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The topic of the research is impact of dividend on the value of the firm.
This study shows that to pay or not to pay dividend is a critical decision any
management takes. Maximizing the value of the firm or maximizing the
shareholders wealth is the ultimate objective of any firm. So any decision of
the management has to be valued on the basis of its effect on the value of
the firm.
To find the extent to which the debt equity ratio affects the share
prices.
Out of the variables under study it can be noticed that dividend and
share prices does not have a notable relationship between each other.
INTRODUCTION
Dividend policy has been in issue of interest in financial literature since joint
stock companies came into existence. Dividends are commonly defined as
the distribution or earnings ( past or present) in real assets among the
shareholders of the firm in proportion to their ownership. Dividend policy
connotes to the payout policy, which managers pursue in deciding the size
and pattern of cash distribution to shareholders overtime. Managements
primary goal is shareholders wealth maximization, which translates into
maximizing the value of the firm as measured by the price of the firms
common stock. This goal can be achieved by giving the shareholders a
fair payment on their investments. However, the impact of firms dividend
policy on shareholders wealth is still unresolved.
The area of corporate dividend policy has attracted attention of management
scholars and economics culminating into theoretical modeling and empirical
examination. Thus, dividend policy is one of the most complex aspects in
finance. three decades ago, black(1976)in his study on dividend wrote, the
harder we look at the dividend picture the more it seems like a puzzle, with
pieces that just dont fit together why shareholders like dividends and why
they reward managers who pay regular increasing dividends is still
unanswered.
According to Brealey and Myers (2002) dividend policy has been kept as the
top ten puzzles in finance the most pertinent question to be answered here is
that how much cash should firms give back to their shareholders through
dividends or by repurchasing their shares, which is the least costly form of
payout from tax perspective? Firms must take these important decisions
period after period (must be repeated and some need to be revaluated each
period on regular basis.)
Dividend policy can be two types: managed and residual. In residual dividend
policy the amount of dividend is simply the cash left after the firm makes
desirable investments using NPV rule. In this case the amount of dividend is
going to be highly variable and often zero. If the manager believes dividend
policy is important to their investors and it positively influences share price
valuation<they will adopt managed dividend policy. The optimal dividend
policy is the one that maximizes the companys stock price, which leads to
maximization of shareholders wealth. Whether or not dividend decisions can
contribute to the value of firm is a debatable issue.
Firms generally adopt dividend policies that suit the stage of life cycle they
are in. for instance, high- growth firms with larger cash flows and fewer
projects tend to pay more of their earnings out as dividends. The dividend
policies of firms may follow several interesting patterns adding further to the
complexity of such decisions. Firstly, dividends tend to lag earnings, that is,
increases in earnings are followed by increases in dividends and decreases in
earnings sometimes by dividend cuts. Second, dividends are sticky
because firms are typically reluctant to change dividends; in particular, firms
avoid cutting dividends even when earnings drop. Third, dividends tend to
follow a much smoother path than do earnings. Finally, resulting from
changes in growth rates, cash flows, and macroeconomic vicissitudes, such
as those in cyclical industries, are less likely to be tempted to set a relatively
low maintainable regular dividend so as to avoid the dreaded consequences
of a reduced dividend in a particularly bad year.
Shareholders wealth is represented in the market price of the companys
common stock, which, in turn, is the function of the companys investment,
financing and dividend decisions. Among the most crucial decisions to be
taken for efficient performance and attainment of objectives in any
organization are the decisions relating to dividend. Dividend decisions are
recognized as centrally important because of increasingly significant role of
finances in the firms overall growth strategy. The objective of the finance
manager should be to find out an optimal dividend policy that will enhance
value of the firm. It is often argued that the share prices of a firm tend to be
reduced whenever there is a reduction in the dividend payments.
Announcements of dividend increases generate abnormal positive security
returns, and announcements of dividend decreases generate abnormal
negative security returns. A drop in share prices occur because dividends
have signaling effect. According to the signaling effect mangers have private
and superior information about future prospects and choose a dividend level
to signal that private information. Such a calculation, on the part of the
management of the firm may lead to a stable dividend payout ratio.
Dividend policy of a firm has implication for investors, mangers and lenders
and other stakeholders (more specifically the claimholders). For investors,
dividends- whether declared today or accumulated the provided at a later
date are not only a means of regular income, but also an important input in
valuation of a firm. Similarly, managers flexibility to invest in projects is also
dependent on the amount of dividend that they can offer to shareholders as
more dividend may mean fewer funds available for investment. Lenders may
also have interest in the amount of dividend a firm declares, as more the
dividend paid less would be the amount available for servicing and
redemption of their claims. The dividend payments present an example of
the classic agency situation as its impact is borne by various claimholders.
Accordingly dividend policy can be used as a mechanism to reduce agency
costs. The payment of dividend reduces the discretionary funds available to
managers for perquisite consumption and investment opportunities and
require managers to seek financing in capital markets. This monitoring by
external capital markets may encourage the managers to be more
disciplined and act in owners best interest.
