Você está na página 1de 19

November 2014

The Wealth of Households:


An Analysis of the 2013 Survey of
Consumer Finances
By David Rosnick and Dean Baker*

Center for Economic and Policy Researc h


1611 Connecticut Ave. NW
Suite 400
Washington, DC 20009

tel: 202-293-5380
fax: 202-588-1356
www.cepr. net

* David Rosnick is an economist at the Center for Economic and Policy Research, in Washington D.C. Dean Baker is a Co-director and
economist at CEPR.

Contents
Executive Summary.......................................................................................................................... 1
Introduction ..................................................................................................................................... 2
Net Wealth of Near-Retirees: 55-64 ................................................................................................. 2
Older Prime-Aged Workers: 45-54 ................................................................................................... 6
Mid-Career Workers: 35-44 .............................................................................................................. 9
Students and Young Workers: 18-34 ...............................................................................................11
Recent Retirees: 65-74 .....................................................................................................................14
Conclusion ......................................................................................................................................16
References.......................................................................................................................................17

Executive Summary
This paper presents data on the wealth of households by age cohort based on new data from the
2013 Survey of Consumer Finances (SCF). It shows that the upward redistribution of wealth
continued between 2010 and 2013. As a result, most households had less wealth in 2013 than they
did in 2010 and much less than in 1989, the first year examined. This is in spite of t he fact that
households were much less likely to have traditional defined-benefit pensions than in prior decades.
The data show that:
1) The median net wealth of near retirees (households headed by someone between the ages of
55-64) was $165,700 in 2013, down from $177,500 in 1989. (All numbers are in 2013
dollars.) The homeowners in the middle quintile among this age cohort had a 54.6 percent
equity stake in their homes in 2013, down from an 81.0 percent stake in 1989. Their nonhousing wealth in 2013 averaged $89,300, down from a peak of $160,700 in 2004.
2) The second quintile in this age group on average had a 31.6 percent equity stake in their
home. Their non-housing wealth averaged just $21,200.
3) The equity stake for middle quintile of older prime age workers (ages 45-54) averaged 35.9
percent in 2013, down from 72.2 percent in 1989. Their non-housing wealth averaged
$57,400.
4) The equity stake for the second quintile of older prime age workers averaged 11.2 percent.
This compares with an equity stake of 63.9 percent in 1989. Non-housing wealth for the
second quintile averaged $19,400.
5) The net wealth for the middle quintile of mid-career workers (ages 35-44) averaged $50,100
in 2013. This is down from $103,800 in 1989. The average housing equity for this group was
$23,200. That compares to $63,500 in 1989.
6) The average net worth among the middle quintile of students and young workers (ages 18 34) was 11,000 in 2013. This is down from a peak of $19,600 in 1995. The bottom quintile
among this age group had net debt averaging $35,400, most of which was student loan debt.
7) The average net wealth among the middle quintile of recent retirees was $239,300. This is up
from $142,900 in 1989, but more than 10 percent below the peak of $270,700 hit in 2007.
On the whole, the SCF shows a picture in which most households are seeing a deterioration of their
wealth status. This is of greatest concern for near retirees, most of whom cannot count on a
traditional defined-benefit pension. The situation is not notably better for younger workers, but with
more time until retirement, there is more hope that their income and wealth prospects will improve.

The Wealth of Households: An Analysis of the 2013 Survey of Consumer Finance

Introduction
This paper presents a brief analysis of the data in the recently released 2013 Survey of Consumer
Finances (SCF). The SCF is conducted every three years by the Federal Reserve Board and presents
the most thorough analysis of wealth of any government data set.
Between 1989 and 2013, mean household net worth rose 54 percentfrom $342,300 to $528,400.
However, these gains are exaggerated by the fact that the population of the United States was older
in 2013 than it was in 1989. Further, looking across the distribution of wealth it is clear that the gains
were not evenly received; median net worth fell over the 24-year periodfrom $85,100 in 1989 to
$81,400 in 2013. Finally, these numbers do not include the value of defined-benefit pensions, which
were much more common in 1989.
Taken together, the wealth numbers present a much more pessimistic view of economic progress in
the United States than the simple average suggests. In this paper, we observe the progression of
household net worth by quintile for various age groups.
In general, wealth grew from 1989 to 2007 and shrank thereafter, as the bubbles in residential and
commercial real estate burst, and the stock market fell. Though the stock market had nearly
recovered in inflation-adjusted terms to its 2007 peak, house prices had not. Thus, housing equity
rates for the highly leveraged households in the bottom three-fifths plummeted while residences
represented a much smaller share of assets among those with greater net wealth. This dynamic
helped increase the differences in wealth between the top and bottom.

