Escolar Documentos
Profissional Documentos
Cultura Documentos
Outline of Talk
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Energy Content
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Power Generation
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1997-98
1997-98
Wind
1.0%
Gas
8.7%
Coal
62.7%
Nuclear
2.5%
Hydro
24.6%
(Million Tonnes)
Oil
660
33.86 19 (9)
692
26.4
(Million Tonnes)
N.Gas
26
Billion m3
Nuclear Nat U
~50
Data Source TEDDY
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Electricity
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Electricity Sector
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Demand, MW
11000
10260 MW
9892 MW
10000
9000
8000
morning
peak
Evening
peak
7000
6000
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
Time hours
300000
250000
200000
150000
100000
50000
1950
1960
1970
1980
Year
1990
2000
S
e
500
400
300
200
Total
100
H y d ro
0
1960
1970
1980
Year
1990
2000
5000
4000
3000
2000
1000
0
1960
1965
1970
1975
1980
Year
1985
1990
1995
2000
CO2 g/kWh
Coal Conventional 960 -1300
800-860
Advanced Coal
Source: John Holdren
690-870
Oil
460-1230 Kirk Smith, World Energy
Gas
9-100
Nuclear
Assessment, UNDP,2001
37-166
Biomass
30-150
PV
2-410
Hydro-electric
11-75
Wind
Non-Renewable
n
n
IC Engine- diesel
IC Engine- Natural
gas
Micro-turbineNatural gas
PEM fuel cellreformer - Natural
gas
Renewable
n
n
Wind Turbine
Solar Photovoltaic
(PV)
Biomass GasifierGas Engine
Bagasse Cogeneration
Comparison
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Annualised Life Cycle Costs (ALCC) annual cost of owning and operating
equipment
ALCC = C0 CRF(d,n) + AC f + AC O&M
CRF (d,n) =[ d(1+d)n]/[(1+d)n-1]
discount rate d, Life n years, C0 Capital
Cost,AC f , AC O&M , annual cost - fuel and
O&M
Definition
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n
n
Op
tion
Diesel
Capital Co
st Life
(Rs
/kW)
O&M
cost
Rs/kWh
($530/kW)
25000 20 40
% 0.25
Ga
sEng
ine 33000 20 35
% 0.25
Micro 45000 20 28
% 0.25
Turb
ine
FuelCell 14100010 45
% 0.25
Discoun
trate d=0
.1,
3
Na
tural gas pr
ice= s5200/1000
R sm
3
Diesel price=Rs16
/lit
re, dens
ity= 850
kg
/m,
LHV9700
= cal/kkg
($700/kW)
($960/kW)
($3000/kW)
Cost of Generation
9
15 c/kWh
7
Rs/kWh
10 c/kWh
Rs/kWh
0
0
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
Load Factor
Figure 2. Cost of Generation from Diesel Engine-Generator (d=0.1)
0.6
0.7
0.8
0.9
50000
$960/kW/year
45000
40000
35000
30000
Diesel
Gas Engine
25000
MicroTurbine
Fuel Cell
20000
15000
10000
$110/kW/year
5000
0
0
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.6
0.7
Load Factor
Figure 1. Comparison of Annualised Life Cycle Costs for Non Renewables (Discount rate =10%)
0.8
0.9
$960/kW/year
45000
40000
35000
30000
25000
Diesel
Gas Engine
MicroTurbine
20000
15000
10000
$110/kW/year
5000
0
0
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
Load Factor
Figure 3 Comparison of non-renewable options (High discount rate 30%)
0.6
0.7
0.8
0.9
Small
Hydro
Solar
Wind
Biomass /
Biogas
Ocean Thermal
Energy
Solar Thermal
Solar
Photovoltaic
Tidal
Energy
Wave
Energy
1267
1341
Total Renewable Installed capacity
2978 MW
31/3/2001 MNES
210
15
So
la
rP
V
35
Ga
sif
ie
W
rs
as
te
-E
ne
rg
y
Sm
al
lH
yd
ro
Bi
o
Co
m
bn
Bi
o
Co
ge
n
W
in
d
63
47
12
16
20
24
Ju
ly
Au
gu
Se
s
pt
em t
be
r
O
ct
o
No ber
ve
m
be
De
r
ce
m
be
r
Ju
ne
M
ay
Ap
ril
m
ar
ch
Ja
nu
ar
y
fe
br
ua
ry
80
60
40
20
Month
SITE: SANODAR
0.2
0.3
0.4
d=0.1 ALCC Rs $130 5960
6048
6136
6223
14c 6.8
Rs/kWh
0 7c 3.45 5c 2.33 4c 1.78
d=0.3 ALCC Rs 15167$320 15255 15342 15430
Rs/kWh
17.31 37c 8.71 18c 5.84 12c 4.40 9c
Capital cost Rs 50,000/kW,O&Mcost Rs 0.1/kWh,Life 20 ye
ars
Load Factor
$1060/kW
1993
1998
2003
1993
1995
1997
1999
2001
2003
Wind -Trends
1999- Wind Energy 24 TWh (13.3%) World
13.6 GW (20.1% Load Factor)
n 1 million Wind pumps , 10000+ small battery
charging wind generators
n World- Growth rates 27-33%
n India 45000 /13000 MW potential estimated
n Wheeling, Third party sale, depreciation
39% (1990-2002), 21% 2001-2 CAGR
n
10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24
Time in hrs.
