"The sanctions have not and will never affect

the development of Iranian people," (Mahmoud

Ahmadinejad, 2012)
www.kuna.net, KUNA, 1/21/2012 10:01:00 PM

Name

: Fairuz Alhamdi

ID

: 016201100017

Class

: IR 3

Time

: -Tuesday @ 13.00
-Wednesday @ 01.30

Currently, situation in Iran is going to fierce because of development of Irans nuclear.

This nuclear program of Iran has triggered a lot of controversy of western countries,
especially U.S. U.S. and its allies continuously give criticisms and threaten to impose
sanctions against Iran. The sanctions which are U.S. going to force the countries who have
trade relations with Iran for immediately to oil-embargo to their trade relations. America and
Israel also threaten to declare war on Iran if Iran does not want to cancel its nuclear program.
Variety of new controversy was born after the U.S. announced would impose those
sanctions on Iran. Many countries in the world disagree to U.S.s statement. U.S. was difficult
to get support of other country for the realization of that sanction. Some countries assume this
has nothing to do with the Iranian nuclear issue. Moreover, if Iran does not export its oil it
will disrupt the stability of world oil prices. As we know, Iran is one of the largest country
produce oil in the world. A lot of countries in the world depend on Iranian oil. One of them is
a super power country today, namely China. China is the largest country to import oil from
Iran. As a country that import oil from Iran, China is disagree about U.S.s sanction to Iran
and keep to import the oil from that Islamic republic country. Ironically, U.S. itself until now
is still depends on Iranian oil to fulfill their oil needs.
In response, Iran has threatened to close the Strait of Hormuz. Strait of Hormuz is the
world's busiest strait in the oil import-export activities. This strait is a very strategic and is
also a very vital place in the world. On the other hand, this Iranian threat is a nightmare to the
global energy security. About 90 percent of all oil in the entire Persian Gulf region is
distributed through tankers which requires to passing the strait of Iranian coast. Onshore
pipeline does not provide an alternative way to crude oil export-import activities. If the
closure of the strait is the case, about a quarter of worlds oil will disappear from the market
and lead to a supply shock where is never expected before. In addition to closing the Strait of
Hormuz, Iran also threatened to cut off oil exports. When it has done Iran, it is expected to
push world oil prices and trigger the disruption of world oil market stability. Previously, Iran
also has issued a threat to do an explicit action related to the aircraft carrier USS John C.
Stennis in the Strait of Hormuz. Another statement issued by the threatening tone by the vice
president of Iran, Mohamed Reza Rahimi, "If the world wants to make this area unsafe, we
will make the world not safe," said Rahimi (quoted by Iranian news agency, Irna Wednesday,
12/28).
Iranian President, Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, in an interview to a Mexican TV broadcast
(01/21/2012) says, The sanctions have not and will never affect the development of Iranian
people, when asked about U.S. sanctions to be given to Iran. He also added Iranian people
will deal with any threat and defend their country with all their power. That statement was
issued in his country-visit to Latin America, where is to discuss about the problems that occur
at this time.
Responding to Ahmadinejad's statement, I assessed that Iran was not daunt at all by
the threats from outside. Iran's nuclear program remains focused on it. As described by the
Iranian government before, which the creating of nuclear is solely for peaceful needs, and
absolutely not for war needs. In my opinion, the prohibition of Western countries against
Iran's nuclear program is merely a conspiracy by Western countries. They propagandize that
Iran had no right to build nuclear weapons. Western countries fear that Iran's nuclear program
will be a threat to them.

