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Abstract
This paper analyses the effectiveness and impacts of two market-led policy measures for stimulating private housing
redevelopment in Singapore. The rst measure accorded betterment potential to sub-optimally used land through density incentives.
Subsequently, enabling legislation was enacted to facilitate site amalgamation. Using data from 1994 to 2000, the measures successfully
induced the supply of privately owned land and site assembly through en bloc sales. However, the urban intensication strategies have
resulted in unintended and adverse consequences such as infrastructural pressure, loss of environmental character and accelerated
economic obsolescence. Moreover, policy delivery that relies on private sector capital is highly dependent on market conditions.
r 2003 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
Keywords: Urban redevelopment; Market-led policy; Housing; En bloc sales
Introduction
Recent urban policy in many western cities has shown
a shift towards urban entrepreneurialism (Leitner, 1990)
and private sector participation (Jones, 1996). For Hong
Kong as well, publicprivate partnership has become a
prevalent organizing principle in urban policy implementation (Yeh, 1990). This shift reects the states
increasing reliance on private sector investment decisions to trigger off physical redevelopment and urban
rejuvenation. Property-led urban regeneration is then
expected to induce economic growth and bring social
benets to the community (Jones and Watkins, 1996).
In an effort to attract private capital, two strategies
have often been adopted (Tang and Tang, 1999). These
are the formulation of development control policies that
will provide more incentives to encourage property
development and the removal of private sector supply
side constraints. Both strategies were employed recently
in the city-state of Singapore to facilitate the achievement of key planning objectives in the long-term
development of the country.
As with parallel approaches elsewhere, the Singapore
government introduced a new planning incentive in the
early 1990s that relied primarily on private investment
to stimulate urban redevelopment in central-city loca*Corresponding author. Tel./fax: +65-6874-6900.
E-mail address: rstlumsk@nus.edu.sg (S.K. Lum).
0264-8377/$ - see front matter r 2003 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
doi:10.1016/S0264-8377(03)00046-2
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S.K. Lum et al. / Land Use Policy 21 (2004) 119
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S.K. Lum et al. / Land Use Policy 21 (2004) 119
Table 1
The supply of private land for private residential development from en bloc and non-en bloc sales
Land supplied (m2)
Number of sites
En bloc
Non-en bloc
19941997
19992000
367,462.5
335,682.2
213,567
77,684
Total
703,144.7
291,251
En bloc
Non-en bloc
En bloc
Non-en bloc
90
52
67
22
4082.9
6455.4
3187.6
3531.1
142
89
4951.7
3272.5
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S.K. Lum et al. / Land Use Policy 21 (2004) 119
Table 2
The supply of private land for private residential development from en bloc and government land sales
Land supplied (m2)
Number of sites
En bloc
State-owned
En bloc
19941997
19992000
367,462.5
335,682.2
1,477,241
195,519
90
52
Total
703,144.7
1,672,760
142
State-owned
En bloc
State-owned
92
13
4082.9
6455.4
16,057
15,040
105
4951.7
15,931
Fig. 1. The RPPI and the supply of land for private residential development.
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S.K. Lum et al. / Land Use Policy 21 (2004) 119
25
Series: AREA
20
No. Of Observations 90
15
Mean
Median
Maximum
Minimum
4082.917
3078.900
30472.00
462.600
10
0
0
5000
10000
15000
20000
25000
30000
25
Series: AREA
20
No. of Observations 52
15
Mean
Median
Maximum
Minimum
6455.425
4221.200
26441.50
967.4000
10
0
0
5000
10000
15000
20000
25000
16
Series: AREA
14
Observations 89
12
Mean
Median
Maximum
Minimum
10
8
3786.410
3053.400
16055.50
462.6000
6
4
2
0
0
2500
5000
7500
ARTICLE IN PRESS
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Fig. 6. Newton and Tanglin DGP areas within the central region of Singapore.
