Escolar Documentos
Profissional Documentos
Cultura Documentos
Department of
Agriculture
Foreign
Agricultural
Service
Circular Series
WAP 7-14
July 2014
World Agricultural
Production
Mostly favorable weather during June in central Europe further improved prospects for a nearrecord EU wheat harvest. Prior concerns about winter and spring dryness in central Europe were
alleviated by well-timed rain. Essential rainfall occurred at critical early development periods,
followed by heavier rains during grain fill in May and June. June crop travel in Germany and
Hungary by FAS staff confirmed the good condition of the wheat crop. As a result of beneficial
weather, estimated production in the EUs second largest producer, Germany, was raised 1.3
million tons. Additionally, relatively large changes were made to Czech Republic, Hungary, and
Sweden each up 0.3 million tons from the previous month.
2
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA
Office of Global Analysis
July 2014
The now harvested wheat crop in Spain experienced a sudden and early end to its rainy season,
prior to the end of its growing season. Unfavorably dry conditions in Spain have led to a 0.6million-ton reduction in estimated production. Meanwhile in the Balkan Peninsula, heavy rains
and flooding reduced crop potential in the export countries of Romania and Bulgaria, likely
damaging wheat and lowering quality to feed standards. (For more information, please contact
Bryan Purcell at 202-690-0138).
Canada Wheat: 2014/15 Area Harvested Down from 2013/14
USDA estimates 2014/15 Canada wheat production at 28.0 million tons, down 25 percent from
last year record level and down 1.8 percent from last month. Area is estimated at 9.6 million
hectares, down 8.0 percent from last year and down 2.0 percent from the previous month. Yield
is forecast at 2.92 tons per hectare, down 19 percent from last years record but essentially
unchanged from the previous month.
Statistics Canadas June Principal Field Crop Area report estimated wheat seeded area at 24.5
million acres or 9.9 million hectares, down nearly 2 percent from its previous report and down
7.4 percent from last year. Farmers seeded less wheat in 2014 from the previous year due to
winter transportation and delivery problems, which resulted in significantly high carry-over
stocks. Area seeded is forecast to return close to the 5-year average. All three major producers
(Saskatchewan, Alberta, and Manitoba) reported roughly a 7.5 percent decrease in area seeded.
Farmers were unable to fulfill their March planting intentions because of wet, cool weather that
hampered fieldwork in Eastern Saskatchewan and Western Manitoba. Alberta, however, was
able to fulfill its planting intentions because of nearly ideal planting conditions. Cool, wet
weather is still impeding crop development across the Western Prairies. Despite these conditions,
Saskatchewan and Alberta reported in early July that roughly 80 percent of the wheat is in good
to excellent condition. (For more information, please contact Arnella Trent 202-720-0881).
3
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA
Office of Global Analysis
July 2014
4
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA
Office of Global Analysis
July 2014
is forecast at 517 kilograms per hectare (kg/Ha), down 1.7 percent from last month. In the past
five years Indias cotton area and yields have averaged 11.5 million hectares and 530 kg/Ha.
According to the Government
of Indias Meteorological
Department, the advance of the
2014 southwest monsoon into
the major cotton growing areas
of
north
central
and
northwestern India is now
delayed by more than two
weeks. Overall, at the end of
June, the monsoon rainfall was
93 percent of normal across
India. Regional estimates
indicate that the monsoon is at
85 percent of normal in
northwest India, 94 percent in
central India, 93 percent in
Southern Peninsula, and 99
percent in north east India.
Generally, the Indian monsoon
is classified as normal at 95 to
105 percent of the long-termaverage (LTA). Below normal is defined at 90-95 percent of LTA and drought as less than 90
percent of LTA.
The late start, somewhat erratic beginning and poor distribution of the monsoon rainfall is
generally resulting in delayed planting of almost all kharif (monsoon) season crops including
cotton. However, it is still too early to make objective and reliable seasonal planting predictions
because the window of opportunity for cotton planting extends through July. The mid-July
planting progress data and observations will be critical in estimating the 2014 cotton area
planted. (For more information, please contact Dath Mita, PhD, at 202-720-7339).
Spain Barley: Drought-Related Impacts Reduce Production
USDA estimates barley production in Spain at 7.0 million tons, down 1.2 million or 15 percent
from last month, and down 3.1 million or 30 percent from last year. Area is estimated at 2.8
million hectares, practically unchanged from both last month and last year. Yield is estimated at
2.54 tons per hectare (MT/Ha) compared to 2.96 MT/Ha last month and the 2.83 MT/Ha 5-year
average.
Spain is typically the EUs third largest barley producer after France and Germany. Its crop is
rainfed and therefore dependent on seasonal rainfall. Significant dryness occurred during April
and May, however, with crops receiving only half their normal spring rainfall totals. High
temperatures further diminished soil moisture, stressing plants during critical development
months, resulting in yield loss.
5
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA
Office of Global Analysis
July 2014
Improved conditions in many central and east European countries such as Germany, Romania,
Hungary and Lithuania offset Spains negative influence on barley production in the European
Union (EU). Overall estimated production for 2014/15 EU barley remains unchanged from last
month at 55.9 million tons, which is 3.7 million tons or 6.3 percent below last years harvest.
(For more information, please contact Bryan Purcell at 202-690-0138.)
China Corn: Record Crop Forecast in 2014/15
USDA forecasts Chinas 2014/15 corn
crop at a record 222.0 million tons, up 2
million or 0.9 percent from last month and
up 3.5 million or 1.6 percent from last
years revised output of 218.5 million
tons. Area is estimated at 36.8 million
hectares, up 0.8 percent from last month
and 1.3 percent from last years record
area of 36.3 million. Revisions to the
2013/14 area and production estimates
this month were based on data published
in Chinas 2014 Statistical Abstract.
Corn area has increased by more than 10 million hectares in the past decade, while planted area
for rice and wheat has risen slightly. Most of the growth in corn area took place in Northeast
China, where new farmland was developed and soybean and spring wheat acreage was converted
to more-profitable corn. Corn area has also increased on the North China Plain, often at the
expense of cotton area.
Yield, forecast at 6.03 tons per hectare, is unchanged from last month and essentially equal to
last years record yield. The spring-sown crop in Northeast China is now in the reproductive
stage, while the summer-sown crop on the North China Plain will enter the reproductive stage in
August. Weather and soil moisture conditions are currently close to normal, and no major
flooding, droughts or pest/disease problems have occurred so far this season. (For more
information, contact Paulette Sandene at 202-690-0133).
6
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA
Office of Global Analysis
July 2014
=
=
=
=
MT * 36.7437
MT * 39.36825
MT * 45.929625
MT * 68.894438
MT * 4.592917
1 hectare
1 kilogram
=
Area & weight
=
=
MT * 22.04622
2.471044 acres
2.204622 pounds
7
Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA
Office of Global Analysis
July 2014
GENERAL INFORMATION
Director
Deputy Director
USDA Remote Sensing Advisor
Sr. Analyst/Technical Lead
Sr. Analyst/Satellite Imagery
Archives Manager/Technical Lead
Sr. Analyst/ Global Special
Projects Manager/Technical Lead
Sr. Analyst/Technical Lead
GIS Analyst/WAP Coordinator
Program Analyst
Management Analyst
Administrative Assistant/COTR
202-690-0131
202-720-2974
202-720-1280
202-690-0134
202-720-7339
derrick.williams@fas.usda.gov
paul.provance@fas.usda.gov
glenn.bethel@fas.usda.gov
curt.reynolds@fas.usda.gov
mita.dath@fas.usda.gov
Jim Crutchfield
202-690-0135
james.crutchfield@fas.usda.gov
Robert Tetrault
Justin Jenkins
Mary Jackson
Rishan Chaudhry
Terri Lagarde
202-720-1071
202-720-0419
202-720-0886
202-720-1157
202-720-1157
robert.tetrault@fas.usda.gov
justin.jenkins@fas.usda.gov
mary.jackson@fas.usda.gov
rishan.chaudhry@fas.usda.gov
terri.lagarde@fas.usda.gov
202-720-0107
202-690-0138
denise.mcwilliams@fas.usda.gov
bryan.purcell@fas.usda.gov
202-690-0143
mark.lindeman@fas.usda.gov
202-720-0881
arnella.trent@fas.usda.gov
202-690-0133
202-720-7339
202-690-0134
paulette.sandene@fas.usda.gov
mita.dath@fas.usda.gov
curt.reynoldsc@fas.usda.gov
202-720-7366
michael.shean@fas.usda.gov
202-720-1071
202-690-0135
robert.tetrault@fas.usda.gov
james.crutchfield@fas.usda.gov
202-260-8109
bill.baker@fas.usda.gov
202-720-0419
202-720-2974
justin.jenkins@fas.usda.gov
paul.provance@fas.usda.gov
July 2014
The Foreign Agricultural Service (FAS) updates its production, supply and distribution (PSD) database for
cotton, oilseeds, and grains at 12:00 p.m. on the day the World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates
(WASDE) report is released. This circular is released by 12:15 p.m.
July 2014
World
-
Total
Foreign
North
America
North
America
North
America
Europea
n Union -
Former
Soviet
Former
Soviet
Asia
(WAP)
Asia
(WAP)
Asia
(WAP)
Asia
(WAP)
Asia
(WAP)
South
America
South
America
Selected
Other
Selected
Other
Selected
Other
All
Others
none
-
none
-
United
States
Canada
-
Mexico
-
none
-
Russia
-
Ukraine
-
China
-
India
-
Indonesia
Pakistan
Thailand
Argentina
Brazil
-
Australia
South
Africa
Turkey
-
none
-
657.7
596.0
61.7
27.2
3.2
133.8
37.7
15.8
121.0
94.9
nr
23.3
nr
9.3
4.4
22.9
1.9
15.5
85.2
2013/14 prel.
714.2
656.2
58.0
37.5
3.4
143.3
52.1
22.3
121.9
93.5
nr
24.0
nr
10.5
5.3
27.0
1.8
18.0
95.6
Jun
701.6
648.8
52.8
28.5
3.9
146.3
53.0
20.0
124.0
95.9
nr
24.5
nr
12.5
6.0
25.5
1.8
15.0
92.0
Jul
705.2
651.0
54.2
28.0
3.9
147.9
53.0
21.0
124.0
95.9
nr
24.5
nr
12.5
6.3
26.0
1.8
15.0
91.3
2012/13
1,138.4
852.4
286.0
24.4
28.9
146.1
28.7
29.5
212.2
39.9
8.5
5.6
4.7
37.2
84.3
11.4
12.9
10.6
167.5
2013/14 prel.
1,275.1
905.6
369.4
28.7
29.8
158.3
35.7
39.9
225.1
42.7
9.1
5.6
5.0
33.5
81.1
12.4
15.1
13.1
170.5
Jun
1,258.7
890.1
368.6
23.1
30.1
153.1
38.0
35.3
226.6
41.7
9.2
5.6
5.0
35.2
77.1
11.8
14.0
9.6
174.7
Jul
1,261.2
893.3
367.9
21.8
30.1
154.0
38.5
36.1
228.6
41.7
9.2
5.6
5.0
35.2
77.1
11.8
14.0
9.6
175.0
2012/13
471.7
465.3
6.3
nr
0.1
2.1
0.7
0.1
143.0
105.2
36.6
5.8
20.2
1.0
8.0
0.8
nr
0.5
141.2
2013/14 prel.
477.5
471.3
6.1
nr
0.1
1.9
0.6
0.1
142.3
106.3
37.4
6.6
20.5
1.0
8.5
0.6
nr
0.5
144.9
Jun
480.7
473.9
6.8
nr
0.1
2.0
0.7
0.1
144.0
106.0
37.7
6.7
20.5
1.0
8.5
0.7
nr
0.5
145.5
Jul
479.4
472.2
7.2
nr
0.1
2.0
0.7
0.1
144.0
104.0
37.7
6.7
20.5
1.0
8.5
0.6
nr
0.5
145.9
2012/13
2,267.7
1,913.7
354.0
51.6
32.2
282.0
67.1
45.4
476.2
240.1
45.1
34.7
24.9
47.6
96.7
35.1
14.7
26.6
393.8
2013/14 prel.
2,466.7
2,033.2
433.5
66.2
33.3
303.6
88.4
62.3
489.3
242.5
46.5
36.2
25.5
45.0
94.9
40.0
16.9
31.6
411.0
Jun
2,441.0
2,012.8
428.2
51.6
34.1
301.3
91.7
55.4
494.6
243.6
46.9
36.8
25.5
48.7
91.6
38.0
15.8
25.1
412.2
Jul
2,445.8
2,016.5
429.3
49.8
34.1
303.9
92.2
57.2
496.6
241.6
46.9
36.8
25.5
48.7
91.9
38.3
15.8
25.1
412.2
2012/13
474.6
381.5
93.1
19.0
0.9
28.1
10.9
12.6
59.9
36.8
10.8
5.1
0.6
53.7
84.8
5.7
1.4
2.2
48.9
2013/14 prel.
