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11/25/2014

Evernotesharednotebook:newspaperindia'sneighbours

IndiaBRICS
Monday,March122012,3:49PM
Brics@InternationalPolitics
ResponsibilitywhileProtectingConcept
1. Itrelatestothequestionofforeigninterventionstoprotectciviliansinacountry.Itmeansthat
whilemandatinguseofmilitaryforce,criteriasuchaslastresort,proportionandbalanceof
consequencesshouldbekeptinmind.Furtherthereshouldbeareviewmechanismtomakesureit
isimplementedinoperations.
2. Itissuretofaceoppositionfromallothercountries.
Iran
1. BricsnationshaveannouncednottosnaptieswithIrandespiteUSsanctions.
Afghanistan
1. BricswantsinternationalcommunitytostayinthedevelopmentalprojectsinAfghanistanfor10
yearsafterthewithdrawalofUStroopsin2014andalsotochecknarcoticstrafficking.
Syria
1. BricshasendorsedKofiAnnan'sproposalonSyria.
ClimateChange
1. Indiawantstechnologytransfersandfunds.Chinadoesn'tcareforfunds.Brazilhasalready
manageditscarbonemissionsprogramwell.ThusinitiallywhileitseemedBricshaveacommon
position,itallfelltopieces.
BRICSinWTO
1. Theycallforresistingprotectionisttendenciesininternationaltrade.
2. TheysupportthespecialmeasuresinWTOfordevelopingcountriesandLDCs.
3. TheyopposedistortingagriculturalpracticesbytheDCs.
4. TheyopposeplurilateralgroupingsatWTO.
Brics@Economics
BricsBank
Challenges
1. CreditRating:Bricshavelowercreditratings.Socostofcapitalwillbeexpensiveandhencecost
oflendingaswellwhichthedevelopingnationmaynotfindattractive.Onesolutiontoenhance
creditworthinessistoputaportionofthefxreservesinaseparateaccountearmarkedforthebank.
IncaseofWorldBankalsoonly10%ofthecapitalispaidupcapital.Rest90%iscallablecapital
buthasneverbeencalleduponsofar.
2. China'sDominance:Contributionsofpaidupcapitalneededwillnotbelarge.Soallcountriescan
affordtohavemoreorlessequalshare.Presidencycanberotated.
https://www.evernote.com/pub/crazyphoton/neighbours

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11/25/2014

Evernotesharednotebook:newspaperindia'sneighbours

3. Currencyofoperation:$isthenaturalchoice.Localcurrenciesarenotconvertibleandalsonot
usedininternationaltrade.So$defaultcurrencyandothercurrencieswhenneeded.Butdoinga$
basedbankisnotsustainablewiththeambitionsofthebankinlongrun.
4. Objectives:Indiawantsthebankintermsofbringingincapital.Chinawantsittointernationalize
RMB.Russiadoesn'tcareandBrazilhasgotitsownverybigdevelopmentbank.
IntraBricsTrade
1. Thetargetis$500bioin2015upfromcurrent$230bio.
2. Thecountriesagreedtopromotetradeinlocalcurrencybysigningamasteragreementtoextend
creditfacilities(includinglettersofcredit)inlocalcurrency.
Brics@InternalDynamics
EconomicDynamics
1. EconomicPolicies:Althoughendowedindifferentresources,allcountriesfollowpoliciesto
promotemanufacturedgoods.ThisnaturallyfacesbiggestthreatfromChina.Forexample,Brazil
isanagriculturalandresourceexporter,Russiaisaresourceexporter,Indiaisaservicebased
economy,SAFisaresourceexporter.ButinChina,thecostsarerisingandtheleadershipis
embarkinguponatransitiontoamoreconsumptionbasedgrowth.Thisisanopportunityfor
BRICS.
2. TradeGap:AllcountriesnotonlyrunabigtradedeficitwithChinabutalsosufferfrominferior
termsoftrade.NaturallyundervaluedRMBpromotestensions.
3. DifferentStandardsofLiving:PercapitaincomeinRussia~2xChinawhichinturn~2xIndia.
StrategicDynamics
1. PowerAmbitions:RussiaandIndiaareseenasathreattoChina'shegemony.Chinawantsa
bipolarworldwhereasothermemberswantamultipolarone.Chinaisalsoopposedtorecognition
ofothermajorworldpowerswhileBrazilandIndiaarepushingforUNSCseat.
2. ChinaandIndiaareemergingpowerswhileRussiaisonedeclining.RussiaandChinarenot
democracieswhileothersaredemocracies.

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