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=
(4)
R reflects the average accuracy of the prediction
while reflects the scatter of the prediction. Both
quantities are important for an assessment of the relative
success of the ANN analysis [5]. For three layers, when
the number of hidden node is increased to 6, R is much
closer to unity, while R begins to be far from unity when
the number is increased from 7. This indicates that
adding more hidden node may not improve the predicted
results. From Table.3, the configurations with four layers
have more accuracy of prediction than those with five
layers. It is also noted that adding more hidden layers
may not make the prediction better. Thus, in this case,
configuration 8-6-5-1 is selected for testing, with
R=1.002959 and=0.02117, and the maximum relative
error is less than 1.7%.
In this study, the predicted heat transfer rates
obtained by configuration 8-6-5-1 ANN, and those by
dimensionless correlations from Peng [21], were
compared. The results are shown in Fig.4. For most of
the data, the ANN error is within 2% while the
correlation error is within 8%. This shows that ANN is
superior to correlation for prediction.
Fig.4 Comparison of 8-6-5-1 ANN and correlation for
shell-an-tube heat exchangers
(Made in software ORIGIN)
Qiuwang WANG et al. Prediction of Heat Transfer Rates for Shell-and-Tube Heat Exchangers by Artificial Neural Networks Approach 261
Prediction of heat exchanger performance is one of
the important objectives to a designer or engineer so as
to understand the performance before perform the
experimental investigations. There are many approaches
to predict the performance. As usual, for example, the
data information obtained by experiment can be
compressed as compact form in correlation such as
Nusselts number vs. Reynolds number and Prandtl
numbers, Nu=f (Re, Pr), sometimes including geometric
factors. However, there exist some assumptions in
deriving the correlation, which generally are not quite
valid for real problem. For example, most researchers
often consider that the heat transfer coefficient along the
wall is constant, the temperature of the wall between the
hot and cold side is constant, and the fluid properties are
independent on fluid temperature. These assumptions do
not hold for an actual heat exchanger. As shown in above
figure, the precision of ANN is much better than that of
simplified correlation. It can be seen that we can directly
obtain the heat transfer rates from the input information
through the network, instead of using them to get Nusselt
number from correlations and in turn indirectly obtaining
the heat transfer rates. The ANN approach is useful and
convenient for engineers or researchers to predict the
performance of a given heat exchanger with limited
experimental data, without needing an accurate and
detailed mathematical formulation, and without
correlating the information into compact form. Once the
ANN was trained, the weights and biases from the
network, which corresponding to a practical heat
exchanger, can be transferred to engineers or researchers
who are going to use the tested data for prediction.
Conclusions
In the present study, the ANN is applied to predict
heat transfer rates for shell-and-tube heat exchangers.
BP algorithm is used to train the network. The results
show that the predicted heat transfer rates by ANN
approach are much closer to experimental data,
indicating that ANN technique is more suitable in the
prediction of heat transfer rates than empirical
correlations. It is recommended that ANNs can be
applied to simulate thermal systems, especially for
engineers to model heat exchangers in engineering
applications.
Acknowledgements
This work was supported by Higher Academy
Young Teacher Foundation Project of Fok Ying-Tung
Education Foundation (Grant No. 91056) and Program
for New Century Excellent Talents in University of
China (Grant No. NCET-04-0938).
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