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Instructors Manual

Chapter 6

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CHAPTER 6
HOW TO ANALYZE INVESTMENT PROJECTS
Objectives
To show how to use discounted cash flow analysis to make investment decisions such as:

Whether to enter a new line of business

Whether to invest in equipment to reduce operating costs


Outline
6.1
6.2
6.3
6.4
6.5
6.6
6.7
6.8
6.9
6.10

The Nature of Project Analysis


Where Do Investment Ideas Come From?
The Net Present Value Investment Rule
Estimating a Projects Cash Flows
Cost of Capital
Sensitivity Analysis Using Spreadsheets
Analyzing Cost-Reducing Projects
Projects with Different Lives
Ranking Mutually Exclusive Projects
Inflation and Capital Budgeting

Summary
The unit of analysis in capital budgeting is the investment project. From a finance perspective,
investment projects are best thought of as consisting of a series of contingent cash flows over time,
whose amount and timing are partially under the control of management.
The objective of capital budgeting procedures is to assure that only projects which increase
shareholder value (or at least do not reduce it) are undertaken.
Most investment projects requiring capital expenditures fall into three categories: new products, cost
reduction, and replacement. Ideas for investment projects can come from customers and competitors,
or from within the firms own R&D or production departments.
Projects are often evaluated using a discounted cash flow procedure wherein the incremental cash
flows associated with the project are estimated and their NPV is calculated using a risk-adjusted
discount rate which should reflect the risk of the project.
If the project happens to be a mini-replica of the assets currently held by the firm, then management
should use the firms cost of capital in computing the projects net present value. However, sometimes
it may be necessary to use a discount rate which is totally unrelated to the cost of capital of the firms
current operations. The correct cost of capital is the one applicable to firms in the same industry as the
new project.
It is always important to check whether cash flow forecasts have been properly adjusted to take
account of inflation over a projects life. There are two correct ways to make the adjustment:
1. Use the nominal cost of capital to discount nominal cash flows.
2. Use the real cost of capital to discount real cash flows.

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Solutions to Problems at End of Chapter


1. Your firm is considering two investment projects with the following patterns of expected future
net after-tax cash flows:
Year
Project A
Project B
1
$1 million
$5 million
2
2 million
4 million
3
3 million
3 million
4
4 million
2 million
5
5 million
1 million
The appropriate cost of capital for both projects is 10%.
If both projects require an initial outlay of $10 million, what would you recommend and why?
SOLUTION:
Year

Project A

Present Values of
Project B
Present Values of B
A @ 10%
@ 10%
1
$1 million
909,091
$5 million
4,545,454
2
2 million
1,652,893
4 million
3,305,785
3
3 million
2,253,944
3 million
2,253,944
4
4 million
2,732,054
2 million
1,366,027
5
5 million
3,104,607
1 million
620,921
Total PV
10,652,589
12,092,132
NPV
652,589
2,092,132
Project B is better than A because it has a higher NPV, a result of paying cash earlier.
Investing in Cost-Reducing Equipment
2. A firm is considering investing $10 million in equipment which is expected to have a useful life
of four years and is expected to reduce the firms labor costs by $4 million per year. Assume the
firm pays a 40% tax rate on accounting profits and uses the straight line depreciation method.
What is the after-tax cash flow from the investment in years 1 through 4? If the firms hurdle rate
for this investment is 15% per year, is it worthwhile? What are the investments IRR and NPV?
SOLUTION:
We have to find the incremental cash flows resulting from this investment. There are two methods that we
can use to find the after tax cash flow.
1. Find the (incremental) net income, then add (incremental) depreciation. Hence:
Annual depreciation (using straight-line method) = $10MM/4 = $2.5MM
Pretax income increases by: $4MM - $2.5MM = $1.5MM
Net income increase by : 1.5x(1-0.4) = $0.9MM
Adding back depreciation (non cash expense): OCF = 0.9 + 2.5 = $3.4MM
2. Add the depreciation tax shield to the after-tax incremental cost saving. Hence, the yearly OCF from
year 1 to 4 is: 4x(1-0.4) + 2.5x0.4 = $3.4MM
Year
0
1
2
3
4

CFI
-$10MM
+$3.4MM
+$3.4MM
+$3.4MM
+$3.4MM

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At 15% discount rate:


NPV = -$293,073MM. The NPV is negative, hence the investment is not worthwhile taking.
IRR = 13.54%. The IRR is less than the cost of capital (15%) of the project. Again, dont take the
project.

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Investing in a New Product


3. Tax-Less Software Corporation is considering an investment of $400,000 in equipment for
producing a new tax preparation software package. The equipment has an expected life of 4 years.
Sales are expected to be 60,000 units per year at a price of $20 per unit. Fixed costs excluding
depreciation of the equipment are $200,000 per year, and variable costs are $12 per unit. The
equipment will be depreciated over 4 years using the straight line method with a zero salvage value.
Working capital requirements are assumed to be 1/12 of annual sales. The market capitalization
rate for the project is 15% per year, and the corporation pays income tax at the rate of 34%. What
is the projects NPV? What is the breakeven volume?
SOLUTION:
Sales revenue will be: $20 per unit x 60,000 units per year = $1,200,000 per year
Investment in working capital = 1/12 x $1,200,000 = $100,000
The total investment is $500,000: $400,000 for the equipment and $100,000 in working capital.
Depreciation = $400,000/4 = $100,000 per year
Total annual operating costs = $12 per unit x 60,000 units per year + $300,000 = $1,020,000 per year
The expected annual net cash flow can be derived using the formula:
CF = net income + depreciation
= (1 - tax rate)(Revenue - total operating costs) + depreciation
= .66 x ($1,200,000 - $1,020,000) + $100,000
= $218,800 per year
Year
CFI
0
-500,000
1
+218,800
2
+218,800
3
+218,800
4
+318,800
At a 15% hurdle rate: NPV = $181,845
In order for the NPV to be 0, what must the cash flow from operations be?
n
I
PV
FV
PMT
Result
4
15
500,000
100,000
?
PMT = $155,106
Now we must find the number of units per year (Q), that corresponds to an operating cash flow of this
amount. A little algebra reveals that the breakeven level of Q is units per year:
CASH FLOW = NET PROFIT + DEPRECIATION
= .66(8Q 300,000) + 100,000 = 155,106
= .66(8Q 300,000) = 55,106
8Q 300,000 = 55,106/.66 = 83,493.94
Q = 383,493.94 = 47,937 units per year
8
Note that computing the accounting breakeven quantity gives:
Breakeven quantity = fixed costs/contribution margin
QB = F
P-V
QB = $300,000 per year = 37,500 units per year
$8 per unit

