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ence and expertise in the field of alternative indexing has developed the 1741 Switzerland Index Series of eight indices for
the Swiss equity market. The eight indices consistently cover
the spectrum of relevant systematic factors and enable investors to specifically capture individual risk premiums. The main
focus of this research note is to introduce these indices and
subject them to an empirical test. In addition, case studies are
presented in order to point out potential tangible ways to put
these indices to use.
F R O M T H E S I N G L E FA C TO R M O D E L TO T H E
A LT E R N AT I V E I N D E X A T H E O R E T I C A L O U T L I N E
The publication of the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM)
around 1964 sounded the start of the victory parade for indexing
based on market capitalisation.1 Below is a brief refresher on the
main cornerstones of the model:
1. The CAPM is a single factor model:
Investors receive compensation in the form of a higher expected return only for holding systematic risk.
Expected equity returns (above the risk-free interest rate)
are a function of a single systematic factor: the market risk
premium.2
2. A capitalisation-weighted market portfolio is a mean-variance
efficient portfolio, i.e. it is the portfolio with the highest sharpe
ratio.
For investors this implies one simple dictate: Hold only a market
portfolio! Over the subsequent decades, most of the CAPMs
underlying assumptions and its theoretical foundation were
questioned and empirically tested. This research revealed that
scaled broad-market beta as a sole systematic factor inadequately explains the expected equity return. Additional factors
exist that systematically explain equity returns. Analogously to
the CAPM, the expected return in such multifactor models is
depicted as a linear combination of exposures to multiple systematic factors.3
The move from one to multiple systematic factors is a significant step: In a multifactor world, a capitalisation-weighted
market portfolio is not necessarily mean-variance efficient. In
order to build an efficient portfolio, the investor must accordingly also take into consideration the rest of the systematic
risks. One of the best-known and most commonly employed
multifactor models is the Fama-French three factor model
(FF3FM)4, which adds in the systematic factors value (i.e. an
enterprises valuation level) and size (i.e. the absolute size of
each enterprises market capitalisation) alongside the market
factor. Juxtaposing the FF3FM against the CAPM instantly reveals a practical application possibility for multifactor models
using them to isolate alpha from beta. The classical CAPM
regression (R tei = i + imR tem + ti ) yields an alpha, a systematic performance differential between a portfolio and a (scaled)
capitalisation-weighted index. But if one uses the FF3FM regression (R tei = i + imR tem + iValueRteValue + iSizeR eSize
+ ti ) to evalt
uate portfolio performance, the return is explained by means
of three different factors. The far-reaching consequence of this
is that it turns parts of the alpha (which is often considered a
proxy for manager skill) into beta (i.e. exposure to a systematic factor). This distinction is by no means purely semantic,
because whereas the asset management industry often charges
high fees for purported alpha, beta can usually be obtained less
expensively. Why should one pay high fees for a return that is
easy to replicate?
The search for systematic factors goes far beyond just
value and size. In recent years a variety of systematic factors have been identified that can help to explain expected returns. Each factor, in turn, can be encapsulated by a separate
alternative index. An investor can selectively exploit the risk
premium on individual factors by investing in the corresponding alternative index. Drawing on earlier research,5 alternative
indices can be classified into five different beta categories. Each
index category targets different systematic factors and exhibits
a specific risk/return profile. Chart 1 illustrates the connection
between equity return, systematic factors and beta category.
