College of Computer Science and Information System (CCSIS)

C
Course Code: STA-404-U&X Course Title: Statistical Inference
O U R S E

Instructor Name: Sheikh Muhammad Ali Meeting Hours: Sunday: 1:00 2:00 Semester: Fall- 2013 Email: s.m.ali@iobm.edu.pk

Prerequisite: Statistics &Mathematics (STA403)

Class Hours: 04:15 pm 07:15 pm

Course Objective: A systematic exposure on the issues and problems of applying and Interpreting statistical analysis of business situations, The course will focus on statistical methods used for taking effective business decision.

Text Book(s):

INTRODUCTORY STATISTICS by NEIL a. WEISS (Fourth Edition) siness Statistics by Examples by Terry Sincich(Fifth Edition)

Grading Policy:
First Midterm Second Midterm Final: Assignment + Journal Quizzes Project Attendance: Total:

Expected Date / Week

6th week 11th week 16th week

Weightage
15% 15% 40% 10% 10% 10% 100%

Assignments ( minimum 2)
Quizzes ( minimum 3) After 2nd Hourly Institutes policy

Week

Description of Topics

The Standard Normal Curve Normal Curves Normally Distributed Populations Normally Distributed Random Variables Normal Probability Plots The Normal Approximation to the Binomial Distribution Sampling Theory Sampling Error: the Need for Sampling Distribution The Mean and Standard Deviation of x The Sampling Distribution of the Mean Estimating a Population Mean Large-Sample Confidence Intervals for One Population Mean Sample-Size Consideration Confidence Intervals for One Normal Population Mean

Confidence Interval for difference of two population means

6 7

First Hourly The Nature of Hypothesis Testing Terms, Errors, and hypotheses Large-Sample Hypotheses Test for One Population Mean Hypotheses Test for One Population Mean Large-Sample Inferences for Two Population Mean Using Independent Samples Inferences for the Means of Two Normal Population Using Independent Samples Inferences for the Means of Two Normal Population Using Independent Samples Inferences for two Population Mean Using Paired Samples Inferences for the proportion of one population and two Population The Chi-Square Distribution Chi-Square Goodness-of-Fit Test Chi-Square Independence Test Second Hourly

10

11

12

Inferences for the slope of the Population Regression Line Inferences in Correlation

13

Multiple regression and Model building, Analysis of Variance (ANOVA)

14 15

One Way ANOVA Final Exam

ADDITIONAL INFORMATION 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. Attendance will be taken during the first five minutes, late comers will not be allowed in the class. More than two consecutive absences should be supported by a written explanation with suitable proof. Quizzes, mid terms and final exam. must not be missed. No make up quiz, mid term or final examination will be given for any reason. Students are expected to be attentive, participative and interactive in the class.. Instructor has the right to take any suitable action against a student for not maintaining discipline and congenial learning environment in the class.

College of Computer Science and

Information System (CCSIS)

Course Code: STA 404, Instructor Name: Sheikh Muhammad Ali Course Title: Statistical Inference Email: s.m.ali@iobm.edu.pk Prerequisite: STA-403-Statistics and Mathematics Semester: Fall-2012 S.No Course to be taught

1. Sampling: Introduction, Advantages of sampling, Sampling without replacement, 2. Sampling with replacement, Sampling distribution, Sampling Distribution of difference between means 3. Advance Problem 4. Estimation: Introduction, Estimates and Estimators, PointEstimation, Estimation by Confidence Interval, C.I Estimate of apopulation Mean, Normal Population with population standard deviationknown, Normal Population withpopulation standard deviation unknown. 5. Non normal population with known or unknown population standarddeviation, Interpretation of a C.I, C.I for difference of meansNormal population with known standard deviation, 6. Advance Problems 7. Normal Population with unknown s.d., Non normal populations. Samplesize for estimating population mean 8. Hypothesis testing, Null and Alternative Hypothesis, Simple andcomposite hypothesis, Acceptance and Rejection Regions, Type- I error,Type-II error, The significance level, Test of significance, One andTwo tailed tests 9. Test based on normal distribution, Testing Hypothesis about Mean ofa Normal Population when Population Variance is known. TestingHypothesis about mean of a normal population when Population varianceis known and n > 30 10. Testing Hypothesis about Mean of a non normal population whensample size is large. + Revision + Practical-3 11. 1st Mid-Term 12. Testing Hypotheses about difference between two population meansWith Known s.d, with unknown s.d..Both the populations are non normalin which case both sample sizes are necessarily large 13. The Chi Square Distribution: Introduction, Properties of the chisquare distribution 14. C.I estimate of variance of a normal population. C.I Estimate ofpopulation variance from a sample variance. C.I of population variancefrom several sample variances 15. Test based on Chi Square distribution. Testing Hypothesis aboutVariance of a Normal population, Pearsons Chi square test forGoodness of Fit. 16. Testing Hypothesis of independence in contingency tables. 17. Students t-Distribution: Properties of t-distribution.Distribution of Difference of Sample Means: Small Samples. C.IEstimate of mean from small sample. Testing Hypothesis about Mean of aNormal Population when Population variance is unknown and n<30. 18. Testing Hypothesis about difference of means of Two normalpopulations when Population Variance 1 = Population Variance 2

19. Testing Hypothesis about difference of mean of two NormalPopulation when 12 and unknown 20. Revision 21. 2nd Mid-Term 22. Testing Hypothesis about two means with paired observations. 23. The F-Distribution: Introduction, Properties. C.I for the variance Ratio, 24. Testing hypothesis about the equality of two variances 25. The Analysis of Variance: Introduction One way classification 26. ANOVA (Two way classification) 27. Overall Review 28. Overall Review 29. Final Examination 30. Final Examination