503.9
406.8
97.1
23.3
0.9
31.6
13.6
16.7
58.6
38.3
11.5
5.1
0.6
57.7
91.1
5.2
1.8
2.4
48.5
Jun
516.0
407.9
108.1
21.6
1.0
32.1
14.0
15.2
57.8
38.7
12.1
5.0
0.6
58.5
94.4
4.2
1.9
2.3
48.6
Jul
521.9
408.8
113.1
21.9
1.0
32.3
14.4
15.5
57.8
37.8
12.1
5.0
0.6
58.5
94.6
4.4
1.9
2.3
48.8
2012/13
123.0
105.6
17.3
nr
1.0
1.5
nr
nr
35.0
28.5
0.0
9.3
0.0
0.8
6.0
4.6
0.0
2.7
16.3
2013/14 prel.
118.3
105.4
12.9
nr
0.9
1.6
nr
nr
32.0
30.5
0.0
9.5
0.0
1.2
7.8
4.1
0.0
2.3
15.4
Jun
115.9
100.9
15.0
nr
1.1
1.7
nr
nr
29.5
28.5
0.0
9.5
0.0
1.2
8.3
3.1
0.1
2.9
15.1
Jul
116.4
99.9
16.5
nr
1.1
1.7
nr
nr
29.5
28.0
0.0
9.5
0.0
1.2
8.0
2.7
0.1
2.9
15.2
2014/15 proj.
Coarse Grains
2014/15 proj.
Rice, Milled
2014/15 proj.
Total Grains
2014/15 proj.
Oilseeds
2014/15 proj.
Cotton
2014/15 proj.
July 2014
Area
(Million hectares)
Country / Region
2012/13
Prel.
2013/14
Yield
(Metric tons per hectare)
2014/15 Proj.
Jun
Jul
2012/13
Prel.
2013/14
2014/15 Proj.
Jun
Change in Production
Production
(Million metric tons)
Jul
2012/13
Prel.
2013/14
2014/15 Proj.
Jun
MMT
MMT
Jul
Percent
Percent
216.23
220.43
222.59
222.90
3.04
3.24
3.15
3.16
657.70
714.20
701.62
705.17
3.55
0.51
-9.03
-1.26
United States
19.80
18.27
18.59
18.71
3.12
3.17
2.84
2.90
61.67
57.96
52.85
54.21
1.36
2.57
-3.76
-6.48
Total Foreign
196.43
202.15
204.00
204.19
3.03
3.25
3.18
3.19
596.03
656.24
648.77
650.97
2.20
0.34
-5.27
-0.80
24.27
24.12
24.20
24.20
4.99
5.06
5.12
5.12
121.02
121.93
124.00
124.00
0.00
0.00
2.07
1.70
World
none
China
South Asia
29.86
30.00
30.60
30.60
3.18
3.12
3.13
3.13
94.88
93.51
95.85
95.85
0.00
0.00
2.34
2.50
Pakistan
8.66
8.64
8.83
8.83
2.69
2.78
2.77
2.77
23.30
24.00
24.50
24.50
0.00
0.00
0.50
2.08
Afghanistan
2.51
2.55
2.56
2.56
2.01
1.96
1.96
1.96
5.05
5.00
5.03
5.03
0.00
0.00
0.03
0.50
21.30
23.40
23.75
23.75
1.77
2.23
2.23
2.23
37.72
52.09
53.00
53.00
0.00
0.00
0.91
1.75
5.63
6.57
6.30
6.30
2.80
3.39
3.17
3.33
15.76
22.28
20.00
21.00
1.00
5.00
-1.28
-5.74
12.40
12.95
12.70
12.70
0.79
1.08
1.14
1.06
9.84
13.94
14.50
13.50
-1.00
-6.90
-0.44
-3.16
1.40
1.40
1.40
1.40
4.79
4.86
4.86
4.86
6.70
6.80
6.80
6.80
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
25.94
25.75
26.48
26.57
5.16
5.57
5.52
5.57
133.85
143.32
146.25
147.88
1.63
1.11
4.55
3.18
France
5.30
5.32
5.31
5.31
7.15
7.24
7.26
7.26
37.89
38.51
38.50
38.50
0.00
0.00
-0.01
-0.02
Germany
3.06
3.13
3.20
3.22
7.33
7.98
7.59
7.95
22.41
24.93
24.30
25.60
1.30
5.35
0.67
2.70
United Kingdom
1.99
1.63
1.95
1.98
6.66
7.33
7.77
7.75
13.26
11.92
15.15
15.30
0.15
0.99
3.38
28.34
Poland
2.08
2.14
2.20
2.20
4.14
4.45
4.36
4.36
8.61
9.50
9.60
9.60
0.00
0.00
0.10
1.05
Spain
2.17
2.12
2.14
2.15
2.35
3.58
3.18
2.89
5.09
7.60
6.80
6.20
-0.60
-8.82
-1.40
-18.40
Italy
1.87
1.86
1.85
1.85
4.09
4.00
4.01
4.01
7.63
7.44
7.40
7.40
0.00
0.00
-0.04
-0.54
Denmark
0.62
0.57
0.70
0.70
7.42
7.29
7.27
7.27
4.56
4.14
5.05
5.05
0.00
0.00
0.91
21.95
Hungary
1.06
1.09
1.10
1.10
3.74
4.62
4.09
4.36
3.97
5.04
4.50
4.80
0.30
6.67
-0.24
-4.76
Romania
1.99
2.10
2.08
2.08
2.66
3.57
3.65
3.57
5.30
7.50
7.60
7.40
-0.20
-2.63
-0.10
-1.33
Bulgaria
1.19
1.19
1.18
1.17
3.76
4.12
4.15
4.10
4.46
4.90
4.90
4.80
-0.10
-2.04
-0.10
-2.04
9.50
10.44
9.80
9.60
2.86
3.59
2.91
2.92
27.21
37.50
28.50
28.00
-0.50
-1.75
-9.50
-25.33
12.98
13.51
13.60
13.80
1.76
2.00
1.88
1.88
22.86
27.01
25.50
26.00
0.50
1.96
-1.01
-3.75
Turkey
7.80
7.70
7.71
7.71
1.99
2.34
1.95
1.95
15.50
18.00
15.00
15.00
0.00
0.00
-3.00
-16.67
Iran
7.00
7.00
6.80
6.80
1.97
2.07
1.91
1.91
13.80
14.50
13.00
13.00
0.00
0.00
-1.50
-10.34
Syria
1.60
1.55
1.30
1.30
2.31
2.58
1.92
1.92
3.70
4.00
2.50
2.50
0.00
0.00
-1.50
-37.50
Egypt
1.35
1.35
1.40
1.40
6.30
6.41
6.39
6.39
8.50
8.65
8.95
8.95
0.00
0.00
0.30
3.47
Morocco
3.14
3.28
3.06
3.06
1.23
2.13
1.54
1.54
3.87
7.00
4.70
4.70
0.00
0.00
-2.30
-32.86
India
Canada
Australia
Middle East
North Africa
Argentina
Others
3.60
3.50
4.20
4.20
2.58
3.00
2.98
2.98
9.30
10.50
12.50
12.50
0.00
0.00
2.00
19.05
17.49
18.44
19.31
19.41
2.47
2.51
2.50
2.51
43.18
46.21
48.20
48.77
0.57
1.18
2.56
5.55
July 2014
Area
(Million hectares)
Country / Region
2012/13
Prel.
2013/14
Yield
(Metric tons per hectare)
2014/15 Proj.
Jun
Jul
2012/13
Prel.
2013/14
2014/15 Proj.
Jun
Change in Production
Production
(Million metric tons)
Jul
2012/13
Prel.
2013/14
2014/15 Proj.
Jun
MMT
MMT
Jul
Percent
Percent
316.15
321.02
319.21
319.35
3.60
3.97
3.94
3.95
1,138.37
1,275.05
1,258.70
1,261.17
2.47
0.20
-13.89
-1.09
United States
39.20
39.87
38.06
38.18
7.30
9.27
9.68
9.64
286.01
369.43
368.59
367.86
-0.73
-0.20
-1.57
-0.42
Total Foreign
276.95
281.16
281.14
281.18
3.08
3.22
3.17
3.18
852.36
905.62
890.11
893.30
3.19
0.36
-12.32
-1.36
37.08
38.38
38.55
38.85
5.72
5.86
5.88
5.88
212.19
225.07
226.58
228.58
2.00
0.88
3.51
1.56
16.88
16.63
15.98
15.98
4.99
4.88
4.83
4.83
84.25
81.11
77.11
77.11
0.00
0.00
-4.00
-4.93
6.84
5.93
6.02
6.02
5.45
5.64
5.85
5.85
37.25
33.47
35.17
35.17
0.00
0.00
1.70
5.08
31.44
31.48
30.81
30.79
4.65
5.03
4.97
5.00
146.07
158.34
153.08
154.05
0.96
0.63
-4.30
-2.71
France
3.99
4.04
4.06
4.06
7.50
6.98
7.35
7.38
29.94
28.23
29.80
29.95
0.15
0.50
1.72
6.09
Germany
3.57
3.47
3.41
3.29
6.50
6.37
6.30
6.94
23.19
22.11
21.51
22.84
1.33
6.16
0.73
3.29
Poland
5.53
5.21
5.16
5.16
3.58
3.59
3.53
3.53
19.80
18.70
18.19
18.19
0.00
0.00
-0.52
-2.75
Spain
3.79
3.95
3.89
3.89
3.01
4.23
3.59
3.23
11.41
16.69
13.96
12.56
-1.40
-9.99
-4.13
-24.72
Italy
1.40
1.24
1.21
1.21
6.47
7.06
7.32
7.32
9.08
8.76
8.88
8.88
0.00
0.00
0.13
1.44
Hungary
1.67
1.72
1.75
1.77
3.78
4.95
5.18
5.19
6.30
8.53
9.06
9.21
0.14
1.58
0.68
7.94
United Kingdom
1.15
1.42
1.15
1.15
5.44
5.77
5.83
5.83
6.25
8.17
6.68
6.68
0.00
0.00
-1.50
-18.31
Romania
3.40
3.42
3.35
3.35
2.23
3.72
3.41
3.47
7.59
12.75
11.41
11.61
0.20
1.75
-1.14
-8.93
14.18
15.49
16.20
16.20
2.02
2.31
2.35
2.38
28.66
35.74
38.00
38.50
0.50
1.32
2.77
7.74
8.55
8.78
8.47
8.47
3.45
4.55
4.17
4.26
29.53
39.92
35.30
36.10
0.80
2.27
-3.82
-9.56
World
none
China
South America
Brazil
Argentina
European Union - 28
1.95
2.26
2.39
2.39
1.17
1.55
1.44
1.44
2.28
3.51
3.44
3.44
0.00
0.00
-0.07
-2.02
78.07
79.30
81.08
81.08
1.44
1.39
1.41
1.41
112.55
110.18
114.38
114.38
0.00
0.00
4.20
3.81
12.73
13.25
13.25
13.25
1.46
1.45
1.45
1.45
18.57
19.20
19.20
19.20
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
South Africa
3.44
3.41
3.41
3.41
3.75
4.41
4.12
4.12
12.87
15.05
14.04
14.04
0.00
0.00
-1.01
-6.71
Ethiopia
5.18
5.41
5.41
5.41
2.37
2.41
2.41
2.41
12.29
13.05
13.05
13.05
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Egypt
0.98
0.94
0.94
0.94
6.83
7.09
7.07
7.07
6.67
6.67
6.62
6.62
0.00
0.00
-0.05
-0.75
25.08
25.38
25.51
25.51
1.59
1.68
1.64
1.64
39.94
42.71
41.73
41.73
0.00
0.00
-0.98
-2.29
Indonesia
3.00
3.12
3.12
3.12
2.83
2.92
2.95
2.95
8.50
9.10
9.20
9.20
0.00
0.00
0.10
1.10
Philippines
2.56
2.59
2.63
2.63
2.84
2.92
3.01
3.01
7.26
7.54
7.90
7.90
0.00
0.00
0.36
4.77
Thailand
1.11
1.15
1.13
1.13
4.20
4.31
4.38
4.38
4.66
4.96
4.96
4.96
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Mexico
8.92
9.00
9.00
9.00
3.24
3.32
3.35
3.35
28.88
29.84
30.14
30.14
0.00
0.00
0.30
1.01
Canada
5.35
5.39
4.73
4.51
4.57
5.33
4.88
4.83
24.43
28.74
23.07
21.77
-1.30
-5.64
-6.97
-24.26
Australia
5.20
5.29
5.36
5.34
2.20
2.34
2.20
2.20
11.41
12.37
11.81
11.76
-0.05
-0.42
-0.61
-4.96
Turkey
4.16
4.24
4.28
4.28
2.55
3.08
2.24
2.24
10.60
13.08
9.58
9.58
0.00
0.00
-3.50
-26.77
Others
26.60
26.78
25.91
25.91
2.40
2.61
2.65
2.66
63.91
69.96
68.68
68.96
0.28
0.41
-1.01
-1.44
Kazakhstan
Africa
Nigeria
India
Southeast Asia
July 2014
Area
(Million hectares)
Country / Region
2012/13
Prel.
