Escolar Documentos
Profissional Documentos
Cultura Documentos
Table of Contents
Market Share
Pg. 3
EMI Overview
Pg. 6
Acquisition Strategy
Pg. 11
Pg. 15
o Creative Update
Pg. 16
Pg. 25
Pg. 30
Pg. 33
Pg. 43
Pg. 46
Mid-Range Plan
Pg. 52
Pg. 58
Market Share
40%
35%
35%
30%
30%
25%
22%
20%
15%
13%
10%
5%
0%
Other
4
Includes hundreds
of independent
publishers
Other includes BMG Rights Management and Kobalt. Based on public information available, BMG maintains revenue of
$390 million which would represent a market share of approximately 10% (based on recent acquisitions by BMG, we estimate
their market share could now be approximately 15%); Kobalt maintains revenue of $163 million which would represent a
market share of approximately 4%
4
35%
32%
30%
25%
22%
20%
15%
10%
14%
15%
10%
7%
5%
0%
Other
Song Title
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
BLURRED LINES
WE ARE THE CHAMPIONS
DIAMONDS
OVER THE RAINBOW
AIN'T NO MOUNTAIN HIGH ENOUGH
WE WILL ROCK YOU
DRIVE BY
SUMMERTIME SADNESS
BLOW ME (ONE LAST KISS)
WE FOUND LOVE
EVERY BREATH YOU TAKE
I FOLLOW RIVERS
JUST GIVE ME A REASON
DAYDREAM BELIEVER
SMOKE ON THE WATER
BOHEMIAN RHAPSODY
FEEL SO CLOSE
SANTA CLAUS IS COMIN' TO TOWN
ROYALS
GOOD FEELIN'
CAN'T TAKE MY EYES OFF YOU
YOU CAN'T HURRY LOVE
ABC
MY GIRL
ROLLING IN THE DEEP
Artist
ROBIN THICKE
QUEEN
RIHANNA
FILM - THE WIZARD OF OZ
MARVIN GAYE AND TAMMI TERRELL
QUEEN
TRAIN
LANA DEL REY
P!NK
CALVIN HARRIS
THE POLICE
LYKKE LI
P!NK
THE MONKEES
DEEP PURPLE
QUEEN
CALVIN HARRIS
VARIOUS
LORDE
FLO RIDA
FRANKIE VALLI
THE SUPREMES
THE JACKSON 5
THE TEMPTATIONS
ADELE
Revenue
$2,628
2,312
2,312
2,103
1,630
1,586
1,554
1,405
1,404
1,372
1,326
1,310
1,309
1,258
1,225
1,225
1,192
1,179
1,130
1,130
1,067
1,057
1,035
1,024
978
($ in Thousands)
Originating
Territory
Song Title
US
US
US
US
US
NETHERLANDS
US
UK
UK
UK
US
NETHERLANDS
UK
FRANCE
AUSTRALIA
US
AUSTRALIA
US
US
UK
AUSTRALIA
US
GERMANY
UK
US
VARIOUS
VARIOUS
VARIOUS
VARIOUS
DANGER AHEAD
AIN'T NO MOUNTAIN HIGH ENOUGH
VARIOUS
STRANGELOVE
JAMES BOND THEME
BOHEMIAN RHAPSODY
THE WIZARD OF OZ "SELECTION"
(YOUR LOVE HAS LIFTED ME) HIGHER & HIGHER
I PUT A SPELL ON YOU
TAKING A CHANCE ON LOVE
NINE TO FIVE (THEME)
MONY MONY
ABC
YOU ARE UNDENIABLE (AMERIGO REMIX)
SECOND CHANCE
FIRST ZULU APPEARANCE AND ASSAULT
TELL ME SOMETHING GOOD
GONNA FLY NOW
KRIBBELN IM BAUCH
UNDER PRESSURE
ZORBA THE GREEK (THEME)
Project/Source
YOUTUBE (INTERNET)
MTV - TV & NEW MEDIA EXTENSION (TV)
BEAUTIFUL - CAROLE KING (STAGE)
MOTOWN THE MUSICAL (STAGE)
TUMS (COMMERCIAL)
DHL (COMMERCIAL)
JERSEY BOYS (STAGE)
GUCCI "GUILTY" (COMMERCIAL)
P&G - 007 MALE FRAGRANCE (COMMERCIAL)
TUI (COMMERCIAL)
WIZARD OF OZ STOCK & AMATEUR (STAGE)
QATAR AIRWAYS (COMMERCIAL)
BURBERRY (COMMERCIAL)
CHANEL "CHANCE" (COMMERCIAL)
NESCAFE (COMMERCIAL)
NISSAN SENTRA (COMMERCIAL)
AUTOMATIVE HOLDINGS GROUP (COMMERCIAL)
APPLE - IPAD (COMMERCIAL)
WB: TWO BROKE GIRLS - MAIN TITLE (TV)
SAMSUNG (COMMERCIAL)
COLES SUPERMARKETS (COMMERCIAL)
JBL SPORTS SERIES HEADPHONES (COMMERCIAL)
FRIENDSCOUT24.COM (COMMERCIAL)
VOLKSWAGEN POLO (COMMERCIAL)
GOOGLE CHROMECAST (COMMERCIAL)
Revenue
$3,793
2,595
1,190
787
676
546
540
480
480
480
454
439
400
346
317
315
304
300
293
280
277
275
267
255
250
EMI head count has been reduced by approximately 60% (370 employees) and costs by 67% ($80 million)
10
Acquisition Strategy
11
Situation Overview
Worldwide Music Publishing Industry in Transition
We believe the Global Music Publishing Industry will be in transition over the next two to three years
o Declines in digital downloads and physical sales will outpace the growth in streaming revenues for
music publishers
Before the acquisition of EMI, Sony/ATV was able to mitigate declines in the mechanical market through
growth in market share
However, with the acquisition of EMI, Sony/ATV is now the leader in the music publishing industry with a
worldwide market share of approximately 30% (1)
Given our size, it is becoming more challenging to grow market share to offset declines