Companies generally prefer a stable dividend payout ratio because the
shareholders expect it and reveal a preference for it. Shareholders may want
a stable rate of dividend payment for a variety of reasons. Risk averse
shareholders would be willing to invests only in those companies which pay
high current returns on shares. The class of investors, which includes
pensioners and other small savers, are partly or fully dependent on dividend
to meet their day-to-day needs. Similarly, educational institutions and charity
firms prefer stable dividends, because they will not be able to carry on their
current operations otherwise. Such investors would therefore, prefer
companies, which pay a regular dividend every year. This clustering of
stockholders in companies with dividend policies that match their preference
is called clientele effect.
In an ever increasing Indian economy, globalization, liberalization and
privatization together with rapid strides made by information technology,
have brought intense competition in every field of activity. so Indian
companies at present are dazed confused, and apprehensive. to maintain the
competiveness of , and value to the companies, todays finance manager
have to make critical business and financial decisions which will lead to long
run perspective with the objective of maximizing the shareholders wealth.
shareholders wealth is represented in the market price of the companys
common stock, which, in turn is the function of the companys investment,
financing and dividend decision. managements primary goal is shareholders
influence the value of the firm or not. in the study an attempt has also been
made to understand the relationship between the capital structure and value
of the firm.
date, most studies have paid attention on influence of cash flows or earnings
on the dividend payment of a firm.
RELEVANCE OF DIVIDENDS
These approach supports that the value of the firm is affected by the
dividend policy and optimal dividend policy is the one, which maximizes the
firms value. These variable consider dividend decisions to be an active
variable n determining the value of a firm, two famous models in support of
these are explained below.
Walters Model (James and Walter,1963)
Walter model supports that the dividend policy of the firm is relevant. the
investment policy of the management cannot be separated from its dividend
policy and both are interrelated. thus the choice of dividend policy does
affect the value of the firm. Walter model is built around assumptions such as
constant return, constant cost of capital, constant earning and dividend. he
also made an assumption that financing of new investment is done through
retained earnings and debt and no new equity shares are being issued.
Walter in his argument explains three situations
. if the return on investment exceeds the cost of capital then the firm has to
retain the earnings and should not be distributed as dividends.
. if the cost of capital exceeds the return on investment then the firm has to
pay entire earning as dividend.
. if the return on investment and the cost of capital is same then rate of
dividend payout can be 0 to 100
According to this model if the firm retain the earnings it gives a single that
the investment opportunities are more and it increases the shares prices.
Similarly when the firm distributes the entire earnings as dividends, share
prices will automatically increase, as the income on the shares are more. The
Walter model is criticized on the unrealistic assumptions on which it is made
such as no debt financing ,constant return, cost of capital and earnings
etcare not practically possible.
Gordon Model (Gordon Myron j,1962)
irrelevant. This approach supports the NOI approach and provides a behavior
justification for it. This approach indicates that the capital structure is
irrelevant because of the arbitrage process which will correct any imbalance
i.e expectations will change and a stage will be reached where further
arbitrage is not possible.
Durand D (1959) identified two views; Net income approach and Net
operating approach. Under the net income approach the cost of debt equity
are assumed to be independent to the capital structure . this approach says
that the weighted average cost of capital of the firm declines and the total
value of the firm rise with increased use of leverage. Under the net operating
income approach, the cost of the equity is assumed to increase linearly with
leverage. As a result, the weighted average cost of capital remains constant
and the total value of the firm also remains constant as the leverage is
changed.
Davidson N W,(1994) in their report on the effect of firm and industry debt
ratios on market value analyzed 183 firms and studied the effect of debt
ratios to the market value of the firm. Overall conclusion of the study is that
the relationship of the firms debt level and that of its industry does not
appear to be of concern to the market. Arsiraphoongphisit O and Ariff
M(2003) in their report on optimal capital structure and firm value an
Australian evidence,1991-2003 (corporate finance) analyzed 654
observations for a period of 1991 to 2003 in Australia market on the effect
of capital structure change and firms value. The findings indicate that the
market reacts positively to announcements of financing that lead to capital
structure moving closer to their relative industrial debt-equity ratio has an
impact on market value of the firm.
From an overall review of the literature it is clear that there exist certainly a
contradicting view on the impact of the dividend policy on the value of the
firm.
The studies on the effect of debt equity combination on share price show
that the relationship is almost zero. But theoretically as the debt increases
because of the tax shield available the earnings must also increase in
earnings always increase the market price of the shares. Thus we can see
that there exists a knowledge gap in the subject.
To examine whether the dividend policies has any impoact on the stock
reaction
guidelines have been used by the company Law Board in respect of Bonus
shares.
4) SCRIP DIVIDEND
Scrip dividends are used when earnings justify a dividend, but the cash
position of the company is temporarily weak. So, shareholders are issued
shares and debentures of other companies. Such payment of dividend is
called scrip dividend. Shareholders generally do not like such dividend
because the shares or debentures , so paid are worthless for the
shareholders as directors would use only such investment is which were not.
Such dividend was allowed before passing of the companies (Amendment)
Act 1960, but there after this unhealthy ptactice was stopped.
