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Arizona Republican Primary Election Poll Crosstabs

August 19-20, 2014


Results:
Q: How likely are you to vote in the August 26th Republican primary elections?
Media Market

Extremely likely
Very likely
Somewhat likely
Total

PHOENIX
(PRESCOTT)
91.93%
5.11%
2.97%
100.00%

TUCSON (SIERRA
VISTA)
94.12%
3.92%
1.96%
100.00%

YUMA - EL
CENTRO
90.91%
4.55%
4.55%
100.00%

Party Affiliation
Republican
Extremely likely
94.19%
Very likely
4.36%
Somewhat likely
1.45%
Total
100.00%

Independent or
any other party
80.41%
9.28%
10.31%
100.00%

Gender
Extremely likely
Very likely
Somewhat likely
Total

Female
92.61%
4.22%
3.17%
100.00%

Male
91.76%
5.68%
2.56%
100.00%

Age
Extremely likely
Very likely
Somewhat likely
Total

121 State Street


Harrisburg, PA 17101

18 to 39 40 to 54 55 to 65
95.29% 90.72% 91.16%
3.53%
6.70%
4.42%
1.18%
2.58%
4.42%
100.00% 100.00% 100.00%

66 or older
93.02%
4.65%
2.33%
100.00%

HarperPolling.com

Brock@HarperPolling.com

Race

Extremely likely
Very likely
Somewhat likely
Total

Hispanic or
Latino
95.24%
2.38%
2.38%
100.00%

White
92.48%
5.02%
2.51%
100.00%

Native
American
90.91%
0.00%
9.09%
100.00%

Other
89.13%
6.52%
4.35%
100.00%

Tea Party
Extremely likely
Very likely
Somewhat likely
Total

Yes
94.96%
3.36%
1.68%
100.00%

No
93.64%
4.55%
1.82%
100.00%

Not sure
86.21%
9.20%
4.60%
100.00%

Ideology

Extremely likely
Very likely
Somewhat likely
Total

Very
Somewhat
Conservative Conservative Moderate Liberal Not sure
97.94%
91.03%
87.67%
77.78% 83.33%
2.06%
7.05%
5.48%
11.11%
0.00%
0.00%
1.92%
6.85%
11.11% 16.67%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00% 100.00% 100.00%

Now, I am going to read you a list of names. Please indicate whether you have a favorable or
unfavorable opinion of each.
Ken Bennett
Media Market

Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
Total

PHOENIX
(PRESCOTT)
40.52%
14.60%
44.88%
100.00%

TUCSON
(SIERRA VISTA)
23.61%
9.72%
66.67%
100.00%

Party Affiliation
Republican
Favorable
36.96%
Unfavorable
13.26%
Not sure
49.78%
Total
100.00%

Independent or
any other party
42.47%
17.81%
39.73%
100.00%

YUMA - EL
CENTRO
7.69%
7.69%
84.62%
100.00%

Gender
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
Total

Female
35.32%
11.52%
53.16%
100.00%

Male
39.64%
16.00%
44.36%
100.00%

Age
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
Total

18 to 39
44.64%
5.36%
50.00%
100.00%

40 to 54
35.17%
17.93%
46.90%
100.00%

55 to 65
35.66%
19.58%
44.76%
100.00%

66 or older
38.89%
9.09%
52.02%
100.00%

Race
White
Favorable
38.66%
Unfavorable 13.82%
Not sure
47.52%
Total
100.00%

Hispanic or
Latino
12.50%
12.50%
75.00%
100.00%

Native
American
37.50%
0.00%
62.50%
100.00%

Other
38.24%
20.59%
41.18%
100.00%

Tea Party
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
Total

Yes
41.48%
10.14%
48.39%
100.00%

No
51.00%
27.00%
22.00%
100.00%

Not sure
33.33%
5.95%
60.71%
100.00%

Ideology
Very
Somewhat
Conservative Conservative Moderate Liberal Not sure
Favorable
38.98%
44.76%
47.06%
44.44% 50.00%
Unfavorable
9.61%
11.19%
26.47%
11.11%
0.00%
Not sure
51.41%
44.06%
26.47%
44.44% 50.00%
Total
100.00%
100.00%
100.00% 100.00% 100.00%

