TABLE OF CONTENTS EXECUTIVE SUMMARY AND RECOMMENDATIONS ................................................. i I. INTRODUCTION ............................................................................................................. 1 II. A STRATEGIC REGION IN THE GRIP OF INSECURITY ...................................... 2 A. RENEWED STRATEGIC INTEREST IN NATURAL RESOURCES .......................................................... 2 B. A CONTEXT FAVOURABLE TO MARITIME CRIME ......................................................................... 3 C. WEAK MARITIME POLICIES .......................................................................................................... 4 III.NIGERIA: EPICENTRE OF VIOLENCE AT SEA ...................................................... 6 A. POOR GOVERNANCE AND MARITIME CRIME ................................................................................ 6 1. A leaky oil sector ......................................................................................................................... 6 2. The rise in economic crime .......................................................................................................... 7 3. State capacity hampered by corruption ........................................................................................ 8 4. The Niger Delta ............................................................................................................................ 8 D. THE INCREASE IN CRIME SINCE 2009 ........................................................................................... 9 1. The amnestys limited impact ...................................................................................................... 9 2. Crime onshore enables crime offshore ....................................................................................... 10 3. Stronger but insufficient government response ......................................................................... 11 E. FUTURE THREATS TO MARITIME SECURITY ............................................................................... 12 1. Subcontracting security .............................................................................................................. 12 2. Amnesty, unemployment and unrest in the north ...................................................................... 12 IV.THE SPREAD OF CRIME ACROSS THE REGION ................................................ 13 A. POLITICAL GANGSTERISM IN BAKASSI ....................................................................................... 13 B. MARITIME RAIDS ....................................................................................................................... 14 C. PIRACY ON THE HIGH SEAS ........................................................................................................ 15 1. Danger off the Benin coast ........................................................................................................ 15 2. Togo within range ...................................................................................................................... 17 3. Ghana at risk .............................................................................................................................. 18 V. REGIONAL COOPERATION AND INTERNATIONAL SUPPORT ..................... 18 A. UNEQUAL REGIONAL COOPERATION .......................................................................................... 19 1. The beginning of a strategy in Central Africa ............................................................................ 19 2. West Africa plays catch-up ........................................................................................................ 20 B. NASCENT INTER-REGIONAL COOPERATION ................................................................................ 21 C. INTERNATIONAL SUPPORT: IN SEARCH OF COORDINATION ........................................................ 21 VI.MOVING BEYOND A PURELY SECURITY APPROACH ..................................... 23 A. THE NEED FOR LONG-TERM REFORMS ....................................................................................... 23 1. Improving economic governance ............................................................................................... 24 2. Boosting development on the coast ........................................................................................... 24 3. Strengthening maritime law enforcement .................................................................................. 24 B. FIGHTING PIRACY ON LAND AND SEA ........................................................................................ 25 1. Dissuading pirates: A joint task of state and private actors ....................................................... 25 2. Arresting pirates ......................................................................................................................... 26 C. THE NEED FOR EFFECTIVE AND EFFICIENT COOPERATION ......................................................... 27 1. Making the region take responsibility for its own security ........................................................ 27 2. Coordinating international support ............................................................................................ 28 VII.CONCLUSION ............................................................................................................... 29
APPENDICES A. MAP OF THE GULF OF GUINEA ......................................................................................................... 30 B. MAP OF THE NIGER DELTA .............................................................................................................. 31 C. MAP OF THE ECCAS MARITIME ZONES .......................................................................................... 32 D. NIGER DELTA TIMELINE .................................................................................................................. 33 E. PIRACY IN THE GULF OF GUINEA: A CONTINENTAL PERSPECTIVE .................................................... 35 F. ABOUT THE INTERNATIONAL CRISIS GROUP .................................................................................... 37 G. CRISIS GROUP REPORTS AND BRIEFINGS ON AFRICA SINCE 2009 ..................................................... 38 H. CRISIS GROUP BOARD OF TRUSTEES ................................................................................................ 40
Africa Report N195 12 December 2012 THE GULF OF GUINEA: THE NEW DANGER ZONE EXECUTIVE SUMMARY AND RECOMMENDATIONS Within a decade, the Gulf of Guinea has become one of the most dangerous maritime areas in the world. Maritime insecurity is a major regional problem that is compromis- ing the development of this strategic economic area and threatening maritime trade in the short term and the sta- bility of coastal states in the long term. Initially taken by surprise, the regions governments are now aware of the problem and the UN is organising a summit meeting on the issue. In order to avoid violent transnational crime desta- bilising the maritime economy and coastal states, as it has done on the East African coast, these states must fill the security vacuum in their territorial waters and provide a collective response to this danger. Gulf of Guinea countries must press for dynamic cooperation between the Economic Community of Central African States (ECCAS) and the Economic Community of West African States (ECOWAS), take the initiative in promoting security and adopt a new approach based on improving not only security but also economic governance. The recent discovery of offshore hydrocarbon deposits has increased the geostrategic importance of the Gulf of Guinea. After neglecting their maritime zones for many years, Gulf of Guinea states are now aware of their weak- ness. On the international front, renewed Western interest in the region is accompanied by similar interest from emerg- ing nations. In this context, the rise in maritime crime has increased collective concern in a region where, for decades, the problems of sovereignty and territorial control have only been posed on dry land. The Niger Delta region in Nigeria was the initial epicentre of maritime crime. For decades, oil production has para- doxically created poverty. As social tensions and environ- mental pollution increased, oil income has, in large part, only benefited the central government, oil companies and local elites. Those excluded from the system turned to vio- lent opposition. Forced to bypass the state to gain access to even a fraction of this wealth, they have organised illegal activities, including siphoning of crude oil, clandestine re- fining and illegal fuel trade. The constant increase in the value of the industry has allowed these activities to prosper and economic crime to spread. The weakness and general inadequacy of the maritime policies of Gulf of Guinea states and the lack of coopera- tion between them have allowed criminal networks to di- versify their activities and gradually extend them away from the Nigerian coast and out on to the high seas. Crime does not affect only the oil industry; it has diversified to include piracy and increasingly audacious and well-planned seaborne raids. Criminal groups have learned quickly and, taking advantage of troubled socio-political situations, have appeared along the coasts of Cameroon, Equatorial Guinea, So Tom and Prncipe, Benin and Togo. Having recovered from the initial surprise, Gulf of Guinea states and Western countries are exploring how best to deal with the problem before it causes wider instability. States and regional organisations have launched specific operations and are formulating strategies to improve security. The most affected states aim to build navies and increase resources for coastal policing in the hope of deterring criminals. At the regional level, within the framework of its peace and security policies, ECCAS has created a regional mari- time security centre and organised joint training exercises. However, states find it hard to organise joint funding or co- ordinate their efforts. Maritime policies are embryonic and symbolic and states are unable to maintain a continuous presence at sea. In the case of ECOWAS, maritime cooper- ation is still in its infancy and is hampered by political ten- sions and distrust of neighbouring states toward Nigeria. At the inter-regional level, cooperation between ECCAS and ECOWAS would allow regional patrols to exercise the right of pursuit beyond maritime borders. However, inter-regional discussions have only just begun and polit- ical tensions hamper efforts to promote practical coopera- tion. Meanwhile, Western powers (U.S., France, UK) and emerging nations (Brazil, China, India, South Africa) with economic interests in the region are providing financial support and security expertise to assist local initiatives. The institutionalisation of regional cooperation and the increase of international initiatives must not obscure the fact that rising crime in the Gulf of Guinea is mainly due The Gulf of Guinea: The New Danger Zone Crisis Group Africa Report N195, 12 December 2012 Page ii
to poor governance. Most states in the region have been unable to control economic activities in their maritime zones and in international waters and ensure the devel- opment of their shorelines. This collective failure has cre- ated a major opportunity for criminal networks that feed on the needs and grievances of local communities. A range of urgent measures is needed to reverse this trend: reforms to improve governance of the economy and security sector, comprehensive and effective maritime public policies and practical regional cooperation beyond declarations of in- tent. A long-term response is needed because, although piracy is a recent phenomenon in the region, its root causes are much deeper. RECOMMENDATIONS To the Governments of the Gulf of Guinea States (Cte dIvoire, Ghana, Togo, Benin, Nigeria, Cameroon, Equatorial Guinea, So Tom and Prncipe, Gabon, Congo-Brazzaville, Democratic Republic of Congo and Angola): 1. Prioritise the fight against maritime crime by creating an inter-ministerial committee in each country to draw up a national maritime strategy to tackle the immediate threat and the root causes of the problem. These com- mittees should include at least the ministers of social affairs, foreign affairs, defence, interior, transport, econ- omy, labour, fishing and natural resources. To combat the root causes of maritime crime 2. Combat crime in the hydrocarbons and shipping sec- tors by conducting research into the illegal fuel trade in order to identify the companies involved in illegal activities. 3. Boost job creation along the coast, in particular by protecting artisanal fishing, stimulating the local fish processing industry, providing professional training to vulnerable sectors of the population (former com- batants and unemployed youth) and reinvesting assets seized from fuel smugglers in development projects. 4. Strengthen maritime law enforcement through profes- sionalisation of naval forces, maritime law enforcement bodies and port authorities, which should increase their technological capacity and intelligence networks to monitor all activities in their exclusive economic zones. To strengthen anti-piracy policies at sea and on land 5. Maintain constant navy patrols in mooring zones and territorial waters and carry out regular surveillance flights. 6. Work closely with the UNs International Maritime Organisation (IMO) and shipping industry to draw up best management practices advising ship owners, cap- tains and crews on anti-piracy measures. 7. Set up a national inter-agency anti-piracy task force to investigate, arrest and prosecute pirate gangs on land and at sea. 8. Accede to all necessary international legal instruments, including the 1982 UN Convention on the Law of the Sea (UNCLOS) and the 2005 Protocol to the Conven- tion for the Suppression of Unlawful Acts against the Safety of Maritime Navigation, integrate these conven- tions into national law and train personnel responsible for implementing them, especially in the judicial system. To strengthen cooperation 9. Sign bilateral agreements at the presidential level be- tween direct neighbours to facilitate extraditions and enable close cooperation between navies, maritime administration agencies and police forces in counter- piracy work. 10. Organise in the near future joint surveillance opera- tions in especially dangerous zones: a) Nigeria, Benin and Togo should agree to expand the joint Operation Prosperity to include Togos territorial waters; and b) Nigeria and Cameroon should conduct joint pa- trols on their maritime borders. 11. Participate fully in efforts by ECCAS and ECOWAS to draw up a regional maritime security strategy and share resources. 12. Strengthen inter-regional cooperation by: a) organising a Gulf of Guinea summit at which heads of state should sign the Memorandum of Under- standing between ECCAS and ECOWAS on Mari- time Security in the Central and Western Maritime Region and the Multilateral Agreement on Coop- eration to Suppress Illicit Maritime Activities in West and Central Africa; and b) turning the Maritime Trade Information Sharing Centre (MTISC) to be set up in Ghana into an in- formation collection and dissemination tool for the Gulf of Guinea and transforming the regional training service for maritime security planned by ECCAS into a training centre for the whole region. The Gulf of Guinea: The New Danger Zone Crisis Group Africa Report N195, 12 December 2012 Page iii
To International Partners: 13. Coordinate international support through a multina- tional maritime affairs committee for each country and ensure that foreign interventions are aligned with na- tional strategies. 14. Assist national maritime affairs committees in design- ing comprehensive maritime policies that address the immediate threat and root causes of maritime crime; and support coastal states in their efforts to create jobs. 15. Impress upon Gulf of Guinea states the need to treat piracy as a transnational organised crime that demands a coordinated response including naval operations, in- vestigative police work and prosecution of suspects; and design programs to strengthen the capacities of all maritime law enforcement agencies. To the UN Office on Drugs and Crime (UNODC) and Interpol: 16. Advise and assist with tracking financial flows to Gulf of Guinea states as part of investigations into pirate organisations and the smuggling of hydrocarbons. Dakar/Nairobi/Brussels, 12 December 2012
Africa Report N195 12 December 2012 THE GULF OF GUINEA: THE NEW DANGER ZONE I. INTRODUCTION Maritime crime, along with the rise in radical Islam in the Sahel, is one of the two major threats emerging in Africa. 1
The Gulf of Guinea is one of the worlds most dangerous maritime zones. 2 Pirate attacks off the coast of Somalia still exceed those off Africas west coast in frequency, range and cost to international shipping, but maritime in- security in the Gulf of Guinea has grown rapidly in recent years. 3 The international community is only now becom- ing aware of the dangerous repercussions of violent crime at sea on both development and the global economy. The Gulf of Guinea states vary considerably in size, pop- ulation, wealth and institutional and political stability. The economies of Nigeria, Cameroon and Ghana are much bigger than those of Benin, Togo and So Tom and Prn- cipe. However, to a greater or lesser extent they all struggle to assert their authority over their territory, particularly their territorial waters. For decades thieves have attacked commercial traffic in the waters off Nigeria. Violence escalated during the Ni- ger Delta insurgency, at its peak between 2006 and 2009, and from 2007 began to spread along the coast to Nige- rias eastern neighbours. 4 In 2011, Benin and states to the
1 This view is shared by a lot of organisations. For instance, dur- ing an interview, an ECOWAS official referred to piracy in the Gulf of Guinea and radical Islam as the two rising threats for the continent. Crisis Group interview, ECOWAS official, 5 Oc- tober 2012. 2 According to the International Maritime Bureau, the Gulf of Guinea is one of three areas that suffer from piracy. The others are the Gulf of Aden and South East Asia. www.icc-ccs.org/ piracy-reporting-centre/live-piracy-map. Attacks are common, the most recent being in September 2012 on a Singapore oil tanker near the Nigerian coast. See Nigerian navy frees hi- jacked Singapore owned oil-tanker, BBC, 6 September 2012. 3 See Appendix E for a comparison of maritime insecurity in the Gulf of Guinea and off the coast of Somalia. Also see The economic cost of Somali piracy 2011, One Earth Future Foun- dation, 2012. 4 For more on Niger Delta unrest, see Crisis Group Africa Re- ports N115, The Swamps of Insurgency: Nigerias Delta Un- rest, 3 August 2006; N118, Fuelling the Niger Delta Crisis, 28 September 2006; N135, Nigeria: Ending Unrest in the Niger Delta, 5 December 2007; Africa Briefings N54, Nigeria: Ogo- west were also hit by pirate attacks. The mobilisation of naval forces by unprepared coastal states may have slowed the growth of the problem but attacks continue and their perpetrators remain at large. The first half of 2012 saw an increase in attacks off Nigeria. 5 The regions loss of reve- nue from maritime trade, fishing and port fees and, above all, the loss of human life warrant a careful analysis of the reasons for maritime insecurity. After the Crisis Group report on ECCAS, which high- lighted the maritime insecurity affecting Cameroon, Gabon and Equatorial Guinea, 6 this new report extends the scope of the analysis to cover the high geostrategic stakes at play in the Gulf of Guinea region as a whole. These are linked especially to its rich reserves of fossil fuels and its role as a vital access point to many coastal and landlocked countries in West and Central Africa. This report explains how weak governance in the region has allowed illicit activities to flourish at sea and create an enabling environment for vio- lent crime. In Nigeria, poor economic governance has turned oil wealth into a curse and the country into the epicentre of violence at sea. A lack of preparedness and even negligence in neighbouring countries has allowed violence to spread first east, then west. This report assesses how coastal states, their international partners and private companies have responded to grow- ing insecurity. It highlights progress in and obstacles to regional cooperation and identifies shortcomings in the international communitys efforts to help. Finally, based on this analysis, the report makes recommendations at the national, regional and international levels for a long-term response to a recent problem with deep roots.
ni Land after Shell, 18 September 2008; and N60, Nigeria: Seizing the Moment in the Niger Delta, 30 April 2009. 5 Piracy increasing in West Africa, latest report shows, Inter- national Maritime Bureau (IMB), 23 April 2012. 6 See Crisis Group Africa Report N181, Implementing Peace and Security Architecture (I): Central Africa, 7 November 2011. The Gulf of Guinea: The New Danger Zone Crisis Group Africa Report N195, 12 December 2012 Page 2
II. A STRATEGIC REGION IN THE GRIP OF INSECURITY Maritime crime in the Gulf of Guinea 7 is taking place in the context of renewed geostrategic interest in the region, which is rich in natural resources but weakened by many overt and latent conflicts. The gulfs raw materials and hydrocarbons make it an in- creasingly coveted zone and attract the attention of many actors: local communities claiming rights of use and a share of the wealth generated by these resources; states anxious to ensure sovereign control; and private companies that have been operating there for some time. The poor gov- ernance that to different degrees characterises all Gulf of Guinea countries has greatly increased this interest while justifying and amplifying concerns raised by the recent worsening of maritime crime. This is the latest in a long list of problems that have plagued the region for decades: extreme poverty, political exclusion, local rebellions and the criminal penetration of an increasing part of the local economy. A. RENEWED STRATEGIC INTEREST IN NATURAL RESOURCES International interest in the Gulf of Guinea, which has been economic since the eighteenth century, 8 has signifi- cantly increased in recent years due to the discovery of considerable oil and natural gas deposits along the coast and offshore. Some countries with deposits that previously attracted few international actors have recently become the focus of multiple and growing interest. International pres-
7 There are several definitions of the Gulf of Guinea. Histori- cally, it is the slave coast and covered the coastal regions of what is now Cte dIvoire, Ghana, Benin and Togo as well as the Niger Delta. Geographically, it is the Atlantic coast stretch- ing from Senegal to Angola. Institutionally (mainly used for the purposes of this report), it includes the eight members of the Gulf of Guinea Commission (GGC) created in 1999: Angola, Cameroon, Congo-Brazzaville, Gabon, Equatorial Guinea, Ni- geria, the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) and So Tom and Prncipe. The research conducted for this report also covers Ghana, Togo and Benin because of the recent expansion of pi- racy westwards. For more on the different conceptions of the Gulf of Guinea, see Alexis Riols, Piraterie et brigandage mari- time dans le Golfe de Guine, Centre dtudes suprieures de la marine, Paris, 2011, p. 7. 8 The region played an important role in the triangular trade. Its large population made it a market for European products and it was an ideal place for acquiring slaves. Throughout the period of the slave trade, many of the captives sent to the Americas were taken from along the coast of the Gulf of Guinea. See Pierre Kipr, Sur la priodisation de lhistoire de lAfrique de lOuest: le Golfe de Guine (Paris, 2004), p. 187. ence (mainly Western) was previously limited to France, which has ties with its former colonies, and to some Eu- ropean companies with interests in the Nigerian oil sector. American influence was distant and limited while that of Spain and Portugal only manifested itself in the linguistic field. However, the U.S.s new energy policy takes the Gulf of Guinea into account and emerging powers such as China, India, Brazil and South Africa have displayed their interest as well as many private actors, including transna- tional companies, international institutions and lobbies. 9
In the 1960s, proven hydrocarbon deposits were confined, in order of importance, to Nigeria, Angola, Gabon, Came- roon, Cte dIvoire and Congo-Brazzaville. Although some studies conducted at the beginning of the 1970s in- dicated the existence of deposits throughout the regions waters, few Western companies received encouragement from their governments to begin operations. 10 At that time, Western oil policy mainly focused on onshore deposits in the Middle East, with large offshore extraction being lim- ited to the Gulf of Mexico. The Gulf of Guinea only be- came a focus for strategic investment as the conflict in the Middle East pushed major consumers into diversifying their supplies at the end of the 1980s. The emergence of big new consumers, such as China, India and Brazil, also in- creased overall global interest in the regions crude oil. 11
The Gulf of Guinea is currently the leading sub-Saharan African oil production region and home of the continents main oil-producing countries: Nigeria, Angola and Equa- torial Guinea. 12 The Gulf of Guinea alone produces around five million barrels of oil per day (bpd) out of the total of nine million barrels produced in sub-Saharan Africa. 13 Its oil reserves are mainly offshore and can be exploited and transported along direct maritime routes toward the U.S., Asia and Europe. The Gulf of Guinea has become one of the main sources of oil and gas imported by Europe, the U.S., China, India
