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Agile FINANCIAL TIMES

August
2009

Treasury Management
Preparing for a New Global Environment

PERSPECTIVE
Development of
Term MIBOR

ARTICLE

How Green is my
Technology?

SOLUTION SPOTLIGHT

AGILIS Core Insurance


August 2009

Editor’s Note
This month, we have gone green, literally. The
issue is a potpourri of seasonal produce - the CONTENTS
Germination of the New World Order, the
Fruition of our Agilis Insurance solution at
Insurance PHB, the Ripening of the MIBOR, PERSPECTIVE

the Regrowth of Treasury after its Autumnal Fall Development of Term


and of course what started it all - the Green MIBOR 4
Technology Revolution! Revolution indeed as
the new cycle goes from Cradle to Cradle (as COVER STORY
against Cradle to Grave). Treasury Management 7

Continuing with our motto of preservation and growth of capital, we


ARTICLE
present comprehensive coverage on treasury and insurance in this
How Green is my
issue. Added to that, are some pure, organic views from the cultivators
Technology? 10
of our economy - the bankers and the insurers. Our customer, Anselem
Igbo, Managing Director of the prestigious Insurance PHB and our
NEWS
reader, Mohan Shenoi, Treasurer, Kotak Mahindra Bank share their
Global Update 13
views from technology to economics.

Interesting to note how the monsoon affects the economics of a nation, ARTICLE

how the farm yields have a direct impact on our money market yields The New World Order 15
and how the right pollination of risk management and liquidity seeds
sustainable balance sheets. SOLUTION SPOTLIGHT

AGILIS Core Insurance 17


From Green Treasures in the garden to the Green Treasuries in the
vault, from cradle to cradle, it rocks on.

Be Agile!

Shefali Khera
Chief Marketing Officer
Write to us at info@agile-ft.com
PERSPECTIVE

Development of
Term MIBOR - A
Need of the Hour
Mohan Shenoi
Treasurer, Kotak Mahindra Bank

First, why do monetary policy-induced changes in the two


Three issues have dominated the principal channels of monetary transmission, viz. money
supply and the repo / reverse repo rates take an unusually
discourse in Indian financial long time to have an impact on the bank deposit and lending
rates? Second, is the prime lending rate (PLR) announced by
markets, particularly in the banks divorced from current market reality? Third, how can
the corporate bond market be activated? On the face of it,
banking arena for some time these three issues may appear independent of each other.
But a deeper reflection shows that they are indeed
now - repo and reverse repo interconnected and perhaps have a common solution.

rates, prime lending rates and Theoretically, a monetary transmission mechanism is


expected to be a three-stage process. In the first, stage
corporate bond markets. policy-induced changes in money supply and repo / reverse
repo rates are expected to nudge banks and other financial
intermediaries to change their short term deposit and loan
rates (medium and long term interest rates respond more to
changes in fiscal policy). In the second stage, changes in
these rates are expected to impact spending and saving
patterns of consumers and firms. In the third stage, a change
in aggregate demand is expected to impact inflation.

The general refrain is that short term deposit and lending


rates of banks in India do not respond to monetary policy
changes fast enough thereby impeding the transmission
process. Bankers have traditionally argued that higher
administered interest rates on small savings schemes of
Government of India compete with bank deposits and
effectively put a floor below which their deposit rates cannot
fall. While there is substance in this argument it is also true
that Indian banks and financial intermediaries do not
respond quickly to changes in indirect instruments of
monetary policy like repo / reverse repo rates. In the past,
during the rising interest rate scenario, it has been observed

4
PERSPECTIVE

that only when the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) initiated measures while fixing their BPLR there is a need for
sledge hammer measures (like widening the repo / reverse development of an inter-bank market benchmark linked to
repo corridor and forcing the market to operate at the upper which banks can raise floating rate term deposits. A floating
end of the interest rate corridor through rapid increases in rate term deposit will help banks minimise the interest rate
CRR) that the banks responded to monetary policy mismatches between their asset and liabilities side. When
measures. such a benchmark emerges there will be no need for a
BPLR. Banks can link their floating rate assets as well to this
A way out of this conundrum is to develop a purely inter- benchmark.
bank market benchmark rate which responds instantly to
monetary policy changes and to which bulk of the bank
deposit and lending rates are linked.
A way out of this conundrum is
The Benchmark Prime Lending Rate (BPLR) of banks is a
rate administratively decided by the Asset-Liability to develop a purely inter-bank
Committee (ALCO) of each bank, taking into account the
average cost of funds, cost of operations, appropriate market benchmark rate which
provisioning, capital charge and a profit margin. BPLR is
intended to be a reference rate around which most bank responds instantly to monetary
lending would take place. Banks use the BPLR primarily for
re-pricing floating or variable or adjustable rate loans policy changes and to which
(floating rate term loans, overdrafts, cash credits etc.).
However, the extant RBI guidelines requires banks to use bulk of the bank deposit and
only external or market based Rupee benchmark interest
rates for pricing floating rate products. lending rates are linked.
The liability side of most Indian banks consists of fixed rate
term deposits while the asset side has predominantly
floating rate loans, cash credits and overdrafts. This means A lot has been written about development of the corporate
in a falling interest rate environment the asset side of banks bond market in India. Permitting repo in corporate bonds
gets re-priced instantly, while the liability side gets re-priced was thought to be one of the measures that will activate this
only over a period of time. This inevitably narrows the market. However, no development on the regulatory front
spreads that banks enjoy between their assets and liabilities. has been seen so far in this regard. Higher participation by
This fact does influence the ALCO of banks when they financial institutional investors (FII) in the corporate bond
periodically review their BPLR. market was also considered another way to revive the
market. Though limits for FII participation in the corporate
So for banks to be more responsive to monetary policy bond market have been raised to US$ 15 billion actual
investments by FIIs has been far below the approved limit.

