Drugs without the hot air: A proper assessment of drug harms and their relative dangers
David Nutt FMedSci Edmond J Safra Prof of Neuropsychopharmacology Imperial College London d.nutt@imperial.ac.uk Hon Consultant psychiatrist CNWL Chair Independent Scientific Committee on Drugs (ISCD) drugscience.org.uk
profdavidnutt@twitter.com Drugs without the hot air Auckland 2013 What killed Amy Winehouse?
1. drug overdose
2 alcohol overdose
3 both the above
Amy Winehouse's death due to acute alcohol poisoning
Blood alcohol 450mg/% = 5.5 x legal driving limit Why not use this to inform people of the harms of alcohol? Despite being in recovery What is a drug?
And who says? Back to the science . The drinks industry? What is a drug? something a politician once used but now regrets
Jaqui Smith (Home Sec) I smoked cannabis but didnt enjoy David Cameron (Prime Minister) I did things when young that I I shouldnt have we all did etc etc
Release What I say a drug is a chemical which when taken produces physiological changes
Which in relation to controlled drugs relates to pleasurable/desirable effects in the brain
Or damaging ones.. Death from drugs? Gavin Britton Leah Betts alcohol poisoning water poisoning following MDMA use (drinking game after Exeter University golf match)
Note in newspaper Billboards all over the UK Drug related deaths - UK 10 0 10,000 20,000 30,000 40,000 50,000 60,000 70,000 80,000 90,000 Tobacco Alcohol Opiates 0 200 400 600 800 1,000 1,200 1,400 Source: Smoking and drinking among adults, 2009. Office for National Statistics Drug Misuse Declared: Findings from the 2010/11 British Crime Survey England and Wales. Home Office Estimates of the Prevalence of Opiate Use and/or Crack Cocaine Use, 2009/10: Sweep 6 report. The Centre for Drug Misuse Research
Deaths for people under age 65 from major diseases compared with 1970 - UK Nick Sheron Southampton Liver disease The inexorable rise of liver deaths 80% due to alcohol 20% viral Note in this period alcohol consumption increased about 60%
14 0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 16-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75+ Age group N u m b e r
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d e a t h s 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% %
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g r o u p Wholly attributable conditions Partially attributable chronic conditions Partially attributable acute consequences % of all deaths by age group
Figure 1. Number (% of all deaths in each age group) of male deaths attributable to alcohol consumption by age and type of condition (2005)
0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900 1,000 16-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65-74 75+ Age group N u m b e r
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d e a t h s 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% 14% 16% %
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g r o u p Wholly attributable conditions Partially attributable chronic conditions Partially attributable acute consequences % of all deaths by age group
Figure 2. Number (% of all deaths in each age group) of female deaths attributable to alcohol consumption by age and type of condition (2005) Male deaths from alcohol http://www.nwph.net/nwpho/publications/alcoholattributablefractions.pdf Alcohol the most common reason for death in men under 50 Alcohol is the most destructive drug to the brain Normal Alcohol addiction 12.20 12.20 5,49 4.39 6.66 8 The more you drink the more comorbid diseases you get cause-specific relative risk by alcohol consumption White et al. BMJ 2002;325(7357):191 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 Alcohol (units/week) 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 Alcohol (units/week) 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 Alcohol (units/week) 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 Alcohol (units/week) 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 Alcohol (units/week) 5.0 4.0 3.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 R e l a t i v e
r i s k
5.0 4.0 3.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 R e l a t i v e
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5.0 4.0 3.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 R e l a t i v e
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Lip, pharynx, and oral cancer Oesophageal cancer Colon cancer Rectal cancer Ischaemic heart disease Liver cancer Laryngeal cancer Breast cancer Essential hypertension Injuries Ischaemic stroke Haemorrhagic stroke Cirrhosis Non-cirrhotic chronic liver disease Chronic pancreatitis Men and women Men Women UK government refused to act on alcohol because of this minor beneficial effect! Wide impact of alcohol on human diseases