Systematic factors
Small size
Large Size
2 price-agnostic
Market
factor
Liquidity
3 fundamentalbased
Growth
4 risk-based
Momentum
5 return-based
Structural
factors
Value
Returnbased
factors
Quality
Volatility
Risk
Source: 1741 Asset Management Ltd. For information on beta categorisation, see Gander, Leveau
& Pfiffner (2012)
1741 S W I T Z E R L A N D I N D E X S E R I E S A LT E R N AT I V E
INDICES IN THE SWISS EQUIT Y MARKE T
The usefulness of alternative indices is obvious in theory. In
practice, however, it is sometimes an extremely challenging
task to find suitable alternative indices. For one thing, the alternative indices available on the market frequently lack transparency. This is not a trivial matter because in reality, an alternative index lacking transparency hardly differs from an active
fund the investor cannot reconstruct with sufficient certainty
how its performance is achieved. The uncontrolled methodology proliferation by some index providers likewise appears
problematic. Alternative indices often blend together multiple systematic factors and thus do not allow investors to selectively seize distinct individual risk premiums. A classic example
of this is value indices based on a preselection of value stocks
that are subsequently weighted in the index in accordance with
their respective market caps. This type of methodology blends
the market beta with the value beta and makes it impossible to
isolate the value premium. It potentially will even mix undesired factor exposure into the investors portfolio, thus undermining his investment decision.
These are serious drawbacks, and they make working with
alternative indices unnecessarily complicated for investors. In
Index
Information source
1 price-based
Cap Weighted
Market capitalisation
per company
2 price-agnostic
Equal Weighted
Number of companies: N
3 fundamentalbased
Accounting Based
Fundamental data
(absolute) per company
4 risk-based
Minimum Volatility
Risk Parity
Price data
5 return-based
Value Momentum
Quality
Fundamental (relative)
and price data implied
return expectations
Source: 1741 Asset Management Ltd. For information on beta categorisation, see Gander, Leveau
& Pfiffner (2012)
These indices can be used by investors as a benchmark for evaluating the performance of their stock portfolios (e.g.: Is the value
manager worth the money spent?), and they make it possible to
invest in alternative indices on the Swiss equity market. They
cover all five beta categories and their best-known underlying
systematic factors. Individual indices or multiple indices combined are suitable for use depending on the investors needs. The
next section of this research note takes a closer look at the 1741
Switzerland Index Seriess investment universe and its construction as well as its weighting methodology.
DEFINITION OF INVESTMENT UNIVERSE AND
C O N S T R U C T I O N M E T H O D O LO G Y
All stocks traded on the SIX Swiss Exchange form the base investment universe. A company must have a free float greater
2000
2002
2004
2006
2008
2010
2012
1741 Cap Weighted Index: Based on 1741 universe. SPI: Based on SWX universe.
Source: Calculations by 1741 Asset Management Ltd. Data for period from 31 December 1997 to
31 December 2013.
Equal
Weighted
Accounting
Based
Minimum
Volatility
Risk Parity
Value
Momentum
Quality
4.6%
6.6%
5.0%
7.5%
7.1%
7.7%
9.6%
8.4%
0.02%
0.04%
0.02%
0.07%
0.06%
0.09%
0.13%
0.06%
18.8%
17.9%
20.8%
12.4%
15.0%
20.3%
18.4%
17.1%
0.88
1.09
0.59
0.72
0.93
0.83
0.80
Tracking error
n/a
8.4%
4.1%
9.8%
7.9%
10.7%
10.7%
9.1%
Tracking error2
6.1%
2.6%
6.8%
6.1%
3.3%
6.8%
6.7%
4.7%
Sharpe ratio
0.19
0.31
0.18
0.51
0.40
0.32
0.46
0.42
0.40
Information ratio
n/a
0.24
0.08
0.28
0.28
0.27
0.45
Information ratio2
neg.
neg.
neg.