5) BOND DIVIDEND
In rare instances, dividends are paid in the form of debentures or bonds or
notes for a long term period. The effect of such dividend is the same as that
of paying dividend in scrip. The shareholders become the secured creditors
are the bonds has a lien on assets.
6) PROPERTY DIVIDEND
Sometimes, dividend is paid in the form of assets instead of payment of
dividend in cash. The distribution of dividend is made whenever the assets is
no longer required in the business such as investment or stock of finished
goods.
3. LIQUIDITY OF FUNDS.
Availability of cash and sound financial position is also an important factor in
dividend decisions. A dividend represents a cash outflow, the greater the
funds the liquidity of the firm the better the ability to pay dividend. The
liquidity of a firm depends very much on the investment and financial
decisions of the firm which in turn determines the rate of expansion and the
manner of financing. If cash position is weak, stock dividend will be
distributed and if cash position is good, company can distribute the cash
dividend.
4. EXTENT OF SHARE DISTRIBUTION.
Nature of ownership also affects the dividend decisions. A closely held
company is likely to get the assent of the shareholders for the suspension of
dividend or for following a conservative dividend policy. On the other hand, a
company having a good number of shareholders widely distributed and
forming low or medium income group would face a great difficulty in securing
such assent because they will emphasize to distribute higher dividend
5. NEEDS FOR ADDITIONAL CAPITAL.
Companies retain a part of their profits for strengthening their financial
position. The income may be conserved for meeting the increased
requirements of working capital or of future expansion. small companies
usually find difficulties in raising finance for their needs of increased working
capital for expansion Programs. They having no other alternative, use their
ploughed back profits. Thus, such companies distribute dividend at low rates
and retain a big part of profits.
6. TRADE CYCLES
Business cycles also exercise influence upon dividend policy. Dividend policy
is adjusted according to the business oscillations. During the boom, prudent
While formulating the dividend policy, the directors must keep in mind the
dividend paid in past years. The current rate should be around the average
past rat. if it has been abnormally increased the shares will be subjected to
speculation, in a new concern, the company should consider the dividend the
dividend policy of the rival organization.
11.
ABILITY TO BORROW.
Well established and large firms have better access to the capital market
than the new companies and may borrow funds from the external sources if
there arises any need. Such companies may have a better dividend pay-out
ratio. Whereas smaller firms have to depend on their internal sources and
therefore they will have to built up good reserves by reducing the dividend
payout ratio for meeting any obligation requiring heavy funds.
12.
POLICY OF CONTROL.
REPAYMENTS OF LOAN.
MAJOR PLAYERS
The major players in this study are of 25 companies as follows;
Associated Cement Company Ltd.
Bajaj Auto Ltd.
Cipla Ltd.
Dr.Reddys Lab Ltd.
Grasim Industries Ltd.
Ambuja Cement Ltd.
HDFC
Hero Honda Ltd.
Hindalco Ltd.
Hindustan Unilever Ltd.
Infosys Technology Ltd.
Ranbaxy Laboratories Ltd.
Reliance Energy Ltd.
Reliance Industries Ltd.
Tata Motors Ltd.
Tata Power Ltd.
Wipro Ltd.
ABB Ltd.
2.
RETENTION RATIOS
Retention ratio shows the rate of earnings retained by the company for
financing the investments needs. Retained earnings are the main internal
source of finance for the company. This explains to what extent the earnings
of the firm are ploughing back to the business. Technically it is one minus the
dividend paid out ratio.
Retention ratio=1-D/P Ratio
3.
Debt equity shows capital structure of the firm. This represents the capital
structure of the company. It is defined as the ratio of debt to equity of the
firm.
4.
RETURN ON SHARES
Return on shares is calculated by dividend the previous years price from the
current year price and the log natural of the resultant figure is calculated as
it gives a continuously compounded rate of return.
Ln (P1/Po)
5.
The effect on the value of the firm is analyzed by studying the return on
equity shares. Return on equity shares=P1/P0, where P1 is the market price
of equity share for current year and Po is the market price of the equity share
of the equity share for previous year.
6.
KEY TERMS
DIVIDEND POLICY; The policy a company uses to decide how much it will
pay out to shareholders in dividends.
SHAREHOLDERS VALUE: The value delivered to shareholders because of
managements ability to grow earnings, dividends and share price. In other
words, shareholder value is the sum of all strategic decisions that affect the
firms ability to efficiently increase the amount of free cash flow over time.
LINTNER MODEL:A model stating that dividend policy has two
parameters(1) the target payout ratio and (2) the speed at which current
dividends adjust to the target.
AGENCY COST: A type of internal cost that arises from, or must be paid to,
an agent acting on behalf of a principal. Agency costs arise because of core
problems such as conflicts of interest between shareholders and
management. Shareholders wish for Management to run the company in a
way that increases shareholder value. But management may wish to grow
the company in ways that maximize their personal power and wealth that
may not be in the best interests of Shareholders.
DIVIDEND SMOOTHING: A concept that has its genesis in the dividend
model proposed by John Lintner (1956). It states that the firms strive
towards dividend stability and consistency .the dividend paid during current
year is governed by dividend paid during previous year and variations in the
earnings should not be reflected in the dividend payout.