What about cannabis? Rise in incidence and prevalence of cannabis use since 1970 in England and Wales (Hickman et al 2007, Addiction 102, 597-606) Ever use Period prevalence Incident Cannabis < 18 20x increase in cannabis users over last 40 years Self-reported cannabis use and prevalence/incidence rates of schizophrenia and psychoses in England, 1996 to 2005/06 0 5 10 15 20 25 1 9 9 6 1 9 9 8 2 0 0 0 2 0 0 1 / 2 0 0 2 2 0 0 2 / 2 0 0 3 2 0 0 3 / 2 0 0 4 2 0 0 4 / 2 0 0 5 2 0 0 5 / 2 0 0 6 Annual prevalence rates of schizophrenia and psychoses per 10,000 PYE Annual prevalence rate of schizophrenia per 10,000 PYE Annual incidence rates of schizophrenia and psychoses per 10,000 PYE Annual incidence rates of schizophrenia per 10,000 PYE If anything schizophrenia is declining Frisher et al (2009) Weissenborn and (Nutt 2011) Self-reported cannabis use and prevalence/incidence rates of schizophrenia and psychoses in England, 1996 to 2005/06 0 5 10 15 20 25 1 9 9 6 1 9 9 8 2 0 0 0 2 0 0 1 / 2 0 0 2 2 0 0 2 / 2 0 0 3 2 0 0 3 / 2 0 0 4 2 0 0 4 / 2 0 0 5 2 0 0 5 / 2 0 0 6 Annual prevalence rates of schizophrenia and psychoses per 10,000 PYE Annual prevalence rate of schizophrenia per 10,000 PYE Annual incidence rates of schizophrenia and psychoses per 10,000 PYE Annual incidence rates of schizophrenia per 10,000 PYE If anything schizophrenia is declining
To prevent one case of schizophrenia one would have to prevent 5000 young men from ever smoking cannabis
ACMD 3 rd cannabis report 2009
Therefore no need to reclassify from Class C
The MCDA 16 criteria of drug harm Multi Criteria Decision Analysis approach
Harm to self
Harm to others Drugs ranked according to total harm UK experts MCDA approach Nutt King & Phillips Lancet Nov 2010 Alcohol Cannabis Tobacco New European data 2013 ISCD European study FP7 2013 20 European countries No correlation of UK Drugs Act classification with MCDA results 22 0 1 2 3 4 5 0 20 40 60 80 U K
D r u g s
A c t
c l a s s i f i c a t i o n
ISCD results A C B U linear r = 0.04 No correlation of UK Drugs Act classification with ISCD results 23 0 1 2 3 4 5 0 20 40 60 80 U K
D r u g s
A c t
c l a s s i f i c a t i o n
ISCD results A C B U So the law is incorrect .. and therefore unjust (and ineffective)
May add to harms
And .impedes research and treatment developments How the media distort drug knowledge Police complicity: The Scunthorpe two (17/03/10) Two young men found dead Officers believe both lads had M-CAT (mephedrone) and also had access to heroin substitute methadone which they used to bring them down from the high of mephedrone - they had also been drinking heavily until 2am
Nick's dad wept as he urged youngsters to avoid the drug "I don't want him to be labelled a druggie because he wasn't. He was just on a night out with friends enjoying himself, a normal, caring, hard-working lad. (The Sun, 17/03/10)
Media clamor to get the drug banned 26 0 50 100 150 200 250 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Mephedrone becomes available online Source: Deaths related to drug poisoning in England and Wales, 2010, Office for National Statistics An unexpected benefit of mephedrone Mephedrone appears to have reduced cocaine deaths Perverse effect of banning mephedrone replacement with more toxic analogues 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 Time for Enlightenment? Many banned drugs have potential as treatments
Cannabis pain spasticity nausea weight loss insomnia
MDMA to assist trauma therapy PTSD
Psilocybin for depression, cluster headaches, OCD
LSD for terminal illnesses
Ketamine depression and pain
Mephedrone & Naphyrone for treatment of depression and addiction Time for Enlightenment? Many banned drugs have potential as treatments
Cannabis pain spasticity nausea weight loss insomnia
MDMA to assist trauma therapy PTSD
Psilocybin for depression, cluster headaches, OCD
LSD for terminal illnesses
Ketamine depression and pain
Mephedrone & Naphyrone for treatment of depression and addiction The worst censorship of research since .. The banning of the Heliocentric theory of the universe 1616 The papal Congregation of the Index banned all books advocating the Copernican system of explaining planetary motion - Not revoked until 1758 Galileo Galilei 1564-1642 Giordano Bruno 1548-1600 Nicolaus Copernicus 1473-1543 To read more about this Nature Reviews Neuroscience June 2013 www.nature.com/nrn/journal/vaop/ncurrent/abs/nrn3530.html http://drugscience.org.uk/blog/2013/06/11/lets-get-war-drugs-out-our-hospitals-and- laboratories/
