Massification: Looking at Growth in Honduras and the United States
Liana Bracale Carroll Comparative Higher Education / 66674 December 10, 2013 Dr. Merrill MASS GROWTH HOND AND US 2 Massification: Looking at Growth in Honduras and the United States Massification, an idea attributed to Martin Trow, has become a widely used term to describe a common trend within higher education systems around the world. The change or growth in higher education from elite to mass to universal systems share particular characteristics and can lead to tension within a society and system. This paper describes massification from two different national contexts looking specifically at growth in the three ways Trow (2005) considers: the gross enrollment ratio, the rate of growth, and the absolute size of the system. The United States of America (US) is one of the most economically developed countries and also represents a country that authors agree was the first system to become massified. La Repblica de Honduras [Republic of Honduras] (Honduras), as a developing nation, represents a country in Latin America that lacks significant research regarding massification in English or Spanish. As seemingly opposite sides of the spectrum, it is interesting to note the similarities in that both countries displayed spikes in their rates of growth and number of institutions. The differences between the two cases reveal, however, that the United States massified earlier and responded to internal pressures whereas Honduras growth occurred later as a response to external pressures. Massification Definition Although Martin Trow did not use the word massification, the term refers to Trows idea that higher education in modern societies have developed from elite, to mass, to universal systems (Trow, 1973). Trow introduced the idea in the 1970s indicating that higher education in each phase reflects particular characteristics (Brennan, 2004). Brennan (2004) fashioned Trows MASS GROWTH HOND AND US 3 original work into a chart divided into the characteristics of change found within each area (elite, mass, universal), which Trow later used as a way to organize his 2005 reflections (Trow, 2005). Trow (2005) defines the three phases of transformation in the following manner: (1) elite--shaping the mind and character of a ruling class; preparation for elite roles; (2) mass--transmission of skills and preparation for a broader range of technical and economic elite roles; and (3) universal--adaptation of the whole population to rapid social and technological change. (p. 1) Trow (2005) emphasized that his model should not be taken wholesale to exemplify all the parts of a system, but rather used to highlight the common tensions that arise from transitions. [The three phrases] are abstracted from empirical reality, and emphasize the functional relationships among the several components of an institutional system common to all advanced industrial societies rather than the unique characteristics of any one. Therefore, the description of any phase cannot be taken as a full or adequate description of any single national system (Trow, 2005, p. 35). He notes how even when a system as a whole may have transformed into a new phase, there may likely exist institutions that reflect aspects of the previous phase (Trow, 2005, p. 36). Context Because this paper focuses on massification, and specifically on the way Trow defined growth, understanding the context of his work provides some useful understanding on the perspective that grounds the ideas of growth. Trow (2005) does not define what he considers an advanced industrial society, but a brief description of his background provides a possible explanation why his conception of massification heavily focuses on both Western and economically more developed areas. Martin Trow was born in the United States, in New York in MASS GROWTH HOND AND US 4 1926, and attended both undergraduate and graduate school in the Northeastern part of the country (Center for Studies in Higher Education [CSHE], 2006). He published works in the 1970s as a Professor Emeritus from the University of California, Berkeley, in which he discussed the idea of a movement from elite, to mass, to universal higher education. He worked as a Distinguished Visiting Scholar in London and Japan and consulted in Sweden (CSHE, 2006). Not only did Trow have a personal educational experience rooted in the West (the United States), but his research also took him into modern industrialized parts of the world. His particular frame of reference encompassed the focal