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Electronic copy available at: http://ssrn.

com/abstract=1940504
1

What Drives the Value Effect? Risk versus Mispricing: Evidence from
International Markets
*


Denis B. Chaves

Jason Hsu



Vitali Kalesnik

Yoseop Shim
**




First Draft: June 14, 2011
Current Draft: February 1, 2012




Abstract

Value stocks outperform growth stocks. The academic literature provides two
competing theories on what drives the value premium: exposure to risk factors or
mispricing of the securities. Existing empirical studies have not conclusively rejected one
in support of the other. Using Fama and MacBeth (1973) regressions and extensions of
the portfolio tests based on Daniel and Titman (1997), we provide evidence that the
book-to-market characteristic largely subsumes the loading on the value factor (HML) as
a variable that explains the cross-section of stock returns. We improve the power of
existing tests by using data from 23 developed countries going back more than 30 years.
Given these results, we conclude that mispricing is likely a more significant portion of
the value premium.


*
The authors would like to acknowledge helpful comments and suggestions from Rob Arnott, Joseph Chen, David Hirshleifer,
Katy Sherrerd and two anonymous referees.

Denis Chaves is a senior researcher at Research Affiliates, LLC, Newport Beach, CA. Email: chaves@rallc.com.

Jason Hsu is chief investment officer at Research Affiliates, LLC, Newport Beach, CA, and an adjunct professor of finance at the
UCLA Anderson Business School, Los Angeles, CA. Email: hsu@rallc.com.

Vitali Kalesnik is a vice president at Research Affiliates, LLC, Newport Beach, CA, and an adjunct professor of finance at SDSU,
San Diego, CA. Email: Kalesnik@rallc.com.
**
Yoseop Shim is a research associate at Research Affiliates, LLC, Newport Beach, CA. Email: shim@rallc.com.
Electronic copy available at: http://ssrn.com/abstract=1940504
2

1. Introduction
Value strategies have been popular with practitioners since the work of Graham and Dodd (1934).
1

There is strong consensus among academics and practitioners, supported by empirical evidence, that
value strategies outperform growth strategies.
2
The academic literature proposes two competing
theories on the origin of the value premium. The main goal of this paper is to find tests that allow us to
distinguish between these two theories. The tests we propose are extensions of the existing literature
and we increase their power by using a large sample of countries.
The first of the two theories claims that value stocks co-move with some unobserved risk factor.
Potentially, they increase portfolio exposure to distress, liquidity, or some rare and hidden (Black Swan)
risks and, therefore, offer a return premium. Fama and French (1993) construct a proxy for this risk
factorthe HML factorthat can be used to assess a stocks sensitivity to this yet-to-be-identified
source of risk in the economy. Value stocks have high HML loadings and, therefore, are expected to
deliver high average returns as risk compensation.
The alternate theory, initiated by Lakonishok, Shleifer, and Vishny (LSV, 1994), argues that value
stocks are simply undervalued; investors extrapolate poor past performance and push prices too low
relative to fundamentals. According to this theory, value stocks deliver high returns because valuation
ratios, like book-to-market (B/M), mean-revert as investors realize and correct the mispricing.
Moreover, according to Daniel and Titman (1997, pp. 2), LSV do not dispute the possibility that there
may be priced factors associated with value (or growth) stocks, they argue that the return premia

1
Value strategies are based on buying stocks with high book-to-market ratio, earnings-to-price ratio, dividend yield, and other
measures of company fundamental to current price. Growth strategies are based on buying stocks with low measures of
company fundamental to current price.
2
See Fama and French (1992), among others.
3

associated with these factor portfolios are simply too large and their covariances with macro factors are
just too low (and in some cases negative) to be considered compensation for systematic risk.
Designing tests to evaluateand ideally distinguishthese two theories is a complicated task,
because HML loadings and B/M characteristics are highly correlated across stocks. In most cases these
tests offer similar predictions or have low power in separating the influence of both theories.
Understanding the source of the value premium has profound implications for the financial
industry. If one believes that the cross-section of expected returns is better explained by the
characteristics of stocks, then some of the current practices adopted in the industry that are based on
factor loadings could be challenged. For example, investors would likely tie their stock selection rules to
reflect the source of the value premium. Strictly speaking, if the risk-based theory is correct, then value
stocks should be selected according to their loadings on the HML factor. On the other hand, if the
mispricing theory is correct, then value stocks should be selected according to B/M or other valuation
ratios.
Perhaps more importantly, investors will view risk differently under the alternative theories. If
the risk-based theory is correct, a value-based strategy will expose the portfolio to added risk. More
specifically, if the interpretation is that value stocks are exposed to unknown and hidden risks, then
value outperformance may come with risks which are unacceptable to some investors. If, on the other
hand, the mispricing theory is true, then investors should benefit from higher allocations to value
strategies with no corresponding increase in systematic risk exposure. Taking this analysis one step
further, when a value stock becomes deep value, the mispricing interpretation would suggest that the
stock has become even cheaper instead of riskier; this would point to an even better buying
opportunity.
4

Finally, if the mispricing theory is correct, the HML factor and risk-based adjustments would not
be the most appropriate tools for performance measurement or attribution. Benchmarking strategies
based on B/M and other characteristics, as illustrated by Daniel, Grinblatt, Titman, and Wermers (1997),
would be a better choice for such applications.
3

The current view of many academic and practitioners is that the two dominant theories
represent conflicting frameworks. We argue, similarly to LSV, that these two theories can be
complementary, as illustrated, for instance, by the model in Daniel, Hirshleifer, and Subrahmanyam
(2001). To support this claim, we show that the value premium may be generated in part by risk factor
exposure, but mispricing plays a larger and more significant role.

2. Review of Existing Theories and Results
The academic literature features two competing theories on the source of the value premium.
The first theory is risk-based and can nest neatly within the Intertemporal Capital Asset Pricing Model
(ICAPM) framework of Merton (1973), in which the expected return of a stock or portfolio is given by its
loadings,

, on a series of risk factors and the risk premiums on these factors,

:
[]

. (1)
Under the ICAPM framework, investors are sensitive to undiversifiable shocks to their consumption and
their investment opportunity sets. Value stocks (or high fundamental-to-price stocks) are assumed to be
correlated with these shocksmaking them risk-accentuating to investorsand, therefore, carry a risk
premium.

