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com Aspirina)
Collaborative
Group*
Objective
To determine
outcomes associated
hospitais
in women
offices in Brazil.
Subjects
One thousand and nine women considered to be at high risk for the development of preeclampsia, or its complications, entered the study between 12 and 32 weeks of gestation. They
were randomly allocated to receive aspirin (498 women) or placebo (511 women) until delivery,
and follow up was obtained for 96 %.
Resu1ts There were no significant differences between the treatment groups in the incidence of
proteinuric
pre-eclarnpsia
(6'7 % aspirin-allocated
compared with 60 % placebo-allocated
women), of preterm delivery (22'3 % compared with 261 %), of intrauterine growth retardation
(8'5 % compared with 101 %), or of stillbirth and neonatal death (7'3 % compared with 60 %),
nor were there significant differences in the incidence of proteinuric
pre-eclampsia
in any
subgroup of women studied, including those who had systolic blood pressures of 120 mmHg
or above at entry (8'5 % compared with 73 %) or those who were chronically hypertensive
(10'0 % compared with 71 %). Aspirin was not associated with a significant excess of maternal
or fetal bleeding.
ConcIusion
The results of this study do not support the routine prophylactic administration
of low
dose aspirin in pregnancy to any category of high risk women (even those who have chronic
hypertension or who are considered to be especially liable to ear1y onset pre-eclarnpsia).
INTRODUCTION
RCOG
40
ECPPA
COLLABORATIVE
GROUP
characteristics
are percentages
group
Placebo
(n=511)
80-3
333
159
19
(SD 14-8)
(65)
(31)
(4)
21
34
(4)
(7)
27
28
(5)
(5)
221
188
89
242
25
(44)
(38)
(18)
(49)
(5)
250
175
86
231
37
(49)
(34)
(17)
(45)
(7)
ECPPA:
39-47
A RANDOMISED
TRIAL
OF LOW
DOSE
ASPIRIN
41
42
ECPPA
COLLABORATIVE
GROUP
RESULTS
One thousand and nine women were randomised,
with good balance between the treatment groups
for the main pre-randomisation
characteristics
(Table I). Of the women enrolled, 16 % were
under 20 years of age, 38 % were at 20 weeks of
gestation or earlier, 47 % were primigravidae,
47 % had chronic hypertension
and 6 % had a
history of diabetes mellitus or hyperglycaemia.
Post-delivery follow up forms were obtained for
96 % of the randomised women (476 allocated
aspirin and 494 allocated placebo), and these
women had 985 infants or fetallosses (482 aspirin
compared with 503 placebo). Reported compliance
with study treatment was good, with no difference
between the groups allocated aspirin or placebo.
Of the 967 randomised women for whom the date
of stopping trial tablets was known, 90 % stopped
(a)PROTEINURIC PRE-ECLAMPSIA
Entry
characteristic
Events/Women
Aspirin
Placebo
EventslWomen
Aspirin
Placebo
Gestation
,; 20 weeks
16/192
8/172
53/192
49/172
> 20weeks
16/284
22/322
53/284
80/322
nulliparae
8/210
10/241
41/210
50/241
multlparae
24/266
20/253
65/266
79/253
yes
23/231
16/224
56/231
70/224
no
9/245
14/270
501245
59/270
32/ 476
(6.7%)
30/494
(6.1%)
106/476
(22.3%)
129/494
(26.1%)
Parity
Chronic hypertension
11% SO 28
increase
(2p=0.7)
0.5
1.0
1.5
Aspirin
Asplrin
better
worse
~ 19%5014
reduction
(2p=0.2)
0.5
1.0
1.5
Aspirin
Aspirin
better
worse
Fig. 1. Effects of aspirin on (a) proteinuric pre-eclampsia developing after randomisation and (b) preterm delivery. The outcome of
proteinuric pre-eclampsia required the development of hypertension and proteinuria after randomisation, and preterm delivery was
defined as delivery before 37 weeks of estimated gestation (as in Cl.Af'!'). Odds ratios (. = area proportional
to amount of
information contributed "') and 99 % confidence intervals (Cl : horizontalline) are plotted for certain subgroups ofthe study population.
