Study of stock market along with factors affecting
stock marketvoltality and consumer behaviour
A PROJECT REPORT
Submitted by
Prachi Mundra Batch 2013-2015
in partial fulfillment for the award of the degree
of
POST GRADUATE DIPLOMA IN MANAGEMENT
Under the Guidance of Prof Jai Kotecha
THAKUR INSTITUTE OF MANAGEMENT STUDIES AND RESEARCH KANDIVILI MUMBAI
CERICATE
This is to certify that this project report Study of stock market along with factors affecting stock market voltality and consumer behaviour is a bonafide work of Prachi Mundra in part completion of the POST GRADUATE DIPLOMA IN MANAGEMENT has been done under my guidance. The project is in nature of original work that has been submitted for any degree of this university. References of work and relative sources of information have been given at the end of the project.
Signature or the candidate
Prachi Mundra
Forwarded through the research guide
Signature of the guide
PROF Jai Kotecha Designation
ACKNOWLEGEMENT This report bears the imprint of many people. Right from the experienced staff of Bonanza portfolio ltd to the staff of without whose support and guidance I would have not got the unique opportunity to successfully complete my internship in this esteemed organization. I take this opportunity to express my deep gratitude to all the employees of, Bonanza portfolio ltd. Also I am indebted for the rich guidance, knowledge and suggestions provided by my guide, Mr. ManojJaiswal,Mr. Amit Tongiaand Mrs.Rinku Sharma who took sincere efforts and illustrated the Concept of Equity Trading, with their vast knowledge in the field, which helped me in carrying out my internship. I also like to thank all those people whom I met in the industry during my internship and helped me to accomplish my assignments in the most efficient and effective manner.
Table of Contents Chapter 1 Introduction ................................................................................................................... 4 1.1 General Introduction 1.2 Industry profile 1.3 Functions of stock market 1.4 Regulatory Frame work Chapter 2 Introduction to Bonanza Portfolio ltd .......................................................................... 7 2.1 Introduction about company 2.2 Vision & Values 2.3 Achivements 2.4 Corporate Tie Ups
Chapter 3 Major Offerings in product and services ....................................................................9 Chapter 4 SWOT Analysis ..........................................................................................................15 Chapter 5 Competitors of Bonanza Portfolio ltd.16
Chapter 6Research Methodology......17 6.1 Analysis of the Factors affecting stock Market in May.17 6.2 Analysis of the Factors affecting stock Market in June25 Chapter 7 Study of Consumer Behaviour34 Chapter 8Suggestion ....................................................................................................................38 Chapter 9 Conclusion ..................................................................................................................39 Chapter 11 Bibliography .............................................................................................................40
Executive Summary The Proj ect is about the study of stock market and the fact ors affecting stock market and consumer behavior. Whether it s retiring earl y, savi ng for chil drens education, payi ng off a loan or t o li ve a secured and satisfied life everyone has dreams t hey can achi eve by i nvesting t hei r savi ngs. However, the questi on that ari ses is that, should one l eave hi s money tucked away in the bank or plough it into t he stock market where the pot enti al for hi gher ret urns i s greater but t he chances of losi ng money is hi gher? Deciding where to i nvest depends on one`s attit ude towards risk (one`s capacit y to take risk and one`s tol erance t owards risk) and t he invest ment horizon and non-avail abili t y of guaranteed-ret urn investment product s. In such a scenario, investing in equit y, which offers ret urns that are hi gher than the infl ation rat e, help to build wealt h and to impr ove the st andard of living. It i s fi ne that stock market fl uct uat es over ti me. The risk involved with i nvesti ng in equit y can be moderat ed by careful st ock sel ection and close monitoring. Stock market is an avenue for growth of earnings. This project includes how broking is being done in stock market. It involves stock market analysis such as fluctuations in Sensex reasons for fluctuations in stock market, fluctuations in stock market and reasons for the same. Stock market has been the best avenue for investment in securities since last 10 years. Mostly future and option trading was the worst trading in stock market in these sessions I conduct ed a study on consumer awareness toward stock market and Bonanza port foli o lt d. By anal yzi ng the dat a I get to know about the consumer psychol ogy toward Bonanza port foli o ltd and investment pat tern.
CHAPTER-1
INTRODUCTION
1.1 General Introduction What is Stock Market A stock market is a market for the trading of company stock, and derivatives of same both of these are securities listed on a stock exchange as well as those only traded privately. 1.2 Definitions of Stock Market Where stocks and shares are bought and sold. A general term used to refer to the organized trading of securities through various exchanges and through the over-the-counter market. A "stock exchange" is a specific form of a stock market, a physical location where stocks and bonds are bought and sold, such as the Bombay Stock Exchange, NASDAQ or American Stock Exchange.
This market can be split into two main sections: the primary and secondary market. The primary market is where new issues are first offered, with any subsequent trading going on in the secondary market. Primary market: The primary market is where securities are created. It's in this market that firms sell (float) new stocks and bonds to the public for the first time. For our purposes, you can think of the primary market as being synonymous with an initial public offering (IPO). Simply put, an IPO occurs when a private company sells stocks to the public for the first time. The important thing to understand about the primary market is that securities are purchased directly from an issuing company. Secondary market: The defining characteristic of the secondary market is that investors trade among themselves. That is, in the secondary market, investors trade previously issued securities without the issuing companies' involvement.