3
Factor-based performance attribution might still be useful to test whether a proposed variable has any incremental ability to
explain mispricings in the cross-section of stocks.
5

Specifically, Fama and French (1993) argue that the value premium arises as a compensation for
financial distress risk. They argue that value stocks would underperform during credit or liquidity crises.
Working backward, Fama and French use value strategies to construct a factor portfolio that supposedly
measures and captures distress risk. They construct a zero-investment (long/short) portfolio of high B/M
stocks (value stocks) minus low B/M stocks (growth stocks). This long/short portfolio is commonly
referred to as high-minus-low, or HML, and is used as a proxy for distress risk. In Fama and Frenchs
setup, stocks that are sensitive to distress risk exhibit high loadings on the HML factor,

, thus
earning a distress risk premium. In other words, value stocks generally exhibit, by construction, high
loadings on the HML factor and the value outperformance is interpreted as compensation for being
exposed to distress risk.
The empirical literature, however, reports a weakor even reverserelationship between
distress risk and B/M, HML loading or expected return. For instance, in Shumways (1996) abstract one
reads that the book-to-market effect cannot be described as a distress effect. Dichev (1998, p.1131)
claims that bankruptcy risk is not rewarded by higher returns, and Griffin and Lemmon (2002, p.2318)
show that the group of firms with the highest risk of distress includes many firms with high B/M ratios
and low past stock returns, but actually includes more firms with low B/M ratios and high past stock
returns. More recently, Campbell, Hilscher, and Szilagyi (2008, 2011) show that financially distressed
stocksthose with higher probabilities of defaulthave generally delivered anomalously low returns
despite having much higher loadings on the HML factor. All these results question the original Fama and
French (1993) conjecture that value is compensation for distress risk.
4

Today, the risk-based literature is significantly less specific about the nature of those risks or
their economic interpretation. Various articles propose different risks that may be correlated with value

4
One exception is Avramov, Chordia, Jostova, and Philipov (2010), who claim that the value effect emerges from taking long
positions in high credit risk firms that survive financial distress and subsequently realize high returns, but is significant only
during stable or improving credit conditions.
6

stock returns. However, the academe has not thrown its support behind a particular risk story. The
current consensus is that value stocks have exposure to some hidden risks that are rare, hard to
measure, and even harder to observe. (Some observers point to the resemblance between those types
of risk and Black Swan events.)
The second theory is based on Lakonishok, Shleifer, and Vishny (1994), who point out that
mispricings might be the source of the value premium. They argue that value stocks are not risky but, in
fact, cheap. The value effect, according to this strand of the literature, can be interpreted as driven
primarily by mean reversion in prices.
5
Expected returns for stocks are, therefore, time-varying and
predictable, containing an abnormal return driven by mispricing, which can be predicted by valuation
ratios like B/M or dividend yield.
The mispricing theory also faces challenges. First, critics point out that value strategies tend to
experience occasional and persistent periods of underperformance. Supporters of the mispricing theory
would answer that these periods of underperformance happen as prices deviate further from
fundamentals, adding to the attractiveness of value strategies.
6
The second criticism relates to the fact
that if mispricings are random, then portfolios of over- or undervalued stocks should display much
higher Sharpe ratios as their idiosyncratic movements cancel each other out. The usual answer to this
argument is that stocks are also exposed to other factors that increase their correlations but do not
carry any risk premium. Industry factors are the most common example, because they explain a
significant fraction of the comovement between stocks in the same industry without generating any
differences in expected returns (Fama and French (1997)).

5
See Arnott and Hsu (2008) and Arnott, Hsu, Liu, and Markowitz (2011) for examples. See also Vayanos and Woolley (2011) for
a rational model of flows between investment funds to explain momentum and mean reversion in prices.
6
Some mispricings, such as the dot-com bubble, tend to persist for long periods of time before prices revert back to normal
levels.
7

The empirical literature also seems divided between supporters of both theories. Daniel and
Titman (1997) run the first tests using U.S. data from 1973 to 1993 and find empirical support for the
mispricing theory. They show that the higher expected returns of value stocks cannot be explained by
covariation of these stocks with risk factors after controlling for their characteristics. However, Davis,
Fama, and French (2000) extend the U.S. tests back to 1926 and find an improved performance for risk
factors outside the Daniel and Titmans 20-year sample. Because the U.S. data seem to give conflicting
results, researchers have focused on finding new datasets to run out-of-sample robustness checks.
Daniel, Titman, and Wei (2001), Lajili-Jarjir (2007), and Lee, Liu, and Strong (2007) run similar tests on
Japan, France and the UK, respectively. All three studies finding evidence that expected returns are
correlated with characteristics and not with factor loadings, lending increasing support for the
mispricing theory.
In this paper we contribute to the empirical literature by further developing existing tests in a
way that makes them relatively easier to follow, and by applying them on a large cross-section of
countries, which increases their power significantly. Our tests are meant to measure whether the cross-
section of expected returns is better explained by characteristics or factor loadings, but our
interpretation of the results leaves open the possibility that both the risk-based and mispricing theories
contributewith possibly different levels of importanceto the value effect.

3. Testing the Risk-Based and Mispricing Theories
This section describes how we use portfolios sorted on factor loadings and characteristics to test the
predictions from the risk-based and mispricing theories. As we show below, each theory has different
predictions for the expected returns of portfolios with similar HML loadings but different B/M
8

characteristics, or similar B/M characteristics but different HML loadings. Exploring the different
predictions allow us to better distinguish between the competing theories.
Daniel and Titman (1997) propose a simple test to identify whether expected returns are a
function of the B/M characteristic or the loading on the HML factor. The main challenge with these
types of tests is that HML loading and B/M are correlated across stocks, so one needs to find a large
group of stocks that show significant variation along one dimension but not the other. We first describe
their methodology and then how we adapt it for our purposes.
Daniel and Titmans first step follows Fama and French (1993) and yields nine (3x3) portfolios
sorted on B/M and size (market capitalization). Then, the stocks in each of these 9 portfolios are further
sorted into five portfolios according to their exposure to HML,