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Investing in a New Product


4. Healthy Hopes Hospital Supply Corporation is considering an investment of $500,000 in a new
plant for producing disposable diapers. The plant has an expected life of 4 years. Sales are expected
to be 600,000 units per year at a price of $2 per unit. Fixed costs excluding depreciation of the plant
are $200,000 per year, and variable costs are $1.20 per unit. The plant will be depreciated over 4
years using the straight line method with a zero salvage value. The hurdle rate for the project is
15% per year, and the corporation pays income tax at the rate of 34%.
Find:
a. The level of sales that would give a zero accounting profit.
b. The level of sales that would give a 15% after-tax accounting rate of return on the $500,000
investment.
c.
The IRR, NPV, and payback period (both conventional and discounted) if expected sales are
600,000 units per year.
d.
The level of sales that would give an NPV of zero.
SOLUTION:
The initial investment is $500,000.
Depreciation = $500,000/4 = $125,000 per year
Total annual fixed costs = $200,000 + $125,000 per year = $325,000 per year
a. To find the accounting breakeven quantity apply the breakeven formula:
Breakeven quantity = fixed costs/contribution margin
QB = F
P-V
QB = $325,000 per year = 406,250 units per year
$.80 per unit
b. To earn a 15% accounting ROI, the after tax profit (net income) has to be:.15 x $500,000 = $75,000
That means before-tax profit has to be $75,000/.66 = $113,636.
To earn this additional profit, the new breakeven quantity must increase by:
142,045 units per year (required profit before taxes/ contribution margin = $113,636/$.80) to a
total of 548,295 per year.
c. If 600,000 units per year can be sold, then the expected annual net cash flow can be derived using
the formula:
CF = net income + depreciation
= (1 - tax rate)(Revenue - total operating costs) + depreciation
= .66 x ($1,200,000 - $720,000 - $325,000) + $125,000
= $227,300 per year
n
i
PV
FV
PMT
4
15
?
0
227,300
4
?
-500,000
0
227,300
?
15
-500,000
0
227,300
NPV = $648,937 - $500,000 = $148,937
Conventional payback period = $500,000/$227,300 per year = 2.2years

Result
PV = $648,937
IRR = 29.09%
n = 2.87 years

d. In order for the NPV to be 0, what must the cash flow from operations be?
n
i
PV
FV
PMT
Result
4
15
500,000
0
?
PMT = $175,133
Now we must find the number of units per year (Q), that corresponds to an operating cash flow of this
amount. A little algebra reveals that the breakeven level of Q is units per year:
CASH FLOW = NET PROFIT + DEPRECIATION

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= .66(.8Q 325,000) + 125,000 = 175,133


= .66(.8Q 325,000) = 50,133
.8Q 325,000 =50,133/.66 = 75,959
Q =400,959 = 501,199 units per year
.8

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Replacement Decision
5. Pepes Ski Shop is contemplating replacing its ski boot foam injection equipment with a new
machine. The old machine has been completely depreciated but has a current market value of
$2000. The new machine will cost $25,000 and have a life of ten years and have no value after this
time. The new machine will be depreciated on a straight-line basis assuming no salvage value. The
new machine will increase annual revenues by $10,000 and increase annual nondepreciation
expenses by $3000.
a. What is the additional after-tax net cash flow realized by replacing the old machine with the
new machine? (Assume a 50% tax rate for all income, i.e. the capital gains tax rate on the sale
of the old machine is also 50%. Draw a time line.)
b. What is the IRR of this project?
c. At a cost of capital of 12%, what is the net present value of this cash flow stream?
d. At a cost of capital of 12%, is this project worthwhile?
SOLUTION:
a.

t
ATNCF
0
-24,000 = -25,000 + 2000 x (1-0.5)
1,2,...,10
4,750 = (10,000 3,000 2,500)(1 0.5) + 2,500
b.
IRR =14.82%
c.
NPV = $2,838.56
d. This project is worthwhile because its NPV is positive. Also, its IRR is higher than its cost of capital.
6. PCs Forever is a company that produces personal computers. It has been in operation for two
years and is at capacity. It is considering an investment project to expand its production capacity.
The project requires an initial outlay of $1,000,000: $800,000 for new equipment with an expected
life of four years and $200,000 for additional working capital. The selling price of its PCs is $1,800
per unit, and annual sales are expected to increase by 1,000 units as a result of the proposed
expansion. Annual fixed costs (excluding depreciation of the new equipment) will increase by
$100,000, and variable costs are $1,400 per unit. The new equipment will be depreciated over four
years using the straight line method with a zero salvage value. The hurdle rate for the project is
12% per year, and the company pays income tax at the rate of 40%.
a. What is the accounting break-even point for this project?
b. What is the projects NPV?
c. At what volume of sales would the NPV be zero?
SOLUTION:
a. To find the accounting break-even quantity, apply the break-even formula:
Break-even quantity = total fixed costs/contribution margin
Total fixed costs = fixed costs (cash) + depreciation
The additional fixed costs due to the expansion project are $300,000 (fixed costs + depreciation) per
year and the contribution margin is $400 per unit. So the accounting breakeven quantity is 750
additional units per year.
b.
Increase in Sales Revenue
(1,000 units at a price of $1,800)
$1,800,000 per year
Increase in Total Variable Costs
(1,000 units at $1,400) per unit)
$1,400,000 per year
Increase in fixed costs excluding depreciation $100,000 per year
Increase in depreciation
$200,000 per year
Increase in Total Fixed Costs
$300,000 per year
Increase in Annual Operating Profit
$100,000 per year
Taxes @ 40%
$40,000 per year