Net Wealth of Near-Retirees: 55-64


Among households with heads aged 55-64, median net wealth fell from $177,500 in 1989 to
$165,700 in 2013. The average net wealth of the bottom 60 percent fell 23 percent with losses
heavily concentrated in the equity of their primary residences. Only 60 percent of the bottom threefifths of households owned their homes, and even they only averaged 39 percent equity. (The
corresponding figure for 1989 was 77 percent equity among the 69 percent who were homeowners
in that year.) This implies that these households will be paying off mortgages long into retirement, if
they stay in their homes.
Households in the middle quintile had on average a 54.6 percent equity stake in their homes. This
compared to an 81.0 percent equity stake in 1989. The equity stake for homeowners in the second
The Wealth of Households: An Analysis of the 2013 Survey of Consumer Finance

quintile was on average 31.6 percent in 2013, down from 71.6 percent in 1989. Homeowners in the
bottom quintile on average had negative equity. In 1989 they had a 33.1 percent stake, which had
risen to 47.1 percent in 1992.
FIGURE 1A
Equity Stake for Middle Quintile Each Year, Ages 55-64
90

81.0

80

74.6

73.8
67.6

70

71.0

70.0

69.1
59.2

Percent

60

54.6

50
40

30
20
10
0

1989

1992

1995

1998

2001

2004

2007

2010

2013

Source: Federal Reserve Survey of Consumer Finan ces (various years) and authors' calculations.
FIGURE 1B
Equity Stake for Each Quintile in 2013, Ages 55-64
80

73.1
54.6

Percent

60
40

31.6

20
0

-20

-19.2

-40

Bottom 20

20-40

Percentiles

40-60

Top 40

Source: Federal Reserve Survey of Consumer Finan ces (2013) and authors' calcu lations.

Net wealth outside of equity in primary residences for families in the middle quintile was $89,300 in
2013. This was up from $62,800 in 1989, but down by almost 45 percent from the peak of $160,700
in 2004. The most recent figure would be sufficient for an annuity of roughly $400 a month. The
second quintile had an average of $21,200, down by almost a third from its $31,000 level in 1989 and
by almost 60 percent from its peak in 2004 of $50,200. The bottom quintile had average nonhousing net worth of negative $10,500. This group had modest positive wealth until 2010. Only one in
six households in the bottom quintile had any private defined-benefit pension.
The Wealth of Households: An Analysis of the 2013 Survey of Consumer Finance

FIGURE 2A
Average Net Worth Outside Primary Residence of Middle Quintile in Each Year , Ages 55-64
180
160.7

Thousands of 2013 Dollars

160
140

136.1

127.7

120

107.9

105.1

100

100.6

89.8

80

89.3

62.8

60
40
20

0
1989

1992

1995

1998

2001

2004

2007

2010

2013

Source: Federal Reserve Survey of Consumer Finan ces (various years) and authors' calculations.
FIGURE 2B
Average Net Worth Outside Primary Residence of Each Quintile in 2013, Ages 55-64
1,800

1575.3

Thousands of 2013 Dollars

1,600
1,400
1,200
1,000

800
600
400
200

89.3

21.2

0
-200

-10.5
Bottom 20

20-40

Percentiles

40-60

Top 40

Source: Federal Reserve Survey of Consumer Finan ces (2013) and authors' calcu lations.