area of his research and therefore adds an important consideration when extrapolating his ideas into different contexts. Characteristics of Massification Brennan (2004) identified ten different characteristics that are manifested within the phases of massification: attitudes to access, functions, curriculum and forms of instruction, student career, institutional characteristics, locus of power and decision making, academic standards, access and selection, forms of academic administration, and internal governance. When discussing whether a nation has massified, authors tend to refer to growth as a main indicator. This paper specifically focuses on massification in terms of Trows (2005) conceptualization of growth. Growth Trow (1973, 2005) argues that higher education demonstrates growth in three different manners: 1) by the rate of growth, looking specifically at how quickly total student enrollment changes, 2) in the absolute size both of systems and individual institutions, looking at the amount of institutions in a system as a whole, as well as the absolute size of individual institutions, and 3) in the proportion of the relevant age group enrolled (1973, p. 2; 2005, p. 2) MASS GROWTH HOND AND US 5 commonly known as the Gross Enrollment Ratio (GER). These three components of growth are tied to each other, in that they all are indicators of growth, but each one reveals nuanced information that provides greater information regarding massification and its possible reasons. Country Profiles When possible, this paper cites statistics from sources that originate from the country of origin. In the cases when statistics from the country were difficult to find, data from external organizations was used. When citing data from the Central Intelligence Agencys (CIA) World Factbook, it is important to note that it does not indicate where the original sources are taken from: The Factbook staff uses many different sources to publish what we judge are the most reliable and consistent data for any particular category. Space considerations preclude a listing of these various sources (Central Intelligence Agency [CIA], 2013a, Policies and Procedures section). The difficulty in finding reliable statistics, points to the potential problems in relying too heavily on these statistics as full indicators of massification. Honduras Profile Honduras is a country located in Central America that touches both the Pacific and Atlantic Oceans. It borders three other countries including: Nicaragua to the South, Guatemala to the North, and El Salvador to the Southwest. The total area of the country is 112,090 sq km, ranking 103 in size compared to other nations. (CIA, 2013b). The Instituto Nacional de Estadstica Honduras (INE) [Honduran Institute of National Statistics] records 6.5 million people from the last Honduran census taken in 2001 (Instituto Nacional de Estadstica [INE], n.d.a). The INE estimates the current 2013 population at 8.5 million given an approximated growth rate of 2% (INE, n.d.c). According to the 2001 census, MASS GROWTH HOND AND US 6 50% of the population falls below the age of 29, with 20.7% of the population between the ages of 15-24 (INE, n.d.a). The Banco Central de Honduras [Honduran Central Bank] indicates a preliminary 2012 estimate of Honduras GDP per capita of 2,212 (measured in US dollars); 18,549 GDP (in USD millions) (n.d.). The CIA World Factbook ranks Honduras as 106 out of 229 listed countries according to its GDP PPP (Purchasing Power Parity) of 38.4 billion USD. When calculating the percentage of the population in poverty, the INE reports 66.2% of the 2010 population as poor, with 45.3% in extreme poverty (INE, n.d.e). United States Profile The United States of America is located in the Northern Hemisphere, bordering Canada to the North and Mexico to the South. It also touches both the Atlantic and Pacific oceans. In terms of its physical size, the US ranks as the 3rd largest country with 9,826,675 sq km (CIA, 2013c). According to the US Census Bureau, a 2012 estimate of the population approximated 313,914,040 people (U.S. Census Bureau, 2013). The largest portion of the population in the US (40.2%) falls between the ages of 25-54; approximately 13.7% of population are between the ages of 15-24 in the US (CIA, 2013c). The US is listed second, behind the European Union, in GDP ppp (purchasing power parity) at $15.9 trillion US dollars (using a 2012 estimate) (CIA, 2013c). According to the US Census Bureau Quick Facts, 14.4% of the population between 2007-2011 fell below the poverty line (2013). Gross