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Fair Value
PEN 10.93
NEUTRAL
(LSE: GRAMONC1)
7,169.61 10.93 10.60 Neutral 7,805.91 11.90 655.96 -8.2% 2.41 8.03 - 12.79 24.3% 1.3% LSE, NYSE
USD 412 MM in new funds for the company through IPO in NYSE
Kallpa Securities SAB updates Graa y Montero S.A.A. (Graa y Montero) valuation model recommending to maintain its shares within a benchmark portfolio for the Peruvian market. Our PEN 10.93 (higher than our previous PEN 10.60 fair value) is 8.2% below its PEN 11.90 market price, at 12:30 p.m. of July 24th 2013. We update our valuation due to the recent share issuance of the company in the New York Stock Exchange.
Source: Bloomberg, Kallpa SAB ADTV: Average Daily Traded Volume LTM: Last Twelve Months
Financial Ratios
P/E P / BV EV / EBITDA (CA - Inventory) / CL Debt / EBITDA EBITDA / Fin. Expenses EPS (PEN) ROE ROA Backlog (USD MM)
2012
26.91 3.07 9.51 0.82 1.10 18.76 0.520 22.4% 7.2% 4,573
2013e
23.39 1.98 8.12 1.20 1.03 14.82 0.555 15.9% 5.9% 5,341
2014e
20.16 1.85 7.06 1.17 0.98 15.57 0.590 13.2% 5.4% 5,635
Source: SMV, Kallpa SAB Note: CA and CL stand for Current Assets and Liabilities, respectively.
Pts.
130 125 120 115 110 105 100 95 90 85 80
Source: Bloomberg
Appendix Disclaimer
Analyst certification The analyst that prepared this report hereby certifies that: i) the opinions and views expressed in this valuation report, in regard with the issuer and with the companys overview, reflected his/her personal opinion and ii) No part of his/her salary compensation was, is or will be related directly or indirectly to the recommendations expressed in this report. The economic compensation of the analyst that prepared this report is based in several factors, including but not limited to Kallpa Securities SABs profitability and the profits generated by its different areas, including investment banking. In addition, the analyst does not receive any kind of economic compensation from the companies he/she covers. This valuation report was prepared by Kallpa Securities SABs employees that maintain the position of Analyst. Persons involved in the elaboration of this report are authorized to maintain shares. Share prices in this report are based on market prices as of closing of the day prior to the publication of this report, unless it is strictly stated. General statement This document is for informative purposes only. Under no circumstances it should be used / be considered as an offer of sale or an application of purchase of shares or any other securities mentioned in this document. The information herein has been obtained from sources which are believed to be reliable, but Kallpa Securities SAB does not guarantee the trustfulness or accuracy of the content of this report, or the future market values of shares or other securities mentioned in this document. The views and opinions expressed in this document constitute our opinion at the time of this report and are subject to change without any notice. Kallpa Securities SAB does not guarantee analysis updates before any change in the circumstances of the market. The products referred in this document may not be available for purchase in some countries. Kallpa Securities SAB has reasonably designed policies to prevent or to control the exchange of non-public information used by areas such Research and Investment, Capital Markets, among others. Definition of qualification ranges Kallpa Securities SAB has 5 qualification ranges: Overweight +, Overweight, Neutral, Underweight and Underweight - . The analyst will assign the coverage one of these ranges. Underweight Underweight Neutral < - 30% -30% to -15% -15% to 0% > + 30% +15% to +30% 0% to +15% Overweight + Overweight Neutral
The range assigned to each company covered by the analyst in these reports is based on the analysis/monitoring Kallpa Securities SAB has been developing for the company. In some cases, the analyst can express his/her short-term points of view to traders, vendors and some Kallpa Securities SABs clients but this point of view may differ in time by market volatility and other factors.
The fair value calculated by Kallpa SAB is based in one or more valuation methodologies commonly used by financial analysts, including but not limited to discounted cash flows, In Situ valuations or any other applicable methodology. It should be noted that the publication of a fair value does not imply any guarantee that the value will be achieved.
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