Escolar Documentos
Profissional Documentos
Cultura Documentos
March, 2012
Forward-looking Statements
This presentation contains forward-looking statements. These statements are not
historical facts and are based on managements objectives and estimates. The
words "anticipate", "believe", "expect", "estimate", "intend", "plan", "project",
"aim" and similar words indicate forward-looking statements. Although we
believe they are based on reasonable assumptions, these statements are based
on the information currently available to management and are subject to a
number of risks and uncertainties.
The forward-looking statements in this presentation are valid only on the date
they are made (December 31, 2011) and the Company does not assume any
obligation to update them in light of new information or future developments.
Braskem is not responsible for any transaction or investment decision taken
based on the information in this presentation.
Agenda
Overview
The petrochemical industry
Braskem key differentiators
Looking forward: Accretive pipeline in the Americas
Brazil
International expansion
Renewable chemicals
Results
Priorities
1
W.Virginia
1
Philadelphia
3 Texas
2009
2010
2011
Net Revenue
22.6
27.8
33.2
EBITDA
3.2
4.1
3.7
Net Debt/EBITDA
2.67x
2.43x
3.20x
US$ billion
2009
2010
2011
Net Revenue
11.6
15.8
19.9
EBITDA
1.6
2.3
2.2
2.98x
2.56x
2.83x
Net Debt/EBITDA
2 PP
(Wesseling
and
Schkopau)
1 naphtha cracker
1 ethanol cracker
5 PE
2 PP
1 PVC
1 chlorine-soda
1 gas cracker
1 PP
1 PE
1 hybrid cracker
2 PP
3 PE
Industrial Assets
Agenda
Overview
The petrochemical industry
Braskem key differentiators
Looking forward: Accretive pipeline in the Americas
Brazil
International expansion
Renewable chemicals
Results
Priorities
7.3
6.5
7
6
5
4
China
China
3.6
3.2
China
6.3
2.2
China
Iran
2
1
Iran
Iran
0
-1
2011
2012
2013
Europe & CIS
2014
M.East
2015
Americas
2016
Asia
84.9
85.2
87.4
87.5
87.4
89.6
163
167
89.2
173
156
144
150
147
143
122
2010
131
125
2011
2012e
Demand
150
156
137
2013e
2014e
2015e
2016e
Nameplate Capacity
Agenda
Overview
The petrochemical industry
Braskem key differentiators
Looking forward: Accretive pipeline in the Americas
Brazil
International expansion
Renewable chemicals
Results
Priorities
Going Global
Dow PP Plants
Sunoco PP Plants
Capacity (kton/year)
PVC Expansion
200
OPP
Trikem
Polialden
1,765
1,765
1,865
1,910
2,341
1,200
1,280
1,280
1,280
1,280
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
Politeno
3,071
3,441
2,480
2,480
2007
2008
200
200
6,460
6,460
6,430
3,752
3,752
2009
2010
Green
Ethylene
7,680
Resins
3,752
3,752
Ethylene
2011
2012
CAGR: 19%
2.308
2.246
1.638
1.626
1.385
457
Market Cap
(US$ bi)
872
851
764
581
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
0.2
1.6
4.6
2.9
2.6
3.7
1.2
4.0
9.1
6.6
9
Braskem responsible for over 60% of the capacity share of thermoplastic resins* in South
America 65% market share in Brazil.