9 See Jonathan Ndoutoume Ngome, Le Golfe de Guine au centre des convoitises mondiales, Diplomatie, no. 56 (May- June 2012), pp. 72-74, and Come Damien Georges Awoumou, Le Golfe de Guine face aux convoitises, presentation made at the 11th CODESRIA General Assembly, Maputo, 6-10 December 2005, available at http://www.codesria.org/IMG/ pdf/awoumou.pdf. 10 On the history of the oil industry in the Gulf of Guinea and the Western presence, see Ricardo Soares de Oliveira, Oil and Politics in the Gulf of Guinea (London, 2007). 11 Ibid. 12 Didier Ortolland and Jean-Pierre Pirat, Atlas des espaces ma- ritimes (Paris, 2010), p. 58. 13 Ibid. The Gulf of Guinea: The New Danger Zone Crisis Group Africa Report N195, 12 December 2012 Page 3
and Brazil. 14 Nigeria has been the leading regional pro- ducer for several decades, but is being increasingly caught up by Angola and even Equatorial Guinea. As new discov- eries are announced, Ghana, Togo, Benin, Cte dIvoire, Congo-Brazzaville, Cameroon and Gabon are hoping to become or are already becoming big producers, making the entire region an enormous oil and natural gas field. Invest- ments by Western oil companies are rising. In January 2002, the U.S. established an African Oil Policy Initiative Group composed of members of the administration, Congress, the State Department and oil companies. This group recom- mended that the Gulf of Guinea be elevated to the status of a zone of vital interest and that Washington create a com- mand structure for U.S. forces in the region and examine the possibility of establishing a military base there. 15
Following these recommendations, between 2002 and 2008, American companies increased their investments in the region. The national energy plan prepared by the U.S. in 2001 after the 11-September terrorist attacks stated that Africa will supply 25 per cent of U.S. oil needs by 2015. Since 2002, the China National Petroleum Corporation (CNPC) and the China Petrochemical Corporation (SINO- PEC) have begun operations in Gabon, Nigeria, Angola and Equatorial Guinea. The Brazilian company PETROBRAS is increasingly showing interest in Angola. 16
This renewed international interest is accompanied by a military rapprochement strategy. Since 2003, the U.S. has deployed part of its Mediterranean fleet to the area and has concluded agreements with Cameroon, Gabon and Equatorial Guinea allowing U.S. forces to use their air- port facilities. 17 Meanwhile, France has strengthened its partnership with Cameroon, Gabon, Equatorial Guinea and Congo-Brazzaville to help them protect their coast- lines and oil installations. 18
After hydrocarbons, fishing resources are the second most important maritime natural resource in the Gulf of Guinea. The first waves of African migration toward the Gulf of
14 The main destinations of these flows are the U.S. (about 1.5 million bpd), Europe (one million bpd), China (850,000 bpd) and India (330,000 bpd). Ibid. 15 See African oil: A priority for US national security and Afri- can development, Symposium proceedings, Institute for Ad- vanced Strategies and Political Studies, Washington DC, 25 January 2002. 16 While Brazilian President Lula visited four countries in the Gulf of Guinea (Cameroon, Angola, Gabon, So Tom and Prn- cipe). These visits resulted in the signature of oil contracts. See Awoumou, op. cit. 17 Crisis Group interview, expert in maritime security, ECCAS, Libreville, 27 January 2012. 18 See Awoumou, op. cit. Guinea were drawn by these resources. 19 The fishermen settled in the marshy coastal zones, intermingling with the local population and creating a mixed economy of farmers (usually indigenous peoples) and fishing communities. 20
The latter currently face competition from foreign indus- trial fishing, which is increasingly present. 21
Even though it is not worth nearly as much as agricultural products or oil and gas, fish is the second highest export of many Gulf of Guinea states, as in Nigeria for example (3 per cent). According to the Gulf of Guinea Regional Fishing Commission, 22 the region has an annual potential of one million tonnes of sea fish and 800,000 tonnes of inland fisheries. 23 However, the sector is affected by mar- itime insecurity. An increase in the number of attacks on trawlers has led to a reduction in this activity, 24 causing an increase in the price of fish on the local market. 25 The sector is also neglected by national governments and their foreign partners, who are more interested in hydrocarbons. B. A CONTEXT FAVOURABLE TO MARITIME CRIME The growth of maritime crime is caused by structural problems such as poverty, socio-political tension and the grievances of local communities. 26 The extent of piracy is an indicator of the radicalisation and willingness to turn
19 This was especially true of the Bakassi peninsula, awarded to Cameroon, but settled by many fishermen from Nigeria and Benin. 20 On the history of fishing in the Gulf of Guinea, see P. Jorion, Going out or staying home. Seasonal movements and migra- tion strategies among Xwla and Anlo-Ewe Fishermen, Mari- time Anthropology Studies, vol. 1, no. 2 (1988), pp. 129-155. 21 Crisis Group interviews, fishing communities, Sawa, Douala, Bonaberi, 7 December 2011 and president of a fishing commu- nity association, Libreville, 24 January 2012. 22 Regional Fisheries Committee for the Gulf of Guinea (COREP) is an ECCAS body created to protect and promote the fishing interests of member states. 23 Crisis Group interview, ECCAS fishing expert, Libreville, 26 January 2012. 24 Criminal groups also recruit among fishing communities, which have an excellent knowledge of the coastal waters of the Gulf of Guinea. Attracted by the possibility of easy money and facing competition from foreign ships, local fishing communi- ties believe it makes more financial sense to sell their boats to pirates or work for them. Crisis Group interview, ECCAS mari- time security expert, Libreville, 23 January 2012. 25 Paradoxically, despite the Gulf of Guineas fishing potential, much of the fish supplying the local market is imported because of the undeveloped nature of the fish processing industry. Crisis Group interview, ECCAS fishing expert, Libreville, 26 January 2012. 26 Michel Luntumbue, Piraterie et inscurit dans le Golfe de Guine: dfis et enjeux dune gouvernance maritime rgionale, analytical memo, Group for Research and Information on Peace and Security, 30 September 2011. The Gulf of Guinea: The New Danger Zone Crisis Group Africa Report N195, 12 December 2012 Page 4
to crime of frustrated populations. Other factors are the regions densely populated conurbations, porous borders, quarrels between states and their inability to stop illegal trade in arms, oil and drugs. The rise in maritime crime in the Gulf of Guinea is mainly due to the poverty of the great majority of the population alongside a wealthy elite. There is a lack of transparency about what happens to the profits from the oil industry and other resources, which are monopolised by the ruling elites and foreign private companies. The inequitable distribution of wealth means that economic disparities are blatant. In most of these countries, the extraction of hydrocarbons is accompanied by the continuous degradation of the coastal environment, which hampers agriculture, stock- raising and fishing, threatening the traditional livelihoods of the local populations. As a consequence, these com- munities are increasingly tempted to engage in illegal ac- tivities in order to survive. This initially took the form of illegal trade of various types of goods: oil diverted from its normal supply routes, drug trafficking, etc. However, an increase in economic activity along the coast accom- panied by poor governance gave impetus to the criminali- sation of the Gulf of Guineas economy. As a result, smug- gling networks became more sophisticated and started to deal arms, illegal oil dealers started to attack ships, former delinquents became armed activists in the pay of gangs and fishermen abandoned their trade to become pirates. The dense conurbations along the coast helped to create the conditions for an increase in crime. The Gulf of Guineas many port cities and capitals are among the most densely populated on the continent. 27 Urban disorder, the result of continuous migration from the interior to the coast, is ex- acerbated by economic disparities and recurrent political conflicts. 28 In some countries, immigration causes tension between indigenous peoples and settlers, 29 as well as re-
27 Including Lagos (estimated population ten million), Douala and Accra (three million), Calabar and Port-Harcourt (two mil- lion), Cotonou and Pointe-Noire (one million). 28 These conflicts occur repeatedly and are linked to political, ethnic and religious tensions or increases in the cost of living. Coastal cities like Douala, Port-Gentil, Lom and Libreville are generally considered to be opposition strongholds. For more on political urban violence in sub-Saharan Africa, see Marc-Antoine Prouse de Montclos, Migration force et urbanisation de crise. LAfrique subsaharienne dans une perspective historique, Au- trepart, no. 55 (2010), pp. 3-18. 29 In addition to riots and electoral violence, these conflicts spo- radically oppose indigenous and non-indigenous, nation- als and foreigners, traders and consumers and different re- ligious faiths. The difference between these categories is not always clear. Sparked by routine disputes, they quickly spiral into armed clashes between groups, followed by military inter- vention, which is always denounced by the parties in dispute. sentment toward the governing elite about access to re- sources. These tensions can be more or less latent, depend- ing on the degree of government control and on political re- sponses. In Nigeria, they provoked violent opposition from the community. 30 In all cases, they indicate the existence of discontent and are fertile grounds for recruitment by pirate gangs. Border disputes between Gulf of Guinea states have mul- tiplied since the discovery of oil, leading to states being unable to exercise authority over some areas, which then serve as bases for illegal activities. 31 These disputes also hamper cooperation between security forces and hinder the application of the right of hot pursuit. In many areas, pirates take advantage of the geographical characteristics of the coast (islands, peninsulas and mangroves with dif- ficult access that makes them ideal hiding places). They know the terrain better than the coastguards and can there- fore operate in total freedom. C. WEAK MARITIME POLICIES For a long time, Gulf of Guinea states have neglected to exercise authority over their territorial waters because they perceived insecurity as a land-based phenomenon. Security policies only included the sea insofar as it was relevant to specific border disputes. Most of these states only observed their seas from the shore. This was also due to a failure to demarcate mari- time borders in the Gulf of Guinea in line with the Mon- tego Bay Convention. 32 Until the end of the 1990s, very
The conflicts are sometimes stirred up by local politicians. In Lagos, Christians and Muslims regularly clash. In January 2012, they took the form of violent protests against the increase in fuel prices. In Douala (February 2008, December 2011, Jan- uary 2012), political and social tensions regularly degenerate into riots. In Libreville, Cotonou, Malabo and Bata, they take the form of targeted attacks against traders of foreign origin suspected of excessively raising their prices. 30 The Biafran secession and demands for independence in the Niger Delta were supported by local populations because they felt they were being invaded, with high immigration from other regions of the country. See Marc-Antoine Prouse de Montclos, Le Delta du Niger en tat dinsurrection in Bertrand Badie and Dominique Vidal (dir.), LEtat du monde 2011 (Paris, 2010), pp. 285-289, and Crisis Group Report, The Swamps of Insur- gency, op. cit. 31 For example, the mouth of the River Akwayaf, the Bakassi peninsula and many creeks, notably the Man of War Sound. See Akono Antangana, Le problme de dlimitations des es- paces maritimes en Afrique centrale, Revue africaine dtudes politiques et stratgiques, no. 4 (2007), pp. 243-259. 32 Adopted in 1982, the United Nations Convention on the Law of the Sea, known as the Montego Bay Convention, is one of the foundations of the law of the sea. It established a typology The Gulf of Guinea: The New Danger Zone Crisis Group Africa Report N195, 12 December 2012 Page 5
few maritime borders between coastal states in the Gulf of Guinea had been demarcated, 33 except between Came- roon and Nigeria because of the dispute over Bakassi. 34
Although the attitude of states to their territorial waters has changed since the recent discovery of oil, few of them have allocated substantial resources to formulating mari- time policies. Apart from port infrastructure, which is a source of tax revenue, the merchant and military navies remain underdeveloped and usually symbolic. It is thus not surprising to see the vacuum filled by criminals and pirates, who are more accustomed to being at sea than the navies of coastal states. 35
The regions governments have different policies on mari- time insecurity because they do not all suffer from its im- pact in the same way. For some, maritime insecurity is a true scourge that endangers part of the national economy and requires the deployment of armed forces. For others, it takes the form of relatively small-scale transborder crime that does not threaten to destabilise the country. For a third group, insecurity is above all a land-based phenomenon with the maritime dimension being no more than an epi- phenomenon. This diversity as well as the differences in financial re- sources available to countries explain the imbalance in the naval capacity of Gulf of Guinea states. The first countries which felt the economic impact of maritime crime tried to create a navy, including coastguards. Nigeria is the leader in the field both in terms of equipment and numbers, with a naval force of about 15,000 men, about fifteen Defender launches, a dozen patrol vessels to guard maritime instal- lations, ten coastal patrol vessels and a few amphibious landing craft. The Nigerian navys annual budget is about
and a system for demarcating maritime borders and defined the general principles of the exploitation of sea resources. See Al- bert-Didier Ogoulat, Gostratgie et polmologie dans lespace atlantique. Le cas du Golfe de Guine, available at http:// www.stratisc.org/Strategique_80_Ogoula.htm. 33 See Antangana, op. cit. 34 The Bakassi peninsula is located between south west Came- roon and the Nigerian state of Cross River, to the north of the Bay of Biafra and in the heart of the River Del Rey estuary. This territory of 665 sq km extends 65km along Akwayafe River and below Mount Cameroon. Bakassi is composed of four main strips of land (Pelican, Fiari, Erong and Bakassi), each subdi- vided into many islands encircled by creeks. The area is mainly covered with mangroves and is ideally located to control ship- ping in the Gulf of Guinea. Most of Bakassis population com- prises Nigerian fishing communities. For more on the history of the Bakassi dispute, read Crisis Group Africa Report N160, Cameroon: Fragile State?, 25 May 2010, p. 27. See the map of the Niger Delta in Appendix B. 35 Crisis Group interview, ECCAS expert on maritime security, Libreville, 23 January 2012. 20 per cent of that of the defence ministry. 36 The maritime forces of other countries are generally symbolic, with their navies having less than 1,000 men and fleets of less than ten launches. The equipment of these naval forces is generally a miscel- lany of materials in more or less good condition bought from or donated by Western partners. The buoy-layers used by Ghana were supplied by the U.S. as part of their mili- tary aid agreement. Nigeria has acquired second-hand ships from various shipbuilders. 37 However, Cameroon, Gabon, Ghana and Equatorial Guinea have made efforts in recent years to recruit personnel, acquire new equipment and train their navies. In July 2012, the Ghanaian government took delivery of two German warships. The country also acquired four Chinese ships to strengthen the patrols protecting off- shore oil fields. 38 The Cameroonian navy has about 2,000 men to monitor its coasts and respond to attacks. The Ga- bon navy is smaller; it acquired four coastal launches with a range of 800 nautical miles in 2010. 39 Finally, Equatorial Guinea bought a warship and an Antonov fighter plane in 2009 to keep watch on its coasts. 40
36 See www.nigerianavy.gov.ng. 37 See Augustus Vogel, Marine et garde-ctes: dfinir les rles des forces africaines charges de la scurit maritime, Bulletin de la scurit africaine, no. 2, December 2009. 38 Le gouvernement du Ghana a pris livraison de deux navires de guerre allemands, Xinhua, 30 July 2012. 39 Crisis Group interview, expert on maritime security, ECCAS, Libreville, 27 January 2012. 40 See La Guine quatoriale soffre un navire de guerre et un avion de chasse pour ses 41 ans dindpendance, African Press Agency (APA), 13 October 2009. The Gulf of Guinea: The New Danger Zone Crisis Group Africa Report N195, 12 December 2012 Page 6
III. NIGERIA: EPICENTRE OF VIOLENCE AT SEA For decades piracy and armed robbery at sea have been common off the coast of Nigeria, amid extreme poverty, high oil revenue, poor regulation of maritime activity, cor- rupt government and a long history of political violence in the Niger Delta. 41 Maritime crime spread from Nigerian waters to the whole region. Criminal gangs continue to ex- ploit Nigerias poor governance of the maritime domain and use violence to enrich themselves; and they show little sign of stopping. The oil, gas, shipping and fishing industries, concentrated along the countrys coast, attract criminals. In the south- eastern Niger Delta area, both onshore and offshore oil companies extract crude oil and natural gas for export. The industries and legions of expat workers bring in and create considerable wealth. Offshore traffic is heavy. Tankers transporting oil, liquefied natural gas and refined petroleum products stay in the ports while service and supply boats shuttle between the land and offshore instal- lations. 42 Container ships arrive with imported goods to supply the countrys over 170 million inhabitants. Arti- sanal fishermen ply the waters close to shore while com- mercial trawlers fish farther out. 43 Petty thieves target what they can quickly and easily carry away, namely cash, equipment, ships stores and crews belongings. More or- ganised and better equipped criminal gangs take cargo too: fish, imported goods, oil and petroleum products. D. POOR GOVERNANCE AND MARITIME CRIME Chronic poor governance of maritime economic activity has given rise to a host of illicit practices within the oil, shipping and fishing industries, both onshore and offshore. At sea a thriving cash-based black market has grown that
41 In 1979, armed thieves attacked a Danish cargo ship 3 nautical miles (5.5km) from Lagos. They killed the ships master, wounded all fourteen crew members and stole the cargo. Africa confronts unchecked piracy on both west and east coasts, The Cutting Edge, 7 December 2009. According to the UN Conven- tion on the Law of the Sea (UNCLOS), armed robbery at sea is theft within 12 nautical miles (22.2km) from land (ie, within territorial waters) whereas piracy is armed theft in international waters beyond the 12 nautical mile mark. See articles 3 and 101 of UNCLOS, 10 December 1982. 42 Nigerias main ports are at Lagos in the south west and at Warri, Port Harcourt and Calabar in the south-eastern Niger Delta. See maps in Appendices A and B. 43 Before piracy decimated the commercial fishing business, it was Nigerias second largest non-hydrocarbon export industry after cocoa. Africa confronts unchecked piracy on both west and east coasts, op. cit. radiates from Nigeria into the rest of the Gulf of Guinea. The large quantities of cash carried on board lure thieves while the presence of unscrupulous buyers makes it rela- tively easy for thieves to sell stolen goods. Corruption in the Nigerian maritime administration, navy and law enforce- ment agencies undermines their already limited capacity to counter violent crime. 44
While thieves target licit and illicit operators alike, crimi- nal practices within these three industries oil and gas, shipping and fishing significantly increase both the in- centive and opportunity for piracy. The theft or bunker- ing of crude oil from pipelines crisscrossing the Niger Delta and its transport and sale to buyers waiting in tankers offshore has become a large-scale business. In February 2012, Shell estimated oil companies were losing 150,000 bpd. 45 While some stolen crude is refined illegally in Ni- geria, most is exported. Once at sea the oil may be traded and transferred to other tankers before being taken to other West African countries where there are refineries Ghana, 46
Cameroon and Cte dIvoire in particular and other des- tinations around the world, including India, the Far East and the countries of the former Soviet Union. 47 Profits from exporting oil illegally are used by criminal gangs to launch pirate attacks on other vessels. 1. A leaky oil sector The illegal trade in refined petroleum products off Nige- ria is even more rife than that of crude oil and creates a major incentive for piracy. 48 Nigeria has four refineries but all work far below their full capacity due to a lack of maintenance and poor management, forcing the state to import most of the fuel it needs. Very large tankers known
44 See the chapter Corruption and culpability in Crisis Group Report, Fuelling in the Niger Delta Crisis, op. cit., pp. 16-22, and Everyones in on the Game: Corruption and Human Rights Abuses by the Nigeria Police Force, Human Rights Watch, 17 August 2010. 45 Losing 150,000 barrels per day of crude to theft Shell, Daily Trust, 21 February 2012. Others in the industry say it could be as high as 200,000 bpd. Crisis Group interview, oil company staff, Abuja, 11 February 2012. 46 See Ghana navy arrests tanker with hijacked crude, Ghana Web, 10 March 2012. 47 Crisis Group interview, oil company official, Abuja, 11 Feb- ruary 2012. The UN Office on Drugs and Crime (UNODC) cites China, North Korea, Israel and South Africa as frequently men- tioned destination countries. See Oil from Nigeria to the world in Transnational Trafficking and the Rule of Law in West Africa: a Threat Assessment, UNODC, July 2009, pp. 19-26. 48 The refined petroleum products most commonly traded are Premium Motor Spirit (PMS) or petrol, primarily used to power light road vehicles, Automotive Gas Oil (AGO) or diesel and Hybrid Hoffman Kiln (HHK) or kerosene, intended primarily for domestic use. The Gulf of Guinea: The New Danger Zone Crisis Group Africa Report N195, 12 December 2012 Page 7
as motherships holding some 60,000 metric tonnes of fuel come from Europe and elsewhere and, too big to enter port, moor offshore. Nigerian companies charter smaller tankers holding 5,000 to 10,000 metric tonnes to ferry the fuel from the mothership to tanks onshore, from where it is distributed to filling stations. To maintain a fixed, low price for consumers, the gov- ernment has for a long time paid a subsidy to fuel import- ing and distributing companies so they can buy at interna- tional market rates but sell for less at the pump. But on 1 January 2012, the government removed the fuel subsidy on the grounds that it fostered corruption and was a burden on the economy. The fuel price jumped from 65 to 141 Nai- ra (from about 40 to 90 cents) per litre and mass protests broke out across the country. After negotiations, the gov- ernment agreed to continue paying part of the subsidy tem- porarily, reducing the fuel price to 97 Naira (about 60 cents) per litre. While most Nigerians see the subsidy as one of the few benefits of oil production, the abuse of this system is one of the main drivers of illegal fuel trading at sea. That fuel is cheaper in Nigeria than elsewhere in the re- gion is a major incentive for smugglers to buy fuel at sub- sidised rates in Nigeria and sell it in nearby countries, particularly Benin, Togo, Cameroon, the Central African Republic, Chad and Niger. 49 They can offer a lower price than official suppliers and still make a profit. Contraband fuel leaves Nigeria by land and by sea, to be offloaded at illegal jetties or deserted beaches. 50 Smugglers also find a ready market at sea as ships use diesel to run their en- gines and onboard generators. Since Nigeria does not regulate refuelling, ships can buy fuel from any source. 51
In January 2012, the House of Representatives inquiry into the subsidy scheme for the period 2009-2011 found that the system was fraught with endemic corruption and entrenched inefficiency. 52 It revealed that the govern-
49 According to an executive in the oil industry, in Benin, in 2000, oil smuggled into the country represented about 5 per cent of the national consumption. In 2011, that had risen to 95 per cent and forced all but one official importer to leave the coun- try. Crisis Group interview, petrol industry official, Cotonou, 1 February 2012. See also Oil from Nigeria to the world, op. cit., p. 22. 50 Large wooden boats are known to offload contraband fuel in plastic jerrycans at isolated beaches around Grand Popo in Benin and Hilakondji in Togo. Crisis Group interview, petrol industry official, Cotonou, 1 February 2012. 51 Crisis Group interview, Indigenous Ship Owners Association of Nigeria (ISAN) representative, Lagos, 7 February 2012. 52 Report of the ad-hoc committee to verify and determine the actual subsidy requirements and monitor the implementation of the subsidy regime in Nigeria, Resolution no. (HR.1/2012), House of Representatives, 18 April 2012, p. 5. Available at www.africaintelligence.com/images/Nigeria_subsidies.pdf. ment had been paying subsidy on 59 million litres of fuel per day while the country had been consuming only 35 million, and recommended that inquiries be launched into private companies and public agencies. 53 In the autumn of 2012, the Commission on Economic and Financial Crimes arrested petrol distributors. Those arraigned have pleaded not guilty to the charges. 54
2. The rise in economic crime With large quantities of refined petroleum products es- caping official channels, a parallel and illicit trade has burgeoned in the Gulf of Guinea, concentrated off Nigeria. Traders based anywhere in the world can arrange deals re- motely. They only have to charter a tanker and provide the owner and captain with the necessary technical infor- mation: where and when to pick up and offload cargo and how much. Ship owners, captain and crew may never know the sellers or buyers identity or the cargos provenance. 55