Doug Ducey
Media Market

Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
Total

PHOENIX
(PRESCOTT)
49.28%
33.40%
17.32%
100.00%

TUCSON
(SIERRA VISTA)
59.26%
17.28%
23.46%
100.00%

YUMA - EL
CENTRO
47.06%
11.77%
41.18%
100.00%

Party Affiliation
Independent or
any other party
34.67%
44.00%
21.33%
100.00%

Republican
Favorable
53.41%
Unfavorable
28.72%
Not sure
17.87%
Total
100.00%
Gender
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
Total

Female
47.77%
28.52%
23.71%
100.00%

Male
53.43%
32.53%
14.04%
100.00%

Age
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
Total

18 to 39
56.14%
19.30%
24.56%
100.00%

40 to 54
52.32%
31.79%
15.89%
100.00%

55 to 65
48.68%
34.87%
16.45%
100.00%

66 or older
49.77%
29.86%
20.36%
100.00%

Race
White
Favorable
51.39%
Unfavorable 30.56%
Not sure
18.06%
Total
100.00%

Hispanic or
Latino
37.50%
31.25%
31.25%
100.00%

Native
American
50.00%
25.00%
25.00%
100.00%

Other
51.52%
33.33%
15.15%
100.00%

Tea Party
Yes
62.03%
21.94%
16.03%
100.00%

Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
Total

No
35.78%
57.80%
6.42%
100.00%

Not sure
49.43%
21.84%
28.74%
100.00%

Ideology
Very
Somewhat
Conservative Conservative Moderate Liberal Not sure
Favorable
61.14%
52.26%
31.51%
66.67% 50.00%
Unfavorable
21.76%
31.61%
54.80%
22.22% 16.67%
Not sure
17.10%
16.13%
13.70%
11.11% 33.33%
Total
100.00%
100.00%
100.00% 100.00% 100.00%
Christine Jones
Media Market

Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
Total

PHOENIX
(PRESCOTT)
28.99%
46.58%
24.43%
100.00%

TUCSON (SIERRA
VISTA)
33.33%
35.80%
30.86%
100.00%

Party Affiliation
Republican
Favorable
29.64%
Unfavorable
44.15%
Not sure
26.21%
Total
100.00%

Independent or
any other party
32.00%
44.00%
24.00%
100.00%

Gender
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
Total

Female
28.87%
45.36%
25.77%
100.00%

Male
31.03%
42.76%
26.21%
100.00%

YUMA - EL
CENTRO
41.18%
11.77%
47.06%
100.00%

Age
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
Total

18 to 39
32.73%
40.00%
27.27%
100.00%

40 to 54
29.80%
47.02%
23.18%
100.00%

55 to 65
22.88%
51.63%
25.49%
100.00%

66 or older
34.55%
38.18%
27.27%
100.00%

Race
White
Favorable
30.02%
Unfavorable 43.94%
Not sure
26.04%
Total
100.00%

Hispanic
or Latino
28.13%
43.75%
28.13%
100.00%

Native
American Other
12.50%
33.33%
50.00%
45.46%
37.50%
21.21%
100.00% 100.00%

Tea Party
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
Total

Yes
35.71%
38.24%
26.05%
100.00%

No
26.36%
61.82%
11.82%
100.00%

Not sure
29.07%
36.05%
34.88%
100.00%

Ideology
Very
Somewhat
Conservative Conservative Moderate Liberal Not sure
Favorable
32.12%
31.41%
30.14%
44.44% 16.67%
Unfavorable
39.90%
48.72%
45.21%
44.44% 16.67%
Not sure
27.98%
19.87%
24.66%
11.11% 66.67%
Total
100.00%
100.00%
100.00% 100.00% 100.00%
Frank Riggs
Media Market

Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
Total

PHOENIX
(PRESCOTT)
12.71%
31.36%
55.93%
100.00%

TUCSON
(SIERRA VISTA)
6.25%
17.50%
76.25%
100.00%

YUMA - EL
CENTRO
12.50%
31.25%
56.25%
100.00%

Party Affiliation
Independent or
any other party
10.81%
29.73%
59.46%
100.00%

Republican
Favorable
12.14%
Unfavorable
29.42%
Not sure
58.44%
Total
100.00%
Gender
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
Total