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S.K. Lum et al. / Land Use Policy 21 (2004) 119
consideration would normally be given to the proper coordination and phasing of redevelopment efforts to
ensure a smooth and gradual transition from old to new
and from low to high density. Thus, urban renewal
would be comprehensive and systematic rather than ad
hoc and uncoordinated (Healey et al., 1988). We have
found in en bloc sale areas many sites that were
sandwiched between new and more intensive developments, when they themselves for whatever reasons were
either not ready or unable to capitalize on the en bloc
schemes. The result of such unsynchronized development is often a less than harmonious streetscape with an
incongruous mix of new and old developments of
different intensities.
In other instances, particularly in landed housing
areas, sites that were left out of the amalgamation
schemes became isolated or hemmed in by new and
more intensive developments with little opportunity for
redevelopment to similar intensities in future given their
relatively small plot sizes. This has been seen in many
areas where single old buildings sit as environmental
mists amidst new developments.
The long-term planning implication is that optimal
land use will only be attained for certain development
sites in the area, but not for the entire planning area.
These isolated buildings will remain, not only as blots on
the landscape to the detriment of the overall environmental quality of the entire renewed area, but also as
reminders to the community of lost opportunities and
sub-optimal development.
Developments not in tandem with infrastructure
improvements
When urban renewal is undertaken by the state on a
comprehensive basis, public infrastructure and support
services are usually planned and undertaken at the same
time to support the new developments. However, with
en bloc redevelopment undertaken on an ad hoc basis by
the private sector, the ability to tie in with public
infrastructure and services enhancement is rendered
more difcult. This is illustrated in the Balmoral Road
area in the Newton DGP.
One of the planning objectives of the Newton DGP
was to optimize the land use, particularly around the
Mass Rapid Transit (MRT) station, by increasing the
total number of housing units by about 3200 units. Most
of the new units will be of the high density category, in
recognition of the proximity of the area to the centrally
located Orchard Road area and its good accessibility.
A closer study of some of the local areas in the DGP
revealed that many of them are quiet well-established
residential enclaves with predominantly single- or
double-storey landed housing, located in attractive local
environments well-integrated with mature vegetation
and are served by narrow local roads. In the Balmoral
Road area, the 1985 Master Plan plot ratio was 1.036.
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Fig. 7. The Balmoral Road area within the Newton DGP area.
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S.K. Lum et al. / Land Use Policy 21 (2004) 119
11
Fig. 8. The Walshe Road area within the Tanglin DGP area pre-1994.
Fig. 9. The Walshe Road area within the Tanglin DGP area post-1994.
Conclusion
This paper evaluates the effectiveness and impacts of
two recent market-led policy initiatives in Singapore
ARTICLE IN PRESS
12
Appendix A
The microdata on all the concluded en bloc sales
transactions are presented in Tables 3 and 4.
Table 3
Concluded en bloc deals in rst policy-on period
No.
Price
($psf)
New PR
No. of units
(estimated)
7019.2
90.25
1195
853
1.4
74
4697
24.6888
488
349
1.4
16
Oct-94
Oct-94
Oct-94
Nov-94
Changi Heights
Dec-94
711 Walshe Rd
5895.7
73.6
1160
725
1.6
56
Jan-95
Gochek Apts
2950.5
31.23
983
475
2.1
60
Feb-95