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Increase in After-tax Operating Profit


$60,000 per year
Increase in Net Cash Flow from Operations: 60,000+200,000= $260,000 per year

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The initial investment $1,000,000: $800,000 for the equipment and $200,000 for working capital.
Using a financial calculator to find the NPV we find:
n
i
PV
FV
PMT
4
12
?
200,000
260,000
PV=916,814
NPV = PV $1,000,000
= $916,814 $1,000,000
= $83,186
The NPV is negative, hence the project is not worth taking.
c. To find the NPV breakeven value for the incremental cash flow from operations we do the following
calculation:
n
i
PV
FV
PMT
4
12
1,000,000
200,000
?
PMT = $287,387.55
(Note that the $200,000 terminal value in year 4 is the investment in working capital.)
Now we must find the incremental number of units per year ( Q), that corresponds to an incremental
operating cash flow of this amount.
Incremental Cash Flow = Increase in net profit + increase in depreciation
= (1-0.4)x(400 Q 300,000) + 200,000 = $287,387.55
Q = $445,646 = 1,114.1, the smallest rounded number is 1,115 units per year
400
So the expansion must result in at least 1,115 additional units per year in order to justify the capital
outlay.
Inflation and Capital Budgeting
7. Patriots Foundry (PF) is considering getting into a new line of business: producing souvenir
statues of Paul Revere. This will require purchasing a machine for $40,000. The new machine will
have a life of two years (both actual and for tax purposes) and will have no value after two years.
PF will depreciate the machine on a straight-line basis. The firm thinks it will sell 3,000 statues per
year at a price of $10 each, variable costs will be $1 per statue and fixed expenses (not including
depreciation) will be $2,000 per year. PFs cost of capital is 10%. All of the foregoing figures assume
that there will be no inflation. The tax rate is 40%.
a. What is the series of expected future cash flows?
b. What is the expected net present value of this project? Is the project worth undertaking?
c. What is the NPV breakeven quantity?
Now assume instead that there will be inflation of 6% per year during each of the next two years
and that both revenues and nondepreciation expenses increase at that rate. Assume that the real
cost of capital remains at 10%.
d. What is the series of expected nominal cash flows?
e. What is the net present value of this project, and is this project worth undertaking now?
f. Why does the NPV of the investment project go down when the inflation rate goes up?
SOLUTION:
a. The expected future net cash flows are:
CF = (1 - tax rate) (revenue - cash expenses) + tax rate x depreciation
CF = .6 x ($30,000 - $3,000 -$2,000) + .4 x $20,000
CF = .6 x $25,000 + .4 x $20,000 = $23,000 in each of the next two years
b.
N
i
PV
FV
PMT
2
10
?
0
23,000

Result
39,917.36

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NPV = $39,917.36 - $40,000 = -$82.64


So the project is not worthwhile.
c. To find the NPV breakeven value for the incremental cash flow from operations we do the following
calculation:
N
i
PV
FV
PMT
Result
2
10
-40,000
0
?
23,047.62
Now we must find the number of units per year (Q), that corresponds to a net cash flow of this amount.
CF = (1 - tax rate) (Revenue - Cash expenses) + tax rate x Depreciation
= .6(9Q 5,000) + 20,000x0.4= $23,047.62
9Q 5,000 = 15,047.62/.6 = 25,079.37
Q = 30,079.37/9 = 3,342.1, the smallest rounded number is 3.343 statues per year
d. Now assume that there will be inflation of 6% per year during each of the next two years and that
both revenues and nondepreciation expenses increase at that rate.
CF = .6 x (Revenue - Cash expenses) + .4 x Depreciation
In year 1:
CF1 = .6 x $25,000 x 1.06 + .4 x $20,000 = .6 x $26,500 + .4 x $20,000 = $23,900
In year 2:
CF2 = .6 x $25,000 x 1.062 + .4 x $20,000 = .6 x $28,090 + .4 x $20,000 = $24,854
e. To find the NPV we discount the nominal cash flows at the nominal cost of capital. First we must find
the nominal cost of capital:
Nominal cost of capital = (1.06)(1.1) - 1 = .166 or 16.6% per year
The NPV is -40,000 + 23,900/1.166 + 24,854/1.1662 = -$1,221.60
The project is not worthwhile.
f. If all components of the net cash flow increased at the rate of inflation of 6% per year, then the NPV
would be unaffected by inflation. But in this case, the depreciation is fixed in dollar terms, so that the
depreciation tax saving loses value the higher the rate of inflation.
Understanding incremental cash flows
8. Determine which of the following cash flows are incremental cash flows that should be
incorporated into a NPV calculation.
a. The sale of an old machine, when a company is replacing property, plant, and equipment for a
new product launch.
b. The cost of research and development for a new product concept that was conducted over the
past year that is now being put into production.
c. Potential rental income that was forgone from a previously unused warehouse owned by the
company, which is now being used as part of a new product launch.
d. New equipment purchased for a project.
e. The annual depreciation expense on new equipment purchased for a project.
f. Net working capital expenditures of $10 million in year 0, $12 million in year 1 and $5million in
year 2.
g. A dividend payment that was funded in part by a given projects contribution to the net income
for that year.
SOLUTION:
a.
Yes, the sale of the machine is part of the project initiative. Therefore, the proceeds from the sale
of the equipment should be counted.
b.
No, the R&D expenditure is a sunk cost that should not be included in the project evaluation. The
cost occurred over the past year and must be borne by the company regardless of whether the project
is undertaken or not. Sunk costs should never be considered when evaluating a future decision.
c.
Yes, this is an opportunity cost that is being borne by the company. If the warehouse would have
remained unused and could have produced rental income then it must be considered as a cost.

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d.
e.

Yes, capital expenditures must be incorporated in an NPV analysis.