Therefore, we must explore other ways to grow the business during the current period of transition in the
marketplace which will include:
o Challenging the consent decree in the U.S. and obtaining fair market value for our digital rights
12 (1) Source: Music & Copyright, May 2014, based on worldwide revenue
We also plan to target opportunities within our own catalog and offer to purchase from writers all or a
portion of their copyright interests (e.g. co-publishing and writer royalties)
13
Recent Transactions
The following table represents catalog sales from the last few years. The transactions are representative
of the size and types of opportunities that Sony/ATV would pursue
($ in millions)
Acquirer
Target
Date
Purchase
Price
Atlas Publishing
Combustion Catalog
2014
$13
$1
15.6x
2014
$42
$4
12.0x
Talpa Music
2014
7.5x
Primary Wave
2013
$150
NA
NA
Ole
2013
$114
$16
7.4x
Bertelsmann
2013
Authentic Brands
2013
$125
NA
NA
Rosetta Catalog
2012
$90
$13
7.2x
Bug Music
2011
$320
$25
12.6x
Chrysalis
2010
128
12
10.8x
2010
$80
NA
NA
Cherry Lane
2010
$70
$5
13.0x
2009
$70
NA
NA
NPS
Mult
8.2x
Blended Multiple
14
8.9x
15
Creative Update
16
17
Worldwide administration agreement extended for five years for CBS entire TV music library
Advance is $30 million with recoupment of advance delayed until third year of five-year term
Purchase of co-venture partner David Beno Benvenistes partial copyright interests in Velvet
Hammer co-venture
Exclusive worldwide administration agreement extended for four years to administer Paramounts film
music library
Covers music in films including Transformers: Dark of the Moon, Mission Impossible: Ghost
Protocol and G.I. Joe
Total advance commitment is $9.8 million, $2.5 million of which will be paid in FY15
18
His second album X is the biggest-selling artist title of the year in the UK with nearly
Taylor Swift
Shake It Off achieved the highest first-week download sales of the year in the US and the
fourth biggest of all time when it opened with 544,000 units
The single debuted at No. 1 on the Hot 100 to become her second chart-topper and has to
date sold 2.2 million copies in the States
It has been a substantial hit around the world, including reaching No. 3 in the UK and No. 1
in Canada and Australia
Fifth studio album 1989 is released this week (October 27) and is anticipated to be one of
the biggest albums of the year
Nasri Atweh
Co-penned his band Magic!s single Rude which led the Billboard Hot 100 for six weeks
and has sold 2.7 million downloads in the US
19
Self-titled debut album has been No. 1 around the world, including in the US where it sold
259,000 copies week one the highest for a debut album by a group since 2006
It has sold half a million copies in the US, while the singles She Looks So Perfect and
Amnesia have shifted 900,000 and 600,000 units respectively
The band have achieved a No. 1 album and three Top 10 singles in the UK, including the
chart-topping She Looks So Perfect
Pitbull
Timber is the UKs fifth biggest single of the year with 940,000 sales
Surpassed 4 million download sales in the US in May having topped the Billboard Hot 100
New single Fireball is nearing half a million download sales in the States and will be
followed this year by new album Globalization
Ella Henderson
Recent signings debut single Ghost topped the UK singles chart and is one of the 10
biggest hits of the year
20
Platinum became her first Billboard 200 No. 1 album and has sold nearly 500,000 copies
Her co-written single Automatic peaked at No. 4 on Billboards Hot Country Songs chart
and been certified for half a million sales
Gary Barlow
Another 200,000 copies sold in UK this year of his 2013 album Since I Saw You Last,
taking its cumulative tally to 700,000 units
His band Take Thats album III is released in December and preceded by the single
These Days, co-written by him
Enrique Iglesias
Bailando reached No. 12 on the Hot 100 and has sold a million download sales in the US
Bailando led the Billboard Latin Songs chart for 21 weeks, the second-longest charttopping run in history
