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Hinduja Global
Solutions Ltd
Initiating Coverage
CRISIL
Fundamental Grade
Assessment
CRISIL
Valuation Grade
Assessment
5/5
Excellent fundamentals
5/5
4/5
Superior fundamentals
4/5
3/5
Good fundamentals
3/5
2/5
Moderate fundamentals
2/5
1/5
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1/5
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Last updated: May, 2013
Analyst Disclosure
Each member of the team involved in the preparation of the grading report, hereby affirms that there exists no conflict of interest that can bias
the grading recommendation of the company.
Disclaimer:
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(CRISIL) does not represent that it is accurate or complete and hence, it should not be relied upon as such. The data / report is subject to
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purpose.
RESEARCH
Valuation Grade
Industry
IT Services
Fair Value
CMP
CFV MATRIX
Excellent
Fundamentals
Hinduja Global gets majority of repeat business, but it is exposed to client concentration
risk as top five clients constituted 47% of Q3FY14 sales.
Contingent liability of 2.3 bn in FY13; of this, 1.8 bn pertains to income tax demand
received by Hinduja Ventures for IT/ITES business prior to Oct 2006 (details page 12).
PAT CAGR of 36% during FY13-16 aided by revenue growth and margin improvement
US$ revenues are expected to grow at a three-year CAGR of 13% to US$524 mn in FY16,
primarily driven by telecom / technology and health insurance. We factor average exchange
rate (/US$) of ~62 during FY14-FY16. We expect Hinduja Globals EBITDA margin to
improve hereon because a) it is exiting the unprofitable Indian telecom client account and
b) improvement of seat utilisation. PAT to increase at 36% CAGR to 2 bn in FY13-16.
Valuations: CMP has upside
CRISIL Research has arrived at a fair value of 674 per share for Hinduja Global using the
discounted cash flow (DCF) method, after lowering some of the contingent liability risk. At the
current market price of 590 per share, our valuation grade is 4/5.
Operating income
EBITDA
Adj net income
Adj EPS ()
EPS growth (%)
Dividend yield (%)
RoCE (%)
RoE (%)
PE (x)
P/BV (x)
EV/EBITDA (x)
FY12
FY13
FY14E
FY15E
FY16E
15,543
1,820
945
45.9
(10.1)
3.4
8.0
8.8
12.8
1.1
9.4
19,845
2,319
914
44.4
(3.3)
3.4
8.5
7.7
13.3
1.0
5.9
25,209
3,240
1,726
83.8
88.9
4.1
12.8
13.4
7.0
0.9
4.2
28,587
3,735
1,929
93.7
11.8
4.1
14.2
13.6
6.3
0.8
3.5
32,556
4,325
2,317
112.5
20.1
4.3
15.8
14.8
5.2
0.7
2.8
3
2
Poor
Fundamentals
Strong
Upside
Strong
Downside
Valuation Grade
6277/21120
HGS/HGSL
10
20.6
12,154/200
13,648/224
610/219
0.8
31.9%
24,399
14.3
SHAREHOLDING PATTERN
100%
90%
80%
70%
13.1%
3.1%
13.2%
3.0%
16.1%
16.2%
15.6%
15.7%
15.7%
15.7%
68.1%
68.1%
68.1%
68.1%
Mar-13
Jun-13
60%
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%
Fundamental Grade
674
590
Promoter
Sep-13
FII
DII
Dec-13
Others
Hinduja Global
CNX 500
Returns
3-m
6-m
43% 160%
3%
20%
1-m
10%
3%
12-m
114%
8%
ANALYTICAL CONTACT
Mohit Modi (Director)
Elizabeth John
Vishal Rampuria
mohit.modi@crisil.com
elizabeth.john@crisil.com
vishal.rampuria@crisil.com
clientservicing@crisil.com
Revenue contribution
(FY13)
Revenue contribution
(FY16E)
Revenue growth
(FY12-13)
Revenue CAGR
(FY13-16E)
Service offerings#
Health insurance
Consumer electronics
Others*
31%
26%
16%
26%
35%
28%
15%
21%
33%
40%
16%
20%
23%
24%
11%
10%
Customer relationship
Transaction
Customer relationship
Customer relationship
management services
processing such as
management services
claims management,
desk
policy administration
and correspondence
Transaction processing
Customer
correspondence services
services
Transaction
as application processing
such as application
relationship
processing and
management
processing such as
account maintenance
services such as
application processing
medical
and account
management /
maintenance
clinical services
Key geographies to which
the UK
The US
Market position
Demand drivers
Clients are trying to augment their revenue growth by increasing automation and standardising processes. Increasing
Philippines
comfort from the clients side to share sensitive information with vendors is also expected to drive incremental
outsourcing. Affordable Care Act offers an opportunity in the health insurance vertical
Key competitors
Key risks
Pure-play BPM (ITES export) players such as Genpact, EXL Services, First Source Solutions, WNS
Integrated IT and BPM players such as Infosys BPO, Wipro BPO, eClerx Services, etc.
Client concentration
*Others include banking and financial services, media, chemicals, biotechnology, etc.