0.07
0.01
0.08
0.38
0.27
53.8%
64.2%
59.9%
48.9%
54.8%
64.3%
56.1%
58.8%
Risk Parity
Value
Momentum
Quality
Maximum drawdown
Source: Analysis by 1741 Asset Management Ltd for the period from 31 December 1997 to 31 December 2013 (in CHF)
1
Calculated relative to Cap Weighted Index
2
Calculated relative to the average for the alternative indices
Equal
Weighted
Accounting
Based
Minimum
Volatility
1
0.55
Accounting Based
0.81
0.26
Minimum Volatility
0.27
0.32
0.58
Risk Parity
0.56
0.09
0.77
0.81
Value
0.35
0.40
0.08
0.38
0.20
Momentum
0.38
0.13
0.51
0.04
0.12
0.31
Quality
0.38
0.13
0.46
0.09
0.16
0.16
0.16
Source: Analysis by 1741 Asset Management Ltd. Calculations based on relative returns for period from 31 December 1997 to 31 December 2013 (in CHF)
The preceding analyses concentrated on the long-term characteristics of the indices. Equally interesting, though, is the question of how the individual indices behave under different market
scenarios. Table 3 displays their average monthly returns broken down by rising, sideways-trending and falling market periods. As one would expect, the return-focused indices deliver
0.40
Cap Weighted
Index
0.30
0.20
70% 60%
50% 40%
30% 20%
10% 0%
disproportionate returns in rising markets, whereas the riskfocused indices perform better in falling markets. In rangebound
markets, focusing on specific systematic factors only marginally
pays off; all eight alternative indices deliver similar returns.
Sidewaystrendingmarkets
Fallingmarkets
Cap Weighted
4.6%
0.5%
6.0%
Equal Weighted
5.3%
0.7%
6.6%
Accounting Based
5.2%
0.5%
6.8%
Minimum Volatility
3.9%
0.6%
4.2%
Risk Parity
4.5%
0.7%
5.5%
Value
6.0%
0.5%
6.9%
Momentum
5.1%
1.0%
5.8%
Quality
5.0%
1.0%
6.1%
C A S E S T U DY 1: S T R AT E G I C P O S I T I O N I N G
With the advent of alternative approaches to indexing, investors are starting to ask themselves which index is the right one
for their personal investment needs. Personal investment objectives inevitably lead to the use of different indices. As outlined in
section 2, substantial risk and return differences are empirically
observable. Investors can exploit those differences. There is a
suitable specific alternative index for each investment objective.
Empirical experience suggests that investors whose goal is to
maximise long-term returns should turn to return-focused indices that capture value, quality and momentum premiums. These
indices record the highest return over the long term, though
the enhanced return potential is also accompanied by greater
risk. Investors with a low appetite for risk are better served by
minimum volatility and risk parity indices, which explicitly take
the risk attributes of individual stocks into account when setting
the index weightings. Chart 5 uses three simple portfolio combinations to illustrate this long-term effect.
MCAP
MV
VAL
MOM
QUA
Return, p.a.
Source: Analysis by 1741 Asset Management Ltd. Calculations based on relative returns.
Time period: 31 December 1997 to 31 December 2013 (in CHF)
Volatility
Sharpe ratio
Risk reduction
Return
maximisation
17%
100%
50%
50%
50%
17%
17%
4.6%
6.1%
6.8%
18.8%
15.6%
18.3%
0.24
0.39
0.37
Source: Calculations by 1741 Asset Management Ltd. Data for period from 31 December 1997
to 31 December 2013 (in CHF). MCAP = Cap Weighted, MV = Minimum Volatility, VAL = Value,
MOM = Momentum, QUA = Quality
C A S E S T U DY 2: TA C T I C A L P O S I T I O N I N G
If an investor holds a specific opinion about the stock markets
direction, alternative indices can be used to help build a portfolio that promises the best return under the investors expected
market scenario. The empirical evidence presented in section 2
indicates that return-focused indices exhibit the highest returns
in bull markets while risk-focused indices minimise expected
losses in bear markets. An investor who is convinced about an
impending bull market should accordingly build an index portfolio composed of value, quality and momentum indices. Chart 6
graphically lays out the case:
Good timing
Bad timing
MCAP portfolio
300
200
100
0
Good markets
Bad markets
+318%
47%
+203%
57%
MCAP portfolio
+192%
53%
Definition of good timing and bad timing: Most attractive, or conversely, least attractive index
portfolio in each market phase.
Good markets: 12 March 2003 to 31 May 2007. Bad markets: 1 June 2007 to 9 March 2009.