Enrollment Ratio MASS GROWTH HOND AND US 7 The GER is important because it is what authors usually refer to in describing massification around the world (personal observation through readings). This may be due to Trow (1973) identifying a particular percentage for each phase, suggesting that Elite systems were usually maintained from 0-15%, Mass systems were found from 16-50%, and Universal systems existed beyond 50% (as cited in Trow, 2005, p. 16). The United Nations Educational, Scientific and Cultural Organization (UNESCO) defines GER as the total enrolment in a specific level of education, regardless of age, expressed as a percentage of the eligible official school-age population corresponding to the same level of education in a given school year (Altbach, Reisberg, & Rumbley, 2009, p. 193). The GER may hint at the accessibility of the system in providing education to the masses. As a ratio, when greater numbers of students enroll from the same applicable age cohort, it indicates more students were able to access higher education. Even though the GER is one of the main ways massification is defined, it is not the only way Trow (1973) defined it. Honduras Using the GER as a measure of massification for Honduras is cumbersome because it relies on statistics that are based on incomplete data. For example, in order to find the ratio of students that are enrolled at a particular timeframe, one must have reliable population statistics distributed by age for each year. In this case, Honduras held its last census in 2001 (INE, n.d.b) and any data mentioned after 2001 that originate from Honduran sources must therefore be based on estimates. Rough calculations indicate that in 2001, the GER for Honduras was at 7.37% using the age cohort from 15-24 and 13.9% using the age cohort from 15-19. These calculations are based on the Honduran Census data from 2001 (INE, n.d.a) that show 1,355,418 between the ages of MASS GROWTH HOND AND US 8 15-24 or 720,128 people between the ages of 15-19, and data provided by la Universidad Nacional Autnoma de Honduras (UNAH), the institution that governs the higher education system in Honduras, (Universidad Nacional Autnoma de Honduras [UNAH], 2006b) that shows 99,928 students in 2001. Other external organizations separate from the country report the Honduran GER, but it is unclear how these organizations arrived at their statistics. For example, UNESCO estimates the GER at 14% in 1999, 15% in 2000, and 17% in 2002 (Altbach et. al., 2009; UNESCO Institute for Statistics [UIS], 2011a). UNESCO specifically notes that the UIS statistics are estimates, and does not indicate how it found those statistics specifically. The Quandl website (www.quandl.com) provides numerous statistics from a variety of sources. Regarding the GER, Quandl cites similar data from two sources, the World Bank and the UNESCO Institute for Statistics Data Centre, displaying similar statistics from both sources. Quandl approximates Honduras latest GER for tertiary enrollment at 20% for 2010, determining that Honduras reached 15% in 2001 and 17% in 2002 (Quandl, 2013a; Quandl, 2013b). Relying only on these stats, one might come to the conclusion that Honduras higher education system became massified somewhere between 2000-2002. Despite providing links to the primary sources, the data could not be tracked back to the original sources. Another source, Padilla (2011), includes a statistic that the GER for Honduras was 14.3%. Although Padilla (2011) does not include the specific details on the origin of the statistics, other statistics in the paper cite back to UNAH. Unfortunately, the statistics remain unclear as to the exact dates or location so they could not be verified. If the statistics given by Padilla (2011) are used, it indicates Honduras would still be in the elite phase. MASS GROWTH HOND AND US 9 Although this process reveals the deficiency in relying on GER as a lone or complete indicator of massification, the commonalities between all the statistics tentatively imply that Honduras may be within or close to the mass stage (15-50% GER). If one plots all the Quandl data provided on Honduras GER, the data illustrates only a gradual increase in the GER. United States Authors seem to universally agree that the United States reflects massification, notably evidenced by the changes in its GER (personal observation). Grz (2011) stated that the US had a 1.1% GER in 1860, 2.3% GER in 1900 and became massified around 1930. Thelin & Gasman (2011) indicate that the US reached universal stages in 1970 with a GER of 