, resulting in a total of 45 (9x5)


portfolios. The idea behind this two-step sorting process is to control for the characteristics of the stocks
in the first step and then to obtain variation in factor loadings in the second step. Finally, the third and
last step is to look at each portfolioand in particular at the spreads between portfolios with extreme
factor loadingsto investigate whether characteristics or factor loadings display a stronger relationship
with expected returns and alphas.
Our tests are very similar to Daniel and Titmans, but we modify and extend them in different
directions. First, we improve the statistical power of the tests by applying the methodology to a
significantly larger cross-section sourced from a large number of countries. Second, because other
countries have fewer stocks than the United States, and because we are mostly interested in controlling
for B/M and not size, our tests include five portfolios sorted on B/M instead of only three.
7
Third, as
explained next, we provide results for two types of tests: in the first one we sort stocks first on
characteristics and then on factor loadings, whereas in the second we sort them first on factor loadings

7
As a result, we have 25 (5x5) portfolios instead of 45 (9x5). The smaller number of portfolios is offset by the finer granularity in
the B/M dimension, the most important for our purposes.
9

and then on characteristics. Finally, because of the shorter international sample and to increase the
accuracy of factor sensitivity estimation, we use daily data to estimate

in the ex-ante portfolio


formation stage (more details below).
Figure 1 illustrates our extended version of Daniel and Titmans approach. We construct 25
capitalization-weighted portfolios by forming conditional sorts along two dimensions: HML loading,

, on the horizontal axis, and B/M on the vertical axis. (Each portfolio is numbered according to its
position in this 5 5 grid.) Because we use conditional sorts, the order in which we sort the variables
matters. We choose to use two separate sorts to guarantee that we have enough stocks in each of the
25 portfolios and, at the same time, to ensure that B/M or

are kept constant in the different tests.


On the left graph we sort stocks first on B/M and then within each B/M quintile we sort them on

.
Each row in the grid represents a group of stocks with relatively constant B/M but varying

. On the
right graph we sort stocks first on

and then within each

quintile we sort them on B/M. Each


column now represents the opposite: constant

but varying B/M.


The focus in this paper is on the return differences between the two extreme portfolios in each
row (left graph: highest

minus lowest

for each of the five B/M control groups), and in each


column (right graph: highest B/M minus lowest B/M for each of the five

control groups). Note that


the difference portfolios constructed from each row will produce high returns when high-

stocks
outperform low-

stocks, but will not be sensitive to the performance of high-B/M stocks versus
low-B/M stocks, because each of the five difference portfolios will contain equal positive and negative
weights in stocks with similar B/M characteristic. By the same token, the difference portfolios for each
column will have sensitivity to the performance of high B/M versus low B/M stocks, but otherwise no
sensitivity to the relative performance between high and low

stocks.
10

More specifically, we construct two test portfolios to help us disentangle the influence of the
B/M characteristic and HML loading on stock returns. The return on the first one,

, is an equal-
weighted average between the returns of the five difference portfolios in each row , (

):

[(

) (

) (

)
(

) (

)]
(2)
We follow Daniel and Titman and call it the B/M characteristic-balanced portfolio, because it holds the
B/M characteristic constant and examines the difference in returns between stocks with high


versus stocks with low

exposure.
According to the risk-based theory, expected returns increase linearly with exposure to the HML
risk factor,

as illustrated by the left graph in Figure 2. This increasing relationship implies that the
expected return associated with the characteristic-balanced portfolio, [

], is positive, because it
has a positive

. Also, according to the risk-based theory, the Carhart 4-factor alpha should be
constantindeed should be zeroas a function of

. Thus, the Carhart alpha of the characteristic-


balanced portfolio, (

), should be zero. Given these two observations, we present the following


testable predictions for the risk-based theory:
R1 (Risk-based 1): [

] and (

) .
The predictions from the mispricing theory are depicted on the right side of Figure 2. The mispricing
theory says that expected returns have no relationship with

once we control for B/M; in fact, the


HML factor would be an artificial and misguided construct for measuring risk under the mispricing
theory. Additionally, because higher

results in higher Carhart risk adjustment, the Carhart alpha


would fall with

. These two observations give us the following testable predictions for the
mispricing story:
11

M1 (Mispricing 1): [

] and (

) .
The second portfolio is called HML factor loading-balanced portfolio and is defined as

[(

) (

) (

)
(

) (

)]
(3)
where (

) is the return of the difference portfolio for column j. This portfolio holds


constant and examines the difference in returns between stocks with high B/M versus stocks with low
B/M.
According to the risk-based theory, after controlling for

, expected returns should bear no


relationship with portfolio B/M. This is graphically illustrated in the left graph in Figure 3. The Carhart
alpha would also be constant as we vary B/M because both the expected return and the risk
adjustments are assumed constant under the risk-based theory. Thus, for the HML factor loading-
balanced portfolio, the expected return and the Carhart alpha should both be zero, resulting in the
following testable predictions:
R2 (Risk-based 2): [

] and (

) .
According to the mispricing theory, expected returns are an increasing function of B/M. This is
illustrated in the right graph in Figure 3. When we hold

constantand, thus, the Carhart risk


adjustment is kept constantthe measured Carhart alpha should also be increasing in B/M. These two
observations suggest that the HML factor loading-balanced portfolio should have positive expected
return and Carhart alpha:
M2 (Mispricing 2): [

] and (

) .
12

With the theoretical predictions established, we proceed now to test them on a large sample of
countries. We emphasize at this point that the predictions from the two theories are very different and
should, therefore, provide us with a powerful framework to check which one finds better support in the
data.

4. Results
This section conducts two tests of the risk-based and mispricing theories. The first test uses portfolios
sorted on factor loadings and characteristics to test the predictions derived in the previous section. The
second test uses FamaMacBeth regression to address the concern that HML factor loadings and B/M
are correlated across stocks. As a preview of our results, the empirical tests provide strong support for
the mispricing theory and reject the risk-based theory as the explanation for value stock
outperformance.
4.1. Portfolio Tests
As explained earlier, our portfolio tests have two stages: ex ante portfolio formation and ex post
performance evaluation. Both stages require us to run factor regressions: (1) we need ex ante estimates
of

in the first stage to form the 25 portfolios sorted on factor loadings and characteristics, and (2)
we need average returns and alphas for the characteristic- and factor loading-balanced portfolios in the
second stage to test the hypotheses developed in the previous section. In both stages we use Carharts
(1997) four-factor model,
8