1.2INDUSTRY PROFILE DEFINATION OF STOCK EXCHANGE: Stock exchange is an organized market place where securities are traded. These securities are issued by the government, semi-government bodies, public sector undertakings and companies for borrowing funds and raising resources. Securities are defined as any monetary claims (promissory notes or I.O.U) and also include shares, debentures, bonds and etc., if these securities are marketable as in the case of the government stock, they are transferable by endorsement and alike movable property. Under the Securities Contract Regulation Act of 1956, securities trading is regulated by the Central Government and such trading can take place only in stock exchanges recognized by the government under this Act. As referred to earlier there are at present 23 such recognized stock exchanges in India. Of these, major stock exchanges, like Bombay Stock Exchange National Stock Exchange,Inter-Connected Stock Exchange, Calcutta, Delhi, Chennai, Hyderabad and Bangalore etc. are permanently recognized while a few are temporarily recognized. The above act has also laid down that trading in approved contract should be done through registered members of the exchange. As per the rules made under the above act, trading in securities permitted to be traded would be in the normal trading hours (09:15 A.M to 3.30 P.M) on working days in the trading ring, as specified for trading purpose
1.3 FUNCTIONS OF STOCK EXCHANGE Maintain Active Trading: Shares are traded on the stock exchanges, enabling the investors to buy and sell securities. The prices may vary from transaction to transaction. A continuous trading increases the liquidity or marketability of the shares traded on the stock exchanges. Fixation of Prices: Price is determined by the transactions that flow from investors demand and the suppliers preferences. Usually the traded prices are made known to the public. This helps the investors to make the better decision. Ensures safe and fair dealings: The rules, regulations and bylaws of the Stock Exchanges provide a measure of safety to the investors. Transactions are conducted under competitive conditions enabling the investors to get a fair deal. Aids in financing the Industry: A continuous market for shares provides a favourable climate for raising capital. The negotiability and transferability of the securities, investors are willing to subscribe to the initial public offering (IPO). This stimulates the capital formation. Dissemination of Information: Stock Exchanges provide information through their various publications. They publish the share prices traded on their basis along with the volume traded. Directory of Corporate Information is useful for the investors assessment regarding the corporate. Handouts, handbooks and pamphlets provide information regarding the functioning of the Stock Exchanges. Performance Inducer: The prices of stocks reflect the performance of the traded companies. This makes the corporate more concerned with its public image and tries to maintain good performance. Self-regulating organization: The Stock Exchanges monitor the integrity of the members, brokers, listed companies and clients. Continuous internal audit safeguards the investors against unfair trade practices. It settles the disputes between member brokers, investors and brokers.
1.4 REGULATORY FRAME WORK
This Securities Contract Regulation Act, 1956 and Securities and Exchange board of India (SEB1) Act, 1992, provides a comprehensive legal framework. A 3-tier regulatory structure comprising the ministry of finance, SEB1 and the Governing Boards of the Stock Exchanges regulates the functioning of Stock Exchanges. Ministry of finance: The Stock Exchange division of the Ministry of Finance has powers related to the application of the provision of the SCR Act and licensing of dealers in the other area. According to SEBI Act, The Ministry of Finance has the appellate and the supervisory power over the SEBI. It has powered to grant recognition to the Stock Exchange and regulation of their operations. Ministry of Finance has the power to approve the appointments of executives chiefs and the nominations of the public representatives in the government Boards of the Stock Exchanges. It has the responsibility of preventing undesirable speculation.
VARIOUS STOCK EXCHANGES IN INDA: List of Stock Exchanges in India Bombay Stock Exchange National Stock Exchange Regional Stock Exchanges Ahmedabad Bangalore Bhubaneshwar Calcutta Cochin Coimbatore Delhi Guwahati Hyderabad Jaipur Ludhiana Madhya Pradesh Madras Magadh Mangalore Meerut OTC Exchange Of India Pune Saurashtra Kutch UttarPradesh Vadodara
AMONG THESE STOCK EXCHANGES THERE ARE TWO IMPORTANT, THEY ARE: 1) NSE 2) BSE
Chapter 2:Company Profile 2.1 INTRODUCTION ABOUT THE COMPANY Bonanza is amongst the leading financial services and brokerage house working diligently since 1994. The company can be described in a single word as a Financial Powerhouse. With acknowledged industry leadership in execution and clearing services on exchange traded derivatives and cash market product. Bonanza has spread its trustworthy tentacles globally. Bonanza has spread his trustworthy trustworthy tentacles all over the country with more than 1025outlets spread across 340 cities. It provides an extension morgasbord of services in equity,commodities,currencyderivatives, wealth management, distribution of third party products etc. Keeping in par with the modern tech-savvy world , Bonanza makes an integrated and innovative use of technology; it also enables its clients to trade online as well as offline and the strategictie-ups with the latest technology partners has earned Bonanza this prestigious place in one of the top brokerage houses in the country. Client -focused philosophy backed by memberships of all principal Indian Stock and Commodity Exchanges makes Bonanza s t and apar t f r om i t s compet i t or s and a pr ef er r ed s er vi ce pr ovi der i n t he i ndus t r y f or val ue bas ed s er vi ces . To add to our ever-growing achievements, a study by Dun and Bradstreet has rated Bonanza as the 6th largest broking house in terms of equity terminal listings in the country. If this is not enough, Bonanza Portfolio Ltd was recently nominated amongst the Top 3 Retail Financial Advisors of the country in an event conducted by CNBC-TV18and OptiMix Financial Advisor Awards 2008. Also Bonanza has been awarded by BSE the "Major Volume driver for the year 2004-2005, 2006-2007 and 2008-2009.
2.2 VISION AND VALUES : Vision: To be one of the most trusted and globally reputed financial distributor company. Values: Customer-centric approach: For the company, customer comes first. And there satisfication is not there top priority but also there driving force for them, every single day. Transparency: Honesty is there forte. They believe on dealing thoroughly ethical grounds, being fair and transparent with there customer. Meritocracy: They recognize and appreciate put in by there employees. And they, as a matter of fact, reward and distinguish each one of them, ceaselessly.