Yes, annual depreciation is part of incremental cash flows. However, it is the depreciation tax
shield that is the incremental cash flow and not the actual depreciation expense.
f.
Yes, net working capital is factored into the incremental cash flow. However, it is the change in
net working capital that is taken into consideration. Therefore, year 0 would have -$10 million that
must be added to the operating cash flow for that year. Year 1 would have -$2 million that would need
to be added to operating cash flow for that year. Finally, year 3 would show a +$7 million that would
need to be added. Remember that in the final year of the project the net working capital figure must
be reversed.
g. No, dividend payments are not incremental cash flows. Whether or not to pay a dividend is the
decision of the overall firm and not a cost of an individual project.
9. You have taken a product management position within a major consumer goods firm after
graduation. The contract is for four years and your compensation package is as follows:
$5,000 relocation expense
$55,000
$10,000 bonus if annual goals are met
$15,000 additional bonus at the end of four years if your team achieves a given market share
You are confident in your abilities and assume there is a 65% chance in receiving each annual
bonus and a 75% chance in receiving the fourth year additional bonus. The effective annual interest
rate is 8.5%. What is the net present value of your compensation package.
SOLUTION: Assuming these cash flows are after-tax:
Year
0
1
2
3
4

CFi
5000
55,000
61,500
61,500
61,500
61,500
72,750

0.65x10,000

0.75x15,000

At 8.5% effective annual rate: NPV = $214,567.


Investing in a new project
10. You are in the finance department of a firm and you are evaluating a project proposal. You have
developed the following financial projections and you are calculating:
a. The incremental cash flows of the project.
b. The net present value of the project given a discount rate of 15%.
The corporate tax rate is 34% and the financial projections are in thousands.
Year 0
Sales revenue
Operating costs
Investment
15,000
Depreciation
Net
working 300
capital

Year 1
10,000
3,000

Year 2
10,000
3,000

Year 3
10,000
3,000

Year 4
10,000
3,000

Year 5
10,000
3,000

3,500
350

3,500
400

3,500
300

3,500
200

3,500
0

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a. Incremental cash flows (in thousands)


Year 0
Year 1
Initial Investment
-15,000
OCF
+ 5,810
Change in net working -300
-50
capital
Total cash flows
-15,300 5,760

Year 2

Year 3

Year 4

Year 5

+ 5,810
-50

+ 5,810
+100

+ 5,810
+100

+ 5,810
+200

5,760

5,910

5,910

6,010

OCF = (1-0.34)x(10,000 - 3,000 - 3,500) + 3500 = 5,810


b. NPV @ 15% = 4,317,098.

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11. Leather Goods Inc. wants to expand its product line into wallets. It is considering producing
50,000 units per year. The price will be $15 per wallet the first year and the price will increase 3%
per year. The variable cost is expected to be $10 per wallet and will increase by 5% per year. The
machine will cost $400,000 and will have an economic life of 5 years. It will be fully depreciated
using the straight line method. The discount rate is 15% and the corporate tax is 34%. What is the
NPV of the investment?
SOLUTION:
Depreciation expense = 400,000/5 = 80,000
Year1 CF = Net income + depreciation
= (1-0.34) x (50,000x15 50,000x10 80,000) + 80,000
= 192,200
Year 2 CF = (1-0.34) x (50,000x15x1.03 50,000x10x1.05 80,000) + 80,000
= 190,550
Year 3 CF = (1-0.34) x (750,000x1.032 500,000x1.052 80,000) + 80,000
= 188,520.5
Year 4 CF = (1-0.34) x (750,000x1.033 500,000x1.053 80,000) +80,000
= 186,083.62
Year 5 CF = (1-0.34) x (750,000x1.034 500,000x1.054 80,000) +80,000
= 183,210.80
At 15% discount rate : NPV = $ 228,705.86
12. Steiness Danish Ham, Inc. is contemplating buying a new machine that has an economic life of 5
years. The cost of the machine is 1,242,000 krone and will be fully depreciated using the straight
line depreciation method over the 5 years. At the end of 5 years, it will have a market value of
138,000 krone. It is estimated that the new machine will save the company 345, 000 krone per year
due to reduced labor costs. Moreover, it will lead to a reduction in net working capital of 172,500
krone because of the higher yield from raw materials inventory. The net working capital will be
recovered by the end of the 5 years. If the corporate tax rate is 34% and the discount rate is 12%
what is the NPV of the project.
Year 0
Initial
investment -1,242,000
Change in
net working +172,500
capital
Terminal
value
OCF
Total
incremental -1,069,500
cash flows
a

Year 1

Year 2

Year 3

Year 4

Year 5

-172,500

+312,156b

+312,156

+312,156

+312,156

+91,080a
+312,156

+312,156

+312,156

+312,156

+312,156

+230,736

Terminal value = Market value tax on capital gains


= 138,000 0.34 x (138,000 0) = 138,000 x (1-0.34) = 91,080

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OCF = (1-0.34) x (345,000) + 248,400 x 0.34 = 312,156


Depreciation Expense =1,242,000/5=248,400
At 12% discount rate, NPV = 9,553 krone.

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13. Hus Software Design, Inc. is considering the purchase of computer that has an economic life of
4 years and it is expected to have no salvage value. It will cost $80,000 and it will be depreciated
using the straight line depreciation method. It will save the company $35,000 the first year and it is
assumed that the savings after that will have a growth rate of 5%. It will also reduce net working
capital requirements by $7,000. The corporate tax rate is 35% and the appropriate discount rate is
14%. What is the value that the purchase will add to the firm?
Year
0
1
2
3
4

CFI
-80,000 + 7,000 = -73,000
(1-0.35) x (35,000) + 20,000 x 0.35 = 29,750
0.65 x 35,000 x 0.95 + 20,000 x 0.35 = 28,612.5
0.65 x 35,000 x 0.952 + 20,000 x 0.35 =
27,531.88
0.65x35,000x0.953 + 20,000 x 0.35 7000 =
19,505.28

At 14% discount rate: NPV = $5,245


14. Suppose Hus Software Design, Inc. from the previous problem has a choice between two
computer systems. The first one will cost $80,000 and will have an economic life of 4 years. Annual
maintenance costs would be $10,000. The other alternative would cost $135,000 and would have an
economic life of 6 years. The annual maintenance would cost $13,000. Both alternatives would be
fully depreciated using the straight line method. Neither computer system will have a salvage value.
The cost savings generated on an annual basis are assumed to be the same and the company expects
to generate sufficient profits to realize the depreciation tax shield. The discount rate (DR) is 11%
and the corporate tax rate is 35%. Which computer should be chosen?
SOLUTION:
Note that both systems realize the same cost savings, hence those cost savings are not incremental while
comparing the two alternatives.
Using the annualized capital cost method:
1st computer system:
Depreciation = 80000/4 = 20000
Initial Outlay at Year 0 = -80,000
The after-tax incremental cash flows from Year 1 to Year 4 are: -10,000x(1-0.35) + 20,000x0.35 = 500
At 11% discount rate: NPV = -78,449
Spreading this present value of the costs into annual payments: PMT = -$25,286
N
4

I
11%

PV
78,449

FV
0

PMT
?

