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Abstract
Electricity theft can be in the form of fraud (meter tampering), stealing (illegal connections), billing irregularities, and unpaid bills.
Estimates of the extent of electricity theft in a sample of 102 countries for 1980 and 2000 are undertaken. The evidence shows that
theft is increasing in most regions of the world. The nancial impacts of theft are reduced income from the sale of electricity and the
necessity to charge more to consumers. Electricity theft is closely related to governance indicators, with higher levels of theft in
countries without effective accountability, political instability, low government effectiveness and high levels of corruption.
Electricity theft can be reduced by applying technical solutions such as tamper-proof meters, managerial methods such as inspection
and monitoring, and in some cases restructuring power systems ownership and regulation.
r 2003 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
Keywords: Electricity theft; Governance; Corruption
1. The Problem
An electric power system can never be 100% secure
from theft. In many systems the amount of theft is small
(12%) in terms of the electricity generated. But, the
nancial loss is high due to the large amount of
electricity distributed. Nesbit (2000) noted that, In
the US, the consensus seems to be that theft costs
between 0.5% and 3.5% of annual gross revenues in the
US. That seems like a small amountuntil you consider
that US electricity revenues were in the $280 billion
range in 1998. Therefore, between $1 and $10 billion
worth of electricity was stolen.
Some power systems may forfeit more than 15% of
power generated to various types of theft. A Transparency International (1999) report explains the situation in
Bangladesh.
In scal 199899 Bangladesh Power Development
Board (BPDB) generated 14,150 MkWh of electricity,
purchased another 450 MkWh from private sources,
but billed for only 11,462 MkWh, giving a system loss
of 22%. This was better than Dacca Electric Supply
Authority (DESA) 40% but poorer than Rural
Electrication Board (REB) 17%. The weighted
average system loss in the power sector as a whole
*Tel.:+971-4-2082-540; fax: +971-4-3522-534.
E-mail address: tbsmith9@yahoo.com (T.B. Smith).
0301-4215/03/$ - see front matter r 2003 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
doi:10.1016/S0301-4215(03)00182-4
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2. An increasing awareness
The emergence of power theft as a serious problem
has evolved due to several recent trends. Most countries
developed electric power systems that were highly
centralized state owned monopolies, where efciency
and prots were not high priority. The privatization of
the infrastructure and new modes of power policy
requires the new business-like enterprises to operate
efciently and try to optimize prots in an environment
of rapid change (Flavin and Lenssen, 1994; Patterson,
2001).
In many countries power theft is an issue of open
discussioneven in the most efcient (such as in the
USA) and moderately efcient (Malaysia) systems. In
South Asian countries, electric power is rarely discussed
without reference to power theft, since it is such a
prevalent practice. However, in some countries (Thailand, China) the topic is rarely part the analysis of
power systems.
The World Bank and Transparency International
have been major forces in promoting efcient, noncorrupt governance of public and private sector
organizations that provide essential services to the
public. The development of a civil society in many
countries has lead to a questioning of the effectiveness
and efciency of infrastructure and service delivery and
promotes transparency in the operations of secretive
bureaucratic organizations.
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losses, theft may compose a large part of the unaccounted amountthe non-technical line losses in the
distribution network.
Very efcient power systems have less than 6% T&D
lossestheft may be 12%. Less efcient systems may
have 912% T&D loss and inefcient systems have line
losses of over 15%. The Malaysian Tenaga system has
T&D losses of 11% that includes theft losses estimated
at 4%. Bangladesh estimates are T&D losses of 35%
with 14% as theft. In Budapest, Elmu estimates that half
of its 13% losses are due to theft (East European Energy
Report, 1999). Indonesias PLN estimated theft in
power distribution in Jakarta at 7% in 1994 and
3.77% in 1996 (Priatna, 1999). Thus, a system operating
with 22% T&D losses could lead analysts to estimate
that around 1015% are due technical T&D losses. The
remaining 712% of the electricity disappeared, probably due to theft of various types. This is a blunt method
for estimating theft and does not include non-payment.