#Broad classification and indicative list of service offerings
Source: Company, CRISIL Research
Grading Rationale
Mid-sized outsourcing player catering to diverse sectors
Hinduja Group-promoted Hinduja Global, a mid-sized outsourcing player, offers various
services such as voice, claims management, payroll processing, technical help desk and
application processing. It derives majority of its revenues from the overseas market (the Indian
domestic business constituted hardly 5% of FY13 revenues). It has gained domain knowledge
across diverse sectors (telecom, healthcare, insurance and consumer sectors) through
strategic acquisition and successful integration. This has helped the company post a PAT
CAGR of 21% over FY07-13.
( bn)
120
Telecom &
Technology
16%
100
80
60
114
Consumer
Electronics
8%
BFSI
4%
33
28
28
27
26
20
Firstsource
WNS
Global*
Exl
Service*
Infosys
BPO
Hinduja
Global
Genpact*
20
Wipro
BPO
40
Health
Insurance
14%
Media
4%
Total
50%
Revenues (FY13)
Chemicals &
Biotech
1%
Others
3%
Genpact:
Banking
and
insurance
constituted
41.3%
of
Q3FY14
revenues,
WNS: Insurance constituted 36.9% of Q3FY14 revenues, travel and leisure 18.8% and
the rest by sectors such as BFSI, retail, consumer products, telecom, media, etc.
EXL: Insurance and healthcare constituted 54.7% of Q2FY14 revenues, utilities 11%,
banking/financial services 7.8% and the rest by travel, transportation, logistics and
others.
Table 2: Hinduja Global ranked 11th among top 15 Indian BPM companies
Rank
Company
Rank
Company
10
11
Aegis Ltd
12
Wipro BPO
13
Infosys BPO
14
15
Mphasis Ltd
Source: NASSCOM
(Number)
25,000
160%
140%
19,845
20,000
15,543
100%
80%
10,734
10,000
6,375
7,986
25%
2,657
8,939
12%
140%
45%
60%
28%
20%
0%
FY08
FY09
FY10
Revenues
FY11
FY12
535
600
50
500
40
400
30
300
FY13
20
40%
20%
FY07
(Number)
60
120%
15,000
5,000
10
15
70
40
2
0
FY03
8
FY05
20
FY07
Delivery centres
80
200
106
100
24
32
55
FY09
FY11
FY13
0
Clientele (RHS)
Country
The
C-Cubed
Philippines
Revenue
Valuation
(annualised
Consideration
when
(price/sales
FY14 based
Year
Paid
acquired
in x)
on H1FY14)
2003
$12 mn
$14 mn
0.9
$54 mn
Affina LLC
(HGS US LCC)
The US
2006
$30 mn
$53 mn
0.6
$87 mn
Careline
Services, UK
The UK
2010
10.8 mn
20 mn
0.5
25 mn
(HGS UK)
2011
$77 mn
$72 mn
1.1
$93 mn
(HGS Canada)
HCCA Business
Services
Online Support,
Canada
2011
399 mn
341 mn
1.2
499 mn
The US
2012
$8.3 mn
$11 mn
0.8
$12.2 mn
(HGSBPL)
Deloitte EBOS
(HGS EBOS)
Acquirer
Target company
2010
Partners
2013
2011
Valuation
(US$ mn)
1.8x
470
revenues
1.2x
revenues
0.7x
revenues
91
525
attractive offshore destination for voice-based services. The acquisition of Affina in 2006 was
Accenture
to foray into the US onshore market; it realised that it would be difficult for it to grow offshore
put the acquisition plans on the backburner, owing to global meltdown in 2008. In 2010, it
acquired Careline to enter the UK. Acquisition of HCCA Business Services in 2011 provided
IBM
EXL
INNOVATION
without an onshore presence. During 2007-09, the company consolidated its acquisitions and
Dell
Teleperformance
Xerox
Cognizant
Source HOV
Infosys
Genpact
Wipro
Hinduja Global
Firstsource
access to a new service offering - payroll processing. The EBOS (niche provider revenue
WNS
cycle outsourcing division of Deloitte) acquisition in October 2012 helped Hinduja Global gain
access to the healthcare provider segment.
EXECUTION
Revenues
Number of
( mn)
clients
( mn)
acquisition)* ( mn)
FY08
6,375
75
60
60
FY09
7,986
80
90
90
FY10
8,939
80
106
106
FY11
10,734
106
93
93
FY12
15,543
485
27
121
FY13
19,845
535
33
139
*excluded HCCA business services because it has lower billing per client
Source: Company, CRISIL Research
Hinduja Global has successfully integrated all acquisitions as reflected in its PAT CAGR of
21% over FY07-13. The company has done a commendable job on integration and has not
Hinduja Global fared well in 2008-09 when Indian BPM industry was hit by
global crisis
The Indian BPM industry was hit by the global economic meltdown in 2008-09. Many small
BPM players suffered few even shut shop. Most of them were unorganised and performed
low-end outsourcing work. These players offered back-office and voice-based services for loan
recovery, credit card support and payment, tele-marketing, website design, development and
marketing. They catered mainly to the US, the UK and Australia. During this period, Hinduja
Global not only survived but also fared well.