Opportunistic captains and crews also make illegal profit. 56
They may deliver less than the amount due, claiming the difference was left in the pipes or spilled during transfer, in order to sell it later. 57 In offloading, it can sometimes be difficult to pump out all the fuel from the tanker, so crews collect what is left and sell it on the black market. Crews are also known to exchange fuel for goods food, alcohol, cigarettes, DVDs sold by tradesmen shuttling among vessels as they wait offshore. 58
The thriving illegal trade of refined petroleum products creates strong incentives for piracy. Pirates target the large amounts of cash used for illegal deals as well as the fuel, which they can then sell on the black market. 59 The
53 Ibid. For figures on subsidy payments and fuel consumption released by the Petroleum Products Pricing Regulatory Agency (PPPRA), see Well compel authorities to implement subsidy probe report, The Nation, 6 February 2012. Many of those identified in the committee report strongly denied any wrong- doing. See ibid and Nigeria fuel subsidy report reveals $6bn fraud, BBC, 24 April 2012. 54 Fuel subsidy scam: EFCC declare marketers wanted, press release, Economic and Financial Crimes Commission, 7 Sep- tember 2012; Nigeria : Fuel subsidy scam EFCC arraigns 13 oil marketers, AllAfrica, 6 October 2012. 55 Crisis Group interview, former harbour master, Cotonou, 27 January 2012. 56 Crisis Group interview, ISAN representative, Lagos, 7 Feb- ruary 2012. 57 Crisis Group interview, Nigerian Maritime Administration and Safety Agency (NIMASA) representative, Lagos, 3 Febru- ary 2012. 58 Crisis Group interview, Benin navy officer, Cotonou, 27 Jan- uary 2012. 59 Tankers doing legal business carry at least $10,000 on board with which to pay part of the crews salaries (the rest is paid on shore), for provisions and transactions in port. Crisis Group in- The Gulf of Guinea: The New Danger Zone Crisis Group Africa Report N195, 12 December 2012 Page 8
ship-to-ship transfer of fuel also provides an excellent opportunity for pirates to attack as both ships are immobi- lised for several hours. Since many of the victims of piracy are involved in illicit activities, they are much less likely to report crimes to the Nigerian navy or law enforcement agencies, thus increasing pirates chances of success. In addition, illicit vessels often do not have or have turned off their Automated Identification Systems (AIS) which identify them to national authorities on shore. The latter can still see the ships on radar but they remain anonymous. Illegal fishing off Nigeria and several other neighbouring countries also creates an environment conducive to pira- cy. 60 Widespread fishing by commercial trawlers close to shore zones reserved for artisanal fishing is destroying underwater habitats and eroding the livelihoods of coastal communities. This increases the likelihood of fishermen turning to crime. 61
Although the law requires trawlers to bring their catch back to shore for registration before export, some crews, with or without the knowledge of their employers, sell fish, especially species they are not authorised to catch, to illegal traders sailing refrigerated vessels. 62 Trawlers thus carry more cash than they usually would, becoming more attrac- tive targets for pirates. 3. State capacity hampered by corruption Nigerias navy and maritime administration agencies are facing serious problems of capacity and corruption. A lack of government investment has left them both under- manned and under-equipped. In 2005, high-ranking navy commanders were dismissed for involvement in oil theft and illegal trading. 63 In October 2009, a former chair of the Nigerian Ports Authority and other managers were convicted on charges related to contract splitting and abuse
terview, Oil Companies International Marine Forum (OCIMF) officer, London, 20 December 2011. 60 The Nigerian Trawler Owners Association (NITOA) reports that Asian and European fishing vessels, bigger than those used by Nigerians, enter Nigerian waters and take most of the avail- able fish, including the immature ones thereby preventing stocks from regenerating. Crisis Group interview, NITOA officer, La- gos, 8 February 2012. For more on illegal fishing in the Gulf of Guinea, see reports by the Environmental Justice Foundation (EJF). 61 See Illegal fishing plunders and strains West Africa, Reuters, 15 March 2012. 62 Crisis Group interview, NIMASA representative, Lagos, 3 February 2012. 63 Nigeria: conviction of admirals confirms navy role in oil theft, Integrated Regional Information Networks (IRIN), 6 January 2005. of office but they were acquitted on charges related to in- flating contracts. 64
The result of such institutional weakness and endemic corruption is a low level of maritime regulation and secu- rity response both at sea and in Nigerian ports. Ship own- ers complain that, eight times out of ten, their distress calls go unanswered. 65 U.S. coastguards visiting Nigeria to check compliance with the International Ship and Port Facility Security (ISPS) code found inadequate security, which accounted for the high crime rate in ports. 66
Such weak maritime governance has allowed armed rob- bery at sea and acts of piracy to grow steadily in tandem with economic activity at sea.Since the early 2000s, at- tacks have increased dramatically, first on fishing vessels whose decks are close to the water and thus relatively easy to board and then on tankers and other cargo ves- sels. 67 This rapid rise in violence at sea off the coast of Nigeria was driven in large part by the escalation of in- surgency and crime in the Niger Delta. 4. The Niger Delta The Niger Delta insurgency, at its height between 2006 and 2009, caused violent crime at sea to grow in frequen- cy, scale and sophistication. 68 Trouble began in the 1990s,
64 Appeal court affirms Bode Georges conviction, The Will, 21 January 2011. The former chairman has always maintained his innocence. Ill not seek presidential pardon Bode George, Vanguard, 25 January 2012. 65 Crisis Group interview, ISAN representative, Lagos, 7 Feb- ruary 2012. The IMB also reports a lack of response to distress calls during pirate attacks in Nigerian waters. In one incident on 16 January 2012, the master of a tanker in Lagos anchorage who discovered two heavily armed pirates on deck contacted the Navy but received no response. The pirates hijacked the ship for five days and stole the crews and ships cash, personal belongings and some cargo. Piracy and armed robbery against ships, Report for the period 1 January 31 March 2012, Inter- national Maritime Bureau (IMB), April 2012. 66 The International Ship and Port Facility Security (ISPS) Code is a 2004 amendment to the international Safety of Life at Sea (SOLAS) Convention (1974/1988) on minimum security re- quirements for ships, ports and government agencies. U.S. threatens country over ports insecurity, Vanguard, 9 March 2012. 67 Crisis Group interviews, NIMASA officer, Lagos, 3 February 2012; NITOA officer, Lagos, 8 February 2012. See also Arild Nodland, Guns, oil, and cake: maritime security in the Gulf of Guinea in Elleman, Forbes and Rosenburg (eds.), Piracy and maritime crime: historical and modern case studies, Naval War College Newport Papers 35, 2010, p. 195. 68 Although the reliability of piracy statistics can be questioned, the number of pirate attacks off Nigeria reported to the IMB rose markedly during the insurgency, at its height from 2006 to The Gulf of Guinea: The New Danger Zone Crisis Group Africa Report N195, 12 December 2012 Page 9
caused by social discontent with the unequal distribution of oil revenues at the expense of the great majority of the people, who still live in extreme poverty and have little access to essential public services. 69 Popular frustration is also driven by the environmental damage caused by the oil industry, which has destroyed livelihoods by killing fish and making land infertile. The peaceful movement of the 1990s turned into a revolt and sparked an arms race between rival criminal gangs for control of territory, aided by corrupt politicians who wanted a share of the lucrative oil trade. The latter also wanted to raise the spectre of insecurity to consolidate their power and were ready to pay criminal groups to in- timidate voters and opponents. The creation of the Move- ment for the Emancipation of the Niger Delta (MEND) in 2005 signalled a new stage in the violence. Crimes in- cluded the theft of oil and other goods, attacks on fishing boats 70 and kidnappings. 71 However, it is impossible to establish a clear distinction between insurgents and crim- inals because some of them seek to make a demonstration of political force while making financial gains. 72
In order to limit the costs of vandalism and kidnappings, oil companies concentrated their exploration and produc- tion activities at sea. Far from accepting defeat, insur- gents and criminals adapted to the new situation and ex- tended their activities seawards. They quickly discovered new opportunities for becoming wealthy and developed the expertise necessary to commit more audacious crimes. Attacks were concentrated at sea off the delta but also spread as far as Lagos. During the insurgency, maritime insecurity was worst off the delta near Warri, Port Harcourt and Calabar in par- ticular but piracy also increased off Lagos, where attacks were closer to shore (within 20 nautical miles or 37km), aimed purely at financial gain and less successful and co- ordinated than those in the south east. There were no kid-
mid-2009. In 2005 there were sixteen, in 2006 twelve, in 2007 42, in 2008 40, in 2009 29. IMB annual reports, 2005-2009. 69 See Nigeria Poverty Profile 2010, Nigerian National Bu- reau of Statistics, January 2012 and UN Niger Delta Human Development Report, United Nations Development Pro- gramme (UNDP). 70 According to a security expert, 293 incidents of piracy against fishing boats were recorded off the Nigerian coast between 2003 and 2008. Crisis Group interviews, oil company security manager, Port Harcourt, February 2012; NITOA official, Lagos, 8 February 2012. See Security Council press release, SC/10558, 27 February 2012. 71 199 people were kidnapped in 2007 according to security ex- perts. Crisis Group interviews, oil company security manager, Abuja and Port Harcourt, February 2012. 72 See The lull before the storm, maritime piracy and election violence in the Niger Delta, Risk Intelligence, 15 March 2011. nappings for ransom. 73 These attacks were carried out by local criminals familiar with the waters, but increased se- curity measures by oil companies in the delta and military pressure by the Joint Task Force (JTF), a unit composed of the army, navy and police, encouraged opportunists from the delta to seek softer targets further west. 74 Similarity between the languages of the Ijaw people in the Niger Delta and Ilaje of the Lagos area may also have enabled coop- eration and the transfer of knowledge and tactics. 75
E. THE INCREASE IN CRIME SINCE 2009 The government managed to persuade most insurgents to put down their arms by launching a major military strike against rebel camps in May 2009 and offering amnesty in June. 76 The amnesty program, which includes monthly stipends and vocational training for repentant fighters, has reduced political violence. Criminal gangs, however, have continued to operate on land and sea. 77 The government has taken steps to galvanise its response but limited capaci- ty, corruption and inter-agency squabbles undermine its efforts. 1. The amnestys limited impact The amnesty program was part of the then-President Umaru Musa YarAduas efforts to appease the rebels. 78
He incorporated them into the state structure and enabled them to continue making money legally. Thousands of combatants came out of the creeks to register, 79 but the amnesty did not stop all militant violence. On 12 July 2009,
73 Nodland, Guns, oil, and cake, op. cit., p. 196. 74 Crisis Group interview, ISAN representative, Lagos, 7 Feb- ruary 2012. 75 Crisis Group interviews, oil company security manager, Abuja, 13 February 2012; former community conflict mediator, Port Harcourt, 16 February 2012. 76 Alexis Riols, Piraterie et brigandage dans le golfe de Guine, Centre dtudes suprieures de la marine, October 2010, p. 26. 77 Acts of piracy and armed robbery at sea off Nigeria reported to the IMB decreased from 40 in 2008, to 29 in 2009, nineteen in 2010 and ten in 2011. With 21 attacks reported in the first nine months of 2012, attacks are once again increasing. See IMB annual reports for 2008-2011 and its most recent report: Piracy and armed robbery against ships, Report for the period 1 Janu- ary to 30 September, October 2012. 78 Kathryn Nwajiaku-Dahou, The politics of amnesty in the Niger Delta: challenges ahead, Institut franais des relations internationales (IFRI), December 2010. 79 In the first 60-day window, 6 August 4 October 2009, 20,192 self-declared militants signed up for amnesty. Some who initially failed to disarm later felt they had missed out and persuaded the government to admit them to the process. In No- vember 2010, another 6,166 signed up, making a total of 26,358. Crisis Group interview, amnesty program officer, Abuja, 13 February 2012. The Gulf of Guinea: The New Danger Zone Crisis Group Africa Report N195, 12 December 2012 Page 10
MEND dynamited the Atlas Cove jetty in Lagos, killing five people. This first attack outside the delta proved the groups firepower. Attacks claimed by MEND continued into late 2010 and included car bombs in Abuja in October. However, when the government finally started vocational training in Nigeria and later abroad and began distributing monthly stipends of 65,000 Naira (about $400) for each militant, attacks on oil installations and kidnapping of ex- patriate workers fell. 80
But the amnesty failed to hold back rising crime in the delta. A criminal culture that developed before and during the insurgency remains intact and loose criminal networks continue to operate with the same verve and impunity. Oil bunkering has risen. 81 It is particularly bad around Nembe in Bayelsa state. 82 As the international price of oil climbs, selling stolen oil becomes all the more lucrative. 83 Many more illegal refineries have cropped up, some technically advanced. 84 The partial removal of the fuel subsidy in early 2012 and subsequent rise in fuel price enables illegal re- finers to sell their product at a higher price. More and more Nigerians are being kidnapped for ransom particularly in Delta, Rivers and Abia states. Bandits frequently hold up traffic on the deltas intercity roads. Bank robberies in Port Harcourt, a well-known danger in the run-up to Christmas, were in late 2011 notably more frequent, violent, bold and better armed than in previous years. 85
On the deltas waterways too, armed robbery remains a threat. In the creeks, particularly on the Port Harcourt- Nembe axis around Nembe and Brass, gangs hold up pas- senger boats to steal valuables, boats and their motors. On occasion they abduct and rape women. 86 On the estuaries and rivers, attackers continue to target commercial traffic
80 The general maritime security off Bonny Island, Rivers state and in the previously risky area around the Bonny fairway buoy improved markedly. However, three to four expatriates continue to be kidnapped each year. Crisis Group interview, oil company security manager, Abuja, 11 February 2012. 81 Crisis Group interview, Niger Delta researcher, Abuja, 10 February 2012. 82 In December 2011, bunkering became so intense in this area that Shell temporarily shut down operations there. Crisis Group interview, Shell security manager, Port Harcourt, 15 February 2012. 83 According to the Central Bank of Nigeria, Bonny Light, the kind of crude oil extracted from the Niger Delta, was trading for about $60 a barrel in 2006. By early 2012, the price had in- creased to about $127. www.cenbank.org. 84 Crisis Group interviews, oil company security managers, Abuja and Port Harcourt, February 2012. 85 Crisis Group interviews, Port Harcourt residents, Port Har- court, February 2012. 86 Crisis Group interview, chairman of a union for passenger boat workers, Port Harcourt, 15 February 2012. and oil company supply vessels. The Calabar River is par- ticularly dangerous. 87
2. Crime onshore enables crime offshore Unfettered crime onshore and in the creeks allows gangs to become richer and better prepare themselves to commit crime offshore. Since the proceeds from crime, including piracy, trickle down to benefit delta communities, inhab- itants provide pirates with moral and material support. Pi- rates have continued to raid local commercial traffic and fishing trawlers, 88 but they are increasingly concentrating their attacks on tankers. The more organised groups hi- jack them for extended periods of time two days to two weeks to steal their cargo, which they then sell on the black market. This began during the insurgency, picked up in 2009 and intensified in 2011 and 2012. Most attacks have taken place off Lagos and in 2011 off Cotonou, Benin. Chronic congestion in Lagos ports forces many vessels to wait offshore for a berth to become availa- ble. Some vessels have reduced crews to cut down on oper- ational costs and are therefore more vulnerable. That some hijacked vessels end up off the Niger Delta suggests that delta-based groups are involved or that Lagos-based pi- rates collaborate with those in the delta. 89
The groups that plan and execute these hijacks are organ- ised and well connected. Their ability to target tankers carrying out a ship-to-ship transfer indicates they often know the transfer is going to take place beforehand. 90 Pi- rates use traders or prostitutes as spies to sail close to or board moored vessels and inspect their cargo and access points. 91 While pirates who raid vessels for cash and valua- bles are often very violent toward the crew, those who hi- jack tankers are usually disciplined and cause little physi-
87 Crisis Group interview, oil company security manager, Abuja, 11 February 2012. 88 While in 2004, 36 trawler companies were using almost 300 vessels, in 2011, less than ten remained, sailing about 120 ves- sels. Most have either gone out of business or moved to other West African countries. Crisis Group interview, NITOA mem- ber, Lagos, 8 February 2012. 89 Crisis Group interview, oil company security manager, Abuja, 11 February 2012. On 3 March 2011, pirates hijacked a tanker off Cotonou. They first told the captain to sail to 60 nautical miles (111km) off Gabon but, having failed to offload the cargo there, ordered him to sail to a location off Warri, Delta state. When that rendezvous also failed they sailed back west and speed boats came to fetch them 3 nautical miles (5.6km) off Badagri, a town between Lagos and the Benin border. Annual piracy report 2011, IMB. 90 Crisis Group interview, ISAN representative, Lagos, 7 Feb- ruary 2012. 91 Crisis Group interview, maritime security company staff, Port Harcourt, 14 February 2012. The Gulf of Guinea: The New Danger Zone Crisis Group Africa Report N195, 12 December 2012 Page 11
cal harm. 92 Pirates are necessarily in contact with buyers or brokers operating in the illegal fuel trade. Hijackers have considerable human, material and finan- cial resources. Between five and 30 men in up to five speed boats approach the target tanker. Speed boats, typically capable of 50 to 60 knots (about 90 to 110km per hour), are faster and more manoeuvrable than tankers. Pirates are investing their spoils in faster boats that can go greater distances and attacks are now taking place farther from shore, between 50 and 110 nautical miles (93 to 204km). 93
Some pirates also use trawlers and other vessels as moth- erships with which to travel further out to sea before launch- ing speed boats. 94 Pirates are heavily armed, including with AK-47s, machine-guns and rocket launchers. 95 They have sufficient communications equipment to coordinate a rendezvous with a second tanker far out to sea. They also have the expertise needed to board a ship, take control, navigate and carry out or oversee a ship-to-ship transfer. The full extent of the piracy problem is hard to evaluate as many victims do not report such crimes. If the ships losses are small and unlikely to be covered by insurance, the ship owner may decide not to waste time and money going into port to report the crime. Some of them do not report attacks to protect their reputation and future profits or because doing so is also likely to push up insurance premiums for both ship owners and charterers. Those in- volved in illegal practices are even less likely to report acts of piracy, for fear their own crimes are discovered. 3. Stronger but insufficient government response The government has taken steps to boost its response to maritime insecurity but remains unable to prevent attacks. 96
Off Lagos, concrete efforts by the navy and the Nigerian Maritime Administration and Safety Agency (NIMASA) in 2011 to crackdown on illegal shipping and piracy by
92 Crisis Group interview, military attach, Abuja, 9 February 2012. On 13 February 2012, eight pirates boarded a cargo ship about 110 nautical miles (about 204km) off Lagos. In the pro- cess of stealing the ships safe they shot and killed the captain. Another crew member died trying to escape. 93 Crisis Group interview, diplomat, Lagos, 3 February 2012. Of the eleven pirate attacks off Nigeria and Benin reported to the IMB from January to March 2012, six took place between 70 and 110 nautical miles (between 130 and 204km) offshore. See Report for the period 1 January 31 March 2012, op. cit. 94 West Africa: expert in mothership warning, Bergen Risk Solutions, 16 January 2012. 95 Crisis Group interview, naval officer, Cotonou, 27 January 2012. 96 The Nigerian navy is increasing its presence in the delta, es- pecially in the Bonny/Akassa/Escravos area. Navy begins fresh offensive against piracy, oil theft, Guardian (Nigeria), 11 No- vember 2012. increasing patrols and identifying suspect vessels have reduced attacks close to shore. 97 In the Niger Delta, the navy tries to control the creeks and territorial waters from a handful of Forward Operating Bases (FOBs). 98 If com- mercial shippers are willing to pay, the navy will provide an escort for vessels as they approach shore. 99 The govern- ment has signalled its intention to introduce legislation that will allow ships to carry privately contracted armed guards. 100
For a long time, Nigeria has been receiving support from partners, the U.S. in particular, to strengthen its navy and has been steadily increasing spending on the armed forces. 101 In 2012, it will devote more resources to acquir- ing new boats and aircraft for the navy. 102 Major oil com- panies, however, recognising the navys weakness, increas- ingly employ private maritime security companies to escort their supply boats and patrol around offshore installations. It is an increasingly common arrangement for a private con- tractor to provide and maintain boats and crew while the navy provides weapons and personnel to operate them. 103
Renewed efforts to reinforce Nigerias maritime security are being undermined by internal competition for access to resources. The Presidential Implementation Committee on Maritime Safety and Security (PICOMSS) was set up in 2004 to implement the International Ship and Port Facility Security (ISPS) code. A bill that would have incorporated it into a new Maritime Security Agency (MASECA) and thus endowed it with greater authority to control maritime traffic and collect taxes came up against the opposition of the navy and NIMASA, which feared it would deprive
97 Crisis Group interviews, shipping and oil company staff, La- gos, February 2012. In August 2011, NIMASA established a new unit that works directly with navy boats and one navy heli- copter to apprehend vessels operating illegally in Lagos anchor- age, an area ten nautical miles (18.5km) wide and ten nautical miles long. Crisis Group interview, NIMASA officer, Lagos, 8 February 2012. 98 The navy has FOBs at several strategic locations including Warri, Port Harcourt and Calabar. It recently set up a new one at Ikot Abasi in Akwa Ibom state. Crisis Group interview, mari- time security company staff, Port Harcourt, 14 February 2012. 99 Crisis Group interview, commercial shipping company, Lagos, 8 February 2012. 100 FG moves to improve maritime security, Daily Times, 13 April 2012. 101 On U.S. support to the Nigerian navy, see Section V.C. Ni- geria spent $1.9 billion on defence in 2009, $2.1 billion in 2010 and $2.8 billion in 2011. Nigerias defence budget approves dozens of Navy acquisitions, Defence Web, 20 February 2012. 102 Ibid. At the beginning of September 2012, Nigeria acquired ten patrol boats to strengthen its navy. Nigeria acquires 10 pa- trol boats for oil rich Niger Delta, Xinhua, 8 September 2012. 103 Some private contractors also have the equipment to carry out maritime surveillance. Crisis Group interview, maritime security company staff, Port Harcourt, 14 February 2012. The Gulf of Guinea: The New Danger Zone Crisis Group Africa Report N195, 12 December 2012 Page 12
them of responsibilities and budget share. The House of Representatives had passed the bill and the Senate was considering it when, in early January 2012, the presidency ordered it be withdrawn. 104 PICOMSS is unlikely to re- ceive new powers but continues to operate a maritime sur- veillance system parallel to the navys. 105 Rivalry between these agencies creates needless duplication of work and blocks information sharing. F. FUTURE THREATS TO MARITIME SECURITY There are three types of threat. The first stems from the governments decision to employ private contractors of questionable reliability to assist the navy and maritime authorities. The second stems from the risk that the am- nesty program will only have a short-term impact and not resolve the problem of violence in the delta. The third stems from the increase in violence in the north of the country. 1. Subcontracting security In early January 2012, the Nigerian authorities used a pri- vate company, Global West Vessel Specialist Nigeria Ltd, to work with NIMASA and the navy to monitor and patrol Nigerias maritime domain and enforce payment of taxes. The contract is for ten years and worth $103.4 mil- lion. 106 According to the Nigerian press, the company is alleged to have links with a suspected former MEND leader. 107
