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Copyright 2013 ISUOG. Published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd. Ultrasound Obstet Gynecol 2013; 42: 577584.
582 Reus et al.
(a)
10
0
D
e
l
t
a
T
V
(
c
m
3
)
10
20
20 40
Mean TV (cm
3
)
60 80 100 0
+2 SD
Mean
2 SD
(b)
8
5
3
D
e
l
t
a
T
V
(
c
m
3
)
0
3
20 40
Mean TV (cm
3
)
60 80 100 0
+2 SD
Mean
2 SD
Figure 3 Interobserver (a) and intraobserver (b) BlandAltman plots for trophoblast volume (TV) measurements in 24 pregnancies that
resulted in live birth. Lines indicate mean difference and 95% limits of agreement, calculated as mean difference 2 SD.
(a)
140
120
100
80
T
V
(
c
m
3
)
60
40
20
0
10 20
Crownrump length (mm)
30 40 50 60 0
(b)
140
120
100
80
T
V
(
c
m
3
)
60
40
20
0
50 60
Gestational age (days)
70 80 40
Figure 4 Scatterplots of trophoblast volume (TV) measurements in relation to: (a) crownrump length (n =112) and (b) gestational age
(n=106), in pregnancies that resulted in live birth. Lines indicate mean and 95% prediction interval derived from linear mixed model
analysis.
exploratory study, the oversampling of miscarriages and
the relatively small sample size of the study population,
the value of a receiveroperating characteristics (ROC)
curve is limited. However, to give an initial indication
regarding the accuracy of trophoblast volume measure-
ments to predict miscarriage, we created a ROC curve
for trophoblast volume measurements obtained at 8
gestational weeks, and it was found to have an area
under the curve of 0.82 (Figure S1). In order to be able to
evaluate correctly the sensitivity, specicity and predictive
value of serial trophoblast volume measurements, we are
continuing with this sub-analysis of eligible patients in
the ongoing Rotterdam Predict study.
Our study shows high validity of trophoblast volume
measurements performed with VOCAL between 6 and
12weeks gestation, as reected by the high interobserver
and intraobserver reliability. Nowak et al.
6
and Nardozza
et al.
11
have previously shown that VOCAL is a valid
technique for placental measurements in the rst trimester
of pregnancy.
We chose to start the trophoblast volume measurements
at 6weeks gestation, because this is the earliest time
in pregnancy at which the trophoblast is clearly visible.
After 11weeks we were unable to measure the whole
trophoblast volume using a transvaginal probe. Nowak
et al.
6
and Nardozza et al.
11
, who measured trophoblast
volumes from 7 until 10 +6weeks gestation, did not
measure the entire trophoblast volume, thereby underesti-
mating the true volume. Between the 6
th
and 10
th
weeks of
pregnancy, villi cover the entire surface of the gestational
sac. In week 10 and week 11, we observed lateralization,
with a thinning of the trophoblast layer on one side and
thickening at the other. We measured the thinner site of
the total pregnancy volume as close as possible to the
gestational sac. In our opinion, this method will measure
the true trophoblast volume in the most appropriate
Copyright 2013 ISUOG. Published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd. Ultrasound Obstet Gynecol 2013; 42: 577584.
3D trophoblast volume 583
(a)
(b)
100
80
60
40
T
V
(
c
m
3
)
20
10 20
Gestational age (days)
30 40 40 50 60 0
200
150
T
V
(
c
m
3
)
50
0
100
50
Gestational age (days)
60 70 80
Figure 5 (a) Mean growth curves for trophoblast volume (TV)
derived from the WinBUGS (MRC Biostatistics Unit, Cambridge,
UK)
18
joint model, for pregnancies resulting in live birth ( ) and
pregnancies ongoing at that time that ultimately resulted in
miscarriage ( ). (b) Plot of TV measurements in cases of
embryonic death ( ) and empty sac miscarriage ( ) in relation to
gestational age. Mean TV of pregnancies that resulted in a live
birth and the 90% prediction interval are also shown.
way, but this remains a matter of discussion. Although
our measurements were shown to be reproducible, the
difference in echogenicity between the trophoblast and
the myometrium is hard to see, and measurements can
be performed properly only in a dark room. Another
limitation of the study is that it is not known exactly
how the decidua ts into this measurement; one can only
tell that there is a difference in echogenicity between
trophoblast and myometrium that can be measured, and
not whether this difference is at the trophoblastdecidua
or the deciduamyometrium interface.
Previous studies have also used VOCAL for placental
volumetry in the rst trimester
15,16
. Nowak et al.
6
proved that placental volumetry between 7 and 10weeks
gestation using VOCAL with a 30
, VOCAL 30
and
multiplanar) methods. These ndings are relevant since
evaluation of placental volume using the VOCAL method
with a 30