Hinduja Global is present in many locations (55 across 11 countries) with different time zones
Offshore
31%
which helps it cater to client needs round the clock. Offshore as well as onshore presence
across various destinations helps the company meet client specific needs for delivery of
service from a particular destination. For instance, a US electronic company has low-value
and high-value television products. It will prefer to outsource high-value television customer
support to an onshore delivery centre. On the other hand, it may prefer to outsource the
customer support service for a low-value television to an offshore delivery centre.
Onsite
69%
Source: Company
delivery centre)
services
Revenue-Mix (Q3FY14)
Europe
9%
The US
28%
The US
8 am
Onshore work
India (offshore
6.30 pm
The
Philippines
15%
Canada
23%
India
25%
9 pm
the US)
Canada
8 am
Onshore work
The UK
1 pm
Onshore work
Hinduja Global
First Source
WNS
The UK 53.3%, North America 26.8%, European Union 4.7% and others 15.2%
EXL*
* as on Q2FY14
Source: Companies, CRISIL Research
Strong supply of people willing to work in call centres as there are limited employment
is $8-9
The Philippines: 15% more than
opportunities in the Philippines. For instance, this country has a good supply of
registered nurses who are ready to work in the night shift, thereby catering to the US
clients.
Canada
11%
India
59%
US
10%
Philippines
17%
Q3FY12
Q4FY12
Q1FY13
Q2FY13
Q3FY13
Q4FY13
Q1FY14
Q2FY14
Q3FY14
10%
12%
11%
12%
12%
12%
12%
13%
13%
13%
47%
46%
45%
45%
45%
43%
45%
46%
45%
47%
60%
76%
62%
79%
63%
79%
62%
77%
63%
80%
61%
79%
63%
80%
63%
78%
63%
81%
63%
80%
Source: Company
NA
12.2
First Source
21.8
45.4
WNS
15.7
37.2
Genpact
EXL
9.6
35.6
As of Q3FY14, except EXL which is as on Q2FY14
Source: Companies, CRISIL Research
Q2FY14
Q1FY14
Q4FY13
Q3FY13
Q2FY13
Q1FY13
Q4FY12
Q3FY12
Q2FY12
> 200 mn
> 150 mn
10
10
> 100 mn
15
16
12
12
12
11
11
11
> 50 mn
> 10 mn
26
54
23
52
21
51
20
51
20
53
20
50
23
53
21
53
20
54
15
47
Source: Company
Figure 8: Transaction and customer relationship management (CRM) constitute 82% of Indian BPM
industry
2012-13E
2017-18P
Knowledge
services
18%
Knowledge
services
21%
Transaction
41%
CRM
41%
Transaction
42%
CRM
37%
Target
Time
Value (US$)
Rationale
Genpact
Headstrong
May-11
550 million
Empower research
Sep-11
NA
Accounting Plaza
Apr-12
NA
Atyayati Technology
May-12
NA
Triumph Engineering
Jul-12
NA
JAWOOD
Feb-13
NA
May-11
91 million*
F&A capabilities
Trumbull
Oct-11
NA
Landacorp Inc.
Oct-12
38 million
Aug-11
78 million
HCCA
Aug-11
NA
EBOS
Sept-12
NA
Healthcare collection
Eclerx
Agylist
Apr-12
16-20 million
WNS
Jun-12
15.5 million
Wipro
Promax
Opera Solutions
Apr-12
May-13
36.5 million
30 million
Analytics capabilities
Big data capabilities
EXL
Hinduja Global
10
2005-06
Integrated
15%
Captives
22%
Captives
45%
Pure play
40%
Integrated
37%
Pure play
41%
Over the next five years, CRISIL Research expects revenues of integrated players (players
who provide both IT and BPO services) to grow faster (13-14% growth) in the medium term
compared to that of pure play BPM players (8-10% growth). This phenomenon is particularly
prominent in the transactions services segment where there is significant scope for
automation.
Our channel checks indicate that for IT companies, BPM is a non-core offering. They would
not separately market BPO services, but would be including it as a bundled service offering.
11
80
70
Hinduja Global largely employs graduates. As salaries account for more than 65% of
60
50
revenues, managing attrition at reasonable levels is critical. Most of the attrition takes place in
0-90 days. Hinduja Globals attrition is high at 100%, which is an industry-wide phenomenon.
The companys ability to improve profitability while managing attrition and salary hikes is a key
95
40
30
57
20
35
10
Hinduja Global
monitorable.
25
25
EXL
Genpact
0
FirstSource
WNS
Genpact*
Firstsource
WNS*
EXL*
Hinduja Global
12.8
11.6
13.9
20.8#
14.0
8.9
6.0
9.6
13.4#
8.2
1.8
0.9
1.0
1.2
0.9
87
NA
50
68
53
81
61
NA
73
83
12
Key Risks
Client and geographic concentration
Hinduja Global is exposed to client concentration risk; its top five clients constituted 47% of
revenues in Q3FY14. Any loss of business from these clients or loss of client could reduce the
Q3FY14
Q3FY12
Q4FY12
Q1FY13
Q2FY13
Q3FY13
Q4FY13
Q1FY14
Q2FY14
Q3FY14
10%
12%
11%
12%
12%
12%
12%
13%
13%
13%
47%
46%
45%
45%
45%
43%
45%
46%
45%
47%
60%
76%
62%
79%
63%
79%
62%
77%
63%
80%
61%
79%
63%
80%
63%
78%
63%
81%
63%
80%
Source: Company
The company derives about 80% of its revenues from the US and Canada as of Q3FY14.
