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(0.648) (0.531)
Majority x Sponsor Ideology 0.174 2.134
(0.787) (0.713)
Partisan Cosponsors 0.396 0.366
(0.269) (0.197)
Bill Managers Amendment 2.066
1.326
(0.499) (0.443)
Sponsor on Committee of Origin 0.457
0.277
(0.122) (0.113)
Sponsor on Rules Committee 0.006 0.361
(0.305) (0.197)
Constant 1.031
0.323
(0.299) (0.352)
N 1429 1588
Log-likelihood -838.5 -989.5
2
(7)
98.7 133.5
Models examined amendment allowance are presented in Table 1. The ndings
indicate mixed support for the idea that moderates have an advantage when the Rules
24
Committee decides which amendments to allow on the oor. The top row of Figures
3 and 4 display this graphically, by presenting the eect of majority party status and
member ideology on amendment allowance. In the 109th Congress, while majority-
party Republican amendments are allowed at a slightly higher rate than Democrats,
there is no clear advantage for moderates. In the 110th Congress, there is evidence that
moderates from both parties enjoy greater success in having their proposed amendments
considered on the oor. Why might these two congresses have diering results? The most
obvious explanation is the change in party control. Most observers of recent congressional
politics would agree that House Republicans have typically displayed more homogeneity
in their voting behavior. This could be due to more preference homogeneity, better party
discipline than their Democratic counterparts, or the use of a side payment other than
amendment voting. Unfortunately, our data do not allow us to determine which, if any,
of these explanations are at work here. Among the control variables we nd that being
on the committee of origin and being a bill manager increase the odds of consideration
for both congresses.
These somewhat conicting results for amendment allowance are not surprising.
As discussed above, the amendment process is not just a tool to change the substan-
tive content of legislation; it is also an opportunity to participate in electorally mo-
tived position-taking. When more ideological extreme members of both parties propose
amendments for position-taking reasons there is little chance that such amendments
gain sucient support to pass. As such, party leaders are more likely to allow such
25
amendments to be considered. Indeed, as discussed above, majority party leaders may
see benets in allowing majority party extremists the opportunity to formally act on
issues of importance to their home constituents. There are also benets in allowing
minority party extremists to act on amendments that document minority party position
that can be used against them in upcoming elections. The dierent motives of members
and party leaders between policy amendments and position taking amendments make it
a more dicult task to predict which amendments will be granted consideration on the
oor.
We also t models examining which of the allowed amendments pass on the oor.
These results are presented in Table 2. These models include the same independent
variables as those in Table 1.
16
Moderates amendments enjoy a clear advantage at the
passage stage for both the 109th and 110th Congresses. The bottom rows of Figures 3
and 4 display these results graphically. Once an amendment is allowed to be considered
by the Rules Committee, amendments sponsored by majority party moderates almost
always pass. In the 109th Congress, the most moderate members of the Republican party
are predicted to have their amendments pass at an average rate of 89.437% [0.864, 0.953]
compared to a predicted success rate of 54.504% [0.464, 0.753] for the most conservative
member.
17
In the 110th Congress, the most moderate Democrat saw their allowed
amendments passed on average 95.6% [0.940, 0.983], compared to 81.5% [0.770, 0.906]
16
All managers amendments passed in the 110th Congress, so this variable is omitted from the 110th
Congress model.
17
In the 109th Congress, the most moderate member of the Republican party, Jim Leach (R-IA) had
a DW-NOMINATE score of 0.182 and the most conservative, Ron Paul (R-TX), had a score of 1.163.
26
Figure 3: Predicted Probability of Amendment Success: 109th Congress
1.0 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.0
0
.
0
0
.
2
0
.
4
0
.
6
0
.
8
1
.
0
Minority(Democrat)Allowed
Ideology
P
r
e
d
i
c
t
e
d
P
r
o
b
a
b
i
l
i
t
y
0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0
0
.
0
0
.
2
0
.
4
0
.
6
0
.
8
1
.
0
Majority(Republican)Allowed
Ideology
P
r
e
d
i
c
t
e
d
P
r
o
b
a
b
i
l
i
t
y
1.0 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.0
0
.
0
0
.
2
0
.
4
0
.
6
0
.
8
1
.
0
Minority(Democrat)Passed
Ideology
P
r
e
d
i
c
t
e
d
P
r
o
b
a
b
i
l
i
t
y
0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0
0
.
0
0
.
2
0
.
4
0
.
6
0
.
8
1
.
0
Majority(Republican)Passed
Ideology
P
r
e
d
i
c
t
e
d
P
r
o
b
a
b
i
l
i
t
y
27
Figure 4: Predicted Probability of Amendment Success: 110th Congress
1.0 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.0
0
.
0
0
.
2
0
.
4
0
.
6
0
.
8
1
.
0
Majority(Democrat)Allowed
Ideology
P
r
e
d
i
c
t
e
d
P
r
o
b
a
b
i
l
i
t
y
0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0
0
.
0
0
.
2
0
.
4
0
.
6
0
.
8
1
.
0
Minority(Republican)Allowed
Ideology
P
r
e
d
i
c
t
e
d
P
r
o
b
a
b
i
l
i
t
y
1.0 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.0
0
.
0
0
.
2
0
.
4
0
.
6
0
.
8
1
.
0
Majority(Democrat)Passed
Ideology
P
r
e
d
i
c
t
e
d
P
r
o
b
a
b
i
l
i
t
y
0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0
0
.
0
0
.
2
0
.
4
0
.
