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Introduction
Marcel Fenez
Finally, we thank you for your support and hope you enjoy our publication.
Sincerely,
Marcel Fenez
PricewaterhouseCoopers
Global Entertainment & Media Leader
PricewaterhouseCoopers
Executive
Summary
Key questions
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PricewaterhouseCoopers
Contents
Consumers' Perspective
15
Advertisers' Perspective
25
Publishers' Perspective
33
Conclusion
45
Appendix 1: Methodology
49
50
Acknowledgements
53
PricewaterhouseCoopers
Market Description
and Outlook
Newspaper
publishers
% of
revenue
Advertisers
Readers
Run of press
Subscribers
Visitors
Classifieds
Single copy
Advertisers
Inserts
buyers
Online
2003
+/- 90 - 99%
+/- 1 - 10%
2008
+/- 80 - 97%
+/- 3 - 20%
PricewaterhouseCoopers
80%
60%
40%
2003
Netherlands
Germany
USA
France
UK
Italy
Canada
Spain
India
0%
Australia
20%
Switzerland
Percentage
100%
2008
Percentage
250%
200%
150%
100%
50%
0%
US
2003
Canada
2004
2005
EMEA
2006
Asia/Pacific
2007
2008
10
8%
Forecast
180,000
7%
160,000
40.4%
6.8%
1.1%
0.3%
-1.6%
-4.5%
6%
140,000
$ US in Millions
CAGR
CAGR
2004-08 2009-13
5%
120,000
4%
100,000
3%
80,000
2%
60,000
1%
40,000
0%
20,000
0
1%
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008p 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
Print Advertising
Circulation
Digital Advertising
GDP
PricewaterhouseCoopers
11
CAGR
CAGR
2004-08 2009-13
Forecast
180,000
160,000
10.2%
1.9%
2.8%
0.1%
1.6%
-1.6%
-5.0%
-5.8%
$ US in Millions
140,000
120,000
100,000
80,000
60,000
40,000
20,000
0
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008p 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
North America EMEA
Asia Pacific
Latin America
12
PricewaterhouseCoopers
13
Consumers' Perspective
Consumers' Perspective
Highlights
PricewaterhouseCoopers
15
Internet (paid)
Magazines
Newspaper
(free)
Newspaper
(paid)
Radio
50%
40%
Internet (free)
30%
20%
10%
Television
0%
16
Consumers' Perspective
80%
70%
60%
40%
Paper
5064
1630
3050
Online
5065
1631
3051
E-paper
5066
1632
3052
5067
Mobile device
Category
Other
3049
Interaction
1629
In-depth news
0%
Quick overview
10%
Familiar
20%
Easy to read
30%
25%
20%
15%
10%
5%
0%
30%
Convenient
Score
50%
Reasons
Other
Interaction
Video
Customisable
In-depth news
Quick overview
Easy to read
0%
Familiar
5%
Convenient
Reasons
PricewaterhouseCoopers
17
Other
Unfamiliar
Inconvenient
0%
Difficult to read
10%
Reasons
Other
Difficult to read
Unfamiliar
0%
Inconvenient
20%
Reasons
18
Consumers' Perspective
80%
60%
40%
20%
0%
33%
36%
35%
22%
16%
18%
16%
18%
22%
<30
30-49
>49
Finance
Sport
Entertainment
Other
40%
30%
100%
20%
10%
0%
General
news
Sport
Other
Category
PricewaterhouseCoopers
Score
50%
24%
27%
33%
80%
60%
28%
29%
26%
36%
35%
33%
21%
17%
18%
16%
19%
23%
High School
or lower
Secondary
Education
Tertiary
Education
40%
20%
0%
Finance
Sport
Entertainment
Other
19
100%
80%
60%
40%
20%
23%
31%
90%
80%
30%
39%
24%
15%
23%
15%
Male
Female
0%
Finance
Sport
Entertainment
Other
Willingness-To-Pay
100%
70%
60%
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%
paper
online
e-paper
mobile device
20
Consumers' Perspective
This does not mean that they would actually buy online
content at this amount however. Free content is abundant
online and consumers would choose free content when the
quality was comparable or sufficient for their purpose. On
average, respondents expressed no willingness to pay for
general news and background information on e-paper or
mobile devices, and they do not see them as alternatives for
full newspapers.
100%
90%
80%
Willingness-To-Pay
70%
60%
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%
PricewaterhouseCoopers
Base category
Paper
< 29
30-49
< 50
Online
21
80%
60%
40%
20%
0%
Paper
general news
Online
finance
100%
80%
60%
40%
20%
0%
Paper
general news
Online
sports
22
Consumers' Perspective
Reconsider after
10% discount
60%
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%
Score
Score
40%
30%
20%
10%
Reconsider after
10% discount
Consider making
reservations directly via
E-paper device?