Given the political scenario and unemployment rate in developed countries, there is an
increasing concern in these markets regarding offshoring jobs to low-cost destinations. Any
protectionist policy in these regions may impact Hinduja Globals revenues.
UK Originated
Business, 9%
Canada
Originated
Business, 23%
US Originated
Business, 60%
Contingent liability
Hinduja Global has a contingent liability of 2.3 bn in FY13. Out of this, 1.8 bn pertains to the
income tax demand received by Hinduja Ventures (erstwhile Hinduja TMT) for the IT/ITES
business prior to October 2006 (Hinduja Ventures demerged its IT/ITES business into a
separate company - Hinduja Global - in October 2006; see Company Overview section for
details). The remaining contingent liability of 519 mn in FY13 is for the income tax demand
received by Hinduja Global for the period between October 2006 and FY09.
Hinduja Ventures began the BPO services in 2000 and was claiming income tax benefit under
Section 10 A of the Income Tax Act. The Income Tax Department, after allowing Section 10A
benefit for the BPO until FY05, denied this benefit. The denial was made on the grounds that
13
BPO units were not separate undertakings as per section 10A but were an extension/
expansion of the original IT business (that was housed under Hinduja Ventures), for which
STPI* registration was granted in 1992. Accordingly, tax authorities took a stand that separate
registrations have to be taken upon commencement of BPO operations to be eligible for
section 10A benefit. The company has filed appeals against the contentions of the Income
Tax Department.
Hinduja Ventures and Hinduja Global have filed an appeal against the demand. Hinduja
Global had also paid 375 mn advance to Hinduja Ventures in FY13 to discharge part
payment of disputed income tax dues pertaining to the IT/ITES business.
FY12
FY11
Acqui
Company name
yr
Unit
Revenue
GP
EBITDA
EBIT
PBT
PAT
Revenue
GP
EBITDA EBIT
PBT
PAT
Revenue
GP
EBITDA EBIT
PBT
PAT
1,331
99
(208)
(208)
26,790
7,939
(297)
(297)
72,809 23,955
7,894
1,447
(132)
(157)
NA
(157)
1,418
24,982
8,252
1,888
48,572 17,003
6,893
2,119
47
39
442
(10)
NA
(10)
NA
2010
000
(237)
(200)
HCCA (HGSBSPL)
2011
mn
389
157
5,831
1,916
61
51
52
34
326
148
Oct
2012 000 US$
Financials of Online Support for FY12 are for eight month ending March 31, 2012
Source: Company, CRISIL Research
14
(465) (314)
24
16
24,301 8,191
1,420 1,420
1,379 968
Financial Outlook
US$ revenues to grow at a three-year CAGR of 13%
Revenues estimated to grow at
Revenues in US$ are expected to grow at a three-year CAGR of 13% to US$ 524 mn in FY16
from US$ 364 mn in FY13. The revenue growth is expected to be primarily driven by telecom /
technology and health insurance vertical. We have factored average exchange rate (/US$) of
~62 during FY14-16.
($ mn)
600
( bn)
37%
500
40%
35
35%
30
30%
400
25%
300
13%
14%
200
11%
14%
10%
324
364
414
460
524
0
FY12
FY13
FY14E
Revenues
FY15E
45.0
40.0
25
27.7
35.0
27.0
30.0
20
20%
15%
100
50.0
44.8
25.0
15
13.4
0%
FY16E
20.0
15.0
10
5%
10.0
16
20
25
29
33
FY12
FY13
FY14E
FY15E
FY16E
5.0
0.0
Revenues
13.9
Note: Our financial estimates dont factor growth from any new acquisitions (which can be done by the company).
Underutilised seats in Philippines: Hinduja Global built excess seats (about 1000 seats)
in Philippines two years ahead of the demand materialising. Slower-than-expected ramp
up in demand resulted in low seat utilisation.
Hinduja Global has exited its unprofitable telecom clients. It has also reduced ~200
employees at its Indian operations from July 2012- till date.
Improvement in seat utilisation - The Philippines centre has seen sign of improvement in
seat utilisation - stands at 95% in Q3FY14.