50%. UNESCO indicates that in 2000 the US had a GER of 69% and increased to 82% in 2007 (UIS, 2011b). Plotting the Quandl stats provided for the US, the GER shows a continual increase, more prominent than that of Honduras (Quandl, 2013c). Reasons for GER One possible explanation for the growth in the GER can be attributed to the general population increases and changing demographics. In the US, for example, higher education at one time was only open to White males (Thelin & Gasman, 2011). As education opportunities were made available to women, African Americans, and Native Americans, both after the Civil War and during the Civil Rights Era, the ratio increased due to the entrance of students that had been previously excluded (Thelin & Gasman, 2011; Geiger, 2005). The shift in demographics required a similar shift in focus on institutions. For example, womens colleges and specific colleges for African Americans were created. In the case of Honduras, increases in population may provide a more applicable explanatory tool than demographic changes. As Bernasconi (2008) explains, many Latin MASS GROWTH HOND AND US 10 American higher education systems grew to account for the increases in their eligible populations. In Honduras, the population age distribution is heavily skewed toward the younger ages (INE, n.d.b). Although Honduras does not possess the explicitly exclusionary practices that the US had in its earlier history, it is clear that institutions in Honduras are not as accessible to all its students based on the physical location of institutions. For example, the majority of institutions in Honduras are found within the two largest urban areas of Tegucigalpa and San Pedro Sula (Padilla, 2011). Furthermore, because the enrollment statistics do not include ethnic breakdowns, there is no way to tell whether the different ethnicities found within the country are represented. For example, Honduras has a Mayan heritage, visible from the Ruinas de Cpan, and because of its location in Central America it has a rich variety of indigenous groups: the Toltecs (descendants of Aztecs), Chibchas (Colombia), and Lencas (unknown origin) (Merrill, 1993). Furthermore, because of its Colonial past, there exist a mixture of ethnicities that makeup the country: 90% are Mestizo (mixed Amerindian and European), 7% are Amerindian, 2% the Garifuna (Black people that live on the island of Roatn descendants from Carib, Arawak, and West Africa), and 1% white (CIA, 2013b). The only conclusion regarding the demographics of the higher education system remain incomplete at this point, relying on the comparison between the location of the institutions to the country demographics, and not on any provided enrollment demographic data. Rate of Growth The rate of growth is calculated by looking at the rate of change in total enrollment numbers from one year to the next. Although it is connected to the GER, it reveals useful MASS GROWTH HOND AND US 11 information regarding the specific points of expansion in the higher education system and indicates the points of possible stress on the higher education system. [H]igh growth rate placed great strains on the existing structures of governance, of administration, and above all of socialization. When a very large proportion of all the members of an institution are new recruits, they threaten to overwhelm the process whereby recruits to a more slowly growing system are inducted into its value system and learn its norms and forms. (Trow, 2005, p.3) This type of growth can lead to particular types of tension within the system and possible innovations to account for the pressure (Trow, 2005). This type of growth reveals important, unique, information that directs people to look to particular periods of growth. Honduras Although the rate of growth for Honduras provides some additional evidence of massification, the data remains incomplete because the earliest information for enrollment figures available from UNAH date back to 1995. Some conclusions based on the available enrollment figures provided by UNAH, however, reveal a significant spike in growth after 2000. United States The US had a spike in the number of students enrolling in higher education in the 1920s when enrollment doubled after the great depression (Geiger, 2005). But it was the enrollment after World War II, when enrollment tripled, that remains as Trow (2005) says, the watershed event for modern democratic societies (p.2). Reasons for Rate of Growth In both the Honduran and US case, one of the main reasons for the spikes in growth