8
More details regarding factor construction can be found in the Appendix.
13


(4)
where MKT, HML, SMB and UMD are the market, value, size and momentum factors constructed
separately for each country, but we run the regressions at different frequencies in each stage.
In the first stage, portfolio formation, we use daily stock and factor returns over the past two
months to estimate the regression coefficients. One possible criticism regarding this choice is that daily
returns might suffer from a series microstructure and liquidity effects, such as bid-ask spreads, stale
prices or asynchronous response to market (or another factor) movements. We alleviate such concerns
by imposing two restrictions on the stocks included in our tests: requiring that they been traded for at
least 22 trading days within each two-month rolling window and allowing a lag of five trading days
before the end of the month to ensure that this strategy can be implemented in the real world.
9,10
After
imposing these liquidity restrictions, we consider that, in our case, the advantages of using daily data in
the first stage more than offset the possible disadvantages. First, it allows us to use the international
sample more efficiently, given its shorter period. Note that two months of daily returns contain more
observations than three years of monthly returns, which is a common choice in the literature. Second,
Merton (1980) argues that the precision of covariance estimates increases with data frequency. Third, if
we suspect that factor loadings can be time-varying, using more recent data in each regression
decreases the persistence in the factor loadings and increases the likelihood that their ex ante values are
indeed good proxies for their ex post values.
In the second stage, ex post portfolio evaluation, we run the same regressions as in Equation (4),
but with monthly stock and factor returns over the entire sample. Notice that the sample size varies
across countries, depending on the availability of data. We prefer monthly regressions in the second

9
For instance, at the end of June, we use data from April 26 to June 23 to estimate the factor loadings for the July portfolio.
10
To check the robustness of our liquidity screens and of our conclusions, we follow Dimson (1979) and also estimate the factor
loadings in Equation (4) as the sum of coefficients on current and lagged factor returns. The results (not reported in the paper)
remain qualitatively unchanged under this alternative specification.
14

stage because they provide a better comparison between our results and previous results in the
literature, which were all executed at the monthly frequency.
For our study we use data from 23 developed countries. Table 1 shows the number of stocks
and starting year for each country in our sample. The starting year is selected by identifying the longest
time horizon that contains at least 25 stocks in all months. This guarantees that each of the 25 portfolios
is non-empty. Also, because the characteristic- and factor loading-balanced portfolios are created as a
combination of ten individual portfolios, both contain 40 percent of the total number of stocks at each
point in time, or a minimum of ten stocks. The average number of stocks is 445 and the average starting
year is 1983. Obviously, the number of stocks per country and the time-period of available data vary
substantially. The U.S. sample is an outlier in terms of length and number of socks, as it contains, on
average, 2279 stocks and starts in 1927.
Starting with the predictions from the previous section, Table 2 presents the results for the B/M
characteristic-balanced portfolios (Panel A) and the HML factor loading-balanced portfolios (Panel B).
Individual countries provide interesting evidence, but we focus on the aggregated test statistics at the
bottom of the table, because they are more powerful and allow for a more concise discussion around
the results.
The first aggregated test statistic is the averageacross all 23 countriesof alphas and average
returns. This average is simple to calculate, but obtaining its variance (or t-statistic) is relatively more
complicated. Country regressions give us variances for individual alphas, but not the covariances
between them.
11
Thus, we follow the procedure described in the Appendix and use Hansens (1982)
Generalized Method of Moments (GMM) to calculate the covariance between country alphas. GMM is a

11
More specifically, to calculate the variance of the average alpha, one needs to evaluate
(


15

good choice in this case, because it takes into account the correlation between portfolios and factors of
different countries, addressing the criticism that correlated countries do not add more independent
observationsor more powerto the tests.
12

The second aggregated test statistic is the percentage of countries in the sample with positive
(or negative) average returns and alphas. Assuming a binomial distribution for the sign of these
variables, one would need to observe at least 70 percent of the sample with the same sign to reject the
null hypothesis that the mean of the distribution is zero, at the 5 percent significance level.
13

Starting with the results for the B/M characteristic-balanced portfolios, we see that the fraction
of positive to negative average returns is 0.57 to 0.43, and only one country shows an average return
that is statistically different from zero. Therefore, we cannot reject the hypothesis that the mean of the
distribution is zero. The average mean return across the 23 countries is 0.79 percent with a t-statistic of
0.84, which is also indistinguishable from zero. Neither test rejects the hypothesis that expected returns
are zero and the tests do not support the alternative claim that [

] . In terms of Carhart alpha,


we observe that 83 percent of the countries have negative alphas, which is higher than the 70 percent
critical value necessary to reject the hypothesis of zero alpha in favor of the negative alpha hypothesis.
The average mean alpha is 1.74 percent with a t-statistic of 2.09, which again rejects the zero-alpha
hypothesis in favor of the negative-alpha hypothesis.
14
Our results appear to support (M1) against (R1).

12
Because the sample length differs across countries, we are forced to calculate the standard errors for the averages across
countries using only the common sample: 19912010. Notice that the smaller sample decreases the statistical significance of all
our estimates, given the small number of observations, and therefore does not benefit one theory in detriment of the other.
We have calculated averages in the restricted sample (not reported in the tables) and our all conclusions remain unchanged.
13
We acknowledge that using the binomial distribution to test the frequency of positive (or negative) values is only an
approximation, but these results are used mainly to confirm the tests for average expected returns and alphas, for which we
have more accurate distributions.
14
Alert readers will wonder why the average alpha is statistically different from zero when only one of the alphas is. The answer
is simple: the test portfolios and the factorsand HML in particularare relatively uncorrelated across different countries
(Fama and French, 1998). This property significantly increases the statistical power in cross-country tests. Our interpretation of
this result is that with longer period of available data more countries would show significant alphas. Moreover, the single
significant alpha occurs exactly in the United States, by far our longest sample.
16

In our database, we have 84 years of data for the United States, compared with only about 30
years for the majority of the other countries. Because the recent 30-year span may not be deemed
representative of the true underlying riskreturn dynamic, we look to the U.S. results for robustness.
The average return in the United States for the B/M characteristic-balanced portfolio is slightly negative
(0.76 percent), but is not statistically different from zero (t-statistic of 0.74). The alpha is 3.17 percent
and is significantly different from zero (t-statistic of 3.18). These results provide additional strong
support for the mispricing theory (M1) versus the risk-based theory (R1). Our results contradict the
evidence presented in Davis, Fama, and French (2000); we attribute this difference in results to our
application of daily data to estimate