17 Tomlinson Rd
Tomlinson Mansion
3104.4
62
1855
442
4.2
29
Mar-95
7137.8
68.3
889
317
2.8
130
Stevens Rd/Walshe Rd
42 Surrey Rd
11
Mar-95
12
May-95
38-38G Farrer Rd
May-95
34 Farrer Rd
May-95
AMALGAMATED SITES
13
18-May-95
14
Jun-95
17 Newton Rd
Jun-95
21 Newton Rd
Lincoln Mansion
16.4
116
405
290
1.4
40
354
NA
NA
105
6351.3
82.38
1205
753
1.6
82
1177.8
14.8
1167
417
2.8
25
3153
27.88
821
513
1.6
38
Farrer Grove
1.6
1.6
Miramar Mansion
4499.6
35.75
738
1989.2
23
1074
2636.7
45.89
1617
461
1.6
48
512
2.1
31
577
2.8
740.7
8.75
1097
392
2.8
AMALGAMATED SITES
3377.4
54.64
1503
537
2.8
71
7667.2
93.3
1131
707
1.6
82
38.2
1413
505
2.8
61
1135
405
2.8
1135
405
2.8
1135
405
2.8
15
Aug-95
16
Aug-95
Newton Mansion
2512.3
17
Sep-95
Shanghai Rd
Shanghai Court
1297.7
Sep-95
Shanghai Rd
Shanghai Residence
AMALGAMATED SITES
697.8
1995.4
Sep-95
Butterworth Lane
19
Oct-95
21 Moulmein Rise
20
Nov-95
21
6-Dec-95
27 Adam Rd
22
6-Dec-95
23
18-Dec-95
Stevens Drive
24
Jun-96
8839.1
25
Jan-96
1843.4
26
Jan-96
9 & 9A Balmoral Rd
27
9-Jan-96
15 Balmoral Rd
28
13-Jan-96
29
22-Jan-96 to 5-Feb-96
52
2143.7
19.61375
850
304
2.8
49
1207.4
14.35
1104
394
2.8
25
3700.5
24.5
615
293
2.1
76
2937.7
20.01
633
452
1.4
96
2800.7
36.1752
1200
750
1.6
16
7202
78.9
1018
727
Fontana Gdns
1637.1
Moulmein Lodge
Adam Gdn
1.4
1.4
25.85
1303
465
1.4
48
2.8
64
1830.0
23
1168
730
1.6
22
3520.1
49.181809
1298
811
1.6
42
12/y/20C Brooke Rd
2454.5
20.2916668
8 Pulasan Rd
1434.2
Balmoral Court
8.2
768
366
2.1
39
531
379
1.4
15
13
18
24.38
ARTICLE IN PRESS
Mar-95
Mar-95
3757.8
30472
Cosy Mansions
Site area
(m2)
Price
($psf/ppr)
Address
10
Project Name
Proceeds
($ million)
Date of sale
14
Table 3 (continued)
Project Name
Site area
(m2)
Proceeds
($ million)
Price
($psf)
Price
($psf/ppr)
New PR
No. of units
(estimated)
Date of sale
Address
30
25-Jan-96
31
30-Jan-96
32
Feb-96
Balmoral Crescent
33
Mar-96
8 Balmoral Road
34
28-Feb-96
35/35A/37/37A/y/45A Robin Rd
Belville Gdns
3159.2
43
1265
35
Mar-96
St Martins Place
4283.2
57.6
1249
36
Oct-96
1357.3
16.05
1099
785
1.4
May-97
1409.4
19.35
1275
911
1.4
AMALGAMATED SITES
7049.9
93
1226
875
1.4
82
1667.4
27.55
1535
548
2.8
36
1799.2
18
929
443
2.1
28
1191.7
13.7
1068
381
2.8
25
St Thomas Apts
1059.7
13.222
1159
414
2.8
23
8400.6
126.6
1400
875
1.6
65
Balmoral Lodge
2025.6
27.5
1261
788
1.6
24
790
1.6
48
892
1.4
28-Mar-96
The Carmina
38
28-Mar-96
39
29-Mar-96
190 Moulmein Rd
40
Apr-96
41
23-May-96
11G Shelford Rd
Shelford Condo
4229.1
36.964
812
580
1.4
45
42
14-Jan-97
Shelford Gdns
4129.4
37
832
595
1.4
44
43
Mar-97
Shelford Lodge
1765.5
15.4
810
579
1.4
19
Mar-97
406 Dunearn Rd
1373.5
12
812
580
1.4
14
AMALGAMATED SITES
3139
27.4
811
579
1.4
1806.3
27.1
1394
498
2.8
56
3716.4
37.4
935
668
1.4
39
44
3-Apr-96
6 Sarkies Rd
1710.2
24.8
1347
842
1.6
45
4-Apr-96
1839.7
20.8
1050
375
2.8
39
46
16-Apr-96
104/y/H Holland Rd
2219.8
16.5
691
493
1.4
23
47
16-Apr-96
11/A/B/13/A/B/15A/15B Shanghai Rd
637.7
8.3
1209
432
2.8
13
48
26-Apr-96
930.1
12.96
1295
462
2.8
2.8
37
15
1250
893
1.4
12
49
Holland Apt
32
921.7
AMALGAMATED SITES
1851.8
1114.8
50
30-Apr-96
51
14-May-96
Yardley Court
2421.5
23.6
905
323
2.8
57
52
15-May-96
Thomson Court
10540.5
207.98
1833
655
2.8
276
53
24-Jun-96 to 3-Apr-97
205 Moulmein Rd
Moulmein Apts
1829.9
40.4
2051
733
2.8
54
27-May-96
207 Moulmein Rd
Angel Court
2040.2
39.3
1790
639
2.8
55
24-Jan-96 to 3-Apr-97
136/A/y150C Moulmein Rd
Thomson Apts
1889.6
40.3
1981
708
2.8
1936
691
2.8
136
31.9
2972
1061
2.8
21
2299.8
31
1252
783
1.6
28
AMALGAMATED SITES
5759.7
56
Jun-96
Hullet Rd
57
27-Jun-96
3 Balmoral Rd
58
11-Jul-96
3 Peck Hay Rd
1219.9
27.82
2119
757
2.8
11-Jul-96
5 Peck Hay Rd
1326.9
24.88
1742
622
2.8
Feb-97
18
2028
724
2.8
70.7
1948
696
2.8
59
AMALGAMATED SITES
Hullet Court
997.3
120
824.4
3371.2
63
ARTICLE IN PRESS
37
No.