Consider making
reservations via
website?
0%
PricewaterhouseCoopers
23
Advertisers' Perspective
Advertisers' Perspective
Highlights
PricewaterhouseCoopers
25
Radio
Radio
Sponsorship
Sponsorship
Cinema
Cinema
Media Buyers
Media
Buyers
TV TV
(pay)
Outdoor
Outdoor
Advertiser
Advertiser
Advertiser
Magazines
Magazines
Internet
Internet
Newspapers
Newspapers
Mobile
Mobile
26
Advertisers' Perspective
Forecast
500,000
CAGR
03-08
5.8%
3.6%
32.4%
19.0%
Outdoor
9.2%
5.4%
Cinema
10.1%
7.0%
Radio
2.9%
(0.5%)
Television
6.1%
4.1%
Magazines
2.7%
0.1%
Newspapers
1.6%
(2.3)%
Total
$ US in Millions
400,000
Internet
300,000
200,000
CAGR
08-11
100,000
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
PricewaterhouseCoopers
27
2003
6% 3%
0%
9%
38%
31%
13%
2008
10%
7%
1%
8%
25%
Newspapers
Magazines
Television
Radio
11%
Cinema
Outdoor
38%
Internet
2011 (Forecast)
16%
21%
7%
1%
10%
7%
38%
28
Advertisers' Perspective
PricewaterhouseCoopers
29
Figure 20: How 2D barcode technology connects print, mobile and online media
11
Customer
reads
Customer
reads
advertisement
advertisement
in in
traditional
media
traditional
media
3
Barcode is
scanned with
mobile phone
4
2D code directly
connects to the
specific content
Desired
Information can
be downloaded
Travel*
TRAVEL
TRAVEL
GET IT TO GO!
Seheh shfihbnsj f jkh
hdfshf sjfj hsfh jfhfhd
jhfu jfjfu jfafaklkp dsoi.
*connectedthinking
30
Advertisers' Perspective
Advertiser
Brands or
product range
Product A
Defining target
audience
Product B
Product C
Target customers
Choice in
communication
Mass
Niche
PricewaterhouseCoopers
Section of
channel(s) /
media company
Pricing
Measurement
Effectiveness
Reach
31
Publishers' Perspective
Publishers' Perspective
Highlights
PricewaterhouseCoopers
Niche audiences
Another key trend is the growing demand from consumers
for specialised and targeted information, which is driving
a move from mass markets to niche audiences. The
associated pressure from advertisers for less wastage
and more accurate targeting is accelerating this move and
driving increased ad rates for niche products.
Operational excellence
Newspaper publishers have responded to the economic
downturn by increasing their focus on cost reductions in
all aspects of their business, from editorial through
advertising to production and distribution.
33
Revenue models
New technologies such as enhanced web services,
2D barcodes, smart phones and RSS offer newspaper
publishers new opportunities to reach various target
audiences, although a number of them tell us that finding
innovative solutions with revenue models that are profitable
remains a challenge. Most agree that new technologies are
key to attracting younger audiences, who are harder to reach
through newsprint, and to retaining some mature audiences.
They help meet the demand for more targeted news and
services whenever and wherever the customer wants them.
And when it comes to content, as one US newspaper
publisher told us: "whether it is in print, online or in mobile,
we have to be able to deliver it."
In addition to the ability to provide ubiquitous content, new
technologies offer opportunities for publishers to monetise
content in new and expanding ways. In some cases, more
radical moves have been necessary, as evidenced by the
Seattle Post-Intelligencer which recently produced its last
print edition and has become an Internet-only news source.
While deriving revenue from paid web content remains a
struggle, consumers have demonstrated a willingness to pay
for content on devices such as Apple's iPhone and
Amazon's Kindle.
"We have sold subscriptions . on a Kindle. People seem
to understand that on a Kindle they have to pay. (and)
there are a number of content providers that are
charging for content on the iPhone".
US publisher
The immaturity of technologies such as e-paper has the
upside that these technologies are both improving and
becoming less expensive relatively quickly, so they are
expected to become increasingly attractive in the long term.