104 Crisis Group interview, PICOMSS officer, Abuja, 9 Febru- ary 2012. 105 See Admiral Ola Saad Ibrahim, Piracy and maritime secu- rity in Nigeria, The Guardian (Nigeria), 8 February 2012. 106 The transport ministry memorandum presenting the contract is entitled Award of contract for the strategic concessioning partnership with NIMASA to provide platforms for tracking ships and cargoes, enforce regulatory compliance and surveil- lance of the entire Nigerian maritime domain. See a copy of the agreement reprinted in annex A of Outsourcing Maritime Se- curity: Is former MEND commander Tompolo involved?, Special Report, Bergen Risk Solutions, 7 February 2012. NI- MASA confirmed this agreement with Global West, emphasis- ing the contract was based on performance criteria and that it would allow an increase of fiscal receipts from the relevant administrations. NIMASA: Why were partnering Global West on maritime security, This Day, 9 March 2012. 107 Tompolo tackles security of Nigerian waters, Vanguard, 4 September 2012 and Nigeria: payments to Tompolo, others is legitimizing militancy, AllAfrica, 27 August 2012. Subcon- tracting security to former militants from the delta seems also to include land installations. Nigerias former oil bandits now collect government cash, The Wall Street Journal, 22 August 2012. Critics say it is a risk to outsource national security re- sponsibilities to a private company that will put its own financial interests first, especially one that is perceived as maintaining connections to former militants. NIMASA insists Global West will not be ensuring maritime security but rather providing boats for it and the navy to use. 108
2. Amnesty, unemployment and unrest in the north Recent attacks raise the spectre of renewed insurgency in the Niger Delta. 109 A new wave of violence would risk boosting the criminal economy and creating an environ- ment more favourable to the funding, organisation and use of piracy by criminal gangs. The amnesty has not lessened massive injustice in the delta. Most inhabitants still live in poverty and suffer the oil industrys ill effects on the environment while the governing elite becomes richer, often through corruption. The amnesty and the granting of surveillance and waste management contracts to local communities sends out a message that violence or the threat of it will be rewarded. A new generation of unemployed young men growing up in the delta may prove to be quick learners. As an oil company official said, theres a thin line between a community issue and a security issue. 110
The amnesty did not appease all former militants. Some still demand to be included in the amnesty program that has so far registered about 30,000 people; others outright reject it and say they will continue to fight. Mid-ranking commanders who did not benefit to the same degree as their more famous and powerful superiors are especially keen to keep fighting. 111 Even those participating in the
108 NIMASA also says the point of the contract is to speed up slow procurement procedures. Crisis Group interview, NIMASA officer, Lagos, 8 February 2012. Crisis Groups attempts to contact Global West were unanswered. 109 On 4 February 2012, a group claiming to be from MEND blew up a sea pipeline belonging to the Italian company Eni. On 1 March, MEND claimed responsibility for the murder of four police officers who were patrolling the River Nembe in Bayelsa state. Early on 13 April, the movement attacked anoth- er of Enis installations in Bayelsa. Militants claim attack on Nigeria Eni oil pipeline, Reuters, 5 February 2012; Nigerias MEND claims fatal attack on police, Al Jazeera, 2 March 2012 ; Eni oil pipeline attacked in Nigeria delta, Reuters, 13 April 2012. 110 Crisis Group interview, oil company security manager, Port Harcourt, 15 February 2012. 111 A militant leader, formerly a mid-ranking commander under Asari, swore that as soon as our boy, President Jonathan, fin- ishes his term, he will continue to cripple the oil industry. Crisis Group interview, former militant commander, Port Harcourt, 16 February 2012. See The lull before the storm, op. cit. The Gulf of Guinea: The New Danger Zone Crisis Group Africa Report N195, 12 December 2012 Page 13
amnesty may soon be tempted to turn back to crime as the program, while offering training, has enabled very few to find jobs. 112 The payment of monthly stipends will have to stop at some point. 113 Furthermore, if power changes hands at the next elections in 2015, a new president will most likely be less sympathetic to the delta groups than Goodluck Jonathan, who comes from the region. There is no guarantee his replacement would maintain the lucrative state contracts that have so far appeased militant leaders. Boko Harams violent campaign in the north could also precipitate renewed violence in the south. 114 Some mili- tants feel it is drawing the governments attention away from the deltas grievances. Those who claimed an attack on a gas pipeline on 4 February 2012 said it was a re- minder of our presence. 115 Among the deltas security community there are rumours of new militant camps. 116
The governments ability to deal effectively with renewed violence in the delta would be seriously constrained by the need to quell insecurity in the north. The Joint Task Force is still present in the delta, but its new Operation Pulo Shield is reoriented to countering oil bunkering and illegal refining, not insurgency. 117
112 Crisis Group interview, amnesty program officer, Abuja, 13 February 2012. Most former militants would like to work in the oil and gas sector but given the specialised nature of the work and the level of automation after the initial construction stage, there are not enough opportunities for them. Crisis Group inter- view, diplomat, Lagos, 3 February 2012. 113 The initial end date of 2015 is now under review. Crisis Group interview, amnesty program officer, Abuja, 13 February 2012. Also see Post-amnesty programme may end 2013, This Day Live, 31 January 2011. 114 Boko Haram is a radical Islamist group that has carried out scores of bomb attacks and shootings, mainly in the predomi- nately Muslim north, which have killed more than 1,000 people since mid-2009. See Crisis Group Africa Report N168, North- ern Nigeria: Background to Conflict, 20 December 2010. 115 Nigerian militants attack Eni oil pipeline in delta, Reuters, 6 February 2012. 116 Crisis Group interviews, oil company security managers, Port Harcourt, 14-15 February 2012. 117 Pulo means oil in Ijaw. JTF restructures, now Operation Pulo Shield, Sweet Crude, 9 January 2012. IV. THE SPREAD OF CRIME ACROSS THE REGION The geography of maritime insecurity now extends to the whole region, from Cte dIvoire to Angola according to the ECCAS secretary general. 118 In the short term, in addition to Nigeria, the maritime zones most affected are Bakassi, Benin, Togo and Ghana. Although profit is the dominant motive in most attacks and kidnappings, politi- cal demands are sometimes made. Moreover, countries no longer hesitate to view maritime attacks as external at- tempts at destabilisation. Criminal activities can be divided into three main categories: the spread of political gangster- ism from the Niger Delta to the Bakassi peninsula; seaborne raids; and increasingly sophisticated acts of piracy. A. POLITICAL GANGSTERISM IN BAKASSI The first manifestations of maritime crime in Cameroon occurred in 1987. They were restricted to the maritime border with Nigeria, in the Bight of Biafra. Initially, at- tacks had a purely financial motivation: burglaries at port and oil installations, siphoning of crude, unauthorised fishing in controlled zones, attacks on fishing boats. 119
Crime became less frequent in 1993 with the emergence of a dispute and then sporadic clashes between Cameroon and Nigeria over the Bakassi peninsula. Yaound and Abuja henceforth considered the area to be a sensitive zone in terms of maritime security. 120 Cameroon declared the coast near Nigeria to be a war zone and placed it under ar- my control. The incidence of crime fell sharply between 1993 and 2006 and the only common crimes were burgla- ries and other offenses in the ports of Douala, Limb and the seaside resort of Kribi. 121
The first major manifestation of the spread of crime from the Niger Delta appeared after the 2007 Green Tree Agreement, which returned Bakassi to Cameroon, in ac- cordance with the ruling by the International Court of Justice (ICJ). 122 The number of attacks and ambushes
118 Piracy and armed robberies are a threat in the Gulf of Guinea, from Cte dIvoire to Angola quoted in Branle-bas de combat contre la piraterie maritime, Gabon Review, 26 October 2012. In October 2012, a tanker was attacked off Cte dIvoire. Greek-operated tanker goes missing in Gulf of Guinea, Reuters, 8 October 2012. Piracy off West Africa doubles, News 24, 27 October 2012. 119 Crisis Group interviews, port authority, Douala, 5 December 2011. 120 Navy: Why Bakassi buffer zone is porous, This Day, 6 November 2012. 121 Crisis Group interviews, port authority, Douala, 5 December 2011. 122 In October 2004, after proceedings that lasted several years, the ICJ awarded Bakassi to Cameroon. With a view to imple- The Gulf of Guinea: The New Danger Zone Crisis Group Africa Report N195, 12 December 2012 Page 14
along the Cameroonian coast increased. They were led by armed groups of the self-proclaimed Bakassi Freedom Fighters (BFF), opposed to the peninsulas return to Came- roon. Originally composed of members of the Ijaw com- munity, the ethnic majority group in Bakassi, the BFF followed the example of self-defence groups in the Niger Delta and claimed they were acting to defend themselves against the Nigerian and Cameroonian authorities. They put forward the same political motive as fighters in the Niger Delta, namely that they were defending the inter- ests of a group that had been betrayed. However, the BFF were not so much interested in denouncing government collusion with the oil companies as preventing the possible expulsion of the Ijaw communities and allies from an area very rich in fishing resources. 123
Moreover, the BFFs political demands concealed other, less noble objectives: maintaining control of the lucrative trade of oil and drugs in Bakassi. The path taken by the group shows the range of interests behind its creation. As illegal trade increased on the peninsula, the situation be- came more confused and the combatant groups have split following mutual accusations of treason and corruption. In November 2007, twenty Cameroonian soldiers were killed in Issangele creek, Bakassi. The attack was initial- ly attributed to MEND, but Bakassi combatants claimed responsibility saying they wanted to sound a warning after the arrest of some of their comrades a few days before. 124
In October 2008, another major attack was launched when individuals travelling on speed boats attacked the SS Sa- gitta, a French tanker sailing near Limb. They took ten hostages, including seven French citizens, two Cameroo- nians and one Tunisian. This attack was preceded by an attack on the Cameroonian army in June 2008. Then, on two occasions, in December 2010 and February 2011, rep- resentatives of the authorities (including two sub-prefects) were abducted by attackers claiming to be members of the BFF. In 2009, the BFF operations commander, Ebi Dari, and one of his generals left the group after suspicions had been raised about betrayal and the misappropriation of funds. They announced their surrender to the Came- roonian authorities and asked for a pardon from Presi- dent Paul Biya. Another radical leader, called Atikpee,
menting this decision, a joint commission of the two countries was given responsibility for organising a gradual return, taking into account the status of the majority of the population, who are Nigerian in origin. The Green Tree Agreement gave the Ni- gerian population of Bakassi the choice of leaving the peninsula or remaining, with or without acquiring Cameroonian citizenship. 123 Crisis Group interviews, members of the Ijaw community, Bakassi, 5-12 December 2011. 124 Une vingtaine de soldats camerounais tus Bakassi, Agence France-Presse (AFP), 13 November 2007. proclaimed himself leader of the movement before sur- rendering as well. 125 The BFFs current leadership is un- clear and claimed by different military leaders, some saying to be still active while others repented and put down their arms or negotiated their surrender with the Cameroonian authorities. 126 Most combatants are spread among relatively uncoordinated but extremely dangerous and violent small groups, such as the African Marine Com- mando (AMC), which control maritime crime and illegal trade of petrol, arms and drugs. 127
In response, Cameroon has combined military deployment in the field with infiltration of the armed groups. To counter their mobility and capacity to quickly extend their reach, the authorities launched Operation Galilee, which involved deploying a Rapid Intervention Brigade (BIR), a unit equipped with speed boats. The government also launched a military surveillance program off the coast and territorial waters using radar and radio with an operational centre in Douala. This has been all the more necessary because, in spite of strong pressure from Bakassi residents, the Nige- rian governments recent decision not to contest the return of Bakassi to Cameroon closed the legal battle but did not completely close the political battle, which might encour- age violent local demands. 128
B. MARITIME RAIDS The years 2008 and 2009 were notable for the intensifica- tion of bank robberies in Cameroon and a spectacular at- tack on the Equatorial Guinea presidential residence at Malabo by seaborne armed groups. The bank robberies in Cameroon started in September 2008 in the coastal town of Limb. Organised like a military operation and involv-
125 Bakassi Freedom Fighters reportedly apologize and propose ceasefire with Cameroon, APA, 14 August 2009 and Militant groups surrender arms in C-River, Vanguard, 27 September 2009. 126 Some BFF members also took advantage of the Nigerian am- nesty law to hand in their weapons to the Cross River state au- thorities. Crisis Group interview, Cameroon military intelligence officer, Bakassi, 5-12 December 2011. 127 The extreme violence of their actions, often carried out with heavy weapons, showed how dangerous these groups can be. In February 2011, the AMC took the Bakassi subprefect hostage and offered his release in exchange for a ransom. A short time before, another subprefect was abducted and executed by his kidnappers. Crisis Group telephone interview, expert from a security company, November 2012. 128 Despite internal pressures, the Nigerian government decided not to appeal against the decision but it considered negotiations with Cameroon to buy back Bakassi. Le Nigria ne fera pas appel pour rcuprer la pninsule de Bakassi cde au Came- roun, Slate Afrique, 9 October 2012. Nigeria mulls buying back Bakassi from Cameroon, P.M. News Nigeria, 9 October 2012. The Gulf of Guinea: The New Danger Zone Crisis Group Africa Report N195, 12 December 2012 Page 15
ing dozens of attackers equipped with heavy weapons, this series of attacks left a dozen people dead. In October 2008, a failed bank robbery in Kribi was fol- lowed by the arrest of Cameroonian attackers, which in- dicates that the attacks were not only carried out by Nige- rians. In March 2011, ten people, including nine pirates, were killed in a clash between pirates and the BIR after a bank robbery in Douala, South Cameroons main city. The confrontation took place at sea, near an oil production zone off Bakassi. 129
In February 2009, Equatorial Guinea experienced its first large-scale attack. About 50 armed men on speed boats led a raid against the presidential palace in Malabo on Bioko Island. At first, this attack was reported as an attempted coup led by the political opposition in cooperation with MEND, because documents found on the arrested and killed attackers seemed to indicate that they were from the Niger Delta. However, a few days later, MEND denied any involvement. 130 After also blaming locals and the Equa- torial Guinean opposition in exile, the government accused Cameroon because the attackers were reportedly wearing Cameroonian army uniforms. 131
Questioning of the arrested attackers and investigations conducted by the authorities of Equatorial Guinea, Came- roon and Nigeria indicated that the attack had no political motive and was apparently organised by criminals who had confused the presidential palace with a bank or had thought that large sums of money had been stored there. 132
A few days before, the press had reported the theft of a suitcase of banknotes from the Malabo presidential resi- dence. 133 However, in August 2010, the Equatorial Guin- ea authorities announced death sentences for four people, including former members of the security forces, for their role in the February 2009 attack. 134 This raised again the hypothesis of an attempt to destabilise the government. No matter how this episode is interpreted, it showed for the first time that it was possible to plan a large-scale at- tack against one of the regions countries, and the security services noted the existence of seaborne armed groups able to act along the whole length of the Gulf of Guinea.
129 Cameroun: dix morts Bakassi, AFP, 21 March 2011. 130 Attaques contre la Guine quatoriale: le groupe nigrian du MEND dment tre impliqu, AFP, 17 February 2009. 131 Les Bakassi Freedom Fighters attaquent la Guine quato- riale, camer.be, 19 February 2010. 132 Banditisme ou tentative de coup dEtat ?, Radio France internationale, 17 February 2009. 133 Riols, Piraterie et brigandage maritime dans le Golfe de Gui- ne, op. cit., p. 7 134 Quatre condamnations mort pour lassaut du palais prsi- dentiel, AFP, 22 August 2010. Following this spectacular attack, and although it had so far been spared from similar attacks, Gabon strengthened its surveillance patrols of villages and fishing communi- ties suspected of sheltering criminals or providing them with information about the movements of coastguards. Gabonese policy consisted of infiltrating fishing commu- nities while strengthening its navy. C. PIRACY ON THE HIGH SEAS Between 2007 and 2011, there were an estimated 150 cases of maritime piracy to the east of the Niger Delta, mainly off the Cameroonian coast. 135 In most cases, the attackers were equipped with heavy weapons and rocket launchers. According to the authorities, most of the at- tacks were planned in Nigeria or Bakassi by groups that did not have permanent bases in the mangroves, where living conditions can be extremely difficult. Arms were supplied by a network of traffickers with links to groups in the Niger Delta, but also allegedly by accomplices within the security services. 136
1. Danger off the Benin coast In early 2011, several years after maritime crime began to increase in the eastern gulf, pirate attacks peaked off the coast of Benin, Nigerias western neighbour. 137 Pirates attacked frequently for several months, attracted by the large number of tankers and able to exploit the weakness of Benins navy. At the end of 2010, dozens of vessels were moored off Cotonou; some were waiting for berths at Cotonou or La- gos, while others were there to change crew, pick up sup- plies, or carry out licit or illicit ship-to-ship transfers of refined petroleum products. 138 Some ship owners and crews
135 Joseph Vincent Ntuda Ebode, La nouvelle posture gopoli- tique du Cameroun et la lutte contre la piraterie dans le Golfe de Guine in Joseph Vincent Ntuda Ebode (dir.), Piraterie et terrorisme: de nouveaux dfis scuritaires en Afrique centrale (Yaound, 2009), pp. 43-81. 136 Crisis Group interview, Cameroon military intelligence of- ficer, Bakassi, 5-12 December 2011. 137 In 2010 there were no reported pirate attacks off Benin but in 2011 the IMB recorded twenty, all but one of which took place between March and September. See Piracy and armed robbery against ships, Report for the period 1 January 30 Sep- tember 2011 and Piracy and armed robbery against ships, Report for the period 1 January 31 December 2011, IMB. Illustrating the problem of underreporting, the head of Benins navy, Maxime Ahoyo, said there were 35 attacks off his countrys coast in 2011. Retour timide des navires, Xinhua, 4 March 2012. 138 The Central Bank of Nigeria stipulates that fuel importers only qualify for payment in foreign exchange if they load their products outside Nigerias territorial waters. Therefore, the The Gulf of Guinea: The New Danger Zone Crisis Group Africa Report N195, 12 December 2012 Page 16
thought Cotonou to be safer than Lagos. 139 The efforts of Nigerian navy and NIMASA to exercise tighter control on shipping in Nigerian waters also encouraged tankers in- volved in illicit fuel trading to stay in Benins waters to avoid scrutiny. Pirates almost always targeted tankers. 140 In all successful reported attacks pirates stole the ships cash, stores or crews belongings. In successful hijack operations, they forced the crew to sail away from the point of attack and stole fuel worth between $2 million and $6 million. 141
Academics and experts believe that, in view of the high rate of similar attacks off Nigeria before and during 2011, pirate attacks off Benin are most likely masterminded and executed principally by Nigerians. 142 They have the neces- sary intelligence network, boats, firepower and technical know-how to execute such hijacks and sell stolen fuel. 143
That pirates made telephone calls to Nigerian numbers from ships hijacked off Benin supports this theory. 144 However, the involvement of Benin nationals is very likely as pirates need to seek information from local fishermen, waterborne traders and fuel smugglers. The shared history, culture and language of Yoruba communities on both sides of the border encourage such collaboration. 145
motherships of foreign companies selling fuel to Nigerian im- porters moor off Cotonou or Lom and transfer fuel to Nigerian companies smaller tankers, which then transport it to Lagos. These ship-to-ship transfers are illegal since no port duties or levies are paid to any country. Report of the ad-hoc committee to verify and determine the actual subsidy requirements and monitor the implementation of the subsidy regime in Nigeria, Resolution No. (HR.1/2012), House of Representatives, 18 April 2012, p. 22. Available at www.africaintelligence.com /images/Nigeria_subsidies.pdf. 139 Crisis Group interviews, Benin navy and port authorities, Cotonou, February 2012. 140 All twenty attacks off Benin in 2011 reported to the IMB were on tankers. Piracy and armed robbery against ships, re- port for the period 1 January 31 December 2011, op. cit. 141 See Lloyds Market Association website: www.lmalloyds. com. Of the twenty attacks off Benin in 2011 reported to the IMB, nine involved pirates hijacking a tanker to an unknown location. Ibid. 142 Global pirate attacks down in first quarter, Nigeria risk grows, Reuters, 23 April 2012. Crisis Group telephone inter- view, expert from a security company, November 2012. 143 In 2011, attacks reported off Benin took place from 4 to 67 nautical miles (7.4 to 124km) offshore. Piracy and armed rob- bery against ships, report for the period 1 January 31 Decem- ber 2011, op. cit. 144 Crisis Group interview, IMB officer, London, 8 December 2011. 145 Crisis Group interview, academic, Lagos, 3 February 2012. During an attack on a tanker off Cotonou on 24 November 2009, the only one reported to the IMB that year, crew members cap- tured one of the attackers, an individual from Seme-Krake There were many opportunities for pirates to attack tank- ers off Benin due to the high frequency of ship-to-ship transfers. 146 For most of 2011, there was scarcely any dan- ger of being caught. The Nigerian navy did not have the right to operate in Benins waters while the Benin navys ability to respond was negligible. Its fleet consisted of two old patrol ships that were no longer working and two De- fender patrol boats just over eight-metres-long donated by the U.S. in early 2010. 147
The 2011 attacks off Benin and the subsequent rise in in- surance premiums for ship owners and charterers caused most maritime traffic previously operating there to moor off Lom instead, the capital of Togo. 148 Benin has re- ported a 70 per cent decrease in the number of ships ar- riving in Cotonou port since the beginning of 2012. 149
However, a series of problems in the management of the port that made using it more expensive and time consum- ing also explains why many container ships decided to dock at Lom. 150
Realising his navys inadequacy and the damage to the economy, Benins president, Yayi Boni, asked for help from Nigeria and the UN Security Council. 151 While visit- ing the U.S. in July and France in November 2011, he ap-
Plage, a village on the Benin-Nigeria border, born to a Nigerian father and a mother from Benin. Crisis Group interview, former Cotonou harbour master, Cotonou, 27 January 2012. 146 Of the twenty attacks off Benin in 2011 reported to the IMB, seven took place on tankers while they were carrying out ship- to-ship transfers and four on tankers preparing to do so. In an incident on 24 June 2011, the crew had removed the razor wire protecting the vessel to be able to transfer their cargo. Piracy and armed robbery against ships, report for the period 1 January 31 December 2011, op. cit. 147 Until late September 2011, the Benin navy tried to keep one of the two Defenders in the water at all times to deter pirate at- tacks. Crisis Group interview, Benin naval officer, Cotonou, 27 January 2012. 148 On 1 August 2011, the Joint War Committee, which com- prises representatives from the Lloyds Market Association and International Underwriting Association of Insurers, added Be- nins waters to its areas listed as vulnerable to hull war, strikes, terrorism and related perils. Nigerias waters were already on the list. This declaration enabled insurers to raise their premiums. See Hull war, strikes, terrorism and related perils listed are- as, Joint War Committee, JWLA18, 1 August 2011 accessible at www.lmalloyds.com. 149 UN says piracy off Africas west coast is increasing, be- coming more violent, The Washington Post, 28 February 2012. 150 Crisis Group interview, shipping company staff, Cotonou, 31 January 2012. 151 Benin collects about 100 billion CFA francs (about $218 million) or some 40 per cent of government revenues from port activities each year. Benin acquires three new coastal patrol craft, Defence Web, 3 April 2012. The Gulf of Guinea: The New Danger Zone Crisis Group Africa Report N195, 12 December 2012 Page 17