Female
9.22%
30.50%
60.28%
100.00%

Male
14.34%
28.32%
57.34%
100.00%

Age
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
Total

18 to 39
24.07%
24.07%
51.85%
100.00%

40 to 54
10.14%
31.08%
58.78%
100.00%

55 to 65
12.50%
35.53%
51.97%
100.00%

66 or older
8.96%
25.47%
65.57%
100.00%

Native
American
0.00%
0.00%
100.00%
100.00%

Other
18.18%
24.24%
57.58%
100.00%

Race
White
Favorable
10.82%
Unfavorable 30.82%
Not sure
58.37%
Total
100.00%

Hispanic or
Latino
16.13%
25.81%
58.07%
100.00%

Tea Party
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
Total

Yes
16.60%
23.83%
59.57%
100.00%

No
11.01%
51.38%
37.62%
100.00%

Not sure
4.65%
20.93%
74.42%
100.00%

Ideology
Very
Somewhat
Conservative Conservative Moderate Liberal Not sure
Favorable
15.98%
9.27%
10.96%
11.11%
0.00%
Unfavorable
24.23%
33.78%
41.10%
33.33% 16.67%
Not sure
59.79%
56.95%
47.95%
55.56% 83.33%
Total
100.00%
100.00%
100.00% 100.00% 100.00%

Scott Smith
Media Market

Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
Total

PHOENIX
(PRESCOTT)
36.94%
26.33%
36.73%
100.00%

TUCSON
(SIERRA VISTA)
29.11%
16.46%
54.43%
100.00%

YUMA - EL
CENTRO
25.00%
18.75%
56.25%
100.00%

Party Affiliation
Republican
Favorable
36.16%
Unfavorable
24.17%
Not sure
39.67%
Total
100.00%

Independent or
any other party
35.14%
28.38%
36.49%
100.00%

Gender
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
Total

Female
36.07%
20.36%
43.57%
100.00%

Male
34.97%
29.02%
36.01%
100.00%

Age
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
Total

18 to 39
35.19%
25.93%
38.89%
100.00%

40 to 54
38.78%
23.13%
38.10%
100.00%

55 to 65
38.67%
32.00%
29.33%
100.00%

66 or older
31.46%
20.19%
48.36%
100.00%

Race
Hispanic
Native
White or Latino American Other
Favorable
36.61%
13.33%
25.00%
39.39%
Unfavorable 22.70%
40.00%
37.50%
39.39%
Not sure
40.70%
46.67%
37.50%
21.21%
Total
100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00%

Tea Party
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
Total

Yes
30.51%
26.27%
43.22%
100.00%

No
60.55%
22.02%
17.43%
100.00%

Not sure
27.59%
24.14%
48.28%
100.00%

Ideology
Very
Somewhat
Conservative Conservative Moderate Liberal Not sure
Favorable
32.81%
41.29%
46.58%
55.56%
0.00%
Unfavorable
27.08%
22.58%
21.92%
11.11% 16.67%
Not sure
40.10%
36.13%
31.51%
33.33% 83.33%
Total
100.00%
100.00%
100.00% 100.00% 100.00%
Andrew Thomas
Media Market
PHOENIX
(PRESCOTT)
Favorable
21.46%
Unfavorable
44.42%
Not sure
34.12%
Total
100.00%

TUCSON
(SIERRA VISTA)
12.66%
18.99%
68.35%
100.00%

Party Affiliation
Republican
Favorable
20.83%
Unfavorable
39.38%
Not sure
39.79%
Total
100.00%

Independent or
any other party
16.44%
46.58%
36.99%
100.00%

Gender
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
Total

Female
19.13%
34.66%
46.21%
100.00%

Male
21.13%
45.07%
33.80%
100.00%

YUMA - EL
CENTRO
18.75%
12.50%
68.75%
100.00%

Age
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
Total

18 to 39
28.85%
28.85%
42.31%
100.00%

40 to 54
21.09%
42.86%
36.05%
100.00%

55 to 65
21.71%
45.40%
32.90%
100.00%

66 or older
16.35%
37.02%
46.64%
100.00%

Native
American
14.29%
14.29%
71.43%
100.00%

Other
30.30%
45.46%
24.24%
100.00%

Race
White
Favorable
19.84%
Unfavorable 40.50%
Not sure
39.67%
Total
100.00%

Hispanic or
Latino
16.13%
32.26%
51.61%
100.00%

Tea Party
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
Total

Yes
29.54%
32.07%
38.40%
100.00%

No
7.34%
69.73%
22.94%
100.00%

Not sure
15.48%
32.14%
52.38%
100.00%

Ideology
Very
Somewhat
Conservative Conservative Moderate Liberal Not sure
Favorable
27.60%
18.95%
9.59%
11.11%
0.00%
Unfavorable
29.69%
48.37%
61.64%
44.44% 16.67%
Not sure
42.71%
32.68%
28.77%
44.44% 83.33%
Total
100.00%
100.00%
100.00% 100.00% 100.00%

Q: If the Republican primary election for Governor were held today, which of the following
candidates would you vote for: Ken Bennett, Doug Ducey, Christine Jones, Frank Riggs, Scott
Smith, or Andrew Thomas?
Media Market
PHOENIX
(PRESCOTT)
Bennett
14.90%
Ducey
29.59%
Jones
15.77%
Riggs
2.16%
Smith
20.95%
Thomas
7.13%
Not sure
9.50%
Total
100.00%

TUCSON (SIERRA
VISTA)
13.51%
44.60%
13.51%
1.35%
10.81%
2.70%
13.51%
100.00%

Party Affiliation

Bennett
Ducey
Jones
Riggs
Smith
Thomas
Not sure
Total

Independent or
Republican any other party
13.95%
16.67%
33.40%
20.83%
16.07%
15.28%
1.69%
5.56%
19.03%
23.61%
6.55%
6.94%
9.30%
11.11%
100.00%
100.00%

Gender
Bennett
Ducey
Jones
Riggs
Smith
Thomas
Not sure
Total

Female
16.97%
27.08%
16.25%
1.81%
19.13%
6.86%
11.91%
100.00%

Male
11.64%
36.36%
15.64%
2.55%
19.64%
6.18%
8.00%
100.00%

YUMA - EL
CENTRO
0.00%
33.33%
33.33%
6.67%
13.33%
6.67%
6.67%
100.00%

Age
Bennett
Ducey
Jones
Riggs
Smith
Thomas
Not sure
Total

18 to 39
21.15%
40.39%
3.85%
1.92%
15.39%
3.85%
13.46%
100.00%

40 to 54
13.38%
28.87%
16.20%
2.82%
20.42%
7.75%
10.56%
100.00%

White
14.92%
31.51%
15.76%
1.68%
19.75%
6.72%
9.66%
100.00%

Hispanic or
Latino
12.90%
29.03%
22.58%
6.45%
12.90%
0.00%
16.13%
100.00%

55 to 65
12.25%
29.93%
14.29%
2.72%
25.85%
6.80%
8.16%
100.00%

66 or older
14.35%
33.01%
20.10%
1.44%
15.31%
5.74%
10.05%
100.00%

Race

Bennett
Ducey
Jones
Riggs
Smith
Thomas
Not sure
Total

Native
American
14.29%
42.86%
14.29%
0.00%
14.29%
14.29%
0.00%
100.00%

Other
9.38%
31.25%
15.63%
6.25%
21.88%
9.38%
6.25%
100.00%

Tea Party
Bennett
Ducey
Jones
Riggs
Smith
Thomas
Not sure
Total

Yes
No
Not sure
14.35% 19.09% 12.64%
39.24% 17.27% 29.89%
15.19% 14.55% 22.99%
3.38%
1.82%
0.00%
10.13% 38.18% 14.94%
9.28%
4.55%
3.45%
8.44%
4.55%
16.09%
100.00% 100.00% 100.00%

Ideology

Bennett
Ducey
Jones
Riggs
Smith
Thomas
Not sure
Total

Very
Somewhat
Conservative Conservative Moderate Liberal Not sure
14.95%
16.13%
16.44%
0.00%
0.00%
40.21%
29.68%
15.07%
11.11% 50.00%
12.37%
20.00%
21.92%
11.11%
0.00%
2.58%
2.58%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
11.34%
19.36%
34.25%
55.56%
0.00%
10.31%
3.23%
4.11%
11.11%
0.00%
8.25%
9.03%
8.22%
11.11% 50.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00% 100.00% 100.00%

Now, I am going to read you two names. Please indicate whether you have a favorable or
unfavorable opinion of each.
Tom Horne
Media Market

Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
Total

PHOENIX
(PRESCOTT)
31.71%
48.34%
19.96%
100.00%

TUCSON (SIERRA
VISTA)
40.28%
30.56%
29.17%
100.00%

YUMA - EL
CENTRO
33.33%
20.00%
46.67%
100.00%

Party Affiliation
Independent or
any other party
25.00%
55.56%
19.44%
100.00%

Republican
Favorable
34.28%
Unfavorable
43.89%
Not sure
21.83%
Total
100.00%
Gender
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
Total

Female
33.21%
39.93%
26.87%
100.00%

Male
32.59%
50.37%
17.04%
100.00%

Age
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
Total

18 to 39
35.29%
35.29%
29.41%
100.00%

40 to 54
28.57%
45.71%
25.71%
100.00%

55 to 65
26.57%
55.25%
18.18%
100.00%

66 or older
40.10%
40.10%
19.80%
100.00%

Race
White
Favorable
33.48%
Unfavorable 45.57%
Not sure
20.95%
Total
100.00%

Hispanic or
Latino
23.33%
43.33%
33.33%
100.00%

Native
American Other
57.14%
28.13%
14.29%
53.13%
28.57%
18.75%
100.00% 100.00%

Tea Party
Not sure
Favorable
Unfavorable
Total

Yes
22.27%
43.70%
34.03%
100.00%

No
8.18%
15.46%
76.36%
100.00%

Not sure
28.74%
28.74%
42.53%
100.00%

Ideology
Very
Somewhat
Conservative Conservative Moderate Liberal Not sure
Favorable
42.78%
28.85%
20.55%
11.11% 16.67%
Unfavorable
32.99%
55.77%
65.75%
55.56% 16.67%
Not sure
24.23%
15.39%
13.70%
33.33% 66.67%
Total
100.00%
100.00%
100.00% 100.00% 100.00%
Mark Brnovich
Media Market
PHOENIX
(PRESCOTT)
Favorable
27.09%
Unfavorable
17.61%
Not sure
55.31%
Total
100.00%

TUCSON (SIERRA
VISTA)
22.54%
19.72%
57.75%
100.00%

YUMA - EL
CENTRO
0.00%
13.33%
86.67%
100.00%

Party Affiliation
Republican
Favorable
28.00%
Unfavorable
16.67%
Not sure
55.33%
Total
100.00%

Independent or any other


party
14.09%
22.54%
63.38%
100.00%

Gender
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
Total

Female
22.69%
13.08%
64.23%
100.00%

Male
28.63%
22.31%
49.07%
100.00%

Age
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
Total

18 to 39
44.00%
8.00%
48.00%
100.00%

40 to 54
21.17%
18.25%
60.58%
100.00%

55 to 65
32.17%
15.39%
52.45%
100.00%

Hispanic or
Latino
20.00%
10.00%
70.00%
100.00%

Native
American
0.00%
42.86%
57.14%
100.00%

66 or older
19.80%
21.83%
58.38%
100.00%

Race
White
Favorable
25.55%
Unfavorable 18.28%
Not sure
56.17%
Total
100.00%

Other
40.63%
15.63%
43.75%
100.00%

Tea Party
Favorable
Unfavorable
Not sure
Total

Yes
28.69%
18.57%
52.74%
100.00%

No
38.53%
21.10%
40.37%
100.00%

Not sure
18.61%
5.81%
75.58%
100.00%

Ideology
Very
Somewhat
Conservative Conservative Moderate Liberal Not sure
Favorable
25.52%
34.42%
32.88%
12.50%
0.00%
Unfavorable
17.19%
14.94%
12.33%
37.50% 33.33%
Not sure
57.29%
50.65%
54.80%
50.00% 66.67%
Total
100.00%
100.00%
100.00% 100.00% 100.00%
Q: If the Republican primary election for Attorney General were held today, which of the
following candidates would you vote for: Tom Horne or Mark Brnovich?
Media Market

Horne
Brnovich
Not sure
Total

PHOENIX
(PRESCOTT)
36.64%
41.01%
22.35%
100.00%

TUCSON
(SIERRA VISTA)
37.14%
37.14%
25.71%
100.00%

YUMA - EL
CENTRO
33.33%
20.00%
46.67%
100.00%

Party Affiliation
Independent or
any other party
30.00%
44.29%
25.71%
100.00%

Republican
Horne
37.56%
Brnovich
39.59%
Not sure
22.85%
Total
100.00%
Gender
Horne
Brnovich
Not sure
Total