can be attributed to external events. MASS GROWTH HOND AND US 12 In the case of Honduras, Hurricane Mitch, which landed October 1998, devastated the country. A category 5 hurricane, Mitch was one of the worst storms to hit Central America and Honduras specifically, affecting the entire population and leaving 1.5 million victims (United Nations [UN], 1999). Because of its slow-movement, it hovered over Honduras dropping 50-75 inches of rainfall in some locations, and causing massive flooding, landslides, and damage to the infrastructure of the country (The Weather Channel, 2012). After Hurricane Mitch, there was an influx in funding to the country to rebuild the lost infrastructure, with millions of dollars entering the economy (UN, 1999). The governments focus on reconstruction efforts, aided by new external organization projects geared toward the education sector, helped to reduce poverty and improve education for primary and secondary levels (Pavon, 2008). For example, The World Bank funded a project called PROHECO beginning in 1999 that developed approximately 2,136 primary/secondary schools from 1999-2005 (Pavon, 2008). In the 1990s for example government spending on education made up approximately 3.2% of GDP, whereas in 2003/2005 it approximated 7.3% (Pavon, 2008). It is undeniable that this single event, as catastrophic as it was, led to boom in growth in the educational attainment of secondary students and thus rates of enrollment in the tertiary institutions. For the United States, World War II, and the federal government policies that followed, greatly shaped the higher education system. When the war pulled enormous numbers of people out of the labor market and into war, others (mainly women) substituted that labor. But once the war was over, the US federal government grew concerned over the looming possibility of social unrest due to the lack of available jobs (United States Department of Veterans Affairs, 2012). The federal government intended that the Servicemens Readjustment Act of 1944, popularly known as the GI Bill, provide a short-term measure by which the federal MASS GROWTH HOND AND US 13 government could mitigate the pressure of hundreds of thousands of returning war veterans becoming job seekers in a saturated national labor market. (Thelin & Gasman, 2011, p. 12) Although today the GI Bill is a law which entitles military service personnel economic opportunities that come in a variety of forms, the main feature of the law focused on paying the educational costs for higher education. In the end, thousands of people took advantage of the new program, which flooded the higher education system with new enrollments. Absolute Size of System Trow (2005) identifies that the absolute size of the higher education system can be used as a third way to identify growth. Therefore, when looking at the size of the system itself, the total number of institutions, given a particular year, can be used to reflect the overall size of the system. Both the US and Honduras experienced growth in the number of institutions, however, this growth was manifested in different ways and at different times in each context. Trow did not identify a particular number of institutions as characteristic of the phases, however, the number of institutions itself may express growth. Honduras Honduras first higher education institution was formed in 1845 as a private company called la Sociedad del Genio Emprendedor y del Buen Gusto, and was later transformed into the State university in 1847 named la Universidad Nacional Autnoma de Honduras (UNAH) in Tegucigalpa, the capital. (UNAH, 2007). This institution is the only one that existed until 1960 when a second campus under UNAH was created (Secretara Tcnica de Planificacin y Cooperacin Externa-SEPLAN [SEPLAN], 2013; UNAH, 2006a). It wasnt until the late 1980s and early 90s that there was a real significant increase in the number of institutions primarily due MASS GROWTH HOND AND US 14 to private, main campuses opening (SEPLAN, 2013; UNAH, 2006a). Probably the most dramatic increase in the number of institutions occurred in the early 2000s when there was a boom in regional campuses primarily in the public sector (SEPLAN, 2013; UNAH, 2006a). Figure 1 provides a visual representation of the growth in the number of institutions that occurred in Honduras during this time. United States According to Thelin & Gasman (2011) the US had approximately 25 colleges in 1800, which grew to 240 institutions by 1860. According to the US Census Bureau, there were 563 institutions between 