2013/14
Yield
(Metric tons per hectare)
2014/15 Proj.
Jun
Jul
2012/13
Prel.
2013/14
2014/15 Proj.
Jun
Change in Production
Production
(Million metric tons)
Jul
2012/13
Prel.
2013/14
2014/15 Proj.
Jun
MMT
MMT
Jul
Percent
Percent
177.23
178.09
177.25
177.28
4.90
5.53
5.54
5.53
868.81
984.45
981.12
980.96
-0.16
-0.02
-3.49
-0.35
United States
35.36
35.48
34.12
33.93
7.74
9.97
10.38
10.38
273.83
353.72
353.97
352.06
-1.91
-0.54
-1.66
-0.47
Total Foreign
141.87
142.62
143.14
143.35
4.19
4.42
4.38
4.39
594.98
630.73
627.16
628.90
1.75
0.28
-1.83
-0.29
China
35.03
36.32
36.50
36.80
5.87
6.02
6.03
6.03
205.61
218.49
220.00
222.00
2.00
0.91
3.51
1.61
South America
22.71
21.72
21.48
21.48
5.27
5.20
5.20
5.20
119.77
112.88
111.67
111.67
0.00
0.00
-1.21
-1.07
World
none
15.80
15.50
14.80
14.80
5.16
5.03
5.00
5.00
81.50
78.00
74.00
74.00
0.00
0.00
-4.00
-5.13
Argentina
4.00
3.40
3.65
3.65
6.75
7.06
7.12
7.12
27.00
24.00
26.00
26.00
0.00
0.00
2.00
8.33
Bolivia
0.31
0.32
0.32
0.32
2.26
2.30
2.30
2.30
0.70
0.73
0.73
0.73
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Mexico
6.90
6.83
6.90
6.90
3.13
3.21
3.26
3.26
21.59
21.90
22.50
22.50
0.00
0.00
0.60
2.74
European Union - 28
9.72
9.83
9.53
9.54
6.06
6.57
6.85
6.88
58.87
64.57
65.25
65.64
0.40
0.61
1.07
1.66
France
1.64
1.75
1.70
1.70
9.22
8.38
9.21
9.29
15.15
14.70
15.65
15.80
0.15
0.96
1.10
7.48
Italy
0.97
0.90
0.85
0.85
7.82
8.40
8.88
8.88
7.59
7.56
7.55
7.55
0.00
0.00
-0.01
-0.13
Hungary
1.19
1.25
1.26
1.26
3.98
5.36
5.79
5.79
4.74
6.73
7.30
7.30
0.00
0.00
0.58
8.55
Romania
2.73
2.65
2.55
2.55
2.23
4.00
3.63
3.63
6.10
10.60
9.25
9.25
0.00
0.00
-1.35
-12.74
Poland
-5.75
Brazil
0.54
0.61
0.56
0.56
7.35
6.51
6.73
6.73
4.00
4.00
3.77
3.77
0.00
0.00
-0.23
India
8.91
9.50
9.00
9.00
2.50
2.55
2.44
2.44
22.26
24.19
22.00
22.00
0.00
0.00
-2.19
-9.05
Canada
1.42
1.48
1.33
1.23
9.21
9.59
9.43
9.43
13.06
14.20
12.50
11.60
-0.90
-7.20
-2.60
-18.31
Indonesia
3.00
3.12
3.12
3.12
2.83
2.92
2.95
2.95
8.50
9.10
9.20
9.20
0.00
0.00
0.10
1.10
Ukraine
4.37
4.83
4.80
4.80
4.79
6.40
5.63
5.63
20.92
30.90
27.00
27.00
0.00
0.00
-3.90
-12.62
Serbia
1.30
1.25
1.28
1.28
2.88
5.12
4.94
5.18
3.75
6.40
6.30
6.60
0.30
4.76
0.20
3.13
Egypt
0.75
0.71
0.71
0.71
7.73
8.12
8.10
8.10
5.80
5.80
5.75
5.75
0.00
0.00
-0.05
-0.86
Philippines
2.56
2.59
2.63
2.63
2.84
2.92
3.01
3.01
7.26
7.54
7.90
7.90
0.00
0.00
0.36
4.77
Vietnam
1.16
1.17
1.20
1.20
4.15
4.43
4.50
4.50
4.80
5.20
5.40
5.40
0.00
0.00
0.20
3.93
Thailand
1.08
1.12
1.10
1.10
4.26
4.38
4.45
4.45
4.60
4.90
4.90
4.90
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Russia
1.94
2.32
2.60
2.60
4.24
5.01
5.00
5.00
8.21
11.64
13.00
13.00
0.00
0.00
1.37
11.73
South Africa
3.24
3.20
3.20
3.20
3.82
4.53
4.22
4.22
12.37
14.50
13.50
13.50
0.00
0.00
-1.00
-6.90
Nigeria
4.16
4.25
4.25
4.25
1.83
1.81
1.81
1.81
7.63
7.70
7.70
7.70
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Ethiopia
2.01
2.15
2.15
2.15
3.06
3.02
3.02
3.02
6.16
6.50
6.50
6.50
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Zimbabwe
0.96
0.95
1.30
1.30
1.01
0.84
1.00
1.00
0.97
0.80
1.30
1.30
0.00
0.00
0.50
62.50
Sub-Saharan Africa
Turkey
0.53
0.58
0.55
0.55
8.38
8.79
8.91
8.91
4.40
5.10
4.90
4.90
0.00
0.00
-0.20
-3.92
Others
30.14
28.70
29.53
29.53
1.94
2.04
2.03
2.03
58.45
58.43
59.89
59.84
-0.05
-0.08
1.41
2.42
July 2014
Area
(Million hectares)
Country / Region
2012/13
Prel.
2013/14
Yield
(Metric tons per hectare)
2014/15 Proj.
Jun
2012/13
Jul
Prel.
2013/14
2014/15 Proj.
Jun
Change in Production
Production
(Million metric tons)
Jul
2012/13
Prel.
2013/14
2014/15 Proj.
Jun
MMT
MMT
Jul
Percent
Percent
50.28
50.49
49.06
48.96
2.59
2.87
2.67
2.69
130.02
145.07
131.01
131.94
0.93
0.71
-13.14
-9.06
United States
1.31
1.21
1.13
1.07
3.65
3.86
3.77
3.83
4.80
4.68
4.27
4.08
-0.19
-4.38
-0.60
-12.88
Total Foreign
48.96
49.28
47.92
47.90
2.56
2.85
2.64
2.67
125.23
140.39
126.74
127.86
1.12
0.88
-12.54
-8.93
World
none
7.63
8.02
8.20
8.20
1.83
1.92
1.95
2.01
13.95
15.39
16.00
16.50
0.50
3.13
1.11
7.22
12.51
12.35
12.22
12.26
4.39
4.83
4.57
4.56
54.90
59.61
55.88
55.87
-0.02
-0.03
-3.74
-6.27
Germany
1.68
1.57
1.65
1.60
6.19
6.59
6.21
6.61
10.39
10.37
10.22
10.58
0.36
3.52
0.21
2.05
France
1.68
1.63
1.70
1.70
6.74
6.33
6.41
6.41
11.34
10.34
10.90
10.90
0.00
0.00
0.56
5.42
Spain
2.68
2.77
2.77
2.76
2.23
3.63
2.96
2.54
5.98
10.06
8.20
7.00
-1.20
-14.63
-3.06
-30.40
United Kingdom
1.00
1.21
1.00
1.00
5.51
5.84
5.90
5.90
5.52
7.09
5.90
5.90
0.00
0.00
-1.19
-16.81
Denmark
0.72
0.69
0.57
0.60
5.56
5.78
5.61
5.67
4.01
3.98
3.20
3.40
0.20
6.25
-0.58
-14.62
Poland
1.16
0.82
0.90
0.90
3.60
3.55
3.53
3.53
4.18
2.90
3.18
3.18
0.00
0.00
0.28
9.66
Czech Republic
0.38
0.35
0.35
0.35
4.23
4.57
4.57
4.71
1.62
1.59
1.60
1.65
0.05
3.13
0.06
3.51
Finland
0.45
0.50
0.50
0.50
3.50
3.90
3.50
3.60
1.59
1.93
1.75
1.80
0.05
2.86
-0.13
-6.93
Sweden
0.37
0.39
0.31
0.33
4.61
5.01
4.84
4.70
1.70
1.93
1.50
1.55
0.05
3.33
-0.38
-19.81
Italy
0.25
0.19
0.22
0.22
3.82
3.62
3.86
3.86
0.94
0.68
0.85
0.85
0.00
0.00
0.17
24.27
Hungary
0.28
0.27
0.28
0.30
3.61
4.06
4.00
4.00
1.00
1.08
1.10
1.20
0.10
9.09
0.12
11.11
Austria
0.15
0.14
0.15
0.15
4.38
5.13
5.17
5.17
0.66
0.73
0.75
0.75
0.00
0.00
0.02
2.18
Ukraine
3.29
3.23
3.00
3.00
2.11
2.34
2.33
2.60
6.94
7.56
7.00
7.80
0.80
11.43
0.24
3.16
Canada
2.75
2.65
2.27
2.20
2.91
3.87
3.17
3.18
8.01
10.25
7.20
7.00
-0.20
-2.78
-3.25
-31.71
Australia
3.64
3.92
3.80
3.80
2.05
2.43
2.13
2.13
7.47
9.55
8.10
8.10
0.00
0.00
-1.45
-15.14
Turkey
3.30
3.33
3.40
3.40
1.67
2.19
1.18
1.18
5.50
7.30
4.00
4.00
0.00
0.00
-3.30
-45.21
China
0.49
0.45
0.43
0.43
3.32
3.33
3.26
3.26
1.63
1.50
1.40
1.40
0.00
0.00
-0.10
-6.67
Iran
1.68
1.58
1.58
1.58
2.03
2.03
2.03
2.03
3.40
3.20
3.20
3.20
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Morocco
1.89
1.69
1.44
1.44
0.63
1.60
1.22
1.22
1.20
2.70
1.75
1.75
0.00
0.00
-0.95
-35.19
Kazakhstan
1.60
1.84
2.00
2.00
0.94
1.38
1.30
1.30
1.50
2.54
2.60
2.60
0.00
0.00
0.06
2.40
Ethiopia
1.02
1.02
1.02
1.02
1.75
1.76
1.76
1.76
1.78
1.80
1.80
1.80
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Belarus
0.65
0.55
0.45
0.45
3.23
3.09
3.11
3.11
2.10
1.70
1.40
1.40
0.00
0.00
-0.30
-17.65
India
0.77
0.78
0.81
0.81
2.10
2.24
2.14
2.14
1.62
1.75
1.73
1.73
0.00
0.00
-0.02
-1.14
Argentina
1.50
1.27
1.00
1.00
3.33
3.74
3.85
3.85
5.00
4.75
3.85
3.85
0.00
0.00
-0.90
-18.95
Mexico
0.33
0.22
0.22
0.22
3.15
2.56
2.56
2.56
1.03
0.55
0.55
0.55
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Iraq
0.60
1.07
1.15
1.15
0.83
0.88
0.87
0.87
0.50
0.94
1.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
0.06
5.93
Algeria
1.00
0.90
1.00
1.00
1.50
1.66
1.65
1.65
1.50
1.50
1.65
1.65
0.00
0.00
0.15
10.15
Others
4.31
4.42
3.94
3.94
1.67
1.77
1.93
1.94
7.20
7.81
7.63
7.66
0.03
0.39
-0.15
-1.93
Russia
European Union - 28
July 2014
Area
(Million hectares)
Country / Region
2012/13
Prel.
2013/14
Yield
(Metric tons per hectare)
2014/15 Proj.
Jun
2012/13
Jul
Prel.
2013/14
2014/15 Proj.
Jun
Change in Production
Production
(Million metric tons)
Jul
2012/13
Prel.
2013/14
2014/15 Proj.