21
South African bands single Come With Me Now topped Billboards Alternative Songs
chart and made Hot 100 Top 40
Has sold 1.2 million downloads in US, while Top 10 hit in Canada
Milky Chance
Stolen Dance has been one of continental Europes biggest hits of the year, including
reaching No. 1 in France and No. 3 in Germany
Broke into UK Top 40 and sold 400,00 downloads in US
OneRepublic
Love Runs Out sold 1.3 million downloads in the US and peaked at 15 on the Billboard
Hot 100
Peaked at No. 3 on the Official UK Singles Chart and followed 2013s chart-topping
Counting Stars
22
US sales of his Billboard 200 No. 1 album The Outsiders now up to 730,000 units
Produced four hit singles so far, including Give Me Back My Hometown, which hit No. 1
on the Billboard Country Airplay Chart
Kasabian
Cole Swindell
Topped Billboard Country Songs chart with This Is How We Roll, which was recorded by
Florida Georgia Line and has sold 2 million downloads
Co-wrote the Luke Bryan single Roller Coaster which topped the Billboard Country Airplay
Chart and has sold nearly half a million US downloads
Also co-authored Thomas Rhetts Country Airplay chart-topper Get Me Some Of That
Swindells own self-titled album has sold 250,000 units
23
Big Revival is his 10th consecutive studio set to top the Billboard Country albums chart
Debuted at No. 2 on Billboard 200 chart and sold 170,000 in first two weeks
24
25
Stable prospects over the MRP period for Sony/ATV and EMI, on a combined basis
o Combined operating income to increase from $203.3 million in FYE 2014 to $260.3 million in FYE
2018 (represents a 6.4% CAGR)
Song Title
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
NCIS
CSI
ALL YOU NEED IS LOVE
STAY
HEY JUDE
COUNTING STARS
COME TOGETHER
LET HER GO
LITTLE TALKS
REVOLUTION
FEEL THIS MOMENT
CRIMINAL MINDS
STAND BY ME
WHISTLE
ENTERTAINMENT TONIGHT
GIRLS JUST WANT TO HAVE FUN
THE HOBBIT: AN UNEXPECTED JOURNEY
SPONGEBOB SQUAREPANTS
ROTE ROSEN
BRAVE
A TEAM
HAWAII FIVE-0
SKYFALL
THE FAIRLY ODD PARENTS
JUST GIVE ME A REASON
Artist
TV SERIES
TV SERIES
THE BEATLES
RIHANNA
THE BEATLES
ONEREPUBLIC
THE BEATLES
PASSENGER
OF MONSTERS AND MEN
THE BEATLES
PITBULL
TV SERIES
BEN E KING
FLO RIDA
TV SERIES
CYNDI LAUPER
FILM
TV SERIES
TV SERIES
SARA BAREILLES
ED SHEERAN
TV SERIES
FILM
TV SERIES
P!NK
Revenue
$4,972
3,975
3,453
2,970
2,868
2,319
2,268
2,177
2,113
1,973
1,859
1,810
1,798
1,646
1,581
1,495
1,409
1,382
1,279
1,258
1,257
1,251
1,215
1,213
1,151
($ in Thousands)
27
Song Title
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
NCIS
ENTERTAINMENT TONIGHT
STAY
SPONGEBOB SQUAREPANTS
WHEEL OF FORTUNE
CSI
CRIMINAL MINDS
JEOPARDY!
THE FAIRLY ODD PARENTS
JUDGE JUDY
CBS EVENING NEWS
LITTLE TALKS
CBS THIS MORNING
FEEL THIS MOMENT
OMG! INSIDER
KING OF QUEENS
RULES OF ENGAGEMENT
DORA THE EXPLORER
HAWAII FIVE-0
BRAVE
A TEAM
INSIDE EDITION
COUNTING STARS
DAYS OF OUR LIVES
THE YOUNG AND THE RESTLESS
Artist
TV SERIES
TV SERIES
RIHANNA w/ MIKKY EKKO
TV SERIES
TV SERIES
TV SERIES
TV SERIES
MERV GRIFFIN
TV SERIES
TV SERIES
TV SERIES
OF MONSTERS AND MEN
TV SERIES
PITBULL
TV SERIES
TV SERIES
TV SERIES
TV SERIES
TV SERIES
SARA BAREILLES
ED SHEERAN
TV SERIES
ONEREPUBLIC
TV SERIES
TV SERIES
Revenue
$2,538
1,232
1,007
896
895
873
747
706
642
638
594
550
518
511
510
504
487
447
444
437
403
387
386
374
357
($ in Thousands)
28
Originating
Territory
US
AUSTRALIA
US
US
US
US
UK
FRANCE
US
US
UK
GERMANY
US
US
US
US
US
US
US
US
US
US
UK
US
US
29
Song Title
VARIOUS
VARIOUS BEATLES
VARIOUS
VARIOUS BEATLES
VARIOUS BEATLES
YOU'RE THE ONE THAT I WANT
JAMES BOND THEME (MASTER RECORDING)
ELYSIUM
THINGS HAVE CHANGED
ALL YOU NEED IS LOVE
WITH A LITTLE HELP FROM MY FRIENDS
WHERE NO MAN HAS GONE BEFORE
GONNA FLY NOW (MASTER RECORDING)
BAD CASE OF LOVIN' YOU
ALL DAY AND ALL OF THE NIGHT
THE GAMBLER
ALL YOU NEED IS LOVE
I WANT TO TAKE YOU HIGHER
LOVE NEVER FELT SO GOOD
WITH A LITTLE HELP FROM MY FRIENDS
THAT'S NOT MY NAME
SAFE AND SOUND
EVERYTHING I OWN
YOU AIN'T SEEN NOTHIN YET
SING