2.3 ACHIEVEMENTS:
1-Top Equity Broking House in terms of branch expansion for 2008 2-3rd in terms of Number of Trading Accounts for 2008. 3-6th in terms of trading terminals in for two consecutive years 2007- 2008. 4- 9t h i n t er ms of Sub Br oker s f or 2007 5-Awarded by BSE ' Major Volume Driver 04-05, 06-07, 07-08. 6- Nomi nat ed among t he Top 3 f or t he "Bes t Fi nanci al Advi s or Awar ds ' 08" i n t he cat egor y of National Distributors - Retail instituted by CNBC-TV18 and OptiMix.
2.4 CORPORATE TIE UPS:
The company has Corporate Tie ups with Birla Sunlife ,Bajaj Allianz, ICICI Prudential, SBI , Aviva , Kotak Mahindra and Reliance for Life Insurance and General Insurance. In General Insurance, Bonanza provides Insurance for Motor, Health, Travel Housekeeper, Shopkeeper, Marine, Personal and Group Insurance.
Chapter 3:Major Offerings in product and services 1. Prime Brokerage Services
Equity & Equity Derivatives: Bonanzas Trading Platform offers online equity & equity derivative trading facilities for investors having access to resources like research charts, advice, live quotes, online assistance to take well-versed decisions. Bonanza has been felicitated as the leading volume driver by BSE, during FY 04-05,06-07,07-08. Commodity & Currency Derivatives: The company offers access to future trading via multiple exchanges in wide-ranging commodities like agricultural commodities, base metals, energy and precious metals. It also provides investment opportunities in gulf commodities futures and currency market. Online Trading: Bonanza offers easier and secure online trading experience. Its online trading portal enables trading across all exchanges and access to all services in a single window. Bonanza Value and Bonanza Max are two of its unique and personalised softwares that they use for online trading .Bonanza Value is a web interface that caters to investors trading occasionally. It is a comprehensive trading module providing fundamentals to trading, demos, quotes, demat& digital contracts, integrated banking, instant transfer and price alerts. Bonanza Max is an EXE based desktop software designed for traders who take advantage of short term price movements. 2. Asset Management Portfolio Management Services (PMS): Bonanza has a dedicated and experienced team of portfolio managers to design portfolios which suit every customers needs. Constantly scrutinizing the developments in market and moving stocks, aiming for maximum capitalization. Suggesting the most appropriate product to customers, based on factors like their investment spheres, return expectation and risk tolerance our experience, expertise and research helps us give our customers investments the best upshots.
Advisory: Bonanza guides and supports its clients to re-structure and streamline their portfolios based on changing market conditions and client objectives. 3. Custody Services Depository Services: Bonanza is a depository participant with NSDL and CSDL. It also provides an array of depository services including demat operations. 4. Currency Futures: Bonanza is amongst the few to offer currency futures trading. The company has installed dedicated resources in terms of trained manpower and advisors to help and guide actual users on hedging techniques and strategies. 5. Distribution Mutual Funds: Bonanza is one of the largest distributors of mutual funds in India. It has an in-depth research across categories covering 20 parameters guiding our clients to take appropriate investment decisions. Keeping in mind customers budget, needs and securities the AMFI certified investment advisors offer the best deals. Insurance: Bonanza offers insurance products in Life and General Insurance. Our IRDA certified advisors offer prudent advice on policy selection and assists through the claim redressal process. Our advisory team matches the insurance products to financial profiles of customers to offer the best solution options. Initial Public Offer (IPO): It offers online investment access for public offerings. We also offer In-depth research advice for the forthcoming IPOs.
6. Research Bonanza Research desk has a dedicated team of research analysts and experts that have anin-depth knowledge of the market place. They offer value perspectives, focus on opportunities for investment and growth and endeavor to reduce risk potential. Its premium advisory services are based on technical and fundamental views and strategies. Bonanza provides a host of research reports from Daily reports, Monthly bulletins, Investment ideas, Newsletters and much more. It covers more than 120 companies and eight sectors.
7. Technology & Connectivity Bonanza has entered into strategic tie ups with companies that provide latest technological support to facilitate trading access and direct processing activities which helps its clients to trade either online or offline. Bonanzas trading platform is supported by Financial Technology and Asian CERC Information. The back office support is provided by Apex SoftcellPvt Ltd.
Chapter4 :Swot Analysis:
Weakness Inexperienced Staff Low awareness due to lack of advertisement. Lack of loyal clientage Developing product. Strength Co-operative and Experienced Branch Managers Good Database Reliance Brand Low pricing Opportunity Untapped Market Increased spending power Changing Mindset of Customers Unpredictable Sensex Threat Reach Stiff competition from existing players in the market Better products
Chapter5: Competitors of Bonanza Portfolio ltd
Chapter6:ResearchMethodoly Analysis on the factors affecting stock market as per weekly bases from 2 nd May-30 th June. 6.1 Analysis of the 2 nd may
Analysis: As per the analysis, on this day the stock market was open at 22,493.59, it went upto high at 22,575.62 and low at 22,386.95 whereas it was close at the end of the day at 22,403.89.
Reason: World Bank's report highlighted that India has replaced Japan to become the world's third biggest economy in terms of purchasing power parity (PPP). Appreciation in Indian rupee too supported the sentiments with rupee rising to its highest in more than a week on heavy dollar selling by exporters and corporates. Some support came with an Assocham CEO survey of which around 50 per cent of Indian CEOs said they are optimistic about the Indian economy, and expect it to be stronger in the next six months. Indian rupee, after a good start, ended substantially strong against dollar on Wednesday on massive dollar selling by exporters and corporate. The FIIs as per Wednesday's data were net buyers in equities and debt segments both. In equity segment the gross buying was of Rs 3182.80 crore against gross selling of Rs 2427.90 crore, while in the debt segment the gross purchase was of Rs 641.10 crore with gross sales of Rs 250.80 crore.