, which we believe results in more accurate ex-ante


measurement of HML loading.
Turning our attention to the results for the HML factor loading-balanced portfolios, we note that
the average returns are positive for 100 percent of the countries in our sample. The average mean
return is 7.61 percent with a t-statistic of 4.65, which provides strong support for the mispricing theory
(M2). The results for Carhart alphas also provide strong support for the mispricing theory, with positive
returns in 87 percent of the countries and a statistically significant average alpha of 3.01 percent. These
results strongly support the mispricing theory (M2) against the risk-based theory (R2).
The results for the United States further support the overall conclusion that M2 is more
descriptive of the data than R2. The average return is 7.20 percent with a t-statistic of 3.94. The alpha is
also positive at 1.29 percent with a t-statistic of 1.71, which is significant at the 10 percent level, though
not at the 5 percent level.
The results for portfolios sorted on factor loadings and characteristics strongly favor the
mispricing theory over the risk-based theory. Nonetheless, we acknowledge that skeptics could still
argue that the double-sorting method only partially controls for the high correlation between B/M and
17

HML loading for stocks. Given the controversy surrounding the source of the value premium, we believe
additional evidence is needed to strengthen the claim that mispricing is the more credible explanation.
4.2. Fama-MacBeth Tests
The ordinary least squares (OLS) regression provides a robust way to address the above skepticism. In
the regression

, (5)
where the resulting coefficients,

and

, explain, by construction, the independent effects of

and

on . In other words, the relationship between

and , given by

, is estimated above and beyond


any relationship between

and . The same observation is also true for


Now consider a joint cross-sectional regression of stocks expected returns on their B/M
characteristics and HML loadings:
[

. (6)
Notice that the loading on the HML factor,

, is now the explanatory variable, and the estimated


coefficientthe risk premiumis given by

. Notice also that we model the relationship between


expected returns and B/M in logs, a common practice in finance research.
15
Regression (6) allows us to
do a horse race between the risk-based and the mispricing theories, measuring which one of

or
B/M has more explanatory power on expected stock returns in the cross-section, above and beyond the
other.

15
See, among others, Fama and French (2008).
18

The methodology developed by Fama and MacBeth (1973) takes this idea as a starting point and
expands it across multiple time periods. Running the regression in Equation (6) for multiple time
periods,

, (7)
we obtain a time-series of the independent relationships between

or and stocks
returns. Therefore, we can look at the average values of

and

over time and make relevant


comparisons on their signs, magnitudes, and statistical significances. See the Appendix for details.
Table 3 presents results from two specifications of FamaMacBeth regressions on individual stocks.
Similar to Table 2, it also shows aggregated test statistics calculated from the 23 countries.
16
The first
regression includes only the factor loadings on the four Carhart factors considered,

, (8)
and tells us how differences in loadings on the value factor (HML) explain differences in expected
returns. The second, and more interesting, regression includes all four factor loadings plus the three
characteristics related to value, size, and momentum:


(9)
Notice that we also use logs to adjust the size characteristic, and that we invert its sign to obtain a
positive relationship with expected returns. Although we are not interested in the magnitude of



16
Similar to the portfolio tests, we are forced to calculate the variance of the average premiums across countries using only the
common years, 19912010, because of the different sample lengths. Notice that the smaller sample decreases the statistical
significance of all our estimates, given the small number of observations, and therefore does not benefit one theory in
detriment of the other. We have calculated averages in the restricted sample (not reported in the tables) and our all
conclusions remain unchanged.
19

or

in this paper, we include them for completeness. Equation (9), when compared with Equation
(8), provides us with a framework to evaluate the importance of factor loadings versus characteristics in
explaining cross-sectional expected stock returns. In particular, the focus here is on

versus

.
Panel A (Table 3) shows that when applying the FamaMacBeth regression with the specification
following Equation (8), 91 percent of the countries have a positive premium for the HML factor,
although only 13 percent of them are significantly different from zero. The average HML premium,

, across the 23 countries is 0.17 percent per month with a t-statistic of 2.44. This indicates that the
value premium is, at least partially, driven by risk exposure. However, when we include the stock
characteristics into the FamaMacBeth regression in Panel B, exposure to HML no longer appears to
influence expected stock returns. The fraction of positive to negative premiums estimated for the HML
factor is 4852 percent, indicating that there is no support for the hypothesis that

is positive in
general, after controlling for the characteristics. The average

across countries is 0.04 percent per


month with a t-statistic of 0.27, so we cannot reject the hypothesis that HML premium is equal to zero.
The coefficient on , on the other hand, is positive in all but one country (96 percent) and is
significantly different from zero in more than half of these cases (57 percent). The average

across
countries is 0.33 percent per month with a t-statistic of 5.24.
These results imply that the HML factors explanatory power over cross-sectional returns is almost
completely subsumed when the characteristic is included in the FamaMacBeth regression.
This corroborates the evidence, which support the mispricing theory for value premium, presented in
the previous section.
17


17
Miller and Scholes (1972) point out that cross-sectional regressions with estimated factor loadings as explanatory variables
suffer from an errors-in-variable problem. Because the factor loadings from the first stage time series regressions are estimated
with errors, the second stage risk premiums associated with them are biased toward zero. We recognize that this bias might
favor the mispricing theory if one assumes that characteristicsand B/M in particularare measured more precisely than
factor loadings. To alleviate such concerns we note that the value premium estimated in Panel A of Table 3 is statistically
20


5. Conclusion
In this study, we use two distinct econometric tests to distinguish between the two competing
theories to explain value premium: the risk-based and the mispricing theories. First, we extend the
method of Daniel and Titman (1997). Second, we apply the Fama and MacBeth (1973) method for
estimating premiums associated with sources of returns. We add more power to these tests by using a
large cross-section of countries. In both cases, we find strong support for the mispricing theory.
Specifically, using both methods we find that after controlling for B/M characteristic, HML loading
explains only a small fraction of the cross-section of expected returns. On the other hand, after
controlling for HML loading, B/M characteristic still remains the most important variable for explaining
the cross-section of expected returns.
While we are careful not to outright reject the claim that value premium is compensation for
risk, we do conclude that mispricing is responsible for a larger component of the value premium. This
conclusion has very important implications for portfolio management and performance attribution. It
suggests a less important role for risk as an explanation of the outperformance of value stocks, and that
investors should therefore benefit from a higher allocation to value strategies. It also suggests that
traditional factor-based benchmarking, like the FamaFrench 3-factor and Carhart 4-factor models, may
be inadequate or limited as means of doing performance measurement or attribution.



significant and becomes indistinguishable from zero only in Panel B, after the characteristics are included in the regression.
Moreover, as stressed by Daniel and Titman (1999), the errors-in-variable problem does not affect our conclusions from the
previous section, because the factor loadings are never used as second stage explanatory variables.
21