Result
PMT = -25,286

2nd computer system:


Depreciation: 135,000/6 = 22,500
Initial outlay at Year 0 = -135,000
The after-cash incremental cash flows from Year 1 to Year 6 are: -13,000x(1-0.35) +22,500x0.35 = -575
At 11% discount rate: NPV = -137,433
Spreading this present value of the costs into annual payments: PMT = -30,536.
N

PV

FV

PMT

Result

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11%

137,43
3

Page 100

PMT = -32,486

Since the first alternative has the lowest annual costs, choose the first computer system.

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15. Vogels Classic Autos is doing a booming business exporting re-built vintage American vehicles
to Japan. Fortunately, it is an almost perfect world and consequently the owner is certain of all
revenues and costs. The problem is the revenues are in Yen and the costs are in dollars. The current
rate of exchange is 100 Yen to $1. The risk free rate in Japan is 3% and the risk free rate in the U.S.
is 7%. Due to a loophole in the tax code, no taxes have to be paid on the companys profits. The
business has contracts for delivery outstanding for the next 4 years, at which time the owner will
retire and close the business. Using the certain cash flows below, determine the NPV of the business.
Revenues in Yen
Cost in dollars
Parts
Labor
Shipping
Other
Total costs

Year 1
Year 2
Year 3
Year 4
50,000,000 60,000,000 40,000,000 20,000,000
50,000
100,000
75,000
75,000
300,000

60,000
105,000
90,000
75,000
330,000

40,000
85,000
60,000
65,000
250,000

20,000
50,000
30,000
55,000
155,000

SOLUTION:
Present Value of revenues denominated in Yen: Since the cash flows are certain, we can use the riskfree
rate to discount them:
CF0
CF1
CF2
CF3
CF4
i
PV

0
50,000,000
60,000,000
40,000,000
20,000,000
3%
159,474,851

The present value of the revenue stream in dollars is:


PV$ = 159,474,851Yen / 100 Yen per Dollar = $1,594,749
Present value of cost denominated in dollars:
CF0
CF1
CF2
CF3
CF4
i
PV

0
300,000
330,000
250,000
155,000
7%
$890,932

NPV of the company is:


NPV = $1,594,749 - $890,932 = $703,817
//tax should be included in the solution, and american tax is the better way of dealing with problem,

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Inflation and Capital Budgeting


16. You are a financial analyst at Wigit, Inc. and you are considering two mutually exclusive
projects. Unfortunately, the figures for project 1 are in nominal terms and the figures for project 2
are in real terms. The nominal discount rate for both projects is 17% and inflation is projected to
be 3%.
a. Determine which project to choose.
b. You are troubled about the cash flows in real terms. You are concerned that there may be a
problem in determining the total cash flow in real terms and the depreciation tax shield. What
is it that has you concerned?
Project 1 Project 2
0 (100,000) (90,000)
1
30,000
25,000
2
60,000
55,000
3
75,000
80,000
SOLUTION:
a. Project 1: The cash flows are nominal, hence we can use the nominal discount rate of 17% to compute
the NPV of the project. NPV1 = $16,300
Project 2: The cash flows are in real terms, hence we can either convert them into nominal terms and
use the nominal discount rate, or more simply discount the real cash flows given using the real
discount rate.
Method 1: converting the real cash flows to nominal cash flows.
Project 2 (in nominal
terms)
(90,000)
25,000 x 1.03=25,750
55,000 x 1.032=58,349.50
80,000 x 1.033=87,418.16
At 17% discount rate: NPV = $29,215
Method 2: we calculate the real discount rate as:
(1+real rate) = (1+nominal rate)/(1+inflation rate)
Hence, the real rate = 1.17/1.03 1 = 13.592%
NPV2 = $29,215. Note that both methods give the same result.
Since NPV2>NPV1, choose project 2.
b.

The reason why you are troubled about the depreciation tax shield and cash flows in real terms is
because depreciation tax shields are always in nominal terms. Therefore, when using real cash flows
you run the risk of mixing nominal numbers into the total cash flow figures. This could lead to
discounting nominal cash flows with a real discount rate.

17. Your next assignment at Wigit, Inc. also entails determining the NPV of a project which is
expected to last four years. There is an initial investment of $400,000, which will be depreciated at
the straight line method over four years. At the end of four years, it is assumed that you will be able
to sell some of the equipment that is part of the initial investment for $35,000 (a nominal figure).
Revenues for the first year are expected to be $225,000 in real terms. The costs involved in the
project for the first year are as follows: (1) parts will be $25,000 in real terms the first year; (2)
labor will be $60,000 in real terms for the first year and (3) other costs will be $30,000 in real terms

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for the first year. The growth rates of revenues and costs are as follows: (1) revenue will have a real
growth rate of 5%; (2) the cost of parts will have a 0% real growth rate; (3) cost of labor will have a
2% real growth rate; and (4) other costs will have a 1% real growth rate from year 2 to year 3 and
a 1% growth rate the last two years. The real changes in net working capital for the year 0 to year
4 are as follows: (1) -$20,000; (2) -$30,000; (3) -$10,000; (4) $20,000; (5) $40,000. The real discount
rate is 9.5% and the inflation rate is 3%. The tax rate is 35%.

