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Purpose: To provide an alternative aflatoxin-sampling plan for the almond industry with
an equivalent sensitivity to that currently being used in the European Union (EU). EU
Regulation (EC) No. 401/2006 was used as the guideline for lot size and sample
frequency. The voluntary sampling plan is designed to reduce lots rejected in the EU
market. Sampling for other markets is encouraged, but optional.
• What is an OC curve? The buyers’ risk (bad lots accepted) and sellers’ risk (good
lots rejected) can be predicted based on OC curves. The curves were developed by
determining the variability and distributional characteristics among almond samples
contaminated with aflatoxin. By specifying sample size, number of samples, and
accept/reject levels, the two risks mentioned above can be determined for each
shipment. In general, larger and more frequent samples are more effective in reducing
the buyers’ risk than smaller samples. The OC curves demonstrate how sampling
plans can alter sample size and accept limits, but still be statistically equivalent to the
EU’s protocol. The VASP sampling plan which has been developed is statistically
equivalent to the EU protocol, but uses a smaller sample (15 kg instead of 30 kg) and
a more stringent accept/reject level.
Figure #1 shows how curve # 3 (VASP) closely parallels curve # 5 (EU plan) The
distribution study and subsequent development of the sampling plan was accomplished
by Dr. Tom Whitaker, USDA/Agricultural Research Service located in Raleigh, North
Carolina. Dr. Whitaker is well known throughout the world for developing statistical
sampling plans for aflatoxin analyses for a variety of crops.
70
#3 - 3x5 kg <= 2 ng/g
60 #4 - 4x5 kg <= 2 ng/g
#5 - 3x10 kg <= 4 ng/g
50 Tolerance
40
30
#3 #2 #1
20
#4 #5
10
0
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40
Lot Aflatoxin Concentration (ng/g)
Dr. Whitaker has further defined the variability associated with the entire aflatoxin
analysis from start to finish into 3 major components. The percentage of the total
variability occurs as follows: sampling is 96.2%, sample preparation is 3.6% and
analytical analysis variability is 0.2%. Since the majority of the variability is in the
sampling, attention was focused on the development of a realistic sampling plan that
could be readily implemented by the industry.
USDA has conducted a tremendous amount of research on aflatoxin, and along with
industry data, the correlation of insect damage to aflatoxin is highly documented. In 2001
Dr. Tom Schatzki, of the USDA Western Regional Research Center, published a paper
titled “Dependence of Aflatoxin in Almonds on the Type and Amount of Insect Damage”
(see Attachment 1). A thorough literature search in 2004 conducted by Dr. Bob Sacher,
in a project funded by the Almond Board of California (ABC), reached the same
conclusion (see Attachment 2).
The VASP sampling plan is based on this research and industry data which clearly shows
USDA graded items are the lowest risk for aflatoxin. As initially developed, VASP
focused primarily on consignments which exceeded USDA minimum grades (e.g. ≥ 2%
serious damage). However, in January 2007, the EU proposed “special measures” be
applied to California almonds imported into the EU. This was the result of a Food
and Veterinary Office (FVO) mission which concluded that the aflatoxin control
system for California almonds was inadequate. The EU measures require 100%
surveillance, meaning that every consignment imported from the U.S. will be tested
for aflatoxin. California almonds that have been tested under the VASP protocol
prior to shipment, and accompanied by a uniform VASP certificate, will be subject
to 5% surveillance. Therefore, VASP will require testing of all lots destined for the
EU.
Revised 01/09/07 2
Sampling Plan: This document only addresses the sampling plan for shipments destined
for the EU; however, handlers are encouraged to apply the plan to shipments for other
markets.
Almond shipments destined for the EU will have to be tested by taking an aggregate
sample totaling 15 kg. The aggregate sample will be divided into three 5 kg sub-samples;
when analyzed, each sub-sample must be ≤ 2 ppb total aflatoxin for the lot to be
accepted. The VASP plan provides for the designation of a lot which failed the standards
for the EU to be shipped to other markets – provided the lots do not exceed the specific
market’s tolerance. Failed lots may also be reprocessed (e.g. manual or electronic
sorting, blanching) to remove the serious damage and then be retested to determine if
they comply with EU or other market requirements. Figure # 2 provides a flow diagram
of the VASP decision process. This is the minimum requirement, more robust
sampling plans, such as following the EU’s protocol of 30kg sample is acceptable.
• Sampling Manufactured Items follows the same protocol as above. Research has
shown that reprocessing such as sorting (electronic and manual) and blanching will
reduce aflatoxin contamination..
Lot Size/Sublot: The VASP plan focused on a day’s production run or a container load.
The EU definition of a lot is “an identifiable quantity of a food commodity delivered at
one time and determined by the official to have common characteristic such as origin,
variety, type of packaging, packer, consignor or markings. Based on this requirement, if
each container is sampled according to the VASP plan, it will be consistent with this
regulation.
Revised 01/09/07 3
Analytical Analysis: Each of the 5 kg samples is individually ground and presented for
analytical analysis. Grinding should be accomplished by a method which not only
reduces the particle size but also is effective in thoroughly mixing the particles to a
homogenous grind. No specific method or laboratory is specified; however, for a VASP
certificate to be issued for a shipment to Europe, analyses must be done by a USDA-
approved laboratory, following specific analytical parameters and procedures which are
consistent with EU Regulation (EC) No. 401/2006, annex II, section 4.3. Analysis results
must be documented on the VASP certificate.
Voluntary Program: In order to monitor the impact of the VASP program and compare
results with European surveillance, handlers who participate in the VASP program will
be asked to sign a Memorandum of Understanding (MOU) agreeing to follow the testing
and sampling protocols of the program. As part of the agreement handlers agree to allow
the Almond Board staff to periodically review records to ensure that the handler is
performing in accordance with the agreement.
Revised 01/09/07 4
Figure #2
Figure # 1
EU
EU
3 X 5 KG
Reprocess**
@ 2 ppb Total
All 3 < =
2 ppb Total No
Aflatoxin*
NOTES:
Yes * Each of the 3 individual samples has to be less
than or equal to 2 ppb total aflatoxin. If one
sample is greater than 2 ppb total aflatoxin the
entire lot fails eventhough the other 2 tests are
less than 2ppb total aflatoxin .
Ship EU
Revised 1/9/07
Revised 01/09/07 5
Figure #3
Figure # 2
3
2
1
5
4
9
8
7
9 5
8 4
3
10 2 7
1 6
Bin
Revised 4/28/06
Revised 01/09/07 6