22,250.00 22,300.00 22,350.00 22,400.00 22,450.00 22,500.00 22,550.00 22,600.00 02-May-14 Open High Low Close
Analysis of the 1 st week of May (5 th may-9 th may)
Data of 1 st week
Date Open High Low Close 5 th May 2014 22,412.80 22,575.62 22,354.45 22,445.12 6 th May 2014 22,512.23 22,592.03 22,475.65 22,508.42 7 th May 2014 22,488.96 22,602.71 22,286.26 22,323.90 8 th May 2014 22,382.14 22,532.82 22,277.04 22,344.04 9 th May 2014 22,374.98 23,048.49 22,317.18 22,994.23
Analysis:According to the analysis of the 1 st week the stock market was high on 7 th May 2014 at 22,602.71 where as it was low on 8 th May at 22,277.04. According to the analysis we can say that the markets to extend the move to a positive mood with a green start.
21800.00 22000.00 22200.00 22400.00 22600.00 22800.00 23000.00 23200.00 5/5/2014 5/6/2014 5/7/2014 5/8/2014 5/9/2014 Chart Title Open High Low Close
Reason:
On the stating week of the day Indian equity benchmarks, snapping five days losing streak, ended the session slightly in the green. Indian rupee, extending its appreciating streak to third straight session, strengthened to three week high against dollar on Friday despite lackluster local equities, which reversed all the early gains to end flat. Dollar selling by exporters, banks and increased capital inflows also aided the sentiment of Indian currency. Thus it was not so encouraging news from India's factories, manufacturing production showed no sign of acceleration last month as tepid demand restrained output even as price pressures eased. The current market rally has been building up on hopes that the BJP-led NDA alliance emerging victorious in the Lok Sabha elections. On 8 th May Indian markets after two days of mild upmove, succumbed to profit booking on Wednesday and the Nifty slipped to its 6 week low. And on 9 th May though, the benchmarks managed a green close but the day was marred by rounds of volatility and major indices slipped into red for couple of times as investors turned cautious ahead of election outcome next week.
Analysis of the 2 nd week of May (12 th may-16 th may)
Data of 2 nd week
Date Open High Low Close 12 th May 2014 23,031.11 23,572.88 23,008.65 23,551.00 13 th May 2014 23,729.78 24,068.94 23,729.25 23,871.23 14 th May 2014 23,8097.88 23,964.67 23,753.36 23,815.12 15 th May 2014 23,809.42 23,971.78 23,742.75 23,905.60 16 th May 2014 24,271.54 25,375.63 23,873.16 24,121.74
Analysis: According to the analysis of the 2 nd week the stock market was high on 16 th
May 2014 at 25,375.63 where as it was low on 12 th May at 3,008.65 . According to the analysis market was high due to the election and winning if new party.
21500.00 22000.00 22500.00 23000.00 23500.00 24000.00 24500.00 25000.00 25500.00 12-May-14 13-May-14 14-May-14 15-May-14 16-May-14 Chart Title Open High Low Close
Reason: Markets showed a one way movement with not even an iota of profit booking seen throughout the day and the bulls going berserk in the final hours ended only near the high points of the day. The upbeat mood was on account of splendid gains of positive local equities, which vaulted to record highs, aiding the positive momentum of Indian currency. Sentiments remained up-beat since beginning, as key bourses made a decent start and there appeared not even an iota of profit booking in the session with benchmarks fervently gaining strength to strength as investors continued hunt for fundamentally strong stocks. Indian rupee after appreciating to ten months high and cooling from thereof, ended flat on Monday, ahead of the crucial exit polls, which most likely would show the opposition Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) winning a majority in the country's elections. Dollar demand by state-run banks on speculated RBI's intervention and bit of caution ahead of the crucial Consumer Price Inflation (CPI) data and Industrial Production (IIP) data due later in the session, the latest one before the RBI's next monetary policy on June 3, mainly weighed on the sentiment of Indian currency, besides weak regional counterparts. Central bank likely started to buy dollars starting at the day's low of 59.51, its weakest level since July 29, to prevent the pair from weakening excessively on the back of foreign fund inflows. Finally the rupee ended at 60.05, almost unchanged from its previous close of 60.04 on Friday. On 14 th May, Indian equity markets scaled fresh all time closing high levels, as exit polls predicted that the Modi-led NDA is set to cross the magic figure of 272 in the just- concluded elections. On 14 th MayHectic buying activity in blue-chip stocks during the session too drove the markets higher, with frontline gauges ending at their all time closing high levels of 23,850 (Sensex) and 7,100 (Nifty). On 15 th MaySentiment remained down beat with Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) saying that India, China and other major emerging economies are expected to see weak growth even as momentum remains stable in the developed world. And even, Indian money market remained closed on Wednesday on account of a local holiday. Key benchmark indices alternately swung between positive and negative terrain as investors remained cautious ahead of final results of elections on May 16, while markets seem to have more or less priced in the exit poll prediction of a majority for the BJP-led National Democratic Alliance (NDA) in the Lok Sabha. Indian rupee, ended quite stronger against dollar on Thursday, tailing the late surge of local equities, a day ahead of election's result on May 16, amidst optimism that Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP), led by NarendaModi, will emerge victorious along with its allies in recent general elections. However, the currency's further gains were restricted on account of RBI's speculated intervention, which could perhaps be the reason behind the local currency not appreciating sub the psychological 59/dollar mark.