A black square to the left of the solid verticalline suggests a benefit (but this is significant at 2P < 001 only if the whole Cl is to the
left of the solid verticalline). The overall results for ali women (and 95 % Cl) are represented by diamonds, with the observed reductions
or increases in the odds of the outcome developing given to the right of the solid verticalline. X2 tests for differences between the effects
observed in the different subgroups were ali nonsignificant.
39-47
ECPPA:
A RANDOMISED
Events/Babies
Aspirin
Placebo
TRIAL
OF LOW
DOSE
ASPIRIN
43
Events/Babies
Aspirin
Placebo
Gestation
520 weeks
13/196
9/174
121196
9/174
20 weeks
28/286
421329
231286
21/329
nulllparae
14/214
19/249
10/214
11/249
mulliparae
27/268
321254
25/268
19/254
yes
26/233
26/226
221233
17/226
no
15/249
25/2n
13/249
13/2n
>
Parity
Chronic hypertension
Ali babies:
41/482
(8.5%)
51/503
(10.1%)
18% 50 20
reduction
(2p=0.4)
35/482
(7.3%)
0.5
1.0
1.5
Aspirin
Aspirin
better
worse
30/503
(6.0%)
23%5029
Increase
(2p=0.4)
0.5
1.0
1.5
Asplrln
Asplrln
better
worse
Fig. 2. Effects of aspirin on (a) intrauterine growth retardation and (b) stillbirth and neonatal death. Intrauterine growth retardation
was defined as birthweight below the third centile for sex and estimated maturity, and stillbirths and neonatal deaths as deaths at or
after 24 weeks gestation and up to 28 days after birth. Symbols and conventions as in Fig. 1. X2 tests for differences between the effects
observed in the different subgroups were all nonsignificant.
39-47
44
ECPPAcaLLABaRATIVEGRaUp
Aspirin
Placebo
n = 476
n = 482
n = 494
n = 503
291 (61'1)
36 (7-6)
301 (60'9)
36 (7'3)
Maternal bleeding
Placenta I abruption
Other antepartum bleed
Postpartum bleed
Transfusion
5
6
3
7
Fetal bleeding
Intraventricular haemorrhage
Other neonatal bleeds
6 (1'2)
3 (0'6)
3 (0'6)
2 (O A)
Fetal losses
Losses < 24 weeks
Stillbirths (~ 24 weeks)
eonatal deaths 28 days)
4 (0'8)
28 (5'8)
7 (1'5)
6 (1'2)
23 (4'6)
7 (I A)
(1'1 )
(1'3)
(0,6)
( 1'5)
7
8
6
7
(l A)
( 1,6)
( 1'2)
(l A)
39-47
ECPPA:
(a)PROTEINURIC
No 01 Antlplatelet
Control
ortrial
trlals
therapy
TRIAL
(b)STILLBIRTHS
PRE-ECLAMPSIA
Trial categories
therapy
A RANDOMISED
Placebo)
OF LOW
ANO NEONATAL
No 01 Antlplatelet
Control
trlals
therapy
therapy
DOSE
45
ASPIRIN
OEATHS
Odds n.tlo
(Antlplatelet
& 95% CI
: Placebo)
Small trlals
10/ 319
(3.1%)
11
Wlth data
Wlthout data
-/
308
12
50/ 284
(17.6%)
-/
51 306
(2.0%)
228
-I
320
10/ 289
(3.5%)
-/
223
Larger trials
Before
CLASP
CLASP
ECPPA
tOO/2697
139/2524
313/4659
3521 4650
32/
476
30/
494
445/7832
( 5.7%)
521/7668
( 6.8%)
18
455/8151
( 5.6%)
571/7952
( 7.2%)
t
o
0.5
Antlplatelet
therapy
batter
- alllarger
1.0
35/
17%506
reductlon
(2p=0.006)
23%506
reductlon
(2p=0.00006)
1.5
Antlpletelet
therapy
worse
482
38/2524
1361 4821
30/
503
212/ 7989
( 2.7%)
20417848
( 2.6%)
1%5010
Inc .
