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Business Situation
Our client, Milco, is a leading Aerospace & Defense provider
with ~$2B in revenue. The company offers a broad range
of electronic products and systems, largely used on military
platforms. Core products include military flight simulators and
Maintenance, Repair, & Overhaul (MRO) technology systems,
as well as services such as flight simulation instruction and
MRO system diagnostic & repair. Milco also has been growing
its Military Construction offering. Milcos customers include
the United States (U.S.) Department of Defense (DoD) and its
prime contractors, U.S. Government intelligence agencies, the
U.S. Department of Homeland Security (DHS), and select other
U.S. federal, state, and local government agencies.
While revenue in Milcos core segments have remained strong,
the dynamics of the U.S. defense industry are challenging the
way they will need to conduct business going forward, forcing
them to be more agile and cost effective. While traditional
defense contractors used to have a lock on the U.S. market,
new entrants have joined the mix, removing some of the
leverage Milco once had, making the environment much
more competitive. Additionally, in response to U.S. Defense
budget cutbacks, which have been steadily increasing over the
last few years, Milco, and their competitors, have started to
look beyond the U.S. market, exploring opportunities to offer
products and services to customers in emerging geographies.
Milco recognizes the need to change the way they operate
in order to reach their goals. Milcos executive team feels a
review of their current products and services is warranted to
allow them to successfully compete, as well as an exploration
of the potential for acquiring new capabilities to broaden their
portfolio. Additionally, the executive team believes there are
potential growth opportunities in several international markets.
You have been engaged to help assess how Milco should
move forward to strategically drive growth and margin.
U.S. Market
The industry is very competitive with government contracts
and regulations providing challenges to suppliers.
The industry is led by several leading heavyweights, though
many smaller companies provide niche offerings.
The industry is expected to see continued consolidation, with
larger players plugging gaps through bolt-on acquisitions.
Operators in this industry have been focused on new
technologies as well as making planned divestitures to remain
profitable and meet customer demand.
Other Markets
Growing demand in international markets may provide some
relief to U.S.-focused corporations, though complexities with
government regulations on specific products and services
restrict the abilities of some corporations to expand.
$691
$687
$680
$660
$646
$640
$620
$614
$600
$580
$560
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014 Average
Units/ Service
Contracts
2019 Projected
2014 Avg.
2019 Projected
2014 Avg.
2019 Projected
Avg. Units/
Revenue / Unit Revenue/Unit COGS / Unit or COGS / Unit or
Service
or Service
or Service
Service
Service
Contracts
Military Flight
Simulator
40
40
$15,000,000
$15,750,000
$9,000,000
$9,900,000
MRO IT System
60
80
$5,000,000
$5,500,000
$3,000,000
$3,300,000
Military Flight
Simulation Instruction
200
200
$1,750,000
$1,837,500
$600,000
$630,000
200
200
$2,000,000
$2,100,000
$1,000,000
$1,050,500
115
150
$2,000,000
$2,200,000
$1,000,000
$1,100,000
125
150
$1,000,000
$1,800,000
$600,000
$900,000
Military Flight
Simulator Service/
Maintenance
MRO IT System
Services
Military Facility
Construction
Flight simulators range in complexity and price from $250K (software-based) to +$15M for Full Flight/Mission simulators
Simulators have on average 10-year lifespan, though regularly scheduled enhancements are required to remain relevant
U.S. military simulator market is dominated by a small number of companies, with Milco holding 20% value share
Simulator instruction is contracted for new and existing units
Milco accounts for 10% of MRO industry revenue, with 15 companies accounting for top 80%
MRO IT systems have ~20-year lifespan before large enhancements are integrated; Service and maintenance is performed on all
MRO IT systems regardless of age to ensure mission critical operations
U.S. Military has 200 domestic facilities with an average of 30 contracts annually with Milco capturing approximately 0.7%
of construction contracts
2
2014 Values
($M)
2015 Values
($M)
Liabilities and
Equity
2014 Values
($M)
2015 Values
($M)
Cash
$400
$500
A/P
$500
$600
A/R
$700
$800
$200
$200
Inventory
$500
$400
$1,600
$1,700
$2,000
$2,100
Shareholders Equity
$1,300
$1,300
Total Assets
$3,600
$3,800
$3,600
$3,800
Tax Rate
Revenue ($B)
Tax Rate
0 to 1
15%
2.5+ to 5
35%
1+ to 1.5
20%
5+ to 10
37.5%
1.5+ to 2
25%
10+ to 50
40%
2+ to 2.5
30%
50+
42.5%
Detail
SG&A
Assets
CapEx
D&A
Market Cap
WACC
Milco
Co.%
Competitor A
Market%
Co.%
Competitor B
Market %
Co.%
Competitor C
Market %
Co.%
Competitor D
Market %
Co.%
Competitor E
Market %
Co.%
Market %
Military Flight
Simulator
30%
20.0%
41.0%
15.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
MRO IT System
15%
10.2%
0.0%
0.0%
5.0%
2.0%
30.0%
7.0%
14.0%
1.0%
3.0%
0.2%
Military Flight
Simulation
Instruction
17.5%
20.0%
8.0%
5.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
Military Flight
Simulator
Maintenance
20%
35.0%
1.0%
1.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
MRO IT System
Services
11.5%
20.0%
0.0%
0.0%
2.5%
2.0%
7.0%
4.0%
4.5%
1.0%
1.0%
0.2%
Military Facility
Construction
6%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
Other
0%
50%
93%
63%
81%
98%
Notes
Seeks
international
growth
Expanding
MRO
offerings
Top 3 US
military IT
provider,
seeking to
expand IT
solutions
Considering
close of
MRO line
Civilian
focus
but seeks
military
market
Segment
MRO IT System
Military Flight
Simulation
Instruction
Military Flight
Simulator Service
MRO IT Services
Military Facility
Construction
$3.0
$3.0
$1.12
$1.75 -
$1.15
$125.0 -
15
15
100
Note: ,
, - = 20142015 Trend
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