South America:
Second player has around
10% of Braskems capacity
W.Europe
# 29 players
North America
# 32 players
M.East
# 38 players
185
650
Petroken (LYB):
180
Ecopetrol:
548
Petroq. Cuyo:
130
Solvay Indupa:
541
PETROQUIM :
120
Polinter:
495
Propilven :
115
Mexichem:
416
Petro Dow:
42
Braskem: 5,510
PBB Polisur (Dow):
N.Asia
~# 150 players
S.Asia
~# 40 players
South America
# 12 players
40% Petrobras Energia; 50,5% Admire Trading Corp and 9,5% Panam SA
10
demand growth
PVC*
4,0%
6,1%
2,9%
CAGR: 5.8%
-0,3%
4,9
4,9
4,0
3,7
4,0
4,2
4,2
10,0%
7,5%
5,2%
kg/person
4,8
4,9
4,2
4,3
57
0,0%
47
-5,0%
-10,0%
20
-15,0%
3,7
66
Brazil
5,0%
22
23
23
2007
2008
2009
26
25
2010
2011e
34
-20,0%
2006
2006
2007
2007
2008
2008
2009
2009
2010
2010
2011
2011e
-25,0%
2006
USA
Europe
Japan
China
GDP (%)
Real appreciation
Subsidized ports PRS 72**
11
207
220
2011
200
180
160
OTHERS
140
120
100
80
mar/02 jun/03
RETAIL
10%
5%
AGRIBUSINESS
set/04 dez/05 mar/07 jun/08
AUTOMOTIVE
FOOD PACKAGING
30%
5%
6%
Average Income
CONSTRUCTION
14%
10%
11%
INDUSTRIAL
9%
CONSUMER
GOODS
HYGIENE AND
CLEANING
12
Braskem 2012
Braskem 2018e 2
4%
5% 16%
3%
33%
45%
1 Considering
2 Considering
Mexico Project
Comperj Project
52%
63%
78%
gas
naphtha
ethanol
5,799
5,063
2,014
830
830
1,121
984
352
530
151
591
662
703
602
530
1,254 151
662
2006
2007
2008
2009 2006
Source: Braskem
149
332
204
Ethylene/Propylene
Butadiene
328 591
703
312 332
204
872
602
2010 2007
2011 2008
149
932
BTX
Ethylene/Propylene
2,853
352
1,084
358
1,254
1,411
2006
2009
Butadiene
3,654
3,054
1,121
984
1,472
1,931
3,077
1,202
328
342
312
725
932
1,510
872
1,457
1,361
2007
2010
2008
2011
2009
BTX
1,321
1,092
395
1,547
2,040
2,238
2010
2011
13
NEW DEVELOPMENTS
Polyethylene
Grain bags
Water tanks
+ 5kton/y
+ 32kton/y
Geomembrane
+ 10kton/y
PVC
Polypropylene
Roof Tiles
Windows
Building system
+ 120kton/y
+ 2kton/y
+ 30kton/y
Auto grade
Wash machine
Bags
+ 4kton/y
+ 6kton/y
+ 2kton/y
14
Government Initiatives
Supporting the competitiveness of the Brazilian Industry
Innovation Incentives:
Stimulate technological developments
Intensify industry's competitiveness in domestic and foreign markets
Government Incentives
Benefits
product demand
Tax Benefit: between 60% to 80% of Innovation
Lei do Bem
Innovation Incentives
15
Agenda
Overview
The petrochemical industry
Braskem key differentiators
Looking forward: Accretive pipeline in the Americas
Brazil
International expansion
Renewable chemicals
Results
Priorities
16
Brazil
International
Expansion
Sustainable
Chemicals
To be the
global leader in
sustainable
chemicals,
innovating to
better serve
people
Brazil
Adding value to the existing streams
PVC Expansion:
Sole integrated producer in the vinyls chain in the Brazilian market
Additional capacity of 200 kton/y in Alagoas (northeast complex) using
its current EDC surplus (intermediated product to produce PVC)
Start-up: May 2012
Construction: in the final phase. 80% of works completed
Capex of US$470 million and expected NPV of ~US$450 million
Investment to date: R$ 604 million (2010-2011)
Market-driven project: to supply the growing domestic demand of PVC
Demand increased 4% in 2011 with imports of 330kton/y
kton
21%
943
22%
29%