One of the reasons why the corporate bond market has not
grown is because issuers in India can only issue fixed rate
bonds/debentures. Ideally, in a falling interest rate
environment, the issuer would like to issue a floating rate
bond while the investor would like to subscribe to a fixed
rate bond and vice versa in a rising interest rate scenario. To
issue floating rate bond/debentures there is a need for
development of a market benchmark rate linked to which
the floating rate notes (FRN) could be issued. Coupled with
this, if a fixed-to-floating swap market is developed linked to
the same benchmark, both issuers’ and investors’ interest
can be protected in different interest rate scenarios.

It can be noticed from the above that ultimately all the three
issues are interconnected and the solution for them is
common, i.e. development of a market benchmark which is
credible, acceptable to the market players and which
responds instantly to monetary policy changes.

Currently, overnight MIBOR is accepted by the market as a

5
PERSPECTIVE

credible benchmark. The underlying volumes in this


benchmark are decent. Its acceptability amongst market
participants is also reflected by the fact that an actively
traded swap called Overnight Index Swap (OIS) has
developed linked to this benchmark. However, the
benchmark represents overnight call money rates. Hence it
is not suitable for pricing floating rate loans or deposits or
even as a link rate for monetary policy transmission.

Why should markets in India


wait for elusive turnover in 3
and 6 month MIBOR for it
to be accepted as a credible
benchmark?

Most US Dollar-denominated issuances in the international


markets are linked to 3 and 6 month LIBOR. This is
supplemented by US Dollar interest rate swap market where
the floating leg is linked to 6 month LIBOR. In a similar
fashion, there is a need to develop 3 and 6 month MIBOR
in Indian markets. While these benchmarks are regularly
polled and published, they lack acceptance in the market for
Mohan Shenoi is Treasurer and Member of the two reasons.
Senior Management team at Kotak Mahindra
Bank. Mohan heads integrated treasury First, the market believes that for a benchmark to get
acceptability there has to be large trading in those
(including forex, fixed income, money markets,
benchmarks in the underlying market. This, in my view, is a
derivatives and bullion), primary dealership, mistaken belief. As per the ECB (2007) Euromoney Market
debt capital markets and the balance sheet Survey, in recent years (2000-2007), about 70% of the
management unit at Kotak Mahindra Bank. He transactions were overnight while maturities of one month
or less amounted to about 95%. Notwithstanding this, 6-
is also a Director at Kotak Mahindra Prime Ltd.
month LIBOR is widely accepted as a benchmark globally.
Shenoi started his banking career at If this is so, then why should markets in India wait for
Corporation Bank in 1978. He was responsible elusive turnover in 3 and 6 month MIBOR for it to be
for shifting the Corporation Bank Treasury from accepted as a credible benchmark?
Mangalore, H.O. to Mumbai in 1990.
Secondly, the polling and publishing mechanism of term
Corporation Bank Treasury thereafter became MIBOR needs significant changes for it to generate
one of the well-known Bank Treasuries. He confidence in the market participants. LIBOR fixing process
joined ICICI Bank in 1994 - the 5th employee followed by the British Banks’ Association (BBA) has been
time tested and has worked even during difficult times when
to join ICICI Bank and member of the original
there was a total dislocation of credit markets. The Indian
team which set up the Bank. He moved from Bank’s Association (IBA) can adopt a similar process for
Treasury to Planning in ICICI Bank in 1996, MIBOR fixing to generate widespread acceptance of the
and was head of Retail in 2000-01. Shenoi is a benchmark in the market place.
Bachelor in Business Management (BBM),
Development of term MIBOR thus can solve three issues at
Certificated Associate of Indian Institute of one go, i.e. assisting the monetary transmission process,
Bankers (CAIIB) and holds a Post Graduate helping banks to manage their interest rate mismatches and
Diploma in Bank Management (PGDBM). in developing the corporate bond market.

6
The Basel Committee on
Banking Supervision recently
released enhancements as part
of its efforts to strengthen the
Treasury
regulatory capital framework.

A press statement issued by


the stated that the program
Management
aims to introduce new
Preparing for a New Global Environment
standards to promote the build-
up of capital buffers that can be
While the efficacy of the new measures will be proven over time, for the time
drawn down in periods of being it has been pretty much up to the respective governments to haul their
stress, strengthen the quality of banks out of trenches that they dug for themselves.
bank capital and introduce a
Capitalism has made it imperative for banks to be profit centres and they
leverage-ratio as a backstop to
compete in a financial market fraught with risk. The extent to which banking
Basel II. regulations can be manipulated was evident with the scenario that unfolded in
2008 and was definitely a case of inadequate governance. None of this happened
overnight and was the result of a cascading effect of a systemic disregard of
basic risk appetite fundamentals.

Unaware and under-prepared

Many claims and counter claims later, the Royal Bank of Scotland (RBS)
eventually used tax payers’ money to pull itself back from the brink of disaster.
Sir Fred Goodwin unceremoniously fell from the pedestal of being the one of
the best in business and after leading RBS to among the top 10 largest banks in
the world. As we try and piece together facts, it emerges that there was gross
negligence on the part of the treasury and top management coupled with a series
of decisions that blatantly ignored basic risk management mandates. RBS did
receive warnings about the global economic condition, the extent and impact of
which was never analysed. The risk calibration system was ineffective because it