Analysis of the 3rd week of May (19 th may-23 th may)
Data of 3rd week
Date Open High Low Close 19 th May 2014 24,340.32 24,448.47 24,107.99 24,363.05 20 th May 2014 24,555.31 24,587.16 24,299.53 24,376.88 21 th May 2014 24,404.48 24,419.54 24,156.47 24,298.02 22 nd May 2014 24,415.42 24,524.76 24,326.48 24,374.40 23 rd May 2014 24,535.14 24,745.86 24,470.78 24,693.35
Analysis: According to the analysis of the 3 rd week the stock market was high on 23 th
May 2014 at 24745.86 where as it was low on 19 th May at 24107.99 . According to the analysis Indian equity benchmarks ended the session at their fresh record closing high levels as the Bharatiya Janata Party and its allies swept the election, although markets gave up a big chunk of the gains towards the close as investors booked profits at higher levels.
23600.00 23800.00 24000.00 24200.00 24400.00 24600.00 24800.00 19-May-14 20-May-14 21-May-14 22-May-14 23-May-14 Chart Title Open High Low Close
Reasons:
Boisterous benchmarks once again showcased an enthusiastic performance with investors getting support from report that FII's made substantial purchases in Indian stocks on May 16, 2014. Though, markets after a gap-up opening pared all of their gains and entered into negative terrain for a brief period as profit booking was witnessed at higher levels. But, volatility ruled the roost as the key benchmark indices regained positive zone and thereafter not even an iota of profit booking was witnessed in the session, as the benchmarks managed to fervently gain from strength to strength as investors continued hunt for fundamentally strong but oversold stocks. Overall, sentiment remained upbeat, while some support also came after Industry body CII expressed hopes that the economic reforms agenda can be taken forward with a stable political dispensation and with a prudent macroeconomic management, the economy could recover to 6.5 per cent GDP growth rate in 2014-15 as against an estimated 4.9 per cent in 2013-14. Sentiments also remained up-beat on report that foreign institutional investors (FIIs) bought shares worth a net Rs 1350.04 crore on May 19, 2014, as per provisional data from the stock exchanges. Sentiments also got dampened after the Indian Institute of Tropical Meteorology's (IITM) first experimental real-time monsoon forecast for this year predicted delayed monsoon. However, bargain hunting in blue chip stocks helped markets to trim some of their initial losses. Some solace also came after National Council of Applied Economic Research (NCAER) in its latest release said that the business confidence in last quarter of 2013-14 improved further on expectations of a new electoral mandate that influenced the overall sentiments.
Analysis of the 4 th week of May (26 th may-30 th may)
Data of 4 th week
Date Open High Low Close 26 th May 2014 24,913.89 25,175.22 24433.90, 24,716.88 27 th May 2014 24,748.10 24,777.31 24,422.33 24,549.51 28 th May 2014 24,519.61 24,643.33 24,488.81 24,556.09 29 th May 2014 24,523.13 24,528.20 24,206.50 24,234.15 30 th May 2014 24,300.19 24,353.59 24,163.32 24,217.34
Analysis: According to the analysis of the 4 th week the stock market was high on 26 th
May 2014 at 25175.22 where as it was low on 30 th May at 24163.62. According to the analysis Indian equity benchmarks ended the Friday's trade near their intraday high levels with gain of over a percentage point.
23600.00 23800.00 24000.00 24200.00 24400.00 24600.00 24800.00 25000.00 25200.00 25400.00 26-May-14 27-May-14 28-May-14 29-May-14 30-May-14 Chart Title Open High Low Close
Reasons: There was broad based buying witnessed in the markets and apart from the blue chips, the broader markets too equally participated in the rally. Though, some profit booking was witnessed during the trade amid report that foreign institutional investors (FIIs) sold shares worth a net Rs 294.99 crore on May 22, 2014, as per provisional data from the stock exchanges. On 27 th May, after a gap-up opening, benchmarks fervently gained from strength to strength to surpass their crucial 25,000 (Sensex) and 7,500 (Nifty) levels. Sentiments also remained buoyed with a FICCI survey, which has said that 93 percent out of the 76 CEOs covered by it, project a substantial improvement in the near-term economic situation with the NarendraModi-led new government taking charge at the Centre. Some support also came after an Assocham study indicated that riding on huge expectations from the incoming Modi government, foreign investment inflows are estimated to more than double to $60 billion level this fiscal. However, immense volatility was witnessed in last leg of trade and markets took U-turn with frontline gauges witnessing sharp selloff due to emergence of profit-booking in realty, power, consumer durables and oil & gas counters. Though, domestic bourses staged smart recovery to end flat after hitting fresh intraday low in dying hour of trade. Sentiments also remained dampened on report that foreign institutional investors (FIIs) sold shares worth a net Rs 84.13 crore on May 26, 2014, as per provisional data from the stock exchanges. Investors also remained cautious after Finance Ministry said that it has to be watchful of the Current Account Deficit (CAD) as well as the rupee because global markets are still volatile. However, markets managed to keep their head above water and eked out slender gains, as investors continued to buy beaten down but fundamentally strong stocks after previous session's drubbing. Additionally, cautiousness ahead of the release of Q4 GDP numbers, RBI's monetary policy review on June 3 and measures to be taken by the NarendraModi-led government to bring down the fiscal deficit and fight inflation, also weighed on the sentiment.
6.2 Analysis of the 1 st week of June (2 nd June-6 th June)
Data of 1 st week
Date Open High Low Close 2 nd June 2014 24,368.96 24,709.09 24,270.20 24,684.89 3 rd June 2014 24,729.22 24,892.06 24,626.97 24,858.59 4 th June 2014 24,909.03 24,925.90 24,773.93 24,805.83 5 th June2014 24,828.38 25,044.06 24,644.88 25,019.51 6 th June 2014 24,204.95 25419.14 25,129.76 25,396.46
Analysis: According to the analysis of the 1st week the stock market was high on 6 th
June2014 at 25419.14 where it was as low on 2 nd June at 24270.20. According to the analysis in this week markets was cautious but has a positive start ahead due to RBI policy.
