Push strategies Pull strategies Push-pull systems Matching products/industries with supply chain strategies Impact of the Internet on supply chain integration Effective distribution strategies Direct shipment Warehousing Cross-docking Push Strategies Production decisions based on long-term forecasts Ordering decisions based on inventory & forecasts What are the problems with push strategies? Inability to meet changing demand patterns Obsolescence The bullwhip effect: Excessive inventory Excessive production variability Poor service levels Hard to predict production capacity or transportation capacity hence inefficient system Pull Strategies Production is demand driven Production and distribution coordinated with true customer demand Firms respond to specific orders Pull Strategies result in: Decreased inventory levels at retailers and manufacturers Decreased system variability Better response to changing markets But: Harder to leverage economies of scale Doesnt work in all cases Push-Pull Supply Chains The Supply Chain Time Line Low Uncertainty Long lead times High Uncertainty Short lead times Customers Suppliers PUSH STRATEGY PULL STRATEGY Push-Pull Boundary Push-pull systems A shift from a Push System... Production decisions are based on forecast to a Push-Pull System Initial portion of the supply chain is replenished based on long-term forecasts For example, parts inventory may be replenished based on forecasts Final supply chain stages based on actual customer demand. For example, assembly may based on actual orders. Consider Two PC Manufacturers: Build to Stock Forecast demand Buys components Assembles computers Observes demand and meets demand if possible. A traditional push system Build to order Forecast demand Buys components Observes demand Assembles computers Meets demand A push-pull system Push-Pull Strategies The push-pull system takes advantage of the rules of forecasting: Forecasts are always wrong The longer the forecast horizon the worse the forecast Aggregate forecasts are more accurate Risk Pooling impact Characteristics and Skills Raw Material Customers Pull Push Low Uncertainty Long Lead Times Cost Minimization Resource Allocation/utilization High Uncertainty Short Cycle Times Service Level Responsiveness What is the Best Strategy? Pull Push Pull Push Demand uncertainty (C.V.) Delivery cost Unit price L H H L Economies of Scale I II IV III Locating the Push-Pull Boundary The push section requires: Supply chain planning Long term strategies The pull section requires: Order fulfillment processes Customer relationship management Buffer inventory at the boundaries: The output of the tactical planning process The input to the order fulfillment process. Postponement Strategy in Build-to- Order (BTO) Model in Dell Pull-based strategy De-coupling point part supplier OEM production center logistics customers assembly manufacturing form packaging & logistics Demand-driven strategies Demand forecast: Using historical data to develop long-term estimates of expected demand Demand shaping: Determining the impact various marketing plans such as promotions, pricing discounts, rebates, new product introductions and product withdrawal on demand forecasts Inaccuracy of the forecast has a detrimental impact on supply chain performance: lost sales, obsolete inventory, inefficient resource utilization Employing supply chain strategies to reduce the impacts of forecast inaccuracy Select the push-pull boundary so that the demand is aggregated over different dimensions: products, geography, time Use market analysis and demographic and economic trends to improve forecast Determine the optimal assortment of products by store to reduce the impact of competing SKUs in the same market Incorporate collaborative planning and forecasting processes with customers to better understand market demand, impact of promotions, pricing and advertising What does internet change for a SC? Enables a whole new business model. Online purchasing, direct shipping, auctioning, secondary markets Improves or enables integration between different parties of the supply chain Enables information sharing Enables collaboration Reduces lead time Reduction in order processing times Improves product availability Impact of internet E-business: a collection of business models and processes motivated by Internet technology and focusing on improvement of extended enterprise performance Business-to-consumer (B2C): direct to customer, retail activities over the internet Business-to-business (B2B): business conducted over the internet between businesses E-business Opportunities: Reduce Facility Costs Eliminate retail/distributor sites Reduce Inventory Costs Appl y the risk-pooling concept Centralized stocking Postponement of product differentiation Use Dynamic Pricing Strategies to Improve Supply Chain Performance E-business Opportunities: Supply Chain Visibility Reduction in the Bullwhip Effect Reduction in Inventory Improved service level Better utilization of Resources Improve supply chain performance Provide key performance measures Identify and alert when violations occur Allow planning based on global supply chain data Distribution Strategies Distribution Strategies Direct Shipping: items are shipped directly from the supplier to the retail stores without going through distribution centers. Lead times reduced smaller trucks no risk pooling effects Warehousing: warehouses keep stock and provide customers with items as required. Cross-docking: items are