Source: Analysis by 1741 Asset Management Ltd
tion of cap weighted and minimum volatility indices, earns a return of just +30% p.a., which works out to a relative annualised
underperformance of 10 percentage points.
The opposite holds in a bear market. If Investor X reassesses the situation in June 2007 and comes to the conclusion
that a significant bear market is imminent and thus prudently
switches to a defensive index portfolio (50% cap weighted, 50%
minimum volatility), during the credit market crisis from June
2007 to March 2009 he loses just 47% instead of 57%. Investor
X, who is skilled at timing the market, would have achieved a
performance of +122% over the entire period from March 2003
to March 2009 while a classic cap weighted investor would have
earned a return of just +39%. By comparison, Investor Y, who is
not adept at timing the market, switches from a defensive portfolio to a more aggressive one in June 2007 and earns a return
of +31% for the same six-year period, which is only marginally
lower than the performance achieved by the cap weighted investor. So compared to the classic cap weighted index, selectively employing alternative indices provides substantial outperformance potential for those investors who want to time bull
and bear markets without altering the equity allocation in their
portfolios.
C A S E S T U DY 3: E VA LUAT I N G T H E P E R F O R M A N C E O F A N
AC TIVE FUND MANAGER
Alternative indices serve not just as an aid for strategically and
tactically managing the composition of a stock portfolio, but
also help to evaluate active fund managers. Chart 7 compares
the live track record of one of the best-known and most successful Swiss value managers with that of the 1741 Switzerland
Cap Weighted Index and the 1741 Switzerland Value Index.
Two things stick out: If an investor uses the cap weighted
index as the performance benchmark, he or she might draw
false conclusions about the managers performance contribution. The outperformance from February 2002 to October 2008
looks impressive, but the subsequent underperformance until
March 2009 is equally disillusioning. Did the fund manager first
do an excellent job and afterwards a terrible job? If the relative
performance is judged using the value index, which is the more
appropriate benchmark in view of the managers systematic
2000
2003
2006
2009
2012
Source: Calculations by 1741 Asset Management Ltd based on net returns for period from
31 December 1997 to 31 December 2013.
factor exposures, then the picture changes. The long outperformance phase was not achieved solely through astute stockpicking on the part of the manager, but was also driven by the
funds value bias. The same applies to the underperformance
phase in 2008/2009. Another striking observation is that the
transparent, publicly accessible value index stands up well in a
comparison with active value funds. In the example presented,
the value index actually even delivered a slightly superior return over the entire observation period.
Irrespective of whether the return is slightly better, equally
good or mildly inferior, it is the transparency and the consistent capturing of factor premiums that make alternative indices
a compelling alternative to conventional active managers. A
straightforward, rule-based, transparent investment approach
that replicates the bulk of the relative performance simply and
inexpensively compensates the investor for any forfeit of manager skills.
We have limited ourselves to outlining three possible ways
to use alternative indices in the investment process. Besides
employing them as a benchmark for an active manager or using
them to strategically position a stock portfolio or to tactically
manage it, there are many other application possibilities for alternative indices throughout the entire portfolio construction
process.
QUINTESSENCE
After several decades of preeminence, the dominance of market cap weighted indexing is beginning to crumble. Successful
theoretical and empirical attacks have been launched against
the bastion of cap weighted indexing. Today numerous alternative indices are crowding onto the market. Empirical evidence
shows that none of these indices is superior to any of the others in all aspects and circumstances. Their suitability is much
more determined by an investors personal investment objectives. Different indices present themselves for use depending
on the investment need. However, the wild proliferation of
indexing methodologies and the often deficient transparency
needlessly complicate working with alternative indices in actual practice. 1741 Asset Management Ltd developed the 1741
Switzerland Index Series to address this. Composed of eight
alternative indices featuring heretofore unparalleled transparency and methodological consistency, the 1741 Switzerland Index Series offers investors a user-friendly instrument that can
be utilised to profit from the systematic factor premiums on the
Swiss equity market.