pealed to Barack Obama and Nicolas Sarkozy. 152 On 28 September 2011, Nigeria and Benin together launched Operation Prosperity to deter pirate attacks. Abuja quick- ly mobilised and was willing to invest heavily in the op- eration because piracy is as much a problem for Nigeria as it is for Benin and large quantities of goods are imported to Nigeria through Cotonou. 153 Operation Prosperity was initially intended to last six months, until the end of March 2012, but it has been extended indefinitely. Nigerian navy ships and helicopters created a relatively effective deterrent that has generated a drop in pirate at- tacks in Benins waters. 154 The joint operation also regu- lates shipping. For the first time, ships moor off Cotonou in designated areas, making it easier for the navies to pro- tect them. 155 Shipping companies can also pay the Benin navy for escorts and armed guards on board. Vessels found to be violating the law are handed over to the Benin navy, fined 25 million CFA francs (about $50,000) and escorted from Benin waters. 156
The operation is supposed to give Benin time to reinforce its own maritime security capabilities. The navy and air force are waiting for several boats and planes to be deliv- ered. 157 However, a lack of coordination and leadership
152 Crisis Group interview, U.S. diplomat, Cotonou, 30 January 2012. 153 About half the goods that transit through Cotonou Port go to Nigeria. Congestion in Lagos Port and higher import taxes on goods such as rice, cooking oil and fabrics intended to help local industry cause importers to use Cotonou Port. Much then goes through Niger to reduce taxes further. Crisis Group interviews, shipping company staff, Cotonou, 31 January 2012. 154 The operational zone runs from the fairway buoy off Lagos to Benins maritime border with Togo (85 nautical miles or about 157km) and extends 20 nautical miles (37km) out to sea. The Nigerian navy has assigned to the operation one war ship, three ballistic boats and two Augusta maritime helicopters fitted with cameras. NIMASA also provides two vessels. The Benin navy has devoted its two Defender patrol boats and one patrol ship, recently repaired. Crisis Group interviews, Nigerian defence attach, Benin navy chief, Cotonou, 1 February 2012. 155 Ships pay between 2,500 and 3,500 for fourteen days moorage. Crisis Group interview, shipping agent, Cotonou, 30 January 2012. 156 Half the money goes to the treasury, a quarter to the navy (enabling its recent office refurbishment) and a quarter to the civilian maritime administration. Crisis Group interview, head of the Benin navy, Cotonou, 1 February 2012. 157 At Frances encouragement, Benin bought three 32-metre- long patrol ships from French manufacturer OCEA. France will help train the navy on how to use its new boats. Benin has also requested a third Defender boat from the U.S. and bought two Grand Duc surveillance aircraft to increase maritime domain awareness. Crisis Group interviews, head of the Benin navy, Cotonou, 1 February 2012. See Benin acquires three new coastal patrol craft, Defence Web, 3 April 2012. among the navy and government departments hinders the creation of a cohesive security response. 158 There is no consensus on how to move forward and progress towards a national maritime security strategy has been slow. 159
2. Togo within range Piracy off the coast of Benin has boosted shipping in To- golese waters and business at Lom port, but piracy as well. 160 A spate of attempted attacks in September-October 2011 on many tankers, an attempted attack in February 2012 and a successful hijack of an oil tanker on 28 April show Togolese waters are not safe. 161 The government re- sponse has been more coordinated than in Benin with the navy and the transport ministry working together relatively smoothly. 162 But Togo is still sorely unprepared. 163 If the problem grew, it would be unable to cope. With pirates operating nearby in the waters off Nigeria and Benin and a healthy fuel smuggling network in the country, pirates
158 In September 2011, Benin created an inter-ministerial mari- time security committee but the military, transport ministry and port authorities still vie for the lead. Crisis Group telephone in- terview, military adviser, Brussels, 16 January 2012. 159 The operation continues because Benin is unable to exercise control of its territorial waters. The regions governments also plan to extend the operation to Togolese waters. Crisis Group email correspondence, Nigerian navy officer, 2 April 2012. 160 70 to 80 ships crowded the waters off Lom from August to September 2011. Operation Prosperity enabled some ships to return to Benin so that number had dropped to less than 50 by early 2012. Crisis Group interview, Lom harbour master, Lom, 25 January 2012. Togolese authorities have made the most of the new traffic. Since mid-2011, they charge ships mooring or carrying out ship-to-ship transfers offshore a fee of one million CFA francs (just under $2,000) each two weeks. Crisis Group interview, shipping agent, Lom, 25 January 2012. 161 The IMB says there were more attacks and attempted attacks off Togo between January and September 2012 than during the previous five years. Report for the period 1 January 30 Sep- tember, op. cit.; Togolese Navy thwarts pirate attack, De- fence Web, 13 February 2012; and Pirates hijack oil tanker off Togo, Defence Web, 4 May 2012. 162 Crisis Group telephone interview, military adviser, Brussels, 16 January 2012. 163 The navy is composed of several hundred men, has two 30 to 40-year-old patrol boats that rarely leave harbour and two Defender boats donated by the U.S. with which it carries out night patrols. It provides onboard armed guards if ship owners are willing to pay. The gendarmeries fifteen-man maritime bri- gade also has a small boat with which to patrol close to shore. Crisis Group interviews, head of the navy and maritime bri- gade, French defence attach, Lom, January 2012. The U.S. will provide another patrol boat slightly larger than the Defenders. Crisis Group interview, U.S. diplomat, Lom, 25 January 2012. The Gulf of Guinea: The New Danger Zone Crisis Group Africa Report N195, 12 December 2012 Page 18
could develop their connections and operations in Togo if it remained a weak spot. 164
3. Ghana at risk Pirates have not yet launched an attack off the coast of Ghana, Togos western neighbour, but the country has al- ready suffered collateral damage from piracy and its new- found oil resources puts it at risk. 165 A pirate attack dam- aged a pipeline in Togo and caused important power cuts in Ghana. 166 In late 2010, the Jubilee field, 106km off- shore near the maritime border with Cte dIvoire, came on-stream just three years after its discovery. Well aware that realising Ghanas oil potential is critical for his coun- trys development, the late president, John Atta Mills, had decided to beef up the navy and air force. 167 However, a dispute with Cte dIvoire over their shared maritime border already threatens to tie up the oil in lengthy nego- tiations, 168 and a lack of clarity remains on the share of responsibilities between military and civilian actors in- cluding the navy, police, defence ministry and Ghana Maritime Authority. 169
The development of Ghanas oil industry will attract man- power from throughout the region, including Nigeria, which will create security problems. The high concentration of Nigerians in the port city of Takoradi has already earned
164 Besides the overland traffic of fuel from Benin, smugglers also go out to tankers to buy fuel. They often come ashore at the uncontrolled shoreline near the Benin-Togo border. Crisis Group interviews, maritime administration, Lom, 23 January 2012; navy head, Lom, 23 January 2012; fisherman, Lom, 26 January 2012. 165 In 2011, the IMB reported two minor security incidents off Takoradi, one of Ghanas two main ports, in which thieves with machetes boarded and stole ships stores. Report for the period 1 January 31 December 2011, op. cit. 166 Pirates cut off the gas, Africa Energy Intelligence, 12 Sep- tember 2012. 167 On 20 February 2012, the navy commissioned four new Chinese-made fast patrol boats and it is waiting for two ex- German navy fast attack craft currently being refitted in Ger- many. The air force is buying three new surveillance aircraft and a new maritime police force is being created. To improve maritime domain awareness, the Ghana Maritime Authority (GMA) is setting up a Vessel Traffic Management Information System (VTMIS). Crisis Group interviews, GMA director, Ac- cra, 17 January 2012; diplomat, Accra, 18 January 2012. See Four new vessels for navy to secure countrys maritime bounda- ries, Ghana government press release, 21 February 2012. 168 Relations between Ghana and Cte dIvoire are strained since the Ivorian post-election crisis, during which Ghana did not support the elected president, Alassane Ouattara, in his battle with the deposed president Laurent Gbagbo. Oil: Nation eager to remain master of its own destiny, Financial Times, 14 De- cember 2011. 169 Crisis Group interview, diplomat, Accra, 18 January 2012. one area the nickname of Little Lagos and police inves- tigations have revealed organised crime networks linking the two countries. 170
Government and international oil companies also risk feeding a perception among local communities that the oil is bringing more harm than good. Antagonism is growing between fishermen who want to catch fish attracted to the light from oil rigs and the navy and oil companies intent on keeping them outside a one nautical mile (1.85km) ex- clusion zone. The navy has also been heavy-handed in en- forcing fishing regulations onshore. 171 These hostilities could cause the government to lose valuable allies in the fight against maritime crime fishermen can be the eyes and ears of limited law enforcement agencies and make locals more likely to collaborate with foreign criminals or take the initiative themselves. Avoiding these risks is the responsibility of government and foreign oil companies. 172
170 Ghana says seized guns and ammo headed to Nigeria, Reuters, 11 January 2012. 171 Crisis Group interviews, diplomat, Accra, 18 January 2012; academic at the Regional Maritime University, Accra, 2 March 2012. Commercial fishing in zones close to shore reserved for artisanal fishing is straining local livelihoods. Crisis Group in- terviews, international researchers, Accra, 20 March 2012. 172 Tullow Oil, the company part running the Jubilee field, is helping the Ghana Maritime Authority, which in turn is sup- porting the navy, including with human rights training. Crisis Group interview, Tullow security manager, Accra, 19 January 2012. The Gulf of Guinea: The New Danger Zone Crisis Group Africa Report N195, 12 December 2012 Page 19
V. REGIONAL COOPERATION AND INTERNATIONAL SUPPORT The regionalisation of piracy and maritime crime in the Gulf of Guinea highlights the need for a collective re- sponse. The vulnerability of the countries concerned is a consequence of weak national institutions, a lack of co- operation and the absence, until recently, of any involve- ment by the regional institutions responsible for peace and security. The nature of maritime crime in the Gulf of Guinea, which takes place in the territorial waters of coastal states, means they have to be at the forefront of the fight because external actors can only intervene in in- ternational waters. In this context, regional cooperation with international support is the best possible response. However, cooperation will not suffice without a clear and coherent direction. A. UNEQUAL REGIONAL COOPERATION Although the Economic Community of Central African States (ECCAS) has made some progress in terms of in- stitutional development and pooling of resources, the same cannot be said of the Economic Community of West African States (ECOWAS), where turf wars and a general distrust of Nigeria hold back the emergence of a clear and firm regional response to maritime insecurity. 1. The beginning of a strategy in Central Africa In accordance with its mandate to promote peace and se- curity, 173 ECCAS began work on formulating a security strategy for the Gulf of Guinea in October 2009. 174 Its strategy is based on two elements: first, the creation of a Regional Coordination Centre for the Maritime Security of Central Africa (CRESMAC), which is tasked with pool- ing the military and civilian skills of member countries and, second, the promotion of synergy between the Gulf of
173 The Constitutive Act of the African Union (AU) states that one of the organisations objectives is to coordinate and har- monize the policies between the existing and future Regional Economic Communities (RECs) for the gradual attainment of the objectives of the Union. The AU informally maintains the principle of subsidiarity by virtue of which it should give way to RECs when its expertise is not necessary. In Central Africa, ECCAS is supposed to contribute to the continental peace and security architecture, for example, by establishing one of five brigades in the AUs future peacekeeping force, under consid- eration since 2002. See article 3 of the Constitutive Act of the AU, 11 July 2001 and Crisis Group Report, Implementing Peace and Security Architecture (I): Central Africa, op. cit. 174 On the history of this sub-regional security initiative, see ibid, pp. 15-16. Guinea Commission and ECOWAS. 175 ECCASs strategy has six objectives: information sharing and management; joint surveillance of maritime space; harmonisation of ac- tions at sea; introduction of a regional maritime tax; ac- quisition of equipment for joint use; and the institutionali- sation of a periodic maritime conference. CRESMAC was established in Pointe-Noire in the Republic of Congo, and is funded with a regional maritime tax, the modalities of which remain to be decided, and with budgetary contribu- tions from member countries. Because of the immensity of the area that requires protec- tion, ECCAS has divided it into three geographical zones, A, B and D, stretching from Angola to the maritime borders of Nigeria and Cameroon. 176 Zone D, which covers Came- roon, Gabon, Equatorial Guinea and So Tom and Prn- cipe, is the most at risk from maritime insecurity. In May 2009, the main countries concerned signed an agreement on maritime surveillance in the zone. The agreement was fol- lowed by the beginning of joint patrols and the adoption of a plan called SECMAR1, followed by SECMAR2. According to ECCAS, the SECMAR plans facilitated an inventory of naval resources of member countries and the opening of a multinational coordination centre in Douala, responsible for liaison between the radar stations of par- ticipating countries and their marine operational centres. 177
In the long term, the SECMAR plans aim to open up ter- ritorial waters to the ships of participating countries (an- chorage, the right of hot pursuit and the use of arms against pirates) as well as to carry out joint operations involving international partners. 178
The security operations planned for zone D include coop- eration between navies, whose capacities nonetheless re- main limited. The four countries in zone D only have four patrol boats between them 179 while the Corymbe mission
175 See Protocole sur la gestion de la stratgie de scurisation des intrts vitaux en mer articule autour du COPAX et favo- risant une synergie avec la Commission du Golfe de Guine et la Communaut conomique des Etats de lAfrique occidentale, ECCAS, Kinshasa, 24 October 2009. 176 See Appendix C. 177 Crisis Group interview, expert on Gulf of Guinea, ECCAS, Libreville, 23 January 2012. 178 Operations called Obangame express organised by the U.S. Africa Command (AFRICOM) form part of its African Partnership Station (APS). Nigeria, France, Belgium and Spain also participate in these operations, which take the form of emer- gency simulation exercises: hostage taking, pursuit of arms or drug traffickers, securing oil platforms, etc. The latest exercise took place in February 2012. 179 Crisis Group interview, expert on Gulf of Guinea, ECCAS, Libreville, 23 January 2012. The Gulf of Guinea: The New Danger Zone Crisis Group Africa Report N195, 12 December 2012 Page 20
deployed by France alone has the same number of vessels. 180
Joint patrols, surveillance and the right of hot pursuit be- tween member states also require greater complementarity of naval and air management resources in the Gulf of Guinea and the creation of a regional training school. 2. West Africa plays catch-up ECOWAS is far behind its sister body, ECCAS, in foster- ing cooperation among its members on maritime affairs. The sudden rise of piracy off Benin in 2011 was a reality check; it proved maritime security is not just a problem for Nigeria but also for other member states, both coastal and landlocked. With support from partners such as the UK, the ECO- WAS Commission is taking its first steps to stimulate and harmonise its members maritime policies. 181 Its recently established maritime security office is drafting a strategy that highlights the need for member states to embrace a more integrated governance approach to maritime af- fairs. 182 Encouragingly it emphasises continuous infor- mation sharing and underlines the need to improve oil and gas governance as a means to prevent conflict. ECOWAS, actively trying to replicate the ECCAS model, also plans to delineate three operational zones with a coordination centre within each. Zone E, the pilot zone or laboratory zone, created in early September 2012 in Lom, includes Nigeria, Benin, Togo and Niger. 183 The plan envisages that countries in each zone will pool resources and take joint responsibility for their maritime security. 184
180 Since 1990, France has maintained a permanent presence in the Gulf of Guinea, within the framework of Mission Corymbe. The missions dual objective is to maintain cooperation with the regions countries, especially those with which Paris has defence agreements, and defend Frances economic interests (including its oil companies). Crisis Group interviews, French military adviser in the Gabon navy, Libreville, 21 January 2012. 181 The UK provided funding for an ECOWAS maritime security officer for two years. A Nigerian naval officer took up this po- sition in November 2011. The UK also funded an ECOWAS maritime security seminar in early 2012. Crisis Group interview, UK diplomat, Abuja, 9 February 2012. 182 The ten strategic areas are maritime awareness; maritime security; maritime safety; environmental issues; establishment of a maritime governance framework; maritime surveillance network; information network; maritime education, training and development; maritime research; and other maritime related is- sues. A draft ECOWAS integrated maritime strategy, version shared with Crisis Group mid-March 2012. 183 See Cte ouest-africaine: vers la cration dune zone pilote de scurit maritime, Afriquejet, 2 September 2012. 184 Crisis Group interview, ECOWAS maritime security officer, Abuja, 9 February 2012. Cooperation on maritime governance in West Africa is limited by some of the same factors that hold back broad- er regional economic and political integration. West Afri- can leaders are anxious to maintain their sovereign rights to govern within their territory. Weaker countries are wary that stronger neighbours, in particular Nigeria, the regional hegemon, would take advantage if they were to concede elements of national sovereignty for the sake of regional integration. The regions many conflicts, including those that have caused insecurity to spill across borders, high- light the need for regional integration in security matters but also provoke among states a knee-jerk reaction to dis- tance themselves from their neighbours problems for fear of contamination. Tense relations between some neighbouring coastal states hamper information sharing. The maritime border dispute between Ghana and Cte dIvoire makes cooperation on maritime governance and security particularly difficult. Coastal states, some colonised by France, others by Brit- ain, have different working languages, bureaucracies and cultures that hinder communication and trust between elites, even if the same tribal groups live on both sides of the border. Since navies often have more boats and there- fore greater capacity to act on the sea than civilian author- ities, they tend to take the lead on maritime affairs. Oper- ational problems between different communications sys- tems and a military culture of confidentiality also impede information exchange between coastal states. 185
ECOWAS should provide an institutional forum in which member states can find solutions to overcome some of these problems. However, it has limitations of its own. The ECOWAS Commission, as an intergovernmental secretariat, has very little leeway to shape its members maritime policies and practices. Its draft strategy is merely a set of guidelines and common principles from which members may take inspiration. 186 With bilateral and trilat- eral efforts already underway to stop the rise in piracy, heads of state may be worried that elevating the response to the regional level would divert the influx of extra inter- national support to ECOWAS. 187 Donors too, conscious that achieving consensus for a regional response will take
185 That some neighbouring navies are poorly prepared to com- municate with each other was illustrated in November 2011. The Ghanaian navy received a distress call from an oil barge on fire off the coast of Benin and wanted to inform the Togolese navy. It did not have the right telephone number and had to call the airport control tower in Lom, which informed the navy. Crisis Group interview, diplomat, Lom, 25 January 2012. 186 A draft ECOWAS integrated maritime strategy, op. cit. p. 3. 187 Crisis Group interview, ECOWAS maritime security officer, Abuja, 9 February 2012. The Gulf of Guinea: The New Danger Zone Crisis Group Africa Report N195, 12 December 2012 Page 21
a long time, doubt the organisations usefulness in the short or medium term. 188
B. NASCENT INTER-REGIONAL COOPERATION The institutional frameworks for inter-regional coopera- tion in maritime affairs have had difficulties to move be- yond agreements on paper. Aiming to ensure a cost-effec- tive shipping service high on safety and low on pollution, the Maritime Organisation for West and Central Africa (MOWCA) was set up in 1975 first as a Ministerial Conference of West and Central African States on Mari- time Transport (MINCONMAR), and then institutional- ised as such in 1999. 189 It has been working with the In- ternational Maritime Organisation (IMO) since 2003 to establish an integrated coast guard function network to facilitate regional coordination. But MOWCA has been unable to implement the project because it works primari- ly through transport ministers whose voices in maritime affairs are weaker than those of the militaries, and who fear that the creation of coast guards would diminish their own responsibilities and budgets. MOWCAs attempt to set up a Regional Maritime Development Bank in Nigeria has also stalled due to a lack of will among members to provide the start-up money. 190
Meanwhile, the Gulf of Guinea Commission (GGC) es- tablished in 1999 aims to harmonise the policies of mem- ber states on peace and security, the management of oil and natural resources, transport and the free circulation of people and goods. Its founding treaty focuses on open and latent conflicts over natural resources. 191 However, the Commission is struggling to be more than a declaration of intent. Its creation had been held up by the Bakassi dis- pute between Cameroon and Nigeria, and its institutional development has been blocked since then by political ten- sions. Cameroon was not very interested initially by an institution that it suspected would be used by Nigeria to resolve border conflicts in its favour. The other member countries feared the hegemony of Nigeria and Angola, powers likely to influence the sharing of resources to their advantage. Nigeria would like to play a leadership role in the Gulf of Guinea, but such ambitions come up
188 Crisis Group interviews, donor representatives, Accra, Lo- m, Cotonou, Lagos, Abuja, January and February 2012. 189 See MOWCAs website: www.amssa.net/framework/ MOWCA.aspx. 190 Regional maritime development bank headquarters wasting away, This Day, 18 February 2012. 191 Article 2 of the Treaty defines the Commission as a frame- work for cooperation and development as well as for pre- vention, management and resolution of conflicts relating to the economic and commercial exploitation on natural resources within territorial borders and in exclusive economic zones of member states. against the tacit opposition of other countries who fear this troublesome partner. However, the proximity of Nigeria to zone D has made cooperation between ECCAS and ECOWAS necessary, especially in cases where individuals commit crimes along the coasts of ECCAS countries and find refuge in Nigerian waters. As other countries distrust Nigeria, a political so- lution depends on making arrangements between the three regional institutions ECCAS, ECOWAS and the Gulf of Guinea Commission rather than between the states in zone D and Abuja. 192 In this respect, the Gulf of Guinea Commission has recently organised a conference on the issue and is supportive of a regional peace, security and development strategy. 193
The advantage of such a configuration would be to neu- tralise the hegemonic desires of a country by imposing community rules, but also to make agreements concluded between states that are members of the three institutions immediately applicable, notably with regard to the pursuit of criminals outside maritime borders. It also aims to de- fine the modalities for extradition as well as facilitating judicial procedures against criminals, whatever their na- tionality. However, until now, discussions between ECO- WAS and ECCAS have not resulted in an agreement on a legal and operational framework for cooperation. C. INTERNATIONAL SUPPORT: IN SEARCH OF COORDINATION Given the strategic interests of both rich and developing countries in the Gulf of Guinea, the recent deterioration in maritime security has provoked a rapid increase in sup- port from foreign partners. Through a plethora of initia- tives, traditional donors, the U.S., UK and France in par- ticular, and emerging ones, including China and Brazil, have demonstrated their will to help local powers counter the threat of violent crime at sea. 194 But not all encourage the right approach to the problem and a lack of coordina- tion undermines good intentions. Support often comes in the form of capacity building for naval forces, including training, equipment and boats to boost their maritime domain awareness and capacity to deter attacks and respond rapidly. Nigeria refused to host a base for the U.S.s Africa Command (AFRICOM), but