Q2FY12
Q3FY12
Q4FY12
Q1FY13
Q2FY13
Q3FY13
Q4FY13
Q1FY14
Q2FY14
Q3FY14
India
77.1%
78.3%
78.4%
76.4%
75.6%
77.5%
80.6%
80.5%
80.0%
78.0%
78.6%
The Philippines
99.7%
79.4%
79.6%
81.8%
81.5%
80.5%
82.6%
95.8%
96.7%
94.0%
95.4%
The US
74.1%
80.0%
86.2%
75.6%
72.3%
84.4%
84.6%
81.0%
88.4%
83.8%
89.9%
UK
84.7%
89.0%
93.0%
91.2%
84.6%
76.7%
81.9%
77.3%
67.9%
68.2%
66.7%
81.6%
86.2%
79.8%
68.4%
78.9%
71.6%
77.6%
70.6%
76.4%
68.7%
77.8%
70.7%
80.3%
73.3%
84.0%
74.8%
83.1%
74.1%
80.8%
75.5%
82.2%
Canada
Total
Source: Company
15
(%)
13.3
5,000
13.1
4,500
12.9
13.5
13.0
4,000
3,500
12.5
3,000
2,500
11.7
11.7
12.0
2,000
11.5
1,500
1,000
500
11.0
1,820
2,319
3,240
3,735
4,325
FY12
FY13
FY14E
FY15E
FY16E
10.5
EBITDA
( mn)
2,500
2,000
6.8
6.7
7.1
6.1
(%)
(%)
8.0
16.0
7.0
14.0
6.0
4.6
1,500
1,000
500
945
914
1,726
1,929
2,317
FY12
FY13
FY14E
FY15E
FY16E
PAT
(%)
14.8
13.4
16.0
15.8
12.0
14.2
8.8
14.0
12.0
5.0
10.0
4.0
8.0
3.0
6.0
2.0
4.0
4.0
1.0
2.0
2.0
0.0
0.0
7.7
12.8
10.0
8.0
8.0
8.5
6.0
0.0
FY12
FY13
FY14E
RoE
Note: PAT y-o-y growth in FY14E is higher than FY13 as the company had booked forex gain of 193 mn in H1FY14.
16
13.6
18.0
FY15E
FY16E
RoCE (RHS)
Management Overview
CRISIL's fundamental grading methodology includes a broad assessment of management
quality, apart from other key factors such as industry and business prospects, and financial
performance.
years of experience in customer service and operations across banking, financial services and
professionals
health insurance. Prior to joining Hinduja Global in 2003, Mr DeSarkar, an IIM Bangalore and
IIT Chennai alumni, worked at Deloitte Consulting, GE Capital International Services and
Bank of America. He is supported by Mr Srinivas Palakodeti, CFO who spearheads the
finance function across all global locations and subsidiaries. He has 24 years of experience
with capabilities in operations, project planning and implementation, deal structuring and
investor relations. He plays a key role in mergers & acquisitions strategy and execution. Mr
Palakodeti, from IIM Ahmedabad, has a long association with the Hinduja Group. He held
diverse roles in the Hinduja group companies - Ashok Leyland Investments Services, Hinduja
TMT Ltd, IndusInd Bank and IndusInd Media & Communications Ltd. Mr Subramanya C.,
CTO, has more than two decades of experience in technology.
17
Designation
Ramesh
Executive Vice
Gopalan
Global in
2010
Qualification
Years of experience
Experience
20 years of experience in
President - Global
Healthcare and
Management, Ahmedabad;
outsourcing
India Business
CFA,US
Head
Kathy
President, the US
Hamburger
business
2012
NA
President and
Beattie
CEO, Canada
2012
NA
business
Pushkar
President and
Misra
CEO, The
2003
Philippines
22 years
CEO, Europe
Source: Company
18
2013
BA in European Business
Corporate Governance
CRISILs fundamental grading methodology includes a broad assessment of corporate
governance and management quality, apart from other key factors such as industry and
business prospects, and financial performance. In this context, CRISIL Research analyses the
shareholding structure, board composition, typical board processes, disclosure standards and
related-party transactions. Any qualifications by regulators or auditors also serve as useful
inputs while assessing a companys corporate governance.
Overall, corporate governance at Hinduja Global meets the regulatory requirement it has
good board practices and an independent board.
above the requirement under clause 49 of SEBIs listing guidelines (where one-third of the
directors must be independent when the chairman of the board is non-executive).
The directors are well qualified with strong industry experience:
the managing partner at M.P. Chitale and Associates (legal and tax firm). He also serves
India, Unit Trust of India, Small Industries Development Bank of India, National Stock
Exchange of India Ltd and SBI Capital Markets Ltd.
Mr Rangan Mohan, independent director, holds a B.Tech Chemical Engineer degree and
exercise independence in
decision making
(CSI).
legal practice. He was the former managing committee member of the Income-Tax
five years
19
Six board meetings were held in FY13. Only Mr Rajendra Chitale, independent director,
attended all the board meetings; Ms. Vinoo Hinduja attended 50% of the board meetings.
Board processes
The company has audit, compensation, investor grievance committees in place to support
corporate governance. The audit committee is chaired by an independent director - Mr Anil
Harish.
20
Valuation
Grade: 4/5
CRISIL Research has arrived at a fair value of 674 per share for Hinduja Global using the
discounted cash flow (DCF) method, after lowering some of the contingent liability risk. Based
on discounted cash flow, we have arrived at 686 per share. From this, we have deducted
12 per share factoring 89% discount on contingent liability. The fair value implies P/E
multiples of 7.2x FY15E and 6.0x FY16E earnings. The stock is currently trading at 590 per
share. Consequently, the valuation grade is 4/5.
Valuation break-up
Value ( mn)
14,414
686
253
12
14,161
674
Equity value
Less: Contingent liability (Factoring 89% discount)
Net value
Source: CRISIL Research
We have considered the discounted value of the firms estimated free cash flows from
FY14 to FY21.
We have assumed a terminal growth rate of 2.5% beyond the explicit forecast period until
FY21.