Jun
MMT
MMT
Jul
Percent
Percent
World
9.53
9.68
9.60
9.56
2.24
2.44
2.35
2.33
21.32
23.65
22.55
22.27
-0.28
-1.25
-1.38
-5.84
United States
0.42
0.42
0.45
0.47
2.20
2.29
2.32
2.35
0.93
0.96
1.03
1.10
0.07
6.30
0.14
14.64
Total Foreign
9.11
9.26
9.16
9.10
2.24
2.45
2.35
2.33
20.39
22.69
21.52
21.17
-0.35
-1.61
-1.52
-6.70
Russia
2.86
3.01
3.00
3.00
1.41
1.64
1.67
1.67
4.03
4.93
5.00
5.00
0.00
0.00
0.07
1.38
Canada
0.99
1.11
1.00
0.94
2.85
3.50
3.00
2.97
2.81
3.89
3.00
2.80
-0.20
-6.67
-1.09
-28.02
European Union - 28
-4.46
none
2.67
2.62
2.60
2.62
2.96
3.19
3.10
3.05
7.91
8.35
8.08
7.98
-0.10
-1.20
-0.37
Poland
0.51
0.43
0.45
0.45
2.86
2.76
2.70
2.70
1.47
1.20
1.22
1.22
0.00
0.00
0.02
1.25
Finland
0.31
0.35
0.36
0.36
3.40
3.50
3.38
3.38
1.07
1.23
1.20
1.20
0.00
0.00
-0.03
-2.36
Spain
0.44
0.43
0.43
0.44
1.54
2.22
2.19
1.81
0.68
0.96
0.95
0.80
-0.15
-15.79
-0.16
-16.41
Germany
0.15
0.13
0.13
0.14
5.22
4.74
4.73
4.93
0.76
0.63
0.62
0.67
0.05
8.13
0.04
6.23
Sweden
0.20
0.20
0.20
0.20
3.82
4.40
4.41
4.41
0.74
0.86
0.86
0.86
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.23
United Kingdom
0.12
0.18
0.12
0.12
5.14
5.48
5.50
5.50
0.63
0.96
0.66
0.66
0.00
0.00
-0.30
-31.54
France
0.08
0.09
0.10
0.10
4.83
4.62
4.64
4.64
0.40
0.43
0.45
0.45
0.00
0.00
0.02
4.65
Italy
0.12
0.09
0.08
0.08
2.43
2.52
2.40
2.40
0.29
0.23
0.20
0.20
0.00
0.00
-0.03
-13.22
Denmark
0.05
0.06
0.06
0.06
4.94
4.86
4.67
4.67
0.25
0.27
0.28
0.28
0.00
0.00
0.01
2.94
Romania
0.19
0.18
0.19
0.19
1.75
1.97
1.95
1.95
0.34
0.36
0.36
0.36
0.00
0.00
0.01
1.41
Czech Republic
0.05
0.04
0.05
0.05
3.37
3.16
3.30
3.30
0.17
0.14
0.17
0.17
0.00
0.00
0.03
18.71
Hungary
0.05
0.05
0.05
0.05
2.64
2.67
2.58
2.64
0.14
0.14
0.14
0.14
0.00
2.19
0.00
2.94
Austria
0.03
0.02
0.02
0.02
3.72
3.78
3.91
3.91
0.09
0.09
0.09
0.09
0.00
0.00
0.00
3.45
Ireland
0.02
0.03
0.03
0.03
6.54
7.31
7.20
7.20
0.16
0.19
0.18
0.18
0.00
0.00
-0.01
-5.26
Lithuania
0.07
0.07
0.07
0.07
2.31
2.23
2.25
2.25
0.16
0.16
0.16
0.16
0.00
0.00
0.00
-0.61
Australia
0.73
0.74
0.75
0.73
1.54
1.78
1.60
1.58
1.12
1.33
1.20
1.15
-0.05
-4.17
-0.18
-13.27
Ukraine
0.30
0.24
0.25
0.25
2.09
1.94
2.00
2.00
0.63
0.47
0.50
0.50
0.00
0.00
0.03
7.07
China
0.20
0.20
0.20
0.20
3.00
2.90
2.90
2.90
0.60
0.58
0.58
0.58
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Belarus
0.20
0.16
0.16
0.16
3.00
2.81
2.50
2.50
0.60
0.45
0.40
0.40
0.00
0.00
-0.05
-11.11
Brazil
0.17
0.17
0.17
0.17
2.14
2.24
2.24
2.24
0.36
0.38
0.38
0.38
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Argentina
0.26
0.22
0.23
0.23
1.91
2.07
2.00
2.00
0.50
0.45
0.46
0.46
0.00
0.00
0.02
3.37
Chile
0.13
0.11
0.13
0.13
5.35
5.41
5.60
5.60
0.68
0.60
0.70
0.70
0.00
0.00
0.11
17.65
Norway
0.07
0.07
0.07
0.07
3.42
3.42
3.42
3.42
0.24
0.24
0.24
0.24
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Turkey
0.09
0.09
0.09
0.09
2.36
2.33
2.33
2.33
0.21
0.21
0.21
0.21
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Kazakhstan
0.15
0.22
0.20
0.20
1.33
1.39
1.25
1.25
0.20
0.31
0.25
0.25
0.00
0.00
-0.06
-18.03
Serbia
0.03
0.03
0.03
0.03
2.20
2.20
2.20
2.20
0.07
0.07
0.07
0.07
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Others
0.28
0.28
0.28
0.28
1.61
1.63
1.63
1.63
0.44
0.46
0.46
0.46
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.22
July 2014
Area
(Million hectares)
Country / Region
2012/13
Prel.
2013/14
Yield
(Metric tons per hectare)
2014/15 Proj.
Jun
2012/13
Jul
Prel.
2013/14
2014/15 Proj.
Jun
Change in Production
Production
(Million metric tons)
Jul
2012/13
Prel.
2013/14
2014/15 Proj.
Jun
MMT
MMT
Jul
Percent
Percent
World
5.24
5.71
5.69
5.69
2.73
2.92
2.62
2.69
14.30
16.67
14.92
15.30
0.38
2.56
-1.37
United States
0.10
0.11
0.11
0.12
1.76
1.73
1.72
1.72
0.18
0.20
0.18
0.21
0.03
17.68
0.02
9.23
Total Foreign
5.14
5.60
5.59
5.56
2.75
2.94
2.64
2.71
14.12
16.47
14.74
15.09
0.35
2.38
-1.39
-8.41
-10.53
-8.20
none
2.38
2.56
2.42
2.40
3.69
3.98
3.62
3.80
8.76
10.19
8.76
9.11
0.35
3.99
-1.07
Poland
1.04
1.16
1.15
1.15
2.77
2.85
2.81
2.81
2.89
3.30
3.22
3.22
0.00
0.00
-0.08
-2.42
Germany
0.71
0.79
0.65
0.63
5.46
5.96
5.17
5.97
3.88
4.68
3.38
3.76
0.39
11.41
-0.92
-19.69
Spain
0.16
0.16
0.16
0.16
1.60
2.47
2.03
1.75
0.26
0.38
0.33
0.28
-0.05
-13.85
-0.10
-26.89
Lithuania
0.06
0.05
0.05
0.05
2.80
1.96
2.40
2.40
0.16
0.10
0.12
0.12
0.00
0.00
0.02
25.00
Latvia
0.04
0.03
0.03
0.03
3.35
2.62
2.93
2.93
0.12
0.08
0.09
0.09
0.00
0.00
0.01
15.79
France
0.03
0.03
0.03
0.03
5.00
4.90
5.00
5.00
0.16
0.14
0.15
0.15
0.00
0.00
0.01
5.63
Denmark
0.07
0.09
0.09
0.09
5.91
6.14
6.24
6.24
0.38
0.53
0.53
0.53
0.00
0.00
0.00
-0.75
Czech Republic
0.03
0.04
0.04
0.04
4.90
4.43
4.43
4.43
0.15
0.18
0.18
0.18
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Austria
0.05
0.06
0.06
0.06
4.18
4.20
4.45
4.45
0.21
0.24
0.25
0.25
0.00
0.00
0.01
4.26
Sweden
0.02
0.02
0.02
0.02
6.36
7.45
7.50
7.50
0.14
0.15
0.15
0.15
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.67
Hungary
0.04
0.04
0.04
0.04
2.23
3.00
2.57
2.86
0.08
0.11
0.09
0.10
0.01
11.11
-0.01
-4.76
Slovakia
0.02
0.02
0.02
0.02
3.06
4.09
3.20
3.20
0.05
0.09
0.06
0.06
0.00
0.00
-0.03
-28.89
Finland
0.02
0.01
0.01
0.01
3.10
2.17
2.50
2.50
0.07
0.03
0.03
0.03
0.00
0.00
0.00
15.38
United Kingdom
0.01
0.01
0.01
0.01
7.00
7.00
7.00
7.00
0.04
0.04
0.04
0.04
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Romania
0.01
0.01
0.01
0.01
2.00
2.75
3.00
3.00
0.02
0.02
0.02
0.02
0.00
0.00
0.00
9.09
Greece
0.02
0.02
0.02
0.02
1.83
1.83
1.83
1.83
0.03
0.03
0.03
0.03
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Portugal
0.02
0.02
0.02
0.02
0.77
0.95
0.86
0.86
0.02
0.02
0.02
0.02
0.00
0.00
0.00
-9.52
Russia
1.42
1.78
2.00
2.00
1.50
1.89
1.75
1.75
2.13
3.36
3.50
3.50
0.00
0.00
0.14
4.17
Belarus
0.60
0.60
0.60
0.60
2.67
2.50
2.17
2.17
1.60
1.50
1.30
1.30
0.00
0.00
-0.20
-13.33
Ukraine
0.30
0.28
0.20
0.20
2.27
2.29
2.00
2.00
0.68
0.64
0.40
0.40
0.00
0.00
-0.24
-37.30
Canada
0.12
0.09
0.08
0.08
2.74
2.47
2.53
2.53
0.34
0.21
0.19
0.19
0.00
0.00
-0.02
-9.52
Turkey
0.14
0.14
0.14
0.14
2.59
2.50
2.50
2.50
0.37
0.35
0.35
0.35
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Argentina
0.02
0.04
0.03
0.03
1.74
1.49
1.60
1.60
0.04
0.05
0.04
0.04
0.00
0.00
-0.01
-23.08
Kazakhstan
0.05
0.04
0.04
0.04
1.00
1.10
1.25
1.25
0.05
0.04
0.05
0.05
0.00
0.00
0.01
16.28
Australia
0.06
0.04
0.04
0.04
0.70
0.57
0.57
0.57
0.04
0.02
0.02
0.02
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Switzerland
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
5.50
5.50
5.50
5.50
0.01
0.01
0.01
0.01
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Others
0.05
0.05
0.05
0.05
2.26
2.17
2.33
2.33
0.10
0.10
0.11
0.11
0.00
0.00
0.01
9.80
European Union - 28
July 2014
Area
(Million hectares)
Country / Region
2012/13
Prel.
2013/14
Yield
(Metric tons per hectare)
2014/15 Proj.
Jun
2012/13
Jul
Prel.
2013/14
2014/15 Proj.
Jun
Change in Production
Production
(Million metric tons)
Jul
2012/13
Prel.
2013/14
2014/15 Proj.