Project/Source
YOUTUBE (INTERNET)
BEAT BUGS (FILM)
MTV - TV & NEW MEDIA EXTENSION (TV)
CIRQUE DU SOLEIL - "LOVE" (STAGE)
"RAIN" (TOUR) (STAGE)
CHANEL (COMMERCIAL)
P&G - 007 MALE FRAGRANCE (COMMERCIAL)
TAG HEUER (COMMERCIAL)
CHRYSLER (COMMERCIAL)
SOUTHWEST AIRLINES (COMMERCIAL)
DEMENTIA FRIENDS (COMMERCIAL)
VOLKSWAGEN GOLF GTE (COMMERCIAL)
JBL SPORTS SERIES HEADPHONES (COMMERCIAL)
THE DOCTORS - MAIN TITLE / THEME (TV)
YOPLAIT (COMMERCIAL)
GEICO (COMMERCIAL)
STATION HOTELS / CASINOS (COMMERCIAL)
INHERENT VICE (TRAILER)
CHRYSLER - JEEP (COMMERCIAL)
THE WONDER YEARS - MAIN TITLE (TV)
COCA COLA (COMMERCIAL)
COCA-COLA (COMMERCIAL)
HSBC (COMMERCIAL)
C. SPIRE WIRELESS (COMMERCIAL)
MAYBELLINE - DREAM WONDER LIQUID (COMMERCIAL)
Revenue
$3,048
3,000
1,764
1,607
697
500
480
455
450
425
400
371
275
275
275
260
250
238
225
200
199
190
176
165
163
30
Over the past two years, a great deal of time was invested in combining the operations of the Sony/ATV
and EMI companies with the goal of reducing costs and improving efficiencies
In order to properly evaluate the performance of the business, Sony/ATVs results need to be viewed on a
combined basis with EMI
Operating profit of the combined business is projected to grow from $ 203.3 million in FYE 2014 to $260.3
million in FYE 2018 (represents a 6.4% CAGR)
31
Operating Leverage
Sony/ATV Operating Leverage FYE 2015F
$1,200
$800
$527.7
$400
($80.0 )
$188.8
$0
Sony/ATV
Revenue
$268.8
Cost as a % of Revenue
Combined
Expenses
EMI Cost
SATV
(1)
Reductions
Expenses
50.9%
35.8%
$800
$400
$0
$1,083.6
$268.8
Consolidated
Revenue
Cost as a % of Revenue
Combined
Expenses
24.8%
($80.0 )
$188.8
17.4%
(1) Represents costs already eliminated during the SATV-EMI restructuring and integration period
32
33
YTD '14
(12%)
(16%)
(14%)
DPD
Physical
Total
10%
5%
0%
-5%
-10%
-15%
-20%
-25%
DPD
Physical
34
Jan-13
Feb-13
Mar-13
Apr-13
May-13
Jun-13
Jul-13
Aug-13
Sep-13
Oct-13
Nov-13
Dec-13
Jan-14
Feb-14
Mar-14
Apr-14
May-14
Jun-14
Jul-14
Aug-14
9%
0%
5%
-2%
0%
0%
-8%
-3%
-7%
-9%
-8%
-12%
-12%
-12%
-16%
-10%
-10%
-12%
-11%
-13%
-12%
-12%
-22%
-8%
-12%
-9%
-15%
-12%
-6%
-9%
-19%
-20%
-14%
-14%
-19%
-22%
-16%
-16%
-16%
-14%
-17%
-13%
Sep-14
Audio On-Demand
Video On-Demand
Streams
80%
70%
60%
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%
35
Jan-14
Feb-14
Mar-14
Apr-14
May-14
Jun-14
Jul-14
Aug-14
Sep-14
Audio
51%
51%
48%
48%
50%
53%
48%
65%
69%
Video
20%
21%
30%
40%
45%
57%
51%
64%
49%
YTD '14
54%
42%
47%
Music Publishers in the U.S. are subject to statutory rates or consent decrees which result in below market
royalties. However, because the Record Labels do not operate within these restrictions, they are able to
negotiate and receive fair market value
o Record Labels receive 92.5% of the royalties paid by Pandora (Non-Interactive Streaming) while
Publishers receive 7.5%
o Record Labels receive 85% of the royalties paid by Spotify (On-Demand Streaming) while
Publishers receive 15%
o The Record Labels are also benefiting from extremely large advances from streaming services such
as Spotify, Rhapsody and Deezer
Due to statutory rates and consent decrees in the U.S., publishers are not in a position to
receive advances or guarantees
o Record Labels are further benefitting from higher margins due to the significant reduction in
manufacturing and distribution costs with the shift from physical and digital downloads to digital
streaming
o The Record Labels are also benefiting from their ownership interest in the Interactive Streaming
Services such as Spotify. Music Publishers are not in a position to receive equity in these services
Further, with regard to digital radio, this is a new source of income for the Record Labels
o Record Labels did not previously receive revenue from radio
36
On-Demand Streaming
7.5%
15.0%
85.0%
92.5%
Records
37
Publishing
Records
Publishing
Given the below market royalty rates, profits from On-Demand and Non-Interactive services are
approximately 18% and 70% lower than profits from Digital Downloads