60
Jul-96
Xiang Court
3182.8
57
1664
594
2.8
60
61
18-Jul-96
2 Tanjong Rhu Rd
Fort Apts
2138.6
24.17
1050
500
2.1
32
62
Jul-96
1741.7
32.08
1711
611
2.8
32
63
3-Aug-96
26 Paterson Rd
Paterson View
2359
46.89
1847
660
2.8
61
64
10-Aug-96
Shelford Apts
7025.7
70.556
933
666
1.4
74
65
Aug-96
St Martins Mansion
1114.8
15
1250
893
1.4
Aug-96
2259.4
30.4
1250
893
1.4
Nov-96
1567.7
21.09
1250
893
1.4
4941.9
66.5
1250
893
1.4
52
66
19-Sep-96
Dunman Court
3412.4
36.25
987
352
2.8
69
67
9-Oct-96
Zhen Ji Gdn
111
68
4-Nov-96
69
6-Nov-96
71 & 73 Paterson Rd
AMALGAMATED SITES
4462.8
City Mansions
7453.7
56
94.1535
139
460
329
1.4
1960
933
2.1
57
1733
825
2.1
116
130/A/y/V Cairnhill Rd
Cairnhill Apts
2247.1
60.7701998
2512
897
2.8
134 Cairnhill Rd
Galleria Apts
2057
55.6298
2512
897
2.8
AMALGAMATED SITES
4304.1
116.4
2512
897
2.8
46
71
Nov-96
9365.6
55.5
551
72
Nov-96
11/A/y/L Martia Rd
Martia Court
5136.4
29.2
528
377
1.4
58
73
Jan-97
Yan Kit Rd
2274.6
26.45
1080
386
2.8
36
74
15-Jan-97
83 Cairnhill Rd
Scotts Tower
3040.3
96.8
2958
1056
2.8
64
75
Mar-97
1 Essex Rd
Essex Towers
3053.4
48
76
Mar-97
Avenue Park
16,055.5
77
Apr-97
78
May-97
4, 6, 8 & 10 Suffolk Rd
79
May-97
49 Devonshire Rd
80
May-97
114 Holland Rd
Chateau de Hollande
2345.4
May-97
114A Holland Rd
Spring Court
1460
522
2.8
52
165.251
956
683
1.4
169
1038.9
25.4
2271
811
2.8
16
1624.1
23.2
1327
474
2.8
33
1280.4
31
2249
803
2.8
23
2325.5
31.8181818
1271
908
1.4
1.4
AMALGAMATED SITES
4670.9
63.3
1259
899
1.4
49
81
30-May-97
14,12A,14A Shelford Rd
4137.3
36.9
829
592
1.4
44
82
9-Jun-97
30 Farrer Rd
10-Jun-97
36 Farrer Rd
1.4
17
876
9.240851
980
714.4
7.5362
980
AMALGAMATED SITES
1590.4
16.777051
980
4220.0
20.2
445
318
1.4
48
12,535.6
77.1
571
408
1.4
134
12.36
1781
83
13-Jun-97
84
Jun-97
Sunset Way
85
Jul-97
86
Jul-97
16-Sep-97
9 Taman Warna
Clementi Park S C
644.6
6358
78.26
1144
817
496.8
6.11
1144
817
1.4
1.4
AMALGAMATED SITES
6854.8
84.37
1144
817
1.4
112
2-Aug-97
1307.9
20
1421
507
2.8
28
88
7-Aug-97
1465.8
39.33
2493
890
2.8
31
89
19-Aug-97
703.3
9.74
1287
460
2.8
15
Surrey Ville
15
87
ARTICLE IN PRESS
9-Nov-96
9-Nov-96
70
11,303.1
16
Table 3 (continued)
Price
($psf)
Price
($psf/ppr)
New PR
No. of units
(estimated)