distributed continuously from suppliers through warehouses to customers. Items rarely kept for more than 10 to 15 hours Direct Shipment Distribution Strategies Advantages: Retailer avoids the expenses of operating a distribution center Lead times are reduced. Disadvantages: Risk-pooling effects are negated Manufacturer and distributor transportation costs increase Commonly used scenarios: Retail store requires fully loaded trucks Often mandated by powerful retailers Lead time is critical. Prevalent in the grocery industry: lead times are critical because of perishable goods. Intermediate Inventory Storage Point Strategies Based on length of time inventory is stored at warehouses/distribution centers 3 different strategies: 1. Traditional warehousing strategy distribution centers and warehouses hold stock inventory & provide their downstream customers with inventory as needed. 2. Cross-docking strategy: Warehouses/distribution centers serve as transfer points for inventory no inventory is held at these transfer points. 3. Centralized pooling and transshipment strategies: may be useful when there is a large variety of different products Issues in Traditional Warehousing Inventory management and risk pooling key factors Other factors also play a significant role Centralized vs Decentralized Management Central vs Local Facilities Centralized vs Decentralized Management Decentralized system (Leads to local optimization). Each facility identifies its most effective strategy without considering the impact on the other facilities in the supply chain. Centralized system (leads to global optimization). decisions are made at central location for entire supply chain. Typical objective: minimize the total cost of the system subject to satisfying some service-level requirements. Allow use of coordinated strategies If system cannot be centralized often helpful to form partnerships to approach the advantages of a centralized system. Central vs. Local Facilities Factors affecting the decision: Safety stock. Lower safety stock levels with centralized facilities Overhead. Lower total overhead cost with centralized facilities Economies of scale. Greater economies of scale with centralized facilities Lead time. Lead time to market reduced with local facilities Service level: Utilization of risk pooling better with centralized, whereas, Shipping times better with local Transportation costs: Costs between production facilities & warehouses higher with local, whereas, Costs from warehouses to retailers lesser with local Cross Docking In 1979 Kmart had 1891 stores and average revenues per store of $7.25 million. Kmart was the king of the retail industry. Wal-Mart was a small niche retailer in the South with only 229 stores and average revenues under $3.5 million 10 Years later Wal-Mart had highest sales per square foot of any discount retailer highest inventory turnover of any discount retailer Highest operating profit of any discount retailer. Today Wal-Mart is largest & highest profit retailer in the world Kmart ???? What accounts for Wal-Marts remarkable success? This was achieved by way company replenished inventory the centerpiece of its strategy. Wal-Mart employed a logistics technique known as cross- docking goods are continuously delivered to warehouses where they are dispatched to stores without ever sitting in inventory. This strategy reduced Wal-Marts cost of sales significantly and made it possible to offer everyday low prices to their customers. Characteristics of Cross-Docking: Goods spend at most 12-15 hours in the warehouse, lowers inventory handling costs, Wal-Mart delivers about 85% of its goods through its cross docking facility, compared to about 50% for Kmart, Stores trigger orders for products. Issues with Cross-Docking Require a significant start-up investment and are very difficult to manage Supply chain partners must be linked with advanced information systems for coordination A fast and responsive transportation system is necessary Forecasts are critical, necessitating the sharing of information. Effective only for large distribution systems Sufficient volume every day to allow shipments of fully loaded trucks from the suppliers to the warehouses. Sufficient demand at retail outlets to receive full truckload quantities Inventory Pooling: Example Two retailers face random demand for a single product. No differences between the retailers Compare two systems centralized pooled system, retailers together operate a joint inventory facility take items out of the pooled inventory to meet demand. decentralized system each retailer individually orders from the manufacturer to meet demand In both systems, inventory is owned by the retailers Transshipment Shipment of items between different facilities at the same level in the supply chain to meet some immediate need Occurs mostly at the retail level Takes advantage of Risk Pooling Can be achieved: with advanced information systems Shipping costs are reasonable Retailers have same owner Which Distribution Strategy to Adopt? Different approaches for different products Factors: Customer demand and location Service level Costs => transportation & inventory costs Demand Variability Distribution Strategies Strategy Attribute Direct Shipment Cross Docking Inventory at Warehouses Risk Pooling Take Advantage Transportation Costs Reduced Inbound Costs Reduced Inbound Costs Holding Costs No Warehouse Costs No Holding Costs Demand Variability Delayed Allocation Delayed Allocation THANKYOU