23600.00 23800.00 24000.00 24200.00 24400.00 24600.00 24800.00 25000.00 25200.00 25400.00 25600.00 2-Jun-14 3-Jun-14 4-Jun-14 5-Jun-14 6-Jun-14 Chart Title Open High Low Close
Reasons:
Investors were also eying RBI policy review next week, wherein RaghuramRajan is most likely to keep monetary policy rates steady, given continued concerns about inflation. Reserve Bank of India (RBI) Governor RaghuramRajan said he expected to join hands with the country's new government to bring down dangerously high inflation. Rajan, speaking at a seminar in Tokyo, said the new government's plan to curb food inflation seems sensible and that he expects the public's inflation expectations to fall in the future. Sentiments got bolstered after manufacturing activity inched up in May compared to the previous month, according to the widely-tracked HSBC Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI). The index for manufacturing rose marginally to 51.4 points in May from 51.3 points in April. Sentiments also remained up-beat on reports that foreign institutional investors (FIIs) bought shares worth a net Rs 2,977.62 crore on May 30, 2014, as per provisional data from the stock exchanges. Shares of insurance business related companies too will remain firm on expectations that the parents would gain from the relaxation of foreign direct investment (FDI) limits. On 4 th June Indian equity benchmarks ended the volatile day of trade at all time closing high levels with domestic bourses surpassing their crucial 24,850 (Sensex) and 7,400(Nifty). Sentiments remained up-beat after the central bank kept rates on hold and toned down its inflation rhetoric. Sentiment was also supported after the RBI eased rules to spur bank lending. Meanwhile, Finance Minister ArunJaitley described the RBI's status quo policy as a calibrated approach to strike a balance between growth and inflation. Today, the start is likely to remain positive but traders will continue to be cautious ahead of global developments. Sentiments got bolstered after the India Meteorological Department (IMD) has forecasted that conditions are favourable for the onset of the southwest monsoon over Kerala and its further advance into some more parts of south Arabian Sea, remaining parts of Maldives- Comorin area, some parts of Tamil Nadu and the Bay of Bengal during the next 48 hours. The Prime Minister, NarendraModi met the Secretaries of all government departments to outline his agenda of governance and in a positive step he said that the Government's priority is to revamp the economy and asked the officials to prepare presentations on the contributions their Ministries can make to the revival. In a separate development, industry body Confederation of Indian Industry (CII) has called for a comprehensive review of the new Companies Act 2013 and the rules issued there under. In a pre-Budget consultation with agriculturists Finance Minister ArunJaitley has assured them that despite resource constraints, the Government would try its best to boost the sector. Sugar stocks are likely to remain in limelight after the government said that it was examining the possibility of giving additional interest-free loans of Rs 4,400 crore to cash-starved sugar mills to clear dues to cane farmers.
Analysis of the 2 nd week of June (9 th June-13 th June)
Data of 2 nd week
Date Open High Low Close 9 th June 2014 25,543.60 25,644.77 25496.84 25,580.21 10 th June 2014 25,706.39 25771.11 25347.33 25583.69 11 th June 2014 25,650.62 25735.87 25365.65 25473.89 12 th June2014 25,597.21 25611.32 25409.69 25876.21 13 th June 2014 25677.05 25688.31 25171.61 25228.17
Analysis: According to the analysis of the 2 nd week the stock market was high on 11 th
June 2014 at 25735.87 where as it was low on 13 nd June at25171.61. According to the Analysis the market was cautious due to the monsoon concern.
24800.00 24900.00 25000.00 25100.00 25200.00 25300.00 25400.00 25500.00 25600.00 25700.00 25800.00 9-Jun-14 10-Jun-14 11-Jun-14 12-Jun-14 13-Jun-14 Chart Title Open High Low Close
Reasons: Macroeconomic data, progress of monsoon rains and global cues are likely to dictate trend on the domestic bourses throughout the week. Market men will be getting some comfort with Minister of Commerce NirmalaSitharaman's statement that the rising Current Account Deficit (CAD) and galloping prices are the issues which will be tackled on an urgent basis by the government and Finance Minister will announce important measures to reduce the CAD and curb rising prices. However, there will be some concern too, as the foreign direct investment in the services sector declined by about 54 per cent year-on-year to $2.22 billion last fiscal. On 10 th June the frontline indices snapping the session above their psychological 25,550 (Sensex) and 7,650 (Nifty) levels, ending at fresh all time closing high levels on firm global cues coupled with hopes of wide-ranging reforms by the new government. Some support also came after President Pranab Mukherjee in a joint session of parliament said that the new government will pursue a broad economic reform agenda focused on job creation through public and private investment that also makes containing inflation its top priority. Some comfort also came from Minister of Commerce NirmalaSitharaman's statement that the rising Current Account Deficit (CAD) and galloping prices are the issues which will be tackled on an urgent basis by the government and Finance Minister will announce important measures to reduce the CAD and curb rising prices. Some comfort also came after Society of Indian Automobile Manufacturers (SIAM) reported that domestic passenger car sales grew by 3.08% to 1,48,577 units last month as compared with 1,44,132 units in May 2013. Moreover, total two-wheeler sales during the month grew by 16.3% to 14,02,830 units from 12,06,173 units in the same period of the previous year. Traders will be keeping a watch on major economic data of industrial production (IIP) and consumer inflation (CPI) to be announced after the market hours. While, the IIP probably rose in April to around 2 per cent from 0.5 per cent recorded in the month of March, the Consumer inflation has been averaging nearly 10 percent for the past two years and the street is expecting a marginal ease in May from 8.59 per cent recorded in April. There will be some action in mining stocks after a report released by Reserve Bank of India (RBI) stated that the mining sector experienced a marked fall in output growth rate in the 2000s, which is traceable to incremental domestic demand for crude oil being met from imports rather than domestic production. Meanwhile, the sugar stocks too may keep buzzing after a report that the Commerce Ministry is not looking at hiking import duty on sugar as it has not yet received any proposal in this regard. Overall, sentiments remained optimistic on report where IMF stated that increasing investment over the past few months is providing impetus to Indian economy and potential growth rate could go up over time.
