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Group 10
Section C
1613
3
2667
P/E
24.3
P/BV
1.0
Debt/Equity
1.9
ROA (%)
1.1
ROE (%)
4.0
EV/Sales
0.9
EV/EBITDA
5.9
Industry
India's Clothing industry is one of the mainstays of the national economy. It accounts for 14%
of industrial production, which is 4% of GDP; employs 45 million people and accounts for
nearly 11 % share of the country's total exports basket. India is the second largest producer of
textiles and garments after China and second largest producer of cotton in the world.
The apparel market accounts for 6% of India's consumption expenditure and is expected to
touch USD 225 billion (around Rs.1,40,000 crore today) by 2020, a fourfold increase in the
space of a decade, according to a 2012 Boston Consulting Group (BCG) report.
As per the Ministry of Textiles, India's Clothing Industry is estimated at around USD 80
billion of which domestic Textile and Clothing Industry is expected to be round USD 55
Billion. Major companies within the sector comprises of names such as Alok Industries,
Mandhana industries, Arvind, Raymond, SKumars Nation and Welspun India.
Various government schemes for Textiles today are running which includes Technology Fund
Upgradation Scheme (TUF), Scheme for integrated Textile Parks (SITP). Group Workshed
Scheme (GWS) Group Insurance Scheme for development of Power loom Sector Integrated
Scheme for Power loom Cluster Development, Marketing development programme for
Power loom Sector etc.
Dominated by unorganized players and traditional way of doing business
Indian Textile industry is largely small and fragmented and organized players constitute only
5% of the industry. Smaller players often are badly affected due to sudden drop or increase in
raw material prices, sudden depreciation/appreciation of rupee, slowdown in major export
markets, uncertain and uneven power supply issues, labor issues, higher interest costs etc.
Traditionally, textiles was of more of number of looms and processor houses and even today,
the scattered looms and process house continue to dominate. About 60% of the industry is
dominated by the traditional power looms, 24% are the mills, about 11% are the handlooms
and rest are Hosiery related activities.
Also because of TUF incentive schemes, often the players in the market go for huge capacity
expansion, as the interest on capex after TUF subsidy comes to only around 5%. Hence lot of
capacities are being created and in a fragmented and fragile manner. The industry players are
often small and thence are not able to cope up with the volatility in the raw material and forex
prices, thus, most of the players either go out of business or operate depending upon the
circumstances. As per the Banking Survey, Textiles contribute one of the largest NPA
portfolios of most of the banks, because of the above-mentioned reasons and the manner in
which the industry operates.
Cotton Cloth
Blended Cloth
Qty.
Var %
%
Qty.
Share
Var %
%
Qty.
Share
20112012
3057
0
-2%
51%
8468
4%
14%
20122013
3387
1
11%
55%
9283
10%
April-Feb
2013
3094
0
11%
54%
8497
April-Feb
2014
3266
6
6%
56%
9226
Total
Qty.
Var %
Var %
%
Share
2056
7
-5%
35%
59605 -2%
15%
1881
2
-9%
30%
61966 4%
10%
15%
1748
2
-8%
31%
56918 4%
9%
16%
1642
9
-6%
28%
58322 2%
CAGR
83%
AGR
8%
127%
130%
105%
123%
13%
13%
10%
18%
Revenue Growth
8000
7000
6000
5000
4000
3000
2000
1000
0
Mar 10(12)
Mar 11(12)
Mar 12(12)
Raymond
Vardhaman
Bombay
Grasim
Mar 13(12)
Mar 14(12)
Century
If we see Grasim textiles since its inception in 2007 the company has grown by CAGR of
123% i.e. is 18 % annually which is the highest among all its competitor chosen in this case.
Further also we expect the company to grow due to following reasonsHigher per capita income of the masses will lead to higher disposable income and hence
higher spending on clothing and focus more on organized and branded products. Indian Retail
clothing market is more organized and organized players now comprise of 40% of total
retailing in India. Increase in nuclear families and favourable demographic profiles also lead
to higher spending and consumption of cloth.
However industry continues to do with challenges in form of low productivity, lack of
advanced manufacturing technologies, lack of foreign investments, supply chain bottlenecks,
lack of economies of scale, labour related challenges, issues arising due to a fragmented
industry and weak brand positioning, government ad hoc decisions etc. Increased domestic
competition together with competition from global players and high initial investment cost
for state of the art production facilities are other emerging challenges being faced by Indian
textile industry.