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23

Appendix I. Data Description and Factor Construction
For the United States, we use daily and monthly stock returns and annual financial data from the Center
for Research in Security Prices (CRSP) and Compustat. The sample period is January 1926 to December
2010, and only ordinary common shares (as classified by CRSP) are included in our tests. The book equity
data is supplemented by the historical Moodys Manuals values from Kenneth R. Frenchs data library as
in Davis, Fama, and French (2000) whenever it is not available in Compustat. We use the one-month U.S.
Treasury bill rate from Ibbotson Associates as the risk-free rate.
The source for return and accounting data for the other 22 developed countries is Datastream
and Worldscope. The sample period starts in January 1980 to November 1994, depending on individual
countries, and ends in December 2010. All ADRs (as classified by Worldscope) are excluded. Returns are
in U.S. dollars and the risk-free rate is the one-month U.S. Treasury bill rate. One caveat is that
Datastream posts daily returns for non-trading days as well. They use the annualized dividend yield and
the adjusted price (padded), hence there is usually a value given for holidays such as January 1. Thus, we
remove records for a certain day if daily returns are zero for most of the securities within each country.
The construction of the factor portfolios primarily follows Fama and French (1993) and Carhart
(1997). We sort stocks on size (market capitalization) and the ratio of book equity to market equity
(B/M), and form six portfolios (Small Value, Small Neutral, Small Growth, Big Value, Big Neutral, and Big
Growth.) B/M is calculated as book equity for the fiscal year ending in calendar year t1, divided by
market equity at the end of December of year t1. The B/M is used to annually construct the portfolios
at the end of June of year t. We exclude negative book equity firms, and leave out companies until they
have appeared on Compustat or Worldscope for two years to avoid the survivorship bias in the way
those vendors add firms to the data.
For the United States we use NYSE median values (size) and 70
th
and 30
th
percentiles (B/M) from
Ken Frenchs data library as breakpoints. For international stocks, the breakpoints are the 80
th
percentile
for size, and 70
th
and 30
th
percentiles for B/M. We calculate the SMB and HML factors as follows:
SMB = 1/3 (Small Value + Small Neutral + Small Growth) - 1/3 (Big Value + Big Neutral + Big
Growth)
HML = 1/2 (Small Value + Big Value) - 1/2 (Small Growth + Big Growth)
The excess return on the market (MktRf) is the value-weighted return on all stocks including negative
BE firms minus the risk-free rate.
We also form six value-weighted portfolios based on size and cumulative return over prior 12
months excluding the most recent month (Small Up, Small Medium, Small Down, Big Up, Big Medium,
and Big Down). We use the breakpoints from Ken Frenchs data library for the United States, and the
80
th
(size) and 70
th
/30
th
(prior return) percentiles for the other countries. To be included in a portfolio
for month t (formed at the end of the month t1), a stock must have a return for month t12 and t2.
The momentum factor is constructed monthly as follows:
24

UMD = 1/2 (Small Up + Big Up) - 1/2(Small Down + Big Down)
Appendix II. Fama and MacBeth (1973) Regressions
We estimate the premia of the four factors and stock characteristics by using FamaMacbeth two-stage
regressions. First, we find estimates of the factor loadings of each stock from time series regressions
with the Carhart four-factor model as in the portfolio tests. Second, we run monthly cross-sectional
regression of returns on risk exposures and/or characteristics. Finally, we estimate the premium, of
each factor or characteristic as the time series average of the cross-sectional regression estimates:



where T is the number of months in the period.
The t-statistic of the premium is calculated as follows:
(




where

is the standard deviation of the monthly estimates.


Appendix III. GMM Standard Errors
For each country we run the following factor regression:

,
(A1)
where

] and

umd

] .
Following Cochrane (2005), we can write each country regression as a set of GMM moment conditions,

] .
(A2)
Solving this equation yields the same result as traditional OLS,

],
(A3)
showing that GMM and OLS give us the same coefficients in this case.
Because we want to find the covariances between the coefficients of different countries, we
stack their regressions (or moments) together. The tests in this article involve only the alphas, so we are
interested only in the columns and rows related to them.
25

The notation with multiple countries becomes cumbersome quickly. For this reason, here we
solve an example with two countries only. The general case is exactly the same with multiple columns
and rows. The stacked moment conditions for countries 1 and 2 are
[

] ,
(A4)
where [

].
Hansen (1982) shows that the covariance matrix of is given by

.
(A5)
In this case is equal to
[


(A6)
and is block-diagonal:

].
(A7)
We use no leads or lags in the calculation of because, in our case, the residuals come from
monthly returns, which show very little serial correlation. In other words, the formulas above correct
only for the more important cross-sectional correlation between residuals (and factors) of different
countries.
To confirm that the variance formula (A5) is a generalization of the OLS formula, consider again
the case of one country. Using the usual OLS assumptions that a) the residuals are homoscedastic and
uncorrelated over time, and b) the factors and residuals are independent as well as uncorrelated we
obtain

] [

] [

)
(A8)
which is the traditional OLS formula for the variance of the coefficients.

26

Table 1 Number of Stocks and Starting Year 23 Developed Countries Sample Summary
Country
Minimum
number of stocks
Average
number of stocks
Maximum
number of stocks
Starting
Year
Australia 66 525 1727
1982
Austria

25 76 107
1987
Belgium

25 109 148
1987
Canada

122 699 2207
1982
Denmark

26 145 217
1986
Finland

32 97 141
1990
France

83 487 842
1982
Germany

83 489 891
1982
Greece

30 182 298
1989
Hong Kong

25 383 977
1991
Ireland

27 57 74
1985
Italy

29 178 286
1982
Japan

321 2156 3849
1982
Netherlands

39 139 221
1982
New Zealand

26 70 144
1990
Norway

28 124 209
1987
Portugal

25 58 99
1989
Singapore

28 238 601
1988
Spain

33 120 155
1988
Sweden

29 202 424
1985
Switzerland

26 168 277
1982
United Kingdom

261 1247 2036
1982
United States 425 2279 5645
1927


27



Table 2 Expected Returns and Alphas for Characteristic-Balanced and Factor Loading-Balanced Portfolios
Country
Panel A: Characteristic-Balanced Portfolios Panel B: Factor Loading-Balanced Portfolios
Ann. Mean
(%) t-stat
Ann. Alpha
(%) t-stat