1869-70 and this number has steadily increased throughout the years to 4,495 institutions in 2009-10 (U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics [NCES], 2011, Table 197). The most prominent growth occurred between the years of 1909-1970 (NCES, 2011, Table 197). Beyond just the number of institutions, the institutional types also increased as evidenced by the Carnegie Foundation developing a particular classification system (Gumport, Iannozzi, Shaman, & Zemsky, 1997). For example, from 1960- 1975 the amount of two-year institutions doubled (Gumport et al., 1997). Furthermore, the size of individual institutions also increased with multi-campus systems developing across the country (Thelin & Gasman, 2011). For example, Kent State University (KSU) has one main campus and seven regional campuses. The enrollment across these institutions further illustrates this point. According to data in 2012, KSU had 42,513 students, of which 14,807 were enrolled in the regional campuses (Kent State University [KSU], 2012). Figure 2 reflects the grow in the number of institutions for the United States. Reasons for Size of System MASS GROWTH HOND AND US 15 In Honduras, the extreme growth in institutions can be directly linked to the structural changes that occurred in the higher education system itself. In 1957, under the military government (la Junta Militar) a constitutional decree #170 was passed making UNAH an autonomous institution that directly governs the higher education system in Honduras (UNAH, 2007). Thus as the Ministry of Education oversaw the primary and secondary education system, UNAH was responsible for overseeing the tertiary education system. In 1982 there were additional educational reforms. The first reinforced the autonomy of UNAH with Artculo 160 in the constitution that gave UNAH exclusive authority over the management, direction, and development of the higher education and vocational education system, goza de la exclusividad de organizar, dirigir y desarrollar la educacin superior y profesional (Padilla, 2011, p. 82). The second, established Artculo 57 that established the Consejo de Educacin Superior (CES) [Council of Higher Education] as an arm under UNAH responsible for directing the higher education system (Padilla, 2011). Honduras did not escape the global pressures of the rise of the knowledge economy fueled by the United States and other industrialized economies where [m]any countries have shifted to postindustrial economies that require more highly educated personnel for many jobs (Altbach et. al., 2009, p. 5). Furthermore, regional pressures have added to the push for reforms. Bernasconi (2008) mentions how [l]atin America has seen the advent of research activities to meet the call for research that long preceded them and of the full-time research faculty who engage in them (p.28) Thus, while other Latin American nations have taken a more prominent role as producers of knowledge, Honduras has lagged behind. Believing that the country needed additional educational reform, in 2005 the Congreso Nacional [National Congress] of Honduras decided to take steps to reform the higher education system implementing a Transition MASS GROWTH HOND AND US 16 Commission (TC) for a period of 3 years to help UNAH implement reforms that aligned with the governments overall plans and that focused specifically on developing UNAH as a premier research institution (Padilla, 2011). With a new organizational structure, the CES (still under UNAH) could focus on developing the higher education system in Honduras while UNAH focused on growing as the research hub for the country. This push is exemplified in a project developed between the Swedish International Development Cooperation Agency (SIDA) and UNAH, which was specifically aimed at equipping UNAH to become a research university and leader in the knowledge economy (Thulstrup, 2011). These reforms are fraught with tension as professors and other administrators at UNAH believe the National Congress acted beyond the Constitutional mandate of autonomy (UNAH, 2011). It is clear that the reforms have influenced the growth of the higher education system in the number of institutions that have arisen in the last decade. Importantly though, Padilla (2011) notes that even as Honduras has seen a dramatic increase in the number of institutions, UNAH still dominates as the main institution enrolling the majority of students (72%). As Trow (2005) states even as massification occurs, elements of elite systems may continue to remain. Whereas in Honduras the increase