INFORMATION ASSYMETRY: A situation in which one party in a transaction
has more or superior information compared to another. This often happens in
transactions where the seller knows more than the buyer, although the
reverse can happen as well. Potentially, this could be a harmful situation
because one party can take advantage of the other partys lack of
knowledge.
EVENT STUDY: An empirical study performed on a security that has
experienced a significant catalyst occurrence, and has subsequently changed
dramatically in value as a result of that catalyst. The event can have either a
positive or negative effect on the value of the security. Event studies can
reveal important information about how a security is likely to react to a
given event, and can help predict how other securities are likely to react to
different events.
PECKING ORDER HYPOTHESIS: This hypothesis states that a company
which prefers retention of profits for financing the capital expenditure from
internal resources distributes fewer dividends compared to a firm which
finances the investment expenditure from external sources. Thus, a negative
relationship exists between CAPEX and dividend payout.
CHAPTER 2
TITLE OF THE PROJECT:
A CRITICAL ANALYSIS ON THE IMPACT OF DIVIDEND
POLICY ON THE VALUE OF THE FIRM.
To find the extent to which the debt equity ratio affects the
share prices.
METHODOLOGY
The methodology is the major phase of research in which the
investigator makes a number of decisions about the methods and
materials to be used to study the research problem , basically through
collection of data. The methodological decision generally has control
implications for the validity of the findings.
3.3 POPULATION
A population is a group whose members possess specific
characteristics that a researcher is interested in studying. In this study
the population includes all widely held public companies whose shares
are publically traded through a stock exchange.
3.6 HYPOTHESIS
Ho: Dividend policies do not affect the value of the firm
H1: Dividend policies do affect the value of the firm.
3.7 SAMPLE
The sample size is 25 companies listed in BSE and NSE. The companies
studied are the followings.
Associated Cement Company Ltd.
Bajaj Auto Ltd.
Cipla Ltd.
Dr.Reddys Lab Ltd.
Grasim Industries Ltd.
Ambuja Cement Ltd.
HDFC
Hero Honda Ltd.
Hindalco Ltd.
Hindustan Unilever Ltd.
Infosys Technology Ltd.
Ranbaxy Laboratories Ltd.
Reliance Energy Ltd.
Reliance Industries Ltd.
Tata Motors Ltd.
Tata Power Ltd.
Wipro Ltd.
ABB Ltd.
Bharat Petroleum Corporation Ltd.
Britannia Industries Ltd.
Colgate-Palmolive Ltd.
Mahindra & Mahindra Ltd.
Steel Authority of India Ltd.
Mahanagar Telecom Nigam Ltd.
The shares of the above companies are commonly traded in the stock
exchange for the period under study i.e,; 2000/01-2009/10
Balance sheet
Data obtained
For cross sectional regression analysis the above variables X1 and X2 for ten
years are converted into five year moving averages. For time series analysis
the actual data for the years are taken. As there exist high correlation
between the dividend payout and retention ratio there will be Multi Colinearly effect on the regression analysis to avoid this retention ratio is not
included in the regression model. t test significance at 5% level is used to
accept or reject the hypothesis.
R- square (R^2) is the proportion of variation in the dependent variable(Y)
that can be explained by the predictors (X variables) in the regression model.
As predictors (X variables) are added to the model, each predictor will
explain some of the variance in the dependent variable(Y) simply due to
chance. One could continue to add predictors to the model which would
continue to improve the ability of the predictors to explain the dependent
variable, although some of this increase in R- square would be simply due to
chance variation. The adjusted R-square attempts to yield a more honest
value to estimate R- square. Adjusted R-square is computed using the
formula 1-(1-R^2)*(N-1)/(N-K-1)
The F statistic or the F-observed value is used to determine whether the
observed relationship between the dependent and independent variables
occurs by chance.
3.11 LIMITATIONS OF THE STUDY.
1. The sampling technique used is a convenient sampling technique, which
limits the generalization of the findings.
2. the time span for the study was short and hence only major aspects are
considered.
CHAPTER 3
ANALYSIS AND INTERPRETATION OF DATA.
CHAPTER 4
FINDINGS , RECOMMENDATIONS AND
CONCLUSSIONS
SUMMARY AND FINDINGS
The study started with reviewing the previous research papers explaining the
impact of the dividend decisions on the value of the firm. Among them the
most popular research paper is that of Modigliani and Miller. It proves that
dividend is irrelevant. As against this theory Walter and Gordon through
their model explained that dividend is very relevant. Here the study
focused on finding out whether dividend affects the value of the firm
or not.
The results of the study show that the impact of the dividend on the
value of the firm is not significant. Out of the 25 sample companies
studied only two companies showed a significant association between
the dividend and the return on equity. Where as none of the company
showed any evidence of significant relation between debt and return on
shares. thus it can be observed that in cross sectional analysis of the
companies the return on equity shares does not show any significant
relationship with debt equity and dividend payout. But in case of company
wise time series analysis certain companies as explained above ,shows
relationship between the variables. thus we infer that investor do not give
importance to capital structure and the dividend policy of the companies as a
whole. they give importance of the structure of selected companies.
