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I. Positive vs Normative
In any heated debate, pay attention to whether the statement being made is POSITIVE or
NORMATIVE.
Examples:
It is time for healthcare reform. --- normative
In order to reduce government spending on Medicare, healthcare reform is needed. --- positive
The public option for health insurance would not cover abortion. --- positive
The public option for health insurance should not cover abortion. --- normative
Healthcare needs to be made more affordable. --- normative
Many people believe healthcare needs to be made more affordable. --- positive
Estimates suggest that the current healthcare bill will reduce the deficit. --- positive
II. Overview
It is important to note that we aren’t starting from scratch. We don’t get to design a new healthcare
system from the ground up. The current goal of reform can’t be to obtain the ideal healthcare system –
the goal would to be to improve the system we have now. There are benefits to doing so and also costs,
and “improve” means different things to different people.
Let’s start with the hot issues of today: coverage and cost. Then let’s briefly look at government
intervention in the healthcare sector so far.
All of this is going to be positive analysis. You get to decide for yourself the normative prescription you
favor. And remember – this is just a crash course in the current hot button issues. We could devote an
entire semester to the economics of healthcare.
III. Hot Issues: Coverage and Cost
No doubt you have heard about the urgent need to extend health care coverage to the uninsured and also
to contain the rising cost of healthcare. Before we can proceed, we need to take a step back and see
where we’ve come from.
Most Americans are covered by health insurance. (remember – these are estimates!)
In 2008: US Population 304 million
255.1 million had health insurance
With insurance, the demand for healthcare services increases. This pushes prices up. When
someone else is writing the check, consumer behavior is not constrained by higher prices. But
rising prices due to rising demand do translate into higher insurance costs.
Insurers negotiate the rates that they will pay for particular services. Different insurers pay different
amounts. A person paying out-of-pocket will be charged a different rate than an insurance company –
for the same procedure. It is nearly impossible to figure out how much something actually costs.
The lack of transparency in pricing means prices are no longer reliable signals in this market.
B. The Uninsured
Four States Account for around 40% of uninsured: Texas, Florida, California and New York1
2
The Percent Uninsured Differs Widely by State (Ages 18-64)
% uninsured in % Involuntarily % voluntarily
the state uninsured uninsured
Texas 30.1 18.4 11.7
Louisiana 28.8 16.4 12.3
Florida 27.3 15.8 11.5
Arkansas 26.4 17.7 8.8
California 24 12.7 11.3
New York 18.9 10.2 8.7
New Jersey 18.9 9.3 9.7
Illinois 18.1 9.5 8.6
Massachusetts 13.6 6.4 7.3
Pennsylvania 12.9 6.9 5.9
Connecticut 12.5 5.9 6.6
Minnesota 11.2 5.6 5.6
The “problem” of people being uninsured varies by state. Also, the uninsured are uninsured for
various reasons and differ in their characteristics.
1
WHO ARE THE UNINSURED? An Analysis of America’s Uninsured Population, their Characteristics and Their Health
June E. O’Neill and Dave M. O’Neill, Baruch College, CUNY For the Employment Policies Institute
2
Ibid.
3
Ibid.
C. Insurance and Jobs
The majority of Americans 64 and younger get their health insurance through an employer (just over
60%). When you change jobs, you change insurance plans. If you lose your job, you lose your
insurance (laws will let you continue on your plan but you pay for all of it - COBRA). This is a real
consideration for many people.
The fact that health insurance is not portable can lead to “job lock” or people losing benefits when
their employment status changes.
Let’s look at some of the key ways that the government has gotten involved with the healthcare industry.
A. Tax treatment of employment-based health insurance
B. Medicare, Medicaid, and SCHIP
C. Regulations
As we just learned, the Stabilization Act (1942) and the IRS Tax Code (1954) set in motion something
big. Most people get their health insurance through their jobs and third party payer systems encourage
utilization of healthcare services [we are not saying that utilization is inherently “good” or “bad” – we
are just describing].
Tax code may be boring to read but it has a HUGE impact on people’s behavior. Here is what happens
when suddenly health insurance is tax exempt.
Suppose you are taxed at 20%.
$1 can buy you $1 worth of health benefits pre-tax.
$1 can buy you 80 cents worth of goods and services post-tax.
The price of health care has decreased relative to other goods and services.
People purchase more coverage and consume more health care than they otherwise would. [again,
we are simply describing]
Question for you to ponder: Do we want to treat health care differently than other goods and services
when it comes to taxes? Why or why not?
Then again, as is often the case, the answer to that question is a moot point when we look at what would
happen if we undid that policy.
- People would face an estimated $189 billion in extra tax burden (2004).
Benefits
~ people are more careful consumers when they spend their own money
~ portable
~ small businesses that can’t afford to buy policies for employees could still contribute
Costs
~ additional administrative burden of approving eligible purchases
~ reduction of tax revenue
Medicare is the health insurance that all Americans 65 and older are eligible for through the Federal
government. Some disabled people under age 65, and people of all ages with End-Stage Renal Disease
(permanent kidney failure treated with dialysis or a transplant) are eligible.
In general, Medicaid covers low-income people, children, the disabled, the elderly, pregnant women
living under the federal poverty level, and those who are eligible to receive federal income assistance.
Medicaid is a state administered program and each state has its own eligibility guidelines.
The State Children's Health Insurance Program, or SCHIP, was established in 1997 by the federal
government to provide health insurance to children in families at or below 200 percent of the federal
poverty line.
3. Any options?
Medicare
Question for you to ponder: What are the pros and cons to having the Federal Government pick up the
tab on healthcare for everyone 65 and older? Is this a system we want to keep?
Whether or not you want to keep Medicare, it is not fiscally sustainable if something doesn’t change.
~ cut benefits, raise taxes (not too popular)
~ allow seniors to opt out and still keep their Social Security
~ premiums can be “means tested” -- seniors with higher lifetime earnings would pay more (couldn’t
spring this on current seniors… would have to be phased in)
~ move to a voucher system for buying insurance (complicated… but can work but … however the
devil is in the details of course)
Question for you to ponder: How much of a “safety net” is ideal? How does your answer change if you
are talking specifically about people under 18? Given the existence of the Samaritan’s Dilemma, would
you err on the side of helping too many people or not enough?
C. Regulations
The healthcare industry has a large amount of information asymmetries. That is, in any given situation,
one party has more information than another.
However, often the producers are the ones pushing for the regulations.
~ limits on “scope-of-practice”
~ Certificate of Need laws
~ can’t buy insurance across state lines