in institutions was a result of institutional change in structure, in the US the increases are usually attributed as a response to increasing demand and changing demographics. After the huge influx in enrollments after World War II, most states tended to favor the construction of new commuter institutions such as community colleges and junior colleges [as well as] The emergence of the multicampus university system (Thelin & Gasman, 2011, p. 13). Kent State University represents the same growth in multicampus systems where Trow (2005) discusses growth in individual institutions also occurred. Conclusion MASS GROWTH HOND AND US 17 Both the United States and Honduras reflect the trend of massification as evidenced by their growth reflected in the three ways that Trow (2005) described it. In the case of the growth enrollment ratio, the most commonly presented representation of massification, the data reflects that the United States falls somewhere near the universal phase, whereas Honduras falls just beyond the elite phase. Research revealed that the data remains incomplete for Honduras, possibly due to a lack of census information, a costly measure for developing nations. The case of Honduras with the imperfect and conflicting figures exposes the possible deficiency in using the GER as a reliable measure of massification. Both the United States and Honduras reflected spikes when their growth rates were calculated. Calculations for Honduras indicated a spike after the year 2000s, and for the United States, authors indicate spikes were evident in the 1930s and after 1945. In both cases, economic responses to external events led to quick growth in enrollments, but the origin of the responses were distinct. For the United States, the federal government created the GI Bill wanting to avoid possible tension caused by the servicemen returning from the war whereas in Honduras, funding external to the state, provided the impetus to restructure the country as a whole. The specific attention paid to the lower education sectors trickled to the top. Perhaps the most notable difference between the Honduran and US case was revealed in the last indicator of growth looking at the number of institutions within the higher education systems. Data for both countries show there were increases, and identifiable spikes in the number of institutions. For the United States, these spikes coincided with data regarding the growth in population and demographic changes that were occurring in the country from 1910 to 1970, concluding that the growth in institutions was a response to internal pressure. In order to respond to the needs of the new demographics and enrollment numbers, new institutions would MASS GROWTH HOND AND US 18 have to be developed. The case of Honduras, however, reveals a different story where the country reacted to external and global pressure of becoming a producer in the knowledge economy. This pressure led the Honduran congress to temporarily make changes to the higher education system, intending to turn its main institution into a premier research university. The changes to the structure of the system resulted in less strict control and the development of new institutions. Though massification, as evidenced in growth, was reflected in both cases, research reveals that conclusions wholly based on data, especially in the cases of developing nations, are not without question. Both countries showed growth in enrollments and institutions at different periods due to external events. But the Honduran case, which displayed growth at a later time period, reveals how developing nations may be particularly susceptible to global pressures that encourage growth, reflecting the massification trend.
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Directorio MASS GROWTH HOND AND US 22 de universidades de Honduras 2012-2014: Ventajas comparativas para el fomento de la cooperacin en I+D+i. Tegucigalpa, Honduras: SCANCOLOR Tegucigalpa. The Weather Channel. (2012). Hurricane Mitch. Retrieved on November 30, 2013 from http://www.weather.com/encyclopedia/tropical/archive/1998/mitch.html Thelin, J. R., & Gasman, M. (2011). Historical overview of American higher education. In J.H. Schuh, S.R. Jones, & S.R. Harper (Eds.), Student services: A handbook for the profession [Kindle version]. (pp 3-23). Retrieved from Amazon.com Thulstrup, E. W. (2011, November). Establishing a research university in Honduras (SIDA61410en). Stockholm, Sweden: Swedish International Development Cooperation. Retrieved from http://www.sidaresearch.se/media/13076/ establishing%20a%20research%20university%20in%20honduras.pdf Trow, M. A. (1973). Problems in the transition from elite to mass higher education. Carnegie Commission on Higher Education. Retrieved from http://files.eric.ed.gov/fulltext/ED091983.pdf Trow, M. A. (2005). Reflections on the transition from elite to mass to universal access: Forms and phases of higher education in modern societies since WWII. UC Berkeley: Institute of Governmental Studies. Retrieved from: http://www.escholarship.org/uc/item/96p3s213 UNESCO Institute for Statistics. (2011a). Education (all levels) profile-Honduras. In UIS Statistics in Brief. Retrieved from UIS Data Centre: http://stats.uis.unesco.org/unesco/ TableViewer/document.aspx?ReportId=121&IF_Language=eng& BR_Country=3400&BR_Region=40520
MASS GROWTH HOND AND US 23 UNESCO Institute for Statistics. (2011b). Education (all levels) profile-United States of America. In UIS Statistics in Brief. Retrieved from UIS Data Centre: http://stats.uis.unesco.org/unesco/TableViewer/document.aspx?ReportId=121&IF_ Language=eng&BR_Country=8400&BR_Region=40500 United Nations. (1999, April 14). Honduras: Assessment of the damage caused by Hurricane Mitch, 1998, implications for economic and social development and for the environment. (LC/MEX/L.367). Economic Commission for Latin America and the Caribbean. Retrieved from http://www.eclac.org/publicaciones/ xml/6/15506/L367-1-EN.pdf United States Department of Veterans Affairs. (2012, February 9). The GI Bills history. Retrieved on November 22, 2013 from http://www.gibill.va.gov/benefits/ history_timeline/index.html Universidad Nacional Autnoma de Honduras. (2006a). Cuadro No. 1.2: Centros, regionales y centros de educacin a distancia por ao de creacin y cuidad donde funcionan. Nivel de educacin superior, Honduras, C.A. 2005. [Excel]. In Cuadros y Grficos Estadsticos 2005. Retrieved from https://www.unah.edu.hn/?cat=1214&fcats Universidad Nacional Autnoma de Honduras. (2006b). Cuadro No. 2.2: Matrcula total por modalidad y ao segun centro: Nivel de educacin superior, Honduras, C.A. 1995-2005. [Excel]. In Cuadros y Grficos Estadsticos 2005. Retrieved from https://www.unah.edu.hn/?cat=1214&fcats Universidad Nacional Autnoma de Honduras. (2007). Historia de la UNAH. Retrieved on October 2, 2013 from https://www.unah.edu.hn/?cat=1200&fcats Universidad Nacional Autnoma de Honduras. (2011, January 28). La educacin superior es y MASS GROWTH HOND AND US 24 debe ser responsabilidad del estado. Retrieved on November 28, 2013 from https://www.unah.edu.hn/?art=1456 U.S. Census Bureau. (2013, June 27). State and County QuickFacts. Retrieved from http://quickfacts.census.gov/qfd/states/00000.html U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics. (n.d.). Table 278: Higher Education--Institutions and enrollment 1980 to 2009. Retrieved from U.S. Census Bureau: http://www.census.gov/compendia/statab/cats/ education/higher_education_institutions_and_enrollment.html U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics. (2011). Table 197: Historical summary of faculty, enrollment, degrees, and finances in degree-granting institutions: Selected years, 1869-70 through 2009-10. In U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics (Ed.), Digest of Education Statistics (2011 ed.). Retrieved from http://nces.ed.gov/programs/digest/d11/tables/dt11_197.asp MASS GROWTH HOND AND US 25 Figures
Figure 1. Number of tertiary institutions in Honduras from 1847 to 2012 based on data gathered from SEPLAN (2013) and UNAH, 2006a, Cuadro No. 1.2.
Figure 2. Number of tertiary institutions in the US from 1869 to 2009 based on data gathered from NCES, n.d., Table 278 and NCES, n.d., Table 197.
0 20 40 60 80 100 120 1 8 4 7
1 8 5 2
1 8 5 7
1 8 6 2
1 8 6 7
1 8 7 2
1 8 7 7
1 8 8 2
1 8 8 7
1 8 9 2
1 8 9 7
1 9 0 2
1 9 0 7
1 9 1 2
1 9 1 7
1 9 2 2
1 9 2 7
1 9 3 2
1 9 3 7
1 9 4 2
1 9 4 7
1 9 5 2
1 9 5 7
1 9 6 2
1 9 6 7
1 9 7 2
1 9 7 7
1 9 8 2
1 9 8 7
1 9 9 2
1 9 9 7
2 0 0 2
2 0 0 7
2 0 1 2
Cum Private Cum Public Cum Total 0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500 3000 3500 4000 4500 5000 1 8 6 9 - 7 0 *
1 8 8 9 - 9 0 *
1 9 0 9 - 1 0 *
1 9 2 9 - 3 0 *
1 9 4 9 - 5 0 *
1 9 6 9 - 7 0 *
1 9 7 0 - 7 1 *
1 9 7 2 - 7 3 *
1 9 7 4 - 7 5
1 9 7 6 - 7 7
1 9 7 8 - 7 9
1 9 8 0 - 8 1
1 9 8 2 - 8 3
1 9 8 4 - 8 5
1 9 8 6 - 8 7
1 9 8 8 - 8 9
1 9 9 0 - 9 1
1 9 9 2 - 9 3
1 9 9 4 - 9 5
1 9 9 6 - 9 7
1 9 9 8 - 9 9
2 0 0 0 - 0 1
2 0 0 2 - 0 3
2 0 0 4 - 0 5
2 0 0 6 - 0 7
2 0 0 8 - 0 9
All Total Public Total Private Total Private (Not-for-profit) Total Private (For-profit)