Escolar Documentos
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Raymond Baumgartner
Director- 60 Hz Reference Plants
Power Generation 1
Kodierung
Coal Will Continue to Fuel Major Portion of
World Electrical Generation Capacity
Through 2025
2500
2000
2002
1500 2010
Total GW
2015
1000 2020
Concern is Impact 2025
500
on Environment
0
Oil Natural Gas Coal Nuclear Renewables
EIA International Energy Outlook 2005
800
700 Mature Market Economies
600 Transitional Economies
Emerging Economies
500
Total GW
400
EIA Definitions:
300 Mature Market: North America, Western
200 Europe, Japan
Transitional: Eastern Europe/FSU
100 Emerging: Asia, Africa, Middle East
0
2002 2010 2015 2020 2025
EIA International Energy Outlook 2005
500
450
400
350
300 US
Total GW
250 China
200 India
150
100
50
0
2002 Additions 2025
ll EIA International Energy Outlook 2005
500
450
400
350
300 US
Total GW
250 China
200 India
150
100
50
0
2002 Additions 2025
EIA International Energy Outlook 2005
No. Units
few
500
400
Number of Units
300
No. Units
200
100
0
100-199 200-299 300-499 500-599 > 600
Output Range (MW)
Waigaoqiao 2x900 MW
250 bar, 538°C / 566°C
subcritical supercritical
120
100
80 No. Units
60
40
20
0
<100 100-200 200-250 500
Output Range (MW)
• 343 units in operation- no supercritical, no emission controls
• India’s 10/11th Plan- almost all 660 MW supercritical units
converted to 500 MW subcritical; few planned for future
• Actual capacity additions typically half of Plan
March 7, 2006 World Bank Energy Week 2006 Power Generation 8
WorldBank_EnergyWeek.ppt
Proven Technology is Available Today to
Significantly Reduce Environmental
Impact Tomorrow
46
Ultra-
45 Fuel: Bituminous coal Supercritical
LHV Net efficiencies [%]
tic al 285 bar
44
pe rcri 600°C
Su 270 bar
580°C
620°C
43 600°C
250 bar
42 Subcritical 566°C
250 bar
167 bar 566°C
540°C
538°C
41 560°C
538°C
40
Su 270 bar
580°C
620°C
43 600°C
250 bar
42 Subcritical 566°C
250 bar
167 bar 566°C
540°C
538°C
41 560°C
538°C
40
For Emerging Countries with Small Installed Grids and low Natural Gas
Reserves
Build small (250-500 MW) coal plants using modern day subcritical
technology with low NOX burners and post-combustion emissions
controls for SO2 and particulates
For Emerging Countries Rich in Coal with Large Installed Grids and Mature
Countries Rich in Coal
Continue to clean up/retire old coal-fired operating units
Build large (600-1000 MW) supercritical/ultrasupercritical coal plants
with post-combustion emissions controls for NOX, SO2 and particulates
Embrace IGCC as it becomes more commercially available
Continue development toward CO2 capture
Thank You
World Bank Energy Week
Raymond Baumgartner
Director- 60 Hz Reference Plants
Power Generation 15
Kodierung