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Econometrics
Section 5
Econometrics () Inference in Multiple Regression Section 5 1 / 16
Multiple Regression
Assumptions
MLR.1: Linear in parameters
MLR.2: Random sampling
MLR.3: No perfect collinearity
MLR.4: E(u|x)=0
MLR.5: Var(u|x)=
2
MLR.6: Unobserved error is normally distributed
Assumption MLR.6 makes t-tests and F-tests possible.
Econometrics () Inference in Multiple Regression Section 5 2 / 16
Testing Hypotheses of Single Parameter
Steps:
1
Specify a null hypothesis
2
Specify an alternative hypothesis
3
Determine a signicance level
4
Determine the proper test statistic
5
Find the critical value for the test statistic
6
Calculate the test statistic for the estimated coecient(s)
7
Compare the calculated test statistic to the critical value
8
If the calculated test statistic is larger than the absolute value of the critical
value, then we reject the null or the coecient is statistically signicant.
Econometrics () Inference in Multiple Regression Section 5 3 / 16
Testing Hypotheses of Single Parameter
Setting up a Hypothesis
H
0
:
j
= 0
H
A
:
j
= 0
or
H
0
:
j
= 0
H
A
:
j
> 0
Econometrics () Inference in Multiple Regression Section 5 4 / 16
Testing Hypotheses of Single Parameter
The t test
b
j
j
se(
b
j
)
t
nk1
Read: The dierence between the estimated coecient and the true coecient, divided
by the standard error of the coecient, is distributed t with degrees of freedom n-k-1
where n is the number of observations, k is the number of s estimated excluding the
intercept, and 1 represents the intercept.
Econometrics () Inference in Multiple Regression Section 5 5 / 16
Testing Hypotheses of Single Parameter
Degrees of Freedom
The amount of data that is left over after the calculations are made.
Econometrics () Inference in Multiple Regression Section 5 6 / 16
Testing Hypotheses of Single Parameter
One-tailed tests
Econometrics () Inference in Multiple Regression Section 5 7 / 16
Testing Hypotheses of Single Parameter
Two-tailed tests
Econometrics () Inference in Multiple Regression Section 5 8 / 16
Testing Hypotheses of Single Parameter
p-values
P (|T| > c
) = p
Econometrics () Inference in Multiple Regression Section 5 9 / 16
Testing Hypotheses of Single Parameter
Condence Intervals
j
c
se(
b
j
)
Econometrics () Inference in Multiple Regression Section 5 10 / 16
Testing Hypotheses of Multiple Parameters
The F Test
The F test is used to test the equality of multiple parameters, simultaneously.
Econometrics () Inference in Multiple Regression Section 5 11 / 16
Testing Hypotheses of Multiple Parameters
The F Test
For example:
H
0
:
1
= 0,
2
= 0, ...,
k
= 0
H
A
: H
0
is not true
Econometrics () Inference in Multiple Regression Section 5 12 / 16
Testing Hypotheses of Multiple Parameters
The F Statistic
F
SSR
r
SSR
ur
/q
SSR
ur
/(n k 1)
where q=numerator degrees of freedom=df
r
df
ur
SSR
r
: sum of squared residuals from restricted model
SSR
ur
: sum of squared residuals from unrestricted model
Econometrics () Inference in Multiple Regression Section 5 13 / 16
Testing Hypotheses of Multiple Parameters
The F Test
Econometrics () Inference in Multiple Regression Section 5 14 / 16
In-Class Questions
Question 1
The variable rditens is expenditures on R&D as a percentage of sales. Sales are measured
in millions of dollars. The variable profmarg is prots as a percentage of sales. Using the
data in RDCHEM.RAW for 32 rms in the chemical industry, the following equation is
estimated: