A 50 MW concentrating solar power plant for Jordan
Mohammed S. Al-Soud, Eyad S. Hrayshat
* Electrical Engineering Department, Faculty of Engineering, Tala Technical University, P.O. Box 66, Tala 66110, Jordan a r t i c l e i n f o Article history: Received 4 October 2007 Received in revised form 11 October 2008 Accepted 3 November 2008 Available online 16 December 2008 Keywords: Concentrating solar power plant Electricity generation Feasibility analysis Jordan a b s t r a c t The potential of concentrating solar power plant (CSPP) technology in Jordan is assessed and the next steps for development of the rst CSPP in the country are presented. For this purpose, a prototype of a 50 MW CSPP for electricity generation in Jordan is proposed and analysis of its economic feasibility has been performed. Moreover, a calculation model using the concept design of the proposed CSPP, and the solar irradiation data was developed to estimate the energy yield of the plant. Based on the analyzed solar irradiation data, it was found that Jordan has an outstanding potential for CSPP, especially in the southern locations of the country such as Quweira. At the same time Jordans energy master plan is seeking for independent energy supply and for an increasing share of renewable energies. Furthermore, Jordans demand curve over a day closely matches the electricity production of the proposed plant. Combination of these factors creates a very favorable situation. Therefore, establishment of the proposed 50 MW CSPP is highly recommended not only in Jordan, but also in many other countries, which have similar political and economical conditions such as those countries located in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region. 2008 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved. 1. Introduction Unlike other countries of the Middle East, Jordan is a non-oil producing country. Its domestic recoverable energy resources are limited and dont satisfy the demands of increasing population and economic growth. Thus, the country at present relies and will continue to do so in the near future almost solely on the combustion of imported fossil fuels in order to satisfy its national energy demand [1]. Nearly all the generated electricity in Jordan is produced from power plants that use fossil fuels. The most popular fuels are heavy fuel oil and diesel fuels. However, this option is not very attractive since Jordans spending on petroleumis more than 50% of its export earnings [2]. Therefore, switching to renewable energy (RE) sources for electricity generation is of a vital importance since it serves as an optimal solution for energy and environmental issues [3]. The Jordanian experience with electricity generation using RE technologies has focused on small and experimental plants [46]. Electricity harnessed via RE sources accounted only for less than 2% of the total electricity generated in 2005 [7,8]. Thus, the dominant role of steamturbines and diesel fuel-red gas turbines is leading to increased dependence on imported oil [9]. According to Jordans Energy Master Plan [10], the share of RE must be increased. The aim is to reach a 3% share of Jordans primary energy consumption by the year 2015. To achieve this goal an investment of 450 million US$ will be placed by the Jordanian Government represented by the Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources (MEMR). With an annual growth rate of 4%, an electricity consumption of about 18 TWh is projected for 2015. Many Jordanian authors considered different RE options for electricity generation using various methodologies. Mamlook et al. [11] utilized neuro-fuzzy programming to perform an evaluation of electric power generation options for Jordan using nuclear, solar, wind, and hydro-power systems in addition to fossil fuel power plants. Based on cost-to-benet ratios, results show that solar energy is considered to be the best system for electric power generation. Akash et al. [12] used analytical hierarchy process to performa comparison between different electric power production options in Jordan. The systems which were considered in addition to fossil fuel power plants were nuclear, solar, wind, and hydro- power. Results show that solar electric power plants have the potential to be the best systems for electricity production in Jordan. This research carried out by the Jordanian Government in cooperation with Lahmeyer International focuses on the potential of CSPP technology in Jordan and shows the next steps for the development of the rst CSPP in the country. For this purpose, analysis of the direct solar irradiation over Jordan was performed employing satellite-based solar irradiation data in order to identify the Jordanian sites which are best situated for efcient electricity generation using concentrated solar energy, and a prototype of a 50 MWCSPP is proposed for electricity generation. * Corresponding author. Tel.: 962 777499430; fax: 962 32250431. E-mail address: ehrayshat@yahoo.com (E.S. Hrayshat). Contents lists available at ScienceDirect Journal of Cleaner Production j ournal homepage: www. el sevi er. com/ l ocat e/ j cl epro 0959-6526/$ see front matter 2008 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved. doi:10.1016/j.jclepro.2008.11.002 Journal of Cleaner Production 17 (2009) 625635 Analysis of energy yield and economic feasibility of the plant have been also performed. 2. Potential of CSPP Contrary to its sister technology photovoltaics (PV), CSPP can operate at peak efciency using only the direct solar irradiance concentrated by concentrating solar collectors, such as parabolic troughs and central receivers, whereas PV technology can use both direct and diffuse irradiances. Therefore, full exploitation of the CSPP is limited to those geographical regions where the annual direct irradiation levels are high; the so-called Sun-belt area which includes: the MENA region (where Jordan is located), Southern Europe, Mexico and southwest USA, parts of India and Pakistan, South Africa, Australia, parts of Brazil and Chile [13]. According to the International Energy Agency (IEA), concen- trated solar thermal technology certainly has rich potential. It is destined to move from being a relatively modest renewable energy source to a signicant contributor in 2040, alongside current market leaders like hydro and wind power. Todays total installed capacity of 355 MW will have exceeded 6400 MW by 2015, that is 18 times todays capacity. By 2025, the annual installation rate will be 4600 MW/year. By 2025, total installed capacity around the world will have reached the impressive gure of 36,850 MW [14]. Equally impressive are the scenarios for electricity output from CSPP. Assuming that the rst installations will operate for 2500 h per year and that later installations have internal storage systems to increase this to 3500 h per year by 2025, and to 5000 h per year by 2040, solar thermal power will be growing at a pace that already achieves an annual output of more than 95 TWh in 2025 and over 16,000 TWh by 2040. That would represent as much as 5% of global demand. More than 362 million tonnes of CO 2 emissions would be avoided each year in 2025 [15]. Against todays backdrop of increasingly serious energy-security and climate change challenges, these projections are ample justi- cation for a yet more vigorous effort to give CSPP its rightful place in the energy mix. The IEAs Solar PACES program is well placed in the mainstreamCSPP community to provide leadership in pursuing that goal. For Jordans case taking in account that Jordan is a non-oil producing country the chances of CSPP success are high, due to the high values of direct solar irradiation and due to the high current oil prices. Based on these two facts, it is expected that prices of electricity produced by the CSPP will be competitive with the electricity, produced by means of traditional power plants oper- ating on conventional fuel. 3. Overview of the international CSPP projects Solar thermal power plants have a long standing history. Already in 1890 a steam engine has been powered by a solar concentrating collector. In 1912, the rst solar thermal power plant with parabolic trough collectors became operative in Egypt. The capacity of this facility was 500 kW. The technology of combining a steam engine or a steam turbine with solar heat is plausible and simple. However, the availability of cheapfuel during the 20thcentury led to a decline of interest insolar drivenpower plants. Only the so-called oil crisis in the 1970s, caused a renaissance of solar technology. In several countries, researchinthe eldof solar energy was nancedby the governments. Solar thermal power plants in pilot-plant-scale (most of them around 1 MWel) have been built in the USA, Spain, France, Italy and Russia. The leading countries in research in this eld have been the USA, Spain and Germany. So far, three types of CSPP have reacheda mature status: (i) parabolic troughsolar power plants; (ii) solar tower plants; and (iii) dish-stirling systems. Whereas only the parabolic trough type plants have entered into commercial operation so far. Following is a summary of noteworthy solar thermal electric projects and related activities in the globe. 3.1. The solar electric generation system plants in California The only commercially operated plants can be found in Cal- ifornia, USA. They use the technology of parabolic trough collectors. Nine plants with a total capacity of 354 MWel have been built there. Table 1 shows some details of these plants [16], which are named solar electric generating system (SEGS). Fig. 1 shows the principal design of a parabolic trough collector and a scheme of the SEGS plant as they are running in California. The SEGS plants employ a dual circuit system. In the primary circuit a heat transfer uid (HTF) with a high boiling temperature of 400
C is heated while it ows through the absorber tube. In a heat exchanger the thermal energy is transferred to a conventional watersteam power process. The collectors are oriented in North South direction and followthe sun by one-axis tracking system. The plants are equipped with a fossil-red auxiliary boiler which enables the plants to produce electricity even at cloud passages or after sunset. The Californian plants are privately nanced projects. The plant owner sells the generated electricity to the utility, Southern Cali- fornian Edison. The power purchase agreements (PPA) have a run time of 10 years. Hence the oldest plants are currently operating under their 3rd PPA. The plants are running since 15 years and more (the oldest since 21 years) and show a very high availability. They have generated more than 12,000 GWh so far and are still in a good condition. 3.2. AndaSol solar troughs Spains AndaSol projects, being developed by Solar Millennium and ACS Cobra, are the rst large-scale parabolic trough power plants in Europe. Each AndaSol project represents a fully dis- patchable capacity of 50 MWe employing a highly efcient steam power cycle combined with 6 h of full-load thermal storage capa- bility. Each plant is expected to generate approximately 170 GWh per year. The rst two AndaSol plants, AndaSols 1 and 2, are located in the high valley of Marquesado de Zenete, 60 km southeast of Granada at an elevation of approximately 1000 m (3300 ft). A 400-kV high- voltage transmission line crosses the valley, and a newsubstation is planned for a nearby city. Construction of AndaSol 1 began in September 2006 and is scheduled for completion in late 2008. AndaSol 2 construction began in February 2007 and will be completed approximately 24 months later. Each plant consists of 624 collectors 150 m long, which concentrate sunlight about 80 times onto absorber tubes installed in the focal line. Absorber tubes consist of a stainless steel tube with a selective coating that is covered by a glass envelope tube to Table 1 Data of the SEGS parabolic trough solar power plants in California, USA. Plant name SEGS I plant SEGS II VII plant SEGS VIII and IX plants Number of plants 1 6 2 Location Dagget Dagget at Kramer Jct. Harper lake Start of operation 1985 19861989 1990 and 1991 Power (MW) 14 30 80 Collector width (m) 2.50 5 and 5.76 5.76 Max. uid temperature (
C) 307 350 and 390 390
Annual average efciency (%) 9.3 10.712.4 13.8 Investment cost ($/kWel) 4490 32003870 2890 M.S. Al-Soud, E.S. Hrayshat / Journal of Cleaner Production 17 (2009) 625635 626 reduce thermal losses. The annular space between absorber tube and glass tube is evacuated. Through the absorber tubes circulates a synthetic oil heat transfer uid that is heated to a temperature of nearly 400
C [17]. The AndaSol plants will use newSKAL-ETcollectors, which were developed and qualied by the Solar Millennium group and its partners for the AndaSol project. To extend operation beyond daylight hours, thermal energy storage will be integrated into the plant design. Solar energy collected during the day will be trans- ferred to a molten salt solution at a temperature of approximately 385
C. 3.3. The parabolic troughs in Priolo Gargallo and Specchia (The Archimede project) The parabolic trough power plant of Priolo Gargallo whose construction has begun on 2004, and its rst production of energy is forecasted for the end of 2009 is an Integrated Solar Combined Cycle (ISCC). This means that it is coupled to a conventional gas and steam cogeneration plant, providing an expected extra output of 20760 MWel that it is already delivering. The project is called ARCHIMEDE and it is a joint venture between the main partner, the Italian public research institute ENEA, and the Italian national energy company ENEL. They are working together with many other minor private companies. The main parameters of the projects are exhibited in Table 2 [18]. The main advantage of the hybrid solution is that the solar plant will make large use of the already existing non-solar components, therefore focusing the investment costs on the solar technology elements. Moreover, the electricity generation can be adjusted in order to match peak-demands during the day. Other new improvements are: A cheaper and more robust mirror design A higher operating temperature, which is now about 550
C, which requires, in turn, a newdesign of the coating of the layer receiving the concentrated solar light The use of an environmentally friendly, non-ammable cooling liquid The introduction of a large heat storage, which can fully compensate for solar discontinuities. 4. Solar irradiation over Jordan and site selection for installing the proposed CSPP Solar irradiation the energy source for solar power plants has direct and diffuse components. Only the direct irradiation can be focused and thus be utilized by the CSPP for electricity generation. Measurement of solar radiation can be performed by different tech- niques, andis basically distinguishedintoground-basedandsatellite- based data. Satellite databases are used to identify solar irradiation potential for huge areas, e.g. individual counties or states. The values for solar irradiation are calculated from the extraterrestrial constant reducedbyclouds, dust or other atmospheric inuences measuredby meteorological satellites. Ground-based data are used for more detailed site investigations. Fundamental planning and detailed project development including energy yield forecast can only be carried out on the basis of this data. The difference between satellite- based andground-based data for a short time frame of anhour canbe signicant for two reasons: (1) Satellite pictures represent a point of time while ground measuring instruments calculate averages; (2) Satellite pictures show a land area, while ground installed measurements are xed to a distinct place. Nevertheless, the differ- ence between satellite-based and ground-based data for yearly sums is about 3%of the total solar radiation which is relatively small with respect to the short time frame and thus, the correlation between the two data sources over a longer time period is good [19]. A detailed analysis of the direct solar irradiation over Jordan is a very important step to identify the sites which are best situated for efcient electricity generation. Fig. 2 shows the solar map of Jordan employing satellite-based solar irradiation data [20]. Colored areas showJordanian locations where an operation of CSPP is technically possible. An operation of CSPP is economically viable above an average annual direct normal irradiation (DNI) of 2000 kWh/m 2 annually [21]. In Jordan there is a high potential for CSPP since the average annual DNI is above this value at most sites. The most potential sites are those located in the southern part of the country. Fig. 3 exhibits the theoretical economical potential for electricity generation by CSPP in Jordan, calculated using the satellite-based solar irradiation data obtained from Ref. [20]. It amounts to about 6400 TWh/year (The current electricity consumption of Jordan is 9 TWh/year [7]). Exclusion areas like urban and industrial use, hydrograph, protected areas, land cover, geomorphology and topography are also considered in this gure. Ground based measured DNI in Jordan is available only for few sites. Measurement stations have been established and maintained from June 1989 to July 1992 at Quweira, RasNaqab and Kharana by the Paul Scherrer Institute/Switzerland. Fig. 1. The parabolic trough collector with absorber tube (a) and schematic (b) of the parabolic trough SEGS plant in California. Table 2 Main parameters of Archimede project. Plant location Priolo Gargallo (Syracause) Orientation of collectors NorthSouth Number of collectors 360 Active surface of collectors (10 3 m 2 ) 199.1 Thermal energy collected per year (GWh/year) 179.4 Gross thermal energy generated per year (GWh/year) 59.2 Annual CO 2 emissions avoided (ton/year) 39,458 Annual primary energy savings (ton/year) 12,703 M.S. Al-Soud, E.S. Hrayshat / Journal of Cleaner Production 17 (2009) 625635 627 Quweira and RasNaqab are located in the southwestern part of the country, where direct irradiation is very high, while Kharana is situated in the northern part of Jordan. Ground-based data is only available for Quweira. Correlations between Quweira and RasaNaqb located at a distance of 30 km from each other showed no signicant difference. Solar maps from satellite data show, that an average DNI-value of 2400 kWh/m 2 /year could be expected for Kharana. All the three sites are excellent for CSPP. However, further site analysis will be presented for Quweira only, because ground- based data is not available for the other two sites. Year-to-year uctuations of DNI data could be reduced by longer time series. Fig. 4 shows that after 810 years the deviation from the typically meteorological year (TMY) is below 5%. Fig. 5 shows the DNI grid in hour/month resolution for the year 1990 at Quweira, located in the southern part of Jordan at latitude of 29
47 0 , longitude of 35
18, and elevation of 794 m above sea
level. With the shown DNI values, more than 800 GWh of solar irradiation can be collected by the solar eld every year. The year 1990 is displayed here, because the year 1991 is generally known as a doubtfully representative year for the Middle East region. Due to Fig. 2. Solar map of Jordan with average daily sum of direct normal irradiation per square meter. 0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500 2000 2100 2200 2300 2400 2500 2600 2700 DNI (kWh/m^2/year) E L E C T R I C I T Y
P O T E N T I A L
( T W h / y e a r ) Fig. 3. The theoretical economical potential for electricity generation by CSPP in Jordan. M.S. Al-Soud, E.S. Hrayshat / Journal of Cleaner Production 17 (2009) 625635 628 the eruption of Volcano Pinatubo on the Philippines (on July 15, 1991) and the Gulf War (starting in January 1991), direct irradiation is lower in 1991 and diffuse irradiation is higher at the same time. 5. The proposed CSPP The proposed CSPP is subdivided into three systems, which are linked to each other: the collector eld, the heat transfer uid (HTF) system, and the power block. The collector eld consists of collector loops, arranged in parallel. Each loop consists of collectors, arranged in series to a loop. Collectors concentrate the solar irradiation to a focal line, where the HTF the kind of which is proprietary information is heated up. In order to focus the sunlight, the collectors need to be moved by a tracking system. The HTF system is used for heat transportation. Hot HTF at a temperature level of about 390
C is transported from the collectors to the power block. After dispensing the heat for steam generation, the HTF is pumped back to the collectors at a temper- ature level of about 290
C. Core components are pumps for HTF circulation, pipes, valves and vessels. The melting point of HTF is 12
C. Thus, a heater is installed to prevent the HTF from freezing, when ambient temperature falls below 12
C. The power block converts heat from the HTF to superheated steam and then to electricity. Feed water heating and a reheat turbine is used to increase efciency. The power block includes fossil-red back-up systems in order to provide a back-up for periods without sun. The design concept for the proposed CSPP is based on the following assumptions: Solar irradiation according to measured data at Quweira No fossil-red steam boiler No storage. This rst concept excludes a supporting fossil-red boiler. In full project development a back-up system should be included to extend plant availability. This could either be a thermal storage or a fossil-red boiler. The decision of the collector type has a major impact on the collector eld design. The utilized Eurotrough collector is developed by a European consortium to improve the performance based on the experiences made at the solar electric generating system power plants. 5.1. Cooling technology to be utilized for the proposed CSPP Technically, the most efcient cooling technology is cooling via evaporation. The most cost efcient cooling technology for a CSPP is mainly dependent on the cost for water at the site. Since best sites for CSPP are generally located in the desert, water is most likely used for other purposes than power plant supply. Dry cooling becomes very attractive at those sites. It requires enforced convection through a fan. This increases the parasitic power consumption signicantly. Since dry cooling is less efcient than wet cooling, the overall efciency of the steam cycle decreases. From the nancial point of view it has to be considered that investment costs for dry cooling are higher. Summarizing the above mentioned, dry cooling has three main disadvantages, which are listed against wet cooling in Table 3. However, a decision was made to utilize the dry cooling method based on the fact that Jordan suffers from water shortages. Fig. 5. DNI grid in hour/month resolution for Quweira, 1990. Fig. 4. Deviation from the global radiation TMY value. Table 3 Comparison of cooling technologies. Cooling technology Wet Dry Steam cycle efciency 37% 35% Parasitic electricity consumption 5 MW 7 MW Energy yield 117 GWh 109 GWh Evaporated water 180 m 3 /MW Investment 2.9 Million JD 9.6 Million JD M.S. Al-Soud, E.S. Hrayshat / Journal of Cleaner Production 17 (2009) 625635 629 The aforementioned assumptions led to CSPP with the shown in Fig. 6 layout and parameters summarized in Table 4. The proposed plant which will use a land area of 1,200,000 m 2 and an aperture of 305,200 m 2 represents a fully dispatchable capacity of 50 MWe. It employs 560 Eurotrough 100 collectors with 70 loops. Based on the solar radiation intensities at the plants site located in Jordan, the full-load hours are expected to be 2345, and the plant is expected to generate approximately 117 GWh per year. 5.2. Simulation of the proposed CSPP energy yield In order to estimate the energy yield of the proposed CSPP at Quweira, a calculation model using the concept design of the proposed CSPP was developed at Lahmeyer International. The calculation proceeds in the following manner: (1) Calculation of the thermal power of the solar eld using the following parameters: Position of the sun for the given site Hourly DNI values Collector type and efciency Number of collectors in the solar eld Row shading Thermal inertia Parasitic power consumption Turbine overload (2) Calculation of the electrical power of the solar power plant The electrical power of the solar eld is calculated from the efciency of the Rankine-cycle as function of thermal load. This efciency is derived from the simulation software Thermo-ow. Figs. 7 and 8 exhibit the calculation results of the solar eld thermal power and electrical power of the plant, respectively. Considering turbine overload conditions during summer months and parasitic power consumption of the plant, the electrical production, generated by the power plant sums up as displayed in Fig. 9. It is observed that a peak power production occurs in the summer months. This production curve does meet the demand of Jordan. Yearly and daily peak demand periods are dependent on cooling facilities such as air conditioners. Fig. 10 exhibits the typical electricity demand over a year in Jordan [7]. It shows that the supply curve of a CSPP and the demand curve of Jordan match closely in a daily and yearly cycle. CSPPs are especially suitable for peak power demand, because they have their highest efciency at summer months and during midday when electricity demand reaches its peak. Extension of the electricity production in the evening can be achieved by a thermal storage system or a fossil-red boiler. 5.3. Economic feasibility analysis Calculation of the levelized electricity cost (LEC) was performed, using estimated engineering, procurement, and construction (EPC) costs in addition to operation and maintenance (O and M) costs. Fig. 6. Layout plan of the proposed 50 MW CSPP. Table 4 Design characteristics of the proposed CSPP. Capacity 50 MW Number of collectors 560 Collector type Eurotrough 100 Number of loops 70 Aperture 305,200 m 2 Land use 1,200,000 m 2 Full-load hours 2345 Annual electricity yield 117 GWh Cooling Dry M.S. Al-Soud, E.S. Hrayshat / Journal of Cleaner Production 17 (2009) 625635 630 The monetary data was expressed in Jordanian Dinar (JD), where 1 JD1000 Fils (F) z1.41 US$. The EPC costs supplied in Table 5 are obtained from expe- rience at the existing solar electric generating system plants in the world. A continuous plant operation includes frequent replacement of materials and media. This includes especially reector panels, heat collecting elements and heat transfer uid. The plant consumes also water and electricity to run the power block. Water is mainly used for the power block and also for mirror cleaning. Table 5 summarizes these costs. The LEC calculation considers rates for return on equity of 12% and 3% interests for bonded capital in a base case scenario. For the Fig. 7. Thermal power of the proposed 50 MW CSPP. Fig. 8. Electrical power of the proposed 50 MW CSPP. Fig. 9. Monthly production of the proposed 50 MW CSPP. M.S. Al-Soud, E.S. Hrayshat / Journal of Cleaner Production 17 (2009) 625635 631 capital distribution, the following was assumed: 70% foreign capital and 30% equity capital. Total Investment cost for this calculation has to include soft costs: project development, land cost, fees for licenses, consulting and any other expenses directly related to the project. Soft costs are assumed to be 10% of the EPC costs. When a grace period is considered, the annuity is calculated for the years left to pay off the credit. Therefore, it appears to be higher in the repayment period, than for the same condition without grace period. For the grace period, very soft nancing conditions are assumed. This includes in particular no repay and no interest payment during that period. Table 6 shows the input parameters for LEC calculation. The LEC was calculated in four different loan conditions under the following assumptions: In case 1, a situation close to market conditions is represented In case 2, the interest rate is reduced from 6% to 3% In case 3, the depreciation time is increased from20 years to 30 years In case 4, a grace period of 10 years is introduced. In case 4 a dept interest rate which is the annual rate of interest paid to the debt holder at the end of each year of the term of the debt of 3%, depreciation period that is the period over which the project capital costs are depreciated using a constant rate of 30 years and a grace period where very soft nancing conditions are assumed, including in particular no repay and no interest payment during that period of 10 years were introduced. These three factors with the chosen values are expected to have a great role in reducing the LEC value. Fig. 11 exhibits the LEC for the four different loan conditions in addition to the average current LEC [16]. It reveals that the lowest LEC which equals about 107 JF/kWh is obtained for the fourth loan condition. This value is comparable with the average current LEC obtained from hybrid parabolic trough plants of about 106.5 JF/ kWh. These values of LEC are expected to be reduced to approxi- mately 40 JF/kWh in the medium term after a successful penetra- tion of the electricity market. This would be competitive with the typical fossilfuel generation costs [16]. Comparing the obtained LEC and the annual production from the proposed plant, with those of PV systems obtained from Ref. [22], reveals that for lowirradiation values the annual output of solar thermal systems is much lower than of PV systems. On the other hand, for high irradiations solar thermal systems provide the best-cost solution even when considering higher cost reduction factors for PV in the next decade. 6. Electrical power system in Jordan and possible connection with the proposed CSPP The interconnected electrical power system of Jordan, shown in Fig. 12 [23] consists of the main generating power stations, 132 kV and 400 kV transmission network. This transmission network interconnects the power stations with the load centers and different areas in the kingdom. The system also includes the 230 kV, 400 kV tie lines with Syria, and 400 kV tie line with Egypt in addition to the distribution networks, which serve the population in Jordan. In addition to that, the electrical power system in Jordan includes some private power stations, which are synchronized with the rest of the power stations in the intergraded network and there are a few private power stations, which are not connected with the interconnected network and serve only their owners. The total system installed capacity at the end of 2007 was 2019 MW, of which 1873 MW is the capacity of the interconnected system, this means that the inter-connected system constitutes 92.8% of the total installed capacity in Jordan. The total length of 132 kV network and above is about 3400 km-circuit and the total installed capacity of the substations is 6189 mVA. Due to the fact that the proposed CSPP will be located in Queira which is connected to national grid it will be very easy to connect the CSPP to the national grid to support it and because 300 400 500 600 700 800 900 J a n u a r y F e b r u a r y M a r c h A p r i l M a y J u n e J u l y A u g u s t S e p t e m b e r O c t o b e r N o v e m b e r D e c e m b e r MONTH E L E C T R I C I T Y
D E M A N D
[ M W ] Minimum load Morning load Evening load Fig. 10. Typical electricity demand over a year in Jordan. Table 5 Parameters utilized in the economic feasibility analysis. Estimated erection time 2 Years Durability More than 20 years EPC cost 155 Million JD O&M staff 40 Employees Table 6 Input parameters for LEC calculation. Parameter Case 1 Case 2 Case 3 Case 4 Total investment cost (million JD) 170 170 170 170 Debt share (%) 70 70 70 70 Debt interest rate (%) 6 3 3 3 Return on equity (%) 12 12 12 12 Annuity (%) 8.7 6.7 5.1 6.7 Depreciation time (years) 20 20 30 30 Grace period (years) 0 0 0 10 O&M cost (million JD/year) 3.86 3.86 3.86 3.86 Capacity (MW) 50 50 50 50 Full-load operation (h/year) 2345 2345 2345 2345 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 200 1 2 3 4 Current LEC CASE L E C
( J F / k W h ) Fig. 11. LEC for the four different loan conditions. M.S. Al-Soud, E.S. Hrayshat / Journal of Cleaner Production 17 (2009) 625635 632 Queira is close to Egypt, part of the electricity produced by the CSPP could be exported to Egypt. 7. Road map for the rst commercial CSPP in Jordan The technical market potential of CSPP worldwide is estimated to be greater than 6400 MW over the next 20 years [15]. However, due to the high cost of CSPP and the competition with other forms of electricity generation, it will depend on nancial support and incentives until the industry develops the technologies and econ- omies of scale needed to become truly cost-competitive. In this context, seven countries (Jordan, Algeria, Egypt, Germany, Israel, Morocco and Spain) in addition to U.S. state of (Nevada) adopted the Global Market Initiative (GMI) with the objective of supporting the creation of adequate market conditions conducive to build new CSPP plants and to expedite the deployment of 5000 MWe of CSP plants by 2015 [16]. To make the long-term investments needed to achieve lower costs, a visible, reliable, and growing market for solar thermal power must be established. Three policy areas will have the greatest impact on that objective: targets and tariffs, regulations, and nancing mechanisms. With respect to targets and tariffs, GMI organizers recommend that countries and states participating in the GMI establish a consistent base of national laws and regulations, such as adequate feed-in tariffs or public benet charges specically for CSPP. They should establish renewable portfolio standards (RPS) or similar mechanisms that encourage electricity generation from renew- ables, specically CSPP. With respect to regulations, GMI urges policy makers to avoid limitations on CSPP capacity or operating strategies that could increase the cost of introducing the technology. Policy makers should also remove restrictive laws that hinder interconnection to CSPP to allow more cost-effective connection to the electric grid. With respect to nancing, GMI advocates recommend that Kyoto Protocol instruments should be applicable to CSPP and be bankable. They also advise policy makers to institute production tax credits similar to those now enjoyed by wind power, and Fig. 12. Jordan electric power system. M.S. Al-Soud, E.S. Hrayshat / Journal of Cleaner Production 17 (2009) 625635 633 which stimulated the growth of wind power in some countries. In addition, policy makers should establish loan guarantee programs and maintain investment tax credits to support the initial capital investments needed before CSPP plants begin to produce power. For the Jordanian and developing countries (especially those located in the MENA region) case, when the nancial framework is set-up, an international tendering procedure for an independent power producer (IPP) which were encouraged by energy sectors comprehensive national strategy approved by the Jordanian Council of Ministers in January 2004 to implement energy projects on BOO (Build-Own-Operate), BOT (Build-Operate- Transfer) and BOOT (Build-Own-Operate-Transfer) basis is recom- mend [24]. Loans will be easily obtained from some of the main sponsors of energy investments in the developing world, i.e. the Worldbank Group, the Kreditanstalt fu r Wiederaufbau (KfW), the European Investment Bank (EIB) in addition to the Global Envi- ronmental Facility (GEF) (who approved grants for rst solar thermal projects in Egypt, India, Mexico and Morocco of approxi- mately US$ 200 million in total only in the year 2000, when the oil price was only US$ 30/barrel [25]) who have recently been convinced due to current oil prices of the environmental promises and the economic perspectives of CSPP. The IPP will sell the produced electricity to the tariff xed in the feed-in law. The IPP structure is proposed due to the binding momentum for both sides. The IPP is bound to produce electricity and the government is bound to buy the electricity on a xed tariff basis. This approach includes the contracting of a consultant for tender document preparation. Call for proposals and proposal evaluation will be performed by the consultant. The Government will then make a decision on the preferred bidder and will contract an IPP for the rst CSPP. For Jordans and MENA region case, reliable data for DNI of the proposed site have to be available for solid development of a CSPP. Therefore, data collection at the most promising sites should begin in parallel to the development and completion of the nancial boundary conditions. The above described steps are summarized as follows: (1) Regulatory and nancial conditions for investors Either Development of a feed-in tariff regulation for RE Or Application for soft loan at a suited international nancing institution Approval of soft loan (to be granted to the successful IPP bidder) International bidding procedure for an IPP. (2) Technical requirements Collection of ground and satellite-based DNI data. 8. Conclusions It bodes well that renewable energy technologies suchas CSPP have become an important issue for most of the developed and developing countries, especially those located in the MENA region, whichincludes Jordan. The rise of oil prices, the shortage of energy, in addition to the fact that operation of CSPP is economically viable in most of Sun built regions such as the MENA countries (since the average DNI values there are above the economically viable average annual direct normal irradiation of 2000 kWh/m 2 annually) have initiateda renewedinterest inCSPP. The political dimensionis further demonstrated by the formation by the GMI nations of a taskforce to nd ways of stimulating the creation of adequate market conditions conducive to build new CSPP plants and to expedite the deployment of 5000 MWe of CSP plants by 2015. The usage of CSPP could not only create jobs, boost economies, but also might help to reduce the risks of energy related conicts. Moreover, this technology could play a major role in combating climate change by means of exible instruments dened in the Kyoto Protocol. Those instruments may also help to reduce the higher capital costs in the long run. The average current LEC obtained from hybrid parabolic trough plants of about 106.5 JF/ kWh, which was found to be comparable with the LEC value calculated for the proposed plant of about 107 JF/kWh is expec- ted to be reduced to approximately 40 JF/kWh in the mediumterm after a successful penetration of the electricity market. This would be competitive with the typical fossilfuel generation costs. Compared to the LEC of PV systems, the CSPP provides for high irradiations the best-cost solution even when considering higher cost reduction factors for PV in the next decade. Based on the aforementioned facts, the establishment of the proposed CSPP is highly recommended not only in Jordan, but also in many other countries, which have similar political and economical conditions such as those countries located in the MENA region. To allow a moderate introduction of the CSPP into the existing energy supply structure, the following two items should be implemented in the near future, and should be executed in parallel in order to achieve best results for future energy supply by RE sources: Introduction of feed-in tariffs for RE based on RE law Erection of ground-based measurement stations for collecting long-term direct solar irradiation and meteorological data. Acknowledgements Authors would like to express their sincere gratitude to Eng. Z. Jibril Director of Renewable Energy Department/Jordanian Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources for his valuable help and support. References [1] Jaber J, Al-Sarkhi A, Akash B, Mohsen M. 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