6
0
.
8
1
.
0
Minority(Republican)Passed
Ideology
P
r
e
d
i
c
t
e
d
P
r
o
b
a
b
i
l
i
t
y
28
for the most liberal Democrat.
18
Moderates in the minority parties also have a signicant
advantage in the predict success of their amendments.
Table 2: Logit Models of Amendment Passage
Variable 109th Congress 110th Congress
Majority Sponsor 0.458 2.074
(0.843) (0.945)
Sponsor Ideology 4.772
7.395
(1.355) (1.241)
Majority x Sponsor Ideology 6.774
9.511
(1.606) (1.612)
Partisan Cosponsors 0.674 0.716
(0.457) (0.362)
Bill Managers Amendment 2.107
(0.766) ()
Sponsor on Committee of Origin 0.668
0.013
(0.222) (0.239)
Sponsor on Rules Committee 0.884 0.129
(0.667) (0.468)
Constant 2.959
5.158
(0.648) (0.824)
N 447 607
Log-likelihood 225.46 248.09
2
(7)
47.93 123.85
Discussion and Conclusion
Our analysis highlights the complex and important role played by special rules. We
oer four primary conclusions. First, we believe that this analysis calls into question
18
In the 110th Congress, the most moderate member of the Democratic party, FIRST NAME Childers
(D-MS) and FIRST NAME Cazayoux (D-LA) had a DW-NOMINATE score of 0.003 and the most
liberal, Jim McDermot (D-WA), had a score of -0.759.
29
previous research that claims the Rules Committee works primarily to advantage the
majority party at the expense of the oor median. While amendments introduced by
members of the majority party are more successful in general, majority party members
near the median do far better than previous research on special rules has indicated.
Negative agenda control in the amendment process is far from ironclad. Amendments
from both minority party members and from moderate majority party members are not
only allowed onto the agenda; their amendments are frequently passed, changing the
substance of policy.
Second, we believe this paper demonstrates that special rules may be more com-
plicated than previous literature has suggested. Simply considering whether or not a
measure received a restrictive rule can cause researchers to miss important distinctions
between the types of amendments allowed under dierent rules. For example, even if a
bills parent committee and the Rules Committee are more liberal than the oor median,
restrictive rules could provide for the consideration of a more moderate amendment to
induce support on nal passage. Without knowing variables like the party aliation or
ideology of the member oering the amendment, and the success of that amendment,
scholars may only be able to tell a partial story.
Third, these results are consistent with work reporting more intraparty conict on
amendment votes (Froman and Ripley 1965; Roberts and Smith 2003). This suggests
that scholars of political parties may be well-served by shifting away from analyses
that focus exclusively on nal passage votes. Focusing primarily on nal passage votes
30
can lead to overlooking signicant and important disagreements within the party. This
conict can ultimately determine where nal policy outcomes are located within the
party.
Finally, in addition to the facilitation of non-median policy output, restrictive rules
play a signicant rule in increasing observed levels of political polarization in the U.S.
House (Roberts 2010). There is a strong correlation between the restrictiveness of the
rule used for a bill and the amount of party division on its nal passage vote. For the two
congresses we study here (109th and 110th), bills considered under a open rule had an
average party dierencedened as the absolute dierence in proportion of each party
voting ayeof 29.29, for structured rules it was 49.15, for fully closed rules it was 65.33.
To be sure, the type of rule adopted is not completely independent of the issue under
consideration. Measures that have broad support or do not raise controversial issues may
be considered under more open procedures. However, the decreasing opportunities to
oer amendments has produced a situation where minority party members end up voting
in opposition to the majority party more often both on procedural and substantive votes
(Rohde 1991; Finocchiaro and Rohde 2008). In contrast, open amending processes tend
to moderate bills and can help attract broad support on nal passage.
31
Appendix 1: Example of Rules Committee Call for Amendments
Amendment Process for H.R. 928 - Improving Government
Accountability Act of 2007
September 28, 2007
Dear Colleague:
The Committee on Rules is expected to meet the week of October 1, 2007 to report
a rule which may structure the amendment process for oor consideration of H.R. 928,
the Improving Government Accountability Act of 2007.
Any Member wishing to oer an amendment to H.R. 928 must do the following
by 10:00 AM on Tuesday, October 2, 2007 in order for the amendment to be
considered by the Rules Committee:
Submit to the Rules Committee in room H-312 of the Capitol:
30 copies of the amendment
One copy of a brief (1-2 sentences) explanation of the amendment
A completed Log-in form (attached)
Submit an electronic copy of the amendment via the Committees web page (http :
//www.rules.house.gov/amendment form.asp). Electronic submission of an amend-
ment is required in addition to physically ling the amendment with the Commit-
tee.
The amendment must be drafted to the bill as reported on September 27, 2007 by
the Committee on Oversight and Government Reform. The bill is available on the
Rules Committee website (www.rules.house.gov).
Members are strongly advised to adhere to the noticed amendment deadline to ensure
the amendments receive consideration. Amendments should be drafted by Legislative
Counsel and also should be reviewed by the Oce of the Parliamentarian to be sure
that the amendments comply with the rules of the House. Members are also strongly
encouraged to submit their amendments by fax (6-1366) to Bob Sunshine at the Con-
gressional Budget Oce (CBO) for analysis regarding possible violations of Clause 10
of Rule XXI (PAYGO).
If you have any questions, please contact Rebecca Motley of my sta at extension
5-9091.
Sincerely,
/s
Louise M. Slaughter, Chairwoman
32
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