Analysis of the 3 rd week of June (16 th June-20 th June)
Data of 3 rd week
Date Open High Low Close 16 th June 2014 25239.50 25268.41 25063.93 25109.48 17 th June 2014 25189.46 25545.88 25104.50 25521.19 18 th June 2014 25565.19 25609.28 25114.30 25246.25 19 th June2014 25327.09 25425.85 25096.66 25201.80 20 th June 2014 25237.54 25276.31 25056.18 25105.51
Analysis: According to the analysis of the 3 rd week the stock market was high on 18 th
June 2014 at 25609.28 where as it was low on 16 th June at25063.93. According to the Analysis the market remain caution due to the flat start.
24700.00 24800.00 24900.00 25000.00 25100.00 25200.00 25300.00 25400.00 25500.00 25600.00 25700.00 16-Jun-14 17-Jun-14 18-Jun-14 19-Jun-14 20-Jun-14 Chart Title Open High Low Close
Reasons: Some support also came from meteorologists statement that it is too early to be worried about a below normal monsoon because monsoon showers could pick up in the coming weeks. However, reversal of trend which took place in second half of trade due to global concerns mainly weighed down sentiments. Some consolidation can be expected in the latter part of the trade with investors taking cues from Prime Minister NarendraModi's remark over weekend that "bitter medicine" might be needed to rescue the economy and restore its fiscal health. Finance Minister ArunJaitley too has reiterated that fiscal disciplining is required to put the economy of the country back on tracks as India has witnessed two successive years of sub-five percent growth. PSU stocks too may see some action as the government may raise the dividend receipt target from state-run firms and link it with their ability to achieve capital expenditure plan. Power stocks too may show some action as the industry body Assocham has said that the Centre needs to adopt measures to ensure that grid discipline is maintained and states over-drawing power from the transmission lines are penalized. Overall, sentiments remained dampened after the annual rate of inflation, based on monthly WPI, came in at highest level since December 2013, at 6.01% for month of May 2014, as compared to 5.20% in April and 4.58% during corresponding month in the previous year, driven by costlier protein-based items, fuel and some manufactured products. Report that foreign portfolio investors (FPIs) sold shares worth a net Rs 194.10 crore on June 16, 2014, too weighed down sentiments. However, sentiments took U-turn in last hour of trade as market-participants opted to take positions in beaten down but fundamentally strong stocks. On 19 th June the Indian markets lost their way completely in last session and suffered sharp profit booking in second half after surging to their record highs. The start is likely to be in green taking cues from the global markets and bourses may cover some of their damages with Nifty reclaiming its 7600 levels in early trade. Sentiments were weighed down as investors remained concerned over Iraqi turmoil. Earlier, markets made a positive start supported by report that foreign portfolio investors (FPIs) bought shares worth a net Rs 48.02 crore on June 17, 2014, as per provisional data from the stock exchanges. There will be some comfort with Petroleum Minister Dharmendra Pradhan's statement that fuel supplies will not be impacted by the conflict in Iraq, nation's second largest crude oil supplier. He has said that crude supplies to India from Iraq come from the Basra oilfields which are situated well away from the conflict zone in the north-eastern part of Iraq and loading of ships continues normally.
Analysis of the 4 th week of June (23 rd June-27 th June)
Data of 4 th week
Date Open High Low Close 23 rd June 2014 25108.09 25197.10 24878.06 25031.32 24 th June 2014 25115.83 25414.69 25115.83 25368.90 25 th June 2014 25412.49 25427.80 25274.39 25313.74 26 th June2014 25217.69 25309.33 25021.23 25062.67 27 th June 2014 25132.08 25209.61 25032.94 25099.92
Analysis: According to the analysis of the 4 th week the stock market was high on 25 th
June 2014 at 25427.80 where as it was low on 23 rd June at24878.66. According to the Analysis the market was cautious but there was positive start due to the F&O expiry Week start.
24600.00 24700.00 24800.00 24900.00 25000.00 25100.00 25200.00 25300.00 25400.00 25500.00 23-Jun-14 24-Jun-14 25-Jun-14 26-Jun-14 27-Jun-14 Chart Title Open High Low Close
Reasons: The Indian markets slipped further in last session amid brewing Iraq crisis. The start of the F&O expiry week is likely to remain cautious but modestly green start can be expected taking cues from regional counterparts, though movement in crude oil prices linked to the Iraq unrest and the progress of monsoon will set the tone this week. Government has set deadlines for inter-ministerial consultation on Cabinet and Cabinet Committee notes, in order to expedite the decision making process. The Reserve Bank of India has released timelines for regulatory approvals and a citizens' charter for delivery of services as part of implementation of the non-legislative recommendations of the Financial Sector Legislative Reforms Commission (FSLRC). Textile stocks too will be in action as Union Textiles Minister Santosh Kumar Gangwar has said that textile exports are set to touch $50-billion mark in the current fiscal. The start of the penultimate day of the F&O expiry is likely to be a bit somber and the markets may give up some of their gains on weak global cues. There will be some cautiousness with the United Nations Conference on Trade and Development (UNCTAD) in its latest World Investment Report saying that India's macroeconomic uncertainties remain a major concern for investors even as the country saw a 17% increase in foreign direct investment (FDI) to $28 billion in 2013. There will be some action in the power sector stocks, as a World Bank study has termed distribution utilities as the weakest link of the Indian power sector, and recommended expanding their accountability and freeing up regulators from external interference to make the sector attractive to investors. Traders will be getting some support with the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) stating that prospects of economic recovery in India look bright following the formation of a stable government, though supply side issues need to be solved to help monetary policy bring down inflation. The banking stocks are likely to come under pressure as a bi-annual Financial Stability Report of RBI has said that risks to the stability of Indian banks have increased in the six months ended 30 March as asset quality stress remains high and lenders are weighed down by the slow pace of economic expansion and high inflation. On the same time companies related to defence supply may get a boost as licensed items list has been reduced by 60%.