F O OT N OT E S
1 Sharpe, W. 1964. "Capital Asset Prices: A Theory of Market Equilibrium under
Conditions of Risk". Journal of Finance, vol. 19, no. 3, 425-442.
2 Formula: E(Rei)=im E(Rem)
3 Formula: E(Rei)=im m+j ij j , where j is the risk premium in reference to an
identifiable systematic risk, j.
4 Fama, E., K. French. 1993. Common Risk Factors in the Returns on Stocks and
Bonds. Journal of Financial Economics, vol. 33, no. 1, 3-56.
5 Gander, P., D. Leveau, and T. Pfiffner. 2012. Categorization of Indices: Do All
Roads Lead to Rome?. Journal of Index Investing, Winter 2012, 12-17.
6 Compared against the Swiss Performance Index (SPI), the universe determined this way exhibits a historical cap coverage of approximately 95% on
average.
7 The official calculator of the 1741 Index Series is Solactive Ltd, one of the
leading providers of financial-market indices. Solactive Ltd currently calculates more than 900 indices across all asset classes for more than 90 clients in
Europe, North America and Asia. Approximately USD 20 billion is currently
invested in indices calculated by Solactive.
8 The corresponding tickers are listed in the appendix.
APPENDIX
I N D E X M E T H O D O LO G Y
1741 Cap Weighted Index
The constituents of the 1741 Switzerland Cap Weighted Index
are weighted on the basis of their total market capitalisation. On
each quarterly rebalancing date, each companys market capitalisation is set in relation to the aggregate market capitalisation
of all companies in the 1741 Switzerland Index Series universe.
1741 Equal Weighted Index
On each quarterly rebalancing date, each of the companies in
the 1741 Switzerland Equal Weighted Index is given an identical
weighting of 2%.
1741 Accounting Based Index
On each quarterly rebalancing date, the constituents of the 1741
Switzerland Accounting Based Index are weighted on the basis of their absolute values for four fundamental metrics (book
value, earnings, revenue and dividends). The average over the
last three years is applied for each of those metrics.
1741 Minimum Volatility Index
On each quarterly rebalancing date, the weights of the constituents of the 1741 Switzerland Minimum Volatility Index are set
such that the overall index risk defined as historical 6- and
12-month volatility is minimised. The maximum weight of a
company on the rebalancing date is 10%.
1741 Risk Parity Index
On each quarterly rebalancing date, the weights of the constituents of the 1741 Switzerland Risk Parity Index are set such that
the risk contributions of each index constituent are all identical.
Risk is defined as historical 6- and 12-month volatility. The maximum weight of a company on the rebalancing date is 10%.
10
11
Bloomberg Ticker
1741CHCW Index
Reuters
ISIN
.1741CHCWP
DE000SLA0ZZ7
.1741CHCWN
DE000SLA0CQ5
.1741CHCWG
DE000SLA0CS1
.1741CHEWP
DE000SLA0CU7
.1741CHEWN
DE000SLA0CV5
.1741CHEWG
DE000SLA0CX1
.1741CHABP
DE000SLA0CY9
.1741CHABN
DE000SLA0CZ6
.1741CHABG
DE000SLA0DD1
.1741CHMVP
DE000SLA0DE9
1741CHEW Index
1741CHAB Index
.1741CHMVN
DE000SLA0DF6
.1741CHMVG
DE000SLA0DG4
.1741CHRPP
DE000SLA0DH2
.1741CHRPN
DE000SLA0DJ8
.1741CHRPG
DE000SLA0DK6
1741CHMV Index
1741CHRP Index
1741CHV Index
.1741CHVP
DE000SLA0DL4
.1741CHVN
DE000SLA0DN0
.1741CHVG
DE000SLA0DQ3
.1741CHMP
DE000SLA0DR1
.1741CHMN
DE000SLA0DS9
.1741CHMG
DE000SLA0DU5
.1741CHQP
DE000SLA0DV3
.1741CHQN
DE000SLA0DW1
.1741CHQG
DE000SLA0DX9
1741CHM Index
1741CHQ Index
12
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