Music Publisher Revenue & Profits for every $1,000 at Retail in the United States
$88.79
$90.00
$80.00
$70.00
$64.58
$62.79
$60.00
$50.00
$40.00
$29.92
$30.00
$24.60
$21.16
$18.68
$20.00
$9.34
$10.00
$0.00
Physical
DPD
Revenue
38
- 16%
- 12%
On-Demand
Non-Interactive
Profits
+ 47%
FROM
Status Quo - Royalty Rates
On-Demand Non-Interactive
10.50%
4.50%
TO
FMV - Royalty Rates
On-Demand Non-Interactive
12.77%
14.42%
We believe these fair market royalty rates are achievable given comparable royalty rates currently being
paid in Europe
Further, this value gap is the reason we removed our digital performance rights from both ASCAP and BMI
in January 2013 and entered into direct deals with Pandora, Apple and YouTube
Unfortunately, the U.S. courts essentially forced us back into the performance rights societies and the
statutory rates that apply
Sony/ATV continues to proactively explore alternatives in an effort to close the value gap between
streaming and digital downloads. We are currently pursuing three strategies in the United States:
39
$548.0
$(124.2)
$194.2
$500.0
$(133.6)
$400.0
$14.2
$300.0
$28.4
$200.0
2014 Market
Segment
Physical
Digital
Downloads
Satellite Radio
Non-Interactive
Streaming
Interactive
Streaming
2018 Market
Segment
$800.0
$700.0
$600.0
$198.9
$548.0
$634.8
$600.0
$(124.2)
$500.0
$(133.6)
$400.0
$107.8
$634.8
$527.0
$500.0
$59.3
$86.4
$400.0
$300.0
$300.0
$200.0
$200.0
2014 Market
Segment
Physical
Digital Downloads
Satellite Radio
Non-Interactive
Streaming
Interactive
Streaming
2018 Market
Segment
The impact of also pulling rights for the Foreign catalog would be approximately $60 million
40
$700.0
Status Quo
($ in millions)
FYE 2014
FYE 2015
FYE 2016
FYE 2017
FYE 2018
CAGR
(2)
Mechanical
Physical
Digital Downloads
Total Mechanicals
Performance (3)
Satellite Radio
Streaming (4)
Non-Interactive Streaming
Pandora - Ad Revenue Performance
Pandora - Subscription Performance
Free Service - Ad Revenue Performance
Total Non-Interactive Streaming
Interactive Streaming
On Demand - Performance
On Demand - Mechanical
Total Interactive Streaming
Total Streaming
Combined
% change
$197.8
250.2
448.0
$163.5
219.4
383.0
$130.8
182.1
313.0
$98.1
145.7
243.8
$73.6
116.6
190.2
(21.9%)
(17.4%)
(19.3%)
$38.7
$42.5
$46.2
$49.8
$52.9
8.1%
$8.7
2.1
6.5
17.4
$13.8
3.2
9.0
26.0
$17.7
3.9
10.6
32.3
$22.4
4.5
12.0
38.9
$27.8
5.0
13.0
45.7
33.6%
23.9%
18.7%
27.4%
15.7
28.3
44.0
26.3
47.6
73.9
41.3
74.6
115.8
59.9
108.3
168.2
84.9
153.4
238.2
52.5%
52.5%
52.5%
61.4
99.9
148.1
207.1
284.0
46.7%
$548.0
----
$525.4
(4.1%)
$507.2
(3.5%)
$500.7
(1.3%)
$527.0
5.3%
(1.0%)
(1) Represents payment to publishers only, net of society commissions; current royalty rates being applied.
(2) Based on Sony Music assumptions.
(3) Satellite Radio based on Sirius Satellite report "Morgan Stanley".
(4) Pandora based on "Morgan Stanley"; Non-Pandora streaming based on Sony Music assumptions.
41
($ in millions)
FYE 2014
FYE 2015
FYE 2016
FYE 2017
FYE 2018
CAGR
(2)
Mechanical
Physical
Digital Downloads
Total Mechanicals
Performance (3)
Satellite Radio
Streaming (4)
Non-Interactive Streaming
Pandora - Ad Revenue Performance
Pandora - Subscription Performance
Free Service - Ad Revenue Performance
Total Non-Interactive Streaming
Interactive Streaming
On Demand - Performance
On Demand - Mechanical
Total Interactive Streaming
Total Streaming
Combined
% change
$197.8
250.2
448.0
$163.5
219.4
383.0
$130.8
182.1
313.0
$98.1
145.7
243.8
$73.6
116.6
190.2
(21.9%)
(17.4%)
(19.3%)
$38.7
$42.5
$46.2
$109.9
$125.1
34.1%
$8.7
2.1
6.5
17.4
$13.8
3.2
9.0
26.0
$17.7
3.9
10.6
32.3
$40.4
8.1
12.0
60.5
$53.4
9.6
13.7
76.7
57.3%
45.9%
20.3%
45.0%
15.7
28.3
44.0
26.3
47.6
73.9
41.3
74.6
115.8
59.9
108.3
168.2
89.5
153.4
242.9
54.6%
52.5%
53.3%
61.4
99.9
148.1
228.6
319.6
51.1%
$548.0
----
$525.4
(4.1%)
$507.2
(3.5%)
$582.3
14.8%
$634.8
9.0%
3.7%
(1) Represents payment to publishers only, net of society commissions; FMV royalty rates being applied to U.S. domestic catalog
(2) Based on Sony Music assumptions.