Samples:
BAJAJ AUTO LTD;
The regression analysis shows that the t value calculated for the variable
X2.i.e; dividend payout ratio is 2.499. thus shows that it is significance at 5%
level. The coefficient of the variable of dividend payout ratio (b2) is 4.52; it
also shows that to Bajaj Auto Ltd. There exist a significant relationship
between the Return on equity and capital structure.
WIPRO;
This sample also shows that there exist a significant relationship between the
return on the equity and the dividend payout ratio. The t calculated value
is 66.645 and the coefficient is 0.094, for dividend payout ratio.
Hypothesis Testing
H0; Dividend policies do not affect the value of the firm.
H1; Dividend policies do affect the value of the firm.
The hypothesis is tested by using t test significant at 5%. The cross
regression results as per table N0 16 show the t value calculated for the
period of analysis i.e 2007/2008 to 2012/2013. It can be seen that the t
values calculated show no significance relationship between the return on
equity & dividend payout. The time series regression results as per table
N0.II26 shows the t value calculated for each share prices and h sample for
five years(2007/2008 to 2012/2013). Here also there is no evidence of
relationship between return on equity share prices and dividend payout. Thus
at 5% level of significance using t tests HO IS ACCEPTED, which implies
there is no effect.
DIVIDEND AND DEBT PATTERNS
The descriptive cross sectional tables and time series tables explain the
trend in the various ratios of the companies under study for the various
periods. Software companies such as Infosys Technologies Ltd. Pay
comparatively very low rate of dividend and most of the earnings are
retained for investment in the business where as Wipro pay high rate
dividend. FMCG companies like Hindustan Lever Ltd, and Colgate Palmolive
Ltd. Pay high rate of dividend and retained earnings are less, it shows that
the investment opportunities in this sector shows a decreasing trend and the
growth rate is limited. The cement industries like Ambuja cement pay very
less dividend and earnings are retained in business. The dividend payout of
the Automobile companies under study ranges from 25 to 1. The
pharmaceutical companies under study have a dividend of less than 0.5 the
payout ratios are almost consistent for each company in this group. It has
more growth prospective, as the retention ratio is high.
RECOMMENDATIONS
The company may not be bother to borrow the debt to the market
value of the share.
The dividend policy can be designed keeping the growth concept into
consideration.
Software companies can improve debt equity ratio and bring into
standard.
CONCLUSION
The main objective of the study were
To find the extent to which the debt equity ratio affects the share
prices.
Out of the variables under study it can be noticed that dividend and
share prices does not have a notable relationship between each other.
BIBLIOGRAPHY
BOOKS
www.studyfinance.c
EXECUTIVE
SUMMARY
The topic of the research is impact of dividend on the value of the firm.
This study shows that to pay or not to pay dividend is a critical decision any
management takes. Maximizing the value of the firm or maximizing the
shareholders wealth is the ultimate objective of any firm. So any decision of
the management has to be valued on the basis of its effect on the value of
the firm.
To find the extent to which the debt equity ratio affects the share
prices.
Out of the variables under study it can be noticed that dividend and
share prices does not have a notable relationship between each other.
INTRODUCTION
Dividend policy has been in issue of interest in financial literature since joint
stock companies came into existence. Dividends are commonly defined as
the distribution or earnings ( past or present) in real assets among the
shareholders of the firm in proportion to their ownership. Dividend policy
connotes to the payout policy, which managers pursue in deciding the size
and pattern of cash distribution to shareholders overtime. Managements
primary goal is shareholders wealth maximization, which translates into
maximizing the value of the firm as measured by the price of the firms
common stock. This goal can be achieved by giving the shareholders a
fair payment on their investments. However, the impact of firms dividend
policy on shareholders wealth is still unresolved.
The area of corporate dividend policy has attracted attention of management
scholars and economics culminating into theoretical modeling and empirical
pensioners and other small savers, are partly or fully dependent on dividend
to meet their day-to-day needs. Similarly, educational institutions and charity
firms prefer stable dividends, because they will not be able to carry on their
current operations otherwise. Such investors would therefore, prefer
companies, which pay a regular dividend every year. This clustering of
stockholders in companies with dividend policies that match their preference
is called clientele effect.
In an ever increasing Indian economy, globalization, liberalization and
privatization together with rapid strides made by information technology,
have brought intense competition in every field of activity. so Indian
companies at present are dazed confused, and apprehensive. to maintain the
competiveness of , and value to the companies, todays finance manager
have to make critical business and financial decisions which will lead to long
run perspective with the objective of maximizing the shareholders wealth.
shareholders wealth is represented in the market price of the companys
common stock, which, in turn is the function of the companys investment,
financing and dividend decision. managements primary goal is shareholders
wealth maximization. which translate in to maximizing the value of the
company as measured by the price of the companys common stock.
shareholders like cash dividends ,but they also like the growth in EPS that
result from ploughing earning back in to the business. The optimal dividend
policy is one that maximizes the companys stock price which leads to
maximization of shareholders wealth and there by ensures more rapid
economic growth. the present study is intended to study how far the
dividend payout has impact on the value of the firm in general: and in
particular to study the relationship between the firms value and dividend
payout to analyze whether the level of dividend payout affects to the wealth
of the shareholders
The dividend decision of the firm is the crucial area of financial management.
