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Many Indian companies are sitting on a pile of cash. But not all of them have sound finances.
Heres how you can pick the right stocks and enjoy their largesse
India Incs growing cash pile has been under the scanner, of late. Former directors of Infosys
have been demanding that the cash surplus of the company be used to buy back shares to take the
stock price to its right valuation.
Similarly, the Government has been receiving flak for making Coal India shell out a special
dividend that amounted to over 18,000 crore. Of this, around 16,500 crore was pocketed by
the Government.
It is obvious that some of our blue-chips are sitting on large cash balances. Does that mean that
selecting a company based on its cash and bank balance is a good idea?
Many of the countrys top-line companies do have a large cash pile. But not all companies with
large cash and bank balances have sound finances. You need to double-check the numbers to see
if the company is accumulating cash by foregoing capacity addition. Others could be borrowing
heavily despite holding surplus cash reserves.
That said, there is a strong case for investing in cash-rich companies too. The surplus cash can
help fund the companys future expansion without diluting its capital. Some of these companies
might also decide to share some of this cash with their shareholders in the form of dividends.
Looking at a companys cash and bank balance can be one of the checks that you can run while
selecting a stock. We run through the numbers of the last 10 years to give you some takeaways.
actions reduce the number of outstanding shares of a company thus improving the financial ratios
of the company.
RIL has launched multiple buyback offers in its history, backed by its comfortable war chest.
Other companies that feature in the cash-rich list, such as Cairn India, Zee Entertainment and GE
Shipping, have also recently made buyback offers.
Despite many of these offers not going through due to sharp increase in share prices around the
announcement date, shareholders stand to benefit by the increased return on their holdings due to
the increase in stock prices.
If you hold shares in a multi-national company that also holds a lot of cash reserves, there is a
high probability of the parent making an open offer for the shares at a price far above the market
price. The open offer in Hindustan Unilever in 2013 for 22.5 per cent stake in the company at a
hefty premium of over 20 per cent above the stocks market price is a case in point.
Here are the checks you run before you put your money into a cash-rich
company
The balance held by a company in its bank account can give the impression of a sound edifice
but it could turn out to be a pile of rubble if you take a closer look.
Here are a few parameters you can run through before buying that cash-rich companys shares
you have been yearning for.
Operating cash flows
The companies that have large cash surpluses are mainly those that have been generating cash
from operations consistently over the years.
But there are some that do not conform to this trend and are best avoided. For instance, Indian
Oil Corp, despite generating the second highest cash flow from operations in FY2014, IOC
generated negative cash flow in many years over the past decade. Similarly, companies such as
Gammon India and DLF display the propensity to declare negative cash flows.
This shows that even if these companies have large cash balances towards the end of some years,
their operations are not profitable enough to enable them to accumulate large cash reserves over
the long term.
Looking at the proportion of revenue that is held back by the company after accounting for
operational expenses (operating cash flow/revenue) is another measure that can help us gauge the
extent of profitability of the company. Companies such as Bharti Airtel, NTPC, Infosys, Coal
India, ITC and Idea Cellular are more profitable on this parameter with cash generated from
operations of around 20 per cent of sales.
On the other hand, companies from the Tata group appear far less efficient if we apply this
metric. Despite generating large revenues, cash generated from operations for companies such as
Tata Steel, Tata Motors and Tata Power is less than 10 per cent.
Addition to gross block
Some companies could be foregoing investments in their own businesses resulting in large cash
surpluses. You need to avoid such companies too.
Indian companies are expanding their capacities and adding to their assets, but at a sedate pace.
Reliance Industries, for instance, grew its gross block three-fold between 2004 and 2014. The
other topper in sporting strong cash balance, Coal India, did not even double its asset base in the
last decade, showing the PSU giant in very poor light.
Other private sector companies such as UltraTech Cement, ITC, Maruti Suzuki and Larsen and
Toubro have also similarly managed to grow their assets at a rate of between 300 and 600 per
cent in the last 10 years.
The public sector enterprises, on the other hand, have been lagging in asset additions.
PSU companies such as BPCL, MMTC, BHEL and NMDC have shown slower growth in asset
base compared with their private sector peers.
This slow pace of upgradation and capacity additions probably explains the lower efficiency and
productivity of the PSUs compared with their private sector counterparts.
This unwillingness to invest in capacity addition is affecting profitability, which is reflected in a
falling return on equity (ROE) of these companies. Reliance Industries, for instance, had a very
low ROE of 11.7 per cent is FY2014. This number has almost halved from the ROE of more than
20 per cent prior to 2008.
Similarly, Infosys ROE has declined from 36 per cent in 2008 to 26 per cent by 2014. ONGC
too has seen this ratio decline from 25 to 17 during this period.
Debt equity
A company that does show large cash surpluses but keeps borrowing to finance its activities is a
no-no. But fortunately, most of the top-50 cash-rich companies do not have much debt.
Some such as Gammon India, which despite having a cash surplus of 9,045 crore in March
2014, has debt equity ratio of over 19. Essar Oil too held 3,632 crore in hand but its alarmingly
high debt equity should be enough to send investors scurrying from this counter.