(3) Satellite Radio based on Sirius Satellite report "Morgan Stanley".
(4) Pandora based on "Morgan Stanley"; Non-Pandora streaming based on Sony Music assumptions.
42
43
Competitive Landscape
Historical Revenue
Sony/ATV CAGR = 2.8%
Universal MP CAGR = (2.2%)
Warner/Chappell CAGR = (3.6%)
$1,050
$ in millions
$950
$930
$887
$868
$859
$852
$850
$750
$650
$582
$556
$506
$550
$544
$481
$565
$524 $515
$511
$503
$450
FYE 2010
Actual
FYE 2011
Actual
FYE 2012
Actual
FYE 2013
Actual
FYE 2014
Actual
$ in millions
$100
$93
$86
$80
$60
$85
$77
$73
$85
$81
$89
$65
$45
$40
$20
$0
FYE 2010
Actual
FYE 2011
ActualActual
Actual
44
FYE 2012
Actual
Actual
Warner/Chappell
FYE 2013
Actual Actu
Sony/ATV
FYE 2014
Actual
$ in millions
Operating Income:
Base Business (2)
Sony/ATV Core Operating Task
EMI Admin Task (3)
Total Operating Income
The consolidated operating income task for the FYE 2015 Budget is $13.8 million between Sony/ATV and
EMI
45
46
FYE 2015
Forecast
Mechanical - Physical
Mechanical - Downloads
Mechanical - Streaming
Total Mechanical
47
(10.5%)
(8.7)
60.9
(18.5%)
FYE 2015
Budget
(12.0%)
6.0
(5.2%)
Variance
1.5%
(14.7)
NA
(13.2%)
$ in millions
Revenue:
Mechanical - Physical
Mechanical - Downloads
Mechanical - Other
Total Mechanical
15F v 15B
B/(W)
15F v 14A
B/(W)
$48.3
34.7
28.0
111.0
% of Total
9.1%
6.6
5.3
21.0
$50.0
46.6
33.0
129.6
% of Total
9.0%
8.4
6.0
23.4
($1.7)
(11.8)
(5.1)
(18.6)
(3.4%)
(25.4)
(15.3)
(14.4)
$53.9
38.0
44.1
136.1
% of Total
9.5%
6.7
7.8
24.1
($5.7)
(3.3)
(16.1)
(25.1)
(10.5%)
(8.7)
(36.6)
(18.5)
Performance
Synch
Other
Core Revenue
235.8
107.5
28.8
483.0
44.7
20.4
5.5
91.5
224.0
117.8
36.1
507.5
40.4
21.3
6.5
91.6
11.8
(10.4)
(7.3)
(24.5)
5.3
(8.8)
(20.3)
(4.8%)
229.6
117.7
36.5
519.8
40.6
20.8
6.4
91.9
6.2
(10.2)
(7.7)
(36.8)
2.7
(8.7)
(21.1)
(7.1%)
44.7
8.5
46.3
8.4
(1.6)
(3.5)
45.6
8.1
(0.9)
(2.1)
Total Revenue
$527.7
100.0%
$553.8
100.0%
($26.1)
(4.7%)
$565.5
100.0%
($37.7)
(6.7%)
48
$ in millions
Revenue
NPS
margin %
Employee Costs
Net Talent
Catalog Amortization
Support Services (3)
Administration Fee
Other Operating Expenses (3)
Total Operating Expenses
Other Operating Income (Loss) / Task
Operating Income
margin %
15F v 15B
B/(W)
$527.7
258.9
49.1%
$553.8
265.9
48.0%
($26.1)
(7.0)
100.7
2.2
32.9
11.9
7.5
33.6
188.8
100.7
2.2
32.9
11.9
7.5
30.1
185.3
0.0
(0.0)
0.0
(3.5)
(3.5)
5.0
75.1
14.2%
5.0
85.6
15.5%
(4.7%)
(2.6)
15F v 14A
B/(W)
$565.5
267.1
47.2%
($37.7)
(8.2)
(6.7%)
(3.1)
0.0
(0.0)
0.0
0.0
0.0
(11.6)
(1.9)
96.9
2.7
32.7
11.6
7.5
32.4
183.8
(3.8)
0.5
(0.1)
(0.3)
(1.1)
(5.0)
(3.9)
17.4
(0.4)
(3.0)
0.0
(3.5)
(2.7)
(10.5)
(0.0)
(12.3)
6.1
89.3
15.8%
(1.1)
(14.2)
(17.6)
(15.9)
Interest Income
Interest Expense
Pre-Tax Income
0.8
(5.5)
70.4
1.4
(9.9)
77.1
(0.6)
4.4
(6.7)
(42.9)
44.3
(8.7)
1.1
(6.3)
84.1
(0.3)
0.8
(13.7)
(28.5)
12.8
(16.3)
Income Tax
12.1
15.8
3.7
23.6
16.6
4.5
27.1
$58.3
$61.3
($3.0)
$67.6
($9.2)
Net Income
(4.9%)
(13.7%)
49
$ in millions
Sony/ATV Combined
Earnings before Interest & Taxes
Depreciation
Amortization
Net Talent Expense
Gain on Sale
Writer Advances
Other Balance Sheet Changes
Cash Flow before Investments and Financing
Acquisitions - Catalogs
Proceeds from Asset Sales
Capital Expenditures
Investment in Music Companies, Net.
