MULTI-PHYSICS, OPTIMIZATION, AND UNCERTAINTY PROPAGATION!

Leonardo Guimares, Bernardo Horowitz, Ramiro Willmersdorf, Ezio Arajo, Silvana Afonso, Paulo Lyra! The Federal University of Pernambuco ! ! ! !Email: leonardo@ufpe.br ! ! !Website: http://lmcg0.ctg.ufpe.br/chair/!
!

THE CHALLENGE !

MOTIVATION!

METHODOLOGY!
Reactive
Transport

cs ni ha ec om Ge

Simulation should take into account the relevant phenomena allowing better decision making. In industry, research should result in:! Increasing prots / Risk reduction! As there is a lack of knowledge of the reservoir properties, a single scenario is not enough. Uncertainty must be taken into account.! ! !

Numerical tools show a strong trend towards coupled formulations incorporating an increasing number of phenomena. ! The aim is to account for the full range of interactions between the various processes occurring simultaneously in the same problem.!

Black-Box Optimization:! Surrogate based optimization using LCVT sampling, Kriging surface tting, and Sequential Approximate Optimization strategy. SQP used to solve optimization sub-problems.!

OPTIMATIZATION APPLIED TO HISTORY MATCHING REAL CASE STUDY!

Hybrid Optimization Strategies! Problems are multimodal with several local minima. Use evolutionary search to nd a point close to the global optimum then rene solution using efcient local search methods.! GLOBAL! SEARCH! promissing!
!

NUMBERS & ACTIVITIES 2012/2013!

New sponsors on board: Vale, Equion and BG group! 2 Post-Docs, 19 PhD students and 20 MSc students! 2 graduated PhD and 7 graduated MSc ! Published 7 peer-reviewed articles! Published 26 conference papers! Launched Rapid Reservoir Modeling (RRM):! Consorcium with Drs. Mario Costa Sousa (UofC, ! FCMG), S. Geiger (HWU, FCMG), M. Jackson (ICL)! In progress: Implementation of Doctoral Training Programme in the Field of Brine Chemistry and Oileld Scale Management with Dr. Eric Mackay (HW, FCMG) sponsored by BG group! Collaboration with Dr. Marcelo Snchez (Texas A&M): joint supervision of PhD student in the topic of computational geomechanics under uncertainties!

solution!

LOCAL! SEARCH!

Real History Matching Case! Global Search = CMOST / Domain Exploration! Local Search = Nonlinear Least Squares! !
xn

f(x) =

1 2

r (x)
i i =1

r = observed - simulated

f(x) = J ( x)T R(X)

2 f(x) J(x)T J(x)

SECOND ORDER DERIVATIVES REQUIRE ! ONLY FIRST ORDER INFORMATION! !