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SOLUTION: All cash flows were converted to nominal terms


Year 0
Revenue

Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4


$231,750 $250,63 $271,06 $293,15
8
5
6

Costs:
Parts
Labor
Other
Depreciation

$25,750
$61,800
$30,900
$100,000

Income before taxes


Taxes
Net Income
Depreciation add back

$13,300
$4,655
$8,645
$100,000

Operating cash flows

$108,645

Initial investment
Salvage Value
Change in Net working
Total Cash flow from
investment
*Salvage Value:
Revenue growth rate
(real)
Cost growth rates (real):
Parts
Labor
Other Year 2
Year 3 and 4

$26,523
$64,927
$32,145
$100,00
0
$27,043
$9,465
$17,578
$100,00
0
$117,57
8

$27,318
$68,212
$32,779
$100,00
0
$42,756
$14,965
$27,791
$100,00
0
$127,79
1

$28,138
$71,664
$33,424
$100,00
0
$59,930
$20,976
$38,954
$100,00
0
$138,95
4

CF0
CF1

($420,000)
$77,745

CF2
$106,969
CF3
$149,646
CF4
$206,724
i
12.79%
NPV ($34,959.22
)

($400,000)
$22,750
*
($20,000) ($30,900 ($10,609 $21,855 $45,020
)
)
($420,000) $77,745 $106,96 $149,64 $206,72
9
6
4
$35,000 - .35($35,000 - $0 Book Value) = $22,750
5.00%

Inflation:

3.00%

0.00%
2.00%
1.00%

tax rate
35%
Real discount rate
Nominal discount
rate

9.50%
12.79%=(1.095)(1.03)

-1.00%

Note that all cash flows as well as the discount rate were converted into nominal figures. For example
revenues were calculated in the following manner:
Revenue (year 1) = $225,000 x (1 + inflation rate)
= $225,000 x (1.03) = $231,750
Revenue (year 2) = Year 1 x (1 + growth rate) x (1 + inflation)

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18. Finnertys Brew Pub is considering buying more machinery that will allow the pub to increase
its portfolio of beers on tap. The new machinery will cost $65,000 and will be depreciated on a 10
year basis. It is expected to have no value after 10 years. The improved selection is anticipated to
increase sales by $30,000 for the first year and increase at the rate of inflation of 3% for each year
after that. Production costs are expected to be $15,000 for the first year and are also expected to
increase at the rate of inflation. The real discount rate is 12% and the nominal riskfree interest rate
is 6%. The corporate tax rate is 34%. Should Mr. Finnerty buy the machinery?
SOLUTION:
Because depreciation is always nominal, the depreciation tax shield needs to be discounted at the nominal
rate of return. Since Cash Flow = NI (only cash expenses) + depreciation tax shield, unless we convert all
the figures into nominal, we need to find each term of the Cash Flow separately, and discount it at its
appropriate discount rate.
In year 1 : NI = (30,000-15,000) x 0.66 = 9900. This figure is in year 1 $ terms (nominal). To convert this
figure to real terms (Year 0 $), we divide by 1.03, we get $9612. Since both revenues and expenses
increase at the inflation rate each year, $9612 is also the annual real NI (incremental).
We then find the PV of those NI using the real discount rate 12%:
n
10

i
12

PV
?

PMT
9612

FV
0

Result
PV = $54,310

Next, calculate the present value of the depreciation tax shield.


Depn tax shield = 6,500 x 0.34 = 2210.
N
i
PV
PMT
FV
Result
10
6
?
2,210.00
0
PV = $16,265.79
Note: Depreciation is always nominal and must be discounted at a nominal discount rate. Moreover, It is
usually discounted at the risk free rate because once an asset is purchased, one is certain what the
depreciation will be each year. However, there are two problems with this convention. First, the firm may
not earn a profit in a given year and therefore would not have a depreciation tax shield. Secondly, the tax
rate could conceivably be changed over time.
Finally, calculate the NPV of the project.
NPV = -$65,000 + $54,310 + $16,265.79
NPV = $5575.79
19. A. Fung Fashion, Inc. anticipates real net cash flows to be $100,000 this year. The real discount
rate is 15% per year.
a. What is the present value of these cash flows if they are expected to continue forever.
b. What is the present value of these cash flows if the real net cash flows are expected to grow at
5% per year forever.
c. What is the present value of these cash flows if the expected growth rate is -5% per year.
SOLUTION:
a. PV = $100,000/.15 = $666,666.67
b. PV = $100,000/(.15 - .05) = $1,000,000
Note: The formula for a growing perpetuity is PV = C/(discount rate - growth rate)
c. PV = $100,000/(.15 - (-.05)) = $500,000

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20. Mr. Salles is considering a business venture that would offer guided tours of the romantic Greek
isles and the Italian county side. After four years, Mr. Salles intends to retire. The initial investment
would be $50,000 in a computer and phone system. This investment would be depreciated on the
straight line method, and is expected to have no salvage value. The corporate tax rate is 35%. The
price of each tour will be $5,000 per customer and the price will remain constant in real terms. Mr.
Salles will pay himself $50 per hour and anticipates an annual increase in salary of 5% in real
terms. The cost of each customer during the tours is $3,500, and this cost is expected to increase by
3% in real terms. Assume that all revenues and costs occur at year end. The inflation rate is 3.5%.
The risk free nominal rate is 6% and the real discount rate for costs and revenues is 9%. Using the
additional following data, calculate the NPV of the project.
Year 1
100
2,080

Number of customers
Hours worked

Year 2
115
2,080

Year 3
130
2,080

Year 4
140
2,080

SOLUTION:
Revenues
Expenses
Labor
Variable cost of tours
Income before taxes
Taxes
Net Income
CF0
CF1
CF2
CF3
CF4
i
PV

($50,000)
$29,900
$33,296
$34,209
$28,711
9%
$52,211

Year 1
Year 2
Year 3
Year 4
$500,000
$575,000
$650,000
$700,000
$104,000
$350,000
$46,000
$16,100
$29,900
n
4

$109,200
$414,575
$51,225
$17,929
$33,296
i
6

$114,660
$482,710
$52,630
$18,421
$34,209
PV
?