In the shorter term, however, their familiarity to a wider
34
Publishers' Perspective
Media Companies
Finance
Automotive
Gardening
Mobile
Mobile
Mobile
Internet
Internet
Internet
TV/Radio
TV/Radio
TV/Radio
Events
Events
Events
PricewaterhouseCoopers
35
Niche audiences
An increasing demand for specialised, targeted and relevant
information is driving a move from mass markets to niche
audiences. When it comes to topic or special interest-specific
niche audiences, there have been a number of successes in
this area for some time. Perhaps the best long-standing
examples can be found in the financial and sports news
36
Publishers' Perspective
Operational excellence
Due to declines in both copy sales and advertising revenue
in some regions - India and a number of countries in the
Asia-Pacific region are certainly exceptions - newspaper
publishers had already been focusing on cost reductions
across all functional areas for some time. The economic
downturn has, however, led to still tougher measures. Some
publishers are looking to increase efficiency by outsourcing
part or all of their production process and finding ways to
collaborate with others in the distribution process. A
contrasting approach is being taken by one Canadian
publisher, who told us that they had taken the strategic
decision to market printing services to third parties in an
effort to make it a separate source of revenue. A US
publisher indicated that several of their properties are also
leveraging both excess printing and distribution capacity to
generate incremental revenue from under-utilised assets.
Content Idea
Multiple channels:
Print, Internet,
Mobile, Video
Editing
Production
Cost
Revenues
Publishing
Multiple channels:
Newspaper, Website,
Magazine, TV, events,
mobile
Distribution
Syndication
Archiving
PricewaterhouseCoopers
37
Content
38
Internet
Mobile
Video
Content
Content
Content
Audience
Internet
Mobile
Video
Audience
Publishers' Perspective
Editorial group 1
Editorial group 2
Editorial group 3
Brand 1
Brand 2
Brand 3
Editorial group
Brand
Brand
1 1
Brand 22
Brand
Brand 33
Brand
PricewaterhouseCoopers
39
Advertiser 1
Advertiser 2
Advertiser 3
Advertiser 1
Advertiser 2
Advertiser 3
Sales group
Advertiser
Brand
1 1
Advertiser
Brand 2 2
Advertiser
Brand 3 3
40
Publishers' Perspective
Figure 27: European deal activity in the media sector, 1997 - 2008
60,000
160
140
40,000
120
30,000
100
80
20,000
60
40
10,000
20
Deal
Value
5.8%
Deal
Volume
5.5%
2008
2007
2006
2005
2004
2003
2002
2001
2000
1999
1998
1997
Transaction volume
180
50,000
Transaction value
(EURmln)
CAGR
97-08
200
PricewaterhouseCoopers
41
Ownership
In terms of ownership structure, newspaper publishing firms
are typically in family or other private ownership in Europe
and the US, while in Canada and Australia publishers are
mainly public companies. In some countries, ownership
structure differs considerably according to size. In the UK for
example, the top five newspaper groups are either public or
owned by a trust, while most of the others are family-owned
companies.
42
Conclusion
Conclusion
Revenue models
PricewaterhouseCoopers
Niche audiences
!
45
Operational excellence
46
Appendices
Appendix 1
Methodology
PricewaterhouseCoopers
49
Appendix 2
Electronic paper
50
Acknowledgements
PricewaterhouseCoopers
Jerry A. Brown
PricewaterhouseCoopers (Canada)
+1 416 839 2630
jerry.a.brown@ca.pwc.com
Megan Brownlow
PricewaterhouseCoopers (Australia)
+61 2 8266 7458
megan.brownlow@au.pwc.com
Matthieu Aubusson de Cavarlay
PricewaterhouseCoopers (France)
+33 1 56 57 77 50
matthieu.aubusson@fr.pwc.com
Nicholas D. George
PricewaterhouseCoopers (United Kingdom)
+44 20 780 47106
nicholas.d.george@uk.pwc.com
Manuel Martin Espada
PricewaterhouseCoopers (Spain)
+34 915 685 017
manuel.martin.espada@es.pwc.com
Smita Jha
PricewaterhouseCoopers (India)
+91 124 4620111
smita.jha@in.pwc.com
Frank Mackenroth
PricewaterhouseCoopers (Germany)
+49 40 6378 1309
frank.mackenroth@de.pwc.com
53
Carlo Marsano
PricewaterhouseCoopers (Italy)
+30 0 2 66720569
carlo.marsano@it.pwc.com
Franco Monti
PricewaterhouseCoopers (Switzerland)
+41 58 792 1621
franco.monti@ch.pwc.com
David Moss
PricewaterhouseCoopers (United States)
+1 678 419 1358
david.moss@us.pwc.com
Enrico Picasso
PricewaterhouseCoopers (Italy)
+39 0 10 2904209
enrico.picasso@it.pwc.com
Phil Stokes
PricewaterhouseCoopers (United Kingdom)
+44 20 780 44072
phil.stokes@uk.pwc.com
54
pwc.com
2009 PricewaterhouseCoopers. All rights reserved. 'PricewaterhouseCoopers' refers to the network of member firms of
PricewaterhouseCoopers International Limited, each of which is a separate and independent legal entity. 2009.04.01.01.318