By contrast, the wealthiest 5 percent of households with heads aged 55-64 fared much better. With
an average net worth of $9.2 million, this group saw wealth fall over the course of the Great
Recessiondown from $11.8 million in 2007. However, compared to average wealth of $5.5 million
in 1989, they saw an increase of 66 percent in 2013. Furthermore, 31 percent of households at the
top had defined-benefit pensions, compared to 26 percent 24 years earlier.
Figure 2c shows the change in wealth from 1989 to 2013 by quintile, with the top 5 percent broken
out separately. As can be seen, those at the middle of the income distribution and below saw
The Wealth of Households: An Analysis of the 2013 Survey of Consumer Finance

declines in wealth, with the wealth of the bottom quintile turning negative. By contrast, those higher
up the wealth ladder had substantial gains, with the wealth of the top 5 percent rising by 66.0
percent over this period. It is important to remember that these numbers exclude defined benefit
pensions, which were less common in 2013 than in 1989. As a result, the gains would be lower or
losses larger than indicated in Figure 2c, with the impact likely greatest near the middle of the
distribution. These households often had pensions at the start of this period and their value likely
would have been large relative to their total wealth.
FIGURE 2C
Change in wealth, 1989-2013: Ages 55-64
100%

66.0%
27.6%

31.5%

40-60
60-80
Percentiles

80-95

0%

-3.6%
-41.8%

-100%
-200%
-300%

-400%
-423.1%

-500%
0-20

20-40

95-100

Source: Federal Reserve Survey of Consumer Finan ces (2013) and authors' calcu lations.
FIGURE 3A
Net Worth for Mi ddle Quintile in Each Year, Ages 55-64

Thousands of 2013 Dollars

350

319.3

289.8

300
237.3

250
200

175.3

184.6

181.9

1992

1995

199.5

197.7

168.9

150
100

50
0
1989

1998

2001

2004

2007

2010

2013

Source: Federal Reserve Survey of Consumer Finan ces (various years) and authors' calculations.

The Wealth of Households: An Analysis of the 2013 Survey of Consumer Finance

FIGURE 3B
Net Worth by Quintile in 2013, Ages 55-64
Thousands of 2013 Dollars

2,000

1888.8

1,500

1,000

500
168.9

43.4

0
-16.0
-500
Bottom 20

20-40

Percentiles

40-60

Top 40

Source: Federal Reserve Survey of Consumer Finan ces (2013) and authors' calcu lations.

Older Prime-Aged Workers: 45-54


In 1989, the median net wealth of $177,300 for households headed by those aged 45-54 was close to
the $177,500 for those aged 55-64. With younger households having lower rates of defined-benefit
pensions, these families should have seen over the next 24 years more rapid growth in net wealth
than the older households. However, by 2013 their median had fallen 41 percent to $105,400,
including a 16 percent fall from 2010-2013.
This fall in net worth was primarily attributable to a drop in the equity stake for homeowners in the
middle quintile, from 72.2 percent in 1989 to just 35.9 percent in 2013. There was also a decline in
the homeownership rate among this group, from 95.2 percent in 1989 to 85.5 percent in 2013. The
equity stake for homeowners in the second wealth quintile of this age group was just 11.2 percent in
2013, down from 63.9 percent in 1989. The bottom quintile had negative equity averaging 21.5
percent in 2013.

The Wealth of Households: An Analysis of the 2013 Survey of Consumer Finance

FIGURE 4A
Equity Stake for Middle Quintile Each Year, Ages 45-54
80

72.2

70
60.2

Percent

60

55.4

50.9

52.1

50

49.7

53.4

40.8
35.9

40
30
20
10

0
1989

1992

1995

1998

2001

2004

2007

2010

2013

Source: Federal Reserve Survey of Consumer Finan ces (various years) and authors' calculations.
FIGURE 4B
Equity Stake for Each Quintile in 2013, Ages 45-54
58.4

60

Percent

40

35.9

20

11.2

-20
-21.5

-40
Bottom 20

20-40

40-60

Top 40

Percentiles

Source: Federal Reserve Survey of Consumer Finan ces (2013) and authors' calcu lations.

Equity outside of housing wealth was also down sharply for the bottom three quintiles. For the
middle quintile it averaged $57,400 in 2013, down from $74,600 in 1989. This was down by more
than 40 percent from a peak of $99,200 in 2001. The second quintile in this age group had nonhousing wealth of $19,400 in 2013, down from $25,400 in 1989 and a peak of $32,600 in 2004. The
bottom quintile had negative non-housing wealth of $8,800, in contrast to modest positives in most
pre-crash years.

