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S e r v i n g To d d C o u n t y , M N
VOLUME 23; NUMBER 1 - FRIDAY, OCTOBER 4, 2013 CIRCULATION 6,000
The economic situation in Todd County: what are the recent trends?
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By Rin Porter Probably we can all agree that five years ago, in 2008, things were pretty bad in Todd County, in the State of Minnesota, and in the U.S., economically speaking. The collapse of the mortgage and housing industries, the near-bankruptcy of the leading banks, bankruptcy and financial collapse of the auto industry, the widespread layoffs of people in all kinds of jobs these conditions brought the U.S. into a situation of economic chaos which many experts said was nearly as bad as the Great Depression of the 1930s. The crisis devastated Rural Minnesota. In 2013, five years later, things are getting better across the U.S. In rural areas, however, improvements in wages and employment have lagged behind metropolitan areas. Information from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS), the U.S. Census Bureau (USCB), and the Minnesota Department of Employment and Economic Development (DEED), and other statistical sources provide us with comparative information for conditions at the beginning of the Great Recession, compared to today. LOOKING BACK In 2007, Todd County had an estimated population of 24,029 (USCB). There were 541 employers. There were 2,203 firms (USCB), of which 1,910 were farms (2007 USDA Census of Agriculture). In July 2007, there were 11,617 people employed for pay (DEED), and 546 people were unemployed. The unemployment rate for Todd County was 4.5%, according to the Minnesota Department of Employment and Economic Development (DEED) while for the State of Minnesota it was 4.6%. The largest sector of employment in the county was manufacturing. Income per person (2007-2011) was $21,406, compared to the Minnesota per person income in the same period of $30,310 (USCB). The average wage for a Todd County worker in 2008 was $554, compared to the average worker in the State of Minnesota, which was $909. CURRENT LOCAL CONDITIONS In 2012, Todd County had an estimated population of 24,509 (USCB). The USCB has not published the number of business firms reported in the 2010 U.S. Census, and the USDA has not released the 2012 Census of Agriculture. But DEED reports there were 595 nonfarm businesses in 2013. In July 2013, 12,009 people were
employed for pay, and 633 people were unemployed, for an unemployment rate of 5.0% (DEED). The largest sector of employment was Education and Health Services, with 1,648 people employed. The average weekly wage was $596 (DEED). So if we look at employment, unemployment, and average wages, compared to 2007, things arent that bad in 2013. Todd County still lags behind the State of Minnesota and all the metro areas, but that has been true as long as there have been statistics kept. According to http://cost-ofliving.FindtheData.org, it costs less to live in Rural Minnesota today than to live in any of the Minnesota Metropolitan Areas identified by the U.S. Census. (Minneapolis-St Paul, Rochester, St Cloud, Duluth). Housing cost is pegged at between $602 and $774 for family sizes from two to five in a Basic Family Budget. Other costs (food, childcare, taxes and other necessities) are calculated to be lower than average, but healthcare and transportation are higher than average. Minnesota ranks 44th in minimum wage paid, and has one of the lowest minimum wages ($6.15 per hour) in the U.S. The State of Washingtons is the highest at $8.67. The Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis estimates the cost of living increase in Minnesota between 2007 and 2013 has been 12.5%. Average wages in Todd County have increased during that same period by 7%. So it is not surprising that many people feel they must continue to keep their spending down. For many, their income is lower today than it was in 2013. For others, their pay might be the same or even a little higher, but money today does not go as far as it did in 2007, because the cost of living has increased, especially costs for food, utilities, fuel, and clothing. WHAT ABOUT LOCAL TAXES? Todd County local governments and school districts are favorite targets for people who believe that government costs are a large part of personal budgets. Have property taxes gone up? For one residential homestead in Moran Township, property taxes have increased slowly during the past seven years, since 2006. This homestead was assessed $1,292 in property taxes (for all levies, including county, township, and school) in 2006, and $1,474 in 2013 an increase of $182, or 14% over seven years, or roughly 2% per year.