Female
34.51%
36.86%
28.63%
100.00%

Male
38.64%
42.80%
18.56%
100.00%

Age
Horne
Brnovich
Not sure
Total

18 to 39
31.92%
40.43%
27.66%
100.00%

40 to 54
35.61%
37.12%
27.27%
100.00%

55 to 65
31.69%
45.78%
22.54%
100.00%

66 or older
42.35%
36.74%
20.92%
100.00%

Race
White
Horne
37.50%
Brnovich 40.63%
Not sure 21.88%
Total
100.00%

Hispanic
or Latino
24.14%
44.83%
31.03%
100.00%

Native
American
Other
57.14%
31.03%
14.29%
34.48%
28.57%
34.48%
100.00% 100.00%

Tea Party
Horne
Brnovich
Not sure
Total

Yes
47.26%
33.76%
18.99%
100.00%

No
20.18%
68.81%
11.01%
100.00%

Not sure
31.03%
32.18%
36.78%
100.00%

Ideology
Very
Somewhat
Conservative Conservative Moderate Liberal Not sure
Horne
46.11%
32.90%
20.55%
33.33% 33.33%
Brnovich
29.53%
51.61%
60.27%
44.44% 16.67%
Not sure
24.35%
15.48%
19.18%
22.22% 50.00%
Total
100.00%
100.00%
100.00% 100.00% 100.00%

Q: If the Republican primary election for Secretary of State were held today, which of the
following candidates would you vote for: Wil Cardon, Justin Pierce, or Michele Reagan?

Media Market

Cardon
Pierce
Reagan
Not sure
Total

PHOENIX
(PRESCOTT)
15.20%
29.69%
32.78%
22.33%
100.00%

TUCSON
(SIERRA VISTA)
14.71%
35.29%
26.47%
23.53%
100.00%

YUMA - EL
CENTRO
15.39%
30.77%
23.08%
30.77%
100.00%

Party Affiliation

Cardon
Pierce
Reagan
Not sure
Total

Republican
16.05%
32.09%
29.07%
22.79%
100.00%

Independent or
any other party
10.61%
19.70%
48.49%
21.21%
100.00%

Gender
Cardon
Pierce
Reagan
Not sure
Total

Female
14.86%
28.11%
27.71%
29.32%
100.00%

Male
15.42%
32.81%
35.57%
16.21%
100.00%

Age
Cardon
Pierce
Reagan
Not sure
Total

18 to 39
39.13%
23.91%
23.91%
13.04%
100.00%

40 to 54
12.40%
25.58%
40.31%
21.71%
100.00%

55 to 65
11.28%
30.08%
32.33%
26.32%
100.00%

66 or older
14.06%
35.94%
27.60%
22.40%
100.00%

Race

Cardon
Pierce
Reagan
Not sure
Total

White
14.52%
30.42%
32.26%
22.81%
100.00%

Hispanic or
Latino
25.00%
28.57%
28.57%
17.86%
100.00%

Native
American
0.00%
60.00%
20.00%
20.00%
100.00%

Other
20.69%
34.48%
31.03%
13.79%
100.00%

Tea Party
Yes
18.22%
36.86%
25.00%
19.92%
100.00%

Cardon
Pierce
Reagan
Not sure
Total

No
14.68%
25.69%
40.37%
19.27%
100.00%

Not sure
8.14%
29.07%
33.72%
29.07%
100.00%

Ideology

Cardon
Pierce
Reagan
Not sure
Total

Very
Conservative
16.06%
41.45%
23.32%
19.17%
100.00%

Somewhat
Conservative
16.23%
31.82%
28.57%
23.38%
100.00%

Moderate Liberal Not sure


0.00%
10.96% 33.33%
0.00%
13.70%
0.00%
33.33%
53.43% 66.67%
66.67%
21.92%
0.00%
100.00% 100.00% 100.00%

Q: If the Republican primary election for State Treasurer were held today, which of the
following candidates would you vote for: Jeff DeWit, Hugh Hallman, or Randy Pullen?
Media Market