So far, Iran has baffled Western countries with the acting. Iran was considered too
bold against U.S. and its allies. Even the Islamic Revolution of Iran's Supreme Leader or
Rahbar, Ayatollah Al-Sayyid Ali Khamenei Udzma assesses the threat to Iran's nuclear
program as a black record in the history of the United States (U.S.) government and the red
cards report of the White House. But, in response to this situation, U.S. does not stay silent.
U.S. today has sent the aircraft carrier USS Abraham Lincoln to the Strait of Hormuz in order
to monitor the movements of Iran that will close the strait. Meanwhile, Iran's Navy
commander, Admiral Habibollah Sayyari, reported that Iran is sharpening their navys combat
military capability of use new weapons. The Iranian naval exercises in the Sea focus on
Velayat-90. It may be that new weapon referred is a part of nuclear which was developed by
Iran.
In these circumstances, if proved to be the reality of closing the Strait of Hormuz, Iran
will bear the cost of not less in realizing the threat. Except, Iran was able to convince the
international community that their actions to close the Strait of Hormuz is a vital act in self
defense, the world will react with the opinion that opposes such action. Closure of the strait
will be seen not only as a serious violation of international norms, but even worse, touching
the interests of many countries. This action could seriously be regarded as a piracy campaign.
Tell the world to assess the actions of Iran as an effort of self-defense, but the impact of the
closure of the strait were not mild and would be difficult to be able to forgive it.
If this condition continues, and Iran still let U.S. aircraft carriers remain in the Strait
of Hormuz, the United States could have the discretion to take action. U.S. leader possibility
to take this opportunity of attacks Iran to make normal oil distribution lines. And, then leave
Iran is not only very poor due to the loss of oil revenue and damage to infrastructure naval
and air defense. The United States also eliminate the threat of a state which will return against
U.S. hegemony.
Another possibility is the capture of the islands near the Strait of Hormuz shipping
lanes by U.S. forces. Later became the basis for launching American geographic isolation on
Iran. And, the worst is this country will suffer the same fate with Iraq, held this country under
occupation and a filling station for Western countries. In short time, Iran will find their
position in the Gulf War with Iraq in the decade of the 90s and suffered huge losses.
But, those statements issued by Ahmadinejad are form of trust in people. He believes
that Iran is able to face these threats and can overcome this problem, although in the end the
latter path taken is through war. All people of Iran will defend their country from a variety of
attacks that may occur. Iran has learned a lot from the wars the U.S. - Iraq which occurred
some time ago. In my opinion, they are not as easy as it dropped by America and its allies.
But now the question is, why the U.S. and its allies insisted to stop Iran's nuclear
program? How powerful that nuclear made by Iran? And true that Iran will use it solely for
peace and not used for the benefit of the war?
Irans nuclear could become a pioneer of technological progress in the Middle East,
especially atomic technology. In my opinion, if Iran succeeded in creating this nuclear
program, it will be a lot of countries in the Middle East who follow Iran. Consequently, the
development of nuclear technology will continue rapidly in the Middle East and of course
this is a very in fear by U.S. and its allies. Another possibility is that Iran will send and
supplies nuclear to the countries in Middle East, especially for those who has conflict with
Western countries. Of course this would be a nightmare for U.S. and its allies.

U.S. is one of country that has a nuclear technology, that was not become a
controversy of the world. But Iran, just on the process of the making of the nuclear
technology has attacked by a hundreds of controversy. No wonder, the U.S. is afraid of
nuclear developments in Iran. Iran has oil and gas natural resources, including uranium, and
Iran chose to explore uranium for nuclear. Plus, the amount is very much. Based on data
reported by (suaramedia.com), the main source of uranium Iran is the Saghand mine in the
middle of Iran, which has a production capacity of 132,000 tonnes of uranium ore per year.
The mine is located about 300 miles (480 kilometers) south of Tehran consists of an open
tunnel that contains minimum reserves and a deep mine. Total reserves of uranium ore in the
mine is estimated at 1.73 million tonnes. Iran also has a smaller capacity of uranium reserves
in the southern port city of Bandar Abbas. In the region, a windmill believed to be used to
process raw uranium into uranium ore concentrate, known by the term "yellow cake". Iran
announced the discovery of the location of new uranium reserves in 2006 at three locations in
central Khoshoomi, Charchooleh, and Narigan. It is remarkable that there is nuclear material
in Iran. Obviously the U.S. is very afraid of this.
Sometime ago, there was an explosion in a car bomb that killed one of his Iranian
scientists. Iran accuses the action is carried out by the U.S. and Israel as a form to prevent its
nuclear program. But the statement was denied by the U.S. and Israel. Known that,
Ahmadinejad has pointed out that his country (Iran) fully cooperates with the International
Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA). But, IAEA has given the evidence that Iran use nuclear for
the military activities. In case of that, U.S. dares to accuse Iran. In other statement,
Ahmadinejad also says the leader of International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) is just a
puppet of U.S. He describes that evidences of IAEA was not true. And all of that just an
conspiracy to impedes Irans nuclear project.
In the end, I can say that Iran is in a dangerous situation now.

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