the important aspect of dividend policy is to determine the amount of
earnings to be retained and the amount to be distributed to shareholders
retained earnings are most significant internal source of financing .on the
other hand, dividends may be considered desirable from shareholders point
of view as they tend to increase their current return. during the first part of
the 20th century, dividends were the primary reason investors purchased
stocks .it was literally said, the purpose of the company is to pay dividends
today the investors view is a bit more refined; it could be stated , instead
,as, the purpose of a company is to increase my wealth. indeed, todays
investor looks to dividends and capital gains as a source of increase.
dividend policy and value of the firm different theories have been
advanced .one school of thought treats it as relevant and other is irrelevant.
there are two extreme views that are; a) dividends are good as it increases
the shareholders value; b)dividends are bad as it decreases the shareholders
value. the crux of the arguments is whether to distribute the earnings or
retained earnings.
Another point financial decision is capital structure decision. under normal
conditions the earnings per share increases when the leverage is more. more
debt or leverage also increases the risk of a firm. thus it cannot be clearly
said whether the value of the firm, the capital structure or leverage, decision
should be examined from the point of view of its impact if the capital
structure affects the value of the firm, then every firm will try achieve the
optimal capital structure which maximizes the value of the firm. there exists
conflicting theories on the relation between the capital structure and the
value of the firm. Thus there exists a research gap and the purpose of the
current study is therefore to describe whether the dividend decisions really
influence the value of the firm or not. in the study an attempt has also been
made to understand the relationship between the capital structure and value
of the firm.
RELEVANCE OF DIVIDENDS
These approach supports that the value of the firm is affected by the
dividend policy and optimal dividend policy is the one, which maximizes the
firms value. These variable consider dividend decisions to be an active
variable n determining the value of a firm, two famous models in support of
these are explained below.
Walters Model (James and Walter,1963)
Walter model supports that the dividend policy of the firm is relevant. the
investment policy of the management cannot be separated from its dividend
policy and both are interrelated. thus the choice of dividend policy does
affect the value of the firm. Walter model is built around assumptions such as
constant return, constant cost of capital, constant earning and dividend. he
also made an assumption that financing of new investment is done through
retained earnings and debt and no new equity shares are being issued.
Walter in his argument explains three situations
. if the return on investment exceeds the cost of capital then the firm has to
retain the earnings and should not be distributed as dividends.
. if the cost of capital exceeds the return on investment then the firm has to
pay entire earning as dividend.
. if the return on investment and the cost of capital is same then rate of
dividend payout can be 0 to 100
According to this model if the firm retain the earnings it gives a single that
the investment opportunities are more and it increases the shares prices.
Similarly when the firm distributes the entire earnings as dividends, share
prices will automatically increase, as the income on the shares are more. The
Walter model is criticized on the unrealistic assumptions on which it is made
such as no debt financing ,constant return, cost of capital and earnings
etcare not practically possible.
Gordon Model (Gordon Myron j,1962)
Myron Gordon (1962) came up with a dividend relevance model which is
popularly known as the bird in the argument. The crux of the argument is
that the
The two principal sources of finance for a company are equity and debt.
What should be the proportion of equity and debt in the capital structure of
the firm? One of the key issues in the capital structure decision is the
relationship between the capital structure and the value of the firm. There
are several views on how this decision affects the value of the firm.
To examine whether the dividend policies has any impoact on the stock
reaction
If articles so permit, the directors may decide to pay dividend at any time
between the two annual general meeting before finalizing the accounts. It is
generally declared and paid when company has earned heavy profits or
abnormal profits during the year and directors which to pay the profits to
shareholders. Such payment of dividend in between the two annual general
meeting before finalizing the accounts is called interim dividend. No interim
dividend can be declared or paid unless depreciation for the full year (not
proportionately) has been provided for. It is, thus, an extra dividend paid the
year requiring no need of approval of the annual general meeting. It is paid
in cash.
9) STOCK DIVIDEND
Companies , not having good cash position, generally pay dividend in the
form of shares by capitalizing the profits of current year and of past years.
Such shares are issued instead of paying dividend in cash and called Bonus
shares. Basically there is no change in the equity of shareholders. Certain
guidelines have been used by the company Law Board in respect of Bonus
shares.
10)
SCRIP DIVIDEND
Scrip dividends are used when earnings justify a dividend, but the cash
position of the company is temporarily weak. So, shareholders are issued
shares and debentures of other companies. Such payment of dividend is
called scrip dividend. Shareholders generally do not like such dividend
because the shares or debentures , so paid are worthless for the
shareholders as directors would use only such investment is which were not.
Such dividend was allowed before passing of the companies (Amendment)
Act 1960, but there after this unhealthy ptactice was stopped.
11)
BOND DIVIDEND
12)
PROPERTY DIVIDEND
STABILITY OF EARNINGS.
AGE OF CORPORATION.
18.
LIQUIDITY OF FUNDS.
