NORMINGTON, PETTS & ASSOCIATES

FINAL
NPA2798
Oct 6-8, 2014
Maine
Hello, my name is ______________ and I'm calling from IA a national public opinion research firm. We are not trying to sell
you anything. We're conducting a survey today in Maine on a number of public issues and your telephone number was
selected at random. According to the research procedure, could I speak to the member of the household who is 18 years of
age or older with the nearest upcoming birthday?
A.

Are you registered to vote at this address? [IF YES] How are you registered, as a DEMOCRAT, a REPUBLICAN,
an INDEPENDENT or something else?
YES: DEMOCRAT ............................................ 37%
YES: REPUBLICAN .......................................... 32
YES: INDEPENDENT ....................................... 28
YES: SOMETHING ELSE ................................... 4
YES: DONT KNOW ......................... TERMINATE
NO/DON'T KNOW ............................ TERMINATE

B.

On November 4 , there will be a general election in Maine for Governor, Congress and other offices. How likely
would you say you are to vote in the election in November? Will you DEFINITELY VOTE, PROBABLY VOTE, are
the CHANCES 50-50, will you PROBABLY NOT VOTE or will you DEFINITELY NOT VOTE?

th

DEFINITELY VOTE .......................................... 90%

PROBABLY VOTE ............................................ 10
50-50 ................................................ TERMINATE
PROBABLY NOT VOTE .................. TERMINATE
DEFINITELY NOT VOTE ................. TERMINATE
(DONT KNOW) ............................... TERMINATE
C.

As you may know, Maine allows early voting. Which of the following comes closer to what you will dowill you vote
th
on Election Day, November 4 , or will you vote early before Election Day?
ELECTION DAY ................................................ 81%
EARLY, BEFORE ELECTION .......................... 17
(DONT KNOW/REFUSED) ................................ 2

1.

Would you say things in Maine today are generally headed in the RIGHT DIRECTION or would you say things are
off on the WRONG TRACK?
RIGHT DIRECTION .......................................... 38%
WRONG TRACK ............................................... 50
(DON'T KNOW) ................................................. 12

2.

Now, I'm going to read you a list of public figures and I'd like you to tell me whether you have a FAVORABLE or
UNFAVORABLE opinion of each person using a scale that runs from 0 to 10.
A 0 on this scale means you have a VERY LOW OR VERY UNFAVORABLE opinion of that person.
A 10 on this scale means you have a VERY HIGH OR VERY FAVORABLE opinion of that person.
Now, you can use any number between 0 and 10 to tell me your opinion of each person. If you have never heard of
a name, or don't know enough to rate them, please just say so.
Very
Fav

Smwt
Fav

Ntrl

Smwt
Unfav

Very
Unfav

CR

NH

Total
Fav

Total
Unfav

Name
ID

a. Paul LePage

22%

20

17

33

<1

42%

50%

98%

b. Eliot Cutler

5%

23

24

23

10

12

29%

33%

85%

c. Mike Michaud

18%

32

12

19

14

50%

33%

95%

NORMINGTON, PETTS & ASSOCIATES

3.

NPA2774

Maine

If the general election for Governor were held today and the candidates were: [RANDOMIZE]

Mike Michaud, the Democrat

Paul LePage, the Republican
Eliot Cutler, the Independent

for whom would you vote? [IF UNDECIDED] Well, toward whom do you lean?

SKIP TO Q5 !

MICHAUD ......................................................... 38%

(LEAN MICHAUD) .............................................. 4
LePAGE ............................................................ 37
(LEAN LePAGE) ................................................. 3
CUTLER ............................................................ 11
(LEAN CUTLER) ................................................. 2
(OTHER) ........................................................... <1
(UNDECIDED) .................................................... 6
TOTAL MICHAUD ............................................. 41%
TOTAL LePAGE ............................................... 39%
TOTAL CUTLER ............................................... 13%

4.

How certain are you to support [CHOICE ON Q3]? Are you ABSOLUTELY CERTAIN, SOMEWHAT CERTAIN or
NOT REALLY CERTAIN AT ALL?
MICHAUD ............................ 41%
ABSOLUTELY CERTAIN ..... 29
SOMEWHAT CERTAIN ....... 11
NOT REALLY CERTAIN ........ 1
(DONT KNOW) .................... <1

5.

LePAGE ............................... 39%

ABSOLUTELY CERTAIN ..... 32
SOMEWHAT CERTAIN.......... 7
NOT REALLY CERTAIN ........ 1
(DONT KNOW) ...................... 0

Now, Id like to ask you a slightly different question. Regardless of who you are now supporting in the general
election for Governor, Id like you to tell me whether you WOULD or WOULD NOT consider voting for each of the
following candidates: [READ NAME]

[RANDOMIZE]
WOULD
a. Paul LePage ................................................................................................ 45%
b. Mike Michaud ............................................................................................... 54%
c. Eliot Cutler ................................................................................................... 39%
6.