Industry Indicators
Year
No.Of
Compan
ies
Latest
6
2014
2013
2012
2011
Key Ratios
DebtEquity
Ratio
Long
Term
DebtEquity
Ratio
Current
Ratio
0.22
0.19
0.18
0.11
0.21
0.21
0.19
0.18
0.1
0.16
1.51
1.58
1.6
1.16
1.05
Turnover Ratios
Fixed
Assets
1.17
1.15
1.39
1.51
1.44
Invento
ry
6.23
6.29
8.04
9.28
10.32
9.12
9.29
9.99
9.77
9.91
8.98
12.52
13.37
16.06
17.93
17.65
18.33
21.32
27.92
33.08
13.51
14.17
17.66
24.58
29.13
16.15
17.2
20
26.39
31.46
14.72
15.75
16.76
20.45
24.27
10.57
11.58
13.1
17.11
20.31
8.83
11.81
19.26
21.99
8.45
8.8
10.32
14.88
18.49
Debtors
Interest
Cover
Ratio
PBIDTM
(%)
PBITM
(%)
PBDTM
(%)
CPM
(%)
APATM
(%)
ROCE
(%)
RONW
(%)
Also for FY'15, with lower forex losses and interest costs, the PAT growth is expected to be
higher by 35.7% YoY on a 12.8% net sales growth.
Chart Title
Retained Earnings
Net Income
Free Cash Flow
Capital Expenditure
Cash flow From Operations
Cash At End
0
10
Mar-12
Cash At End
Cash flow From Operations
Capital Expenditure
Free Cash Flow
Net Income
Retained Earnings
15
Mar-13
Mar-12
0.08
25.02
0
25.02
6.2
6.51
20
25
30
35
40
45
Mar-14
Mar-13
0.09
17.29
0.2
17.09
9.04
9.13
Mar-14
0.08
39.78
0.15
39.63
18.14
27.14
From the above table and graph it can be seen that for Grasim textiles there is
huge difference in net income and cash flow which shows majority of sale is on
credit, the company should try to reduce this gap.
Grasim
Raymond
Century
Vardhaman
97.95
57.44
1.11
17.99%
5.40%
13.33%
171.55
119.47
0.9
16.05%
8.80%
13.07%
1747.4
5677.85
1.53
21.87%
5.40%
9.28%
2848.32
3227.1
0.56
12.90%
4.90%
8.65%
Bombay
Dyeing
1463.55
1435.25
1.65
22.98%
9.40%
16.26%
For the above calculation we have taken risk free return to be 7.72% and market risk
premium to be 9.25%.
Chart Title
300
250
200
150
100
50
0
Bombay
Century
Vardhaman
Raymond
Grasim
Bombay
Century
Vardhaman
Raymond
Grasim
Mar-12
261
83
130
114
66
Mar-13
203
74
122
135
58
Mar-14
99
72
159
107
74
Bombay
Mar11
203
Mar12
254
Mar13
201
Mar14
98
Century
Vardhaman
Raymond
Grasim
82
161
107
74
82
122
137
57
73
131
115
66
71
132
96
57
Chart Title
300
250
200
150
100
50
0
Bombay
Century
Vardhaman
Raymond
Grasim
Mar-11
1.8
4.4
2.8
3.8
6.3
Mar-12
1.4
4.4
2.8
3.2
5.5
Mar-13
1.8
4.9
3
2.7
6.3
Mar-14
3.7
5.1
2.3
3.4
4.9
Chart Title
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
Bombay
Century
Vardhaman
Raymond
Grasim
AnalysisIf we see on all above three Parameters Company is doing far better than its competitors. It
can further improve by lowering its current inventory level.
The companys debt ratio vis-a-vis the market average showcases better leverage against debt
than its immediate competitors in the previous financial year. Additionally, the low
debt/equity ratio showcases that the company carries very less financial risk as the majority
of its investment is carried out through equity rather than debt. The company thus has low
financial risk.
3
industry avg
5
grasim
Chart Title
2.5
2
1.5
1
0.5
0
3
industry avg
grasim
The companys competitive advantage lies in its business interests, with VSF production by a
subsidiary of the parent company acting as a stable source for procurement of raw material
required for textiles improving cost competitiveness. Vertical integration is another advantage
lowering overall costs of production. Additionally, the company should look at improving its
production facilities to expand in the face of growing competition from cotton textiles based
companies from China and other neighbouring countries. Investment in a plant to expand
operations should be looked into in the face of growing difficulties in cotton production and
increasing popularity of cellulose fiber based textiles. The company continues to grow on the
back of higher volume in the over the counter segment in the Indian market and increased
demand in the export markets. Its operating profit at ` 36.7 crore improved by 17% with
higher margins in export markets. Net profit almost doubled from ` 9.1 crore in the previous
year to ` 18.1 crore.