Cash (Used In) / Provided by Investing Activities
Net Cash Provided from Operations and Investments
Distributions to Owners
Guarantee Fees
Other Financing Activities
Partial Repayment of Acquisiton Loan
Net Cash (Used) in Financing
Net Change in Cash, Excluding Foreign Exchange
(1) At FYE 2015 Budget Rates.
(2) At Actual Rates.
(3) Reflects sale of catalogs.
(4) Includes $3.9 million from the sale of Nashville building.
50
$85.6
2.3
33.5
2.2
(140.4)
113.5
96.8
15F v 15B
B/(W)
($10.5)
0.1
0.2
0.0
(3.8)
11.3
(2.8)
(25.0)
(3.0)
(28.0)
2.9
2.9
68.9
68.8
0.1
173.0
(46.3)
(0.6)
0.0
(10.0)
(56.9)
(46.3)
(0.6)
(10.0)
(56.9)
(0.0)
0.0
0.0
(0.0)
(42.7)
(0.6)
(80.2)
(123.6)
$12.0
$12.0
$0.1
$49.4
(3)
15F v 14A
B/(W)
(1.5)
12.9
(2.7)
(0.7)
7.9
($13.7)
0.6
(0.1)
(0.5)
2.3
(52.9)
(6.7)
(71.0)
(4)
(23.5)
(10.1)
(0.3)
0.7
(33.1)
(104.1)
(3.5)
(0.0)
0.0
70.2
66.7
($37.4)
Risks
Year-end accrual
Year-end accrual
Foreign exchange
Foreign exchange
Digital deals
Infringement settlements
Monetization of streaming
Achievement of task
51
Mid-Range Plan
52
FYE 2016
MRP
FYE 2017
MRP
FYE 2018
MRP
FY14 - FY18
Current
(10.5%)
(8.7)
60.9
(18.5)
(16.9%)
(15.6)
53.1
(7.6)
(21.8%)
(18.1)
44.8
(6.9)
(23.1%)
(20.0)
41.1
(2.5)
(23.5%)
(20.4)
71.4
(11.9)
2.7
3.0
5.3
5.6
5.6
(8.7)
2.4
7.6
12.0
4.0
(6.7)
0.6
2.9
5.0
0.5
(3.1)
1.0
2.8
4.5
1.7
(15.9%)
10.6%
2.6%
4.9%
0.0%
Assumes withdrawal of digital performing rights in FY16 and licensing the U.S. catalog directly; the impact will begin in FY17
Physical, digital download and streaming assumptions in line with Sony Music and EMI for the MRP periods
Assumes an increase in our YouTube contract in FYE 2018 based on their continued growth
Employee costs in total increase an average of approximately 3% from FYE 2015 through FYE 2018
For cash flow purposes, annual catalog investments of $25 million
Annual writer advances of $135 million over the MRP period
Guaranteed payments to MJ and Sony (each) are $23.1 million in FYE 2015 through FYE 2018
Total debt paydown to Sony of $10.0 million per year
53
$ in millions
Revenue:
Mechanical - Physical
Mechanical - Downloads
Mechanical - Other
Total Mechanical
$48.3
34.7
28.0
111.0
% of Total
9.1%
6.6
5.3
21.0
$40.1
29.3
33.1
102.5
% of Total
7.6%
5.5
6.2
19.3
$31.4
24.0
40.2
95.5
% of Total
5.7%
4.4
7.3
17.5
$24.1
19.2
49.8
93.1
% of Total
4.2%
3.3
8.7
16.2
Performance
Synch
Other
Core Revenue
235.8
107.5
28.8
$483.0
44.7
20.4
5.5
91.5
242.8
110.1
30.5
$485.9
45.7
20.7
5.7
91.5
255.7
118.4
31.0
$500.6
46.8
21.7
5.7
91.6
270.1
132.6
31.0
$526.8
47.0
23.1
5.4
91.7
44.7
8.5
45.1
8.5
46.0
8.4
47.4
8.3
Total Revenue
$527.7
54
100.0%
$531.0
100.0%
$546.6
100.0%
$574.2
100.0%
$ in millions
Revenue
NPS
margin %
Employee Costs
Net Talent
Catalog Amortization
Support Services
Administration Fee
Other Operating Expenses
Total Operating Expenses
Other Operating Income (Loss) / Task
Operating Income
margin %
$527.7
258.9
49.1%
$531.0
261.5
49.2%
$546.6
268.9
49.2%
$574.2
281.0
48.9%
100.7
2.2
32.9
11.9
7.5
33.6
188.8
103.6
1.7
32.5
12.3
7.5
34.9
192.5
106.5
1.7
32.4
15.7
7.5
36.1
200.0
109.6
1.7
32.2
16.1
7.5
37.4
204.5
5.0
75.1
14.2%
14.1
83.1
15.6%
16.3
85.2
15.6%
12.8
89.3
15.6%
Interest Income
Interest Expense
Pre-Tax Income
0.8
(5.5)
70.4
0.8
(12.3)
71.5
1.1
(14.9)
71.3
1.7
(18.5)
72.5
Income Tax
12.1
12.4
12.0
12.0
$58.3
$59.1
$59.3
$60.5
Net Income
(1) At FYE 2015 Budget Rates.