Jun
MMT
MMT
Jul
Percent
Percent
38.16
40.44
40.62
40.95
1.52
1.48
1.55
1.57
57.93
59.79
62.81
64.08
1.27
2.02
4.30
7.18
United States
2.01
2.64
2.27
2.59
3.13
3.74
4.04
4.02
6.27
9.88
9.14
10.41
1.27
13.89
0.53
5.38
Total Foreign
36.15
37.80
38.36
38.36
1.43
1.32
1.40
1.40
51.66
49.91
53.67
53.67
0.00
0.00
3.76
7.54
Nigeria
4.77
5.00
5.00
5.00
1.25
1.30
1.30
1.30
5.94
6.50
6.50
6.50
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Sudan
4.10
5.60
5.60
5.60
1.10
0.40
0.68
0.68
4.52
2.25
3.80
3.80
0.00
0.00
1.55
68.96
Ethiopia
1.71
1.80
1.80
1.80
2.11
2.22
2.22
2.22
3.60
4.00
4.00
4.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Burkina
1.79
1.80
1.80
1.80
1.08
1.08
1.06
1.06
1.92
1.94
1.90
1.90
0.00
0.00
-0.04
-2.06
Tanzania
0.84
0.85
0.85
0.85
1.00
0.94
0.94
0.94
0.84
0.80
0.80
0.80
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Niger
3.11
3.00
3.00
3.00
0.44
0.43
0.40
0.40
1.38
1.29
1.20
1.20
0.00
0.00
-0.09
-6.76
Uganda
0.37
0.35
0.35
0.35
0.90
0.91
0.91
0.91
0.34
0.32
0.32
0.32
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Mozambique
0.62
0.62
0.62
0.62
0.39
0.30
0.48
0.48
0.24
0.19
0.30
0.30
0.00
0.00
0.11
59.57
Ghana
0.23
0.25
0.25
0.25
1.21
1.11
1.20
1.20
0.28
0.28
0.30
0.30
0.00
0.00
0.02
8.30
South Africa
0.06
0.08
0.08
0.08
2.33
2.90
2.81
2.81
0.15
0.23
0.23
0.23
0.00
0.00
0.00
-1.75
India
6.30
5.90
6.20
6.20
0.84
0.89
0.97
0.97
5.30
5.25
6.00
6.00
0.00
0.00
0.75
14.29
Pakistan
0.24
0.24
0.24
0.24
0.60
0.60
0.60
0.60
0.15
0.15
0.15
0.15
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Argentina
1.05
1.00
1.10
1.10
4.48
4.20
4.36
4.36
4.70
4.20
4.80
4.80
0.00
0.00
0.60
14.29
Brazil
0.80
0.85
0.90
0.90
2.62
2.82
2.67
2.67
2.10
2.40
2.40
2.40
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Mexico
1.64
1.90
1.83
1.83
3.76
3.84
3.83
3.83
6.17
7.30
7.00
7.00
0.00
0.00
-0.30
-4.11
China
0.62
0.65
0.67
0.67
4.10
4.15
4.18
4.18
2.56
2.70
2.80
2.80
0.00
0.00
0.10
3.70
Australia
0.65
0.49
0.67
0.67
3.44
2.25
3.06
3.06
2.23
1.11
2.05
2.05
0.00
0.00
0.94
85.19
Egypt
0.14
0.14
0.14
0.14
5.29
5.29
5.29
5.29
0.76
0.76
0.76
0.76
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
European Union - 28
0.11
0.12
0.11
0.11
4.34
4.95
5.04
5.04
0.50
0.59
0.57
0.57
0.00
0.00
-0.02
-4.04
France
0.04
0.05
0.05
0.05
5.71
5.10
5.56
5.56
0.24
0.26
0.25
0.25
0.00
0.00
-0.01
-3.85
Italy
0.04
0.04
0.04
0.04
4.27
6.22
6.22
6.22
0.16
0.23
0.23
0.23
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Others
6.98
7.15
7.14
7.14
1.15
1.07
1.09
1.09
7.99
7.66
7.80
7.80
0.00
0.00
0.14
1.81
World
none
Sub-Saharan Africa
South Asia
South America
July 2014
Country / Region
2012/13
Prel.
2013/14
Yield
(Metric tons per hectare)
2014/15 Proj.
Jun
Jul
2012/13
Prel.
2013/14
2014/15 Proj.
Jun
Change in Production
Production
(Million metric tons)
Jul
2012/13
Prel.
2013/14
2014/15 Proj.
Jun
MMT
MMT
Jul
Percent
Percent
158.02
160.57
161.63
161.48
4.45
4.43
4.44
4.43
471.66
477.46
480.72
479.43
-1.29
-0.27
1.98
0.41
United States
1.08
1.00
1.15
1.23
8.35
8.62
8.37
8.37
6.34
6.12
6.81
7.23
0.42
6.11
1.11
18.18
Total Foreign
156.94
159.57
160.47
160.26
4.42
4.41
4.41
4.40
465.32
471.34
473.91
472.21
-1.70
-0.36
0.86
0.18
China
30.14
30.31
30.60
30.60
6.78
6.71
6.72
6.72
143.00
142.30
144.00
144.00
0.00
0.00
1.70
1.19
Japan
1.58
1.60
1.59
1.59
6.74
6.73
6.65
6.65
7.76
7.83
7.70
7.70
0.00
0.00
-0.13
-1.69
Korea, South
0.85
0.83
0.83
0.83
6.37
6.76
6.70
6.70
4.01
4.23
4.15
4.15
0.00
0.00
-0.08
-1.89
Korea, North
0.58
0.57
0.57
0.57
4.62
5.07
4.90
4.90
1.74
1.88
1.80
1.80
0.00
0.00
-0.08
-4.26
India
42.41
43.50
44.00
43.80
3.72
3.67
3.61
3.56
105.24
106.29
106.00
104.00
-2.00
-1.89
-2.29
-2.15
Bangladesh
11.65
11.77
11.82
11.82
4.35
4.41
4.42
4.42
33.82
34.59
34.80
34.80
0.00
0.00
0.21
0.61
2.40
2.76
2.76
2.76
3.63
3.59
3.64
3.64
5.80
6.60
6.70
6.70
0.00
0.00
0.10
1.52
World
none
East Asia
South Asia
Pakistan
Southeast Asia
12.19
12.05
12.16
12.16
4.72
4.88
4.88
4.88
36.55
37.36
37.70
37.70
0.00
0.00
0.35
0.92
Vietnam
7.86
7.78
7.78
7.78
5.60
5.76
5.72
5.80
27.54
28.00
27.80
28.20
0.40
1.44
0.20
0.71
Thailand
10.84
10.90
10.90
10.90
2.82
2.85
2.85
2.85
20.20
20.50
20.50
20.50
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Burma
7.04
7.05
7.07
7.07
2.60
2.65
2.69
2.69
11.72
11.96
12.15
12.15
0.00
0.00
0.19
1.61
Philippines
4.70
4.80
4.89
4.89
3.86
3.90
3.96
3.96
11.43
11.81
12.20
12.20
0.00
0.00
0.39
3.28
Cambodia
2.98
2.97
3.05
3.05
2.45
2.49
2.51
2.51
4.67
4.73
4.90
4.90
0.00
0.00
0.18
3.70
Laos
0.93
0.87
0.90
0.90
2.81
2.68
2.73
2.73
1.66
1.47
1.55
1.55
0.00
0.00
0.09
5.80
Malaysia
0.69
0.69
0.69
0.69
3.79
3.91
4.02
4.02
1.69
1.76
1.80
1.80
0.00
0.00
0.05
2.56
Brazil
2.39
2.42
2.45
2.45
4.95
5.17
5.10
5.10
8.04
8.50
8.50
8.50
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Peru
0.39
0.41
0.40
0.40
7.72
7.72
7.61
7.61
2.10
2.16
2.10
2.10
0.00
0.00
-0.06
-2.60
Nigeria
2.00
2.50
2.30
2.30
1.88
1.76
1.76
1.76
2.37
2.77
2.55
2.55
0.00
0.00
-0.22
-8.01
Madagascar
1.35
1.45
1.45
1.45
3.37
2.49
3.10
3.10
2.91
2.31
2.88
2.88
0.00
0.00
0.57
24.62
Indonesia
South America
Sub-Saharan Africa
0.45
0.44
0.43
0.43
6.67
6.40
6.52
6.52
2.09
1.94
1.96
1.96
0.00
0.00
0.02
1.08
Italy
0.24
0.22
0.22
0.22
6.60
6.36
6.36
6.36
1.09
0.96
0.96
0.96
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Spain
0.11
0.11
0.11
0.11
7.73
7.53
7.79
7.79
0.62
0.60
0.62
0.62
0.00
0.00
0.02
3.36
Egypt
0.77
0.79
0.80
0.80
8.80
8.95
8.93
8.93
4.68
4.88
4.90
4.90
0.00
0.00
0.02
0.41
Iran
0.53
0.59
0.60
0.60
4.43
4.24
4.25
4.25
1.54
1.65
1.68
1.68
0.00
0.00
0.03
2.00
12.22
12.52
12.45
12.43
3.06
3.12
3.10
3.09
24.79
25.84
25.58
25.48
-0.10
-0.40
-0.36
-1.39
European Union - 28
Others
July 2014
Country / Region
2012/13
Prel.
2013/14
Yield
(Metric tons per hectare)
2014/15 Proj.
Jun
Jul
2012/13
Prel.
2013/14
2014/15 Proj.
Jun
Change in Production
Production
(Million metric tons)
Jul
2012/13
Prel.
2013/14
2014/15 Proj.
Jun
Jul
MMT
MMT
Percent
Percent
World Total
--
--
--
--
--
--
--
--
474.64
503.92
516.02
521.86
5.85
1.13
17.95
Total Foreign
--
--
--
--
--
--
--
--
381.49
406.78
407.92
408.81
0.89
0.22
2.04
0.50
Oilseed, Copra
--
--
--
--
--
--
--
--
5.80
5.58
5.53
5.53
0.00
0.00
-0.05
-0.88
--
--
--
--
--
--
--
--
14.79
15.66
16.33
16.46
0.13
0.78
0.80
5.08
226.79
229.49
232.37
234.60
2.00
2.10
2.13
2.13
454.05
482.68
494.16
499.88
5.72
1.16
17.20
3.56
36.71
35.29
37.94
39.80
2.54
2.75
2.85
2.84
93.15
97.14
108.10
113.05
4.96
4.58
15.91
16.38
190.08
194.20
194.43
194.81
1.90
1.99
1.99
1.99
360.90
385.54
386.07
386.83
0.76
0.20
1.29
0.33
56.46
59.63
59.97
60.02
2.72
2.74
2.80
2.80
153.85
163.55
167.89
168.07
0.19
0.11
4.52
2.77
Brazil
28.77
31.26
31.83
31.88
2.94
2.91
2.96
2.96
84.67
90.96
94.28
94.47
0.19
0.20
3.51
3.85
Argentina
21.76
22.29
22.11
22.11
2.47
2.59
2.65
2.65
53.68
57.70
58.53
58.53
0.00
0.00
0.82
1.43
Paraguay
3.18
3.27
3.29
3.29
2.68
2.55
2.57
2.57
8.54
8.32
8.46
8.46
0.00
0.00
0.14
1.66
Bolivia
1.26
1.18
1.30
1.30
2.31
2.26
2.15
2.15
2.91
2.67
2.80
2.80
0.00
0.00
0.13
4.87
China
25.49
24.94
24.25
24.25
2.35
2.35
2.38
2.38
59.88
58.59
57.76
57.76
0.00
0.00
-0.83
-1.42
South Asia
39.64
41.38
41.38
40.68
1.05
1.04
1.05
1.04
41.51
42.95
43.35
42.40
-0.95
-2.19
-0.55
-1.28
35.35
37.18
37.23
36.53
1.02
1.01
1.02
1.02
36.10
37.57
38.05
37.10
-0.95
-2.50
-0.47
-1.25
3.96
3.87
3.82
3.82
1.30
1.32
1.32
1.32
5.15
5.12
5.04
5.04
0.00
0.00
-0.08
-1.56
11.42
11.98
12.03
11.95
2.46
2.64
2.67
2.70
28.13
31.58
32.06
32.29
0.23
0.70
0.71
2.24
France
2.32
2.25
2.28
2.28
3.07
2.72
3.08
3.08
7.14
6.11
7.02
7.02
0.00
0.00
0.91
14.93
Germany
1.33
1.49
1.46
1.46
3.67
3.92
3.86
4.07
4.88
5.83
5.64
5.94
0.30
5.32
0.11
1.90
Poland
0.84
1.00
0.90
0.90
2.64
2.80
2.92
2.98
2.22
2.80
2.63
2.68
0.05
1.90
-0.12
-4.28
Romania
1.30
1.43
1.49
1.49
1.34
2.04
1.91
1.91
1.75
2.91
2.84
2.84
0.00
0.00
-0.07
-2.40
Hungary
0.81
0.84
0.89
0.89
2.18
2.48
2.30
2.30
1.77
2.08
2.04
2.04
0.00
0.00
-0.04
-1.97
United Kingdom
0.76
0.72
0.71
0.71
3.38
2.97
3.58
3.58
2.56
2.13
2.53
2.53
0.00
0.00
0.40
18.90
-1.08
3.56
none
Major OilSeeds
United States
none
Foreign Oilseeds
South America
India
Pakistan
European Union - 28
19.87
21.07
21.60
22.25
1.40
1.66
1.57
1.55
27.85
34.97
33.89
34.59
0.70
2.05
-0.38
Russia
8.45
9.11
9.29
9.80
1.29
1.49
1.51
1.47
10.87
13.58
14.00
14.40
0.40
2.83
0.82
6.01
Ukraine
7.46
7.95
8.15
8.30
1.69
2.10
1.87
1.87
12.61
16.73
15.20
15.50
0.30
1.97
-1.23
-7.33
1.35
1.29
1.29
1.29
1.31
1.30
1.30
1.30
1.77
1.67
1.67
1.67
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Canada
10.52
9.86
9.99
10.15
1.81
2.36
2.16
2.15
19.04
23.25
21.56
21.88
0.32
1.48
-1.37
-5.90
Africa
16.75
16.03
16.21
16.26
0.89
0.93
0.92
0.92
14.96
14.94
14.95
15.01
0.05
0.36
0.06
0.43
3.29
3.23
3.24
3.24
1.15
1.11
1.11
1.11
3.79
3.58
3.59
3.59
0.00
0.00
0.01
0.22
3.47
3.46
3.46
3.46
1.35
1.44
1.45
1.45
4.70
4.98
5.00
5.00
0.00
0.00
0.02
0.48
1.14
1.12
1.09
1.09
1.54
1.61
1.63
1.63
1.76
1.79
1.78
1.78
0.00
0.00
-0.01
-0.56
Australia
3.80
3.16
2.86
3.09
1.51
1.64
1.47
1.44
5.72
5.17
4.21
4.44
0.23
5.34
-0.74
-14.21
Others
2.68
2.69
2.69
2.69
1.97
2.07
2.01
2.00
5.28
5.56
5.39
5.40
0.01
0.13
-0.16
-2.95
Uzbekistan
Nigeria
Southeast Asia
Indonesia
World Total and Total Foreign: (Major Oilseeds plus copra and palm kernel)
Major Oilseeds: (soybeans, sunflowerseeds, peanuts(inshell), cottonseed and rapeseed)
July 2014
Area
(Million hectares)
Country / Region
2012/13
Prel.
