FORECAST BY EXPONENTIAL SMOOT

This forecast model is used for one step ahead forecasting. Forecast of next time unit is
observed data and previous forecast. The smoothing constant you have entered is the w

Smoothing Constant: 0.2 Forecast

MAPE Mean absolute percent

MSE The mean squared erro
MAD Mean absolute deviatio
Period Data Forecast Error

1 200 200.00 0.00

2 250 200.00 -50.00
3 175 210.00 35.00 Data - F
4 186 203.00 17.00
5 225 199.60 -25.40
6 285 204.68 -80.32 400
375
7 305 220.74 -84.26 350
325
8 190 237.60 47.60 300

9 210 228.08 18.08 275

250
10 245 224.46 -20.54

Unit
225
200
11 185 228.57 43.57 175
12 254 219.85 -34.15 150
125
13 135 226.68 91.68 100
75
14 189 208.35 19.35 50
15 240 204.48 -35.52 25
0
16 261 211.58 -49.42 12 34567891 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
0123 4567890123 456789
17 275 221.47 -53.53
18 210 232.17 22.17 Ti
19 165 227.74 62.74
20 211 215.19 4.19
21 202 214.35 12.35 Error In
22 197 211.88 14.88
23 192 208.91 16.91
24 187 205.52 18.52 100
75
25 183 201.82 18.82 50
26 178 198.06 20.06 25
27 173 194.04 21.04 0
-25
28 400 189.84 -210.16
Unit

-50
29 163 231.87 68.87 -75
30 185 218.09 33.09 -100

31 211.48 -125
-150
32 -175
-200
-225
123456 7891 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
01234567890123456789
 -100
-125
-150
-175
33 -200

34 -225
123456 7891 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
35 01234567890123456789

36 T
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
46
47
48
49
50
51
52
53
54
55
56
57
58
59
60
NTIAL SMOOTHING
ecast of next time unit is done according to the previous
ou have entered is the weight of previous forecast value.

Forecast Evalution

Mean absolute percentage error 0.1853 e^2 e/d

The mean squared error 3,209.7475 0 0
Mean absolute deviation 40.9739 2500 0.2
1225 0.2
289 0.09
645.16 0.11
6451.3 0.28
Data - Forecast Chart ### 0.28
2265.3 0.25
326.75 0.09
421.85 0.08
### 0.24
### 0.13
### 0.68
Observed
Data 374.31 0.1
Forecast ### 0.15
### 0.19
### 0.19
491.62 0.11
### 0.38
4567891 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 6
0123 4567890123 45678901234 56789012345 67890123456 7890
17.56 0.02
152.58 0.06
Time 221.47 0.08
285.8 0.09
343.15 0.1
Error In Forecast Chart 354.17 0.1
402.23 0.11
442.87 0.12
### 0.53
### 0.42
### 0.18

Error In
Forecast

456 7891 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 6
01234567890123456789012345678901234567 8901234567890
456 7891 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 6
01234567890123456789012345678901234567 8901234567890

Time
1 0
1 50
1 35
1 17
1 25.4
1 80.32
1 84.26
1 47.6
1 18.08
1 20.54
1 43.57
1 34.15
1 91.68
1 19.35
1 35.52
1 49.42
1 53.53
1 22.17
1 62.74
1 4.19
1 12.35
1 14.88
1 16.91
1 18.52
1 18.82
1 20.06
1 21.04
1 210.16
1 68.87
1 33.09
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
0 0
%3c%3fxml+version%3d%221.0%22+encoding%3d%22utf-16%22%3f%3e%0d%0a%3cWizardSettin
%3cAllowRounding%3efalse%3c%2fAllowRounding%3e%0d%0a++++++++++++%3cText
3e%0d%0a++++++++++++%3cGroupSeparator+%2f%3e%0d%0a+++++++++
+++++++++%3cType%3e0%3c%2fType%3e%0d%0a++++++++++++
lse%3c%2fPSCFormated%3e%0d%0a++++++++++++++++%3
+++++++++++++%3cPSCFormated%3efalse%3c%2fPS
3e15%3c%2fHeight%3e%0d%0a+++++++++++
3cVerticalAlign+%2f%3e%0d%0a+++++
0a++++++++++++++++%3c
%3cFormat%3eGeneral%

UEsFBgAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAA%3d%3d
+++++%3cHeight%3e15%3c%2fHeight%3e%0d%0a++++++++++++++++%3cAlign%3eLeft%3
++%3cWidth%3e48%3c%2fWidth%3e%0d%0a++++++++++++++++%3cText%3eMAD+
+++++%3cRowSpan+%2f%3e%0d%0a++++++++++++++++%3cColSpan+%2
+++++++++%3cTD%3e%0d%0a++++++++++++++++%3cPSCForma
+++++%3cMerge%3eFalse%3c%2fMerge%3e%0d%0a+++++++
++++++%3c%2fTD%3e%0d%0a++++++++++++++%
ame%3e%0d%0a++++++++++++++++%3cW
0d%0a++++++++++++++++%3cStyl
++++++%3cGrid+%2f%3e%0d
rmula%3e%0d%0a++++
%3e%0d%0a++++++++++++++++%3cPSCFormated%3efalse%3c%2fPSCFormated%3e%0d%0a
+++++%3cImages+%2f%3e%0d%0a++++++++++++++++%3cFormControls+%2f%3e
rapText%3eFalse%3c%2fWrapText%3e%0d%0a++++++++++++++++%3cFontS
++++%3cWidth%3e48.75%3c%2fWidth%3e%0d%0a+++++++++++++
+++++%3cX%3e10%3c%2fX%3e%0d%0a++++++++++++++
+++++++++++++%3cFontName%3eCalibri%3c%2fFon
a++++++++++++++++%3cFormat%3eGenera
Text%3e%0d%0a+++++++++++++++
%3c%2fStyle%3e%0d%0a++++
%3cExport+%2f%3e%0d
ame%3eCalibri%3c%2fFontName%3e%0d%0a++++++++++++++++%3cWrapText%3eFalse%3c
Formated%3efalse%3c%2fPSCFormated%3e%0d%0a++++++++++++++++%3cStyle%3
+++%3cFormControls+%2f%3e%0d%0a++++++++++++++++%3cGrid+%2f%
d%0a++++++++++++++++%3cFontSize%3e11%3c%2fFontSize%3e%0
%2fTD%3e%0d%0a++++++++++++++%3cTD%3e%0d%0a+++
+++++++++%3cY%3e45%3c%2fY%3e%0d%0a++++++
3c%2fFontName%3e%0d%0a+++++++++++++
e51%3c%2fWidth%3e%0d%0a+++++++
f%3e%0d%0a++++++++++++
3e11%3c%2fFontSize%3
d%0a++++++++++++++++%3cAlign%3eLeft%3c%2fAlign%3e%0d%0a+++++++++++++++
t+%2f%3e%0d%0a++++++++++++++%3c%2fTD%3e%0d%0a++++++++++++++%3
%0d%0a++++++++++++++++%3cImages+%2f%3e%0d%0a+++++++++++
3e%0d%0a++++++++++++++++%3cFontSize%3e11%3c%2fFontSize%
+++++++++++++++%3cHeight%3e15%3c%2fHeight%3e%0d%
cGrid+%2f%3e%0d%0a++++++++++++++++%3cExp
+++++++++%3cY%3e59%3c%2fY%3e%0d%0a
cVerticalAlign+%2f%3e%0d%0a++++++
0d%0a++++++++++++++++
+%2f%3e%0d%0a++++
+++++++%3cX%3e21%3c%2fX%3e%0d%0a++++++++++++++++%3cY%3e64%3c%2fY%3e%
%3e%0d%0a++++++++++++++++++%3cValueType+%2f%3e%0d%0a++++++++++
c%2fTD%3e%0d%0a++++++++++++++%3cTD%3e%0d%0a++++++++++++
+++++++++++++++%3cFormControls+%2f%3e%0d%0a+++++++++
fCellHasFormula%3e%0d%0a++++++++++++++++%3cFontNa
++++++++++++%3cStyle%3eClass106%3c%2fStyle%3
%2f%3e%0d%0a++++++++++++++%3c%2fTD
a++++++++++++++++%3cImages+%
wSpan+%2f%3e%0d%0a+++++
efalse%3c%2fPSCForma
+++++++++++%3cFormat%3eGeneral%3c%2fFormat%3e%0d%0a++++++++++++++++%3c
n+%2f%3e%0d%0a++++++++++++++++%3cFormat%3eGeneral%3c%2fFormat%3e%0
eral%3c%2fFormat%3e%0d%0a++++++++++++++++%3cWidth%3e48%3c%2fWidth%3e%0d%0a+++++