DeWit
Hallman
Pullen
Not sure
Total

PHOENIX
TUCSON
(PRESCOTT) (SIERRA VISTA)
22.17%
28.36%
20.69%
8.96%
22.41%
17.91%
34.73%
44.78%
100.00%
100.00%

YUMA - EL
CENTRO
23.08%
7.69%
7.69%
61.54%
100.00%

Party Affiliation

DeWit
Hallman
Pullen
Not sure
Total

Republican
24.10%
18.55%
21.69%
35.66%
100.00%

Independent or
any other party
18.46%
20.00%
18.46%
43.08%
100.00%

Gender
DeWit
Hallman
Pullen
Not sure
Total

Female
24.48%
16.60%
19.92%
39.00%
100.00%

Male
21.63%
20.82%
22.86%
34.69%
100.00%

Age
DeWit
Hallman
Pullen
Not sure
Total

18 to 39
45.24%
11.91%
11.91%
30.95%
100.00%

40 to 54
21.77%
24.19%
20.16%
33.87%
100.00%

55 to 65
21.54%
20.00%
22.31%
36.15%
100.00%

66 or older
19.68%
15.96%
23.40%
40.96%
100.00%

Native
American
40.00%
20.00%
20.00%
20.00%
100.00%

Other
17.24%
31.03%
27.59%
24.14%
100.00%

Race

DeWit
Hallman
Pullen
Not sure
Total

White
23.28%
18.29%
21.14%
37.29%
100.00%

Hispanic or
Latino
26.92%
11.54%
23.08%
38.46%
100.00%

Tea Party
DeWit
Hallman
Pullen
Not sure
Total

Yes
24.90%
15.19%
26.16%
33.76%
100.00%

No
26.36%
34.55%
10.91%
28.18%
100.00%

Not sure
16.09%
12.64%
24.14%
47.13%
100.00%

Ideology

DeWit
Hallman
Pullen
Not sure
Total

Very
Somewhat
Conservative Conservative Moderate Liberal Not sure
27.32%
23.23%
17.81%
0.00%
0.00%
12.37%
22.58%
30.14%
44.44%
0.00%
28.87%
18.07%
16.44%
11.11% 16.67%
31.44%
36.13%
35.62%
44.44% 83.33%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00% 100.00% 100.00%

Q: If the Republican primary election for Superintendent of Public Instruction were held today,
which of the following candidates would you vote for: John Huppenthal or Diane Douglas?
Media Market
PHOENIX
TUCSON
(PRESCOTT) (SIERRA VISTA)
Huppenthal
33.42%
36.92%
Douglas
40.58%
32.31%
Not sure
26.00%
30.77%
Total
100.00%
100.00%

YUMA - EL
CENTRO
18.18%
18.18%
63.64%
100.00%

Party Affiliation
Republican
Huppenthal
35.29%
Douglas
36.83%
Not sure
27.88%
Total
100.00%

Independent or
any other party
21.05%
56.14%
22.81%
100.00%

Gender
Huppenthal
Douglas
Not sure
Total

Female
34.07%
33.63%
32.30%
100.00%

Male
33.04%
44.05%
22.91%
100.00%

Age
Huppenthal
Douglas
Not sure
Total

18 to 39
36.84%
39.47%
23.68%
100.00%

40 to 54
27.93%
36.94%
35.14%
100.00%

55 to 65
30.71%
39.37%
29.92%
100.00%

66 or older
38.86%
38.86%
22.29%
100.00%

Race
Hispanic
Native
White or Latino American Other
Huppenthal 35.10% 22.73%
20.00%
24.00%
Douglas
37.88% 40.91%
80.00%
48.00%
Not sure
27.02% 36.36%
0.00%
28.00%
Total
100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00%
Tea Party
Yes
38.40%
34.60%
27.00%
100.00%

Huppenthal
Douglas
Not sure
Total

No
30.56%
52.78%
16.67%
100.00%

Not sure
24.71%
35.29%
40.00%
100.00%

Ideology
Very
Somewhat
Conservative Conservative Moderate Liberal Not sure
Huppenthal
36.27%
34.64%
30.14%
33.33% 16.67%
Douglas
37.31%
39.22%
45.21%
33.33% 16.67%
Not sure
26.43%
26.14%
24.66%
33.33% 66.67%
Total
100.00%
100.00%
100.00% 100.00% 100.00%
Q: If the Republican primary election for Corporate Commission were held today, which of the
following candidates would you vote for: Tom Forese, Doug Little, Lucy Mason, or Vernon
Parker?
Media Market