Scenario:
29%
Present
EDC
Exports
2009
2010
Future
Domestic Sales
PVC
2011
Imports
18
Brazil
Adding value to the existing streams
Butadiene Expansion:
Additional capacity of 100 kton/y in Triunfo (south complex) using its
current crude C4 surplus
Start-up: July 2012
Construction: 69% of the project completed, test phase
Capex of R$300 million
Investment to date: R$ 127 million
Product pre-sale agreements of ~R$200 million
Market-driven project: to meet the growing global demand for
butadiene
2011 prices vs. 2010 rose by 55%
Raw material for the manufacturing of rubber tires and
synthetic rubbers
Comperj
2011: conclusion of the first phase of the FEL1 (Front End Loading)
engineering process
2012: final detailing of the scope of the petrochemical project at
Comperj (FEL2), based on the definition by Petrobras of the
feedstock to be used
Scenario:
Present
Crude C4
Stream*
Future
Butadiene
100 kton/y
International: Mexico
Feedstock diversification with competitive cost
Greenfield Project Ethylene XXI:
JV (65% Braskem and 35% Idesa)
Largest petrochemical complex in Mexico
World scale integrated project: 1 Mton/y of ethylene +
1Mton/y of PE
Ethylene XXI
Converters Profile
Mexico
Brazil
Big; 4%
2012 Priorities:
Project Finance structuring and conclusion of the due
diligence
Small
24%
Big
27%
Micros
60%
Small
45%
Medium
28%
Sustainable chemicals
Strategic path forward for our Renewable Chemicals business
2nd Wave
Grow
1st Wave
Get to know the Market
Phases
We are
here
Leverage assets
and be pioneer
2010 - 2014
3rd Wave
Perpetuate
Sustainable growth to
consolidate PE and PP
Leadership
~2020
2015 - 2019
Capacity
Green
PE
200 kt Green PE
(Triunfo-RS)
Green
PP
30kt+ Green PP
Existent Technology
Technology
Improvement
Capacity
230 kt+
TBD
TBD
New capacities
Green PE
New capacity Green PP
Additional
Capacities
Bigger Capacities
Green PP
21
Green PE
Partnership with leading global companies reinforce sustainability
strategy
National and international market Leader ensure that
Braskems biopolymer adds value to their business and
sustainability strategy:
Danone
Faber-Castell
Johnson & Johnson
Estrela
Amsterdam Arena
Nestl
Natura
P&G
Chanel
Tigre
22
Agenda
Overview
The petrochemical industry
Braskem key differentiators
Looking forward: Accretive pipeline in the Americas
Brazil
International expansion
Renewable chemicals
Results
Priorities
23
2011 Highlights
Year performance
Average capacity utilization at crackers of 83%
Net revenue of R$33 billion (US$20 billion), up 19% (25%) from 2010
2011 EBITDA of R$3.7 billion, or US$2.2 billion
Power blackout
Higher supply of imported goods entering through subsidized ports + real appreciation
Capture of synergies from Quattor acquisition of R$400 million in annual and recurring EBITDA,
6% above initial expectation
Implemented in 2H12 of a program to reduce fixed costs, which neutralized the impacts from
inflation (IPCA) of 6.5%, wage increases and integration of the new assets
Partnership with Basf to supply propylene to the acrylic complex to be built in Bahia
Conclusion of 1st phase of engineering project for Comperj (FEL1)
Origin
Imports
- Resins
2011
of
Origin
of Imports
(PE+PP+PVC)
(million tons)
Others
15%
-1%
