Escolar Documentos
Profissional Documentos
Cultura Documentos
Stock valuation
($ in thousands) -0.06
Actual Projected
Fiscal Year Ended FY1992 FY1993 FY1994 FY1995E FY1996E FY1997E FY1998E
Revenues 2,759,000 3,753,000 4,649,000 5,811,250 7,264,063 9,080,078 11,350,098
Direct Operating Exp (1,296,000) (1,794,000) (2,160,000) (2,673,175) (3,341,469) (4,176,836) (5,221,045)
SG&A (90,000) (119,000) (166,000) (230,740) (320,729) (445,813) (619,680)
EBITDA 1,373,000 1,840,000 2,323,000 2,907,335 3,601,865 4,457,429 5,509,373
Depreciation & Amort. (112,000) (151,000) (237,000) (372,090) (584,181) (917,165) (1,439,948)
EBIT 1,261,000 1,689,000 2,086,000 2,535,245 3,017,684 3,540,265 4,069,425
Taxes (~35%) (333,000) (448,000) (576,000) (684,516) (814,775) (955,871) (1,098,745)
Debt Free Earnings 928,000 1,241,000 1,510,000 1,850,729 2,202,909 2,584,393 2,970,680
Plus: Depreciation & Amort. 112,000 151,000 237,000 372,090 584,181 917,165 1,439,948
Less: CAPEX (317,000) (236,000) (278,000) (348,675) (435,844) (544,805) (681,006)
(Increase) in Working Capital 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Unlevered Free Cash Flow 723,000 1,156,000 1,469,000 1,874,144 2,351,247 2,956,753 3,729,623
PV of FCF
Discount Factor 7% 1,751,536 2,053,670 2,413,591 2,845,311 9,064,109
Discount Factor 8% 1,735,318 2,015,815 2,347,166 2,741,384 8,839,683
Discount Factor 9% 1,719,398 1,978,997 2,283,156 2,642,159 8,623,710
Exhibit B - Industry Beta Comparison
Company Ticker Debt to Equity Tax Rate Levered Beta Unlevered Beta
msft None 0.2 35% 1.07 1.37
American Standard ASD 0.87 40% 0.82 0.73
American Woodmark AMWD 0.16 40% 0.76 1.09
masco MAS 0.2 40% 1.28 1.78
Briggs & Stratton BGG 0.21 40% 0.66 0.91
Cummins Diesel CUM 0.61 40% 1.09 1.13
Detroit Diesel DDC 0.21 40% 1.30 1.79
Industry Average 0.99 1.26
Relever Industry Average for Kohler 0.2 40% Err:522 Err:522
PV of Terminal Value 32,479,125 37,482,912 44,154,628 27,843,936 31,631,530 36,501,294 24,176,474 27,126,109 30,813,153
PV of Free Cash Flow 9,064,109 9,064,109 9,064,109 8,839,683 8,839,683 8,839,683 8,623,710 8,623,710 8,623,710
(Add Back)Cash and Cash Equivalents 70,978 70,978 70,978 70,978 70,978 70,978 70,978 70,978 70,978
Implied Value of Enterprise 41,614,212 46,617,999 53,289,715 36,754,597 40,542,192 45,411,956 32,871,162 35,820,797 39,507,841
PV of Terminal Value 18,814,879 30,103,807 45,155,711 18,145,973 29,033,557 43,550,336 4,465,626 7,145,002 10,717,503
PV of Free Cash Flow 9,064,109 9,064,109 9,064,109 8,839,683 8,839,683 8,839,683 8,623,710 8,623,710 8,623,710
(Add Back)Cash and Cash Equivalents 70,978 70,978 70,978 70,978 70,978 70,978 70,978 70,978 70,978
Implied Value of Enterprise 27,949,966 39,238,894 54,290,798 27,056,635 37,944,219 52,460,997 13,160,314 15,839,690 19,412,191
PV of Terminal Value 7,752,269 15,504,539 23,256,808 7,476,661 14,953,322 22,429,983 7,213,192 14,426,385 21,639,577
PV of Free Cash Flow 9,064,109 9,064,109 9,064,109 8,839,683 8,839,683 8,839,683 8,623,710 8,623,710 8,623,710
(Add Back)Cash and Cash Equivalents 70,978 70,978 70,978 70,978 70,978 70,978 70,978 70,978 70,978
Implied Value of Enterprise 16,887,356 24,639,626 32,391,895 16,387,322 23,863,983 31,340,644 15,907,880 23,121,073 30,334,265