7
COVER STORY

was restricted to correctly identifying the risks, but never on top of their risk management criteria. Spotting a risk has
took the all important step to precisely quantify the risk. The to be followed up with an appropriate action. It is very
risk-reward ratio was unnaturally high during the boom, and apparent that banks that survived did not do so by chance,
the the warning bell that the balance sheet was skewed was but because they had strict measures in place. While not all
not loud enough to make an impact. The envelope was risk models can be completely reliable in terms of extent of
further pushed with the acquisition of ABN Amro, the damage, they do indicate a strong possibility of trouble.
exposure to the sub-prime crisis, and RBS finally gave in to
a triple assault of liquidity, credit and counter-party risk. Fang Fang, JP Morgan’s China Managing Director and Chief
Executive Officer, recently said that the company was able
Credit risk management forms a big part of managing risks to tide over the crisis successfully on account of its strict
within a bank which manifests when a borrower fails to internal control and risk management mechanism.
repay as per commitments. This needs constant monitoring According to him, the company managed to avoid the sub-
of the profile of borrowers, estimate extent of credit losses, prime mortgage crisis as they identified the related risks and
and a constant review of the control mechanism. Since the moved away from complex structured financial products
credit repayment behaviour reveals itself over a period of right at the start of the US housing market bubble burst. As
time, it is important for top management to recognise the a matter of policy, the company set aside additional capital
signs well in advance to halt the credit doles and therefore earned during the boom to tide over losses in bad years. The
the cascading effect of non-repayment. company also maintained a healthy capital adequacy ratio
through out, which has paid off in turbulent times, as clients
and investors have expressed more confidence by moving to
it.
Capitalism has made it
Treasuries: Balancing the Act to Even Out
imperative for banks to be profit
Bank treasuries are in a position where they have access to
centres and they compete in a information on both liabilities and assets of a company.
Traditionally treasuries have focused on liabilities, but
financial market fraught with considering the way that markets function has changed,
treasuries are now paying more attention to the asset side as
risk. The extent to which well.

banking regulations can be Banks are very susceptible to credit risk, as the chances of
losing capital in credit business are very high. Constant
manipulated was evident with reviewing of exposure limits is essential to make sure that
caps are commensurate to handle the changing economic
the scenario that unfolded in scenario. Adherence to internal controls at all times will
ensure that trading balances risks and rewards within
2008 and was definitely a case of reasonable limits of size and position.

inadequate governance. Facing market risks arising out of liquidity, interest rate,
exchange rate and equity price changes essentially requires
the treasury department to stay close to rule books when it
comes to trading in various securities, bonds, and other
The unrealistic financial boom and security was partly instruments. Maintaining a close watch on liquidity of the
created by banks, when lending took to proportions never bank ensures that funds are available when needed to tide
witnessed before. The aggressive credit expansion, increase over negative cash flows, changing performance of assets,
in asset prices and little or no savings in the western and be able to cash in on opportunities when they arise.
countries spiralled into big trouble for banks. Offerings While there is no clear winner among the risk management
across various asset classes with little experience, high models that emerged during the crisis, it essentially has to be
associated risks and aiming at profits did not work well. a mix of various factors.

One-up on situation Greg Fischer, assistance Treasurer, Janus Capital Group,


says, “The primary objective for a treasurer is to protect the
The risks of lending were evident as early as in 2006, when company’s money. Therefore, preservation of principal is
the rate of non-payment of mortgage loans started to paramount. The next objective is typically liquidity as funds
increase. Some banks such as HSBC took corrective action for operations can be needed any time. Finally, maximising
on time, and lived to tell the tale. Most of the banks that yield within the prior two objectives should be a goal. The
survived the crisis were conservative in approach and mostly rise in volatility requires that investments be monitored

8
COVER STORY

much more closely than in the past and that complete reliance on a broker or
on the rating agencies is not the approach taken.”

While lean and simple banks would be easier to maintain and regulate nothing
can really predict that they will not suffer in crisis. Bear Stearns was a small
entity and yet it needed government bailout. Distributing risk with larger firms
seems plausible but they will have inherent issues of monitoring and can be
very expensive to rescue. What is essential is keeping the size of the risk small
and this has to be initiated by banks themselves - ensuring that no risk is big
enough to ruin them. Credit Suisse has put in place a capital-allocation risk
management committee which aims at maintaining a balance between the
business opportunity and the downside risk. Although it has a business strategy
similar to that of UBS, its wealth-management division is still attracting
investors. Another example is HSBC, which was able to blunt the impact of its
performance in the US with its sizable presence in emerging markets.

To treat each risk separately and then try to figure out its impact may not be the
best way of ascertaining if the business will still continue to thrive. Banks have Fang Fang, JP
dedicated teams to tackle different risks that work in isolation. To understand
the bigger picture and move ahead in a volatile market, it is imperative that Morgan’s China
banks have platforms where information can be shared.
Managing
For instance, Credit Suisse has a group that looks at market risk and credit risk
together. It is also no secret that banks are increasingly using technology to Director and
provide them with analytics to potentially spot any further adverse blips on the
radar. Chief Executive
Using processes to advantage Officer, said that
Going forward, banks will have to follow many regulations and be more the company was
compliant than ever before. Product innovations will be scrutinised and
weighed, before implementation is allowed. Banks themselves may have to re- able to tide over
define stress tests, and bank treasuries need to ascertain a workable mix of asset
classes under various circumstances, and consider the ramifications of the crisis
depending on too many exotic instruments or very simplistic offers.
successfully on
While most large banks have risk management processes in place, the need
really is greater discipline. Following a well thought-out approach to managing account of its
funds and capital, with basic rules in place and an insistence from the top-
management on adherence will be the key to the effective role of treasury. strict internal
Treasuries also need to strictly follow international best practices of three layers
within the treasury department, where the front office is responsible for deals, control and risk
the mid-office for compliance to tolerance limits and the back office for
settlement. Greater involvement in the business plan is also likely to result in management
better control on liquidity and funding, which can be very important in times
of crisis. mechanism.
9
ARTICLE

How Green
is my
Technology?
‘Green is in’ but just a cursory stock
check is enough to reveal the anomaly.

