thesituation maybeevenmoreextreme. Asoneof mygrad- uate students, Kenneth Gemes, has suggested, perhaps it is futile to try to explicate the concept of scientific explanation in a comprehensive manner. It might be better tolist various explanatory virtues that scientific theories might possess, and toevaluate scientific theories interms of them. Sometheories might get high scores on somedimensions, but lowscores on others-recall our brief consideration of quantum mechanics. I havebeen discussing twovirtues, oneinterms of unification, the other in terms of exposing underlying mechanisms. Per- haps there areothers that I havenot considered. Theforegoing discussion might serve as motivation to search for additional scientific explanatory qualities. 20 REFERENCES Braithwaite, R. 8., Scientific Explanation. Cambridge: Camhridge University Press, 1953. Einstein, Albert, et al., "Can Quantum-Mechanical Description of Reality Be Considered Complete?" Physical Review, Vol. 47 (1935), pp. 777-80. Feigl, Herbert, and MayBrodheck, (eds.), Readings in the Philosophy of Science. NewYork: Appleton-Century-Crofts, 1953. Friedman, Michael, "Explanation and Scientific Understanding," Journal of Philosophy, Vol. 71(1974), pp. 5-19. Hempel, Carl G., "Aspects of Scientific Explanation," in Aspects of Scientific Explanation and Other Essays in the Philosophy o]' Science (NewYork: Free Press, 1965), pp. 331-496. --, and Paul Oppenheim, "Studies in the Logic of Explanation," Philosophy of Science, Vol. 15(1948), pp. 135-75. Reprinted in Carl G. Hempel, Aspects of Scientific Explanation and Other Es- says in the Philosophy of Science (NewYork: Free Press, 1965). Kitcher, Philip, "Explanation, Conjunction, and Unification," Jour- nal of Philosophy, Vol. 73 (1976), pp. 207-12. --, "Explanatory Unification and the Causal Structure of the World," in Kitcher and Salmon, (eds.), 1989, pp. 410--505. --Kitcher, Philip, and Wesley C. Salmon, (eds.), Scientific Expla- nation, Vol. XIII, Minnesota Studies in the Philosophy of Science. Minneapolis: University of Minnesota Press, 1989. Mermin, N. David, "Is the moon there when nobody looks? Reality and the quantum theory," Physics Today, Vol. 38, no. 4 (April, 1985), pp. 38-47. Railton, Peter, "Probability, Explanation, and Information," Synthe- se, Vol. 48 (1981),pp. 233-56. Salmon, Wesley C., Scientifu: Explanation and the Causal Structure of the World. Princeton, N.J.: Princeton University Press, 1984. --, Four Decades of Scientific Explanation. Minneapolis: Uni- versity of Minnesota Press, 1990. Also published in Kitcher and Salmon, (eds.), 1989. Wright, Larry, Teleological Explanations. Berkeley &Los Angeles: University of California Press, 1976. Recihido: 2octubre 1990. 21 RESUMEN El propositodeWesleySalmonesargumentar enfavordelatesis de que es posible una reconciliacion, engrado significativo, entre las dos grandes tradiciones enel aniilisis de la explicacion cientffica. La idea central es que en estas tradiciones sedefienden enfoques quesoncompatibles ycomplementarios. Unatradicion es laque seinicia conCarl G. Hempel; las ideas desarrolladas por esteautor constituyeron, enlosafiossesenta yse- tenta, la"concepcionaceptada". Susucesor natural eslaconcepcion de la unificacion, debida principalmente a Michael Friedman y a Philip Kitcher. Laotratradicion eslainiciada por Michael Scriven, quien defendio unaconcepcion causal delaexpficacion. Lastrans- formacionesquehaidosufriendoestaconcepcionhansidoel resul- tado deanalisis cada vezmascuidadosos ydetallados delacausa- lidad. Unodelosprincipales responsables deestatransformaciones esWesleySalmon. EnlaconcepciondelaunificacionqueproponeFriedman, latesis biisica es que incrementamos nuestro conocimiento cientffico del mundoenlamedidaenquepodemosreducir el mimerodesupuestos independientemente aceptables para explicar los fenomenos natu- rales. Salmondesarrolla laconcepcioncausal haciendo unaelucidacion deciertos mecanismoscausales: interacciones yprocesoscausales; defiende ademas la tesis de que los mecanismos causales pueden ser indeterrninistas. Comopiensa queel objetivodelaexplicacion cientfficaesmostrar lasformasenqueoperalanaturaleza -10cual implicadescubrir losmecanismosquesubyacenalosfenomenos-c--, considera quesuenfoqueesmejor entendido comouna concepcion causal ymecanica, El concepto de "texto explicativo ideal" introducido por Peter Railton, junto con el analisis del nivel pragmiitico de la investi- gacioncientfficaqueproponeestemismoautor,sonconsiderados por Salmoncomouna base muyadecuada y prometedora para mostrar que la concepcion meciinico-causal y la concepcion de la unifi- cacion, sonreconciliables --compatibles ycomplementarias. Salmonofrece una serie de ejemplos para apoyar su tesis. En- tre ellos, algunos sonutilizados para hacer ver que la explicacion funcional-tal comolaconcibeLarryWright- notieneporqueen- 22 trar enconflictoconlasexplicaciones mecanico-causales "degrano fino". Ambas sonlegftimasycomplementarias. Lanaturaleza delacomprensi6ncientffica, seg6nSalmon, abarca al menosdosaspectos, loscuales corresponden alosdostipos deex- plicaci6n analizados. Porunaparte, lacomprensi6ndelosfen6menos requiere que sean acomodados en una visi6n general del mundo. Esteaspecto delacomprensi6n esta estrechamente relacionado con laconcepci6n delaexplicaci6n comounificaci6n. Por otraparte, la comprension requiere unconocimiento decomooperalanaturaleza, delos mecanismos responsables delos fen6menos. Este aspecto es el querecupera laconcepci6n mecanico-causal. Envistadelascom- plejidades del concepto decomprensi6ncientffica, concluyeSalmon, noparece plausible una caracterizaci6n delaexplicaci6n cientffica enterminos dealgilltesquema formal 0formulaci6nlingiifstica sim- ple. [Ana Rosa Perez Ransanz] 23