WACC computation
FY14-21
Cost of equity
Cost of debt (post tax)
WACC
Terminal growth rate
Terminal value
18.4%
18.4%
9.2%
9.2%
15.6%
15.6%
3%
Terminal WACC
2.0%
3.0%
4.0%
5.0%
13.6%
737
780
831
892
968
14.6%
676
711
751
799
857
15.6%
626
654
686
724
770
16.6%
584
607
633
664
699
17.6%
548
567
589
614
642
21
EV
1x
2x
P/E movement
Feb-14
4x
12
-10%
-20%
10
+1 std dev
-30%
8
-40%
-50%
-60%
-70%
-80%
-1 std dev
Median PE
Feb-14
Oct-13
Jun-13
Jan-13
Sep-12
May-12
Jan-12
Sep-11
Jan-11
May-11
Aug-10
Apr-10
Dec-09
Aug-09
Apr-09
Dec-08
Apr-08
Aug-08
Feb-14
Oct-13
Jun-13
Jan-13
Sep-12
May-12
Jan-12
Sep-11
Jan-11
May-11
Sep-10
Apr-10
Dec-09
Apr-09
Aug-09
Dec-08
Aug-08
Apr-08
22
Oct-13
3x
(Times)
0%
-90%
Jun-13
Jan-13
Sep-12
Jan-12
2x
5x
May-12
1x
4x
Sep-11
Hinduja Global
3x
Jan-11
Apr-08
Jul-08
Oct-08
Jan-09
Apr-09
Jul-09
Oct-09
Jan-10
Apr-10
Jul-10
Oct-10
Jan-11
Apr-11
Jul-11
Oct-11
Jan-12
Apr-12
Jul-12
Oct-12
Feb-13
May-13
Aug-13
Nov-13
Feb-14
100
May-11
200
Apr-10
300
Aug-10
400
Dec-09
500
Apr-09
600
Aug-09
16,000
14,000
12,000
10,000
8,000
6,000
4,000
2,000
0
(2,000)
(4,000)
Apr-08
( mn)
700
Dec-08
()
Aug-08
Peer valuation
P/E (x)
Unit
Hinduja Global*
M.Cap
FY13 FY14E
P/b (x)
EV/EBITDA (x)
RoE (%)
FY15E FY16E FY13 FY14E FY15E FY16E FY13 FY14E FY15E FY16E
bn
12
13.3
7.0
6.3
5.2
1.0
0.9
0.8
0.7
5.9
4.2
3.5
2.8
7.7
13.4
13.6
14.8
bn
19
3.5
9.8
6.8
5.3
0.4
0.9
0.8
0.7
6.7
7.5
6.2
5.4
9.3
10.3
12.8
14.7
WNS
US$ bn
1.0
44.6
15.0
13.5
12.4
2.1
3.2
3.0
2.5
8.6
12.5
10.6
9.4
4.6
15.9
18.6
21.2
Genpact
US$ bn
3.8
16.4
16.4
14.6
12.6
3.0
3.0
2.9
2.0
11.0
10.6
9.9
8.5
13.7
19.5
18.4
18.7
30.5
15.7
14.1
12.5
2.6
3.1
3.0
2.3
9.8
11.5
10.2
8.9
9.1
17.7
18.5
19.9
Median
Integrated players
(offering IT and BPM
services)
Wipro
bn
1,473
17.5
19.1
16.3
14.5
3.8
4.4
3.7
3.1
13.2
14.0
11.9
10.7
23.3
24.5
24.0
23.0
Infosys
bn
2,196
17.5
18.3
16.0
14.1
4.4
4.7
4.0
3.4
12.3
14.3
12.0
10.6
27.2
24.5
24.6
24.1
17.5
18.7
16.1
14.3
4.1
4.5
3.8
3.2
12.8
14.2
12.0
10.6
25.3
24.5
24.3
23.5
Median
23
Company Overview
Hinduja Global provides outsourcing solutions such as customer relationship management,
transaction processing and customised IT solutions to domestic and international clients. Bulk
of its billing is based on transaction pricing (per claim processed, per chats done). It caters to
535 clients through 56 delivery centres across Canada, France, Germany, India, Italy,
Jamaica, the Netherlands, the Philippines, the UK and the US.
History
Established in 1993, Hinduja Global (erstwhile known as Ashok Leyland Information
Technology - ALIT) started operations by providing information technology services. ALIT was
merged with Hinduja Finance Corporation in 2000 to form Hinduja TMT. Hinduja TMT
ventured into BPO services in 2000.
In October 2006, Hinduja TMT (now known as Hinduja Ventures) demerged its IT/ITES
business into a separate company - HTMT Global Solutions Ltd (now called Hinduja Global).
The demerger share entitlement ratio was one equity share of Hinduja Global for every two
Prior to the demerger, Hinduja TMT sold its investment in Hutch telecom circle for a
consideration of US$240 mn, which got equally split between Hinduja TMT and Hinduja
Global. Using US$120 mn, Hinduja Global acquired Affina, the US in 2006.