A recent internet search on ‘environmental One of the many institutions that has taken over the
concern’ gave 169,000,000 results, while responsibility of educating people includes the United
Nations Environment Program (UNEP), with focus on
‘green initiatives’ gave 12,000,000. While on
increasing involvement at all levels - governments, scientists,
their own the numbers may not mean much, corporates and the society at large. The pertinent
they do indicate the black hole that humanity environmental issues include global warming, waste
has created for itself with persistent disregard generation management, carbon emission reduction and
renewable energy resources. Some statistics from 2009
towards the planet’s vulnerable environment.
UNEP Year Book will put in perspective the appaling
situation that we are in currently:
A greener lifestyle that will counter or even
slow down the rate of damage is eons away  A one-metre rise in sea levels world-wide is enough to
displace around 100 million people in Asia, mostly
Bangladesh, eastern China and Vietnam; 14 million in
Europe and 8 million each in Africa and South America.
In the next century, the estimated rise in sea level ranges
from 0.8 metres to 2 metres from Greenland ice
outflows alone.
 2008 had the second smallest area of Arctic sea-ice
following the summer thaw since satellite monitoring
began in 1979.
 Studies in 2008 indicate oceans are now soaking 10
million tons less C02.
 Over two billion tons of waste is being generated every
year globally; by 2030, China and India are estimated to
contribute about 500 million and 250 million tons of
solid waste every year respectively.

It is no surprise therefore, that conversations about


environmental sustainability have started to move from the
United Nations and Green Peace offices into corporate
board rooms.

10
ARTICLE

Green Governments: A Global Tangle investment (ROI), and most decisions will be driven by
profitability, investments in greener technologies have
After a number of multi-level conferences, government proven to be profitable in the long run. For instance,
representatives from across the globe have found it virtually General Electric (GE) began its campaign to go green with
impossible to decide unilaterally on hard hitting measures, an initiative called Ecomagination. Since 2005, the company
instead revelling in blame games, passing the buck, and has been trying to effectively utilise technology and
procrastination. There is an unresolved conflict of who is industrial capabilities to reduce environmental impact while
responsible for the current environment pathos and also reducing costs by over US$100 million. Such results will
therefore who should bear the maximum responsibility of ensure complete acceptance of strategy that weaves in
cleaning it up. environment sustainability across the organisation. GE
managed to reduce greenhouse gas emissions intensity on a
The importance of engaging in constant efforts to reduce revenue basis by 30% by 2008. There was a 33% increase in
carbon emission is not lost, and some of the targets offerings portfolio with ecomagination revenues registering
established over the last one year broadly include the an increase of 21%. The company remains committed to its
following: revenue target of US$25 billion and an increase in R&D in
2010 in spite of the tough economic environment.
 By 2020, the European Union (EU) plans to cut overall
greenhouse gas emissions by 20% over 1990 levels; aims Companies cannot afford to go green as a by-product of
to use renewable sources such as wind, waves and plant their efforts to control costs. The need of the hour has
waste to generate 20% of overall EU energy moved way beyond this and requires urgent action. Results
requirement; and to make efficiency savings of 20% over are bound to be different when environment is a priority and
forecast consumption. an inherent part of business strategy. All industries have
 The United States, Canada, Japan and Russia assented to contributed immensely to carbon emissions and efforts have
a G8 declaration to endorse the position on climate to be made across each to arrest the impact. Data centres of
already taken by the EU. According to this, global IT companies generate huge amounts of heat which is
temperatures, which increased by 0.7ºC in the 20th currently wasted, but has been recycled by some companies
century, should not be allowed to rise by more than 2ºC
as compared to the pre-industrial levels.
 Eight other countries, broadly representing the
developing world at the G-8 conference, signed up to the There is an unresolved conflict
target.
of who is responsible for the
As usual, experts are skeptical about claims and promises.
This is obvious from the recent G8 meeting in Italy where current environment pathos and
the aim was specified, but an implementation road map on
how to achieve this goal was conspicuous by its absence. therefore who should bear the
Green Corporates: A Global Exigency maximum responsibility of
In an era of rapid industrialisation, fast growth and cleaning it up.
automation that spanned decades, few spared thoughts,
efforts or investments towards making any of this growth
environment-friendly. However, as the atmosphere went
through changes, translating into hardships visible in to heat buildings. Even supermarkets are looking to source
everyday life, corporates and governments alike woke up to locally to reduce their produce ‘food miles’. The maximum
the reality and responsibility. In the last 5-7 years, almost all impact towards a greener existence would arguably be in
large corporations are holding themselves more accountable. power and water conservation.
UN officials in a General Assembly meeting said they firmly
believed that renewable and clean energy would help combat Large corporates are also investing in companies doing
climate change and reverse the global economic crisis, thus research on environment-friendly technologies. For instance,
indicating the inevitability that corporates need to address Intel announced an investment of US$10 million in five
this issue urgently. Increasingly, almost all government companies developing technology to promote cleaner
economic stimuli programs have a green component environment. Nokia works with five pillars of Green
embedded into them indicating the seriousness. initiative identified as Evolve, Recycle, Energize, Create and
Support. Following a life-cycle-based thought process and
Balancing ROI with an aim to focus on all facets of operations, devices and
services, Nokia is looking to reduce its overall adverse
While it is obvious that companies will monitor return on impact on the environment. The approach analyses the

11
ARTICLE

product through the entire chain of operations, starting with extraction of raw
materials and ending with recycling, treatment of waste, and recovery of used
materials. The bigger changes that have made the initiative achieve success are
better product design, control on production processes, and increased material
reuse and recycling.

Beyond CSR: Onus on CIOs

When green initiatives are proactively driven from the top management level,
they form an important part of the strategy as it affects the way the customers,
clients, suppliers and government perceive the company.