For one commercial building in downtown Browerville, property taxes have increased slightly between 2008 and 2012. In 2008, the owner was assessed $626. In 2009, property tax increased about 5%, to $660. In 2010, taxes dropped over 11%, to $583.88. Then in 2011, property taxes increased slightly, to $600.89. In 2012, they jumped back to $667.80. But if you look at the fiveyear period, taxes increased from $626 to $667, a difference of 6.5%, or a little over 1% per year. Todd County government expenses have increased 19% from the 2008 budget to the 2013 budget. The 2008 budget listed expenses of $22,472,720. The 2013 budget lists expenses at 26,845,815. The county budget includes expenses for roads and bridges, social services, public health, public safety, and many other costs, many of which are mandated by the state and/or federal government. Property taxes provide about 45% of the countys income, with the rest (55%) coming from the state and federal government. BUSINESS COMINGS AND GOINGS Local businesses that have closed recently or are in the process of closing: Hometown Furniture and Mikeys Restaurant, both in Long Prairie. New businesses that have opened recently in Browerville: Cherry Grove Market, Marys Country Porch, Knotty Pine Embroidery, Two Chicks on the Corner, Our Neck of the Woods. NATIONAL ECONOMIC INDICATORS During the Great Recession of 20072010, new car and truck sales fell, as people lost their jobs and income dropped. Sales rebounded in 2011. (NADA) Home values have dropped every year since 2006, according to www.Forecastchart.com. The U.S. stock market began falling in 2008, and reached its lowest point in 2009. Since then, the market has rebounded. Earlier in Sept 2013, it hit a record high above 15,675. Currently, housing starts have dropped to their lowest level in more than 50 years, since record-keeping started in 1959. In 2012, 781,000 new homes were built, down from 1,341,000 in 2007. (www.forecast-chart.com Natural gas prices have dropped since 2008, when the price was $8.9 per million Continued on page 4
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self-exams and what to expect during testing and treatment. She is available to attend appointments with the patient before, during and after treatment, as well do post-surgery mastectomy fittings for prosthetics and other products. Being part of a team is about working together towards a common goal. In this case, the goal of Lakewood Health Systems medical team is to work with the patient through every aspect of their breast cancer treatment to ensure they receive the best possible care for their health and well-being. We want our patients to trust us to know that were doing the best we can to help them, and that they arent alone, said Trosen. This team perspective just goes to show, theres no I in breast cancer.
Ardis Ebnet
Designer/Consultant 320-732-3739
24901 325th Ave. Long Prairie, MN 56347
Economics, continued
BTU and stayed down. In 2012, the average natural gas price was $2.8 per million BTU. Crude Oil prices have fluctuated over the past 10 years, from $30 per barrel in 2000, to $100 in 2008, and $94 in 2012. (www.forecast-chart.com COMMODITY PRICES THAT AFFECT TODD COUNTY FARMERS Over the past 10 years, from 2002 to 2012, corn prices have increased from about $90 per ton to nearly $350 per ton (USDA). $9 per bushel corn became a reality in 2012, and farmers with corn to sell made big money. Cattle prices increased steadily between 2007 and 2012, with the exception of 2009, when they dropped about $10. Soybean prices increased from $7.75 per bushel in 2007 to $13.95 in 2012. Milk prices decreased from $19.13 in 2007 to $16.29 in 2010, and back up to
$18.57 in 2012. Comparing prices of these commodities, using 2007 and 2012, it appears that farmers are doing better now than they were in 2007, and that only dairy farmers have been really hurt by fluctuating prices. ANALYSIS BY A LEADING ECONOMIST Economist Robert Reich, former Secretary of Labor, advisor to President Bill Clinton and Harvard professor, now at the University of California at Berkeley, had this to say on National Public Radio on Sept. 26, 2013, about the economic recovery and the problems that still plague the middle class: The middle class no longer has the purchasing power to help the economy expand. Consumer purchases make up 70% of the American economy. A large and growing middle class is vital to our economy and to our democracy. According to a report on Minnesota Public Radio on Sept. 1, 2013, nearly 70 percent of the jobs gained since the recession ended have been in low-paying industries such as fast-food or retail. The trend toward low-wage jobs is what makes it critical for fast-food and retail jobs to provide better pay, said Reich. ``It's impossible for the economy to run on all four cylinders unless consumers have enough purchasing power to keep the economy going,'' he said. Thus, things are not going to get better, in Reichs opinion, until the middle class has more money to spend. CONCLUSIONS People in Todd County are correct in thinking that their money does not go as far as it did in 2008, and that the economic recovery occurring in metro areas has not benefitted rural areas. Wages have decreased or stayed the same for many people, while costs for food, fuel, property taxes, and clothes have increased.