192 Which has already taken part in Obangame express exer- cises. 193 Luanda declaration on peace and security in the Gulf of Guinea, Luanda, 29 November 2012. 194 China has funded the purchase of boats while Brazil was in- volved in the multinational training exercise, Obangame Ex- press 2012, organised by the U.S. in Calabar, Nigeria in Febru- ary 2012. The Gulf of Guinea: The New Danger Zone Crisis Group Africa Report N195, 12 December 2012 Page 22
the U.S. navy regularly visits the country to train Nigerian counterparts through its Africa Partnership Station pro- gram. Since 2007, the U.S. has been improving the coun- trys Regional Maritime Awareness Capability (RMAC) by helping to set up radar, radio equipment and Automated Identification Systems (AIS) at several sites along the coast. The U.S. has also donated at least five boats, most recently the former U.S. Coast Guard Cutter Chase, commissioned as NNS Thunder in February 2012. 195 It also supports mari- time security exercises, like for example the recent Opera- tion Hot Pursuit involving the navies of Togo and Benin. 196
France supports its former colonies bilaterally, including through the work of advisers to military chiefs. In mid- 2011 it also began a three-year project to help Benin, To- go and Ghana draw up national maritime security strate- gies, train civilians and armies and improve coordination between the three neighbours. Called ASECMAR (Support for Maritime Security in the Gulf of Guinea), the project was later enlarged to include Nigeria, Cte dIvoire and Guinea. 197 It seeks to strengthen state sovereignty by im- proving the capacities of their internal security administra- tion and their maritime capacities by promoting regional coordination. 198
The UK, in addition to bilateral support, is backing the Oil Companies International Marine Forum (OCIMF), an association of oil companies that ship hydrocarbons, in its efforts to set up a Maritime Trade Information Sharing Centre (MTISC) in Ghana. The centre collects and dis- seminates information on security incidents in the whole of the Gulf of Guinea via a secure website. The public- private partnership model is based on experience of man- aging shipping in the waters off Somalia. 199 In September 2011, China gave Benin 4 million for the purchase of a patrol boat. 200
The U.S., UK and France have all tried to encourage stronger cooperation among Gulf of Guinea states. The U.S. has organised two multinational naval training exer- cises called Obangame Express: one at Douala, Came- roon in March 2011, another at Calabar, Nigeria in Feb-
195 Crisis Group interviews, U.S. diplomats and defence attach, Lagos and Abuja, February 2012. 196 Les bases marines du Togo et du Bnin se prparent faire face la piraterie dans le golfe de Guine, Afriquinfos, 19 Sep- tember 2012. 197 France is putting 800,000 into the project. Crisis Group in- terview, French defence attach, Lom, 24 January 2012. 198 Crisis Group interview, official responsible for coordinating the fight against piracy, French foreign ministry, Paris, 9 May 2012. 199 Crisis Group interview, OCIMF staff, London, 20 December 2011. 200 Nigerian, Benin navies capture pirates; to receive gunboats, Defence Web, 17 November 2011. ruary 2012. U.S. and French warships stationed in the Gulf of Guinea to train local navies also deter piracy and, on some occasions, offer assistance to ships attacked by pirates. 201
Discussions at the UN Security Council and the Novem- ber 2011 report of a UN assessment mission to the region have helped draw attention to the problem. 202 The UN plans to provide technical support to coastal states and shipping companies through the IMO and the UN Office on Drugs and Crime (UNODC). It also plans to help mo- bilise resources and organise a summit at which heads of all Gulf of Guinea states are to agree on a comprehensive strategy to counter maritime insecurity. 203 The EU, in ad- dition to commissioning many studies on Gulf of Guinea piracy, also leads a Port Cooperation Programme (SEA- COP) in several West African countries, which aims to curb drug trafficking from Latin America to Europe by strengthening national and regional maritime control. 204
With a variety of donors working on multiple projects at national and regional levels, a lack of communication and coordination among them limits their impact. It risks du- plicating efforts, concentrating too much on some ele- ments and causing incoherence in beneficiary countries approaches to maritime security. In order to benefit as much as possible from donors heightened interest, coastal states
201 On 13 March 2012, a French warship off Lagos received a broadcast from the IMB that armed pirates had attacked a bulk cargo ship 110 nautical miles (about 204km) off Lagos and went to help. On arrival the French found the pirates had already left but escorted the ship to Lagos port. On 22 March 2012, a U.S. warship offered assistance to a tanker being chased by pi- rates about 100 nautical miles (about 185km) south west of Bonny Island, Nigeria. www.icc-ccs.org. 202 In October 2011, while Nigeria held the presidency of the UN Security Council, President of Benin Boni Yayi wrote let- ters to all members to ensure the smooth passing of resolution 2018 on piracy in the Gulf of Guinea. The Secretary-General sent an assessment mission to the region in November 2011 to examine the piracy threat. In late February 2012, the Security Council under the Togolese presidency met again on the issue and put out a second resolution. See Security Council Resolu- tion 2018, S/RES/2018, 31 October 2011; Report of the United Nations assessment mission on piracy in the Gulf of Guinea (7 to 24 November 2011), S/2012/45, 19 January 2012; and Se- curity Council Resolution 2039, S/RES/2039, 29 February 2012. 203 Report of the United Nations assessment mission on piracy in the Gulf of Guinea (7 to 24 November 2011), S/2012/45, 19 January 2012, p. 9. 204 Crisis Group telephone interview, EU military official, 16 January 2012. See Long-term responses to global security threats, European Commission, 2011, pp. 12-13. The Gulf of Guinea: The New Danger Zone Crisis Group Africa Report N195, 12 December 2012 Page 23
do not divulge other sources of support. Foreign partners recognise their efforts could be better coordinated. 205
Support from multiple international actors makes it harder to ensure local ownership of strategies and initiatives to increase maritime security. 206 This is more a problem in smaller countries which have less experience at sea. The prospect of substantial donor support is also causing de- partments in cash-strapped governments to compete for resources, 207 which hinders inter-agency cooperation, gives external support the form of organised chaos and under- mines work toward a multi-sectoral approach to maritime governance and security. It is clearly necessary to build capacity among the regions underdeveloped navies and maritime police forces. But overemphasis on defence treats piracy purely as a security problem rather than a form of organised crime and a symp- tom of deeper governance problems onshore, namely short- comings in the distribution of resources, economic inequity and corruption. Oil and gas companies generally respond to piracy by strengthening their defences, which also en- courages a narrow, security-minded approach.
205 Some partners are unaware of what the others are doing. Crisis Group interviews, British, French and U.S. diplomats, Accra, Lom, Cotonou, Lagos, Abuja, January-February 2012. 206 Nigeria does not want a situation like that in the Gulf of Aden in which Western powers plan and execute the security response. Crisis Group interview, Nigerian delegation to the UN, New York, 28 November 2011. 207 Crisis Group interviews, donor representatives, Accra, Lom, Cotonou, Lagos, Abuja, January-February 2012. VI. MOVING BEYOND A PURELY SECURITY-BASED APPROACH As demonstrated by the general consensus on the need to organise a regional summit on the problem, the regions states clearly consider the fight against piracy as a priority, but this requires addressing the root causes of the violence. Long-term policies are indispensable in order to improve economic governance of industries that fully or partly take place at sea, boost economic development along the coast and strengthen maritime law enforcement. Efforts must focus on Nigeria, the epicentre of maritime violence, and especially on the Niger Delta, where poverty, corruption and crime create a fertile ground for piracy. Violence in the Gulf of Guinea has reached todays wor- rying levels because affected countries have neglected or ignored their maritime domains. They must no longer re- strict their approach to land and take responsibility for all that takes place within the 200 nautical mile limit of their exclusive economic zones (EEZs). Heads of state should take the lead in launching a strate- gic, multi-sectoral and comprehensive response in their countries that addresses both the root causes and manifes- tations of maritime crime. They should set up and preside over inter-ministerial maritime affairs committees capable of developing and implementing national maritime security strategies. The committee should at a minimum include ministers of social affairs, foreign affairs, defence, interior, transport, economy, labour, environment, fishing and nat- ural resources and ensure that relevant agencies and depart- ments coordinate fully at the policy and operational levels. To tackle piracy, Gulf of Guinea states need to see it not just as a security problem but as a form of transnational or- ganised crime. They must work with the private sector to mitigate the risk to maritime traffic and proactively inves- tigate and prosecute pirate gangs. The crimes transnational nature demands close bilateral, regional and inter-regional cooperation. Regional maritime security strategies should guide national actors and provide the basis for coordinated support by the international community. A. THE NEED FOR LONG-TERM REFORMS Violence in the Gulf of Guinea is a symptom of profound and complex governance problems. The states of the re- gion have failed to manage the industries that partly or fully operate at sea, guarantee the socio-economic welfare of coastal communities or enforce the law in territorial or international waters. These failures have encouraged and created opportunities for pirates. To address the root causes therefore requires long-term policies that are closely re- The Gulf of Guinea: The New Danger Zone Crisis Group Africa Report N195, 12 December 2012 Page 24
lated to each other: economic governance, development and law enforcement at sea. 1. Improving economic governance Poor economic governance of the hydrocarbons and ship- ping industries has allowed the development of illegal offshore trade in crude oil and refined petroleum. It has also enabled the elites to grow rich, often through corrup- tion, while the majority remain poor. Such inequality is a major cause of crime along the coast and, according to the Gulf of Guinea Commission, there is a link between oil trafficking and the rise of violent pirate attacks in the region. 208 A core part of gulf states maritime security strategies should be focused on eliminating opportunities for corruption and ensuring that proceeds benefit those most in need. Nigeria, where most of the stolen oil and fuel comes from, is at the heart of the problem, but regu- lations should also be tightened in other producer and consumer countries to close down opportunities for sell- ing and refining stolen goods. Following the example of Nigeria, which is trying to clean up its oil industry, the other countries should form a commission of inquiry into their national oil market and introduce controls over the provenance of fuel in order to identify smuggling networks and dishonest economic actors. Nigerias Economic and Financial Crimes Commission (EFCC) 209 has begun an overhaul of the distribution sector and made arrests, but the extent of corruption and misman- agement in the energy sector demands a complete over- haul of the sector. The National Assembly should finalise and pass the Petroleum Industry Bill (PIB) and implement recommendations in KPMGs 2010 audit of the Nigerian National Petroleum Corporation (NNPC). 210 Given Nige- rians strong resistance to an eventual subsidy removal, the government should do this gradually and accompany the move with a clearly communicated strategy to reinvest sav- ings in popular and visible development projects. 2. Boosting development on the coast Poverty and the lack of a viable livelihood push those liv- ing in coastal communities to turn to crime. The need is most urgent in the Niger Delta where a criminal culture is
208 Luanda declaration on peace and security in the Gulf of Guinea, op. cit., article 14, p. 3. 209 For more information on the commission, see www.efcc nigeria.org. 210 The government presented the Petroleum Industry Bill (PIB) to the National Assembly in 2008. It is designed to replace out- dated legislation, much of which dates from the 1960s and 1970s, and comprehensively reform the oil sector. Vested interests in the Nigerian oil sector threatened by the bill have delayed its passage. most engrained, but all coastal states need to take steps to improve living standards and create job opportunities along the shore. This means investing in services that enable eco- nomic growth such as roads, electricity, water, health and education. Coastal states should ensure that the strength- ening of the maritime domain is a central tenet of their de- velopment plans in order to benefit both coastal communi- ties directly and state revenues. The potential of this sector, as in much of Africa, remains largely untapped. 211
Gulf of Guinea states should encourage artisanal and commercial fishing. Artisanal fishing provides employ- ment for thousands along the coast and, as the main source of protein for coastal communities, plays a crucial role in ensuring food security. With declining fish stocks and oil and gas exploration and production limiting access in some areas, governments need to ensure fishing benefits the poorest and most vulnerable, notably by preventing local and foreign commercial fishers from encroaching on zones close to shore set aside for artisanal fishing. In addition, governments should work to build trust and communication between fishery authorities and community stakeholders to better understand the challenges the latter face and im- plement reforms to overcome them. 212 To support commer- cial fishing for export, states should encourage and support local companies in the fish processing industry to achieve international standards thereby increasing export profits. Coastal states and international oil and gas companies have a shared responsibility to guarantee natural resource extraction directly benefits local communities through job creation, infrastructure projects and social welfare. In the Niger Delta, creating jobs is the only way to ensure for- mer militants who have benefited from vocational train- ing in the amnesty scheme do not return to crime. The amnesty program should work with the oil and gas indus- try to create apprenticeships. State governments and oil companies should provide entrepreneurial training for former militants and other jobless youth. 3. Strengthening maritime law enforcement Weak law enforcement in the Gulf of Guinea has allowed maritime crime to proliferate. Trafficking in oil, petrole- um products, arms, drugs and people and illegal fishing create a favourable environment for violent crime. To curtail these activities, gulf states maritime security strate-
211 See Mthuli Ncube and Michael Lyon Baker, Beyond pirates and drugs: Unlocking Africas maritime potential and economic development, Africa Security Review, vol. 20, no.1 (March 2011), pp. 60-69. 212 For an in-depth case study of the challenges involved in fisheries management and appropriate policy responses in west- ern Ghana, see Finegold et al., Western region fisheries sector review, World Fish Center, December 2010. The Gulf of Guinea: The New Danger Zone Crisis Group Africa Report N195, 12 December 2012 Page 25
gies should prioritise the strengthening and professionalisa- tion of naval forces, maritime law enforcement bodies, port authorities and maritime administration agencies. In part- nership with donors, states should build capacity in these organs through transparent recruitment, training (including at regional maritime universities in Accra and Abidjan) and the purchase of up-to-date and technologically advanced tools. The heads of all such bodies should enforce a zero- tolerance policy to corruption. In Nigeria, EFCC should create a special unit dedicated to investigating corruption in the maritime sector. The ship- ping industry, civil society and foreign partners should also closely scrutinise the alleged growing role played by security companies as they take on duties assisting the navy and NIMASA. In order to extend the rule of law onto the sea, all states need to develop comprehensive maritime domain aware- ness. They need to enhance monitoring in their exclusive economic zones to detect faster illicit activities and secu- rity risks. Each state should prioritise developing its own national surveillance system so that navies, maritime po- lice, port authorities and maritime administration agen- cies can provide a full picture of activity on the countrys waters. In Nigeria, the navy and PICOMMS should merge their parallel surveillance systems. Naval staff and civilians should be trained in the use and upkeep of this equipment and analysis of the information it provides. Operators should be trained to identify possible pirate boats by their type and behaviour. 213 The air force and navy should be involved in information sharing. To suppress illegal fuel trading, gulf states should insist all tankers in their exclusive economic zones prove the legal provenance of their cargo and refuel from accredited suppliers. The Nigerian government should also pursue work with major oil companies to investigate the possibility of fingerprinting oil, enabling companies and authorities to identify and trace stolen oil. 214
To limit the opportunities for pirates to conduct recon- naissance operations, port authorities and maritime agen- cies should carefully control the passage of small boats shuttling between shore and ships to deliver crews, equip-
213 By studying normal shipping and fishing patterns, authorities can better identify suspicious behaviour. Crisis Group inter- view, maritime expert, Regional Maritime University, Accra, 2 March 2012. 214 See the Legal Oil website (www.legaloil.com). Research institutes and major oil companies have worked on their own methods of identifying and tracing crude oil but to date none has proven sufficiently reliable to use on a large scale. Judith Burdin Asuni, Blood oil in the Niger Delta, Special Report 229, U.S. Institute for Peace, August 2009, pp. 8-9. ment or sell goods. To reduce incentives and opportunities for piracy and safeguard the livelihoods of fishing commu- nities, the navies and civilian administrations of gulf states as well as international partners should increase efforts to eliminate illegal fishing. This means using advanced tech- nology and the help of artisanal fishermen to locate and ap- prehend illegal foreign fishing vessels. Perpetrators should be tried in the countries where they are caught or sent for prosecution in their country of origin. B. FIGHTING PIRACY ON LAND AND SEA The international communitys experience in fighting pi- racy off the coast of Somalia illustrates that preventing pirates from attacking commercial vessels is only part of the solution. 215 Reducing piracy requires dissuading and arresting the organised criminal groups that finance, or- chestrate and execute attacks. This means solid intelligence and police work on land and sea. 216 The Gulf of Guinea states are in a better position than Somalia to work on their security and the onus is on them to play a leading role in the fight against piracy. 1. Dissuading pirates: A joint task of state and private actors The most urgent challenge for coastal states is mitigating the risk of pirate attacks so that commercial traffic can continue to operate. To dissuade attacks, state and private actors (oil, shipping and fishing companies) need to work together and in good intelligence. The former must pro- vide permanent surveillance of their territorial waters and the latter must adopt defence systems for their vessels. Operational surveillance Naval forces should protect commercial traffic as best as they can and deter attacks by means of a visible presence on the water and a rapid response to attacks when they happen. They should maintain patrols in mooring zones and territorial waters especially at night. Given that pirate attacks are happening farther and farther out, those navies with capable ships should also patrol in international wa- ters. Regular surveillance flights should also be used to
215 See Appendix E. 216 The naval force protecting the Gulf of Aden recently decided to strike pirate strongholds on the shore. EU navy, helicopters strike pirate supply center, Associated Press, 15 May 2012. The president of Djibouti emphasised that the roots of piracy are on land: La piraterie maritime au large de la Somalie ne peut tre combattue qu partir de la terre et cest la seule faon dradiquer cette menace globale, quoted in Hassan Djama Farah, Djibouti : un hub anti-piraterie et un acteur principal de la mdiation dans la crise somalienne, Diplomatie, no. 56 (May-June 2012), p. 45. The Gulf of Guinea: The New Danger Zone Crisis Group Africa Report N195, 12 December 2012 Page 26
deter pirates. Navies and maritime police forces should prepare to respond rapidly when attacks are reported. This means ensuring that officers are listening to the dis- tress channel 24 hours a day and that emergency response procedures are well-practised. Navies should keep fast launches ready at all times to respond to attacks close to shore. Commercial traffic can help state forces by communi- cating frequently with the local navy and port authorities by radio and by ensuring their Automated Identification System (AIS) is turned on at all times. This will enable authorities on shore to monitor their passage. They should report all attacks, security incidents and sightings of sus- picious craft to local navies, national maritime authorities and the IMB piracy reporting centre. This is the only way coastal states and the international community can under- stand the full extent of the security problem and mount an appropriate response. Dissuasive measures by private companies Ship owners should take measures to defend their ships against attacks. Best practices identified by the shipping industry include 24-hour watch keeping, on-deck lighting, razor wire around the ship and a fortified safe room or citadel to which crew can retreat in case pirates manage to board. Ships coming to port or anchorage should re- main at least 50 nautical miles (93km) offshore until a pi- lot and berth are available. The IMO in consultation with the shipping industry and naval forces should agree on best practices and a code of conduct tailored to the threats in the Gulf of Guinea. In the meantime, industry should refer to the Best Management Practices 4 (BMP 4) that advise how to avoid, deter or delay attacks off the coast of Somalia. 217
Seafarers should not carry arms themselves but where possible, as in Benin and Togo, ship owners should pay armed naval personnel to keep guard on board. Despite the risk of starting an arms race with pirates and private security companies, the U.S. and NATO have cited an in- crease in the use of privately contracted armed guards by ships transiting the Gulf of Aden as a critical factor in the decrease of successful hijacks in the region in 2011. 218
The UK has also recently reversed its policy to allow UK flagged ships off the coast of Somalia to carry armed
217 This manual is available at www.imo.org. 218 US sees armed guards as deterrents to EA piracy, The East African, 31 March 2012. Guards, razor wire help keep Somali pirates at bay NATO, Reuters, 3 April 2012. guards. 219 The IMO takes no position but leaves the deci- sion to flag states in consultation with ship owners. 220
The perceived success of private armed guards off the Horn of Africa is likely to encourage coastal states in the Gulf of Guinea and ship owners, charterers and captains operating in the region to seriously contemplate this op- tion. 221 It should nonetheless remain a last resort because of the risk that more arms at sea will escalate violence and in light of the questionable legality of ships carrying armed personnel. To mitigate the risk, the IMO in consultation with the shipping and maritime security industry should set up an international accreditation process through which private security companies can prove their experience and reliability. 222
2. Arresting pirates In addition to protecting maritime traffic, gulf states should proactively seek to apprehend and imprison those involved in piracy. This includes small groups who carry out opportunistic raids close to shore as well as transna- tional organised criminal networks capable of sophisticat- ed hijack operations. Navies, maritime police, other law enforcement bodies and the judicial system must establish smooth working relationships to imprison perpetrators. The Somali experience has shown the crucial role of co- ordination between states and between military actors and the oil industry, but also the importance of information sharing between all actors. Gulf states should consider setting up a dedicated multi-service anti-piracy task force including naval intelligence and the police. Recognising that pirates move freely across borders, state authorities must cooperate.
