CountryPresentation

ImprovingandUpdatingtheSocialProtectionIndex ADBRCDTA7601

D.D.Deepawansa (Statistician)

Department of Census and Statistics

Ministry of Finance and Planning Sri Lanka

Outline of the presentation

Overview of the Household Income and Expenditure SurveyHIES Research findings of SP using HIES -2012/13 SP Data limitations - HIES - 2012/13 The issues encountered with the SP questionnaire Recommendation to solve problems Sustainability of the SP Data generation Impact on policy implications

Household Income and Expenditure Survey-HIES

HIES has been conducted since 1990/91 as a separate survey under the National Household Survey Program. Survey frequency : once in five years up to 2006/07 and thereafter once in three years. Sample survey conducts for an year in 12 consecutive monthly rounds and island -wide representative sample of equal size are enumerated in each monthly round. General sample size is 25,000 housing units which provides adequate and reliable information down to district level. Data are collected through interviews and Diary Methods.

Survey Design
Coverage : Island-wide ( people living in housing units excluding the institutional population) Sample design of the survey is two stage stratified
First stage - Selection of primary sampling units (CBs) Using PPS/Systematic sampling method

Second stage - Selection of secondary sampling units (housing units) using systematic sampling (Urban, Rural, Estate are domains in residential sectors in each district, District is the main domain used for the stratification.)

Primary sampling Units (PSUs) are allocated to each district by using the Neyman allocation method considering the variance of household expenditure and no. of housing units

SP variables in HIES 2012/13

HIES 2012/13 questionnaire was expanded to identify the main the social protection schemes given below were launched by the government.
SocialInsuranceprograms 1. 2. 3. PensionPayment Disability/reliefpayments Healthmedicalaidsand Compensation SocialAssistan ce Programs 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8. 9. Samurdhi program(Poverty alleviation) Elderlypayment Educational&Scholarships Schoolfoodprogram Triposha foodprogram CompensationInsuranceetc DisasterreliefAssistant Foodandothercommendations Fertilizer&Othersubsidies

SocialProtectionDataAnalysis andFindings 2012/13

(Threemonthdata)

theportionofpopulationineachgroupthatreceivesthetransfers

SocialProtectionCoverage2012/13

coverageis:(Numberofindividualsinthepopulation wholiveinahouseholdwhereatleastonemember receivesthetransfer)/(Numberofindividualsinthe population)

coverageis:(Numberofindividualsinthe populationwholiveinahouseholdwhereatleast onememberreceivesthetransfer)/(Numberof individualsinthepopulation)

IndirectBeneficiaries Numberofindividualsinthegroupwholiveinahouseholdwhereatleast onememberreceivesthetransfer

Impact of programs on poverty measures simulating the absence of the program

Indicator Poverty PGIndex HCI 6.5 9.2 8.2 8.2 6.5 6.5 6.5 7.5 6.9 6.5 6.5 6.5 6.5 6.6 6.5 6.8 1.1 2.3 2 2 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.5 1.3 1.1 1.1 1.2 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.2 Poverty Severity Index(SPI) 0.3 1.1 0.9 0.9 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.4

Indicatorwithoutlisted transfer Allsocialprotection Allsocialinsurance Pension DisabilityandRelief Medicalaid Compensation Allsocialassistance Samurdhi ElderlyPayment Scholarship Schoolfood program Thriposha OtherFood Disaster Fertilizersubsidies

Concentration Curves, Main group of Social Protection Sri Lanka - 2012/13

Overlap of social protection programs

0.00% 7.02% 0.00% 1.69% 0.00% 0.00%

Allsocialinsurance
33.57%

Alllabormarketprograms Allsocial assistance

57.72%

The issues encountered

Questionnaire design
CoveredthemainSocialProtectionTransfers.However,duetotimerestrictions adequatecoordinatingmeetingswerenotheldwithotherrelevantagencies.

Conducting of the Survey

Thesurveytooklongerperiodtocomplete.(threevisitsper householdandtookapproximately20 30minuteseachtime) Enumeratorsencounteredextraeffortstoexplainthe importanceofcollectingsurveydataastherespondentsdid notreceiveanydirectbenefitsfromthesurvey Respondentsstruggledtoprovideaccurateanswerstosome questionssuchasvalueofassistancereceivedbythewayof servicesorinkind Thelinkbetweenindividualwelfareandincomewasnotalways clear Nonresponses

Recommendationtosolvetheissues
DeveloptheSocialprotectionModuleincollaboration withrelevantagenciesbyarrangingformalmeetingsand discussions. Developappropriatetrainingprogrammesforfield officers Increasethefrequenciesoffieldsupervisions Providesupportingdocumentsforeasyhandlingofthe questionnaire(additiontotheguidebook) eg:Checklists

Sustainability of SP data generation / future directions

SPIModuletobecontinuedalongwith HIESonceinthreeyears

Awarenessprogramstobeorganizedfor relevantofficersandagenciesto disseminateimpactofSocialProtection Transfers.

Impactonpolicyimplications
Policymakersanddonoragenciestoarriveatinformed decisionsinformulatingstandardframeworkforsocial protection. Thiswillprovide; clearguidancetothepolicymakerstounderstandandidentify targetsegmentsofthepopulationassistancetoquantifythe scaleofsocialprotectionschemes. Monitoringandanalysis Havingsuchdetailswillenableproperpreandpostanalysisand monitoringofsocialprotectionprograms.

Thankyou