$120,393
$535,436
$44,171
$15,460
$28,711
PMT
4,375

FV
0

Result
PV = $15,160

Depreciation tax shield = 50,000/4 x 0.35 = 4,375


Note that the depreciation tax shield is a nominal figure and must be discounted at a nominal rate. By
using the risk free rate to discount the depreciation tax shield one is making the implicit assumption that
the cash flows from depreciation are certain.
NPV = $52,211 + 15,160 = $67,371

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21. Saunders Sportswear, Inc. is planning on expanding its line of sweatshirts. This will require an
initial investment of $8 million. This investment will be depreciated on a straight line method over 4
years and will have no salvage value. The firm is in the 35% tax bracket. The price of the
sweatshirts will be $30 the first year and will increase in price by 4% per year in nominal terms
thereafter. The unit cost of production will be $5 the first year and will increase by 3% per year in
nominal terms thereafter. Labor costs will be $10 per hour the first year and will increase by 3.5%
in nominal terms each subsequent year. Revenues and costs are paid at year-end. The nominal
discount rate is 12%. Calculate the NPV of the project using the following additional data.
Unit sales
Labor hours

Year 1
50,000
20,800

Year 2
100,000
20,800

Year 3
125,000
20,800

Year 4
100,000
20,800

SOLUTION:
Revenues
Expenses
Variable Costs
Labor Costs
Depreciation
Income before taxes
Taxes
Net Income
Depreciation add back
Operating Cash Flow

Year 1
$1,500,000

Year 2
Year 3
Year 4
$3,120,000 $4,056,000 $3,374,592

$250,000
$515,000
$663,063
$546,364
$208,000
$215,280
$222,815
$230,613
$2,000,000 $2,000,000 $2,000,000 $2,000,000
($958,000) $389,720 $1,170,122 $597,615
$0
$136,402
$409,543
$209,165
($958,000) $253,318
$760,579
$388,450
$2,000,000 $2,000,000 $2,000,000 $2,000,000
$1,042,000 $2,253,318 $2,760,579 $2,388,450

CF0
CF1
CF2
CF3
CF4
i
NPV

($8,000,000)
$1,042,000
$2,253,318
$2,760,579
$2,388,450
12%
($1,790,483)

Note that the depreciation is not discounted at the nominal risk free rate. In the first year of cash flows
there is no tax shield benefit since there was no profit in that year. By using the nominal discount rate, the
implicit assumption being made is that the cash flows are not necessarily risk free.
22. Camille, the owner of the Germanos Tree farm has contracted with the government of his
native land to provide Cedar tree saplings to aid in that governments efforts to reforest part of the
country and return the Cedar tree to its past glory. The project is expected to continue in
perpetuity. At the end of the first year, the following nominal and incremental cash flows are
expected:
Revenues
Labor Costs
Other Costs

$125,000
$65,000
$45,000

Camille has contracted with an air freight shipping company to transport the saplings. The contract
is for a fixed payment of $35,000 in nominal terms per year. The first payment is due at the end of
the first year. Revenues are expected to grow at 4% in real terms. Labor costs are expected to grow
at 3% per year. Other costs are expected to decrease at 0.5% per year. The real discount rate for
revenues and costs is 8% and inflation is expected to be 3.5%. There are no taxes and all cash flows
occur at year-end. What is the NPV of the contract?
SOLUTION:
Since the discount rate and growth rates are in real terms, it is easier to discount real cash flows.
Moreover, since the contract is a perpetuity, the growing perpetuity formula can be used. The nominal

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revenue, labor costs and other costs must be discounted back at the inflation rate to get the real value of
Year 1 cash flows. These results must in turn be input into the growing perpetuity formula as follows:
PV (revenue) = ($125,000/1.035)/(.08 - .04) = $3,019,323.67
PV (labor costs) = ($65,000/1.035)/(.08 - .03) = $1,256,038.65
PV (other costs) = ($45,000/1.035)/(.08 - (-.005)) = $511,508.95
The shipping costs actually have a negative growth rate even though the nominal cash flows are constant.
This is due to inflation. The easiest way to see this is to find the real value of those cash flows. For
example,
PV (cash flow 1) = $35,000/1.035 = $33,816.43
PV (cash flow 2) = $35,000/1.0352 = $32,672.88
Hence the real negative growth rate g can be calculated as follows:
1/1.035 = 1+ g,
Hence (1/1.035) - 1 = -0.034 = 3.4% Use the growing perpetuity formula (remembering to use the
Present value of the first cash flow and not the nominal $35,000): $33,816.43/(.08 - (-.034))=
$296,635.35. Sum the revenues and costs to determine the NPV of the project.
NPV = $3,019,323.67 - $1,256,038.65 - $511,508.95 - $296,635.35 = $955,140.72
23. Kitchen Supplies, Inc. must replace a machine in its manufacturing plant that will have no
salvage value. It has a choice between two models. The first machine will last 5 years and will cost
$300,000. It will generate an annual cost savings of $50,000. Annual maintenance costs will be
$20,000. The machine will be fully depreciated using the straight line depreciation method and will
have no salvage value. The second machine will last 7 years and will cost $600,000. It will generate
an annual cost savings of $70,000. This machine will also be fully depreciated using the straight line
depreciation method, but is expected to have a salvage value of $60,000 at the end of the seventh
year. The annual maintenance cost is $15,000. Revenues in each case are expected to be the same.
The annual tax rate is 35% and the cost of capital is 10%. Which machine should the company
purchase?
SOLUTION:
Alternative 1: Yearly cash flow = NI (cash expenses only) + depreciation tax shield
= (50,000-20,000)x(1-0.35) + 60,000 x 0.35 = 40,500
Year CFI
0
-300,000
1
+40,500
2
+40,500
3
+40,500
4
+40,500
5
+40,500
At 10% discount rate : NPV = -$146,473
Annualized Capital Cost
n
i
PV
5
10%
146,473

PMT
?

FV
0

Result
PMT = $38,639.21

Alternative 2: Year cash flow = (70,000-15000) x (1-0.35) + (600,000/7)(.35) = $65,750


Year
0

CFI
-600,000

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2
3
4
5
6
7

Page 109

+65,750
+65,750
+65,750
+65,750
+65,750
+65,750
+104,750*

*104,750 = 65,750 + 60,000x0.65


NPV at 10% discount rate = -259,888.
Annualized Capital Cost
n
i
PV
7
10%
259,888

PMT
?