The Wealth of Households: An Analysis of the 2013 Survey of Consumer Finance

FIGURE 5A
Average Net Worth Outside Primary Residence of Middle Quintile in Each Year , Ages 45-54
99.2

100

95.8

Thousands of 2013 Dollars

86.5
80

79.8

74.6
68.7

64.9

61.1

57.4

60

40

20

1989

1992

1995

1998

2001

2004

2007

2010

2013

Source: Federal Reserve Survey of Consumer Finan ces (various years) and authors' calculations.
FIGURE 5B
Average Net Worth Outside Primary Residence of Each Quintile in 2013, Ages 45-54
1,200

Thousands of 2013 Dollars

1038.0

1,000
800

600
400

200
57.4

19.4
0

-8.8
-200

Bottom 20

20-40

40-60

Top 40

Percentiles

Source: Federal Reserve Survey of Consumer Finan ces (2013) and authors' calcu lations.

The position of the bottom quintile was much more precarious than that of the next two-fifths.
These households averaged $14,000 in net debt, and the 23 percent who owned their homes were on
average underwater by $22,500, compared to $18,400 net equity in 1989. Outside of primary
residences, the average net debt of households of the bottom fifth averaged $8,800, and only 15
percent had any private defined-benefit pension, down from 35 percent in 1989.

The Wealth of Households: An Analysis of the 2013 Survey of Consumer Finance

FIGURE 5C
Percent Change Average Net Worth Outside Primary Resi dence of Each Quintile, Ages 45-54, 1989-2013
100

-23.6

-100
Percent Change

26.9

16.1

-1.6

-23.1

-200
-300
-400
-500
-600
-700

-704.1
-800
Bottom 20

20-40

40-60

60-80

80-95

Top 5

Percentiles

Source: Federal Reserve Survey of Consumer Finan ces (2013) and authors' calcu lations.

Wealthier households in this age group also saw flat or falling net worth over the 24-year period.
The wealth of the 90 th-95th percentiles fell 8 percent to $1.2 million. As recently as 2010, this group
had an average net worth of $1.6 million.
By contrast, the average net worth of those in the top 5 percent grew by nearly one quarter since
1989from $5.0 million to $6.2 million.

Mid-Career Workers: 35-44


Median net worth for householders aged 35-44 grew slightly between 2010 and 2013some 4
percent, from $45,400 to $47,100 in 2013. Over the longer run, the median fell 54 percentthe
most rapid decline of any age group. The net worth for families in the middle quintile stood at just
$50,100, compared with a peak $103,900 in 2001. The net worth of families in the second quintile
averaged just $11,500 in 2013, down by more than two-thirds from the 1989 level of $34,600. The
bottom quintile had negative net wealth of $20,700 in 2013, an improvement from negative net wealth
of $27,800 in 2010, but considerably larger than the debt burden of $4,000 in 1989.

The Wealth of Households: An Analysis of the 2013 Survey of Consumer Finance

FIGURE 6A
Average Net Worth of Middle Quintile in Each Year, Ages 35-44
120
103.9

Thousands of 2013 Dollars

103.8
100

89.7

80

73.3

102.1
88.4

79.6

60

46.9

50.1

40

20
0
1989

1992

1995

1998

2001

2004

2007

2010

2013

Source: Federal Reserve Survey of Consumer Finan ces (various years) and authors' calculations.
FIGURE 6B
Average Net Worth of Each Quintile in 2013, Ages 35-44
1,000

Thousands of 2013 Dollars

848.0
800

600
400

200
50.1

11.5
0

-20.7
-200

Bottom 20

20-40

40-60

Top 40

Percentiles

Source: Federal Reserve Survey of Consumer Finan ces (2013) and authors' calcu lations.

Housing was the major factor in this loss of wealth. Average housing equity for the middle quintile
was $23,200 in 2013, down from $49,900 in 2007 and $63,500 in 1989. The second quintile averaged
just $900 in housing equity, compared with $13,900 in 1989. The bottom quintile averaged negative
equity of $5,300 in 2013, a modest improvement from negative equity averaging $7,600 in 2010.

The Wealth of Households: An Analysis of the 2013 Survey of Consumer Finance

10

FIGURE 7A
Housi ng Equity for Middle Quintile Each Year, Ages 35-44
70

63.5

Thousands of 2013 Dollars

60
49.9

49.5

50

43.8
37.4

40

36.6

34.9

30

23.2

20.9

20

10
0
1989

1992

1995

1998

2001

2004

2007

2010

2013

Source: Federal Reserve Survey of Consumer Finan ces (various years) and authors' calculations.
FIGURE 7B
Housi ng Equity for Each Qui ntile in 2013, Ages 35-44
Thousands of 2013 Dollars

180

163.3

150
120
90

60
23.2

30

0.9

0
-30

-5.3
Bottom 20

20-40

Percentiles

40-60

Top 40

Source: Federal Reserve Survey of Consumer Finan ces (2013) and authors' calcu lations.