2013/14
Yield
(Metric tons per hectare)
2014/15 Proj.
Jun
Jul
2012/13
Prel.
2013/14
2014/15 Proj.
Jun
Change in Production
Production
(Million metric tons)
Jul
2012/13
Prel.
2013/14
2014/15 Proj.
Jun
MMT
MMT
Jul
Percent
Percent
109.28
113.05
115.69
117.15
2.45
2.51
2.59
2.60
267.98
283.87
299.99
304.79
4.80
1.60
20.92
7.37
United States
30.82
30.70
32.56
34.02
2.68
2.92
3.04
3.04
82.56
89.51
98.93
103.42
4.49
4.54
13.91
15.54
Total Foreign
78.46
82.35
83.13
83.13
2.36
2.36
2.42
2.42
185.42
194.37
201.07
201.37
0.31
0.15
7.01
3.60
Brazil
27.70
29.90
30.50
30.50
2.96
2.93
2.98
2.98
82.00
87.50
91.00
91.00
0.00
0.00
3.50
4.00
Argentina
19.40
20.00
19.60
19.60
2.54
2.70
2.76
2.76
49.30
54.00
54.00
54.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Paraguay
3.00
3.10
3.10
3.10
2.77
2.61
2.65
2.65
8.30
8.10
8.20
8.20
0.00
0.00
0.10
1.23
Bolivia
1.09
1.00
1.10
1.10
2.44
2.40
2.27
2.27
2.66
2.40
2.50
2.50
0.00
0.00
0.10
4.17
Uruguay
1.30
1.45
1.25
1.25
2.81
2.41
2.72
2.72
3.65
3.50
3.40
3.40
0.00
0.00
-0.10
-2.86
China
7.17
6.85
6.70
6.70
1.82
1.78
1.79
1.79
13.05
12.20
12.00
12.00
0.00
0.00
-0.20
-1.64
Korea, South
0.08
0.08
0.07
0.07
1.52
1.93
1.72
1.72
0.12
0.15
0.13
0.13
0.00
0.00
-0.03
-17.53
Korea, North
0.12
0.12
0.12
0.12
1.46
1.41
1.40
1.40
0.17
0.16
0.17
0.17
0.00
0.00
0.00
1.23
Japan
0.13
0.13
0.13
0.13
1.80
1.56
1.64
1.64
0.24
0.20
0.21
0.21
0.00
0.00
0.01
3.54
10.80
12.20
12.00
11.60
1.06
0.90
1.00
1.00
11.50
11.00
12.00
11.60
-0.40
-3.33
0.60
5.45
1.68
1.82
2.11
2.12
3.03
2.86
2.89
2.89
5.09
5.20
6.10
6.12
0.02
0.33
0.92
17.69
Russia
1.35
1.20
1.55
1.80
1.39
1.36
1.48
1.50
1.88
1.64
2.30
2.70
0.40
17.39
1.06
65.04
Ukraine
1.41
1.35
1.60
1.75
1.71
2.05
2.00
2.00
2.41
2.77
3.20
3.50
0.30
9.38
0.73
26.17
Indonesia
0.45
0.45
0.45
0.45
1.33
1.38
1.38
1.38
0.60
0.62
0.62
0.62
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Vietnam
0.12
0.12
0.13
0.13
1.42
1.47
1.46
1.46
0.17
0.18
0.19
0.19
0.00
0.00
0.01
7.95
Thailand
0.05
0.04
0.04
0.04
1.70
1.67
1.75
1.75
0.09
0.07
0.07
0.07
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Burma
0.17
0.17
0.17
0.17
1.23
1.47
1.47
1.47
0.21
0.25
0.25
0.25
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.43
0.47
0.53
0.53
2.22
2.63
2.69
2.69
0.95
1.23
1.43
1.43
0.00
0.00
0.19
15.67
Italy
0.15
0.18
0.22
0.22
2.76
3.54
3.50
3.50
0.42
0.62
0.76
0.76
0.00
0.00
0.14
22.58
France
0.04
0.04
0.04
0.04
2.81
2.69
2.86
2.86
0.10
0.11
0.12
0.12
0.00
0.00
0.01
6.19
South Africa
0.52
0.50
0.56
0.56
1.52
1.73
1.64
1.64
0.79
0.87
0.92
0.92
0.00
0.00
0.05
5.99
Nigeria
0.57
0.44
0.44
0.44
1.02
1.02
1.02
1.02
0.58
0.45
0.45
0.45
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Uganda
0.15
0.15
0.15
0.15
1.00
1.11
1.11
1.11
0.15
0.17
0.17
0.17
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Serbia
0.17
0.17
0.17
0.17
1.70
2.42
2.36
2.36
0.28
0.40
0.39
0.39
0.00
0.00
-0.01
-2.50
Mexico
0.14
0.16
0.17
0.17
1.75
1.60
1.76
1.76
0.25
0.25
0.29
0.29
0.00
0.00
0.04
14.17
Iran
0.08
0.08
0.08
0.08
2.50
2.50
2.44
2.44
0.20
0.20
0.20
0.20
0.00
0.00
-0.01
-2.50
Others
0.39
0.40
0.42
0.42
2.06
2.13
2.13
2.13
0.81
0.86
0.90
0.89
-0.02
-1.66
0.03
3.86
World
none
South America
East Asia
India
Canada
Former Soviet Union - 12
Southeast Asia
European Union - 28
Sub-Saharan Africa
July 2014
Area
(Million hectares)
Country / Region
2012/13
Prel.
2013/14
Yield
(Metric tons per hectare)
2014/15 Proj.
Jun
2012/13
Jul
Prel.
2013/14
2014/15 Proj.
Jun
Change in Production
Production
(Million metric tons)
Jul
2012/13
Prel.
2013/14
2014/15 Proj.
Jun
MMT
MMT
Jul
Percent
Percent
33.43
31.86
32.00
32.47
1.39
1.41
1.36
1.35
46.31
44.89
43.44
43.86
0.42
0.96
-1.03
-2.30
United States
3.79
3.05
3.54
3.93
1.36
1.25
1.28
1.28
5.14
3.81
4.53
5.02
0.49
10.91
1.21
31.68
Total Foreign
29.64
28.81
28.46
28.54
1.39
1.43
1.37
1.36
41.17
41.08
38.91
38.84
-0.08
-0.20
-2.24
-5.46
5.30
4.90
4.35
4.35
2.59
2.56
2.66
2.66
13.72
12.54
11.56
11.56
0.00
0.00
-0.98
-7.81
12.00
11.70
11.80
11.80
1.01
1.11
1.03
1.01
12.10
12.95
12.10
11.90
-0.20
-1.65
-1.05
-8.11
3.00
3.00
3.00
3.00
1.33
1.37
1.37
1.37
4.00
4.10
4.10
4.10
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Uzbekistan
1.35
1.29
1.29
1.29
1.31
1.30
1.30
1.30
1.77
1.67
1.67
1.67
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Turkmenistan
0.60
0.58
0.58
0.58
1.04
1.03
1.03
1.03
0.63
0.59
0.59
0.59
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Tajikistan
0.20
0.19
0.19
0.19
1.08
1.03
1.03
1.03
0.22
0.20
0.20
0.20
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Kazakhstan
0.15
0.14
0.13
0.13
1.10
0.96
0.95
0.95
0.16
0.13
0.13
0.13
0.00
0.00
-0.01
-4.51
Brazil
0.90
1.12
1.10
1.15
2.48
2.59
2.54
2.59
2.23
2.90
2.79
2.98
0.19
6.63
0.08
2.59
Argentina
0.36
0.56
0.57
0.57
0.72
0.75
0.75
0.75
0.26
0.42
0.43
0.43
0.00
0.00
0.01
1.19
Turkey
0.41
0.33
0.42
0.42
2.12
2.24
2.22
2.22
0.87
0.74
0.93
0.93
0.00
0.00
0.19
25.81
Syria
0.13
0.11
0.06
0.06
2.72
2.51
1.62
1.62
0.34
0.28
0.10
0.10
0.00
0.00
-0.18
-64.86
Iran
World
none
China
South Asia
India
Pakistan
Former Soviet Union - 12
South America
Middle East
0.11
0.10
0.11
0.11
1.14
0.90
0.87
0.87
0.12
0.09
0.10
0.10
0.00
0.00
0.01
6.67
Australia
0.45
0.44
0.32
0.30
3.20
2.98
3.00
2.78
1.42
1.30
0.96
0.84
-0.13
-13.02
-0.47
-35.77
European Union - 28
0.36
0.31
0.35
0.35
1.36
1.54
1.55
1.55
0.48
0.48
0.54
0.54
0.00
0.00
0.06
12.53
Greece
0.29
0.25
0.27
0.27
1.33
1.63
1.71
1.71
0.38
0.40
0.45
0.45
0.00
0.00
0.05
13.25
Spain
0.07
0.06
0.08
0.08
1.47
1.22
1.06
1.06
0.10
0.08
0.09
0.09
0.00
0.00
0.01
8.97
Burkina
0.58
0.56
0.57
0.57
0.56
0.60
0.54
0.54
0.33
0.33
0.30
0.30
0.00
0.00
-0.03
-8.43
Mali
0.52
0.48
0.52
0.52
0.47
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.25
0.24
0.26
0.26
0.00
0.00
0.02
7.47
Cameroon
0.21
0.22
0.22
0.22
1.10
1.14
1.09
1.09
0.23
0.25
0.24
0.24
0.00
0.00
-0.01
-4.00
Sudan
0.06
0.06
0.06
0.06
1.07
0.84
0.84
0.84
0.06
0.05
0.05
0.05
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Zimbabwe
0.24
0.23
0.30
0.30
0.41
0.50
0.47
0.47
0.10
0.11
0.14
0.14
0.00
0.00
0.03
23.68
Nigeria
0.30
0.29
0.30
0.30
0.47
0.45
0.46
0.46
0.14
0.13
0.14
0.14
0.00
0.00
0.01
6.15
Benin
0.25
0.27
0.27
0.27
0.73
0.61
0.61
0.61
0.18
0.17
0.17
0.17
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Uganda
0.08
0.05
0.07
0.07
1.16
1.54
1.28
1.28
0.09
0.08
0.08
0.08
0.00
0.00
0.00
3.75
Egypt
0.14
0.13
0.11
0.16
1.04
1.02
1.03
1.03
0.15
0.13
0.11
0.16
0.05
41.59
0.03
20.30
Mexico
0.16
0.12
0.15
0.16
2.27
2.64
2.38
2.34
0.35
0.31
0.36
0.37
0.02
4.76
0.06
19.11
Burma
0.30
0.30
0.30
0.30
0.63
0.63
0.63
0.63
0.19
0.19
0.19
0.19
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Others
1.51
1.35
1.35
1.35
0.53
0.52
0.52
0.52
0.79
0.71
0.70
0.70
0.00
0.00
0.00
-0.43
Sub-Saharan Africa
July 2014
Area
(Million hectares)
Country / Region
2012/13
Prel.
2013/14
Yield
(Metric tons per hectare)
2014/15 Proj.
Jun
2012/13
Jul
Prel.
2013/14
2014/15 Proj.
Jun
Change in Production
Production
(Million metric tons)
Jul
2012/13
Prel.
2013/14
2014/15 Proj.