WOULD NOT
52
41
52

[DK]
3
5
9

On a scale of EXCELLENT, GOOD, NOT SO GOOD or POOR how would you rate the job:

[RANDOMIZE]
EXLT
a. Paul LePage is doing as Governor ..................................15%
b. Mike Michaud is doing as a member of Congress ...........10%
7.

CUTLER ............................... 13%

ABSOLUTELY CERTAIN ....... 6
SOMEWHAT CERTAIN .......... 6
NOT REALLY CERTAIN ........ 1
(DONT KNOW) .................... <1

NOT SO
GOOD GOOD POOR
33
15
36
45
17
15

[DK]
2
13

TOTAL TOTAL
POS
NEG
48%
51%
55%
32%

Would you describe the state of Maines economy these days as EXCELLENT, GOOD, NOT SO GOOD or POOR?
EXCELLENT ....................................................... 1%
GOOD .............................................................. 25
NOT SO GOOD ................................................ 55
POOR ............................................................... 18
(DON'T KNOW) ................................................... 1
TOTAL POSITIVE ............................................. 26%
TOTAL NEGATIVE ........................................... 73%

[READ]: Now Id like to ask a few questions for statistical purposes only.
100.

SEX (OBSERVATION: DO NOT ASK)

MALE ................................................................ 48%
FEMALE ............................................................ 52

NORMINGTON, PETTS & ASSOCIATES

101.

NPA2798

Maine

What is your age? (RECORD IN PROPER CATEGORY) (READ CODES IF NECESSARY)

18-29 ................................................................... 5%
30-34 ................................................................... 3
35-39 ................................................................... 8
40-44 ................................................................. 10
45-49 ................................................................... 9
50-54 ................................................................. 12
55-59 ................................................................. 12
60-64 ................................................................. 11
65-69 ................................................................... 9
70+ .................................................................... 17
(REFUSED) ........................................................ 4

102.

What is the last grade you completed in school?

SOME GRADE SCHOOL (1-8) ........................... 1%
SOME HIGH SCHOOL (9-11) ............................. 2
GRADUATED HIGH SCHOOL ......................... 26
TECHNICAL/VOCATIONAL ............................... 3
SOME COLLEGE ............................................. 17
GRADUATED COLLEGE ................................. 27
GRADUATE/PROFESSIONAL ......................... 20
(DONT KNOW/REFUSED) ................................ 3

103.

When it comes to politics, do you generally consider yourself to be a DEMOCRAT, a REPUBLICAN, or an

INDEPENDENT?
STRONG DEMOCRAT ..................................... 18%
WEAK DEMOCRAT .......................................... 10
IND/LEAN DEMOCRAT .................................... 17
INDEPENDENT ................................................ 14
IND/LEAN REPUBLICAN ................................. 11
WEAK REPUBLICAN ......................................... 9
STRONG REPUBLICAN ................................... 19
(DONT KNOW) .................................................. 3
TOTAL WITH LEANS
DEMOCRAT ..................................................... 45%
INDEPENDENT ................................................ 17%
REPUBLICAN ................................................... 38%
TOTAL WITHOUT LEANS
DEMOCRAT ..................................................... 28%
INDEPENDENT ................................................ 45%
REPUBLICAN ................................................... 27%

104.

Do you or does anyone in your household belong to a labor union?

YES - RESPONDENT BELONGS ..................... 9%
YES - HOUSEHOLD MEMBER .......................... 5
YES - BOTH ........................................................ 2
NO ..................................................................... 81
(DON'T KNOW/REFUSED) ................................ 4

105.

Do you or do you not, consider yourself to be Franco American?

YES ................................................................... 15%
NO ..................................................................... 79
(DONT KNOW) .................................................. 6

106.

Thinking in political terms, would you say that you are VERY LIBERAL, SOMEWHAT LIBERAL, MODERATE,
SOMEWHAT CONSERVATIVE or VERY CONSERVATIVE?
VERY LIBERAL ................................................ 13%
SOMEWHAT LIBERAL ..................................... 18
MODERATE ...................................................... 25
SOMEWHAT CONSERVATIVE ........................ 21
VERY CONSERVATIVE ................................... 16
(DON'T KNOW) ................................................... 7

NORMINGTON, PETTS & ASSOCIATES

107.

NPA2798

Maine

Just two more questions. When it comes to the issue of abortion, do you generally think of yourself as PROCHOICE or do you generally think of yourself as PRO-LIFE? And would you say you are STRONGLY [PROCHOICE/PRO-LIFE] or do you lean [PRO-CHOICE/PRO-LIFE]?
STRONGLY PRO-CHOICE .............................. 45%
LEAN PRO-CHOICE ......................................... 11
LEAN PRO-LIFE ............................................... 10
STRONGLY PRO-LIFE ..................................... 20
(BOTH) ................................................................ 3
(NEITHER) .......................................................... 3
(DONT KNOW/REFUSED) ................................ 7

Thank you for taking the time to complete this interview.