Width%3e%0d%0a++++++++++++++++%3cText+%2f%3e%0d%0a++++++++++++++++%3cHeight%3
++++++++%3cHeight%3e15.75%3c%2fHeight%3e%0d%0a++++++++++++++++%3cAlign%3eLeft%3c%
++%3cAlign%3eLeft%3c%2fAlign%3e% 0d%0a++++++++++++++++%3cVerticalAlign+%2f%3e%0d%0a+
lAlign+%2f%3e%0d%0a++++++++++++++++%3cCellHasFormula%3eFalse%3c%2fCellHasFormula%3e%0
%2fCellHasFormula%3e%0d%0a++++++++++++++++%3cFontName%3eCalibri%3c%2fFontName%3e%0d%
%3c%2fFontName%3e%0d%0a++++++++++++++++%3cWrapText%3eFalse%3c%2fWrapText%3e%0d%0a
%2fWrapText%3e%0d%0a++++++++++++++++%3 cFontSize%3e11%3c%2fFontSize%3e%0d%0a++++++
Size%3e%0d%0a++++++++++++++++%3cX%3e7%3c%2fX%3e%0d%0a++++++++++++++++%3cY%
++++++++++++%3cY%3e79%3c%2fY%3e%0d%0a++++++++++++++++%3cImages+%2f%3e%0d%0a+
mages+%2f%3e%0d%0a++++++++++++++++%3cFormControls+%2f%3e%0d%0a++++++++++++++
%0a++++++++++++++++%3cGrid+%2f%3e%0d%0a++++++++++++++++%3cE xport+%2f%3e%0d%0
3cE xport+%2f%3e%0d%0a++++++++++++++%3c%2fTD%3e%0d%0a++++++++++++++%3cTD%3e%
++++++++%3cTD%3e%0d%0a++++++++++++++++%3cPSCFormated%3efalse%3c%2fPSCFormated%3
se%3c%2fPSCFormated%3e%0d%0a++++++++++++++++%3cStyle%3eClass144%3c%2fStyle%3e%0d%0a
4%3c%2fStyle%3e%0d%0a++++++++++++++++%3cMerge%3eFalse%3c%2fMerge%3e%0d%0a++++++
rge%3e%0d%0a++++++++ ++++++++%3cRowSpan+%2f%3e%0d%0a++++++++++++++++%3cColSp
++++++++++%3cColSpan+%2f%3e%0d%0a++++++++++++++++%3cFormat%3eGeneral%3c%2fForm
t%3eGeneral%3c%2fFormat%3e%0d%0a++++++++++++++++%3cWidth%3e24.75%3c%2fWidth%3e%0d%
 Follow the steps to enable your Exponential Smoothing Forec
>> Your Exponential Smoothing Forecast is ready to use. Following steps are for online use.
1) Visit the site below:
http://www.spreadsheetweb.com/getting_started.htm
You will only need the username and password to create your Exponential Smoothing Forecast.
2) Visit the site below:
http://trial.spreadsheetweb.com/spreadsheetweb/
Login to page with your new account information.
3) Click "Add Web Application" to upload this file. Your Exponential Smoothing Forecast will be created autom
You can simply use the Exponential Smoothing Forecast from that link or place it on your website.
>> Your Exponential Smoothing Forecast will look like:
http://www1.spreadsheetweb.com/SpreadSheetWeb/Output.aspx?ApplicationId=f6f1582f-ecda-4188-b607-
>> In order to see more online applications created with PSW you can check the link below:
http://www.spreadsheetweb.com/demos.htm

Copyright (c) 2009 Pagos, Inc. http://www.pagos.com/

moothing Forecast.

hing Forecast.

ast will be created automatically.

on your website.

6f1582f-ecda-4188-b607-259771b7d889