Tools for a Flood Resilient Waterfront 9/13/2013

Local and Regional Options for Energy and Climate Change Resiliency
1
Kristin Marcell
NYS DEC Hudson River Estuary Program/Cornell WRI
Planning for Sea-level Rise
Climate Change in NYS
Increasing temperatures
Changing precipitation patterns
Rising sea levels
Tools for a Flood Resilient Waterfront 9/13/2013
Local and Regional Options for Energy and Climate Change Resiliency
2
NYS 2100 Commission
Report (2012)
NYS Sea Level Rise Task
Force Report (2010)
Responding to Climate
Change in NYS /
ClimAID (2011)
Climate Action Plan
Interim
Report (2010)
NYS Climate Change Reports
1
Shown is the central range (middle 67%) of values frommodel-based probabilities rounded to the nearest inch.
2
The rapid ice melt scenario is based on acceleration of recent rates of ice melt in the Greenland and West
Antarctic Ice sheets and paleoclimate studies.
2020s 2050s 2080s 2100
Mid-Hudson and Capital Region
Sea Level Rise
1
1 to 4" 5 to 9" 8 to 18" 11 to 26"
Sea Level Rise
2
4 to 9" 17 to 26" 37 to 50" 52 to 68"
Rapid Ice Melt
Lower Hudson Valley, Long Island, New York City
Sea Level Rise
1
2 to 5" 7 to 12" 12 to 23" 15 to 30"
Sea Level Rise
2
5 to 10" 19 to 29" 41 to 55" 56 to 72"
Rapid Ice Melt
Tools for a Flood Resilient Waterfront 9/13/2013
Local and Regional Options for Energy and Climate Change Resiliency
3
Todays Flood Is
Tomorrows High Tide
Flooding Impacts on the Kingston Waterfront
2005, 2011, 2012
2012 debris line
http://www.scenichudson.org
/slr/mapper
Scenic Hudsons
Sea Level Rise
Mapper
Tools for a Flood Resilient Waterfront 9/13/2013
Local and Regional Options for Energy and Climate Change Resiliency
4
Flooding Adaptation Strategies
Do Nothing
Fortify
Accommodate
Strategically Relocate
Strategic Retreat
Park Buffer
Elevate Land
Floodwall
Seawall
Living Shoreline
Beaches &
Dunes
Multi-purpose Levee
Levee/Dike
Groin Field
Breakwater
Wetland Restoration
Artificial Reef
Barrier Island Creation
Floating Islands Surge Barrier
Polder
http://www.nyc.gov/html/dcp/pdf/sustainable_communities/urban_waterfront_print.pdf
Tools for a Flood Resilient Waterfront 9/13/2013
Local and Regional Options for Energy and Climate Change Resiliency
5
Design Considerations for Sea-level Rise
What will the shore look like in 50 years? 100 years?
How could use of the site change over time as water levels rise?
Are there wetlands or submerged vegetation that will need to migrate inland
over time to survive?
How will shoreline and land use decisions now play out? Will some shoreline
treatments limit options in the future?