At the top, however, net worth rose 59 percent between 2010 and 2013 and 84 percent since 1989,
to an average of $4.5 million. Home equity among the top 5 percent more than doubled, and other
net wealth climbed 79 percent over the 24-year period.

Students and Young Workers: 18-34


The bottom three-fifths in wealth for this age group never had much wealth. In 1989, their net
worth averaged only $3,300. By 2013, the bottom 60 percent averaged $7,700 in net debt. While the
real value of their assets did rise by nearly 50 percent over those 24 years, average debt burdens
more than doubled from $17,600 to $38,900. Chief among these debts were installment loans for
education. Education debt among the bottom three-fifths averaged only $1,900 in 1989, compared
to $16,300 in 2013.
The Wealth of Households: An Analysis of the 2013 Survey of Consumer Finance

11

FIGURE 8A
Average Net Worth of Middle Quintile in Each Year, Ages 18-34

Thousands of 2013 Dollars

25
19.6

20

18.3

16.4
15

16.4

14.4

14.5

14.3

10.4

11.0

2010

2013

10

1989

1992

1995

1998

2001

2004

2007

Source: Federal Reserve Survey of Consumer Finan ces (various years) and authors' calculations.
FIGURE 8B
Average Net Worth of Each Quintile in 2013, Ages 18-34

Thousands of 2013 Dollars

250
200.1

200
150
100

50

-50

11.0

1.2

-35.4
Bottom 20

20-40

Percentiles

40-60

Top 40

Source: Federal Reserve Survey of Consumer Finan ces (2013) and authors' calcu lations.

Thus, the rise of student loans accounted for more than two-thirds of the increase in overall debt,
and 130 percent of the fall in net worth. Obviously, those that took on large student debt were more
likely to find themselves with relatively low net worth. It should be noted that the household heads
in this group were hardly more educated than they were 24 years earlier, having 13.4 years of school,
compared to 12.7 in 1989. Those in the 80 th-95 th percentiles of net worth in 2013 were more
educated on average (14.5 years of school) and owed only $5,800 in student loans. This amounted to
27 percent of their non-mortgage debt, compared to 69 percent for the bottom 60 percent.

The Wealth of Households: An Analysis of the 2013 Survey of Consumer Finance

12

FIGURE 9A
Average Student Debt of Middle Quintile in Each Year, Ages 18-34
5

Thousands of 2013 Dollars

4.4
4

3.5

3.3

3
1.8

1.8

1.7
1.4

1.3

1998

2001

1.0

1989

1992

1995

2004

2007

2010

2013

Source: Federal Reserve Survey of Consumer Finan ces (various years) and authors' calculations.
FIGURE 9B
Average Student Debt of Each Quintile in 2013, Ages 18-34

Thousands of 2013 Dollars

45

42.7

40
35
30
25
20
15
10

6.7
3.0

3.3

0
Bottom 20

20-40

40-60

Top 40

Percentiles

Source: Federal Reserve Survey of Consumer Finan ces (2013) and authors' calcu lations.

For the top 5 percent, net worth increased 9 percent between 2010 and 2013, following a precipitous
decline between 2007 and 2010. Since 1989, the average net worth of the top 5 percent rose 3
percentfrom $988,700 to $1.0 million in 2013. In large part, the recent decline in net wealth for
this group was in housing. In six years, the average value of their primary residences fell by more
than a quarter of a million dollars.