The Todd County Country Courier, Page 4, Friday, October 4, 2013 However, unemployment is about the same as it was before the Great Recession, and there are actually more businesses operating in Todd County today than there were in 2007. Based on the prices that they are receiving for their products, crop and cattle farmers appear to be much better off than they were in 2007. Until wages increase and more jobs with better wages are available, it is unlikely that the financial condition of most county residents will improve. As Winston Churchill told the residents of England during World War II, keep calm and carry on.
- THINK GREEN - KEEP TODD COUNTY CLEAN - REMODELING, NEW CONSTRUCTION OR JUST CLEANING TODD COUNTY TRANSFER STATION HAS THE
UP
RIGHT SIZE DEMOLITION CONTAINER TO FIT YOUR NEEDS. * WE DROP OFF AND PICK UP *
Demolition
THE STAFF AT TODD COUNTY TRANSFER THANKS THE PUBLIC FOR THEIR SUPPORT IN HELPING KEEP TODD COUNTY CLEAN AND OUR OPERATION RUNNING SMOOTHLY
Lg. quantity (10 yds or more/landfill) per yard Demolition (Transfer Station) per yard Concrete (separate load/landfill) per yard Concrete (Transfer Station) per yard Demolition landfill gate fee
Garbage
(Assorted material that is not specifically identified on this list) All garbage must be weighed with a minimum charge of $3.00 .05 $84 + 17% tax* $5.00 $5.00 $10.00 $5.00 $1.00 $5.00
Garbage price per lb. Large quantity (must be weighed before unloading) price per ton
Demolition Containers
Rent per day Mileage per mile Todd Co. min. charge per trip Todd Co. max. charge per trip $5.00 $2.50 $50.00 $150.00
Furniture
(Including couches, chairs, mattress, box springs)
Free Items
White Goods
(Large appliances including microwaves) $7.00 $2.00 $3.00 $5.00 $150.00 $250.00
Tires
- FREE -
(Prices double if tires are on the rim) Passenger Pickup (large 4 ply) Truck (20 or larger diameter) Large quantity (car, pickup) per ton Large quantity (tractor & industrial) per ton *17% State Solid Waste
Were not just the dump anymore! Your 1 Stop Shop for All Your Disposal Needs!
help to lower your breast cancer risks. Having abnormal breast cells (found by looking through a microscope) High breast density Starting menstruation at an early age (before age 12) and/or menopause at an older age (after age 55) LIFESTYLE Maintaining a sedentary lifestyle Heavy drinking PREVIOUS TREATMENTS Using oral contraceptives within the past 10 years Combined post-menopausal hormone therapy (PHT) Previous use of DES (a drug commonly given to pregnant women from 1940 to 1971) Radiation exposure
Each year, more than 190,000 people are diagnosed with breast cancer. According to the National Cancer Institute, the incidence of breast cancer in the United States has decreased by about two percent from 1999 to 2006. The reason for the decrease is not completely understood. Knowing the risk factors for breast cancer may help you take preventative measures to reduce the likelihood of developing the disease.
Blade Publishing
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Serving Todd County & Surrounding Areas
2013 SPONSORED
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The Todd County Courier & Browerville Blade Would Like To Wish All Of The Hunters Best Of Luck During The 2011 Hunting Season. Important Safety Tips To Remember When Hunting Always wear blaze orange to be highly visible to other hunters. Be aware of the land and those around you. Check the weather before going out and be prepared for extreme weather. Be sure to let someone know where you are hunting. Never climb in or out of a stand or over a fence with a loaded weapon.
Staples
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10 11
Sheets 4 Burleen
Iona
Hollister
Randall
Osakis Spohn Quistorf West Union Elgin Woods Grey Eagle Oak Ridg Buck Horn 6
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Drapery Design
The latest window fashions Ardis Ebnet, Designer/Consultant
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Todd County Veterinary Clinic
Large & Small Animals
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(320) 732-3739
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