According to research estimates, environmental concerns will be one of the top


five priorities for Chief Information Officers (CIO) for the next 5 years in 50%
of large organisations. CIOs select and implement information technology in
organisations to enable and support the business plan. Going forward,
operational efficiency needs to be targeted in tandem with environmental
efficiency more as a rule than an exception. Involving other top management
executives will be important in implementing a mix of the easier and obvious
energy efficient options along with the more strategic investment in processes
and information technology.

Starting with short term changes and goals, it is imperative that these then
further evolve into schemes that are specifically aimed at increasing awareness
about their carbon footprint. Measures on a larger scale would entail using
renewable sources of energy, water harvesting and usage, alter power
consumption patterns, using environment friendly methods of heating and
According to research cooling, and infrastructure changes which have to gradually be incorporated
into long-term plans and visions, spreading the message within the company
estimates, and industry.

environmental In this scenario, some initiatives that CIOs are already addressing include:

concerns will be one  Altering and optimizing business processes.


 Reducing the size of offices so that more people can work out of smaller
of the top five spaces.
 Initiating use of technology to allow remote working, connectivity,
priorities for Chief communication and co-ordination.
 Cutting the use of paper through online processes.
Information Officers  Monitoring and reducing power consumption.
 Optimizing the use of servers and computers.
(CIO) for the next 5  Initiating virtualization; reduction in travel has been found to be the most
effective and easy measure.
years in 50% of large
Corporates are likely to be more successful in their efforts if implementation
organisations. CIOs and adherence to procedures is regulated and monitored. With smaller, definite
and achievable targets, progress is achievable and measurable. CIOs of global
select and implement companies can spread the message faster and ensure compliance across all
branches. Similarly compliance across supply chains, both forward and
information backward, needs to be insisted upon. Encouraging employees to be sensitive to
the environment, albeit at a smaller scale, would still have a cascading effect.
technology in CIOs of leading companies in all industry segments need to propagate and
practice green best practices, and provide an example to the rest of the
organisations to industry. With many industry leaders having already taken green initiatives, and
established profitable practices, it is only a matter of acknowledging the
enable and support importance of each little contribution before the environment finds itself
embedded in all business plans and strategies. The results would be for all to
the business plan. see as they are tangible, measurable and adaptable.

12
NEWS

Global
Update
A quick review of industry news from
around the world.

Abax Global Capital to Start Private Equity bankers may undermine the recovery and put their
Fund in China economies back into "stagdeflation" if they raise taxes, cut
spending and mop up excess liquidity in their systems to
Hong Kong based will soon start a private equity fund in reduce fiscal deficits, said Roubini. He currently expects a U-
China to invest in companies making environmentally- shaped recovery, where growth will be "anemic and below-
friendly products like clean energy. Abax, which is promoted trend for at least two years."
by Morgan Stanley, plans to raise US$73 million from
Chinese investors in the first round. Abax came into Challenger Financial Services to Increase
existence in 2007, and initially focused on investing in Funds Under Management
companies that managed transactions like mergers and
acquisitions, asset sales and large share buybacks. According James Packer-backed Austria-based Challenger Financial
to Donald Yang, president, Abax, "From a business point of Services Group has announced that may increase its funds
view, having a single strategy is risky. What we’re trying to do under management as much as 50 percent to A$30 billion by
is to build a platform with multiple strategies." Earlier this buying domestic or overseas rivals. Challenger also recently
year, Abax raised US$50 million from a small group of high agreed to sell its mortgage business to National Australia
net worth individuals in China for funds that focus on Bank and is now focusing on life insurance and managing
publicly issued, frequently traded high-yield and convertible savings. With a spare capital of A$880 million, the company
bonds. is looking at expanding the annuities unit. Four years ago,
Challenger bought HSBC Holding’s Australian asset
Risk of Double-Dip Recession? management unit, and according to a statement by its CEO,
is looking for more such transactions.
Nouriel Roubini, the New York University professor who
predicted the financial crisis, has said in the press that the Thailand Easing out of Recession
chance of a double-dip recession is increasing due to risks
related to ending global monetary and fiscal stimulus. The central bank in Thailand has not reduced the interest
According to Roubini, the global economy will bottom out rates, with signs of the recession easing last quarter due to
in the second half of 2009 and the recession in the US, UK, government spending and improvement in export orders.
and some European countries will not be "formally over" The gross domestic product fell 4.9 percent in the second
before the end of the year, while the recovery has started in quarter from a year earlier, after contracting 7.1 percent in
nations such as China, France, Germany, Australia and the previous three months, according to a government
Japan. Governments around the world have pumped in US$ statement. Very recently, the cabinet approved a revised 1.06
2 trillion to revive their economies. Government and trillion- baht, three-year investment program to help lift the

13
NEWS

economy out of its recession. This is in addition to a 116.7 believed to have expanded 0.9 percent last quarter, as
billion- baht stimulus package implemented in the first half compared to a low of 0.4 percent in the previous three
of 2009. months.

