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Most of the climate models from major climate centres are projecting an increased
likelihood of an El Nio developing in the second half of the year compared with
models in the past months. There is still uncertainty on the strength of the El Nino at
this stage, and conditions in the Pacific Ocean will be monitored closely over the next
few months for any sign of the event.
Source: Meteorological Service Singapore.
http://www.weather.gov.sg/wip/c/portal/layout?p_l_id=PUB.1003.653
El Nino (1997-1998)
Started developing around January 1997 and ended around May 1998.
How El Nino impact summer and winter weather across the globe. Basically, it means dry
weather for Malaysia and Singapore.
Source:
Scripps Institution of Oceonography.
http://meteora.ucsd.edu/~pierce/elnino/en97/en97.html
US Gobal Change Research Information Office
http://www.gcrio.org/CONSEQUENCES/vol5no2/article_2.html
Tuscan News Now
http://www.tucsonnewsnow.com/story/25514484/developing-el-nino-showing-similaritiesto-strong-1997-event
1996
1997: Rainfall for this entire year is much lower than other years. Usual wet months of
Oct-Nov was badly hit.
1998: Jan-April was almost totally dry. Good news is wet weather picks up and returns
almost to normal in August
1999
2013
1996: Hottest month is mid Feb-March; June. Note that from Jun-Dec, highest
temperature rarely exceeded 90F. Note the bar at the top of the chart. Temperature for
the year generally below average.
1997: Hottest month is March. Note that highest temperature generally rarely exceeds
90F too. Note the bar at the top of the chart. Temperature starts becoming higher than
average from May onwards.
1998: Note that highest temperature was more than 90F from Jan all the way till June
and only started coming down after August. Even then, temperature for last half of year
is higher than 1996. Check out the bar at the top of the chart. Temperature is higher
than average all they way until August.
1999: Occasional days that exceed 90F, but highest temperature for most days generally
below. Year is generally cooler than average.
2013: What is happening! Highest temperature from Jan to Jun is rarely below 90F, closer
to 92F. Seems to me average temperature has risen by about 1F since the 1990s.
Singapore
Georgetown