(2p:O.9)
19
218/ 8295
( 2.6%)
214/ 8137
( 2.6%)
1%5010
reduct10n
(2p:O.9)
0.5
Antlplatelet
therapy
batter
1.0
1.5
Antlplatelet
therapy
worse
batween:
48/ 2697
129/4810
largar trials:
trials:
X'"
= 40.2 (p = 0.0004)
X',
X~ = 1.3 (p = 0.3)
X'.
= 11.8 (p = 0.07)
X~
6.3
(p
= 0.4)
Fig. 3. Overview of effects reported from ali randomised trials of antiplatelet therapy in pregnancy on (a) proteinuric pre-eclampsia and
(b) stillbirths and neonatal deaths. Symbols and conventions as in Fig. 1. Available results from smaller trials (i.e. those that included
fewer than 200 women) and from larger trials were combined using standard overview methods'" and stratified odds ratios plotted.
Details of the trials included are given in CLASpll
46
ECPPA
COLLABORA
TIVE
GROUP
ECPPA:
14 Peto R, Pike MC, Armitage P et ai. Design and analysis of
randomized clinical trials requiring prolonged observation or each
patient l l. Analysis and examples. Br J Cancer 1977; 35: 1-39.
15 Antiplatelet
Trialists' Collaboration.
Collaborative
overview of
randomised trials of antiplatelet therapy-I:
Prevention of death,
myocardial
infarction,
and stroke by prolonged
antiplatelet
therapy in various categories ofpatients. BMJ 1994; 308: 81-106.
39-47
A RANDOMISED
TRIAL
OF LOW
DOSE ASPIRIN
47
Study methods
Forty-three women considered at risk ofpreterm delivery were recruited antenatally
into a blind longitudinal study. Quantitative
assays of fetal fibronectin were obtained from
sequential high vaginal swabs taken fortnightly from 24 to 34 weeks of gestation. Fibronectin
concentrations
of 005 Ilg/ml or more were considered as positive.
Results
Results were calculated by swab and by subject. The sensitivity of an individual fibronectin
swab in predicting preterrn delivery within 14 days of testing was 71 % and the specificity was
93 %. The overall positive predictive value was 31 % and the negative predictive value was
99 %. The sensitivity of the fibronectin swab in predicting delivery before 37 weeks was 17 %
and the specificity was 93 %. The positive predictive value was 50 % and the nega tive predictive
value was 73 %. For a woman who has had a positive swab the sensitivity in predicting preterm
delivery within 14 days of testing was 80 % and the specificity was 83 %; a woman was counted
as positive only if the final swab was positive and preceded delivery by not more than 14 days.
The positive predictive value was 36% and the negative predictive value was 97%. For a
woman who has had a positive swab the sensitivity in predicting delivery before 37 weeks was
54 %. The specificity, the positive predictive value and the nega tive predictive value were 85 %,
64 % and 79 %, respectively. Women were counted as positive if any swab in the sampling
sequence was positive. Fibronectin swabbing when calculated by patient did predict preterm
delivery within 14 days of testing (P = 0'01) and before 37 weeks (P = 0'01). Analysis of the
accuracy of predicting delivery from 7 to 28 days after sampling revealed that the best
prediction for delivery was within the following 14 days.
Conclusion
Serial fetal fibronectin assessment from 24 to 34 weeks of gestation anticipated preterm
delivery within 14 days oftesting and before 37 weeks for high risk asymptomatic women. Such
testing should be performed every two weeks.
INTRODUCTION
Preterm delivery is the leading cause of newborn
infant mortality in the developed world. Most of
these deaths occur in pregnancies ending before
29 weeks'. A substantial morbidity accompanies
preterm delivery as well as iatrogenic morbidity
associated with prolonged neonatal intensive care.
Long term neurological problems are more difficult
to evaluate. Apart from the human cost, the
financial cost of providing inpatient care for
preterm babies and providing support in cases of
lifelong handicap is great.
Correspondence: Dr S. C. Leeson, Department
of Obstetrics
and Gynaecology, Saint Mary's Hospital, Hathersage Road,
Manchester M 13 9PT, UK.
48