Banco do Brasil to Increase Lending Bank of China to Increase Real Estate Lending
in the UK
The largest lender in Latin America - Banco do Brasil, is
planning to double credit to individuals over the next few Bank of China, which is expanding into the real estate
years as a drop in interest rates have increased demand for lending business in the UK, is looking at cherry-picking
car and home loans. Personal loans may contribute to 50 prime borrowers from British lenders. The Chinese bank is
percent of the bank’s total credit portfolio, up from 27 looking at attracting customers with good credit histories
percent in the second quarter. The bank’s net interest margin who are struggling to get new mortgages or restructure their
increased to 7.3 percent in the second quarter from 7.1 debts from traditional real estate lenders in the UK. While
percent a year earlier. The bank has regained its position as Bank of China was earlier focused on lending to the ethic
Latin America’s largest bank in the second quarter from Sao Chinese community in the UK, it is now expanding its
Paulo-based Itau Unibanco. Banco do Brasil is also awaiting horizons, and is signing up mortgage distributors consisting
US regulatory approval to start a retail business in the US of around 15,000 brokers to sell the bank’s home loan
this year to serve the population of Brazilians living there. product. Bank of China currently employs 250 people in the
The bank also has plans to expand in Africa and Asia, with UK, and aims to raise its loan-to-deposit ratio in the UK
more than 10% of earnings in future targeted from from the existing 30 per cent to around 70 percent.
international markets.
ASIC to Gain New Powers to Supervise Markets
Nigeria Fires Five Bank Chiefs
The Australian government will bestow new powers on the
Nigeria’s central bank Governor Lamido Sanusi recently country’s corporate regulator to supervise real-time trading
fired the CEOs of five banks due to a debt crisis in the on all domestic licensed markets. The Australian Securities
industry, and has announced that the central bank would and Investments Commission (ASIC) will be responsible for
inject around US$2.7 billion into the banks. Nigeria’s anti- supervision as well as enforcement of the laws against
graft agency is seeking the former CEOs of two of the five misconduct on Australia’s financial markets, said treasurer
banks that received cash injections from the central bank. Wayne Swan recently. In the existing scenario, the
Cecilia Ibru of Oceanic Bank and Erastus Akingbola of responsibility for day-to-day supervision of trading,
Intercontinental Bank are wanted in connection with investigations into possible breaches, and providing referrals
fraudulent abuse of credit process, insider trading, capital to ASIC rests with ASX Ltd. According to Anshuman
market manipulation and money laundering, according to Jaswal, an analyst with Celent, "The reduction of regulatory
the Economic and Financial Crimes Commission. Both Ibru powers of ASX was necessary in encouraging competition
and Akingbola have moved the Nigerian court and are in the Australian equity markets and the possibility of entry
challenging their dismissals. into the Australian market from end-2010 onwards is an
exciting opportunity for the exchanges in Asia. Leading
Standard Chartered to Sell Insurance in Africa exchanges such as those in Tokyo, Shanghai, Singapore and
Hong Kong, and also NSE and MCX (operated by Financial
Standard Chartered has entered into a six-year agreement Technologies) in India, should see this as an opportunity to
with Sanlam Ltd to sell its life insurance products in five expand their global footprint and establish themselves in an
African countries. The agreement includes Standard economy which has weathered the recent economic crisis
Chartered’s units in Botswana, Tanzania, Ghana, Zambia relatively well." The implementation is expected to take
and Kenya. In addition, Standard Chartered is also planning effect by the third quarter of 2010, and will announce a
to expand its bancassurance business in the region to transition plan after the legislative framework has been set
provide cover for illness, funeral expenses, savings and up.
education.
Ahli United to Increase Stake in Egypt and Iraq
Philippines Stocks Hit Seven Month High
Bahrain-based Ahli United Bank has announced that it plans
The Philippines benchmark stock index rose to its highest to increase its stake in lenders in Iraq and Egypt. The bank,
point in seven months on expectations that it has avoided a which is the largest commercial lender in Bahrain, has
recession in the second quarter and is poised for an received approval from the Egyptian central bank to raise its
economic recovery later this year. Diwa Guinigundo, deputy stake in Ahli United Bank Egypt to 90 percent, up from 35.3
governor of the central banks, said that economic prospects percent. Ahli United has also received an approval from the
are much stronger and policy makers will keep rates steady Iraqi central bank to increase its stake in Commercial Bank
for as long as necessary. The Philippines economy is of Iraq to 75 percent, up from 49 percent.

14
ARTICLE

The New
World Order
Life After the Recession

All through the second half of last year, the financial sector together to evolve into a pattern, governments rushed in to
went through some of the most defining events of the save these banks, announcing measures and bail-outs. There
recessionary period. Analysts speculated on likely financial was debate and opposition, but eventually, billions of dollars
players that would crumble under pressure and then laid were pumped in. With this life-support in place, efforts
threadbare the causes and effects. Banks are perceived as the moved onto measures to make the financial sector more
rock-solid institutions with expertise and control on all resilient. Evaluation of policies and regulations of countries
matters related to money, not just their own but also the that emerged with banks intact from this crisis revealed that
investors. The recent collapse, against popular perceptions, stricter controls and guidelines to regulate the industry was
left no doubt about their vulnerability. Together, they left the key. This is no doubt an oversimplification of prevailing
investors and eventually governments alike with gaping conditions and their ramification, but this is where all the
holes in their pockets. Take-overs and bail outs changed the immediate changes are bound to happen.
face of the industry and economies across continents.
Preparing for Take-off: Altering the Basics
Build-up to the Alarming Scenario
The financial sector overhaul is inevitable. The US
The looming recession was evident as early as 2007. The government has been very open in its criticism of the way
risks associated with sub-prime mortgage played out at its companies conduct business. There is however more to it
worse. Oppressive competition in housing-loan segment and than just competition and risk appetite. Evidently the
profitability driving all decisions, risks were ignored. regulatory system was ineffective, inward looking and could
Housing sector went under, leading to the crippling not keep up with the changing demand and supply pattern in
mortgage market collapse. The number of defaulters caught market. The last couple of months have indicated the course
banks and other financial institutions on the wrong foot. As of the industry going forward - the direct fall out of this
the financial sector crumbled, wealth and savings crisis include increase in government role, decline in
disappeared. In the ensuing crunch, companies across consumer spending and basic policy and procedural
industries were left with no recourse and job cuts became changes in banks. The impact of the recession, corrective
very much a part of corporate life. As per US Department measures and their repercussions will initiate not only
of Labour, the number of people who have lost jobs since functional metamorphosis in banks, but will alter consumer
the star of recession was pegged at 6.5 million at the end of habits and national economies.
June 2009, and the unemployment rate is at 9.5%. Europe is
not far behind with an unemployment rate of 9.2%. Bail-out: Governments to Control Strings