Little
Forese
Mason
Parker
Not sure
Total

PHOENIX
(PRESCOTT)
29.22%
10.99%
18.50%
17.69%
23.59%
100.00%

TUCSON (SIERRA
VISTA)
26.15%
15.39%
12.31%
12.31%
33.85%
100.00%

YUMA - EL
CENTRO
27.27%
18.18%
0.00%
9.09%
45.46%
100.00%

Party Affiliation

Little
Forese
Mason
Parker
Not sure
Total

Republican
30.49%
12.66%
14.47%
17.31%
25.07%
100.00%

Independent or
any other party
15.79%
7.02%
35.09%
14.04%
28.07%
100.00%

Gender
Little
Forese
Mason
Parker
Not sure
Total

Female
28.44%
10.67%
17.33%
12.89%
30.67%
100.00%

Male
29.02%
12.95%
16.96%
20.54%
20.54%
100.00%

Age
Little
Forese
Mason
Parker
Not sure
Total

18 to 39
29.73%
24.32%
10.81%
13.51%
21.62%
100.00%

40 to 54
18.35%
14.68%
18.35%
18.35%
30.28%
100.00%

55 to 65
28.35%
8.66%
18.90%
22.84%
21.26%
100.00%

White
30.18%
11.25%
15.86%
16.11%
26.60%
100.00%

Hispanic
or Latino
21.74%
13.04%
26.09%
13.04%
26.09%
100.00%

Native
American
20.00%
40.00%
20.00%
20.00%
0.00%
100.00%

66 or older
35.63%
9.77%
16.67%
12.07%
25.86%
100.00%

Race

Little
Forese
Mason
Parker
Not sure
Total

Other
20.00%
16.00%
28.00%
24.00%
12.00%
100.00%

Tea Party
Yes
35.44%
10.13%
15.61%
15.61%
23.21%
100.00%

Little
Forese
Mason
Parker
Not sure
Total

No
22.94%
14.68%
20.18%
22.94%
19.27%
100.00%

Not sure
21.84%
12.64%
18.39%
10.35%
36.78%
100.00%

Ideology

Little
Forese
Mason
Parker
Not sure
Total

Very
Somewhat
Conservative Conservative Moderate Liberal Not sure
34.02%
28.39%
22.22%
11.11%
0.00%
11.34%
12.90%
11.11%
22.22%
0.00%
15.98%
16.77%
23.61%
11.11% 16.67%
14.95%
15.48%
22.22%
44.44%
0.00%
23.71%
26.45%
20.83%
11.11% 83.33%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00% 100.00% 100.00%

Q: And since you can vote for two candidates, who would be your second choice?
Media Market

Little
Forese
Mason
Parker
Not sure
Total

PHOENIX
(PRESCOTT)
13.93%
24.86%
17.49%
15.30%
28.42%
100.00%

TUCSON
(SIERRA VISTA)
12.31%
16.92%
18.46%
10.77%
41.54%
100.00%

Party Affiliation

Little
Forese
Mason
Parker
Not sure
Total

Independent or
Republican any other party
15.22%
7.14%
24.67%
12.50%
16.54%
25.00%
12.60%
25.00%
30.97%
30.36%
100.00%
100.00%

YUMA - EL
CENTRO
27.27%
0.00%
9.09%
0.00%
63.64%
100.00%

Gender
Little
Forese
Mason
Parker
Not sure
Total

Female
15.07%
21.46%
13.24%
13.24%
36.99%
100.00%

Male
13.00%
24.66%
21.52%
15.25%
25.56%
100.00%

Age
Little
Forese
Mason
Parker
Not sure
Total

18 to 39
28.57%
14.29%
11.43%
22.86%
22.86%
100.00%

40 to 54
16.67%
20.37%
13.89%
16.67%
32.41%
100.00%

55 to 65
12.10%
17.74%
25.00%
12.10%
33.06%
100.00%

66 or older
10.98%
30.64%
15.03%
12.72%
30.64%
100.00%

Race

Little
Forese
Mason
Parker
Not sure
Total

White
14.03%
23.64%
17.92%
12.73%
31.69%
100.00%

Hispanic
or Latino
13.64%
18.18%
4.55%
27.27%
36.36%
100.00%

Native
American Other
20.00%
16.00%
20.00%
20.00%
20.00%
20.00%
20.00%
28.00%
20.00%
16.00%
100.00% 100.00%

Tea Party
Little
Forese
Mason
Parker
Not sure
Total

Yes
15.19%
25.32%
14.77%
13.92%
30.80%
100.00%

No
13.89%
23.15%
22.22%
18.52%
22.22%
100.00%

Not sure
10.47%
18.60%
15.12%
11.63%
44.19%
100.00%

Ideology

Little
Forese
Mason
Parker
Not sure
Total

Very
Somewhat
Conservative Conservative Moderate Liberal Not sure
15.46%
12.34%
15.07%
22.22%
0.00%
25.26%
21.43%
24.66%
11.11%
0.00%
14.43%
16.88%
23.29%
33.33%
0.00%
11.86%
17.53%
15.07%
22.22%
0.00%
32.99%
31.82%
21.92%
11.11% 100.00%
100.00%
100.00%
100.00% 100.00% 100.00%

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