21.
TRADE CYCLES
Business cycles also exercise influence upon dividend policy. Dividend policy
is adjusted according to the business oscillations. During the boom, prudent
management creates food reserves for contingencies which follow the
inflationary period. Higher rates of dividend can be used as a tool for
marketing the securities in an otherwise depressed market. The financial
solvency can be proved and maintained by the companies in dull years if the
adequate reserves have been built up.
22.
GOVERNMENT POLICIES.
TAXATION POLICY.
High taxation reduces the earnings of the companies and consequently the
rate of dividend is lowered down. Sometimes government levies dividend-tax
of distribution of dividend beyond a certain limit. It also affects the capital
formation. N India, dividends beyond 10% of paid up capital are subject to
dividend tax at 7.5%.
24.
LEGAL REQUIREMENTS.
In deciding on the dividend, the directors take the legal requirement too into
consideration. In order to protect the interests of creditors an outsiders, the
companies Act 1956 prescribes certain guidelines in respect of the
distribution and payment of dividend. Moreover , a company is required to
provide for depreciation on its fixed and tangible assets before declaring
dividend on shares. It proposes that dividend should not be distributed out of
capital, in any case. Likewise, contractual obligation should also be fulfilled.
For example, payment of dividend on preference shares in priority over
ordinary dividend
25.
While formulating the dividend policy, the directors must keep in mind the
dividend paid in past years. The current rate should be around the average
past rat. if it has been abnormally increased the shares will be subjected to
speculation, in a new concern, the company should consider the dividend the
dividend policy of the rival organization.
26.
ABILITY TO BORROW.
Well established and large firms have better access to the capital market
than the new companies and may borrow funds from the external sources if
there arises any need. Such companies may have a better dividend pay-out
ratio. Whereas smaller firms have to depend on their internal sources and
therefore they will have to built up good reserves by reducing the dividend
payout ratio for meeting any obligation requiring heavy funds.
27.
POLICY OF CONTROL.
REPAYMENTS OF LOAN.
MAJOR PLAYERS
The major players in this study are of 25 companies as follows;
Associated Cement Company Ltd.
Bajaj Auto Ltd.
Cipla Ltd.
Dr.Reddys Lab Ltd.
Grasim Industries Ltd.
Ambuja Cement Ltd.
HDFC
Hero Honda Ltd.
Hindalco Ltd.
Or equivalent:
=Dividend/Net income
8.
RETENTION RATIOS
Retention ratio shows the rate of earnings retained by the company for
financing the investments needs. Retained earnings are the main internal
source of finance for the company. This explains to what extent the earnings
of the firm are ploughing back to the business. Technically it is one minus the
dividend paid out ratio.
Retention ratio=1-D/P Ratio
9.
Debt equity shows capital structure of the firm. This represents the capital
structure of the company. It is defined as the ratio of debt to equity of the
firm.
10.
RETURN ON SHARES
Return on shares is calculated by dividend the previous years price from the
current year price and the log natural of the resultant figure is calculated as
it gives a continuously compounded rate of return.
Ln (P1/Po)
11.
The effect on the value of the firm is analyzed by studying the return on
equity shares. Return on equity shares=P1/P0, where P1 is the market price
of equity share for current year and Po is the market price of the equity share
of the equity share for previous year.
12.
cut, which can have a dire impact on valuation. Investors can feel safe a
coverage ratio of 2 or 3. In practice, the coverage ratio becomes a pressing
indicator when coverage slips below 1.5, at which point prospects start to
look risky. If the ratio is under 1, the company is using its retained earnings
from last year to pay this years dividend.
KEY TERMS
DIVIDEND POLICY; The policy a company uses to decide how much it will
pay out to shareholders in dividends.
SHAREHOLDERS VALUE: The value delivered to shareholders because of
managements ability to grow earnings, dividends and share price. In other
words, shareholder value is the sum of all strategic decisions that affect the
firms ability to efficiently increase the amount of free cash flow over time.
LINTNER MODEL:A model stating that dividend policy has two
parameters(1) the target payout ratio and (2) the speed at which current
dividends adjust to the target.
AGENCY COST: A type of internal cost that arises from, or must be paid to,
an agent acting on behalf of a principal. Agency costs arise because of core
problems such as conflicts of interest between shareholders and
management. Shareholders wish for Management to run the company in a
way that increases shareholder value. But management may wish to grow
the company in ways that maximize their personal power and wealth that
may not be in the best interests of Shareholders.
DIVIDEND SMOOTHING: A concept that has its genesis in the dividend
model proposed by John Lintner (1956). It states that the firms strive
towards dividend stability and consistency .the dividend paid during current
year is governed by dividend paid during previous year and variations in the
earnings should not be reflected in the dividend payout.
INFORMATION ASSYMETRY: A situation in which one party in a transaction
has more or superior information compared to another. This often happens in
transactions where the seller knows more than the buyer, although the
reverse can happen as well. Potentially, this could be a harmful situation
because one party can take advantage of the other partys lack of
knowledge.
CHAPTER 2
TITLE OF THE PROJECT:
A CRITICAL ANALYSIS ON THE IMPACT OF DIVIDEND
POLICY ON THE VALUE OF THE FIRM.
