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SITUATION AND
2014-2020 POWER OUTLOOK
3500
2014
2015
3000
2500
2016
2000
1500
Committed
Available Capacity
Peak Demand
Regulating Reserve
Notes
a. Reserve Margin (RM) i.e. 4% regulating reserve and contingency and dispatchable reserve requirement
b. 7 % peak demand growth rate resulted from observed 1 elasticity ratio of demand for electric power with national
economic growth applied to 7 percent GDP growth rate (GR) target for 2014-2015.
c. 8 % peak demand growth rate resulted from observed 1 elasticity ratio of demand for electric power with national
economic growth applied to 8 percent GDP growth rate (GR) target for 2016-2020.
d. Assumed 4.35 percent average forced outage of the total available capacity
Nov 2020
Sep 2020
Jul 2020
May 2020
Mar 2020
Jan 2020
Nov 2019
Sep 2019
Jul 2019
May 2019
Mar 2019
Jan 2019
Nov 2018
Sep 2018
Jul 2018
May 2018
Mar 2018
Jan 2018
Nov 2017
Sep 2017
Jul 2017
May 2017
Mar 2017
Jan 2017
Nov 2016
Sep 2016
Jul 2016
May 2016
Mar 2016
Jan 2016
Nov 2015
Sep 2015
Jul 2015
May 2015
Mar 2015
Jan 2015
Nov 2014
Sep 2014
Jul 2014
May 2014
Mar 2014
Jan 2014
1000
7.2 magnitude
earthquake hit Bohol
(15 Oct)
2,000
HVDC unoperational
due to toppled tower
(09 Nov-14 Dec)
1,800
1,600
1,400
1,200
1,000
800
600
400
200
W1
W2
W3
W4
W5
W6
W7
W8
W9
W10
W11
W12
W13
W14
W15
W16
W17
W18
W19
W20
W21
W22
W23
W24
W25
W26
W27
W28
W29
W30
W31
W32
W33
W34
W35
W36
W37
W38
W39
W40
W41
W42
W43
W44
W45
W46
W47
W48
W49
W50
W51
W52
Jan
Feb
Mar
Available capacity
Apr
May
Peak Demand
Jun
Jul
Aug
Regulating Reserve
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dec
ACTUAL
PROJECTED
2000
1500
1000
Holy Week
Earthquake in Leyte
Affected Power Plants:
Mahiao Geo (120 MW)
500
0
W1 W2
W3
W4
January
W5
W6
W7
W8
W9
W10 W11 W12 W13 W14 W15 W16 W17 W18 W19 W20 W21 W22 W23 W24 W25 W26 W27
February
Available capacity
March
Peak Demand
April
Regulating Reserve
May
June
BIOMASS
COAL
HYDRO
WIND
BIOMASS
BIOMASS
BIOMASS
Mother/ JV Company
Location
Rated
Capacity
(MW)
Project Cost
(Php Billion)
Commercial
Operation
50.00
Aug 2014
54.00
2.15
Aug 2014
31.00
Sep 2014
82.00
10.2
Sep 2014
8.00
1.4
Oct 2014
50.00
5.21
Dec 2014
18.00
1.7
Dec 2014
3.00
3.60
Dec 2014
0.2
Jun 2015
COAL
Phase 1-135MW
(1st Unit)
Mother/ JV Company
Location
Rated
Capacity
(MW)
Project Cost
(Php Billion)
Commercial
Operation
Brgy. Nipa,
Concepcion, Iloilo
270.00
26.4
Phase 2-135MW
(2nd Unit)
TOTAL
579.60
Mother/ JV Company
Location
150.00
2015
20.00
2016
300.00
Mar 2017
TOTAL COAL
49 MW Biliran Geothermal
Plant Project
Dauin Geothermal Project
Southern Leyte Geothermal
Plant Geothermal Project
(formerly known as Mt.
Cabalian Geothermal)
Rated Capacity
Target
(MW)
Commissioning
Project Proponent
Biliran Geothermal
Incorporated
Energy Development
Corporation (EDC)
Energy Development
Corporation
470.00
Biliran, Biliran
49.00
Dec 2015
40.00
Dec 2018
TOTAL GEOTHERMAL
San Carlos Solar
San Carlos Solar Energy Inc.
Photovoltaic Power Project
(SACASOL)
TBA
89.00
Bronzeoak Philippines
20.00
May 2014
30.00
Jan 2015
TOTAL SOLAR
First Maxpower International
First Maxpower International
Corporation
Corporation
TOTAL WIND
50.00
Pulupandan, Negros
Occidental
50.00
50.00
Nov 2015
Project Proponent
Mother/ JV Company
Location
Igbaras, Iloilo
Hilabangan (Upper
Cascade)
Hilabangan (Lower
Cascade)
Timbaban Hydroelectric
Power Project
Holdings
Holdings
Holdings
Holdings
Holdings
Holdings
Holdings
5.10
Jan 2015
4.80
Aug 2015
3.00
Aug 2015
4.50
Oct 2016
3.10
Oct 2016
4.20
Oct 2016
4.00
Oct 2016
3.30
Oct 2016
Madalag, Aklan
18.00
Aug 2017
Kabankalan, Negros
Occidental
Kabankalan, Negros
Occidental
TOTAL HYDRO
46 MW Biomass-Fired
Cogeneration Power Plant
40 MW Battery Storage
Project
Universal Robina
Corporation
TOTAL BIOMASS
AES Philippines Power
AES Philippines Power Partners
Partners Co., LTD.
Co., LTD.
TOTAL BATTERY
TOTAL
Rated Capacity
Target
(MW)
Commissioning
50.00
Kabankalan, Negros
Occidental
46.00
Jul 2014
46.00
Kabankalan, Negros
Occidental
40.00
40.00
795.00
Mar 2015
END OF PRESENTATION