The Wealth of Households: An Analysis of the 2013 Survey of Consumer Finance

13

Recent Retirees: 65-74


Median net worth for recent retirees rose 5 percent between 2010 and 2013. Their net worth saw
relatively steady gains over the last couple decades, with the median climbing 65 percent from 1989
to $232,100 in 2013.
FIGURE 10A
Average Net Worth of Middle Quintile in Each Year, Ages 65-74

Thousands of 2013 Dollars

300

270.7

250.1

250

242.7

229.8

215.0

200
142.9

150

158.2

239.3

171.8

100
50
0
1989

1992

1995

1998

2001

2004

2007

2010

2013

Source: Federal Reserve Survey of Consumer Finan ces (various years) and authors' calculations.
FIGURE 10B
Average Net Worth of Each Quintile in 2013, Ages 65-74
2,444.2

Thousands of 2013 Dollars

2,500
2,000
1,500

1,000
500

11.1
Bottom 20

239.3

96.8
20-40

Percentiles

40-60

Top 40

Source: Federal Reserve Survey of Consumer Finan ces (2013) and authors' calcu lations.

The rise in wealth over this period came in spite of the fact that this group saw a sharp drop in the
share of equity in their homes. For families in the middle quintile the equity share fell from 96.7
percent in 1989 to 73.6 percent in 2013. The equity share for the second quintile fell from 82.8
percent to 65.1 percent. For the bottom quintile the equity stake for homeowners plummeted from
73.7 percent in 1989 to just 10.9 percent in 2013.

The Wealth of Households: An Analysis of the 2013 Survey of Consumer Finance

14

FIGURE 10C
Average Equity Stake for Bottom Two Quintiles in Each Year, Ages 65-74
Bottom 20%

100

89.4
82.8

Percent

80

20-40%

73.7

78.1

60

75.0

54.2

70.9

70.7

68.2

59.2

55.7

65.1

59.0
51.6

48.7

40

28.7

20

10.9

0.7
0
1989

1992

1995

1998

2001

2004

2007

2010

2013

Source: Federal Reserve Survey of Consumer Finan ces (various years) and authors' calculations.

Fortunately, private defined-benefit pension rates for these retirees were relatively high, and in 2013
half of recent retirees in the bottom 60 percent of net wealth had some such pensionthe same
portion as in 1989. Their average income in 2013 stood at $38,900. This amount included, but was
not limited to, all private pensions, annuities, Social Security, and withdrawals from retirement
accounts.
FIGURE 10D
Percent Change Average Net Worth of Each Quintile, Ages 65-74, 1989-2013
120

Percent Change

100

101.1

95.8

108.3

79.2

80

67.5
56.0

60
40
20
0
Bottom 20

20-40

40-60
60-80
Percentiles

80-95

Top 5

Source: Federal Reserve Survey of Consumer Finan ces (various years) and authors' calculations.

Even so, for the bottom fifth of households, only 38 percent had any private defined-benefit
pension, they averaged $11,100 in net wealth, and only 46 percent owned their own home. Those
who did had only 11 percent equityso on average the bottom 20 percent still owed 95 percent of

The Wealth of Households: An Analysis of the 2013 Survey of Consumer Finance

15

the value of their residences and yet received only $27,300 in income. It would be difficult to
understate the importance of Social Security and Medicare to these households.
At the other end of the spectrum, the top 5 percent of households aged 65-74 averaged $11.8
million of net worth in 2013up 20 percent since 2010 and largely reversing a 23 percent fall
between 2007 and 2010. Since 1989, the net worth of the top twentieth was up 108 percent. These
households had average annual income of $706,700, or about 6 percent of net worth. Since 1992,
they saw income generally in the range of 5-6 percent of net worth. By contrast, households in the
bottom 60 percent were more dependent on defined-benefit pensions and claimed income in the
range of 30-35 percent of average net worth.

Conclusion
Consistent with other data, the 2013 SCF shows a picture of the economy where the bulk of the
benefits are going to those at the top of the income distribution. The situation is perhaps most
disturbing for near retirees, since there is little prospect that their wealth situation will appreciably
improve before they reach retirement. This is a cohort that will be very heavily dependent on Social
Security since most have little wealth outside of their homes, substantial debt still left on their
mortgage, and no private defined benefit pension to provide additional support. The situation of
older prime age workers (45-54) is not notably better, but there is a longer period in which an
improving economy may brighten their outlook.

The Wealth of Households: An Analysis of the 2013 Survey of Consumer Finance

16

References
Federal Reserve Board. Survey of Consumer Finances Washington, DC: Federal Reserve.
Accessed September 2014: http://www.federalreserve.gov/econresdata/scf/scfindex.htm

The Wealth of Households: An Analysis of the 2013 Survey of Consumer Finance

17

Você também pode gostar