Jun
MMT
MMT
Jul
Percent
Percent
23.94
23.71
23.93
23.61
1.68
1.68
1.71
1.71
40.12
39.82
40.86
40.40
-0.46
-1.12
0.59
1.47
United States
0.65
0.42
0.55
0.52
4.73
4.49
4.45
4.48
3.07
1.89
2.43
2.32
-0.11
-4.41
0.43
22.66
Total Foreign
23.29
23.29
23.39
23.09
1.59
1.63
1.64
1.65
37.06
37.93
38.43
38.08
-0.35
-0.91
0.16
0.41
4.64
4.71
4.72
4.72
3.60
3.61
3.64
3.64
16.69
17.00
17.20
17.20
0.00
0.00
0.20
1.18
India
5.00
5.40
5.50
5.20
1.00
1.05
1.05
1.05
5.00
5.65
5.80
5.45
-0.35
-6.03
-0.20
-3.54
Pakistan
0.11
0.11
0.11
0.11
0.90
0.90
0.90
0.90
0.10
0.10
0.10
0.10
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
10.96
10.52
10.53
10.53
0.92
0.94
0.94
0.94
10.09
9.92
9.92
9.92
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.01
Nigeria
2.42
2.50
2.50
2.50
1.27
1.20
1.20
1.20
3.07
3.00
3.00
3.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Senegal
0.71
0.77
0.77
0.77
0.98
0.92
0.94
0.94
0.69
0.71
0.73
0.73
0.00
0.00
0.02
2.11
Chad
0.41
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.90
0.80
0.80
0.80
0.37
0.40
0.40
0.40
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Ghana
0.35
0.40
0.40
0.40
1.38
1.10
1.10
1.10
0.48
0.44
0.44
0.44
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Sudan
1.62
1.00
1.00
1.00
0.64
0.85
0.85
0.85
1.03
0.85
0.85
0.85
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Congo (Kinshasa)
0.48
0.48
0.48
0.48
0.78
0.78
0.78
0.78
0.37
0.37
0.37
0.37
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Burkina
0.36
0.35
0.35
0.35
0.73
0.77
0.77
0.77
0.26
0.27
0.27
0.27
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Guinea
0.22
0.21
0.21
0.21
1.38
1.24
1.24
1.24
0.30
0.26
0.26
0.26
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Cameroon
0.41
0.40
0.40
0.40
1.39
1.38
1.38
1.38
0.57
0.55
0.55
0.55
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Mali
0.34
0.35
0.35
0.35
0.95
0.93
0.93
0.93
0.33
0.33
0.33
0.33
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Malawi
0.35
0.36
0.37
0.37
1.09
1.05
1.03
1.03
0.39
0.38
0.38
0.38
0.00
0.00
-0.01
-1.57
Cote d'Ivoire
0.08
0.08
0.08
0.08
1.21
1.13
1.13
1.13
0.09
0.09
0.09
0.09
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Uganda
0.30
0.30
0.30
0.30
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
0.30
0.30
0.30
0.30
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.10
0.10
0.10
0.10
1.55
1.50
1.50
1.50
0.15
0.15
0.15
0.15
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Benin
0.13
0.13
0.13
0.13
0.65
0.65
0.65
0.65
0.08
0.09
0.09
0.09
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Mozambique
0.39
0.29
0.29
0.29
0.29
0.38
0.38
0.38
0.11
0.11
0.11
0.11
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Niger
0.74
0.74
0.74
0.74
0.39
0.49
0.47
0.47
0.29
0.37
0.35
0.35
0.00
0.00
-0.02
-4.11
South Africa
0.05
0.05
0.06
0.06
1.19
2.13
2.00
2.00
0.06
0.11
0.12
0.12
0.00
0.00
0.01
6.19
Indonesia
0.68
0.66
0.63
0.63
1.68
1.77
1.83
1.83
1.15
1.16
1.15
1.15
0.00
0.00
-0.01
-0.86
Burma
0.88
0.89
0.89
0.89
1.56
1.58
1.58
1.58
1.37
1.40
1.40
1.40
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Vietnam
0.22
0.23
0.24
0.24
2.28
2.30
2.29
2.29
0.49
0.53
0.55
0.55
0.00
0.00
0.02
3.77
Thailand
0.03
0.03
0.03
0.03
1.53
1.67
1.67
1.67
0.05
0.05
0.05
0.05
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Argentina
0.38
0.33
0.34
0.34
2.67
2.94
3.53
3.53
1.02
0.98
1.20
1.20
0.00
0.00
0.22
22.20
Brazil
0.10
0.11
0.10
0.10
3.36
3.37
2.90
2.90
0.33
0.36
0.29
0.29
0.00
0.00
-0.07
-20.33
Egypt
0.06
0.06
0.06
0.06
3.17
3.17
3.17
3.17
0.19
0.19
0.19
0.19
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Mexico
0.06
0.06
0.06
0.06
1.98
1.75
1.75
1.75
0.12
0.10
0.10
0.10
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Others
0.18
0.20
0.20
0.20
2.58
2.50
2.51
2.51
0.47
0.49
0.49
0.49
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.20
World
none
China
South Asia
Sub-Saharan Africa
Southeast Asia
South America
July 2014
Area
(Million hectares)
Country / Region
2012/13
Prel.
2013/14
Yield
(Metric tons per hectare)
2014/15 Proj.
Jun
2012/13
Jul
Prel.
2013/14
2014/15 Proj.
Jun
Change in Production
Production
(Million metric tons)
Jul
2012/13
Prel.
2013/14
2014/15 Proj.
Jun
MMT
MMT
Jul
Percent
Percent
23.84
24.63
24.50
24.71
1.51
1.74
1.66
1.65
36.06
42.87
40.75
40.67
-0.09
-0.21
-2.20
-5.14
United States
0.75
0.60
0.61
0.66
1.70
1.54
1.66
1.66
1.26
0.92
1.02
1.10
0.08
7.87
0.17
18.87
Total Foreign
23.10
24.03
23.88
24.05
1.51
1.75
1.66
1.65
34.80
41.95
39.74
39.57
-0.17
-0.42
-2.38
-5.67
-8.51
World
none
12.61
13.52
13.34
13.60
1.40
1.72
1.59
1.56
17.66
23.23
21.25
21.25
0.00
-0.02
-1.98
Russia
6.13
6.80
6.54
6.80
1.30
1.55
1.56
1.50
7.96
10.55
10.20
10.20
0.00
-0.04
-0.35
-3.35
Ukraine
5.50
5.60
5.60
5.60
1.64
2.07
1.79
1.79
9.00
11.60
10.00
10.00
0.00
0.00
-1.60
-13.79
Moldova
0.30
0.30
0.30
0.30
0.99
1.67
1.50
1.50
0.30
0.50
0.45
0.45
0.00
0.00
-0.05
-9.82
Kazakhstan
0.68
0.82
0.90
0.90
0.59
0.70
0.67
0.67
0.40
0.57
0.60
0.60
0.00
0.00
0.03
4.71
1.94
1.79
2.02
2.02
1.85
1.61
1.76
1.76
3.60
2.88
3.55
3.55
0.00
0.00
0.67
23.23
Argentina
1.62
1.40
1.60
1.60
1.91
1.64
1.81
1.81
3.10
2.30
2.90
2.90
0.00
0.00
0.60
26.09
Uruguay
0.03
0.03
0.03
0.03
1.60
1.40
1.47
1.47
0.04
0.04
0.04
0.04
0.00
0.00
0.01
25.71
Bolivia
0.17
0.18
0.20
0.20
1.47
1.50
1.50
1.50
0.25
0.27
0.30
0.30
0.00
0.00
0.03
11.11
Brazil
0.07
0.13
0.13
0.13
1.57
1.50
1.54
1.54
0.11
0.20
0.20
0.20
0.00
0.00
0.01
2.56
Paraguay
0.05
0.05
0.06
0.06
1.78
1.60
1.69
1.69
0.10
0.08
0.11
0.11
0.00
0.00
0.03
31.25
China
0.95
0.97
0.98
0.98
2.54
2.54
2.56
2.56
2.41
2.45
2.50
2.50
0.00
0.00
0.05
2.04
European Union - 28
4.30
4.39
4.30
4.20
1.64
1.98
1.88
1.89
7.07
8.71
8.10
7.93
-0.18
-2.16
-0.79
-9.03
France
0.68
0.77
0.72
0.72
2.31
2.14
2.33
2.33
1.57
1.65
1.68
1.68
0.00
0.00
0.03
1.52
Hungary
0.61
0.59
0.60
0.60
2.14
2.47
2.29
2.29
1.30
1.47
1.38
1.38
0.00
0.00
-0.10
-6.46
Spain
0.76
0.85
0.90
0.80
0.81
1.21
1.08
1.00
0.62
1.03
0.98
0.80
-0.18
-17.95
-0.23
-22.25
Italy
0.11
0.11
0.11
0.11
1.71
2.25
2.13
2.13
0.19
0.24
0.23
0.23
0.00
0.00
-0.01
-5.35
Slovakia
0.09
0.08
0.09
0.09
2.19
2.28
2.27
2.27
0.20
0.19
0.20
0.20
0.00
0.00
0.01
3.17
South Asia
1.27
1.15
1.09
1.09
1.10
1.10
1.09
1.09
1.40
1.27
1.19
1.19
0.00
0.00
-0.08
-6.30
India
0.80
0.75
0.73
0.73
0.88
0.89
0.89
0.89
0.70
0.67
0.65
0.65
0.00
0.00
-0.02
-2.99
Pakistan
0.47
0.40
0.36
0.36
1.49
1.50
1.50
1.50
0.70
0.60
0.54
0.54
0.00
0.00
-0.06
-10.00
Turkey
0.60
0.69
0.60
0.60
1.88
2.03
1.92
1.92
1.13
1.40
1.15
1.15
0.00
0.00
-0.25
-17.86
South Africa
0.51
0.60
0.61
0.61
1.10
1.38
1.31
1.31
0.56
0.83
0.80
0.80
0.00
0.00
-0.03
-3.03
Burma
0.54
0.54
0.54
0.54
0.65
0.90
0.90
0.90
0.35
0.49
0.49
0.49
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Serbia
0.18
0.19
0.19
0.19
2.00
2.30
2.30
2.30
0.35
0.43
0.43
0.43
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Canada
0.04
0.03
0.03
0.03
2.18
1.86
1.76
1.76
0.09
0.05
0.06
0.06
0.00
0.00
0.01
15.38
Australia
0.03
0.03
0.04
0.04
1.47
1.19
1.28
1.28
0.04
0.03
0.05
0.05
0.00
0.00
0.01
43.75
Others
0.14
0.16
0.15
0.16
1.17
1.23
1.19
1.23
0.17
0.19
0.18
0.19
0.01
6.74
0.00
0.00
South America
July 2014
Area
(Million hectares)
Country / Region
2012/13
Prel.
2013/14
Yield
(Metric tons per hectare)
2014/15 Proj.
Jun
2012/13
Jul
Prel.
2013/14
2014/15 Proj.
Jun
Change in Production
Production
(Million metric tons)
Jul
2012/13
Prel.
2013/14
2014/15 Proj.