Ann. Mean
(%) t-stat
Ann. Alpha
(%) t-stat
Australia
3.89 1.47 -2.60 -0.97 4.23 1.65 -2.40 -1.13
Austria
4.52 1.28 1.03 0.29

11.11 3.01 5.02 1.59
Belgium
-2.47 -0.74 -5.84 -1.79

3.38 1.33 0.63 0.28
Canada
-2.98 -0.90 -5.80 -1.83

9.73 3.45 2.84 1.37
Denmark
-3.33 -1.13 -5.37 -1.77

7.12 2.32 5.85 2.29
Finland
2.51 0.54 -0.64 -0.15

7.30 1.36 2.24 0.55
France
-1.73 -0.70 -1.79 -0.80

10.21 3.82 3.35 1.72
Germany
3.78 1.54 -0.35 -0.15

7.96 3.09 4.73 2.50
Greece
5.16 1.27 1.48 0.39

6.44 1.46 -0.68 -0.21
Hong Kong
9.66 2.31 4.71 1.30

8.80 2.21 2.25 0.92
Ireland
-1.38 -0.27 -3.08 -0.61

9.31 1.92 6.52 1.51
Italy
-3.25 -1.26 -3.41 -1.36

4.04 1.59 1.49 0.75
Japan
2.65 1.08 -2.10 -0.99

8.56 3.26 1.59 1.18
Netherlands
0.16 0.05 -0.34 -0.12

3.50 1.35 1.85 0.81
New Zealand
1.00 0.23 -0.14 -0.03

0.68 0.16 2.60 0.63
Norway
1.93 0.44 0.12 0.03

4.40 1.04 -2.70 -0.77
Portugal
-0.55 -0.13 -2.74 -0.65

23.81 2.02 13.26 1.31
Singapore
0.49 0.16 -2.07 -0.74

7.39 2.31 1.04 0.50
Spain
-1.60 -0.56 -2.39 -0.86

9.41 3.08 7.83 2.92
Sweden
1.80 0.53 -0.02 -0.01

3.60 0.99 0.87 0.32
Switzerland
-1.60 -0.68 -3.57 -1.50

9.99 4.72 9.27 4.91
United Kingdom
0.31 0.16 -1.97 -1.03

6.87 3.26 0.40 0.28
United States
-0.76 -0.74 -3.17 -3.18 7.20 3.94 1.29 1.71
% Positive
57

17

100

87

% Pos. Significant
4

0

57

17

% Negative
43

83

0

13

% Neg. Significant
0

4

0

0

Average
0.79

-1.74

7.61

3.01

(t-stat)


(0.84)

(-2.09)

(4.65)

(4.02)



28

Table 3 FamaMacBeth Regressions Risk Premia Estimates.
Panel A: Factor Loadings Only
Factor Loadings
Country
Intercept
(%)
Market

(%)
Size

(%)
Value

(%)
Mom

(%)
Australia
1.43 -0.03 0.00 0.13 0.28
(3.72) (-0.17) (0.03) (1.41) (1.81)
Austria
0.91 -0.20 0.22 0.59 0.70
(2.46) (-0.59) (1.03) (2.61) (2.64)
Belgium
1.07 -0.08 -0.05 0.05 -0.13
(3.44) (-0.29) (-0.34) (0.27) (-0.54)
Canada
1.62 -0.16 0.02 0.06 0.50
(4.47) (-0.71) (0.10) (0.25) (2.07)
Denmark
0.62 0.12 0.49 0.43 0.23
(1.64) (0.39) (2.47) (2.08) (0.98)
Finland
1.31 -0.89 -0.03 0.54 0.66
(3.14) (-2.07) (-0.15) (1.61) (1.58)
France
1.20 0.09 -0.12 0.19 0.00
(4.19) (0.45) (-1.04) (1.60) (0.01)
Germany
0.80 -0.14 -0.02 0.16 0.11
(2.97) (-0.76) (-0.23) (1.69) (0.73)
Greece
1.42 -0.41 -0.17 0.42 0.04
(2.22) (-0.87) (-0.56) (1.88) (0.12)
Hong Kong
1.71 -0.09 -0.09 0.32 -0.08
(3.96) (-0.28) (-0.54) (1.75) (-0.41)
Ireland
0.89 0.35 -0.22 0.26 -0.20
(2.19) (1.16) (-0.77) (0.75) (-0.40)
Italy
0.59 0.09 -0.09 -0.03 0.26
(1.74) (0.34) (-0.76) (-0.24) (1.32)
Japan
0.64 0.04 0.01 0.18 -0.02
(2.10) (0.25) (0.07) (2.22) (-0.14)
Netherlands
1.22 -0.20 -0.12 0.01 -0.21
(4.18) (-0.95) (-1.09) (0.09) (-1.01)
New Zealand
0.78 -0.03 0.19 0.22 0.85
(1.58) (-0.05) (0.76) (0.73) (2.14)
Norway
1.19 0.27 -0.17 0.08 -0.08
(3.26) (0.74) (-0.57) (0.27) (-0.28)
Portugal
1.52 -0.93 -0.40 0.49 -0.69
(1.99) (-1.32) (-0.85) (1.25) (-1.06)
Singapore
0.51 0.59 0.08 0.08 0.01
(1.28) (2.45) (0.64) (0.49) (0.06)
Spain
0.82 -0.32 0.01 0.20 0.19
(2.74) (-1.06) (0.05) (1.23) (0.86)
Sweden
1.25 -0.40 0.13 0.11 -0.14
(3.29) (-1.29) (0.66) (0.49) (-0.54)
Switzerland
0.99 -0.05 -0.11 -0.18 -0.02
(3.31) (-0.20) (-0.83) (-1.57) (-0.14)
United Kingdom
0.75 0.10 -0.05 0.11 0.02
(2.58) (0.79) (-0.72) (1.80) (0.23)
United States
1.11 -0.09 0.03 0.04 0.02
(5.89) (-1.29) (0.92) (0.90) (0.28)
% Positive 91
% Pos. Significant 13
% Negative 9
% Neg. Significant 0
Average 1.04 -0.07 -0.02 0.17 0.09
(t-stat) (4.03) (-0.73) (-0.31) (2.44) (0.73)

29

Panel B: Factor Loadings + Characteristics
Factor Loadings

Characteristics
Country
Intercept
(%)
Market

(%)
Size

(%)
Value

(%)
Mom

(%)