Date of sale
Address
Project Name
90
Sep-97
13 Balmoral Rd
Balmoral Green
3291.3
48.5
1369
856
1.6
91
Sep-97
3708.2
85
2130
761
2.8
78
92
16-Sep-97
3013.0
28
863
617
1.4
32
93
Sep-97
Jln Mutiara
1105.2
19.2
1614
576
2.8
108
Jln Mutiara
2410.8
94
Site area
(m2)
Proceeds
($ million)
No.
AMALGAMATED SITES
3516.0
95
17-Oct-97
6 Mar Thoma Rd
1588
96
3-Nov-97
11/11A/11B Suffolk Rd
97
26-Nov-97
462.6
Casabella
9951.4
367,462.5
5.582739
84.138
4211.6404
731
261
2.8
34
1121
400
2.8
10
785
561
1.4
105
4829
ARTICLE IN PRESS
Total
12.5
40
Table 4
Concluded en bloc deals in second policy-on period
No.
Date of sale
Address
Project name
Site area
(m2)
Duchess Park
Proceeds
($ million)
Price
($psf)
1495.4
13.129
816
5318.1
47
Jun-99
5-Aug-99
Duchess Rd
5-Aug-99
24 Duchess Rd
1947
14.3
5-Aug-99
AMALGAMATED SITES
7265.1
61.3
4567.9
813.1
5-Aug-99
Naga Court
Aug-99
40 St Michaels Rd
Amyton Court
2794.6
AMALGAMATED SITES
3607.7
2566.5
1.6
No. of units
(estimated)
20
1.4
1.4
560
1.4
77
72.12
1467
698
2.1
72
5.95
1035
1035
370
2.8
54
928
331
2.8
112
80
Aug-99
Samford Mansion
1086.2
Limau Mansion
1087.4
1955.6
19.42
Prospect Mansion
1167.4
10.78
5296.6
52.88
28.6
21.8
Aug-99
6047.3
57.84
889
317
2.8
25-Aug-99
3998.6
47.34
1100
393
2.8
10045.9
105.18
973
347
2.8
227
10
26-Aug-99
1 Sunshine Terrace
Sunshine Apts
1942.7
18.8
899
321
2.8
41
11
10-Sep-99
11 Buckley Rd
Buckley Mansion
4096.5
43
975
697
1.4
43
12
15-Sep-99
4345.2
37
791
565
1.4
46
13
Sep-99
3001.5
17.5
542
NA
NA
14
Sep-99
Sep-99
3749.4
73.5
15
Nov-99
1889.0
37.48
1843
658
2.8
AMALGAMATED SITES
5638.3
110.98
1829
653
2.8
119
2117
756
2.8
85
895
639
1.4
44
AMALGAMATED SITES
2.8
2.8
16
17-Sep-99
Devonshire Rd
4036.8
92
17
22-Sep-99
4214.5
40.6
18
29-Sep-99
17 Evelyn Rd
Ixora Court
4014.6
84
1944
694
2.8
85
19
Oct-99
Balmoral Haven
3296.4
38.3
1079
675
1.6
40
20
Oct-99
967.4
21
Oct-99
Goldenhill Condo
24,340.4
175.8
671
22
29-Oct-99
Country Park
14,791.8
65.5
411
23
Nov-99
2601.3
25
24
Nov-99
3453.9
35.27
25
Nov-99
5 Balmoral Park
3517.1
42
5 Balmoral Park
2.1
15
320
2.1
385
294
1.4
156
2.8
55
949
339
2.8
73
1109
693
1.6
42
ARTICLE IN PRESS
6-Aug-99
AMALGAMATED SITES
510
New PR
784
Price
($psf/ppr)
17
18
Table 4 (continued)
No.