4.9
Argentina
22%
Europe
9%
North America
24%
Asia
17%
4.9
Colombia
13%
2011 GDP
2011
2.7%
2011 Plastic goods volume 2011*
6.4%
2011 Plastic industry**
-1.5%
2011 Imports of converted plastics ***
7.5%
25
4.2 MM ton
4.2 MM ton
4.9 MM ton
4.9 MM ton
1.83
2.00
1.76
45%
51%
1.67
RESINS IMPORTS:
% through
Subsidized Ports
62%
+17%
113
7473
6767
4871
211
253
210
178
Kton 250
206
2Q10
71
64
206
234
113
67
67
86
+28%
6467
1,403
+15%
250
253
288
234
283
933
288
267
277
74
67
71
48
50
1Q1046 2Q1042 3Q1049 4Q1054 1Q11
2Q1139 3Q11
4Q11
3Q10
4Q10
1Q11 PVC2Q11
3Q11
4Q11
PE+PP
210
211
206
1Q10
2Q10
200
199
212
225
198
226
350
353
283
277
811267
401
1,197
284
199
3Q09
73
86
64%
323
320
73
67
250
253
234
3Q10
4Q10
1Q11
299
113
86
67
64
4Q09
PVC
153
158
150
158
175
159
178
1Q08
2Q08
3Q08
4Q08
1Q09
2Q09
3Q09
4Q09
PE+PP
267
288
283
2Q11
3Q11
4Q11
PVC
1,355
FX impact
(1,687) on revenue
4,055
136
221
3,742
Fixed Costs +
SG&A + Others
EBITDA
2011
( 338 )
( 332)
EBITDA
2010
Volume
Contribution
Margin
FX
27
R$ million
R$ million
65
124
67
277
400
400
268
115
Industrial
Logistics
Supply
EBITDA Synergies
Revenue
COGS
EBITDA Synergies
Full synergies of R$495 million in annual and recurring EBITDA should be captured in 2012
Better integrated planning of petrochemical complexes and 2nd generation plants (thermoplastic
resins)
Source: Braskem
28
Amortization Schedule(1)
(R$ million)
12/31/2011
Capital
Market
40%
*
1,125
22%
21%
Banks
37%
823
4,317
9%
8%
2,369
1,403
1,293
Dvida
Net Debt
Lquida
/ EBITDA
/ EBITDA
12%
12%
3,192
7%
3,295
8%
(US$(US$)
milhes)(US$)
Net Debt/EBITDA
3,221
Sep 11
1,908
1,822
1,134
2.32x
+22%
1,214
Dec 11
12/31/11
Cash
2012
2013
Invested in US$
Invested in R$
2014
2015
2016
2017/
2018
2019/
2020
(1)
2021
onwards
2.83x
Dvida
Net Debt
Lquida
/ EBITDA
/ EBITDA
Corporate Credit
Rating
Global Scale
(US$
(R$)
milhes)
Sep 11 Rating
Risk Agency
Outlook2.62x Reviewed on
+22%
Fitch
BBB-
Stable
S&P
BBB-
Stable
03/30/2011
Moodys
Baa3
Stable
03/31/2011
Dec 11
11/01/2011
3.20x
29
Natural Hedge: US dollar linked cash flow leads to a net debt ~70%
dollar-pegged
Braskem prices follow the international market:
100 Basis:
1Q08
120
Partially
dollar-pegged
100
80
60
40
20
0
1Q08 2Q08 3Q08 4Q08 1Q09 2Q09 3Q09 4Q09 1Q10 2Q10 3Q10 4Q10 1Q11 2Q11 3Q11 4Q11
Naphtha
48.6%
Natural Gas
2.6%
Gas as feedstock
22.2%
Totally dollarpegged
Capex
Investments totaled R$2.1 billion in 2011
R$ million
78
289
1,644
2,078
191
(36)
151
1,712
207
260
102
89
142
113
696
243
Mexico
HSE
145
Equipment Replacement
512
407
391
94
278
84
35
280
305
Maintenance
Productivity
Others
Investments
2011e
Mexico
Capacity
Equipment
Increase - Brazil Replacement
Maintenance
Shutdown
Others*
Investments
2011
Investments
2012e
Investments in Ethylene XXI - Mexico project due to the moving forward of earthmoving works and the advances made to
acquire equipment with long manufacturing and delivery lead-times;
Acceleration of PVC and Butadiene capacity expansion projects, in line with the Companys strategy to add value to existing
streams;
Higher spending on maintenance, due to the unscheduled shutdowns at plants in the Northeast and the moving forward of
the scheduled shutdown on one of the lines at Camaari.