219 On 30 October 2011, the UK said it would change its policy of forbidding UK flagged ships from carrying private armed guards in the high-risk area off Somalia and on 6 December 2011 the department for transport issued guidance for doing so. Change in UK policy on employing armed guards to protect against Somali piracy, press release, UK Department for Transport, 6 December 2011. 220 See Piracy and armed robbery against ships in waters off the coast of Somalia, IMO, Resolution A.1044 (27), 20 December 2011, p. 5. 221 Nigeria is taking steps to domesticate the necessary interna- tional laws to allow the carriage of armed guards in its waters. FG moves to improve maritime security, Daily Times, 13 April 2012. 222 The UK is setting up its own national accreditation system for UK-based maritime security companies and those working on UK flagged ships. Several maritime security industry asso- ciations are also developing their own schemes. However, an international system endorsed by the IMO is necessary to set a universally recognised standard. Crisis Group email correspond- ence, UK Foreign Office expert, 14 May 2012. The Gulf of Guinea: The New Danger Zone Crisis Group Africa Report N195, 12 December 2012 Page 27
Investigations on land and sea should aim to discover pi- rates land bases, stores of boats, arms and means of com- munication and identify sources of equipment, finances and intelligence. In order to collect as much information as possible, investigators should establish strong relations with all maritime operators including oil, shipping and fishing companies, shipping agents, maritime security com- panies and in particular artisanal fishermen. The latter live and work in coastal communities and are well placed to provide valuable information on criminal activities. In the Niger Delta, security forces and law enforcement agencies should work to break up both pirate gangs and organised criminal networks that bunker oil from pipe- lines for local refining or sale offshore. Profits from this business feed the deltas criminal economy. The Joint Task Forces Operation Pulo Shield should work closely with the Economic and Financial Crimes Commission to expose the masterminds and financers behind the bunkering and piracy syndicates. 223
The successful prosecution and imprisonment of arrested pirates is essential to deter others. Coastal states should accede to all necessary international legal instruments that outlaw piracy, including the 1982 UN Convention on the Law of the Sea (UNCLOS) and the 2005 Protocols to the Convention for the Suppression of Unlawful Acts against the Safety of Maritime Navigation. They should integrate these conventions into national law. It is also crucial that they have the judicial capacity needed to try suspected pi- rates. 224 They should ask the IMO and international mari- time law experts for assistance in updating their anti-piracy legislation. Coastal states should also ensure that naval forces, law enforcement agencies and civilian agencies are kept abreast of new legislation and enforce it accordingly. C. THE NEED FOR EFFECTIVE AND EFFICIENT COOPERATION Strengthening maritime cooperation in the Gulf of Guinea includes three main objectives: quickly operationalise co- operation within regional institutions (ECCAS and ECO- WAS), develop genuine inter-regional synergy between the two organisations and achieve more effective coordina- tion of international support. The international conference on piracy in the region, for which preparations are under-
223 For more detailed discussion on how to solve the deltas many problems, see Crisis Group Africa reports listed in footnote 4. 224 Under the UN Convention on the Law of the Sea (UN- CLOS), any state can assert jurisdiction to try suspected pirates in their courts but it must have up-to-date legislation consistent with international law. See Piracy off the coast of Somalia, UK House of Commons Foreign Affairs Committee, 5 January 2012, p. 46. way, should be held as soon as possible in the presence of the heads of state concerned. 1. Making the region take responsibility for its own security The transnational nature of maritime crime in the Gulf of Guinea makes bilateral, regional and inter-regional coop- eration essential components of a comprehensive response. To ensure close working relationships between naval forces, law enforcement bodies and civilian agencies between di- rect neighbours, heads of state should hold bilateral talks and sign cooperation agreements. This demonstration of po- litical will at the highest level is critical to ensure smooth information sharing at the operational level. Bilateral talks between heads of state are also necessary to achieve agree- ment on sensitive matters that bear on state sovereignty such as the right to pursue criminals into the waters of neigh- bouring states and extradition agreements. ECCAS and ECOWAS should lead on regional and inter- regional collaboration. The Gulf of Guinea Commission is neither effective nor sufficiently inclusive. 225 The initia- tive of MOWCA and the IMO to set up an integrated coast guard network has come up against seemingly insurmount- able obstacles. However, ECCAS and ECOWAS should espouse MOWCAs goals and seek to achieve them through their own regional strategies. 226
As ECCAS and ECOWAS are political forums in which heads of state are the highest authority, they can ensure maritime security is elevated to the political level. By bringing together all member states affected by maritime violence, both coastal and landlocked, they provide an opportunity for members to agree on a common vision for fighting maritime crime that should lead to concrete pro- jects and coordinated security efforts for high-risk zones. Regional cooperation is also necessary for countries of varying capacities to pool resources. 227
225 The Gulf of Guinea Commission does not include Benin and Togo, both of which have witnessed pirate attacks in their waters. The headquarters of the commission is located in Luanda, which is why it is seen as being under Angolas influence. 226 The goals of the integrated coastguard function network in- clude the enhancement of maritime safety, security, environ- mental protection, law enforcement and economic development. Report of IMO/MOWCA meeting to progress the implementa- tion of an integrated coast guard function network for West and Central African countries, Accra, Ghana, 13-17 December 2010, IMO, January 2011. 227 In South East Asia, the Regional Cooperation Agreement on Combating Piracy and Armed Robbery against Ships in Asia (ReCAAP) has proved critical in allowing stronger states to help less equipped states with training, equipment, technology and The Gulf of Guinea: The New Danger Zone Crisis Group Africa Report N195, 12 December 2012 Page 28
Defining a common vision The two regional organisations should prioritise the much anticipated summit of Gulf of Guinea heads of state. Be- fore the summit, which is currently being prepared, member states of ECOWAS and ECCAS should agree on two key documents to be signed by heads of state: the Memoran- dum of Understanding between ECCAS and ECOWAS on Maritime Security in the Central and Western Maritime Region and the Multilateral Agreement on Cooperation to Suppress Illicit Maritime Activities in West and Central Africa. 228
ECOWAS should quickly finalise its maritime strategy, which involves the demarcation of operational zones and a maritime security coordination centre in West Africa. As with ECCAS, this centre should improve knowledge of the maritime domain in the western part of the Gulf of Guinea. With the Gulf of Guinea Commission, the two regional organisations should also start a joint discussion on fund- ing regional maritime security. In Central Africa, the countries in zone D, which are all oil producers, should create a mechanism to fund the SECMAR plan in addi- tion to the budgetary contribution of states, the payment of which is sometimes irregular. 229 An alternative solution could be the creation of a tax on hydrocarbon exports or a regional maritime tax to be used to durably fund joint se- curity operations at sea. This solution, which has already been advocated by ECCAS countries, should be quickly implemented in order to make SECMAR plan operational; and ECOWAS could also consider it. Coordinating security efforts by using special zones Operation Prosperity, while not preventing all pirate at- tacks, has improved security in Benins waters. Given the weakness of Benins and Togos navies and recent attacks off Lom, the operation should be extended to include Togolese waters after getting some feedback and pro- longed until the countries navies are able to take over.
reducing once high levels of piracy. Crisis Group interview, IMB official, London, 8 December 2011. 228 ECCAS and ECOWAS delegations discussed these two doc- uments at the two joint meetings in Germany in July 2011 and in Benin at the end of March 2012. At the latter, they decided to continue internal consultations before starting the adoption process. Maritime Safety and Security in West and Central Africa, Executive Summary, summary of issues raised at the ECCAS-ECOWAS Maritime Safety and Security seminar on 27-29 March 2012 in Cotonou, Benin, Africa Center for Strategic Studies, April 2012. 229 For more on the funding problems of ECCAS, see Crisis Group Report, Implementing Peace and Security Architecture (I): Central Africa, op. cit., p. 13. Similarly, Nigeria and Cameroon should strengthen with- out delay security and law enforcement in their border zone. The recent commitments made during discussions of the joint Cameroon-Nigeria commissions were im- portant stages, but must be translated into action. In July 2011, the two countries agreed to definitively resolve the issue of the demarcation of their land and maritime bor- ders and strengthen cooperation against armed groups and criminal networks. Pooling resources CEEACS SECMAR plans, for example, should be ac- companied by the creation of a regional maritime security school in order to improve and pool the knowledge and intelligence of the seas. In time, this school, which should be located in Pointe-Noire to promote maximum coopera- tion with CRESMAC, could welcome nationals from all Gulf of Guinea countries.
In order to improve surveillance and the prompt dissemi- nation of security information to interested parties, ECCAS and ECOWAS states should seriously consider adopting the Maritime Trade Information Sharing Centre (MTISC), to be set up in Ghana, as an inter-regional information shar- ing centre. It uses a model of collecting information from state and industry sources that has proved successful off the coast of Somalia. 2. Coordinating international support The Gulf of Guinea states cannot overcome maritime se- curity challenges without the support of international partners. To render that support most effective and long- lasting, partners should help them address the root causes of violence at sea. Donors should therefore not restrict themselves to a purely security-based approach but should broaden their cooperation strategies with gulf states to in- clude economic governance, development, law enforcement and security, while involving all concerned ministries and agencies. States and donors should collectively identify capacity building needs and distribute tasks according to donors willingness and areas of expertise. In addressing the root causes of maritime crime, partners should concentrate development efforts along the coast, particularly by supporting job creation in the Niger Delta. They should demand greater transparency in the oil and gas industry. The UK and U.S. in particular should press the Nigerian government to pass the Petroleum Industry Bill (PIB) as a foundation for sector-wide reform and in- vest more in the countrys refineries. In addition, donors should cooperate with the regions countries that are inves- tigating economic operators whose companies and assets are in the northern hemisphere. The Gulf of Guinea: The New Danger Zone Crisis Group Africa Report N195, 12 December 2012 Page 29
In supporting a comprehensive regional response to piracy, partners should impress upon Gulf of Guinea states that piracy is a form of organised crime and, therefore, will not be solved simply by increasing states military presence at sea. Consequently, their maritime security support pro- grams should be designed like the ASECMAR project, and include assistance with training and equipment for all agen- cies responsible for regulating and maintaining order at sea (maritime administration agencies, port authorities, navies, maritime police forces, the courts). The UNODC and INTERPOL should help gulf states, and especially Nigeria, in their fight against transnational organised crime networks. In particular, they should ad- vise and assist with tracking financial flows. INTERPOLs Maritime Piracy Task Force, which already works on evi- dence collection, data exchange and capacity building to bring Somali pirates to justice, should expand its operations to the Gulf of Guinea. To ensure that all partners share this same vision, speak with a unified voice and provide coordinated support, they should form multinational maritime affairs commit- tees in each country and, in discussion with host states, decide how to make their efforts complementary in order to avoid duplication and competing offers of materials and training. VII. CONCLUSION Each new discovery of oil reserves in the Gulf of Guinea increases its geostrategic importance. But until now coun- tries in the region and international oil companies have paid no attention to the effect poor governance of the business is having on the social and economic environ- ment. The rapid increase of violence at sea in recent years is the natural outcome of decades of neglect, social ma- laise and economic disorder that characterise Nigerias coastline. For coastal states and their international part- ners, mitigating the risk of pirate attacks on shipments is a very small part of the challenge. They must accept that unless they make headway in addressing root causes on land and introduce long-term reforms, piracy will continue to plague the Gulf of Guinea for many years to come. Dakar/Nairobi/Brussels, 12 December 2012
The Gulf of Guinea: The New Danger Zone Crisis Group Africa Report N195, 12 December 2012 Page 30
APPENDIX A
MAP OF THE GULF OF GUINEA
The Gulf of Guinea: The New Danger Zone Crisis Group Africa Report N195, 12 December 2012 Page 31
APPENDIX B
MAP OF THE NIGER DELTA
The Gulf of Guinea: The New Danger Zone Crisis Group Africa Report N195, 12 December 2012 Page 32
APPENDIX C
MAP OF THE ECCAS MARITIME ZONES
Source: Rle des organisations rgionales dans le maintien de la paix exprience de la Ceeac, ECCAS presentation. The Gulf of Guinea: The New Danger Zone Crisis Group Africa Report N195, 12 December 2012 Page 33
APPENDIX D
NIGER DELTA TIMELINE
1937 British colonists began oil ex- ploration in Nigeria. 1956 Shell discovered Nigerias first oil deposit in what is now Bayelsa state in the Niger Delta. 1960 Nigeria became independent from the UK. 1966 Isaac Jasper Adaka Boro, the deltas first post-colonial rebel, led a small and unsuccessful revolt under the banner of the Niger Delta Peoples Republic. 1971 Nigeria became a member of the Organisation of Petroleum Export- ing Countries (OPEC) after nationalis- ing the oil industry via the creation of the Nigerian National Oil Corporation (NNOC). 1973 The oil price shock and sub- sequent sustained rise in the price of oil caused Nigerias economy to boom. Nigerian revenue from the oil industry leapt from $2.1 billion in 1972 to $11.2 billion in 1974. Since then the coun- trys economy has depended heavily on oil exports from the Niger Delta. 1975 The federal government raised its share of mineral wealth from 50 per cent to 80 per cent. Subsequent gov- ernments further centralised oil reve- nues so that by the 1990s the federal governments share was over 97 per cent. 1979 President Obasanjo issued the Land Use Decree stating all subsoil minerals, including oil, were the prop- erty of the people of all Nigeria, not just those from the minerals area of origin. 1989 The first Gulf War led to an- other spike in Nigerian oil revenues, reaffirming the deltas strategic im- portance. 1990 Writer and businessman Ken Saro-Wiwa helped to establish the Movement for the Survival of the Ogoni People (MOSOP) which adopt- ed a bill of rights calling for political autonomy. 1993 MOSOPs activities caused Shell to cease oil production in Ogoni citing intimidation of its employees. The federal government subsequently created the Rivers State Internal Secu- rity Task Force Unit and launched a crackdown on Ogoni dissenters. 1995 A special military tribunal tried sixteen MOSOP members for killing four faction leaders. It convicted nine, including Saro-Wiwa, who were exe- cuted. Human Rights Watch said the trials procedures blatantly violated international standards of due process. 2001 The Niger Delta Development Commission (NDDC) was established to alleviate the developmental and eco- logical problems facing oil-producing communities. August 2003 The Joint Task Forces Operation Restore Hope was offi- cially established in the Niger Delta. It consisted of men from the army, navy, air force, police, mobile-police and the State Security Service (SSS). Its man- date was to stop violence, secure oil installations and neutralise the threat to the oil industry. September 2003 Delta militant Mu- jahid Dokubo-Asari responded to flawed elections in Rivers state by ini- tiating a campaign of insurgency. October 2004 Following govern- ment peace accords with rival militias, Dokubo-Asari agreed to disarm, rather than face the government alone. 2005 Asari and civilian activists ac- cused President Obasanjo of presiding over a civilian dictatorship. Nigerian authorities alleged that Asari called for the disintegration of the Nigerian state in a newspaper interview. He was sub- sequently arrested. 2006 Delta militants calling them- selves the Movement for the Emanci- pation of the Niger Delta (MEND) be- gan attacks on oil facilities. In January, they kidnapped and later released four foreign hostages. In February, militants stepped up attacks in an apparent retal- iation against military operations in the delta, taking nine more hostages and destroying part of an export terminal. The militants claimed to be partly fighting for the release of Dokubo- Asari and demanded from Shell $1.5 billion in compensation for environ- mental damage. September 2007 Suspected militant leader Henry Okah was arrested in An- gola, prompting MEND to pull out of peace talks with the government. February 2008 Okah was extradited to Nigeria to face treason charges. 19 June 2008 Delta militants at- tacked Bonga, a $3.6 billion floating production, storage and offloading (FPSO) vessel and deep-water sub-sea facility 120km off the coast. 14 August 2008 Nigeria completed the handover of the disputed Bakassi Peninsula to Cameroon. 10 September 2008 The federal government created a ministry of Niger Delta affairs. 13 September 2008 A government raid on three villages in Rivers state Soku, Kula and Tombia sparked an escalation of violence to levels only seen during the initial phases of the in- surgency. 14 September 2008 After two days of gun battles with security forces, MEND declared an oil war in the delta. October 2008 A chief in Forcados, Delta state, called on the Economic and Financial Crimes Commission (EFCC) to investigate the Joint Task Forces past and present leadership, which, he claimed, had been collaborating with oil thieves. 15 May 2009 - MEND declared an all-out war in the Niger Delta and repeated its call for oil firms to evacu- ate staff following what it claimed was a campaign of aerial bombardment on suspected MEND camps by the mili- tary. The Gulf of Guinea: The New Danger Zone Crisis Group Africa Report N195, 12 December 2012 Page 34
25 June 2009 President YarAdua offered an amnesty to gunmen in the Niger Delta, including Henry Okah. 12 July 2009 MEND launched their first attack outside the Niger Delta, dy- namiting the Atlas Cove Jetty in Lagos. August 2009 The Niger Delta Am- nesty Programme was launched. From August to October just over 26,000 young people registered for training. 1 October 2009 Ateke Tom, whose men had carried out frequent attacks on oil installations, agreed to halt fighting and take an unconditional pardon. Oth- er commanders, Government Tompolo, Soboma Jackrich, Ebikabowei Victor Ben and Farah Dagogo, also laid down their arms. 16 October 2009 MEND ended its three-month old ceasefire and threat- ened to resume attacks. Nine days later the group reinstated the ceasefire to allow peace talks with the government. 30 January 2010 MEND called off its ceasefire, threatening to unleash an all-out assault on the oil industry. 5 May 2010 President YarAdua died after months of incapacitation. Vice President Goodluck Jonathan, former Governor of Bayelsa state, as- sumed the presidency. 18 April 2011 Goodluck Jonathan, born in what is now Bayelsa state, won presidential elections. Violence in the north of the country ensued. 1 January 2012 The government removed the fuel subsidy. 9-13 January 2012 Protesters marched in protest against the fuel sub- sidy removal until the government agreed to partially reinstate it. 4 February 2012 A militant group claiming to be MEND blew up an off- shore oil pipeline belonging to an Ital- ian company, Eni.
The Gulf of Guinea: The New Danger Zone Crisis Group Africa Report N195, 12 December 2012 Page 35
APPENDIX E
PIRACY IN THE GULF OF GUINEA: A CONTINENTAL PERSPECTIVE
Now that some are calling for a strategy for continental maritime security, 230 an analysis of efforts to counter So- mali piracy can provide important lessons that can help Africa and the international community fight piracy on the west coast. Over the last decade, pirate attacks have risen dramatical- ly off the coast of Somalia, in the Gulf of Aden, the Ara- bian Sea and the Indian Ocean. 231 Some pirates maintain they began as fishermen who took up arms to protect their livelihoods from irresponsible foreign fishing vessels op- erating in Somali waters. While this narrative may con- tain a grain of truth, most of the estimated 1,500 to 3,000 young Somalis involved in piracy are more likely oppor- tunistic criminals lured by the large profits to be made from hijacking and holding for ransom the crews of commercial vessels in one of the worlds busiest shipping lanes. 232 Somali investors put up the capital that pirates need to launch attacks and reap their share of the spoils. 233
Ransoms, demanded in cash, have increased from an av- erage of $600,000 in 2007 to close to $5 million in 2011. 234
The rapid rise in the frequency, audacity and geographic spread of Somali piracy drew international attention away from already poor maritime security off Nigerias coast. Attacks off Somalia are much more frequent than in the Gulf of Guinea. In 2011 the IMB reported 237 ships at- tacked off Somalia and 28 successfully hijacked com- pared to 53 acts of piracy and armed robbery at sea in the Gulf of Guinea. 235 The area affected by Somali piracy is also far greater than the danger zones in the Gulf of
230 Security. Is Africas maritime strategy all at sea? IRIN, 22 October 2012. 231 For more see, Crisis Group Africa Briefing N64, Somalia: The Trouble with Puntland, 12 August 2009. 232 About 28,000 ships (40 per cent of world shipping) pass through these waters each year. Piracy off the coast of Soma- lia, UK House of Commons Foreign Affairs Committee, 5 January 2012, pp. 13-15. 233 For an example of how profits are split, see Annex 4.3: Case study: pirates and finances the Hobyo-Harardheere business model, in Report of the Monitoring Group on So- malia and Eritrea pursuant to Security Council resolution 1916 (2010), S/2011/334, 18 July 2011, pp. 228-229. 234 Piracy off the coast of Somalia, UK House of Commons Foreign Affairs Committee, 5 January 2012, p. 55. 235 Report for the period 1 January 31 December 2011, In- ternational Maritime Bureau, op. cit., 2012. Guinea. 236 By using motherships, Somali pirates have been able to launch attacks more than 1,700 nautical miles (3,148km) from their land bases, as far as the Indi- an and Mozambican coasts. 237 The farthest that attacks have been recorded off Nigeria is around 120 nautical miles (about 222km). The international community realised from the start that Somalia was in no position to counter the piracy threat itself. Over 30 states are now involved in three multina- tional naval operations (led by the EU, NATO and the U.S. respectively) and a number of independent unilateral initiatives to deter and suppress piracy. As Gulf of Guinea states have greater capacities than Somalia, the interna- tional community is keen that they should take the lead in designing and implementing their own counter-piracy measures. In 2011 the number of attempted pirate attacks off Soma- lia continued to grow but the proportion of successful hi- jacks fell. 238 A combination of stronger patrolling and a reinforcement of ships self-defence have proved effec- tive but these measures are not addressing the root causes of the problem. 239 Indeed, while combined naval efforts have created a safe corridor for ships through the Gulf of Aden, pirates have responded by launching more attacks further offshore, in particular on oil tankers towards the Gulf and Middle East. 240
236 The internationally recognised high-risk area extends from the Suez Canal and the straits of Hormuz in the north to latitude 10S (just north of the Tanzania-Mozambique border) and lon- gitude 78E (in line with the tip of India). Piracy off the coast of Somalia, op. cit., p. 23. 237 Piracy and armed robbery against ships in waters off the coast of Somalia, International Maritime Organisation, op. cit., p. 5. 238 Piracy off the coast of Somalia, op. cit., p. 30. 239 The International Maritime Bureau has produced a best practices manual on how to improve defence against pirates. See www.imo.org. 240 The economic cost of Somali piracy 2011, One Earth Fu- ture Foundation, 2012, p. 37. The Gulf of Guinea: The New Danger Zone Crisis Group Program Report NTK, TK Month 2012 Page 36
This experience bears important lessons and warnings for those tackling piracy in the Gulf of Guinea. The effec- tiveness of the multinational naval operations points to the critical importance of coordination between nations and between the industry and military actors. Information sharing and dissemination through the Maritime Security Centre Horn of Africa (MSCHOA) and the UK Maritime Trade Operations (UKMTO) office in Dubai have pro- vided effective early warning and rapid response mecha- nisms. Industry has played its part by developing Best Management Practices (BMPs) for ships transiting the ar- ea. In 2011, more and more ships opted to carry armed guards to deter and repel boarders; a measure widely seen as cardinal in reducing the number of successful hi- jacks. 241 The growing acceptability and recognised effec- tiveness of carrying armed private security personnel off Somalia is likely to influence the shipping industrys re- sponse to piracy in the Gulf of Guinea. 242 However, al- lowing the carriage and use of arms by private security companies carries grave risks which, in a weakly gov- erned environment such as the Gulf of Guinea, could be fatal. National and international actors need to be alert to this and take steps to mitigate the risk. The Somalia experience clearly shows the solution to pi- racy lies on land. 243 While international efforts have re- duced the risk of hijack, 244 the lack of state authority and rule of law in Somalia has allowed investors to continue financing pirate attacks and pirates to maintain land ba- ses. This underlines the importance of tackling the root causes on land of piracy in the Gulf of Guinea, namely poor governance.
