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Understanding system
behavior by identifying
system structure
Dennis T. Beng Hui, De La Salle
University-Manila
Some Phrases to Ponder..
Experience is an expensive school –
Benjamin Franklin
Experience is something you get after
you need it – anon
Information
Consequences
Delay in Knowledge
Delay choice
Action
Dennis T. Beng Hui, De La Salle
University-Manila
Critical Elements in a Dynamic
Behavior
Delay - time lags or reaction time
of the decision with respect to its
effect on the system
Amplification - when an action
turned out to be more forceful than
what it was intended
- JayDennis
Forrester (Founder
T. Beng Hui, De La Salle
of SD)
University-Manila
What is System Dynamics (SD)?
Deals with the time-dependent behavior of
managed systems.
Aims to describe the system and understand it.
(Focuses on patterns of behavior not on
events).
Apply qualitative and quantitative models on
how information feedback govern its behavior.
Designing robust information feedback
structures and control policies through
simulation and optimization.
Dennis T. Beng Hui, De La Salle
University-Manila
SD Approach by R.G. Coyle
Problem recognition
Problem understanding and system
description
Qualitative analysis
Simulation modeling and testing
Policy design and testing
E K 4 7
Dennis T. Beng Hui, De La Salle
University-Manila
Questions
What are the important symptom variables?
What is the time horizon of your problem?
What reference behavior mode you expect to
see? (What is, what should, what you think is,
what could)
What are the long term dynamic consequences
of the problem?
Addiction
Salary/Wage Increase