Even as the erroneous judgments were being strung The one common line of thought that has emerged as the

15
ARTICLE

world economy struggles and looks ahead to post recession between. Colossal gains, consistently over a long period are
days - regulations are mandatory and here to stay. Bail out needed to offset the recent overt losses - no doubt
packages removed all possibility of resistance to regulatory underlining the ultimate catchphrase - easier said than done.
initiatives and bodies going forward. Issues in for
moderation are interest rates, possible areas of business, Product portfolio: Going back to the root, the financial
business models, requisite minimum capital, risk sector, where most of these aforementioned arguments will
management, borrower profiles etc. create an impact - will witness drastic remodeling in the
structure. These institutions under the circumstances, where
Government involvement that started with bail outs will government involvement has gone up, and consumers are
continue with insistence on compliance. For instance cautious, will have to revamp their product portfolio. The
Obama’s Financial reform plan has increased the scope of portfolio will have to optimise returns, minimise risk and
responsibilities of Federal Reserve with different mandates discourage malpractices.
for large and mid-sized firms. A new bank agency, the
National Bank Supervisor was established to monitor Risk aversion: With almost all banks and companies re-
national banks, including federal branches and agencies of evaluating their exposure to risks, viability and strength of
foreign banks. Requisite capital requirements and credit financial relationships are under scrutiny. Investments and
exposure are under scrutiny. lending deals are under the scanner. Interbank exchanges are
cautious, reflected in increased LIBOR. Individual investors
Among the various lessons that this slowdown taught the are opting for safer investment options, even if that means
global market, one was how the erstwhile frowned upon lower returns.
regulated financial sector in some nations, withstood the
test. Canada and Australia are free economies yet certain Slower growth: Credit availability has squeezed, and
mandates helped banks and economies tide over the crisis, interest rates are up. Liquidity issues are cropping up, and
without external aid. While there seem to no immediate funds to tide over these challenges are hard to come by.
measures to nationalise banks that have under-performed, Companies are postponing their expansion plans, their
policy interventions are imminent. working capital requirements are pending, jobs are being cut,
and almost all industries predict much slower growth rates in
Holding on: Consumer Spending Declines coming quarters. Margins will be affected as almost all
sectors are battling for survival.
Apart from these long-term measures, change in consumer
spending pattern will have immediate effect on the banks. Likely weakening of USD: The US was one of the worst
The effect will be manifold, as it will directly impact affected countries, and the volatility had an adverse impact
earnings, business opportunities and growth strategies of on the strength of USD. Even during the crisis, a number of
the banks. Expenditures will decline across both classes of companies and countries started on attempts to reduce their
customers - individual and corporate. over dependence on USD. They have used alternate
currencies to invest, to conduct business, and plan to
The ripple effect has been reduction in credit card usage by continue diversification for further transactions.
retails customers especially on the ‘nice to have’ luxurious
items. A chunk of bank earnings are from ‘interchange’ Leaner finds favour: While job cuts were painful, they did
charges levied on retailers and roll-over charges paid by card help cut the flab. Job cuts were most rampant in the US, and
holders. While realisation of earlier defaults is an issue, experts opine that the lean economy may find it easier than
further decrease will force banks to change their schemes. others to be back on track.
Customers prefer to hold on to their cash, and are placing
them in safe accounts. This reduces the opportunities for While the governments issue blanket decisions on the
banks further. Loan facilities is another form of revenue financial sector, self discipline by banks and financial
stream for banks, and one that is depleting fast. Job cuts and institutions will definitely be more effective. Risk
devalued investments have hit the consumers hard. Chances management is crucial for survival. These institutions must
are that they would not want to increase their liabilities. determine what businesses they would like to engage in and
Considering interest rates will be high with added emphasis continue with those without getting pressurised by
on borrower profiles, chances are that loan seekers will defer competitors, and other new businesses. Forays into new lines
decisions. of businesses have to be backed by reason, and be subjected
to pre-requisites. Interest rates are determined on risk
Secure Landing: Accruals and Rebuilding factors associated with borrowers, which ideally then should
not spiral out of control, as borrower profiles are scrutinised
There is complete consensus that the road back is unwieldy and risk is capped. With margins under pressure now, this is
and long. Though there are some reports of positive growth more critical than ever. Self regulation and self discipline by
from some countries, banks having repaid some part of the industry will encourage its otherwise slow return to
financial help, markets creeping up, etc, these are few and far normal.