31
Agenda
Successful trajectory of growth
The petrochemical industry
Braskem key differentiators
Looking forward: Accretive pipeline in the Americas
Brazil
International expansion
Renewable chemicals
Results
Priorities
32
33
Further progress on engineering studies for Comperj (FEL2) and feedstock definition
Increasing Braskems leadership in renewable chemical
Maintaining liquidity and financial health in a scenario of global crisis
34
Appendix
Braskem
Corporate Governance Principles
- Conglomerate;
- World leader in
E&P in deep
waters;
Minority
Shareholders
50.1% / 38.1%
0.0% / 5.5%
2.9% / 20.1%
47.0% / 36.0%
- Present in the
industry as
investor, supplier
and client;
Governance
- Investment Grade
by all 3 Rating
Agencies.
Odebrecht as the controlling shareholder reinforces Braskems condition as a listed privately-owned company
Petrobras appoints the Vice-Chairman, as well as three options for Portfolio & Investment Director, one
to be selected by the CEO;
All the positions will be filled by highly qualified professionals with recognized competency for the
position.
Braskem Executive Directors in charge of operational issues and Companys Business Plan which shall be
approved by the Board
Sole vehicle for petrochemical investments of both shareholders, Braskem has the right:
10,616
930
9,472
5,696
4,659
2,150
6th
9,023
351
8,289
8th
7,680
7,544
710
2,904
6,490
3,169
1,729
3,935
7,322
5,075
4,920
8,289
2,273
5,768
3,035
SINOPEC
LyondellBasell
Exxon Mobil
1,705
SABIC
DOW
2,102
Braskem
Formosa
6,430
510
5,792
2,885
2,968
PVC
4,774
PP
2,715
PE
3,056
3,035
2,824
2,059
Ineos
Braskem w/ PP
Dow e w/ PVC
Expansion
PetroChina
Total PC
710
3,390
6,430
510
2,885
5,157
4,641
1,230
4,436
1,911
3,035
3,035
3,927
PVC
3,302
1,376
4,641
2,525
863
2,640
2,640
PP
2,292
2,292
1,063
Braskem
Braskem w/ PP
Dow e w/ PVC
Expansion
Exxon Mobil
DOW
LyondellBasell
Formosa
Shin-Etsu
Chevron Phillips
1,741
815
1,620
440
926
1,180
Ineos
Total
PE
38
131
125
2011e
137
2012e
2013e
176
171
166
162
158
143
2014e
Supply
150
2015e
156
2016e
Demand
CAGR 11-16
2.5%
CAGR 11-16
3.2%
234
240
248
224
57
55
57
54
56
63
66
69
93
95
99
105
108
113
2011e
2012e
2013e
2014e
2015e
2016e
214
207
51
PE
Source: CMAI, Mar 2012
76
73
PP
PVC
78
189
206
179
198
171
43
36
38
41
44
40
56
59
65
53
62
51
76
80
84
89
93
97
2011e
2012e
2013e
2014e
2015e
2016e
163
PE
PP
PVC
39
2012e
China; 22%
2016e
North America;
17%
North America;
16%
China; 24%
South America;
5%
South America;
5%
Europe; 17%
Asia ex-China;
22%
Europe; 18%
Africa; 3%
Middle East;
12%
Asia ex-China;
22%
Africa; 3%
Middle East;
13%
According to CMAI the Brazilian demand for resins will represent 3% of global
demand in 2012
40
PVC
PE + PP
Others
2%
Others
21%
Europe
12%
Asia
15%
Asia
18%
Argentina
20%
North America
26%
Colombia
3%
Colombia
35%
Europe
2%
Argentina
26%
North America
20%
41
Revenues breakdown
2011 Revenues
R$ 33,2 billion
7%
13%
38%
10%
26%
Polyolefins
Vinyls
Basic Petrochemicals
5%
International Business
Resale
Others + Quantiq
42
Others
13%
Polyolefins
37%
International
Business
34%
BTX
9%
Ethylene +
Propylene; 4%
Butadiene; 3%
43
Africa
6%
North America
2%
Central America
1%
Europe
25%
South America
43%
Qualified
Sales
44
FX impact
on costs
785
940
( 58 )
(723)
FX impact
on revenue
119
718
Fixed Costs +
SG&A + Others
EBITDA
4Q11
62
(345 )
EBITDA
3Q11
Volume
Contribution
Margin
FX
45
R$ million
4Q11
3Q11
2011
2010
Net Revenues
8,710
8,686
33,176
27,829
718
940
3,742
4,055
(607)
(2.064)
(2,805)
(1,618)
(210)
(1.620)
(1,237)
405
(60)
(65)
(242)
(355)
(337)
(379)
(1,326)
(1,668)
FX Rate - final
1.88
1.85
1.88
1.67
Monetary Variation
+1.2%
+18.8%
+12.6%
-4.3%
EBITDA
Net Financial Result
46
Outstanding Bonds
Maturity
Coupon
(% p.a.)