Analysis of 30 th June
Analysis: As per the analysis, on this day the stock market was open at 25,179.55, it went upto high at 25,460.96 and low at 25,175.59 whereas it was close at the end of the day at 25400.
Reasons: Key domestic benchmarks managed to keep their head above water on Friday with nifty recapturing its crucial 7,500 mark, while Sensex ended tad below its crucial 25,100 mark as investors opted to buy beaten down but fundamentally strong stocks, after two sessions of drubbing. Overall, sentiments remained up-beat after Reserve Bank of India (RBI) stated that prospects of economic recovery in India look bright following the formation of a stable government, though supply side issues need to be solved to help monetary policy bring down inflation. Meanwhile, amid weakening monsoon, Prime Minister NarendraModi has asked for close coordination between the centre and states on implementing contingency plans to tackle the situation and prevent rise in food prices. Indian rupee gained slightly on Friday and snapped the four week losing streak, as continued foreign fund inflows into debt and equity markets helped offset the month end dollar demand from importers. Also, there were broad gains in the regional currencies after weak US economic data cemented views that the Federal Reserve may keep interest rates low.
25,000.00 25,100.00 25,200.00 25,300.00 25,400.00 25,500.00 30-Jun-14 Open High Low Close
Chapter 7 :Study of Consumer Behaviour and its Analysis
1. Awareness on Online Share Trading
Interpretation: With the increase in cyber education, the awareness towards online share trading has increased by leaps and bounds. This awareness is expected to increase further with the increase in Internet education. 2.Have you Heard About Bonanza Portfolio ltd
Interpretation: Out of the total sample size surveyed, BONANZA has its slice of share, as it is familiar and popular among 62% of the total sample population. Hence is less familiar among the investor.
Result of Awareness of Online Share Trading 3.Which brokerage firm do you prefer for online trading?
Interpretation: This question was framed to understand the effectiveness of Bonanza among its competitors. The push and pull factor worked out well for Bonanza as it grabbed 26% of the market share. 4. How often do you trade?
Interpretation: This shows that how stock market have swept the nation as a whole. Most of the investors prefer daily and weekly trading to keep a watch on the volatility of the stock market so as to take decision accordingly.
18% 26% 22% 27% 7% Effectiveness of bonanza among it's competitors. ICICI Direct Bonanza Indiabulls Anandrathi HDFC Securities 51% 30% 13% 7% Duration of trade Daily Weekly Monthly Yearly
5.What percentage of your earning do you invest in share trading?
Interpretation: About 70% of respondents feel that not more than 25% of there earnings will be pushed into the market that clearly signifies that how volatility in the stock market can influence the investors.
39% 34% 14% 13% Investment of earnings in share market Upto 10% Upto 25% Upto 50% Above 50%
Suggestion Company should invest more in its marketing strategies by giving ads in newspapers, magazines, TV commercials etc. The Account opening time taken is about 7 working days. Improving logistics should reduce this. The account opening charges should also be reduced to attract customers. Customer care is not its best at Bonanza. Prompt customer handling should improve this. Some of the customers do not get the service promised to them. There should be a check on the promises made. Form should be simplified. There should be more awareness made about the portfolio management services by givingmore advertisement. The bonanza PMS should go for tie-ups with the corporate to increase business. Bonanza portfolio limited should organize some events to build its Brand Image in the mindsof the people towards PMS. As per customers point of view, they feel that bonanza portfolio limited should open morenumber of branches for the convenience of peo.
Conclusion:
Indian economy has been globalize and the capital market has been linked to the international financial market. Foreign individuals and institutional investors are now encouraged to participate into it. So, there is a need for raising the Indian Capital market in to the international standards in terms of efficiency and transparency. One such measure is the passing out of the Depository Act during the year 1996. Dematerialization of securities and under this system is one of the major steps aimed at improving and modernizing the capital market and enhancing the levels of investors protection measures which aims at eliminating the bad deliveries and forgery of shares and expediting the transfer of shares. Online trading is the new concept in the stock market. In India, online trading is still at its infancy stage. Online trading has made it easy to trade in the stock market as now people can trade while sitting at their home. Now stock market is easily accessible by the people. There are some problems while doing the trade through the internet. Major problem faced by online trader is that the investors are loyal to their traditional brokers, they rely upon the suggestions given by their brokers. Another major problem is that the people don't have full knowledge regarding online trading. They find it difficult to trade themselves, as a wrong entry made by them, can bring them huge losses. Thus online share trading is gaining its popularity. Though it still has to go a long way but it has established its foothold in the metropolitan cities like Delhi, Mumbai etc. The dematerializing of shares coupled with the huge growth of Internet has been the fuel for the online trading which is now a considerable part of the total trading. It can therefore be said that online share trading is here to stay and will only grow to bigger proportions and will penetrate deeper into the economy. So online trading would become the order of the day, taking over the traditional norms in the years to come.
LIMITATIONS Usual sampling errors may exist. Some of the customers may be uninterested and may not have replied correctly. Respondent may also be biased due to several reasons. Sample size was small which may affect the reliability of the result. Internet fraud. Still many of Indian customer do not know to use Internet.