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Table 1
T&D losses in 2000
T&D losses
Number of countries
Percent
410%
1115%
1620%
2153%
Total
34
25
15
28
102
33.3
24.5
14.7
27.5
Table 2
T&D Losses by region, 1980 and 2000
Region
Countries 1980
T&D
loss
percent
Western Europe
17
Eastern Europe
24
Middle-east, North Africa
11
Africa
11
North America
3
South America
9
Central America, Caribbean
9
South Asia
5
Southeast Asia
7
East Asia, Australasia
6
Total
102
7.71
9.68
11.18
14.6
9.67
13.00
15.50
25.20
12.14
8.67
11.69%
2000
Change
T&D
percent
loss
percent
7.56
18.18
19.63
19.95
9.38
17.23
21.68
27.55
13.32
7.65
16.22%
0.15
+8.50
+8.45
+5.35
0.29
+4.23
+6.18
+2.35
+1.18
1.02
+4.54%
2071
social turmoil. In tumultuous times government organizations cease to function efciently, become prone to
corrupt practices, investment is not made in system
management, and the consumers take advantage of the
system
Variations in T&D losses within each country may be
large. In the Philippines the T&D losses were estimated
to be 17% in 1997. However, assessment of regional
variations shows that six of 15 regions had losses below
17%. One region has over 27% loss and ve were
between 20% and 27%. The Meralco region (Manila)
reported losses of 12.4%, well below the rural areas
(National Economic Development Authority, 1998,
Table 5.4).
India has overall T&D losses of over 26%, but the
losses vary in the 22 states. Losses of nearly 50% are
experienced in Delhi, Jammu and Kashmir, and Orissa.
Even Maharashtra, with the best record, has nearly 15%
losses.
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Table 3
Governance indicators and T&D losses
Governance
dimensiona
Voice and accountability
Political instability and violence
Government effectiveness
Regulatory burden
Rule of law
Graft/corruption
Correlation
T&D losses
0.496
0.555
0.682
0.503
0.644
0.636
Level of
signicance
>0.000
>0.000
>0.000
>0.000
>0.000
>0.000
Mean T&D
loss percentage
Number of
countries
7.57
13.33
22.00
22.51
16.22
24
26
26
26
102
governance indicator go lowerindicating poor governance, one will nd higher T&D losses (and theft).
The T&D losses are highly correlated with each of the
governance dimension and all correlation coefcients
were signicant at less then the 0.001 level. Countries
with higher T&D losses lack of civil rights, democratic
institutions and accountability and endure political
instability and possible violence. Government effectiveness is weak and there is a high regulatory burden. Rule
of law is weak. The relationship of T&D losses with
graft and corruption indicates that the two are closely
intertwined. Power theft thrives (and is a part of)
systems of mal-governance. The reverse can be said also
to be true, that in well-governed systems, one nds much
less power theft. The relationship of power theft to graft
and corruption is not unexpected as examples of high
power theft systems show evidence of corrupt practices
within power sector organizations.
In order to illustrate the relationship between
governance and T&D losses, the six governance
indicators were combined into a total governance score
for each country. The countries were then divided into
quartiles on the basis of the total governance score.
Table 4 provides the mean T&D losses for the countries
in each of the quartiles. As is clear, the countries with
lower governance have much higher T&D losses.
Electricity theft and corruption appear to be closely
linked. It takes the connivance of power sector employees and even some politicians to perpetuate a system
whereby high T&D losses and theft continue to occur.
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11. Conclusions
The evidence points to the increasing levels of power
theft in many countries and the nancial losses for some
systems are so immense that the utility is in nancial
References
Ahmedabad Electricity Co. Ltd., 2000. The tiger has teeth: vigilance and
automation slash energy theft in India. Metering International 2.
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