Yield **
(% p.a.)
US$84.3 million*
Jan/2014
11.750
2.866
US$65.3 million*
Jun/2015
9.375
4.072
US$130.7 million*
Jan/2017
8.000
5.239
US$500 million
Jun/2018
7.250
4.679
US$750 million
May/2020
7.000
5.067
US$500 million
Jul/2041
7.125
7.062
US$750 million +
US$250 million Retap
Apr/2021
5.750
5.026
US$450 million +
US$250 million Retap
Perpetual
7.375
7.252
Transaction Highlights:
US$2.3 billion in demand from over 185 accounts. The transaction
was oversubscribed 9.2x
Re-opening executed at a yield 25 bps lower than the original
transaction
Transaction Highlights:
US$1.6 billion in demand from over 150 accounts. The transaction
was oversubscribed 6.5x
Priced at 100.375% face value
47
Covenants
+22%
2.32x
Sep 11
+22%
3.20x
2.83x
2.62x
Dec 11
Sep 11
Dec 11
Facility
Amount in
Dec 11
Currency
Type
Contract
Date
US$14 MM
US$
Maintenance
Mar and
Sep/2005
US$200 MM
US$
Maintenance
Mar/2011
*The company is prevented from issuing any new debt for the period if it overcomes the 4.5x Net debt / EBITDA ratio.
Source: Braskem
48
1st
PP Capacity in the
U S market (kton/y)
Transaction:
PP Capacity in the
U S market (kton/y)
1,425
1,230
1,422
4th
1,180
1,230
920
1,180
4th
863
920
815
863
815
447
Braskem
Post
Transaction
st
11,422
1,425
Lyondell
Basell
Braskem
Post
Transaction
Exxon
Mobil
Lyondell
Corp.
Basell
Total
Exxon
Mobil
Corp.
Braskem
Total
Formosa
Group
Braskem
Ineos
Formosa
Group
Conoco
Phillips
Ineos
Con
Ph
Freeport, Texas
Capacity: 320 kty
Start-up year: 2001
Technology: SPHERIPOL
Propylene
Long-term
propylene
contracts
505 kty
545 kty
Propylene
Seadrift, Texas
Capacity: 185 kty
Start-up year: 1985
Technology: UNIPOL
Schkopau, Germany
Capacity: 320 kty
Start-up year: 1991
Technology: UNIPOL
Merchant market
(synergy
opportunity)
50
Annual run-rate
synergies
between US$ 1820 million
Timeframe of
capturing the
synergies to be
disclosed after
closing the deal
NPV of synergies
expected to be around
$140MM
Portfolio
Optimization
Portfolio
optimization
and product
mix savings
Industrial
Quality &
reliability
improvements
at US assets
Procurement
Raw material
optimization
Logistics / Supply
Chain
Product
wheel in NA
& railcar
optimization
1-Time Costs
TOTAL
IT, closing
costs and
integration
costs *
51