55
$ in millions
Sony/ATV Combined
Earnings before Interest & Taxes
Depreciation
Amortization
Net Talent Expense
Gain on Sale
Writer Advances
Other Balance Sheet Changes
Cash Flow before Investments and Financing
Acquisitions - Catalogs
Proceeds from Catalog Sale
Capital Expenditures
Cash (Used In) / Provided by Investing Activities
Net Cash Provided from Operations and Investments
Distributions to Owners
Guarantee Fees
Partial Repayment of Acquisiton Loan
Net Cash (Used) in Financing
Net Change in Cash
(1) At FYE 2015 Budget Rates.
56
$75.1
2.4
33.7
2.2
(3.8)
(140.4)
124.8
94.0
$83.1
2.8
33.3
1.7
(140.4)
126.5
107.0
$85.2
3.1
33.3
1.7
(140.4)
124.7
107.6
$89.3
3.4
33.1
1.7
(140.4)
121.2
108.3
(25.0)
2.9
(3.0)
(25.2)
(25.0)
(3.0)
(28.0)
(25.0)
(3.0)
(28.0)
(25.0)
(3.0)
(28.0)
68.9
79.0
79.6
80.3
(46.3)
(0.6)
(10.0)
(56.9)
(46.3)
(0.6)
(10.0)
(56.9)
(46.3)
(0.6)
(10.0)
(56.9)
(46.3)
(0.6)
(10.0)
(56.9)
$12.0
$22.1
$22.7
$23.5
$700.0
$649.6
$ in millions
$650.0
$600.0
$580.0
$550.0
$535.8
$519.3
$500.0
$445.3
$450.0
$400.0
FYE 2008
Actual
FYE 2009
Actual
FYE 2010
Actual
FYE 2011
Actual
FYE 2012
Actual
FYE 2013
Actual
FYE 2014
Actual
Sony/ATV has reduced the Acquisition Loan to Sony Corp by approximately $275 million over the last six
years through debt payments
57
58
FYE 2016
MRP
FYE 2017
MRP
FYE 2018
MRP
FY14 - FY18
CAGR
Mechanical - Physical
Mechanical - Downloads
Mechanical - Streaming
Total Mechanical
(11.8%)
(9.8)
68.0
(17.3)
(16.6%)
(15.7)
56.6
(8.2)
(21.5%)
(18.2)
45.2
(7.9)
(22.9%)
(20.0)
41.6
(3.1)
(18.3%)
(16.0)
52.5
(9.3)
Total Performance
(0.5)
3.2
6.9
9.9
4.8
Synch
Total Revenue
0.8
(4.0)
5.4
4.1
7.7
1.7
12.1
2.5
6.4
1.0
NPS
(2.1)
1.0
2.0
3.0
1.0
Assumes withdrawal of digital performing rights in FYE16 and licensing the U.S. catalog directly; the impact will be in FYE17
Physical, digital download and streaming assumptions in line with Sony Music and Sony/ATV for the MRP periods
Assumes an increase in our YouTube contract in FYE 2018 based on their continued growth
Restructuring & Integration period ends in FYE 2015
Average annual writer advances of $137 million over the MRP period
59
$ in millions
Mechanical - Physical
Mechanical - Downloads
Mechanical - Other
Total Mechanical
$61.3
41.0
47.5
149.8
10.2%
6.8
7.9
24.9
$51.2
34.6
51.8
137.6
8.2%
5.5
8.3
22.0
$40.2
28.3
58.2
126.7
6.3%
4.4
9.2
19.9
$31.0
22.6
69.2
122.8
4.8%
3.5
10.6
18.8
Performance
Synch
Other
235.1
132.8
82.9
39.2
22.1
13.8
242.7
139.9
104.8
38.8
22.4
16.8
259.5
150.7
98.7
40.8
23.7
15.5
285.1
169.0
74.6
43.8
25.9
11.5
Total Revenue
NPS
(1) At FYE 2015 Budget Rates.
(2) At Actual Rates.
60
600.6
$297.8
100.0%
625.1
$300.8
100.0%
635.6
$306.8
100.0%
651.5
$316.0
100.0%