Topic 11 Estimating and Timeboxing Agile Development

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Agile Development
Topic 11:
Estimating and Timeboxing
Estimating and Timeboxing Topic 11 - 11.2
Topic 11 Coverage
This topic will cover:
How do we estimate?
The estimating process
Estimatingin the DSDMAtern Lifecycle
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Estimating in the DSDM Atern Lifecycle
What is a timebox?
Planning the project
Estimating and Timeboxing Topic 11 - 11.3
DSDM Aterns 5 Key Techniques
MoSCoW prioritisation
Modelling
Facilitated workshops
MM
SS
CC
WW MM
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Facilitated workshops
Iterative development
Timeboxing
Topic 11 Estimating and Timeboxing Agile Development
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Estimating and Timeboxing Topic 11 - 11.4
Do this individually, with no discussion ...
E ti t h l it ld t k f t b ild ll
Group Exercise
Estimating
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Estimate how long it would take for you to build me a wall.
Estimating and Timeboxing Topic 11 - 11.5
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What did you have in mind?
Estimating and Timeboxing Topic 11 - 11.6
Do this individually, with no discussion ...
Estimate howlong it would take for me to make a given journey
Group Exercise
Estimating
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Estimate how long it would take for me to make a given journey.
Topic 11 Estimating and Timeboxing Agile Development
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Estimating and Timeboxing Topic 11 - 11.7
Estimating
Estimating Exercise
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Estimating and Timeboxing Topic 11 - 11.8
The Estimating Process
There are a number of distinct steps:
- Estimate the effort required
- Adjust the effort for environmental factors
- Identify the products and their inter-dependencies
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Identify the products and their inter dependencies
- Schedule the product deliveries and allocate resource
- Adjust the schedule in the light of known constraints
Estimating and Timeboxing Topic 11 - 11.9
Factors Affecting an Estimate
Size of task
Complexity
Quality required
Productivityof people
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Productivity of people
Availability of resource
Experience of people
Topic 11 Estimating and Timeboxing Agile Development
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Estimating and Timeboxing Topic 11 - 11.10
Who Estimates?
The team estimates!
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Estimating and Timeboxing Topic 11 - 11.11
The Estimating Approaches
Approaches may be top-down or bottom up and
may include:
- task based
- product based
- algorithmic
l ith i
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- non-algorithmic
- analogy
- expert judgement
- standard ratios
- function point analysis
USE MORE THAN ONE APPROACH!
Estimating and Timeboxing Topic 11 - 11.12
Why are estimates wrong?
Inexperience of estimating
Doing something that has not been done
before
Inadequate techniques
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Optimistic assumptions
Wrong person making estimates
Lack of information
Topic 11 Estimating and Timeboxing Agile Development
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Estimating and Timeboxing Topic 11 - 11.13
Estimates improve
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Estimating and Timeboxing Topic 11 - 11.14
Estimating in the DSDM Atern Lifecycle
Outline
Plan
Delivery
Plan
Timebox
Plan(s)
Less Less
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Do not go into
requirements
detail too early
Do not be held
hostage to early
estimates
More
Requirement
Detail
Estimate
Accuracy
More
Can be out
by a factor
of 4 at the start!!
Typically <10
requirements
Typically <100
requirements
Typically >100
requirements
Estimating and Timeboxing Topic 11 - 11.15
Agree to what you believe you can do
Estimating
Set realistic objectives!
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Then honour your commitments!
Topic 11 Estimating and Timeboxing Agile Development
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Estimating and Timeboxing Topic 11 - 11.16
What is a Timebox?
A timebox is a fixed period of time,
at the end of which an objective has been met.
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The time available dictates work done
The aim of a timebox is to make something useful
A timebox is product-focused, not task-focused
Estimating and Timeboxing Topic 11 - 11.17
Creative people in many walks of life have a deadline.
A magazine writer, television producer or seminar developer
creates material for a certain date ...
James Martin
The Mindset for Timeboxing
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... Whatever else happens,
they must not fail to meet the deadline.
Estimating and Timeboxing Topic 11 - 11.18
The Delivery Plan Delivery
Deadline
Deployment Foundati ons
Feasibility
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Increment Timebox
Development
Timebox
Development
Timebox
Development
Timebox
Many different Deployments and different mixes of Exploration / Engineering are possible
Project Timebox
Topic 11 Estimating and Timeboxing Agile Development
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Estimating and Timeboxing Topic 11 - 11.19
Size of a Development Timebox
15 days?
8 weeks?
12 weeks?
How large should it be?
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12 weeks?
16 weeks?
10 30 days
(2 - 6 weeks)
Estimating and Timeboxing Topic 11 - 11.20
Timeboxing
Must Have approximately 60% of effort
Should Have approximately 20% of effort
Could Have approximately 20%of effort
As a rule of thumb, within timeboxes within an increment:
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Could Have approximately 20% of effort
The estimated effort in the Must Haves should never be
above 75% (except in rewrites of well-documented
systems).
Estimating and Timeboxing Topic 11 - 11.21
Outline Plan created in Feasibility
Delivery Plan created in Foundations
Planning The Project
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Delivery Plan created in Foundations,
showing timeboxes within the increment
Timebox Plans showing detailed activities within timeboxes,
to monitor progress within timeboxes
Deployment Plan outlined in Outline and Delivery Plans,
created during Exploration and Engineering
Topic 11 Estimating and Timeboxing Agile Development
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Estimating and Timeboxing Topic 11 - 11.22
Timebox Plans
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Estimating and Timeboxing Topic 11 - 11.23
Timebox Planning - a suggestion
What we need to know
ID
MoSCoW
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Size
Who (Resources)
Dependency
Requirement Name
Estimating and Timeboxing Topic 11 - 11.24
Summary
How do we estimate?
The estimating process
Estimatingin the DSDMAtern Lifecycle
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Estimating in the DSDM Atern Lifecycle
What is a timebox?
Planning the project
Topic 11 Estimating and Timeboxing Agile Development
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Estimating and Timeboxing Topic 11 - 11.25
Topic 11 Estimating and Timeboxing
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