241 US sees armed guards as deterrents to EA piracy, The East African, 31 March 2012. Guards, razor wire help keep Somali pirates at bay NATO, Reuters, 3 April 2012. 242 In late 2011, the UK, having previously opposed the car- riage of armed guards, adopted a neutral stance and issued guidelines to shipping companies for doing so in exceptional circumstances. 243 On this issue, see Hugues Eudeline, Contenir la piraterie : des rponses complexes face une menace persistante, Institut franais des relations internationales, Focus stratgique no. 40, November 2012. 244 IMB reports drop in Somali piracy, but warns against com- placency, IMB, 22 October 2012. The Gulf of Guinea: The New Danger Zone Crisis Group Program Report NTK, TK Month 2012 Page 37
APPENDIX F
ABOUT THE INTERNATIONAL CRISIS GROUP
The International Crisis Group (Crisis Group) is an inde- pendent, non-profit, non-governmental organisation, with some 130 staff members on five continents, working through field-based analysis and high-level advocacy to prevent and resolve deadly conflict. Crisis Groups approach is grounded in field research. Teams of political analysts are located within or close by countries at risk of outbreak, escalation or recurrence of violent con- flict. Based on information and assessments from the field, it produces analytical reports containing practical recommen- dations targeted at key international decision-takers. Crisis Group also publishes CrisisWatch, a twelve-page monthly bulletin, providing a succinct regular update on the state of play in all the most significant situations of conflict or po- tential conflict around the world. Crisis Groups reports and briefing papers are distributed widely by email and made available simultaneously on the website, www.crisisgroup.org. Crisis Group works closely with governments and those who influence them, including the media, to highlight its crisis analyses and to generate support for its policy prescriptions. The Crisis Group Board which includes prominent figures from the fields of politics, diplomacy, business and the media is directly involved in helping to bring the reports and recommendations to the attention of senior policy-makers around the world. Crisis Group is chaired by former U.S. Undersecretary of State and Ambassador Thomas Pickering. Its President and Chief Executive since July 2009 has been Louise Arbour, former UN High Commissioner for Human Rights and Chief Prosecutor for the International Criminal Tribunals for the former Yugoslavia and for Rwanda. Crisis Groups international headquarters is in Brussels, and the organisation has offices or representation in 34 locations: Abuja, Bangkok, Beijing, Beirut, Bishkek, Bogot, Bujum- bura, Cairo, Dakar, Damascus, Dubai, Gaza, Guatemala City, Islamabad, Istanbul, Jakarta, Jerusalem, Johannesburg, Kabul, Kathmandu, London, Moscow, Nairobi, New York, Port-au-Prince, Pristina, Rabat, Sanaa, Sarajevo, Seoul, Tbilisi, Tripoli, Tunis and Washington DC. Crisis Group currently covers some 70 areas of actual or potential conflict across four continents. In Africa, this includes, Burkina Faso, Burundi, Cameroon, Central African Republic, Chad, Cte dIvoire, Democratic Republic of the Congo, Eritrea, Ethiopia, Guinea, Guinea-Bissau, Kenya, Liberia, Madagascar, Nigeria, Sierra Leone, Somalia, South Sudan, Sudan, Uganda and Zimbab- we; in Asia, Afghanistan, Burma/Myanmar, Indonesia, Kash- mir, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Malaysia, Nepal, North Korea, Pakistan, Philippines, Sri Lanka, Taiwan Strait, Tajikistan, Thailand, Timor-Leste, Turkmenistan and Uzbekistan; in Europe, Armenia, Azerbaijan, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Cyp- rus, Georgia, Kosovo, Macedonia, North Caucasus, Serbia and Turkey; in the Middle East and North Africa, Algeria, Bahrain, Egypt, Iran, Iraq, Israel-Palestine, Jordan, Lebanon, Libya, Morocco, Syria, Tunisia, Western Sahara and Yemen; and in Latin America and the Caribbean, Colombia, Guate- mala, Haiti and Venezuela. Crisis Group receives financial support from a wide range of governments, institutional foundations, and private sources. The following governmental departments and agencies have provided funding in recent years: Australian Agency for In- ternational Development, Austrian Development Agency, Belgian Ministry of Foreign Affairs, Canadian International Development Agency, Canadian International Development Research Centre, Royal Danish Ministry of Foreign Affairs, Dutch Ministry of Foreign Affairs, European Union Instru- ment for Stability, Finnish Ministry of Foreign Affairs, Ger- man Federal Foreign Office, Irish Aid, Principality of Liech- tenstein, Luxembourg Ministry of Foreign Affairs, New Zealand Agency for International Development, Royal Nor- wegian Ministry of Foreign Affairs, Swedish International Development Cooperation Agency, Swedish Ministry of For- eign Affairs, Swiss Federal Department of Foreign Affairs, Turkish Ministry of Foreign Affairs, United Kingdom De- partment for International Development, U.S. Agency for International Development. The following institutional and private foundations have pro- vided funding in recent years: Adessium Foundation, Car- negie Corporation of New York, Elders Foundation, William and Flora Hewlett Foundation, Humanity United, Henry Luce Foundation, John D. and Catherine T. MacArthur Foun- dation, Oak Foundation, Open Society Foundations, Plough- shares Fund, Radcliffe Foundation, Rockefeller Brothers Fund, Stanley Foundation, The Charitable Foundation, Tinker Foun- dation Incorporated. December 2012
The Gulf of Guinea: The New Danger Zone Crisis Group Program Report NTK, TK Month 2012 Page 38
APPENDIX G
CRISIS GROUP REPORTS AND BRIEFINGS ON AFRICA SINCE 2009
Central Africa Chad: Powder Keg in the East, Africa Report N149, 15 April 2009 (also avail- able in French). Congo: Five Priorities for a Peacebuilding Strategy, Africa Report N150, 11 May 2009 (also available in French). Congo: A Comprehensive Strategy to Disarm the FDLR, Africa Report N151, 9 July 2009 (also available in French). Burundi: russir lintgration des FNL, Africa Briefing N63, 30 July 2009. Chad: Escaping from the Oil Trap, Africa Briefing N65, 26 August 2009 (also available in French). CAR: Keeping the Dialogue Alive, Africa Briefing N69, 12 January 2010 (also available in French). Burundi: Ensuring Credible Elections, Africa Report N155, 12 February 2010 (also available in French). Libye/Tchad: au-del dune politique dinfluence, Africa Briefing N71, 23 March 2010 (also available in Arabic). Congo: A Stalled Democratic Agenda, Africa Briefing N73, 8 April 2010 (also available in French). Chad: Beyond Superficial Stability, Africa Report N162, 17 August 2010 (only available in French). Congo: No Stability in Kivu Despite a Rapprochement with Rwanda, Africa Report N165, 16 November 2010 (also available in French). Dangerous Little Stones: Diamonds in the Central African Republic, Africa Report N167, 16 December 2010 (also available in French). Burundi: From Electoral Boycott to Political Impasse, Africa Report N169, 7 February 2011 (also available in French). Le Nord-ouest du Tchad: la prochaine zone haut risque ?, Africa Briefing N78, 17 February 2011. Congo: The Electoral Dilemma, Africa Report N175, 5 May 2011 (also available in French). Congo: The Electoral Process Seen from the East, Africa Briefing N80, 5 September 2011 (also available in French). Africa without Qaddafi: The Case of Chad, Africa Report N180, 21 October 2011 (also available in French). Implementing Peace and Security Architecture (I): Central Africa, Africa Report N181, 7 November 2011 (also available in French). The Lords Resistance Army: End Game?, Africa Report N182, 17 November 2011. Burundi: A Deepening Corruption Crisis, Africa Report N185, 21 March 2012 (also available in French). Black Gold in the Congo: Threat to Stability or Development Opportunity?, Africa Report N188, 11 July 2012 (also available in French). Eastern Congo: Why Stabilisation Failed, Africa Briefing N91, 4 October 2012 (also available in French). Burundi: Bye-bye Arusha? Africa Report N192, 25 October 2012 (only available in French). The Gulf of Guinea: The New Danger Zone, Africa Report N195, 12 December 2012 (only available in French). Eastern Congo: The ADF-Nalus Lost Rebellion, Africa Briefing N93, 19 December 2012 (only available in French). Horn of Africa Sudan: Justice, Peace and the ICC, Africa Report N152, 17 July 2009. Somalia: The Trouble with Puntland, Africa Briefing N64, 12 August 2009. Ethiopia: Ethnic Federalism and Its Discontents, Africa Report N153, 4 September 2009. Somaliland: A Way out of the Electoral Crisis, Africa Briefing N67, 7 Decem- ber 2009. Sudan: Preventing Implosion, Africa Briefing N68, 17 December 2009. Jongleis Tribal Conflicts: Countering Insecurity in South Sudan, Africa Report N154, 23 December 2009. Rigged Elections in Darfur and the Conse- quences of a Probable NCP Victory in Sudan, Africa Briefing N72, 30 March 2010. LRA: A Regional Strategy Beyond Killing Kony, Africa Report N157, 28 April 2010 (also available in French). Sudan: Regional Perspectives on the Prospect of Southern Independence, Africa Report N159, 6 May 2010. Somalias Divided Islamists, Africa Briefing N74, 18 May 2010 (also available in Somali). Sudan: Defining the North-South Border, Africa Briefing N75, 2 September 2010. Eritrea: The Siege State, Africa Report N163, 21 September 2010. Negotiating Sudans North-South Future, Africa Briefing N76, 23 November 2010. Somalia: The Transitional Government on Life Support, Africa Report N170, 21 February 2011. Politics and Transition in the New South Sudan, Africa Briefing N172, 4 April 2011. Divisions in Sudans Ruling Party and the Threat to the Countrys Stability, Africa Report N174, 4 May 2011. South Sudan: Compounding Instability in Unity State, Africa Report N179, 17 October 2011 (also available in Chinese). Kenya: Impact of the ICC Proceedings, Africa Briefing N84, 9 January 2012. Kenyan Somali Islamist Radicalisation, Africa Briefing N85, 25 January 2012. The Kenyan Military Intervention in Somalia, Africa Report N184, 15 February 2012. Somalia: An Opportunity that Should Not Be Missed, Africa Briefing N87, 22 February 2012. Chinas New Courtship in South Sudan, Africa Report N186, 4 April 2012. Uganda: No Resolution to Growing Tensions, Africa Report N187, 5 April 2012. Ethiopia After Meles, Africa Briefing N89, 22 August 2012. Assessing Turkeys Role in Somalia, Africa Briefing N92, 8 October 2012. Sudan: Major Reform or More War, Africa Report N194, 29 November 2012. SouthernAfrica Zimbabwe: Engaging the Inclusive Govern- ment, Africa Briefing N59, 20 April 2009. Zimbabwe: Political and Security Chal- lenges to the Transition, Africa Briefing N70, 3 March 2010. Madagascar: sortir du cycle de crises, Africa Report N156, 18 March 2010. The Gulf of Guinea: The New Danger Zone Crisis Group Program Report NTK, TK Month 2012 Page 39
Madagascar: la crise un tournant critique ?, Africa Report N166, 18 November 2010. Zimbabwe: The Road to Reform or Another Dead End, Africa Report N173, 27 April 2011. Resistance and Denial: Zimbabwes Stalled Reform Agenda, Africa Briefing N82, 16 November 2011. Zimbabwes Sanctions Standoff, Africa Briefing N86, 6 February 2012 (also available in Chinese). Implementing Peace and Security Architecture (II): Southern Africa, Africa Report N191, 15 October 2012. West Africa Liberia: Uneven Progress in Security Sector Reform, Africa Report N148, 13 January 2009. Guinea-Bissau: Building a Real Stability Pact, Africa Briefing N57, 29 January 2009 (also available in French). Guinea: The Transition Has Only Just Begun, Africa Briefing N58, 5 March 2009 (also available in French). Nigeria: Seizing the Moment in the Niger Delta, Africa Briefing N60, 30 April 2009. Guinea-Bissau: Beyond Rule of the Gun, Africa Briefing N61, 25 June 2009 (also available in Portuguese). Cte dIvoire: Whats Needed to End the Crisis, Africa Briefing N62, 2 July 2009 (also available in French). Guinea: Military Rule Must End, Africa Briefing N66, 16 October 2009 (also available in French). Cte dIvoire: scuriser le processus lec- toral, Africa Report N158, 5 May 2010. Cameroon: Fragile State?, Africa Report N160, 25 May 2010 (also available in French). Cameroon: The Dangers of a Fracturing Regime, Africa Report N161, 24 June 2010 (also available in French). Guinea: Reforming the Army, Africa Report N164, 23 September 2010 (also available in French). Cte dIvoire: Sortir enfin de lornire ?, Africa Briefing N77, 25 November 2010. Northern Nigeria: Background to Conflict, Africa Report N168, 20 December 2010. Nigerias Elections: Reversing the Degeneration?, Africa Briefing N79, 24 February 2011. Cte dIvoire: Is War the Only Option?, Africa Report N171, 3 March 2011 (also available in French). A Critical Period for Ensuring Stability in Cte dIvoire, Africa Report N176, 1 August 2011 (also available in French). Liberia: How Sustainable Is the Recovery?, Africa Report N177, 19 August 2011. Guinea: Putting the Transition Back on Track, Africa Report N178, 23 September 2011. Cte dIvoire: Continuing the Recovery, Africa Briefing N83, 16 December 2011 (also available in French). Au-del des compromis: les perspectives de rforme en Guine-Bissau, Africa Report N183, 23 January 2012 (also available in Portuguese). Liberia: Time for Much-Delayed Reconciliation and Reform, Africa Briefing N88, 12 June 2012. Mali: Avoiding Escalation, Africa Report N189, 18 July 2012 (also available in French). Beyond Turf Wars: Managing the Post- Coup Transition in Guinea-Bissau, Africa Report N190, 17 August 2012 (also available in French). Mali: The Need for Determined and Coordinated International Action, Africa Briefing N90, 24 September 2012 (also available in French). Cte dIvoire: Defusing Tensions, Africa Report N193, 26 November 2012 (also available in French). Curbing Violence in Nigeria (I): The Jos Crisis, Africa Report N196, 17 December 2012. Yemen: Enduring Conflicts, Threatened Transition, Middle East Report N125, 3 July 2012 (also available in Arabic). Dj Vu All Over Again: Iraqs Escalating Political Crisis, Middle East Report N126, 30 July 2012 (also available in Arabic). Iraqs Secular Opposition: The Rise and Decline of Al-Iraqiya, Middle East Report N127, 31 July 2012 (also available in Arabic).
The Gulf of Guinea: The New Danger Zone Crisis Group Program Report NTK, TK Month 2012 Page 40
APPENDIX H
INTERNATIONAL CRISIS GROUP BOARD OF TRUSTEES
CHAI R Thomas R Pickering Former U.S. Undersecretary of State; Ambassador to the UN, Russia, India, Israel, Jordan, El Salvador and Nigeria PRESI DENT & CEO Louise Arbour Former UN High Commissioner for Human Rights and Chief Prosecutor for the International Criminal Tribunals for the former Yugoslavia and Rwanda VI CE-CHAI RS Ayo Obe Legal Practitioner, Lagos, Nigeria Ghassan Salam Dean, Paris School of International Affairs, Sciences Po EXECUTI VE COMMI TTEE Morton Abramowitz Former U.S. Assistant Secretary of State and Ambassador to Turkey Cheryl Carolus Former South African High Commissioner to the UK and Secretary General of the ANC Maria Livanos Cattaui Former Secretary-General of the International Chamber of Commerce Yoichi Funabashi Chairman of the Rebuild Japan Initiative; Former Editor-in-Chief, The Asahi Shimbun Frank Giustra President & CEO, Fiore Financial Corporation Lord (Mark) Malloch-Brown Former UN Deputy Secretary-General and Administrator of the United Nations Development Programme (UNDP) Moiss Nam Senior Associate, International Economics Program, Carnegie Endowment for International Peace; Former Editor in Chief, Foreign Policy George Soros Chairman, Open Society Institute Pr Stenbck Former Foreign Minister of Finland OTHER BOARD MEMBERS Kofi Annan Former Secretary-General of the United Nations; Nobel Peace Prize (2001) Nahum Barnea Chief Columnist for Yedioth Ahronoth, Israel Samuel Berger Chair, Albright Stonebridge Group LLC; Former U.S. National Security Adviser Emma Bonino Vice President of the Italian Senate; Former Minister of International Trade and European Affairs of Italy and European Commissioner for Humanitarian Aid Micheline Calmy-Rey Former President of the Swiss Confederation and Foreign Affairs Minister Wesley Clark Former NATO Supreme Allied Commander Sheila Coronel Toni Stabile Professor of Practice in Investigative Journalism; Director, Toni Stabile Center for Inves- tigative Journalism, Columbia University, U.S. Mark Eyskens Former Prime Minister of Belgium Nabil Fahmy Former Ambassador of Egypt to the U.S. and Japan; Founding Dean, School of Public Affairs, American University in Cairo Joschka Fischer Former Foreign Minister of Germany Lykke Friis Former Climate & Energy Minister and Minister of Gender Equality of Denmark; Former Prorec- tor at the University of Copenhagen Jean-Marie Guhenno Arnold Saltzman Professor of War and Peace Studies, Columbia University; Former UN Under- Secretary-General for Peacekeeping Operations Carla Hills Former U.S. Secretary of Housing and U.S. Trade Representative Lena Hjelm-Walln Former Deputy Prime Minister and Foreign Minister of Sweden Mo Ibrahim Founder and Chair, Mo Ibrahim Foundation; Founder, Celtel International Igor Ivanov Former Foreign Minister of the Russian Federation Asma Jahangir President of the Supreme Court Bar Association of Pakistan, Former UN Special Rapporteur on the Freedom of Religion or Belief Wadah Khanfar Co-Founder, Al Sharq Forum; Former Director General, Al Jazeera Network Wim Kok Former Prime Minister of the Netherlands Ricardo Lagos Former President of Chile Joanne Leedom-Ackerman Former International Secretary of PEN International; Novelist and journalist, U.S. Lalit Mansingh Former Foreign Secretary of India, Ambassador to the U.S. and High Commissioner to the UK Benjamin Mkapa Former President of Tanzania Laurence Parisot President, French Business Confederation (MEDEF) Karim Raslan Founder, Managing Director and Chief Executive Officer of KRA Group Paul Reynolds President & Chief Executive Officer, Canaccord Financial Inc. Javier Solana Former EU High Representative for the Common Foreign and Security Policy, NATO Secretary- General and Foreign Minister of Spain Liv Monica Stubholt Senior Vice President for Strategy and Commu- nication, Kvaerner ASA; Former State Secretary for the Norwegian Ministry of Foreign Affairs Lawrence Summers Former Director of the US National Economic Council and Secretary of the U.S. Treasury; President Emeritus of Harvard University Wang Jisi Dean, School of International Studies, Peking University; Member, Foreign Policy Advisory Committee of the Chinese Foreign Ministry Wu Jianmin Executive Vice Chairman, China Institute for Innovation and Development Strategy; Member, Foreign Policy Advisory Committee of the Chinese Foreign Ministry; Former Ambassador of China to the UN (Geneva) and France Lionel Zinsou CEO, PAI Partners
The Gulf of Guinea: The New Danger Zone Crisis Group Program Report NTK, TK Month 2012 Page 41
PRESI DENT S COUNCI L A distinguished group of individual and corporate donors providing essential support and expertise to Crisis Group. Dow Chemical Mala Gaonkar Frank Holmes Steve Killelea George Landegger McKinsey & Company Ford Nicholson & Lisa Wolverton Harry Pokrandt Shearman & Sterling LLP Ian Telfer White & Case LLP Neil Woodyer I NTERNATI ONAL ADVI SORY COUNCI L Individual and corporate supporters who play a key role in Crisis Groups efforts to prevent deadly conflict. Anglo American PLC APCO Worldwide Inc. Ryan Beedie Stanley Bergman & Edward Bergman BP Chevron Neil & Sandra DeFeo Family Foundation Equinox Partners Neemat Frem FTI Consulting Seth & Jane Ginns Alan Griffiths Rita E. Hauser George Kellner Faisel Khan Zelmira Koch Polk Elliott Kulick Harriet Mouchly-Weiss Nringslivets Internationella Rd (NIR) International Council of Swedish Industry Griff Norquist Ana Luisa Ponti & Geoffrey R. Hoguet Kerry Propper Michael L. Riordan Shell Nina Solarz Horst Sporer Statoil Talisman Energy Tilleke & Gibbins Kevin Torudag Yap Merkezi Construction and Industry Inc. Stelios S. Zavvos SENI OR ADVI SERS Former Board Members who maintain an association with Crisis Group, and whose advice and support are called on (to the extent consistent with any other office they may be holding at the time). Martti Ahtisaari Chairman Emeritus George Mitchell Chairman Emeritus Gareth Evans President Emeritus Kenneth Adelman Adnan Abu Odeh HRH Prince Turki al-Faisal Hushang Ansary scar Arias Ersin Arolu Richard Armitage Diego Arria Zainab Bangura Shlomo Ben-Ami Christoph Bertram Alan Blinken Lakhdar Brahimi Zbigniew Brzezinski Kim Campbell Jorge Castaeda Naresh Chandra Eugene Chien Joaquim Alberto Chissano Victor Chu Mong Joon Chung Pat Cox Gianfranco DellAlba Jacques Delors Alain Destexhe Mou-Shih Ding Uffe Ellemann-Jensen Gernot Erler Marika Fahln Stanley Fischer Malcolm Fraser I.K. Gujral Swanee Hunt Max Jakobson James V. Kimsey Aleksander Kwasniewski Todung Mulya Lubis Allan J. MacEachen Graa Machel Jessica T. Mathews Nobuo Matsunaga Barbara McDougall Matthew McHugh Mikls Nmeth Christine Ockrent Timothy Ong Olara Otunnu Lord (Christopher) Patten Shimon Peres Victor Pinchuk Surin Pitsuwan Cyril Ramaphosa Fidel V. Ramos George Robertson Michel Rocard Volker Rhe Gler Sabanc Mohamed Sahnoun Salim A. Salim Douglas Schoen Christian Schwarz-Schilling Michael Sohlman Thorvald Stoltenberg Leo Tindemans Ed van Thijn Simone Veil Shirley Williams Grigory Yavlinski Uta Zapf Ernesto Zedillo