To find the extent to which the debt equity ratio affects the
share prices.
METHODOLOGY
The methodology is the major phase of research in which the
investigator makes a number of decisions about the methods and
materials to be used to study the research problem , basically through
collection of data. The methodological decision generally has control
implications for the validity of the findings.
3.3 POPULATION
A population is a group whose members possess specific
characteristics that a researcher is interested in studying. In this study
the population includes all widely held public companies whose shares
are publically traded through a stock exchange.
3.6 HYPOTHESIS
Ho: Dividend policies do not affect the value of the firm
H1: Dividend policies do affect the value of the firm.
3.7 SAMPLE
The sample size is 25 companies listed in BSE and NSE. The companies
studied are the followings.
Associated Cement Company Ltd.
Bajaj Auto Ltd.
Cipla Ltd.
Dr.Reddys Lab Ltd.
Grasim Industries Ltd.
Ambuja Cement Ltd.
HDFC
Balance sheet
Data obtained
For cross sectional regression analysis the above variables X1 and X2 for ten
years are converted into five year moving averages. For time series analysis
the actual data for the years are taken. As there exist high correlation
between the dividend payout and retention ratio there will be Multi Colinearly effect on the regression analysis to avoid this retention ratio is not
included in the regression model. t test significance at 5% level is used to
accept or reject the hypothesis.
R- square (R^2) is the proportion of variation in the dependent variable(Y)
that can be explained by the predictors (X variables) in the regression model.
As predictors (X variables) are added to the model, each predictor will
explain some of the variance in the dependent variable(Y) simply due to
chance. One could continue to add predictors to the model which would
continue to improve the ability of the predictors to explain the dependent
variable, although some of this increase in R- square would be simply due to
chance variation. The adjusted R-square attempts to yield a more honest
value to estimate R- square. Adjusted R-square is computed using the
formula 1-(1-R^2)*(N-1)/(N-K-1)
The F statistic or the F-observed value is used to determine whether the
observed relationship between the dependent and independent variables
occurs by chance.
3.11 LIMITATIONS OF THE STUDY.
1. The sampling technique used is a convenient sampling technique, which
limits the generalization of the findings.
2. the time span for the study was short and hence only major aspects are
considered.
CHAPTER 3
ANALYSIS AND INTERPRETATION OF DATA.
CHAPTER 4
FINDINGS , RECOMMENDATIONS AND
CONCLUSSIONS
The results of the study show that the impact of the dividend on the
value of the firm is not significant. Out of the 25 sample companies
studied only two companies showed a significant association between
the dividend and the return on equity. Where as none of the company
showed any evidence of significant relation between debt and return on
shares. thus it can be observed that in cross sectional analysis of the
companies the return on equity shares does not show any significant
relationship with debt equity and dividend payout. But in case of company
wise time series analysis certain companies as explained above ,shows
relationship between the variables. thus we infer that investor do not give
importance to capital structure and the dividend policy of the companies as a
whole. they give importance of the structure of selected companies.
The results of the cross regression for the five years from 2007/2008 to
2012/2013(Table no.16) show that for the selected samples there is no
evidence of any significant relationship between Return and Equity &the debt
equity ratio and dividend payout.
TIME SERIES REGRESSION ANALYSIS
The results of the time series Regression for five year data(2007/2008 to
2012/2013)as per the Table no.II26 shows that there does not exist any
significance relationship between the Return on equity and debt equity and
dividend payout other than for the following.
Samples:
BAJAJ AUTO LTD;
The regression analysis shows that the t value calculated for the variable
X2.i.e; dividend payout ratio is 2.499. thus shows that it is significance at 5%
level. The coefficient of the variable of dividend payout ratio (b2) is 4.52; it
also shows that to Bajaj Auto Ltd. There exist a significant relationship
between the Return on equity and capital structure.
WIPRO;
This sample also shows that there exist a significant relationship between the
return on the equity and the dividend payout ratio. The t calculated value
is 66.645 and the coefficient is 0.094, for dividend payout ratio.
Hypothesis Testing
H0; Dividend policies do not affect the value of the firm.
H1; Dividend policies do affect the value of the firm.
The hypothesis is tested by using t test significant at 5%. The cross
regression results as per table N0 16 show the t value calculated for the
period of analysis i.e 2007/2008 to 2012/2013. It can be seen that the t
values calculated show no significance relationship between the return on
equity & dividend payout. The time series regression results as per table
N0.II26 shows the t value calculated for each share prices and h sample for
five years(2007/2008 to 2012/2013). Here also there is no evidence of
relationship between return on equity share prices and dividend payout. Thus
RECOMMENDATIONS
The company may not be bother to borrow the debt to the market
value of the share.
The dividend policy can be designed keeping the growth concept into
consideration.
Software companies can improve debt equity ratio and bring into
standard.
CONCLUSION
To find the extent to which the debt equity ratio affects the share
prices.
Out of the variables under study it can be noticed that dividend and
share prices does not have a notable relationship between each other.
BIBLIOGRAPHY
BOOKS
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