LATIHAN SOAL (2) PROBABILITAS DAN STATISTIKA

16 Februari 2013 1. A certain product was found to have two types of minordefects. The probability that an item of the product has only a type 1 defect is :2, and the probability that it has only a type 1 defect is :2. Also, the probability that it has both defects is :1. Find the probabilities of the following events: 1) A An item has either a type 1 defect or a type 2 defect. 2) ! An item does not have either of the defects. ") # An item has defect 1, but not defect 2. $) % An item has e&actly one of the two defects.

2. A salesperson wants to assess future sales of a slow'moving item in the ne&t two months. (n the )rst month the probabilities of selling1, 2, ", $ units of the item are :"*, :"+, :1+, :2*, respectively. (n the second month, the probabilities of selling *, 1, 2, " units are :2+, :"*, :$*, :*+, respectively, and the sales in one month have no bearing on the sales in the other month. The salesperson is interested in the total number of sales in the two months. %escribe this as a random variable and specify its probability function. ". The length of human pregnancies from conception to birth appro&imates a normal distribution with a mean of 2,, days and a standard deviation of 1, days. -hat proportion of all pregnancies will last between 2$* and 2.* days /roughly between 0 and 1 months)2 -hat length of time mar3s the shortest .*4 of all pregnancies2 $. 5auges are used to re6ect all components where a certain dimension is not within the specification . (t is 3nown that this measurement is normally distributed with mean 1.+ and standard deviation *.2. %etermine the value of d such that the specifications 7cover7 1+4 of measurements. +. A certain machine ma3es electrical resistors, resistance of which is normally distributed with mean $* ohms and standard deviation 2 ohms. -hat percentage of resistors will have a resistance e&ceeding $" ohms2

,. The average grade for an e&am is .$ and standard deviation is .. (f 124 of the class are given 7A7 and grades follow the normal distribution, what is the lowest possible 7A7 and highest possible 7!72 .. The probability that a patient recovers from a rare blood disease is *.$. (f 1** people are 3nown to have contracted this disease, what is the probability that less than "* survive2

0. A multiple'choice 8ui9 has 2** 8uestions each with $ possible answers of which only 1 is the correct answer. -hat is the probability that sheer guess'wor3 yields from 2+ to "* correct answers for 0* of the 2** problems about which the student has no 3nowledge2 1. (f on the average three truc3s arrive per hour to be unloaded at a warehouse. Find the probability that the time between the arrivals of successive truc3s will be less than + minutes. 1*. The lifetime of a light bulb follows e&ponential distribution with a mean of 1** days. Find the probability that the light bulb:s life ; /1) <&ceeds 1** days /2) <&ceeds $** days /") <&ceeds $** days given it e&ceeds 1** days. 11. The length of telephone conversations follows e&ponential distribution. (f the average telephone conversation is 2.+ minutes, what is the probability that a telephone conversation lasts between " minutes and + minutes2 The length of telephone conversations follows e&ponential distribution. (f the average telephone conversation is 2.+ minutes, what is the probability that a telephone conversation lasts between " minutes and + minutes2
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12. After an old machine was installed in a factory, -or3er =ohn is on call 2$'hours a day to repair the machine if it brea3s down. (f the machine brea3s down, =ohn will receive a service call right away, in which case he immediately arrives at the factory and starts repairing the machine. The machine:s time to failure is e&ponentially distributed with a mean of " hours. >et T represent the time elapsed between when the machine was first installed and when =ohn starts repairing the machine. Find < T/ ) and?ar T/ ). 1". After an old machine was installed in a factory, -or3er =ohn is on call 2$'hours a day to repair the machine if it brea3s down. (f the machine brea3s down, =ohn will receive a service call right away, in which case he immediately arrives at the factory and starts repairing the machine. Today is =ohn:s last day of wor3 because he got an offer from another company, but he:ll continue his current 6ob of repairing the machine until 12:** noon if there:s a brea3down. @owever, if the machine does not brea3 by noon 12:**, =ohn will have a final chec3 of the machine at 12:**. After 12:** noon =ohn will permanently leave his current 6ob and ta3e a new 6ob at another company. The machine was found wor3ing today at 1*:** a.m.. The machine:s time to failure is e&ponentially distributed with a mean of " hours. >et A represent the time elapsed between 1*:** a.m. today and =ohn:s visit to the machine. Find < A/ ) and?ar A/ ). 1$. Bereta Api tiba di stasiun setiap 1+ menit dimulai pu3ul *..**. =i3a seorang penumpang tiba distasiun tersebut pu3ul *..** sampai *.."* yang dianggap berdistribusi uniform, hitung peluang penumpang tersebut menunggu 3ereta api 3urang dari + menit2 1+. Cata'rata wa3tu antara panggilan telepon yang masu3 bagian pelayanan Tel3om adalah 1* menit. Bedatangan panggilan telepon dapat dianggap terdistribusi Doisson. !erapa probabilitas bahwa antara panggilan telepon ada selang 1 6am atau lebih2 1,. Entu3 mata 3uliah probabilitas F statisti3a pada tahun 2*11 dii3uti sebanya3 1, peserta dengan rata'rata nilai u6ian +0 dari variansi 1**. !ila distribusi nilai u6ian dianggap berdistribusi normal, ma3a hitunglah probabilitas : a) Deserta yang memperoleh nilai /Ai .*)2 b) !ila batas nilai u6ian untu3 lulus +",+ ma3a berapa persen yang tida3 lulus2 c) !ila ingin terdapat +% peserta yang memperoleh nilai A, ma3a berapa batas nilai minimal /terendah) untu3 memperoleh nilai A. 1.. Gebuah sistem ?essel Traffic Hanagement berfungsi dengan bai3 6i3a 3elima subsystemnya A, !, #, % dan < beroperasi dengan bai3 secara simultan. Begagalan tiap subsistem adalah independen satu sama lain dengan probability *," . %iberi3an bahwa sistem ?essel Traffic Hanagement gagal berfungsi, tentu3an probabilitas bahwa hanya subsystem A yang gagal beroperasi dengan bai3.

18. =elas3an tentang bahasan dalam http:IIwww.barringer1.comIpdfI#hpt1'+th'edition.pdf. =elas3an se6elas

mung3in yang Anda mampu. Bait3an dengan apli3asi probabilitas dan statisti3a. 11. Gebuah 3omponen di data #enter memili3i umur yang merupa3an random variable dengan D%F /Probability Density Function) seperti gambar beri3ut:

fX 0,5 0,25 4
Tentu3an peluang 3omponen tersebut memili3i umur antara 1 bulan hingga 2 bulanJ %i3etahui power /-) sebuah resistor merupa3an fungsi dari tegangan /?) yang dinyata3an dalam fungsi ?2 Ir .=i3a r 1I" dan ? berdistribusi normal dengan mean , dan variansi 1, hitung: a) </-) b) D/- K 12*)
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xo (bulan)

Gebuah panel ele3troni3 terdiri atas + buah switch identi3 yang be3er6a secara paralel. -a3tu yang dibutuh3an sampai sebuah switch harus diganti berdistribusi e3sponensial dengan L + tahun. !erapa peluang setelah 11 tahun masih terdapat minimal 2 switch original yang be3er6a dengan bai3 pada panel ele3troni3 tersebut2

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