Holding structure
HGSL, India
100 %
100 %
HGS International,
Mauritius
100 %
100 %
100 %
HGS Europe
Ltd, UK
100 %
100 %
100 %
HGS UK Ltd, UK
(Careline UK)
HGS
France (*)
C Cubed BV
Netherlands
100 %
100 %
100 %
HGS Canada
Holdings LLC,
USA
100 %
100 %
100 %
HGS
Properties
LLC USA
Customer
Contract Centre
Inc., Philippines
100 %
100 %
Operating co
24
Automotive
Ashok Leyland Ltd
Hinduja Leyland Finance Ltd
Hinduja Foundries Ltd
Oil and Gas
Gulf Oil International Ltd
Gulf Oil Corporation Ltd
Houghton International
Banking & Finance
Hinduja Bank (Switzerland) Ltd
IndusInd Bank Ltd
IT and BPO
Hinduja Global Solutions Ltd
Defiance Technologies Ltd
Power
Hinduja National Power Corporation Ltd
Media
IndusInd Media & Communications Ltd
Real Estate
IndusInd Media & Communications Ltd
Healthcare
Hinduja Healthcare Surgical
Philonthropy
KBP Hinduja College of Commerce
PD Hinduja National Hospital
Others
Hinduja Ventures, etc
% holding
9.2
2.3
1.9
1.5
1.4
Source: NSE
25
Balance Sheet
FY12
15,543
1,820
11.7%
613
1,207
292
915
260
115
1,290
229
1,061
115
945
FY13
19,845
2,319
11.7%
772
1,547
437
1,110
206
(8)
1,308
402
906
(8)
914
FY14E
25,209
3,240
12.9%
881
2,359
398
1,962
347
2,309
583
1,726
1,726
FY15E
28,587
3,735
13.1%
955
2,780
384
2,396
298
2,694
765
1,929
1,929
FY16E
32,556
4,325
13.3%
1,041
3,284
363
2,921
315
3,236
919
2,317
2,317
FY12
FY13
FY14E
FY15E
FY16E
44.8
16.4
(10.1)
(10.1)
27.7
27.4
(3.3)
(3.3)
27.0
39.7
88.9
88.9
13.4
15.3
11.8
11.8
13.9
15.8
20.1
20.1
Profitability
EBITDA margin (%)
Adj PAT Margin (%)
RoE (%)
RoCE (%)
RoIC (%)
11.7
6.1
8.8
8.0
17.8
11.7
4.6
7.7
8.5
12.3
12.9
6.8
13.4
12.8
17.2
13.1
6.7
13.6
14.2
17.1
13.3
7.1
14.8
15.8
18.9
Valuations
Price-earnings (x)
Price-book (x)
EV/EBITDA (x)
EV/Sales (x)
Dividend payout ratio (%)
Dividend yield (%)
12.8
1.1
9.4
1.1
38.8
3.4
13.3
1.0
5.9
0.7
45.5
3.4
7.0
0.9
4.2
0.5
29.1
4.1
6.3
0.8
3.5
0.5
25.7
4.1
5.2
0.7
2.8
0.4
22.4
4.3
Ratios
Grow th
Operating income (%)
EBITDA (%)
Adj PAT (%)
Adj EPS (%)
B/S ratios
Inventory days
Creditors days
Debtor days (excluding unbilled revenues)
Debtor days (including unbilled revenues)
Working capital days
Gross asset turnover (x)
Net asset turnover (x)
Sales/operating assets (x)
Current ratio (x)
Debt-equity (x)
Net debt/equity (x)
Interest coverage
EBIT/Interest (x)
EBITDA/Interest (x)
50
73
84
63
2.8
5.5
5.5
3.0
0.6
0.4
37
73
82
82
3.0
6.0
6.0
4.3
0.4
0.1
36
73
83
82
3.5
7.8
7.8
4.0
0.4
0.1
36
73
83
82
3.5
9.2
9.2
4.0
0.4
0.1
4.1
6.2
3.5
5.3
5.9
8.1
7.2
9.7
36
73
83
82
3.7
11.2
11.2
4.0
0.3
(0.0)
9.1
11.9
Per share
Adj EPS ()
CEPS
Book value
Dividend ()
Actual o/s shares (mn)
26
FY12
45.9
75.7
552.9
20.0
FY13
44.4
81.9
600.1
20.0
FY14E
83.8
126.6
654.6
24.4
FY15E
93.7
140.1
719.2
24.1
FY16E
112.5
163.1
801.3
25.2
20.6
20.6
20.6
20.6
20.6
( m n)
Liabilities
Equity share capital
Reserves
Minorities
Net w orth
Convertible debt
Other debt
Total debt
Deferred tax liability (net)
Total liabilities
Assets
Net fixed assets
Capital WIP
Total fixed assets
Investm ents
Current assets
Inventory
Sundry debtors
Loans and advances
Cash & bank balance
Marketable securities
Total current assets
Total current liabilities
Net current assets
Intangibles/Misc. expenditure
Total assets
FY12
FY13
FY14E
FY15E
FY16E
206
11,177
11,383
7,330
7,330
100
18,812
206
12,149
12,355
5,510
5,510
242
18,107
206
13,271
13,477
5,460
5,460
146
19,083
206
14,602
14,808
5,360
5,360
146
20,314
206
16,293
16,499
4,860
4,860
146
21,505
3,329
6
3,335
4,822
3,248
29
3,277
120