Jun
MMT
MMT
Jul
Percent
Percent
36.30
36.24
36.25
36.68
1.75
1.97
1.91
1.91
63.57
71.23
69.11
70.16
1.05
1.51
-1.07
-1.50
United States
0.70
0.51
0.68
0.68
1.59
1.96
1.76
1.76
1.11
1.00
1.20
1.19
0.00
-0.25
0.19
18.73
Total Foreign
35.60
35.73
35.57
36.00
1.75
1.97
1.91
1.92
62.46
70.22
67.92
68.97
1.05
1.55
-1.26
-1.79
5.87
World
none
6.33
6.81
6.85
6.88
3.10
3.11
3.21
3.26
19.63
21.16
22.00
22.40
0.40
1.82
1.24
Germany
1.31
1.46
1.44
1.44
3.69
3.95
3.89
4.10
4.82
5.78
5.58
5.88
0.30
5.38
0.10
1.77
France
1.61
1.44
1.52
1.52
3.40
3.03
3.44
3.44
5.46
4.35
5.23
5.23
0.00
0.00
0.88
20.25
United Kingdom
0.76
0.72
0.71
0.71
3.38
2.97
3.58
3.58
2.56
2.13
2.53
2.53
0.00
0.00
0.40
18.90
Poland
0.84
1.00
0.90
0.90
2.64
2.80
2.92
2.98
2.22
2.80
2.63
2.68
0.05
1.90
-0.12
-4.29
Czech Republic
0.40
0.42
0.39
0.39
2.77
3.45
3.11
3.16
1.11
1.44
1.22
1.24
0.02
1.64
-0.20
-14.07
Denmark
0.13
0.18
0.18
0.18
3.71
3.87
3.89
3.89
0.48
0.69
0.70
0.70
0.00
0.00
0.02
2.19
Hungary
0.17
0.20
0.23
0.23
2.40
2.59
2.43
2.43
0.40
0.52
0.56
0.56
0.00
0.00
0.04
6.87
Romania
0.11
0.29
0.42
0.42
1.53
2.45
2.26
2.26
0.17
0.71
0.95
0.95
0.00
0.00
0.24
33.80
Slovakia
0.11
0.14
0.12
0.12
1.99
2.60
2.54
2.54
0.21
0.36
0.31
0.31
0.00
0.00
-0.05
-12.92
Sweden
0.11
0.12
0.13
0.13
2.97
2.73
2.72
2.72
0.32
0.33
0.34
0.34
0.00
0.00
0.01
2.10
Lithuania
0.26
0.27
0.26
0.26
2.43
2.33
2.31
2.31
0.63
0.62
0.60
0.60
0.00
0.00
-0.02
-2.76
Latvia
0.12
0.13
0.12
0.12
2.58
2.32
2.30
2.30
0.30
0.30
0.27
0.27
0.00
0.00
-0.03
-10.77
Austria
0.06
0.06
0.06
0.06
2.64
3.40
3.10
3.10
0.15
0.20
0.18
0.18
0.00
0.00
-0.02
-8.63
Finland
0.06
0.05
0.06
0.06
1.25
1.60
1.36
1.36
0.08
0.09
0.08
0.08
0.00
0.00
-0.01
-11.76
Estonia
0.09
0.09
0.09
0.09
1.82
2.02
1.98
1.98
0.16
0.17
0.17
0.17
0.00
0.00
0.00
-1.15
7.43
7.51
7.50
7.50
1.88
1.92
1.93
1.93
14.01
14.40
14.50
14.50
0.00
0.00
0.10
0.69
India
6.75
7.13
7.20
7.20
1.01
1.02
1.04
1.04
6.80
7.30
7.50
7.50
0.00
0.00
0.20
2.74
Pakistan
0.38
0.36
0.35
0.35
0.92
0.89
0.86
0.86
0.35
0.32
0.30
0.30
0.00
0.00
-0.02
-6.25
Bangladesh
European Union - 28
China
South Asia
0.31
0.31
0.31
0.31
0.74
0.74
0.74
0.74
0.23
0.23
0.23
0.23
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Canada
8.80
8.01
7.85
8.00
1.58
2.25
1.96
1.96
13.87
18.00
15.40
15.70
0.30
1.95
-2.30
-12.78
Australia
3.27
2.66
2.45
2.70
1.27
1.42
1.27
1.28
4.14
3.76
3.10
3.45
0.35
11.29
-0.31
-8.24
Ukraine
0.55
1.00
0.95
0.95
2.20
2.36
2.11
2.11
1.20
2.35
2.00
2.00
0.00
0.00
-0.35
-14.97
Russia
0.97
1.11
1.20
1.20
1.07
1.25
1.25
1.25
1.04
1.39
1.50
1.50
0.00
0.00
0.11
7.68
Belarus
0.42
0.40
0.43
0.43
1.67
1.75
1.65
1.65
0.71
0.70
0.70
0.70
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Paraguay
0.08
0.09
0.09
0.09
1.37
1.41
1.40
1.40
0.11
0.12
0.13
0.13
0.00
0.00
0.01
5.00
Others
0.30
0.35
0.40
0.40
1.25
1.41
1.41
1.41
0.37
0.49
0.56
0.56
0.00
0.00
0.07
14.96
July 2014
Change in Production
Production
(Million metric tons)
Country / Region
2012/13
Prel.
2013/14
2014/15 Proj.
Jun
Jul
MMT
Percent
MMT
Percent
Oilseed, Copra
Philippines
2.65
2.40
2.35
2.35
0.00
0.00
-0.05
-2.08
Indonesia
1.56
1.58
1.58
1.58
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
India
0.67
0.67
0.67
0.67
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Vietnam
0.24
0.24
0.24
0.24
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Mexico
0.21
0.21
0.21
0.21
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.13
0.13
0.13
0.13
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Thailand
0.07
0.07
0.07
0.07
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Sri Lanka
0.07
0.07
0.07
0.07
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Solomon Islands
0.03
0.03
0.03
0.03
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Cote d'Ivoire
0.03
0.03
0.03
0.03
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
5.80
5.58
5.53
5.53
0.00
0.00
-0.05
-0.90
World
Oilseed, Palm Kernel
Indonesia
7.48
8.14
8.70
8.70
0.00
0.00
0.56
6.88
Malaysia
4.87
5.00
5.09
5.20
0.11
2.16
0.20
4.00
Nigeria
0.70
0.73
0.72
0.73
0.01
1.39
0.01
1.39
Thailand
0.43
0.44
0.45
0.45
0.00
0.00
0.01
2.27
Colombia
0.21
0.24
0.24
0.24
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.13
0.13
0.13
0.13
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Cameroon
0.11
0.11
0.11
0.11
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Ecuador
0.11
0.11
0.12
0.12
0.00
0.00
0.01
9.09
Honduras
0.10
0.10
0.11
0.11
0.00
0.00
0.01
10.00
Brazil
World
Oil, Palm
Indonesia
0.10
0.10
0.10
0.10
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
14.79
15.66
16.33
16.46
0.13
0.80
0.80
5.11
28.50
31.00
33.50
33.50
0.00
0.00
2.50
8.06
Malaysia
19.32
19.90
20.35
20.80
0.45
2.21
0.90
4.52
Thailand
2.14
2.15
2.25
2.25
0.00
0.00
0.10
4.65
Colombia
0.97
1.04
1.03
1.03
0.00
0.00
-0.01
-0.97
Nigeria
0.91
0.93
0.93
0.93
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.61
0.63
0.63
0.63
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Ecuador
0.54
0.57
0.58
0.58
0.00
0.00
0.01
1.79
Honduras
0.41
0.43
0.44
0.44
0.00
0.00
0.01
2.33
Cote d'Ivoire
0.39
0.40
0.40
0.40
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Guatemala
0.32
0.35
0.36
0.36
0.00
0.00
0.01
2.86
55.97
59.29
62.35
62.80
0.45
0.72
3.51
5.92
World
July 2014
Area
(Million hectares)
Country / Region
2012/13
Prel.
2013/14
Yield
(Kilograms per hectare)
2014/15 Proj.
Jun
2012/13
Jul
Prel.
2013/14
2014/15 Proj.
Jun
Change in Production
Production
(Million 480 lb. bales)
Jul
2012/13
Prel.
2013/14
2014/15 Proj.
Jun
Jul
MBales
Percent
Percent
34.33
32.77
33.02
33.39
780
786
764
759
122.95
118.33
115.92
116.42
0.50
0.43
-1.91
-1.61
United States
3.79
3.05
3.54
3.93
994
921
922
915
17.32
12.91
15.00
16.50
1.50
10.00
3.59
27.82
Total Foreign
30.54
29.72
29.48
29.46
753
772
745
738
105.64
105.42
100.92
99.92
-1.00
-0.99
-5.50
-5.22
12.00
11.70
11.80
11.80
517
568
526
517
28.50
30.50
28.50
28.00
-0.50
-1.75
-2.50
-8.20
3.00
3.00
3.00
3.00
675
689
689
689
9.30
9.50
9.50
9.50
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Uzbekistan
1.32
1.29
1.29
1.29
745
703
712
712
4.50
4.15
4.20
4.20
0.00
0.00
0.05
1.20
Turkmenistan
0.60
0.58
0.55
0.55
581
568
579
579
1.60
1.50
1.45
1.45
0.00
0.00
-0.05
-3.33
Tajikistan
0.20
0.19
0.19
0.19
599
573
588
588
0.55
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Kazakhstan
0.15
0.14
0.13
0.13
611
536
544
544
0.42
0.34
0.33
0.33
0.00
0.00
-0.02
-4.41
Burkina
0.58
0.56
0.57
0.57
441
471
424
424
1.18
1.20
1.10
1.10
0.00
0.00
-0.10
-8.33
Mali
0.52
0.48
0.52
0.52
362
386
383
383
0.87
0.85
0.92
0.92
0.00
0.00
0.07
7.65
Zimbabwe
0.24
0.23
0.30
0.30
236
284
269
269
0.26
0.30
0.37
0.37
0.00
0.00
0.07
23.33
Benin
0.25
0.27
0.27
0.27
479
403
403
403
0.55
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Cote d'Ivoire
0.38
0.36
0.37
0.37
398
460
403
403
0.69
0.75
0.68
0.68
0.00
0.00
-0.08
-10.00
Cameroon
0.21
0.22
0.22
0.22
477
495
475
475
0.46
0.50
0.48
0.48
0.00
0.00
-0.02
-4.00
Nigeria
0.30
0.29
0.30
0.30
236
225
232
232
0.33
0.30
0.32
0.32
0.00
0.00
0.02
6.67
Sudan
0.06
0.06
0.06
0.06
454
356
356
356
0.13
0.09
0.09
0.09
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Brazil
0.90
1.12
1.20
1.15
1,452
1,516
1,506
1,515
6.00
7.80
8.30
8.00
-0.30
-3.61
0.20
2.56
Argentina
0.36
0.56
0.57
0.57
454
474
472
472
0.75
1.22
1.23
1.23
0.00
0.00
0.01
0.41
Paraguay
0.05
0.03
0.04
0.04
363
399
354
354
0.08
0.06
0.07
0.07
0.00
0.00
0.01
18.18
Turkey
0.41
0.33
0.42
0.42
1,407
1,517
1,503
1,503
2.65
2.30
2.90
2.90
0.00
0.00
0.60
26.09
Syria
0.13
0.10
0.06
0.06
1,263
1,306
1,089
1,089
0.73
0.60
0.30
0.30
0.00
0.00
-0.30
-50.00
Iran
World
none
South Asia
India
Pakistan
Former Soviet Union - 12
Sub-Saharan Africa
South America
Middle East
0.11
0.12
0.11
0.11
591
606
594
594
0.29
0.32
0.30
0.30
0.00
0.00
-0.02
-6.25
Australia
0.45
0.44
0.32
0.30
2,251
2,047
2,109
1,960
4.60
4.10
3.10
2.70
-0.40
-12.90
-1.40
-34.15
European Union - 28
5.38
0.36
0.31
0.34
0.34
909
1,119
1,079
1,079
1.49
1.60
1.69
1.69
0.00
0.00
0.09
Greece
0.29
0.25
0.27
0.27
912
1,217
1,150
1,150
1.19
1.37
1.40
1.40
0.00
0.00
0.03
2.26
Spain
0.07
0.06
0.07
0.07
893
748
820
820
0.29
0.22
0.28
0.28
0.00
0.00
0.06
25.00
Egypt
0.14
0.13
0.11
0.16
746
729
732
737
0.49
0.44
0.37
0.53
0.16
41.89
0.09
20.69
Mexico
0.16
0.12
0.15
0.16
1,455
1,691
1,524
1,497
1.04
0.92
1.05
1.10
0.05
4.76
0.18
19.05
Others
7.69
7.13
6.62
6.62
1,082
1,072
1,075
1,075
38.22
35.09
32.70
32.70
-0.01
-0.02
-2.39
-6.82
July 2014
TABLE 18
The table below presents a record of the differences between the July projection and the final Estimate.
Using world wheat production as an example, the "root mean square error means that chances are 2 out of 3
that the current forecast will not be above or below the final estimate by more than 2.9 percent. Chances are
9 out of 10 (90% confidence level) that the difference will not exceed 4.9 percent. The average difference
between the July projection and the final estimate is 14.3 million tons, ranging from 1.0 million to 34.6 million
tons. The July projection has been below the estimate 19 times and above 14 times.
RELIABILITY OF PRODUCTION PROJECTIONS 1/
COMMODITY AND
REGION
Root mean
square error
90 percent
confidence
interval
Average
Percent
Smallest
Largest
Years
Below
Above
final
final
WHEAT
World
2.9
4.9
14.3
1.0
34.6
19
14
U.S.
3.6
6.2
1.7
0.2
6.2
15
18
Foreign
3.2
5.4
13.9
0.3
34.7
20
13
World
2.9
5.0
21.7
3.7
68.4
17
16
U.S.
10.8
18.4
16.7
0.6
57.9
14
19
Foreign
2.5
4.2
12.6
1.1
37.9
17
16
World
2.5
4.3
7.2
0.4
24.0
21
12
U.S.
4.8
8.1
0.2
0.0
0.6
18
13
Foreign
2.6
4.3
7.2
0.5
24.3
21
12
World
5.3
8.9
6.9
0.5
26.9
15
18
U.S.
7.3
12.3
3.4
0.2
11.7
15
18
Foreign
7.9
13.3
6.4
1.0
25.8
18
15
COARSE GRAINS 2/
RICE (Milled)
SOYBEANS
COTTON
World
5.6
9.4
3.6
0.0
14.9
20
13
U.S.
10.1
17.1
1.4
0.1
5.3
19
14
Foreign
5.7
9.7
2.9
0.0
12.1
18
14
-------Million bushels-------
UNITED STATES
CORN
11.9
20.1
605
12
2,190
17
16
SORGHUM
19.1
32.3
73
213
16
17
BARLEY
8.2
13.9
23
87
11
21
OATS
12.6
21.3
22
144
27
1/ Marketing years 1981/82 through 2013/14. Final for grains, soybeans and cotton is defined as the first
November estimate following the marketing year for 1981/82 through 2012/13, and for 2013/14 last months
estimate.
2/ Includes corn, sorghum, barley, oats, rye, millet, and mixed grain
July 2014