Date of sale
Address
Project name
26
2-Nov-99
27
10-Nov-99
Killiney Rd
Devonshire Court
28
10-Nov-99
Meyer Rd
10-Nov-99
Meyer Rd
Site area
(m2)
2376.4
Proceeds
($ million)
23.8
5405.1
123
First Mansion
10921.0
176
Meyer Tower
7293.7
117
18,214.7
293
AMALGAMATED SITES
Price
($psf)
Price
($psf/ppr)
New PR
No. of units
(estimated)
930
443
2.1
38
2114
755
2.8
114
2.8
2.8
1494
534
2.8
384
948
339
2.8
69
2, 4 & 6 Ah Hood Rd
Balestier Mansion
3272.2
33.39
30
12-Nov-99
Grange Mansion
5090.9
92
1679
799
2.1
81
31
16-Nov-99
Grange Rd
11,660.0
251
2000
952
2.1
184
32
17-Nov-99
6 Cuscaden Walk
Cuscaden Tower
3568.6
86
2239
800
2.8
77
33
Dec-99
11 Newton Rd
Newton Point
4254.4
78
1703
608
2.8
90
34
Dec-99
Serangoon Ave 3
Arang Court
605
288
2.1
177
35
Dec-99
5900.7
50.35
793
283
2.8
124
36
Dec-99
Carlisle Rd
Norfolk Garden
2909.0
35.7
1140
407
2.8
61
37
Dec-99
Mandalay Rd
Mandalay Court
4513.4
51.7
1064
380
2.8
95
38
11,182.1
72.81
Apr-99
Shelford Rd
Mediterranean
1034.9
10.99
987
705
1.4
11
2-Dec-99
Shelford Rd
Townhouses
4147.2
34.6
775
554
1.4
44
AMALGAMATED SITES
1.4
Dec-99
39
10-Dec-99
51 Meyer Rd
Viewpoint Condo
1227.8
14.2
1074
767
1.4
13
7495.7
123.3
1528
546
2.8
158
40
Jan-00
41
Jan-00
Elias Rd
26,441.5
440
314
1.4
52
615
293
2.1
418
42
Jan-00
43
Jan-00
Grenville Condo
19,544.4
44
Jan-00
121A Grange Rd
Grange Garden
1760
838
2.1
67
45
18-Jan-00
West Coast Rd
24,172.3
122
469
293
1.6
291
46
Feb-00
Cairnhill Circle
Cairnhill Court
11,762.1
315
Feb-00
4 Cairnhill Circle
47
Feb-00
48
Mar-00
Evelyn Rd
Seedevi
2441.9
44.6
1697
49
Mar-00
3 Derbyshire Rd
Derbyshire Court
1116.5
13
1082
50
Mar-00
5656.5
67.2
1104
690
51
Apr-00
3998.8
53
1231
880
1.4
36
52
Jul-00
Mimosa Walk
Mimosa Court
6159.8
21
317
305
1.04
20
53
Aug-00
20/y/26C Martaban Rd
Martaban Court
1969.4
17.8
840
300
2.8
44
54
Sep-00
Bedok Rd
Prospect Court
3104.9
11.2
335
323
1.04
16
4941.7
1896.5
4227.9
2836.3
AMALGAMATED SITES
14,598.4
Loyang Lodge
Total
4055.0
335,682.2
23.4
175
31.4
157
80.1
1538
549
2.8
40
746
533
1.4
206
2488
889
2.8
5560
18021965
643702
2.8
370375
23552386
841852
2.8
308
254
1.4
120
606
2.8
210
386
2.8
25
1.6
58
15
3748.5693753.569
344
5512
ARTICLE IN PRESS
12-Nov-99
29
ARTICLE IN PRESS
S.K. Lum et al. / Land Use Policy 21 (2004) 119
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19