Size
-log(Size) (%)
Value
log(B/M) (%)
Mom
UMD (%)
Australia
2.49 0.09 -0.07 0.08 0.14 0.28 0.36 1.10
(4.87) (0.42) (-0.58) (0.86) (1.01) (3.87) (2.83) (4.88)
Austria
0.58 -0.59 0.21 -0.28 0.29 -0.09 0.52 1.25
(0.98) (-1.34) (0.64) (-0.93) (1.09) (-0.96) (3.32) (1.11)
Belgium
1.65 0.08 -0.22 -0.19 -0.57 0.19 0.28 2.25
(2.47) (0.28) (-1.18) (-0.85) (-2.27) (1.55) (0.93) (4.36)
Canada
3.55 0.03 -0.09 0.02 0.37 0.51 0.06 0.83
(6.15) (0.14) (-0.53) (0.07) (1.63) (6.53) (0.42) (4.30)
Denmark
1.47 0.41 0.39 0.40 0.11 0.24 0.31 1.10
(2.40) (1.14) (1.62) (1.62) (0.41) (2.23) (1.23) (2.85)
Finland
1.67 -0.48 -0.30 0.08 0.33 0.17 0.37 0.50
(2.68) (-1.04) (-1.19) (0.25) (0.78) (1.70) (2.82) (1.10)
France
2.08 0.18 -0.26 -0.01 -0.15 0.19 0.47 0.82
(4.80) (0.97) (-2.34) (-0.07) (-1.07) (3.36) (5.51) (3.72)
Germany
1.14 -0.22 -0.01 0.13 -0.09 0.07 0.17 1.39
(3.65) (-1.31) (-0.17) (1.45) (-0.71) (2.04) (3.05) (5.79)
Greece
3.06 0.03 -0.49 0.02 0.14 0.41 0.20 0.57
(2.92) (0.08) (-1.96) (0.08) (0.44) (2.54) (0.77) (1.11)
Hong Kong
3.78 0.34 -0.36 0.19 -0.07 0.50 0.33 0.66
(4.91) (1.02) (-1.90) (0.94) (-0.32) (4.08) (2.67) (2.03)
Ireland
1.67 0.23 -0.56 -0.04 -0.58 0.19 0.09 1.02
(2.02) (0.54) (-1.67) (-0.12) (-1.09) (1.39) (0.50) (1.60)
Italy
0.80 0.18 -0.15 -0.09 0.01 0.06 0.15 1.12
(1.82) (0.72) (-1.33) (-0.72) (0.07) (1.01) (1.30) (3.85)
Japan
1.76 0.30 -0.12 0.09 -0.01 0.17 0.36 -0.19
(3.05) (1.73) (-1.85) (1.19) (-0.07) (2.61) (4.98) (-0.80)
Netherlands
1.33 -0.14 -0.25 -0.07 -0.51 0.06 0.18 1.92
(3.03) (-0.67) (-2.07) (-0.45) (-2.61) (1.10) (2.00) (6.23)
New Zealand
1.65 0.12 -0.01 0.45 0.24 0.26 -0.18 1.49
(2.48) (0.24) (-0.04) (1.35) (0.57) (2.14) (-0.80) (2.69)
Norway
2.01 0.20 -0.19 -0.30 -0.49 0.22 0.43 1.54
(3.16) (0.54) (-0.59) (-0.92) (-1.35) (1.86) (2.20) (4.38)
Portugal
2.17 0.48 -1.07 -0.56 -0.80 0.23 1.46 -0.61
(2.70) (0.72) (-2.12) (-0.91) (-1.14) (1.19) (1.79) (-0.71)
Singapore
1.12 0.62 -0.08 -0.19 -0.06 0.20 0.52 0.37
(1.78) (2.43) (-0.61) (-1.10) (-0.36) (1.99) (2.86) (0.74)
Spain
0.70 -0.28 0.07 0.09 -0.01 0.01 0.09 1.19
(1.37) (-0.96) (0.42) (0.56) (-0.05) (0.08) (0.87) (2.91)
Sweden
1.92 -0.33 0.03 -0.07 -0.46 0.18 0.14 1.30
(3.32) (-1.12) (0.15) (-0.34) (-1.75) (1.93) (1.18) (3.34)
Switzerland
0.93 -0.07 -0.11 -0.20 -0.19 0.03 0.21 1.27
(2.41) (-0.29) (-0.85) (-1.73) (-1.27) (0.56) (3.53) (4.17)
United Kingdom
1.26 0.35 -0.19 0.06 -0.09 0.16 0.23 0.91
(3.56) (2.74) (-2.49) (1.25) (-1.02) (3.54) (4.10) (4.60)
United States
3.07 -0.07 -0.03 -0.02 -0.02 0.21 0.23 0.58
(6.23) (-1.15) (-1.45) (-0.64) (-0.49) (5.54) (4.90) (3.33)
% Positive 48 96
% Pos. Significant 0 57
% Negative 52 4
% Neg. Significant 0 0
Average
1.79 0.10 -0.18 -0.04 -0.12 0.20 0.33 0.97
(t-stat)
(5.95) (0.49) (-2.66) (-0.27) (-1.00) (5.29) (5.24) (4.78)

30

Figure 1 - Portfolios


(1,1) (1,2) (1,3) (1,4) (1,5)
(2,1) (2,2) (2,3) (2,4) (2,5)
(3,1) (3,2) (3,3) (3,4) (3,5)
(4,1) (4,2) (4,3) (4,4) (4,5)
(5,1) (5,2) (5,3) (5,4) (5,5)


B/M B/M


(5,1) (5,2) (5,3) (5,4) (5,5)
(4,1) (4,2) (4,3) (4,4) (4,5)
(3,1) (3,2) (3,3) (3,4) (3,5)
(2,1) (2,2) (2,3) (2,4) (2,5)
(1,1) (1,2) (1,3) (1,4) (1,5)
Sorting first on B/M then on


Sorting first on

then on B/M
31

Figure 2 Predictions from Risk-Based and Mispricing Theories for the Experiment of Holding B/M Constant and
Varying

.

Figure 3 Predictions from Risk-Based and Mispricing Theories for the Experiment of Holding

Constant and
Varying B/M.


[]

Predictions from the Risk Exposure Theory Predictions from the Mispricing Theory


[]

B/M
[]

Predictions from the Risk Exposure Theory

Predictions from the Mispricing Theory
B/M
[]

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