Result
PMT = $53,382.42
Alternative 1 should be chosen; its annualized cost of capital is less.
24. Electricity, Inc. is choosing between two pieces of equipment. The first choice costs $500,000
and will last five years. It will be depreciated using the straight line depreciation method and will
have no salvage value. It will have an annual maintenance cost of $50,000. The second choice will
cost $600,000 and will last eight years. It will also be depreciated using the straight line depreciation
method and will have no salvage value. It will have an annual maintenance cost of $55,000. The
discount rate is 11% and the tax rate is 35%. Which machine should be chosen and what
assumptions underlie that choice?

SOLUTION:
Alternative 1: After tax maintenance cost
n
i
PV
PMT
5
11%
?
32,500
Annual maintenance
$50,000
DR
Tax rate
35%

FV
0

FV
Result
0
PV = $120,116.65
11%

Alternative 1: Depreciation Tax Shield

PMT=(500,000/5)
(.35)
Result
PV = $129,356.40

n
5

i
PV
PMT
FV
11%
?
35,000.00
0
Cost
$500,000
NPV = -$500,000 -$120,116.65 + $129,356.40 = -$490,760.25
Annualized Capital Cost: Alternative 1
n
i
PV
PMT
5
11%
490,760.25
?
Alternative 2: After Tax maintenance cost
n
i
PV
PMT
8
11%
?
35,750
Annual maintenance
$55,000
DR
Tax rate
35%

FV
0

FV
Result
0
PV = $183,973.89
11%

Alternative 2: Depreciation Tax Shield


n

PV

PMT

Result
PMT = -$132,785.15

FV

PMT=(600,000/8)
(.35)
Result

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8
11%
?
26,250.00
0
PV = $135,085.72
Cost
600,000
NPV = -$600,000 - 183,973.89 + $135,085.72 = -$648,888.17
Annualized Capital Cost: Alternative 2
n
i
PV
PMT
FV
Result
8
11%
648,888.17
?
0
PMT = -$126,092.63
Choose alternative 2; its annualized capital cost is less.
Note: The two assumptions being made are: 1) the time horizon is long (the same choice of machinery
will be used indefinitely) and there is no expected change in technology that would terminate the use of
the equipment prematurely for a significantly greater efficiency; 2) either machine will be replaceable
when its economic life ends.

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25. Refer to problem number 24. Now Electricity, Inc. is faced with the same choices, however now
it expects that a new technology will be introduced into the industry in year nine. This will force the
company to replace the choice made today at the end of year nine, because the new technology will
be so cost effective. All the other necessary information is the same as explained in problem 24.
Which choice should be made?
SOLUTION:
Choice 1 Capital
Dep. tax
Investment shield
Year 0
-500,000
Year 1
35,000
Year 2
35,000
Year 3
35,000
Year 4
35,000
Year 5
-500,000
35,000
Year 6
35,000
Year 7
35,000
Year 8
35,000
Year 9
35,000

Choice 2

After tax
Net Cash Flow
maintenance
-500,000 CF0
-500,000
-32,500
+2,500
CF1
2,500
-32,500
+2,500
CF2
2,500
-32,500
+2,500
CF3
2,500
-32,500
+2,500
CF4
2,500
-32,500
-497,500 CF5
-497,500
-32,500
2,500
CF6
2,500
-32,500
2,500
CF7
2,500
-32,500
2,500
CF8
2,500
-32,500
2,500
CF9
2,500
i
11%
NPV -$782,883.05

Capital
Dep. tax
Investment shield
-600,000
26,250
26,250
26,250
26,250
26,250
26,250
26,250
600,000
26,250
26,250

After tax
Net Cash Flow
maintenance
Year 0
-600,000 CF0
-600,000
Year 1
-35,750
-9,500
CF1
-9,500
Year 2
-35,750
-9,500
CF2
-9,500
Year 3
-35,750
-9,500
CF3
-9,500
Year 4
-35,750
-9,500
CF4
-9,500
Year 5
-35,750
-9,500
CF5
-9,500
Year 6
-35,750
-9,500
CF6
-9,500
Year 7
-35,750
-9,500
CF7
-9,500
Year 8
-35,750
-609,500 CF8
-609,500
Year 9
-35,750
-9,500
CF9
-9,500
i
11%
NPV -$912,957.85
Annualized Capital Cost: Alternative 1
n
i
PV
PMT
FV
Result
9
11%
782,883.05
?
0
PMT = -$141,389.98
Annualized Capital Cost: Alternative 2
n
i
PV
PMT
9
11%
912,957.85
?

FV
0

Result
PMT = -$164,881.71

Choose alternative 1; its annualized capital cost is less. This is the opposite choice as in question 17
because the second investment in alternative two (made in year eight) must be replaced at the end of year
nine.

Instructors Manual

Chapter 6

Page 112

Break-even analysis of lease payments


26. Real Estate, Inc. has purchased a building for $1 million dollars. The economic life of the
building is 30 years and it will be fully depreciated over the thirty years using the straight line
depreciation method. The discount rate is 14 % and the corporate tax rate is 35%. Assume there is
no inflation. What is the minimum lease payment the company should ask for? Assume that the
lease payment is due immediately.
SOLUTION:
Step 1: PV of a $1 annuity for 30 years at 14% = 7.0027
This is the annuity factor for a $1 annuity. Therefore, multiplying the annuity factor by (1 - tax
rate) x lease payment will give you the PV of the lease payments.
PV of after tax lease payments = .65 x lease payment x 7.0027 = lease payment x 4.55176
Step 2: PV of depreciation tax shield:
n
30

i
14%

PV
PMT
FV
Result
?
11,666.67
0
PV = $81,697.77
$1 million/30 =
$33,333.33

Depreciation
Lease Payment = 33.333.33 X .35 = 11,666.67
Step 3: Solve for the lease payment:
NPV = 0 = -$1,000,000 + Lease payment x 4.55176 + $81,697.77
Lease payment = $201,747

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