Two Nobel prize winners who used LSD Francis Crick Kary Mullis (PCR) Double Helix Polymerase Chain Reaction Before it was banned No problem can be solved from the same level of consciousness that created it Albert Einstein Clinical Interest in LSD in the 1950s and 1960s Hundreds of psychiatrists worldwide 1000 clinical papers 40,000 patients 40 books 6 International conferences Results were overwhelmingly positive, describing safe and effective treatments. (Masters and Houston, 1971)
One example LSD in alcoholism Effect size >= all current therapies Since the banning NO clinical trials only one neuroscience study LSD Mescaline Affinity for 5-HT2A Potency in man Glennon et al. 1984. Human dose data from Shulgin 1978 Resurrecting psychedelic research with psilocybin All these drugs stimulate 5HT2A receptors Psilocybin magic mushrooms Short acting if used iv = 30 min effect
PET image [11C]Cimbi-36 5HT2A receptor agonist
Copenhagen
5HT2A receptors most densely expressed cortex)
Note = agonist / high affinity state of the receptor as [11C]Cimbi-36 an agonist The 5-HT2A receptor in humans revealed by PET Our first Psilocybin Studies unexpected decrease in rCBF Carhart-Harris et al. 2012. PNAS Psilocybin attenuates activity in the brain region that causes depression
Carhart-Harris and Nutt PNAS 2012 fMRI BOLD image A number of effective treatments for depression suppress mPFC activity:
SSRIs Kennedy et al. 01 CBT Goldapple et al. 04 Sleep deprivation Gillin et al. 01 ECT Bonne et al. 96 Placebo Mayberg et al. 02 Deep brain stimulation Mayberg et al. 05 Ketamine Deakin et al. 08 Clinical trial funded by MRC with Profs Curran and Piling UCL will start this year IF UK drug regulations can be overcome C4: Drugs Live The ecstasy trial Probably first ever funding of serious scientific study by TV company
MDMA research only possible through independent funding
Opportunity to demonstrate scientific process and get vital harm reduction info to public
John Snow 5% of British soldiers returning from combat in Iraq met the criteria for PTSD In US soldiers the incidence of PTSD is as high as 18% .
More returning soldiers from Iraq and Afghanistan have committed suicide from untreated PTSD than ever died in the conflict out there. PTSD
MDMA-v- placebo for treatment resistant PTSD % meeting PTSD diagnosis pre/post Mithoefer et al Journal of Psychopharmacology 2010 80% of MDMA treated group go into remission
MDMA-v- placebo for treatment resistant PTSD % meeting PTSD diagnosis pre/post Mithoefer et al Journal of Psychopharmacology 2010 80% of MDMA treated group go into remission Almost almost all responders stay well when followed up one year later How does MDMA work?
Reduces brain blood flow particularly in sub- cortical regions Carhart-Harris et al Int J of Neuropsychopharmacology In press Memory responses
MDMA v- placebo Enhanced positive ratings of good and reduced negative ratings of bad memories Carhart-Harris et al Int J of Neuropsychopharmacology In press MDMA effects: memory and fMRI May explain therapeutic potential in PTSD Carhart-Harris et al Int J of Neuropsychopharmacology In press How illegal status distorts reason Jan 2011 after BBC reported our psilocybin fMRI study study Jim Dobbin MP demanded of the Drugs Minister why was Professor Nutt allowed to use an illegal drug in a scientific study
2012 after the MDMA program on Nov 19 th another PQ what licences were held from her Department for the drugs used in the recent Channel 4 documentary on MDMA; what is the process for revoking such licenses and how this process would be initiated
Sensible ways forward Fully endorse harm reduction approaches at all levels
Improve understanding of relative harm
Take politics out of decision making independent experts decide
Accept that young people like to experiment protect from harm of all sorts at this stage - Including from criminalisation
Provide accurate and credible information
Remove penalties for possession for personal use
Gather evidence on the impact of drug classification
Introduce a class D category for new drugs
Ease the restrictive holding regulations for the study of illegal drugs encourage research e.g. on MDMA and psychedelic psychotherapy
Putting science in charge 1 MCDA on Nicotine products Nutt et al submitted Putting science in charge 2 A safe alcohol
A synthetic alcohol now within the scope of modern neuroscience + antidote
New Scientist 2006 The Scientist J an 2011
Should have the same health benefits as snus and ecigarettes have for cigarettes Thanks and questions? Read more about it
All proceeds to the Independent Scientific Committee on Drugs = ISCD www.drugscience.org.uk