Site :Mumbai,
May
6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Month Site: Mumbai
$5300
$6400
Capitalcost/kW 200000
250000
300000
LF=0
.2ALCCRs 23,
930 29,
803 35,
676
Rs/kWh
13.
66 17.
01 20.
36
LF=0.25
AL
CCRs 24
,03929
,91235
,785
Rs/kWh
10
.98 13
.66 16
.34
O&MRs 0.25
/kWh,
Life20 aye
rs, discoun
trate=10
%
$760
29c
36c
23c
43c
29c
35c
Solar PV
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Biomass
Gas
Air
Diesel
Gas &Air
Power output
Air
Gas
Ash
Gasifier
Fig.
Engin e
Generator
Source: Parikh
Biomass
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12
13c/kWh
Gas Engine
Bioengine
Diesel
Gas Engine
Bioengine
8.5 c/kWh
Diesel
4.3c/kWh
0
0
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
Load Factor
0.6
0.7
0.8
0.9
22 ata
330o C
58 T /hr
FEED
WATER
4 .5 T / h r
Feed w ater
27T /hr
2 6 T /h r
BOILER
0 . 5 T /h r
PRDS
B A G A S SE
0 .5 T /h r
M ILLING
PRDS
6 a ta
~
2 .5 M W
Process
2 a ta
F la s h e d
C ondensate
STEAM
T U R B IN E
P rocess
BOILER
F eed w a ter
75 TPH , 65
ata, 480OC
STEAM
T U R B IN E
9 .5 M W
P ower export
13 M W
BAGASSE
6 a ta
4 .5 T P H
P R O C E SS
2 a ta
2 a ta
Condenser
(A lternate fuel)
1 .0 M W
M ill
d r iv e s
CONDENSER
ESS
BFP
P R O C E SS
P R O P O S E D P L A N T C O N F IG U R A T IO N : O P T IO N 2
2 .5 M W
C a p tiv e
load
Bagasse Cogeneration
Incremental Capital Cost 30000
$680/kW
(Rs/kW)
Life
20years
Boiler Efficiency
70%
Bagasse NCV = 3400
kcal/kg, PriceRs1.50/kg
Discountrate = 10%, O&Mcost = Rs0.5/kWh
2500tcd plant 9.5MWexport, 0.93kgextra/ kWh
Loadfactor 0.4
0.5
0.6
Rs/kWh
1.20
2.6c
1.00
2.1c
0.87
1.9c
50
40
30
20
10
0
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
Hour of the day.
Residential Electricity Demand
Industry demand
Agriculture Demand
Total Load
Hybrid
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Why Hybrid ?
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Hybrid Options
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PV
PV
arrays
arrays
15kW
15kW
@
@
1000
1000
2
w/m
w/m2
MPPT
MPPT
Operating
Operating
voltage
voltage
315-378
315-378VV
RETREAT
RETREAT
BUILDING
BUILDING
Connected
Connectedload
load
90kW
90kW
Bi-directional
Bi-directional
inverter
inverter
30kW
30kW
Battery
BatteryBank
Bank
240
240batteries
batteries
2V,
2V,600Ah
600Ah@C10
@C10
DG
DGSet
Set
50
50kW
kW
Criteria
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Autonomy A = 1- HLOL/(HTOT)
HLOL no of hours of loss of load
HTOT total no of hours of load
Emissions
Cost
Trade-off between criteria
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Possible Applications
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43
41
39
Cost (Rs/kWh)
37
35
33
31
29
27
25
0
LOLP (%)
Single Photovoltaic System
10
Renewables- Policies
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Renewable Issues
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Renewable Issues
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Hybrid Issues
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End-Note
You can never plan the future by
the past
Edmund Burke
References
Thank You