16
SOLUTION SPOTLIGHT

AGILIS Core
Insurance
A solution for insurance companies
from Agile FT

As insurance companies, both conventional and Islamic the point of getting a proposal for new policy up to the
(Takaful), strive to create innovative business models, reduce issuance of the policy (or any other disposal of the
costs and increase market share, the limitations of their proposal). The proposal goes through a number of checks,
current processes, software and infrastructure are major validations and decision points before the insurance
impediments in achieving these business objectives. company issues or rejects the proposal. The system handles
proposal entry (including scanning of documents), tracking,
In addition, insurers have to deal with the nuances of verification, scrutiny, automatic and manual underwriting,
soliciting and servicing customers both directly, and through collection of first premium, and issue of policy document.
intermediaries. The new business feature enables consistency of process
and improved turn-around-time leading to higher levels of
Most insurers frame strategies that attempt to differentiate customer service.
their products and target market segments to win customer
sets from competitors. This drives a need for more product Workflow
sophistication and quality market data, sometimes across
geographic boundaries. The solution can be configured to a specific workflow to
reflect the desired business process. While the solution
Emerging markets represent a significant business comes pre-configured with a proposed business workflow,
opportunity for insurers, but the rules and requirements to there are provisions in the system to change this workflow.
do business in such markets are very different. In their quest This enables the automation of movement of a transaction
for meeting changing customer demands, increased through its life cycle in the system, coupled by the scanned
regulation, and creating innovative business models, images of the associated documents.
insurance companies need a technology platform that can
truly support their changing needs without affecting their An automated workflow ensures that the policy document
capital allocation and operating expenses to a large extent. travels through a defined business process, which eliminates
delays in processing that may otherwise take place.
AGILIS Core
Policy Management
The features of AGILIS Core include:
This module enables capture of transactions pertaining to
New Business policy after its issue, such as receipt of renewal premium /
recurring premium, alteration of fixed information of the
The new business feature handles the business process from policy, policy lapse, reinstatement or surrender.

17
SOLUTION SPOTLIGHT

Underwriting
Insurance PHB Accelerates Pace with AGILIS
The underwriting module supports both automatic and
Nigeria-based Insurance PHB has signed an agreement with manual processes, with complete flexibility to the
Agile FT to implement AGILIS Core Insurance. insurer while defining the rules. It has the ability to
analyse the current data about the proposer, combine it
The implementation will be overseen by FASYL, Agile FT’s with past experience data about the proposer and the
partner in Nigeria. The selection of the core application total risk cover in force, and then approve the case with
software from Agile FT was made after an extensive appropriate cover and premium. The system supports
evaluation process that included detailed workshops and site manual intervention as per the defined workflow.
visits to existing clients of the software. Insurance PHB's
intention is to create a strong technology backbone that would Channel Management
become a foundation for its growth strategy. When fully
implemented, the software will improve turnaround time of This module keeps track of the distribution channel
operations in the company. through which a proposal was received, policy issued,
and commissions processed. The software maintains
As an integrated comprehensive solution for insurance identity of the distribution channels, their members,
companies, applying powerful tools that cover the entire and the relationships between the members, including
business cycle from underwriting and claim management to hierarchical relationships.
reinsurance and accounting, AGILIS Core Insurance will
enhance Insurance PHB's business processes. Employing a It is capable of dealing with multiple channels such as
modular and parametric approach to management of the employees, agents, brokers and bancassurance partners.
insurance business and deploying its enterprise wide, web- In addition to tracking training, computation of
based technologies, AGILIS will ensure quick, accurate and productivity, contests and rewards, it also handles
easy access to information. The online portals are expected payment processing to channels in an automated
to greatly enhance interaction between Insurance PHB's manner.
clients, sales force and agents, as well as provide a
competitive edge in expanding its distribution network. Security

Speaking at the signing ceremony, Anselem Igbo, Managing The solution provides security at the data, usage and
Director, Insurance PHB, said the partnership between the role levels, enabling the organisation to enable specific
two companies is a mutually beneficial arrangement, which users to handle specific functions only. All authorised
gives Insurance PHB the opportunity of offering seamless users of the solution are protected by their unique
services to its clients. By deploying state of the art technology identifiers and passwords, and are governed by the
offered by Agile FT, this project will set an industry benchmark permissions given by the system administrator. The
on the timely and effective use of technology within Nigeria, application maintains an audit trail of all activities
especially as web services and AGILIS’ robust technology taking place in the system. This enables complete
framework will result in creating new possibilities in client tracking of all actions matched with the identity of the
servicing in Insurance PHB. user who carried out the action.

Kalpesh Desai, CEO, Agile FT, pledged the readiness of his Claims Management
organization to demonstrate new possibilities for Insurance
PHB and was confident that Agile FT's systems and The benefits management function services the claims
processes will be the foundation and enabler of Insurance made by the beneficiary and provides simplified
PHB's vision of growth and expansion of its market share. document handling, with all documents pertaining to a
claim scanned and integrated into the defined workflow,
Bade Aluko, CEO, Finance Application Systems Limited including steps like receipt of first intimation of loss,
(FASYL), said that with its wealth of experience of Nigeria's receipt and verification of claim documents, payment
financial industry, their alliance with Agile FT promises to offer decision and settlement.
customers in Nigeria access to best-of-breed solutions,
backed by strong service, and will support organizations to Management Reports
achieve mutual long-term success. He expressed confidence
on AGILIS as a solution that is proven, scalable and reliable The system allows for generation of management
whose tools are very well integrated. Aluko said organizations reports related to operational control as well as service
can take advantage of FASYL'S presence in Nigeria and their levels pertaining to all processing. Reconciliation and
understanding of the business requirements to partner with exception reports are also available in the system, as are
them on similar projects. reports on business performance, trends and regulatory
compliance.

18
www.agile-ft.com

Agile Financial Technologies Pvt Ltd Agile Financial Technologies Agile Financial Technologies Pte Ltd
701-A, Prism Towers 808-A, Business Central Towers 20 Cecil Street, #14-01
Mindspace, Malad (West) TECOM, Dubai Internet City Equity Plaza
Mumbai 400064 P.O. Box 503007 Singapore 049705
India Dubai Tel: +65-64388887
Tel : +91-22-42501200 United Arab Emirates Fax: +65-64382436
Fax: +91-22-42501234 Tel: +971-4-4331825
Fax: +971-4-435-5709

Views expressed in this publication do not necessarily represent the views of Agile FT and the information contained herein is only a brief synopsis of the issues discussed herein. Agile FT makes
no representation as regards the accuracy and completeness of the information contained herein and the same should not be construed as legal, business or technology advice. Agile FT, the authors and
publishers, shall not be responsible for any loss or damage caused to any person on account of errors or omissions.

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