3,195
0
3,195
120
3,040
0
3,040
120
2,799
0
2,799
120
3,101
2,163
2,384
56
7,705
2,597
5,108
5,546
18,812
3,975
3,022
4,016
69
11,081
2,556
8,526
6,185
18,107
5,045
3,839
3,875
69
12,828
3,246
9,582
6,185
19,083
5,721
4,353
4,494
69
14,637
3,668
10,969
6,185
20,314
6,516
4,957
5,023
69
16,565
4,164
12,401
6,185
21,505
FY12
1,174
(307)
613
(971)
510
FY13
1,316
(260)
772
(1,773)
56
FY14E
FY15E
FY16E
2,309
(679)
881
(1,198)
1,313
2,694
(765)
955
(768)
2,117
3,236
(919)
1,041
(903)
2,454
(5,721)
(4,865)
(10,586)
(1,352)
4,689
3,337
(800)
(800)
(800)
(800)
(800)
(800)
5,822
(479)
928
6,271
(3,805)
2,384
(1,819)
(482)
540
(1,761)
1,632
4,016
(50)
(604)
(654)
(141)
3,875
(100)
(598)
(0)
(698)
619
4,494
(500)
(626)
(1,126)
529
5,023
Q3FY13
5,212
11%
533
7%
10.2%
200
200
80%
4%
Q4FY13
5,262
1%
758
42%
14.4%
402
402
101%
8%
Q1FY14
5,592
6%
634
-16%
11.3%
376
376
-6%
7%
Q2FY14
6,473
16%
814
28%
12.6%
429
429
14%
7%
Q3FY14
6,569
1%
919
13%
14.0%
541
541
26%
8%
Cash flow
( m n)
Pre-tax profit
Total tax paid
Depreciation
Working capital changes
Net cash from operations
Cash from investm ents
Capital expenditure
Investments and others
Net cash from investm ents
Cash from financing
Equity raised/(repaid)
Debt raised/(repaid)
Dividend (incl. tax)
Others (incl extraordinaries)
Net cash from financing
Change in cash position
Closing cash
Quarterly financials
( m n)
Net Sales
Change (q-o-q)
EBITDA
Change (q-o-q)
EBITDA m argin
PAT
Adj PAT
Change (q-o-q)
Adj PAT m argin
Adj EPS
9.7
19.5
18.3
20.9
26.3
Focus Charts
Offers various services across diverse verticals
Health
Insurance
14%
Europe
9%
Consumer
Electronics
8%
The US
28%
The
Philippines
15%
BFSI
4%
Media
4%
Chemicals &
Biotech
1%
Others
3%
Total
50%
Canada
23%
India
25%
($ mn)
( mn)
37%
500
40%
5,000
35%
4,500
30%
400
25%
14%
200
11%
14%
2,500
15%
2,000
10%
100
324
364
414
460
524
FY12
FY13
FY14E
FY15E
FY16E
5%
1,000
500
FY14E
FY15E
FY16E
10.5
EBITDA margins (RHS)
FY14E
RoE
FY15E
FY16E
RoCE (RHS)
Hinduja Global
Feb-14
0.0
Aug-13
2.0
0.0
Mar-13
20
2.0
Sep-12
4.0
Mar-12
40
4.0
8.5
Sep-11
60
6.0
8.0
Apr-11
80
8.0
12.8
Oct-10
100
10.0
14.2
Apr-10
120
12.0
12.0
FY13
FY13
Oct-09
140
14.0
13.6
15.8
FY12
FY12
May-09
160
16.0
13.4
8.0
4,325
Nov-08
180
18.0
6.0
3,735
7.7
3,240
(%)
8.8
2,319
(%)
10.0
11.0
1,820
EBITDA
so do return ratios
14.0
12.0
11.5
16.0
11.7
11.7
1,500
0%
Revenues
12.5
3,000
20%
13.5
13.0
3,500
May-08
13%
13.1
12.9
Nov-07
300
(%)
13.3
4,000
Jun-07
600
CNX 500
-Indexed to 100
Source: Company, CRISIL Research
27
RESEARCH
CRISIL Research
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Hyderabad - 500 482, India
Phone: +91 40 2335 8103/05
Fax: +91 40 2335 7507
Bengaluru
W-101, Sunrise Chambers,
22, Ulsoor Road,
Bengaluru - 560 042, India
Phone: +91 80 2558 0899
+91 80 2559 4802
Fax: +91 80 2559 4801
Kolkata
Horizon, Block 'B', 4th Floor
57 Chowringhee Road
Kolkata - 700 071, India
Phone: +91 33 2289 1949/50
Fax: +91 33 2283 0597
Chennai
Thapar House,
43/44, Montieth Road, Egmore,
Chennai - 600 008, India
Phone: +91 44 2854 6205/06
+91 44 2854 6093
Fax: +91 44 2854 7531
Pune
1187/17, Ghole Road,
Shivaji Nagar,
Pune - 411 005, India
Phone: +91 20 2553 9064/67
Fax: +91 20 4018 1930
Gurgaon
Plot No. 46
Sector 44
Opp. PF Office
Gurgaon - 122 003, India
Phone: +91 124 6722 000
YouTube
CRISIL Limited
CRISIL House, Central Avenue,
Hiranandani Business Park, Powai, Mumbai 400076. India
Phone: +91 22 3342 3000 | Fax: +91 22 3342 8088
www.crisil.com
CRISIL Ltd is a Standard & Poor's company